Tag: Motley Fool Australia

  • These ASX medical shares fell double figures in July – are they a buy?

    coronavirus mask with a falling line graph on it

    It seems investors in these two ASX medical shares have taken the opportunity to lock in recent gains, sending prices down significantly in July. The Avita Therapeutics Inc (ASX: AVH) share price fell more than 30% in July as sales faltered in the face of COVID-19. The PolyNovo Ltd (ASX: PNV) share price fell nearly 14% despite reporting record sales in June. Both companies operate in the medical device space and will potentially see strong demand for their products over the coming decade. Coronavirus may have dented short-term demand, but are these ASX medical shares worthy long-term buys?  

    Avita Therapeutics 

    Avita Therapeutics produces a spray-on skin system used to treat burn wounds. The ‘Recell System’ allows a suspension of spray-on skin cells to be produced using a small sample of the patient’s own skin. This can be sprayed onto a wound, improving healing and scar appearance. Avita is primarily focused on the United States market and redomiciled to the US earlier this year. Growth in sales of the Recell System were strong in FY20, growing 213% over the prior year. But the rate of sales growth took a tumble in the fourth quarter with sales revenue of US$3.79 million compared to US$3.78 million the previous quarter. 

    Lockdown measures meant there was a reduction in accidents leading to burn injuries. Access to facilities and patients was also limited due to infection control procedures aimed at preventing the spread of coronavirus. A re-prioritisation of hospital resources meant April sales fell to their lowest level in 2020. Encouragingly, procedural volumes resumed growth in May and June with the benefits of the Recell System, which include fewer surgeries and reduced hospital stays, embraced by surgeons. The system is also being investigated for use in treating vitiligo, scar reconstruction, and for aesthetic applications. This could substantially increase the addressable market for this ASX medical share. 

    The Avita share price is currently trading at $6.12 which is a 1% gain for the day so far. 

    PolyNovo

    PolyNovo produces ‘Novosorb BTM’, an implantable dressing that can be integrated into the body as it heals. The product is produced using a biodegradable polymer, which helps the body to use its own mechanisms to repair damaged tissue. Novosorb BTM is used in the treatment of severe wounds or burns where the dermal layer of the skin has been lost and requires a graft to close. PolyNovo reported record US sales of Novosorb BTM in June, with a 67% increase in hospital accounts over FY20. The company also made its first sale in the United Kingdom and expects additional near-term sales from this market. 

    Sales of Novosorb BTM tend to be lumpy, but there is a strong upward trajectory with product sales in FY20 expected to double those of FY19. In a July update, PolyNovo Chairman, David Williams, said “While FY20 sales will show impressive growth over FY19, the sales run-rate is more impressive and should be a better indicator of the near-term future”. PolyNovo’s polymer has potentially even wider applications. The company is currently working on hernia repair and breast reconstruction products. Both areas have large addressable markets and would diversify the revenue base for PolyNovo.  

    At the time of writing, the PolyNovo share price is trading 0.91% up for the day at $2.22.

    Foolish takeaway

    I believe these two ASX medical shares have serious long-term potential. While coronavirus may have put a dampener on short-term demand, longer-term indicators are positive. This means recent pull backs in each company’s share price may provide an opportunity for long-term investors to take a stake at a discount. 

    5 stocks under $5

    We hear it over and over from investors, “I wish I had bought Altium or Afterpay when they were first recommended by The Motley Fool. I’d be sitting on a gold mine!” And it’s true.

    And while Altium and Afterpay have had a good run, we think these 5 other stocks are screaming buys. And you can buy them now for less than $5 a share!

    *Extreme Opportunities returns as of June 5th 2020

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    Kate O’Brien owns shares of Avita Medical Limited and POLYNOVO FPO. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of Avita Medical Limited and POLYNOVO FPO. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Avita Medical Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • 2 exciting ASX growth shares that could beat the market in the 2020s

    crystal ball with bar graph inside, future share price, afterpay share price

    If you’re interested in adding some growth shares to your portfolio in August, then you might want to take a look at the ones listed below.

    I believe they have the potential to grow materially in the future. Here’s why I would buy them:

    Bravura Solutions Ltd (ASX: BVS)

    The first growth share to consider buying is Bravura Solutions. It is a leading financial technology company for the wealth management and funds administration industries. The key product in its portfolio is the Sonata platform, which connects and engages with clients via computers, tablets, or smartphones.

    Due to the quality of its platform and its large addressable market, I believe Sonata can underpin strong earnings growth over the next decade. This should be supported by a couple of acquisitions that have opened Bravura up to new and lucrative markets. All in all, I believe the Bravura share price is well-positioned to be a market beater over the 2020s. This could make it well worth buying today.

    Nearmap Ltd (ASX: NEA)

    Another ASX growth share to consider buying in August is Nearmap. It is a leading aerial imagery technology and location data company which currently operates in both the ANZ and North American regions. At present, these two markets provide the company with a total addressable market (TAM) of $2.9 billion per year. This compares to the annualised contract value (ACV) of $103 million to $107 million that Nearmap expects to record in FY 2020.

    Given the quality of its software and how fragmented these markets are, I believe Nearmap is well-placed to grow its share of these markets significantly in the future. In addition to this, the company could increase its TAM in the future by expanding its footprint into other territories. Overall, I think this positions the Nearmap share price to also be a market beater over the long term.

    Legendary stock picker names 5 cheap stocks to buy right now

    Motley Fool resident tech stock expert Dr. Anirban Mahanti has stumbled upon five stocks he believes could be some of the greatest discoveries of his investing career.

    These little-known ASX stocks are growing like gangbusters, yet you can buy them today for less than $5 a share. Click here to learn more.

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    James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of Nearmap Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Bravura Solutions Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Nearmap Ltd. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Why you should buy ASX shares in this resilient market

    Flowers growing through concrete to symbolise the resilient ASX share market

    Welcome to August.

    With the financial headlines again dominated by the rising economic impact of COVID-19‘s resurgence in Australia, it’s worth taking note of the Aussie share market’s – and Australian people’s – remarkable resilience.

    If you’re living in Victoria and subject to the new curfews, distancing and isolation measures, know that the rest of Australia stands with you. The nation appreciates the great sacrifices you’re making both in your personal and financial lives to help get this pandemic off our shores.

    Treasurer Josh Frydenberg noted that the cost of a stage three, 6-week lockdown in Victoria had previously been estimated to cut GDP by $3.3 billion. With Victoria moving to stage four, and the measures potentially lasting longer, the true cost is one more uncertainty investors will have to swallow.

    And let’s not forget that Victoria makes up some 25% of the Aussie economy.

    Resilience in the face of uncertainty

    Investors tend to hate uncertainty. It sees them run to perceived haven assets like government bonds, cash and gold. That’s one of the reasons why gold has been trading at record prices in US dollars, currently at US$1,976 (AU$2,768) per troy ounce.

    Much as I’d like to tell you otherwise, the uncertainty around the coronavirus is unlikely to let up in August. One big question is whether the second wave can be contained within Victoria. Another is when an effective vaccine will be developed and widely available.

    But here’s the remarkable thing.

    Despite all these doubts, the S&P/ASX 200 (INDEXASX: XJO) just posted its 4th month of consecutive gains. It ended the month of July up 0.5%, despite Friday’s 2.0% sell-off.

    Now in these highly volatile times, that may not sound like much. But a 0.5% monthly average gain equates to an annualised nominal gain of roughly 8%. That’s the power of compounding at work for you.

    I’ve stressed nominal gain here, because as you likely know Australia has entered a period of deflation. After a sharp plunge in the last quarter, the consumer price index is down 0.3% over the past 12 months. Unlike our accustomed inflationary environment, where you subtract inflation from your share returns, we’re now in a position to add the amount of deflation to discover our real adjusted returns.

    You see, mild deflation really isn’t the Bogeyman it’s generally made out to be. Unless, of course, you’re sitting on an ever growing trillion-dollar debt pile.

    Before digging into a few specific shares making big moves up and down on Friday, let’s round off the big picture look of the ASX 200.

    The index’s sharp fall commenced on 20 February. And the panic selling didn’t really let up until 23 March. By then the average value of Australia’s largest 200 listed companies had fallen a gut wrenching 37%.

    And then things turned around.

    While still down 11% year-to-date, the ASX 200 is up more than 30% from its 23 March low. And in early afternoon trade, it’s again demonstrating remarkable resilience, down by 0.32% to claw back most of today’s early losses after tumbling 1.1% in the first 20 minutes following the opening bell.

    And that’s with all the negative virus news coming out of Victoria over the weekend.

    A market of stocks

    You’ve likely heard the old cliché, ‘It’s not a stock market, it’s a market of stocks.’

    It’s admittedly trite, but like most clichés it also rings true.

    Take last Friday 31 July, for example.

    After posting a relatively strong month, the ASX 200 closed the day down 2.0%. But some shares, as you’d expect, lost a lot more.

    AMP Limited (ASX: AMP) topped the losing board, with the AMP share price shedding 12.5% on the day.

    The major daily fall for the diversified financial services company was driven by its announcement lowering its half yearly profit guidance. The stock, with a market cap of $4.8 billion, has struggled in the wake of the Financial Services Royal Commission. The AMP share price finished July down by 21.5%. At the current price of $1.40 per share, its worth putting AMP on your watchlist for an eventual, and potentially sharp, turnaround.

    On the other end of the spectrum, Super Retail Group Ltd (ASX: SUL) topped Friday’s list of gainers. With a market cap of $2.0 billion, Super Retail is one of Australia’s biggest retailers. And on Friday, the Super Retail share price rocketed by 9%.

    The surge was likely driven by the company announcing increased sales expectations for the 2020 financial year. The full results should be released on 24 August. If the renewed and higher expectations are met, the Super Retail share price could certainly run higher from here, in my view.

    Foolish takeaway

    If you’ve let all of the uncertainty surrounding the coronavirus mitigation efforts keep you on the sidelines, it may be time to step back onto the field.

    The next months will almost certainly see continued volatility in Australian and international shares. But with record low interest rates and record government stimulus packages likely to remain in place as long as needed, the equity markets have a lot of helpful tailwinds.

    If you’re investing for the long-term, I suggest ignoring the shorter-term price swings and investigating quality ASX shares while they’re still selling for a bargain.

    Where to invest $1,000 right now

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for more than eight years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes are the five best ASX stocks for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they are great buys right now.

    *Returns as of June 30th

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    Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Super Retail Group Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Earnings season: What to expect from Telstra in FY 2020

    Man with mobile phone standing over modem, telecommunications, telco. Telstra share price, TPG share price, vocus share price

    One of the most eagerly anticipated results this earnings season will come from Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLS).

    Opinion is divided on how the telco giant is performing and ultimately what impact this will have on its dividend payment.

    In light of this, I thought I would take a look to see what the market is expecting from the company on 13 August.

    What does the market expect from the Telstra full year result?

    According to a note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts expect Telstra to report a 4% decline in income to $26.7 billion and an 8% decline in EBITDA to $9 million.

    The latter includes core EBITDA of $7.45 billion, down 9% on the prior corresponding period. This compares to Telstra’s guidance for the bottom end of its $7.4 billion to $7.9 billion range.

    And on the bottom line, Goldman is forecasting a 22% decline in net profit after tax to $2.4 billion.

    Despite this decline, the broker believes Telstra’s free cash flow will be sufficient to maintain its final dividend of 8 cents per share.

    What about FY 2021?

    Telstra traditionally provides guidance for the year ahead with its full year result, so all eyes will be on that.

    Goldman is forecasting FY 2021 underlying EBITDA to decline 4% to $7.14 billion, with NBN payments of $1.05 billion.

    Once again, investors will be eager to see what Telstra’s dividend plans are for the financial year. Pleasingly, Goldman is confident that a 16 cents per share dividend will be paid.

    It commented: “TLS believes it requires $7.5bn of EBITDA to support 16¢ DPS. Hence, we see the messaging around the ‘one-off’ Covid-19 impacts as important to determine how the company will assess FY21 earnings and the outlook into FY22. We continue to believe that TLS can comfortably fund 16¢.”

    Should you invest?

    I agree with Goldman Sachs on its dividend and believe 16 cents per share is sustainable for the foreseeable future. In light of this, I would be a buyer of its shares now.

    This is something that Goldman is also recommending. It has retained its conviction buy rating and $4.10 price target on the company’s shares.

    5 stocks under $5

    We hear it over and over from investors, “I wish I had bought Altium or Afterpay when they were first recommended by The Motley Fool. I’d be sitting on a gold mine!” And it’s true.

    And while Altium and Afterpay have had a good run, we think these 5 other stocks are screaming buys. And you can buy them now for less than $5 a share!

    *Extreme Opportunities returns as of June 5th 2020

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Telstra Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

    finger pressing red button on keyboard labelled Buy

    With so many shares to choose from on the ASX, it can be hard to decide which ones to buy.

    The good news is that brokers across the country are doing a lot of the hard work for you.

    Three top shares that leading brokers have named as buys this week are listed below. Here’s why they are bullish on them:

    Bapcor Ltd (ASX: BAP)

    According to a note out of Citi, its analysts have retained their buy rating and $6.85 price target on this auto parts company’s shares. The broker has been looking into the retail sector and the potential impacts of the removal of the JobKeeper program. It believes this will have a limited impact on Bapcor and remains positive on its outlook. Especially given its belief that it will benefit from increasing personal transport use. The broker also sees opportunities for Bapcor to grow in the Thai market. I think Citi makes some good points and Bapcor could be worth considering.

    OceanaGold Corp (ASX: OGC)

    Analysts at Credit Suisse have upgraded this gold miner’s shares to an outperform rating with an improved price target of $4.10. It made the move after the release of its second quarter production update late last week. Although it notes that its production guidance has been downgraded, this was for reasons outside the company’s control. Overall, the broker appears very positive on its long term growth potential and believes its shares are great value at the current level. I would agree that it could be worth taking a closer look at.

    Super Retail Group Ltd (ASX: SUL)

    A note out of Goldman Sachs reveals that its analysts have retained their buy rating and $10.30 price target on this retailer’s shares. The broker was pleased with Super Retail’s recent update and believes it was supportive of its investment thesis. Goldman is positive on the company due to its belief that it will benefit from more domestic travel, increased usage of private transport, and home fitness equipment demand as a result of the pandemic. The broker also notes that its shares are currently trading at ~12.4x earnings, which is a 25% discount to its historical average. I think Goldman Sachs is spot on and Super Retail could be a good retail option.

    5 stocks under $5

    We hear it over and over from investors, “I wish I had bought Altium or Afterpay when they were first recommended by The Motley Fool. I’d be sitting on a gold mine!” And it’s true.

    And while Altium and Afterpay have had a good run, we think these 5 other stocks are screaming buys. And you can buy them now for less than $5 a share!

    *Extreme Opportunities returns as of June 5th 2020

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Bapcor and Super Retail Group Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • CML share price surged 13% last week

    woman touching digital screen stating fintech

    I am quite excited by the newest ASX fintech share, CML Group Ltd (ASX: CGR). The company recently acquired a software as a service (SaaS) website, Skippr. This platform allows CML to provide greater support to small business, one of its key verticals. It announced the acquisition on Tuesday 28 July. Consequently the CML Group share price rose by nearly 13% last week.

    CML Group provides a range of debtor finance options for medium and small businesses. This type of finance implies short-term credit often secured by alternative assets to real estate. More specifically, it is a short-term solution to cashflow issues. The company provides three types of debtor finance; invoice finance, equipment finance, and trade finance.

    The greatest revenue generator is invoice discounting, a loan against an invoice that has yet to be paid. I have personally used this type of service with a different provider when I owned a consulting company. Second, equipment finance, is a loan secured by both new and owned equipment. For instance, equipment finance is often something used to fund a management buy out. Third, trade finance, where the loan is used to pay for imports. Trade finance is the smallest revenue generator for CML Group. 

    Companies like CML Group are vital to the small business sector. In my opinion, these types of services help small companies become large companies and can be critical in growing an organisation.

    The small business support platform

    While the company provides various types of credit, it is the invoice finance that drives the lion’s share of revenue. Its SaaS platform has deep functionality and is able to integrate with Xero Limited (ASX: XRO), MYOB and a range of other commonly used software. Accordingly, the platform allows CML Group to work with its clients in a far more collaborative and integrated manner. 

    The acquisition of clients using manual processes is expensive and can be prohibitive for CML. For instance, the company has previously avoided clients with receivables less than $200,000 because the costs of onboarding reduced its profitability. However, with the automation provided by Skippr, it can now target smaller clients more cost effectively. The automated processes provide cost benefits in client acquisition, approval of invoices selected for funding, live payment monitoring and reconciliation, and sophisticated reporting for the end client. 

    One of the main benefits of the SaaS platform, aside from all of the cost benefits mentioned above, is that of customer engagement. As a platform designed to facilitate small business growth, it is likely clients would require the service multiple times over a period of years. Therefore, Skippr will enable CML Group to build long lasting relationships with its customers rather than simply meeting on-demand requirements. 

    Company management

    CML Group has delivered year-on-year growth in invoices funded every year. As coronavirus restrictions have started to ease, the company has seen strong monthly growth. It financed a total of $1.7 billion in invoices through FY20, an increase of 6% despite the interruptions of bushfires and coronavirus. This should provide the company with an earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) of $19.5 – $20.5 million. 

    Over FY21, CML expects to see a high volume of business financing required. This is due to companies taking stock of the level of working capital they need on hand to best manage through the pandemic and return to full capacity. We are still seeing increased small business disruption and gradual decreases in government support.

    Foolish takeaway

    CML Group is, in my view, a great company with a valuable product. Its service offering is suited to the times and will be a critical support mechanism for many small business owners as they strive to return to a steady state of trading. Moreover, the acquisition of the Skippr platform makes it the newest fintech on the ASX and I believe the CML share price will really start to go places over the next 12 months. At its current level, the CML share price pays a trailing, 12-month dividend yield of 6.96%.

    Legendary stock picker names 5 cheap stocks to buy right now

    Motley Fool resident tech stock expert Dr. Anirban Mahanti has stumbled upon five stocks he believes could be some of the greatest discoveries of his investing career.

    These little-known ASX stocks are growing like gangbusters, yet you can buy them today for less than $5 a share. Click here to learn more.

    See these 5 cheap stocks

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    Daryl Mather has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of Xero. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Why the Domino’s share price has my attention

    pizzas stacked in an increasing bar chart formation

    The Domino’s Pizza Enterprises Ltd (ASX: DMP) share price has surged nearly 80% from its lows in late-March and is currently trading near record highs. The positive price action reflects how high demand for convenience food has been during COVID-19 lockdowns.

    Here’s why the Domino’s share price has my attention for 2020 and beyond.

    How did Domino’s perform during the pandemic?

    At the height of the pandemic, Domino’s was forced to close all stores in its nine markets. Apart from France and New Zealand, where even takeaway orders were banned, the company could only operate to provide delivery and online orders. In order to maintain health and safety standards during the height of COVID-19, Domino’s implemented a range of initiatives including ‘zero-contact’ delivery.

    In the company’s last update in late April, Domino’s noted that operations in France and New Zealand were progressively re-opening. The company also highlighted that operations in Japan and Germany saw strong sales performance, whilst same store sales in Australia remained positive but noted that stores were being affected unevenly.

    Why the Domino’s share price has my attention

    Domino’s Pizza in the United States recently reported its full-year results which was highlighted by a 16% increase in same-store sales. Although Domino’s in Australia and the US are two separately listed entities, the company’s performance in the US could reflect similar consumer behaviour in other markets. In a trading update in April, Domino’s Australia reiterated its target for 3% to 6% annual, same-store sales growth and a 7% to 9% increase in new stores each year over the medium term.

    In my opinion, there are multiple tailwinds that could benefit the Domino’s share price in 2020 and beyond. The pandemic has forced consumers to turn to brands that they can trust to uphold hygiene and delivery standards. In addition, with economic conditions in the future looking volatile, the affordable goods offered by Domino’s could become more appealing.

    The pandemic has also accelerated the shift to online with operational markets reporting a material shift to food delivery demand. This has resulted in stores hiring more team members to help adapt to the change. In addition, the pandemic has reinforced the fortressing growth strategy of Domino’s which involves opening more stores in existing sales areas. With large seating restaurants expected to continue suffering post-COVID, this strategy could help Domino’s through its operation of smaller stores whilst also decreasing its delivery times.

    Is the Domino’s share price a buy?

    Domino’s is expected to report its full-year earnings for FY20 on Wednesday 19 August. The company has not provided any short-term earnings guidance, so I feel the most prudent strategy would be to wait on the side-lines before investing.

    Where to invest $1,000 right now

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for more than eight years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes are the five best ASX stocks for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they are great buys right now.

    *Returns as of June 30th

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Nikhil Gangaram has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Domino’s Pizza Enterprises Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Which shares to watch this ASX earnings season

    Hello August

    ASX companies are due to report their full year results this month. It is the first ASX earnings season since the onset of the coronavirus pandemic and will reveal the financial damage wrought by the virus thus far.

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) ended July lower as investors looked toward the August earnings season with trepidation. Share prices bounced back strongly from their slump in March at the start of the pandemic impact, with the ASX 200 up 29.7% from its March low.

    But ASX share prices need to be supported by earnings. And earnings are likely to have taken a hit for a number of companies. Here’s what we’re looking out for this ASX earnings season. 

    ASX earnings season surprises and shocks 

    The sudden and unexpected onset of the pandemic hit many businesses unprepared – this ASX earnings season will be unique in terms of the impact of the pandemic on shares.

    While some businesses saw sales drop sharply, others (especially those leveraged to ecommerce) saw a rise in sales. Many companies withdrew earnings guidance at the onset of the pandemic. Six months in, the effects on both FY20 results and future guidance on ASX shares should be much clearer.

    Future earnings are key

    The price of a share should, theoretically, be the present value of the future cash flow expected from that share. Because of this, expected future earnings are often a much more important influence on the share price than current earnings.

    The onset of the pandemic caused a one-off economic shock, but what ASX share investors want to know is what the future looks like. The ongoing impacts of the pandemic mean some companies will need to shift or pivot strategy. Given the turbulent six months investors have endured, they will be looking for some comfort in future earnings guidance. 

    While the pandemic has obviously had a severe negative impact on  travel shares such as Webjet Limited (ASX: WEB) and Flight Centre Travel Group Ltd (ASX: FLT), it has actually had a positive impact on other ASX shares.

    ASX earnings season winners

    Lockdowns have accelerated the shift to online shopping, working, and living. This has resulted in booming sales for the likes of Kogan.com Ltd (ASX: KGN) and Temple & Webster Group Ltd (ASX: TPW).

    Life in a COVID-19 world has also accelerated customer adoption of buy now pay later solutions like those operated by Afterpay Ltd (ASX: APT) and Zip Co Ltd (ASX: Z1P).

    5 stocks under $5

    We hear it over and over from investors, “I wish I had bought Altium or Afterpay when they were first recommended by The Motley Fool. I’d be sitting on a gold mine!” And it’s true.

    And while Altium and Afterpay have had a good run, we think these 5 other stocks are screaming buys. And you can buy them now for less than $5 a share!

    *Extreme Opportunities returns as of June 5th 2020

    More reading

    Kate O’Brien has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of Kogan.com ltd, Temple & Webster Group Ltd, and ZIPCOLTD FPO. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Webjet Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of AFTERPAY T FPO. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Flight Centre Travel Group Limited, Kogan.com ltd, and Temple & Webster Group Ltd. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • My top retail ASX 200 share to gift right now

    miniature shopping trolley containing gifts

    It may no longer be Christmas in July, but if you need to buy a gift for a loved one, why not buy them some S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) shares. It’s a gift that can pique interest in investing for beginners or be highly valued by the investment nerd in your life. 

    With the ASX 200 still down around 17% since 20 February, now could be the perfect time to gift this top retail ASX 200 share to your friends or family members. 

    Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES) – The retail conglomerate

    Wesfarmers may have multiple subsidiaries in diverse sectors such as industrials and chemicals, but for the most part, the business is driven by a host of top retails brands like Bunnings, Officeworks and Kmart.

    The Wesfarmers share price has beaten the market since the February highs, sitting nearly flat at $46.20 at the time of writing. I think that the Wesfarmers share price can continue to be a market beater over the long term due to management’s strong track record of efficient capital allocation.

    Capital allocation is key

    As a conglomerate, Wesfarmers buys, holds and sells businesses based on its own, in-house investment analysis. Given the current climate, the most notable example of a recent Wesfarmers acquisition is catch.com.au. Although no-one could have foreseen COVID-19 and the acceleration of eCommerce, Wesfarmers identified a growing trend and moved into the online-only retail market. I think this is a smart hedge against the company’s current bricks-and-mortar retail operations and also provides some synergies and cross-selling opportunities with its other brands.

    What to watch in full year earnings

    I also expect continued strength from the Bunnings group, when Wesfarmers releases its 2020 full year results on 20 August 2020. Bunnings has been a significant driver of both revenue and profit growth over a number of years. With lockdowns across the country, I expect the number of DIY projects to have risen, providing strong demand for Bunnings products.

    Wesfarmers share price valuation

    The Wesfarmers share price currently trades on a trailing price-to-earning (P/E) ratio of around 24 x earnings and a dividend yield of 3.3% or 4.7% grossed-up for franking credits.

    I think this is a fair price to pay for investors looking for a stable, long-term dividend payer. Over the last 20 years, Wesfarmers has produced an annualised total return of 10.7% per annum.

    Foolish bottom line

    With so much bad news in the world, and social restrictions back in place in some states, share some cheer with your friends and family by buying them this quality retail ASX 200 share.

    Where to invest $1,000 right now

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    Scott just revealed what he believes are the five best ASX stocks for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they are great buys right now.

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    Motley Fool contributor Lloyd Prout has no position in any of the stocks mentioned and expresses his own opinion. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of Wesfarmers Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

    The post My top retail ASX 200 share to gift right now appeared first on Motley Fool Australia.

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  • Why Alliance Aviation, Cochlear, Kogan, & Netwealth shares are storming higher

    asx growth shares

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has bounced back from a sizeable morning decline and is pushing slightly higher this afternoon. At the time of writing the benchmark index is up 0.1% to 5,934.6 points.

    Four shares that are climbing more than most today are listed below. Here’s why they are storming higher:

    The Alliance Aviation Services Ltd (ASX: AQZ) share price has jumped 7% to $3.34. This morning the airline operator announced an agreement with Azorra Aviation to expand its fleet. This will see the company purchase 14 Embraer E190 aircraft, including a significant package of related inventory, ground support equipment, tooling, and training devices. Management commented: “This acquisition is more than opportunistic, it underpins our expected growth.”

    The Cochlear Limited (ASX: COH) share price has stormed 5% higher to $199.58. Investors have been buying the hearing solutions company’s shares despite there being no news out of it today. However, with its shares down 21% from their 52-week high, some investors may believe they are in the bargain bin.

    The Kogan.com Ltd (ASX: KGN) share price is up 8.5% to $18.09. This ecommerce company’s shares have been in demand with investors on Monday after the Victorian state government announced a six-week lockdown. With non-essential retail stores to close across the state, more and more spending looks set to shift online. This bodes well for ecommerce companies like Kogan.

    The Netwealth Group Ltd (ASX: NWL) share price has risen 5% to $12.61. The investment platform provider’s shares have been in fine form of late thanks to a strong fourth quarter update. So much so, Netwealth was the best performer on the ASX 200 in July. At the end of the fourth quarter, its funds under administration (FUA) had climbed to a sizeable $31.5 billion. This means the company grew its FUA by $8.2 billion or 35% during the financial year.

    5 stocks under $5

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    And while Altium and Afterpay have had a good run, we think these 5 other stocks are screaming buys. And you can buy them now for less than $5 a share!

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    James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of Cochlear Ltd. and Kogan.com ltd. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of Netwealth. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Cochlear Ltd. and Kogan.com ltd. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

    The post Why Alliance Aviation, Cochlear, Kogan, & Netwealth shares are storming higher appeared first on Motley Fool Australia.

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