Tag: Motley Fool Australia

  • Buy NAB and this ASX dividend share for income

    NAB bank share price

    If you are looking to add some dividend shares into your portfolio, then you might want to consider the two listed below.

    Both of these ASX dividend shares offer generous yields which smash the interest rates currently being offered on savings accounts and term deposits. Here’s why I like them:

    Dicker Data Ltd (ASX: DDR)

    The first dividend share I would buy is this wholesale distributor of computer hardware and software. Dicker Data has consistently grown its dividend at a solid rate over the last few years and this trend will continue in FY 2020. During the first half, Dicker Data continued to experience strong demand for its offering. So much so, its half year revenue broke through the $1 billion level for the first time. As a result of this, the company advised that it plans to increase its dividend by 31% to 35.5 cents per share this year. Based on the current Dicker Data share price, this represents an attractive fully franked 4.7% dividend yield.

    National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB)

    If you don’t have exposure to the banking sector, then I think NAB could be worth considering. The banking sector has come under significant pressure this year due to the impact of the pandemic and the spike in bad debts that this is likely to cause. While a decline in the NAB share price was appropriate, I think the selling has been overdone and has left the banking giant’s shares trading at a very attractive level. Especially for income investors on the lookout for a source of income. Based on the latest NAB share price, I estimate that the bank’s shares currently offer investors a generous fully franked ~5% FY 2021 dividend yield. This is significantly better than the interest rates you’ll get on its savings accounts and term deposits.

    Where to invest $1,000 right now

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for more than eight years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes are the five best ASX stocks for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they are great buys right now.

    *Returns as of June 30th

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Dicker Data Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Up 38% in July! Is the Orocobre share price a buy?

    Cut outs of cogs and machinery with chemical symbol for lithium

    ASX lithium shares. It’s been some time since the Orocobre Limited (ASX: ORE) share price was all the hype, even as far back as 2018.

    What’s been happening to ASX lithium shares?

    The March bear market hit ASX lithium shares like Orocobre particularly hard. However, their share price recovery has lagged that of the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO).

    The Orocobre share price hit a new, 52-week low of $1.82 per share on 14 May. Meanwhile, the Galaxy Resources Limited (ASX: GXY) share price hit a 52-week low back in mid-March.

    For starters, global lithium prices have been volatile and trending lower for years.

    That price decline has been both supply and demand-driven. A Fastmarkets report back in February laid out some of the challenges and opportunities on both sides.

    On the one hand, there is a significant oversupply in the market right now. Demand has lagged supply for some time now with an expected uptick in electric vehicle production failing to materialise.

    That has seen the Orocobre share price slide 55.9% lower since January 2018.

    Falling demand for imported battery raw materials into China has also challenged commodity and share prices.

    Over time, the hype around ASX lithium shares has died down. While some investors are still bullish, I think many are starting to lose faith in the long-term growth story.

    Is the Orocobre share price worth buying at $3.19?

    According to Geoscience Australia, Australia controls 18% of the world’s known lithium supply. That means Orocobre and Galaxy are well-placed to capitalise if the market booms.

    I really think buying ASX lithium shares right now is pretty speculative.

    Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS) expects the lithium market to triple in the next five years. Once again, it’s electric vehicles that are expected to be the main catalyst.

    That would be good news for the Orocobre share price given the company’s status as a major lithium producer. However, it could also be a case of the Boy Who Cried Wolf as investors turn their backs on the potential upside.

    I think I’d personally like to see Orocobre’s August full-year result before buying. I have no doubt that there will be potential winners among ASX lithium shares in the future.

    The real trouble is picking a long-term winner and I wouldn’t bet on the Orocobre share price at $3.19.

    Foolish takeaway

    As you can see, picking winning ASX lithium shares is a challenging business. The Orocobre share price surged 3.2% higher yesterday but I think it’ll remain volatile rather than climbing higher in 2020.

    5 stocks under $5

    We hear it over and over from investors, “I wish I had bought Altium or Afterpay when they were first recommended by The Motley Fool. I’d be sitting on a gold mine!” And it’s true.

    And while Altium and Afterpay have had a good run, we think these 5 other stocks are screaming buys. And you can buy them now for less than $5 a share!

    *Extreme Opportunities returns as of June 5th 2020

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    Motley Fool contributor Ken Hall has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Tabcorp share price up 5% as CEO and chair succession plan announced

    sports fan betting on mobile phone, pointsbet share price

    The Tabcorp Holdings Limited (ASX: TAH) share price shot up by 4.93% on Thursday to $3.62 as the company announced a succession plan for replacement of its CEO and managing director, in addition to its chair.

    What was in the announcement?

    Tabcorp announced that it had selected existing non executive director Steven Gregg to succeed its current chair, Paula Dwyer. The transition will take place on 31 December 2020.

    The company also announced that its CEO and managing director David Attenborough would retire in the first half of the 2021 calendar year. Tabcorp stated that a global search was underway to find a replacement. 

    In the announcement, Tabcorp’s current chair Paula Dwyer said:

    With the integration of Tatts nearing completion, the time is now right for a new Chairman to lead the Tabcorp Board into the future. The appointment of Steven Gregg will provide continuity of leadership and an orderly transition as the company identifies and transitions to a new Managing Director and CEO.

    Steven’s contribution to the Tabcorp board has been significant, and his track record in stewarding complex companies navigating change, including CEO transitions, positions him well for success as the next Chairman of Tabcorp.

    The company’s current CEO and managing director David Attenborough also commented on the succession plan, stating: 

    The combination with Tatts is now largely complete and, as such, now is the right time to start the process to appoint the new CEO who can work with the board and management team to take the company forward. Until then, I am totally committed to steering Tabcorp through the COVID-19 pandemic and ensuring that our businesses are best positioned for the future.

    About the Tabcorp share price

    Tabcorp is a gambling entertainment company providing lottery products, wagering, Keno and gaming products. The company operates a number of household name services including Keno, TAB, The Lott, George, Max, TGS, eBet and Sky Racing. Tabcorp is Australia’s leading gambling provider with more than 5,000 employees.

    In June, Tabcorp announced that its bank lenders had agreed to waive covenants on leverage and interest cover as the company works through the impact of the coronavirus pandemic. The company had liquidity $820 million available in cash and undrawn facilities in May. It resolved not to pay a final dividend for the 2020 financial year as part of the agreement with its lenders.

    In the second half of 2019, Tabcorp earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation of $596.5 million, and revenue was up by 4.4% to $2,913.9 million.

    The Tabcorp share price is up 73.2% from its 52-week low of $2.09, but is still down 20.61% since the beginning of the year. The Tabcorp share price has fallen 26.80% since this time last year.

    Where to invest $1,000 right now

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for more than eight years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes are the five best ASX stocks for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they are great buys right now.

    *Returns as of June 30th

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    Motley Fool contributor Chris Chitty has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

    The post Tabcorp share price up 5% as CEO and chair succession plan announced appeared first on Motley Fool Australia.

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  • Why the Polynovo share price could climb in August

    Rocket launching into space

    The Polynovo Ltd (ASX: PNV) share price could be set to push higher in 2020.

    Here’s why I see some tailwinds behind the Aussie biotech ahead of its August earnings result.

    How has the Polynovo share price performed recently?

    The Polynovo share price jumped 0.45% higher yesterday and is now up 21.0% in 2020. That’s a strong result given the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is down 8.9% over the same period.

    However, that performance pales in comparison to Polynovo’s 5-year track record. Shares in the Aussie biotech are up 1,945.5% in the last 5 years despite being down 31.4% from their all-time high.

    It’s been a bullish run in recent years but investors want to know what sort of growth they can expect in the future.

    What’s been driving these share price moves?

    July has been a busy month for Polynovo announcements despite the company’s share price falling 14.1% lower.

    Polynovo received formal feedback from the United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) on its Pivotal trial protocol. The Pivotal trial program is assessing the use of NovoSorb BTM in the treatment of full thickness burns.

    The FDA has requested further information from the company which Polynovo Managing Director, Paul Brennan, described as ‘positive’.

    Polynovo also received US$15 million in funding from the Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority (BARDA) to support the Pivotal trial program.

    The company provided a trading update on 10 July which contained some more positive signs for shareholders. This was highlighted by June 2020 being a new record US sales month for the Aussie biotech company.

    Sales for the June quarter climbed 33% compared to the March quarter with FY20 product sales ‘likely to at least double FY19’. It’s yet another strong milestone that has supported the recent Polynovo share price growth.

    There was also a solid breakthrough in the United Kingdom as the company announced its first sale. Positively, there have also been ‘numerous applications’ of the NovoSorb BTM product across Germany, Austria and Switzerland.

    What am I expecting from the August result?

    I’m quietly confident about Polynovo’s August full-year results.

    The strong sales trajectory has been maintained by the company for quite some time now.

    Polynovo continues to explore new and innovative applications of NovoSorb BTM. That says to me that there is plenty of potential growth left in the Polynovo share price in 2020.

    All in all, I think we’ll see some strong earnings numbers next month. That could propel the company’s value even higher and fuel further outperformance.

    Where to invest $1,000 right now

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for more than eight years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes are the five best ASX stocks for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they are great buys right now.

    *Returns as of June 30th

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    Ken Hall has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of POLYNOVO FPO. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • How are 2019’s tech IPOs performing?

    Dice spelling IPO sitting on piles of gold coins

    The coronavirus pandemic has created a drought in the initial public offering (IPO) market with new listings falling 84% in the first half. According to the Australian Financial Review, there were only 12 IPOs in the first half of 2020 which together raised $132 million. In the first half of 2019 there were 34 IPOs which raised $823 million. In the first half of 2018, $2.5 billion was raised across 40 new listings. 

    The current environment is not IPO-friendly, with market volatility and uncertainty discouraging listings. This seems unlikely to improve while the pandemic remains out of control. Although there are a number of upcoming ASX IPOs slated, these are understood to be very small capitalisation companies. With the dearth of new IPOs, we took the opportunity to have a look at how some last year’s tech IPOs are performing. 

    2019 ASX tech IPOs

    Tyro Payments Ltd (ASX: TYR)

    Tyro Payments listed on the ASX in December 2019 at an issue price of $2.75 per share. The share price is now up 37% to $3.76, although shares took a dunking in March with the share price falling to 97 cents. The company is a fintech specialising in merchant credit, debit, and EFTPOS acquiring. It provides payment solutions and business banking products, and is Australia’s fifth largest merchant acquiring bank by number of terminals in the market. 

    Tyro saw a serious dip in transaction values in April and May, when trading of many of its customers was restricted. With cafes, restaurants, and pubs closed or providing takeaway only, lower volumes were transacted using Tyro’s systems. Transaction volumes, which had grown 30% year-on-year to $1.785 billion in February, stalled in March at $1.6 billion, before falling sharply in April, down 38% year-on-year to $0.911 billion. 

    Volumes were down 18% year on year in May at $1.285 billion. Some recovery was seen in June however, with volumes up 7% year-on-year at $1.656 billion. More than 32,000 merchants were using Tyro in the first half of FY20, with the company processing more than $11.1 billion in transaction value. Over the full year, Tyro processed $20.131 billion, up 15% from FY19’s $17.497 billion. 

    Tyro withdrew its prospectus forecast in March at the start of the coronavirus pandemic. In 1H FY20 the company reported EBITDA of $1.5 million and a loss of $3 million. The setback to transaction volumes occurring as a result of the coronavirus crisis will make Tyro’s path to profitability rockier. Nonetheless, Tyro has close to 50,000 terminals in the field which means it is well placed to benefit from economic recovery. 

    Openpay Group Ltd (ASX: OPY)

    Openpay listed on the ASX in December last year at an offer price of $1.60. The share price is now up 181% to $4.05, although it fell as low as 32 cents in March. Openpay is a buy now, pay later (BNPL) provider like Afterpay Ltd (ASX: APT). Unlike Afterpay, however, Openpay targets a comparably older customer base with higher transaction values. 

    Openpay saw record growth in 4Q FY20 with active plans up 229% compared to the prior corresponding period. Customers grew 141% to 319,000. The company reported a strong surge in demand as customers sought better ways to structure their purchases. Business in the United Kingdom more than doubled as a result of promotions and the onboarding of major retailer JD Sports. 

    Total transaction value grew to a record $192.8 million for the full year, up 98.2% compared to FY19. Openpay reported revenue of $18 million for FY20 up 64% from the prior corresponding period. The BNPL provider has benefitted from the shift to digital commerce prompted by the pandemic. Online accounted for 39% of loan originations in 4Q FY20 versus 14% in 4Q FY19. 

    Amidst lockdowns and forced closures, Openpay managed to increase active merchants in the fourth quarter. Merchant numbers increased 52% from 4Q FY19 to 2,162 at the end of the quarter. The were additions across all industry verticals, particularly automotive and healthcare, where Openpay is typically the only BNPL provider. Openpay also recently soft launched into the education and memberships verticals which has seen a promising start. 

    Whispir Ltd (ASX: WSP)

    Whispir listed on the ASX in June last year at $1.60 per share. A little over a year later those shares have climbed 196% with Whispir trading at $4.74. Whispir provides a software-as-a-service (SaaS) communications workflow platform that automates interactions between businesses and people. The system is used by Victoria’s Department of Health and Human Services (DHHS) to interact with residents about coronavirus. 

    The Whispir platform is also used by Qantas Airways Limited (ASX: QAN) to manage critical incidents, and by Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLS) to communicate rapidly with customers and staff. New Zealand police use the platform to communicate with the hearing impaired community. Growing demand by new and existing customers for communications software and stakeholder engagement during the pandemic supported Whisper’s strong performance in the fourth quarter. 

    Whispir reported annualised recurring revenue of $42.2 million in 4Q FY20. This was a 4.2% increase on the March quarter and a 35.7% increase on the prior corresponding period. Growth was driven by ANZ and Asia with Whispir delivering a record 72 net new customers. Increased platform utilisation by existing customers also contributed to quarterly customer receipts of $11.3 million, up 27% on the prior quarter and 36.5% on the prior corresponding year. 

    Whispir reports it is on track to deliver all key FY20 prospectus forecasts. New customer growth is being driven by Whisper’s easy integration with existing IT platforms and ready to use templates which ensure compliance with COVID-19 regulations. CEO Jeromy Wells said, “during the pandemic, the capability of the Whispir platform has really come into its own – each customer has their own challenge, but our platform has the ability to provide the solution easily and quickly.” 

    Foolish takeaway

    While coronavirus may have evaporated the IPO market for now, a number of last year’s IPOs are outperforming despite the economic downturn. These technology companies are reporting encouraging growth in key financial metrics and stand to benefit from the shift to digital prompted by the pandemic. 

    5 stocks under $5

    We hear it over and over from investors, “I wish I had bought Altium or Afterpay when they were first recommended by The Motley Fool. I’d be sitting on a gold mine!” And it’s true.

    And while Altium and Afterpay have had a good run, we think these 5 other stocks are screaming buys. And you can buy them now for less than $5 a share!

    *Extreme Opportunities returns as of June 5th 2020

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    Kate O’Brien has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and recommends Whispir Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of Tyro Payments. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Telstra Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Whispir Ltd. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • 5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Friday

    Broker trading shares relaxing looking at screen

    On Thursday the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) returned to form and pushed higher again. The benchmark index climbed 0.3% to 6,094.5 points.

    Will the market be able to build on this on Friday and finish on a high? Here are five things to watch:

    ASX 200 set to fall.

    It looks set to be a disappointing finish to the week for the ASX 200. According to the latest SPI futures, the benchmark index is expected to open the day 55 points or 0.9% lower this morning. This follows a poor night of trade on Wall Street which saw the Dow Jones fall 1.3%, the S&P 500 drop 1.2%, and the Nasdaq tumble 2.3% lower.

    Tech shares could tumble.

    It could be a difficult day of trade for tech shares such as Altium Limited (ASX: ALU) and Appen Ltd (ASX: APX). Australia’s leading tech shares have a tendency to follow the lead of their U.S. counterparts. And given how the tech-focused Nasdaq index tumbled notably lower last night, this doesn’t bode well for them this morning. The likes of Microsoft and Apple both dropped over 4%.

    Oil prices drop.

    Energy producers such as Oil Search Limited (ASX: OSH) and Woodside Petroleum Limited (ASX: WPL) could come under pressure today after oil prices dropped lower. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price is down 2.1% to US$41.03 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price is down 2.3% to US$43.26 a barrel. Traders were selling oil amid concerns that further spikes in coronavirus cases could hurt demand.

    Gold price closes in on US$1,900 an ounce.

    Gold miners including Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN) and Newcrest Mining Limited (ASX: NCM) could be on the rise again today after the gold price surged higher on the back of stimulus hopes. Overnight the price of the precious metal closed in on the US$1,900 an ounce milestone. According to CNBC, the spot gold price is up 0.95% to US$1,882.90 an ounce.

    CSL shares rated as a buy.

    The recent weakness in the CSL Limited (ASX: CSL) share price could be a buying opportunity according to Goldman Sachs. This morning the broker retained its buy rating and $326.00 price target on the biotherapeutics company’s shares. After doing a deep-dive on plasma collections, it doesn’t believe there is anything to worry about. Investors have been concerned that the pandemic could impact collections and this could weigh heavily on the future production of some key therapies.

    Where to invest $1,000 right now

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for more than eight years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes are the five best ASX stocks for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they are great buys right now.

    *Returns as of June 30th

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    James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and recommends Altium. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of CSL Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of Appen Ltd. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Early super release scheme set to be extended

    hand holding hammer smashing open empty piggy bank

    One of the federal government’s more controversial moves in tackling the coronavirus pandemic and the damage it is wreaking on our economy has been to allow early access to superannuation.

    For those who qualify, the government allowed withdrawal of up to $10,000 from superannuation accounts in the 2020 financial year. Up to another $10,000 is available in FY21. As FY20 ended on 30 June, eligibility for the first tranche of the scheme has now ended.

    Eligibility for withdrawals under the second tranche was due to expire on 31 October 2020. But according to reporting in the Australian Financial Review (AFR), today the government has announced that this deadline will be extended by 3 months to 31 December 2020.

    The $10,000 cap will remain, which means that if anyone has already withdrawn up to $10,000 in FY21, no further withdrawals are permitted.

    The AFR quotes a spokesperson from the Treasury, who stated:

    The government is extending the application period for the measure… to increase the scope for individuals who may still be financially impacted by coronavirus to access early release in the coming months. While superannuation helps people save for retirement, the government recognises that for those significantly financially affected by the coronavirus, accessing some of their superannuation today may outweigh the benefits of maintaining those savings until retirement.

    Should you withdraw your superannuation early?

    I’ve been on the record before on this issue, and my views have not changed. I do accept that withdrawing funds from superannuation might be necessary for those who may have been severely affected financially from this crisis. Unemployment is at record highs. This might be the only viable pathway left for some individuals or families to avoid acute hardship, despite the other avenues of assistance the government is providing in response.

    However, I maintain that withdrawing cash from a superannuation fund should be the absolute last resort for anyone. Super is designed to provide all Australians with a safety net in retirement. Under the super system, your regular contributions are typically invested in growth assets like ASX shares.

    Harnessing the miracle of compound interest, this should result in a sizeable nest egg for most workers over a working lifetime. This system is not perfect, but it does work reasonably well in my view. Especially if you consider the generous tax implications of using super.

    However, compound interest works best when you simply leave it to ‘do its thing’. By withdrawing a sizeable chunk of cash from your super fund, you are kneecapping this process. This could result in losing multiples of the withdrawn amount had you left it alone.

    The AFR quotes modelling that warns, “a 30-year-old worker would be $97,214 worse off in retirement if they took out the full $20,000 permitted across the two financial years.”

    I have heard many unsubstantiated reports of people withdrawing super for what could be deemed frivolous means, such as buying a new car, new furniture or even gambling it. Is another $100,000 for your retirement really worth doing something like that?

    Foolish takeaway

    I pass no judgement on anyone who takes advantage of the early super scheme to save themselves or their family from financial hardship. However, this announcement from the government does concern me. I do think there are significant cases where individuals are withdrawing their super money unnecessarily.

    So if you’re considering taking the government up on its offer – think twice. Leaving your super alone might just be the best investment decision you ever make.

    Where to invest $1,000 right now

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for more than eight years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes are the five best ASX stocks for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they are great buys right now.

    *Returns as of June 30th

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Where I’d invest $9,000 in ASX shares

    australian flag superimposed over share market chart

    ASX share prices change every day. Share prices can move a lot over a week or a month. 

    We have to decide if the price being presented is good value or not. We can decide to buy shares at the price the market is offering. Perhaps we may take the price the market is willing to buy our shares for. Or we can just do nothing.

    I don’t think there are many shares that are trading at great value at the moment due to uncertainty caused by COVID-19 (and the related impacts) as well as the strength of the share market’s recovery since March 2020.

    But there are still some ASX shares I’d be happy to buy for my portfolio today:

    Bubs Australia Ltd (ASX: BUB) – $3,500

    Bubs is a business which is still fairly early on in its growth journey. It’s an infant formula business with a specialisation in goat milk products.

    With a smaller business I think it’s important to think about the long-term. Don’t think about how much an ASX share may grow in six months. Think about where the business will be in three years or five years from now.

    Bubs is doing an excellent job of growing its international revenue. In the quarter ending 31 March 2020 it more than doubled its Chinese revenue. Its ‘other markets’ revenue increased by about 20 times in that same quarter. I think the company has great global growth potential. There is a huge addressable market in Asia alone.

    The Bubs share price looks good value to me. Due to the essential nature of the business’ products, I think Bubs has defensive revenue with a great growth trajectory.

    WCM Global Growth Ltd (ASX: WQG) – $2,500

    This is a listed investment company (LIC) that targets global businesses. It looks for international businesses that have an expanding economic moat. One of the main factors that WCM looks for is a rising return on invested capital. It also looks for businesses with a corporate culture that supports that goal of an improving economic moat.

    Some of the ASX share’s current largest positions include Shopify, Tencent, Visa and MercadoLibre. These businesses are leaders in their respective markets.

    The LIC’s returns have been strong over the past three years, yet the WCM Global Growth share price is still trading at a double digit discount to the pre-tax to the latest net tangible asset (NTA) disclosed in the weekly update.

    City Chic Collective Ltd (ASX: CCX) – $1,000

    City Chic is one of the most promising ASX retail shares in my opinion. The ASX share is a fashion leader in Australia for plus-size clothing for women.

    City Chic was growing nicely before COVID-19 came along. Whilst store closures were tough, the company saw online sales growth of 57% during the shut store period. That’s impressive considering the company said two thirds of global sales are online.

    I’m excited by City Chic’s aim of becoming a world leader in plus size women’s clothing. It’s making smart acquisitions to try to make this happen.

    At 21x FY22’s estimated earnings I think the City Chic share price looks like a good long-term buy.

    Vitalharvest Freehold Trust (ASX: VTH) – $2,000

    There is a lot of uncertainty in the share market and economy at the moment. A cheap agricultural real estate investment trust (REIT) could be a good way to play this situation.

    Farming returns can be quite different to the overall share market. Vitalharvest owns some of the largest berry and citrus farms in Australia. Those farms are leased to Costa Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: CGC). Hopefully the next 12 months will be better for Costa’s earnings because Vitalharvest has a profit share agreement with the horticultural giant.

    I’m excited that Vitalharvest has a new manager which will be looking across the whole farming supply chain for investment opportunities. Things like food storage and food processing properties will be among the considerations for the ASX share’s portfolio.

    At the current Vitalharvest share price it’s trading at an approximate 20% discount to the net asset value (NAV) at 31 December 2019. I think that’s a big discount that can close up with better earnings and distributions from the REIT.

    Foolish takeaway

    I think each of these ASX shares could beat the market over the next three to five years. Vitalharvest looks great value and I believe Bubs has a very good growth journey ahead of it, assuming China doesn’t cause any problems with exports.

    Where to invest $1,000 right now

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for more than eight years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

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    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison owns shares of WCM Global Growth Limited. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended BUBS AUST FPO and COSTA GRP FPO. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Which ASX 200 shares are the safest?

    Safe Shares

    Which ASX shares are the safest on the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO)?

    Well, it’s a fraught question. What do we really mean by ‘safe’? For most investors, a ‘safe’ share is one that won’t lose its value under any market conditions. And on this front, it’s almost impossible to call any ASX share ‘safe’. See, the share market is a volatile place. In theory, it should always be pricing every asset according to its true and intrinsic market value. But the problem is that markets don’t put much store in theory. In reality, emotional investing (either fear or greed) is the predominant force in moving shares on a day to day basis. Legendary investor Benjamin Graham once said that the stock market is a ‘voting machine in the short-term, and a weighing machine in the long-term’, or words to that effect.

    So it’s almost impossible to find a share that never loses its value at any point in time. A cash-based exchange-traded fund like the iShares Core Cash ETF (ASX: BILL) is probably your best bet. But that’s not too different to just having your money in a bank account anyway.

    So what’s your next best option? A seasoned investor might point you to ASX blue chip shares like Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) or Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES). Or even the ASX banks, because they’re ‘safe as banks’ right? Well, try telling that to anyone who was a shareholder in Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC), which saw its value crater by more than 50% between September 2019 and March 2020.

    ASX blue chips are no safer than any other ASX 200 share in a market crash. What really matters is the durability of a business’ cash flow. If a company has a robust and resilient revenue base, it’s more likely (but not certain) to hold its market value over time.

    What about inflation-safe ASX shares?

    But perhaps market volatility is not the only thing that troubles some investors. The more pessimistic market participants amongst us have another fear: inflation. With governments around the world spending an unprecedented amount of cash to combat the coronavirus crisis, there are sections of the investing community that believe this will eventually lead to massive inflation – the loss of a currency’s purchasing power through increased supply.

    Figuring out which ASX shares are best placed to survive a world of high inflation depends on a few factors. Firstly, does the company have sufficient pricing power to be able to increase its revenues at least in line with the rate of inflation? Those companies that dominate their markets usually have the most power in this regard and are more equipped to deal with a high-inflation world. Think Apple with its iPhones, or the A2 Milk Company Ltd (ASX: A2M) with its premium dairy products.

    Secondly, does the company have real, tangible assets it can use to support its cash flow? Transurban Group (ASX: TCL) for example, owns and operates a series of toll roads. No matter what is happening with inflation, Transurban is always going to have a portfolio of assets that consumers want (or even need) to use. This gives Transurban a massive advantage in a world of high inflation. It’s a similar story with Sydney Airport Holdings Pty Ltd (ASX: SYD) or AGL Energy Limited (ASX: AGL). If you’re worried about future inflation, these kinds of companies are a good place to start looking for a ‘safer’ investment, in my view.

    Foolish takeaway

    There’s really no such thing as a ‘safe’ share or investment on the share market. If you have specific worries around inflation or any other kind of economic calamity, there are steps you can take to position your ASX portfolio accordingly. But investing in shares is never going to be a game of gains with no risk of losses. If you really can’t deal with the fact your portfolio’s value will fluctuate, then I would recommend periodically investing in exchange-traded funds (ETFs) without ever looking at your portfolio’s value. The only other option is leaving your cash in the bank, I’m afraid.

    Where to invest $1,000 right now

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for more than eight years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes are the five best ASX stocks for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they are great buys right now.

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    Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of A2 Milk, Transurban Group, Wesfarmers Limited, and Woolworths Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Why this fund manager is preparing for a massive market crash

    Bear and bull colliding over man holding an umbrella, asx 200 bull market

    Is another massive market crash coming?

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) had another positive day, closing the day up 0.32% to 6,094 points. Since bottoming out on 23 March at 4,546 points, the ASX 200 is now up by 34%. It’s an incredible bull run, considering March brought us one of the sharpest and most severe bear markets in living memory. Despite its recent performance, the ASX 200 is still 9% below the level it was at the start of the year.

    But one fund manager is betting that what he has labelled the markets’ “free pass” when it comes to the impact of the coronavirus pandemic won’t last forever.

    An ultra-bearish fund manager

    According to reporting in the Australian Financial Review (AFR), Rob Almeida, portfolio manager and strategist at MFS Investment Management, is calling time on the recent bull run in global markets. In fact, he sees another market crash on the horizon.

    MFS is based in the US state of Massachusetts and has been around for around 90 years. Mr Almeida has one cardinal rule for his fund: “All that matters to investing is that you’re paying for future cash flows”.

    And right now, he doesn’t see a positive outlook for cash flows at all. He’s also “having none” of the recent rally in global markets. In fact, according to the AFR, he has positioned his long/short strategy as “bearishly as possible”. The fund is sitting “in maximum cash and just 10 per cent exposure to equity (shares)”. The AFR quotes Almeida as stating the following:

    One in three companies in Russell 10000 was unprofitable before the crisis. I can’t imagine that’s improved…I’ve got to believe we reach a point – I don’t know when – when investors stop giving companies and the economy a free pass on horrendous data… the quality of balance sheets, particularly in America, is the worst it’s been in over 100 years. There’s just no getting around that.

    Almeida acknowledges the reckoning he’s been expecting for some months may not be entirely imminent. But with the level of conviction Almeida is placing within his fund on a dramatic reversal of market fortunes, I’m sure his investors are hoping he’s right.

    Should ASX investors sell everything today?

    I’m not prepared to follow Mr Almeida’s lead and liquidate 90% of my portfolio. However, I do think this gentleman has some good points, particularly surrounding cash flow. I like to invest in companies that are either producing healthy levels of recession-resistant cash flow today, or look to be able to in the foreseeable future.

    The next year or 2 will be critical for many companies on the ASX. Some will be fine, but others will struggle and could even go under. And I do think it’s entirely possible we’ll see another market crash. We are by no means out of the woods yet with regards to the coronavirus. And there will be a point where the government can no longer afford to prop up the economy with record deficit spending.

    So I’m not selling the farm just yet. But I am looking at my portfolio and seeing which businesses will be best placed to generate cash flow into the future, regardless of what happens within the economy.

    Where to invest $1,000 right now

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for more than eight years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes are the five best ASX stocks for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they are great buys right now.

    *Returns as of June 30th

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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