Tag: Motley Fool

  • Here’s why the Qantas share price is taking off today

    plane flying across share markey graph, asx 200 travel shares, qantas share price

    plane flying across share markey graph, asx 200 travel shares, qantas share price

    The Qantas Airways Limited (ASX: QAN) share price is lifting off today.

    Qantas shares closed yesterday trading for $4.24 and are currently trading for $4.42, up 4.1% at the lunch hour.

    Meanwhile, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has dipped back into the red, down 0.1%.

    So, why is the Qantas share price outperforming?

    Vaccine mandates and crude prices

    The flying kangaroo looks to be getting a boost on two fronts.

    First, the Qantas share price has faced some headwinds in recent months as crude oil prices topped US$120 per barrel. That’s seen the costs of jet fuel – one of the biggest costs airlines incur – soaring.

    But crude oil has been retracing amid speculations of a pending global economic slowdown driven by new potential COVID lockdowns in China and a recession fear in the United States. Brent crude fell again overnight and is currently trading for US$99.06 per barrel, down from US$122.27 just one month ago.

    Also potentially lifting the Qantas share price today is news that the airline will scrap its COVID-19 vaccine requirements for international travellers commencing next week.

    According to the internal note it sent to staff (courtesy of The Australian Financial Review):

    From Tuesday 19 July 2022 we will no longer require passengers on international flights operated by the Qantas Group to be fully vaccinated with a COVID-19 vaccine.

    This change follows consultation with WHS [Work Health and Safety] representatives across the group. It is also in line with the Federal Government’s announcement that international visitors are no longer required to be fully vaccinated against COVID-19.

    The Federal Government removed the requirement for international travellers to be vaccinated last week, based on advice from the country’s chief medical officer.

    Qantas share price snapshot

    Today’s boost trims the Qantas share price losses for 2022 to 14%, slightly underperforming the 13% year-to-date loss posted by the ASX 200.

    The post Here’s why the Qantas share price is taking off today appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Inflation pressures and bear market opportunities

    According to The Motley Fool’s Chief Investment Officer Scott Phillips, how investors handle their investments right now could have a massive impact on their wealth in years to come.
    While many investors will turn to real estate, gold and other commodities in times of inflation, Scott is quick to point out another way…
    Get the details now…

    Learn More
    *Returns as of July 1 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

    Red buy button on an apple keyboard with a finger on it representing asx tech shares to buy today

    Red buy button on an apple keyboard with a finger on it representing asx tech shares to buy today

    Many of Australia’s top brokers have been busy adjusting their financial models again, leading to the release of a large number of broker notes this week.

    Three ASX shares brokers have named as buys this week are listed below. Here’s why they are bullish on them:

    Baby Bunting Group Ltd (ASX: BBN)

    According to a note out of Morgans, its analysts have retained their add rating but cut their price target on this baby products retailer’s shares to $5.00. While the broker has reduced its estimates slightly to reflect tough trading conditions due to rising living costs, it remains positive on Baby Bunting. This is due largely to the defensive nature of baby goods and potential market share gains. The Baby Bunting share price is trading at $4.41 on Wednesday.

    CSL Limited (ASX: CSL)

    A note out of Morgan Stanley reveals that its analysts have retained their overweight rating and $312.00 price target on this biotherapeutics company’s shares. Morgan Stanley has echoed recent comments from other brokers regarding plasma collection levels returning to pre-COVID levels again. Its analysts believe this bodes well for CSL’s outlook. The CSL share price is fetching $292.49 on Wednesday afternoon.

    IDP Education Ltd (ASX: IEL)

    Analysts at Goldman Sachs have retained their buy rating and $35.50 price target on this language testing and student placement company’s shares. This follows the release of data which shows that student visa levels are now at almost 75% of pre-COVID levels in Australia. Goldman expects this to continue and reach 100% in FY 2023. All in all, the broker sees IDP as a structural growth story as international student markets open up. The IDP share price is trading at $24.84 today.

    The post Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of July 7 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended CSL Ltd. and Idp Education Pty Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Baby Bunting. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Why are Beach, Santos and Woodside share prices tumbling today?

    sad looking petroleum worker standing next to oil drillsad looking petroleum worker standing next to oil drill

    Energy producers Santos Ltd (ASX: STO), Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT) and Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS)

    The Beach Energy share price is sliding 1.33% today, while the Woodside share price is descending 1.71%. Meanwhile, Santos shares are down 1.22%.

    The Woodside share price fell 2.9% in earlier trade before recovering some of these losses. Santos shares also dropped 2.86% and Beach fell 3.56% before pulling back.

    Let’s take a look at what is impacting these companies today.

    Oil prices fall

    Santos, Woodside and Beach Energy are all major oil producers. Oil prices plunged more than 7% overnight amid China COVID-19 restrictions, US inventory build up and the potential for more supply.

    Brent crude oil prices fell 7.1% to $99.49 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil plunged 7.9% to $95.84 a barrel on Tuesday in the US, the New York Times reported.

    Oil prices continued to fall in early trading in Asian markets on Wednesday. Reuters reported COVID-19 restrictions in China and US inventory build-up were contributing to this fall. Crude oil stocks jumped by 4.8 million barrels last week, the publication reported.

    In a research note this morning, ANZ economist Madeline Dunk explained “concerns about demand increased amid the prospects of an economic slowdown and growing COVID-19 cases in China.”

    Commenting on the tumbling crude oil price, she added:

    The pessimistic outlook for oil was compounded by the prospect of more supply.

    US President Joe Biden is scheduled to visit Saudi Arabia this week during a tour of the Middle East. He’s expected to ask the oil producer to increase production.

    Brent Crude oil prices are now recovering according to Bloomberg, up 0.17%. Meanwhile, WTI crude oil prices are still down 0.07%.

    Share price summary

    The Woodside share price has soared nearly 39% year to date, while Santos shares have jumped 9%. Beach Energy shares have leapt 32% so far this year.

    Woodside has a market capitalisation of nearly $57 billion, while Santos has a market cap of about $23 billion compared to $3.8 billion for Beach Energy.

    The post Why are Beach, Santos and Woodside share prices tumbling today? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Inflation pressures and bear market opportunities

    According to The Motley Fool’s Chief Investment Officer Scott Phillips, how investors handle their investments right now could have a massive impact on their wealth in years to come.
    While many investors will turn to real estate, gold and other commodities in times of inflation, Scott is quick to point out another way…
    Get the details now…

    Learn More
    *Returns as of July 1 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Monica O’Shea has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • ASX 200 midday update: ANZ confirms MYOB talks, energy shares fall

    A man is deep in thought while looking at graph and rising and falling percentages.

    A man is deep in thought while looking at graph and rising and falling percentages.

    At lunch on Wednesday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is on course to record a small decline. The benchmark index is currently down 0.15% to 6,595.5 points.

    Here’s what is happening on the ASX 200 today:

    Energy shares tumble

    The energy sector is in the red on Wednesday with Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT) and Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) shares posting declines after oil prices crashed overnight. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price was down 8% to US$95.64 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price sank 7.5% to US$99.10 a barrel. Demand concerns weighed heavily on oil prices.

    ANZ confirms MYOB talks

    The Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd (ASX: ANZ) share price is the worst performer among the big four on Wednesday. Investors appear to have responded negatively to confirmation that the bank is in talks to acquire accounting platform MYOB from KKR. No agreement has been reached and no details have been provided in respect to what the acquisition could cost.

    Tech shares rebound

    The tech sector is bouncing back after a terrible performance on Tuesday. The likes of Megaport Ltd (ASX: MP1) and Xero Limited (ASX: XRO) are recording decent gains at the time of writing. This is helping to drive the S&P ASX All Technology index 1% higher at lunch.

    Best and worst ASX 200 performers

    The best performer on the ASX 200 on Wednesday has been the Megaport share price with a 6% gain. Earlier this week Goldman Sachs reiterated its buy rating with a $9.00 price target on Megaport’s shares. Going the other way, the worst performer has been the Zip Co Ltd (ASX: ZIP) share price with a 4% decline. This morning UBS retained its sell rating and 45 cents price target on the company’s shares. It believes that significant uncertainty remains despite its merger termination.

    The post ASX 200 midday update: ANZ confirms MYOB talks, energy shares fall appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Three inflation fighting stocks no ones’ talking about

    Savvy Motley Fool investors may have already found three stock moves to help fight inflation.
    Three ASX stocks that could be hiding right under your nose.

    Learn More
    *Returns as of July 1 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended MEGAPORT FPO, Xero, and ZIPCOLTD FPO. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Xero. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended MEGAPORT FPO. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Betting against Netflix now could be a big mistake

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    A group of young people sit together watching a television very intently with wide-mouthed, awed expressions while one holds a large bowl of popcorn with a bottle of beer in the foreground.

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    It’s easy to hate Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) these days, and the disdain is gushing on Wall Street. A pair of analysts are talking down the near-term prospects of the leading premium streaming service on Tuesday. Is this really the right time to be pessimistic instead of opportunistic?

    Sure, Netflix isn’t at its best these days. The company has fallen short of its own subscriber guidance in three of the past five quarters. The stock is down 71% this year and off 75% since hitting all-time highs last November. We’ve seen layoffs, and its audience is shrinking through the first half of this year. It’s a problematic look all around and hard to get excited heading into next week’s earnings report after Netflix has served a few quarterly report duds lately. 

    Bear with me. There’s still time for a Hollywood ending.

    Climbing the Wall Street of worry 

    Two major Netflix analysts are putting out downbeat notes on Tuesday, specifically targeting next Tuesday’s quarterly update as a potential pressure point.

    Benjamin Swinburne at Morgan Stanley is slashing his price target from $300 to $220 ahead of the report. He feels that the Wall Street consensus for next week’s update — in terms of net subscriber additions and margins — isn’t factoring in the negative headwinds that are driving consumers away from spending on streaming video services. It’s a foregone conclusion that Netflix will shed a lot of subscribers in next week’s report, but Swinburne expects stubborn churn rates and the rising US dollar to hold back the former market darling’s chances to turn things around in the second half of this year. He’s sticking to his neutral equal-weight rating. 

    Nat Schindler at Bank of America is even less enthusiastic. He’s sticking to his underperform rating and his $196 price target, but his latest analyst note points out that leading data doesn’t bode well for the platform’s engagement levels. He sees a soft quarter for net subscribers.

    Netflix itself warned in April that it expects to post a sequential decline of 2 million streaming subscribers worldwide for the period. Like Swinburne, Schindler feels that some analyst targets are too high. He fears that guidance next week for the third quarter could call for less than 2.2 million net subscriber adds that his fellow analysts are forecasting for the third quarter. 

    Sentiment has clearly soured on Netflix. The company that used to routinely offer conservative guidance has aimed too high lately. It’s no longer fashionable to bet on a stock surge the day after it posts fresh financials. The contrarian take here is that a hungry Netflix will be a better Netflix. 

    Netflix isn’t at its best right now, but it’s still a kingmaker of content. How else can you explain how the latest season of Stranger Things — broken out into two parts in late May and early July — catapulted not one, but two decades-old songs to the top of the music charts? Kate Bush’s “Running Up That Hill” was a digital chart-topper last month, and earlier this month, Metallica’s “Master of Puppets” proves that folks are still leaning on their Netflix subscriptions. 

    It’s also not as if Netflix is standing still. It has already gone public with plans for cheaper ad-supported tiers and enhanced gaming initiatives. We’re seeing reports of everything from theatrical distribution ahead of popular films to breaking up release schedules of popular shows to keep fans from binging and cancelling.

    You can teach a new media giant some old media tricks, and there’s no platform visibly challenging Netflix’s dominance as the leader of streaming service stocks. The stock is down, and the same can be said about analyst heads as we dredge our way to next week’s report. Let’s not assume that Netflix doesn’t know what it’s doing.

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    The post Betting against Netflix now could be a big mistake appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks *Returns as of July 7 2022

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    Rick Munarriz has positions in Netflix. Bank of America is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Netflix. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Netflix. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.



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  • Why is the Regional Express share price in a trading halt today?

    A gloved hand holds a toy metal aeroplane against the backdrop of a snowy, ice landscape.A gloved hand holds a toy metal aeroplane against the backdrop of a snowy, ice landscape.

    The Regional Express Holdings Ltd (ASX: REX) share price isn’t going anywhere on Wednesday.

    This comes after the company requested a trading halt at market open.

    As such, the airline operator’s shares are frozen at $1.215.

    Why are REX shares in a trading halt?

    The Regional Express share price entered a trading halt this morning pending an important announcement from the company.

    In a statement to the ASX, Regional Express advised it is preparing to make a material announcement.

    While the company has provided no further details, speculation is rife on what the release could be.

    Regional Express states its shares will remain in a trading halt until an official announcement is made or trade commences on Friday 15 July.

    Just yesterday, Regional Express responded to recent news articles regarding its interest in acquiring Cobham Aviation’s fly-in-fly-out (FIFO) operations.

    The news sent Regional Express shares as high as $1.25 on the day before backtracking as the broader S&P/ASX 200 Industrials Index (ASX: XNJ) fell (0.37%).

    Investors appear to be bracing for the June inflation report to come out of the United States tonight. In addition, the US domestic jobs data is due to come out on Thursday. This will give a clearer picture of the health of the United States economy.

    Regional Express share price summary

    Since this time last year, the Regional Express share price has moved in circles.

    However, in 2022, the company’s shares paint a different picture for investors, down almost 12%.

    Regional Express presides a market capitalisation of $133.83 million with approximately 110 million shares on its registry.

    The post Why is the Regional Express share price in a trading halt today? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Regional Express Holdings Ltd right now?

    Before you consider Regional Express Holdings Ltd, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Regional Express Holdings Ltd wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of July 7 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Aaron Teboneras has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Why are ASX 200 energy shares underperforming today?

    A miner in visibility gear and hard hat looks seriously at an iPad device in a field where oil mining equipment is visible in the background.

    A miner in visibility gear and hard hat looks seriously at an iPad device in a field where oil mining equipment is visible in the background.S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) energy shares are well into the red in lunchtime trading.

    At the time of writing, the ASX 200 has edged back from earlier losses and is just 0.09% lower.

    While the S&P/ASX 200 Energy Index (ASX: XEJ) has also made up some lost ground from earlier in the morning, the energy index remains down 1.23%.

    The Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) share price has fallen in line with the energy index, down 1.22%, while rival ASX 200 energy share Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) is down 1.94%.

    Why are ASX 200 energy shares underperforming today?

    ASX 200 energy shares are under pressure today after another drop in crude oil prices.

    International benchmark Brent crude dropped below US$100 per barrel for the first time since February, currently trading for US$99.06 per barrel. This time last month that same barrel was worth US$122.27.

    While the forces that drove energy costs higher are still in play, counter forces have been pulling prices lower.

    The biggest headwind for oil prices is the potential for a significant dip in demand.

    Investors are keeping a close eye on the resurgent pandemic in China, where COVID cases are again on the rise. Should China, the world’s most populous nation and second-biggest economy, reinstate strict lockdowns in its major cities, demand for oil and related fossil fuels will decrease.

    Another area of concern is the United States. Economists are concerned the world’s largest economy could be heading for a recession amid aggressive interest rate hikes to tame soaring inflation.

    Yet oil prices, and ASX 200 energy shares, could be in for another leg up amid continued tight supplies.

    Global energy crisis could get worse

    International Energy Agency (IEA) executive director Fatih Birol said that energy demand may continue to outpace supply for some time. “We might not have seen the worst of it yet,” he said.

    Among the supply issues, the US, one of the world’s top oil producers, lowered its own crude oil growth forecast through 2023, with a tight labour market and inflation impacting the sector.

    While the US administration is hoping that OPEC can fill some of the void left by bans on Russian oil exports, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates are the only members said to have significant spare capacity.

    Markets analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown Susannah Streeter pointed to ongoing concerns around Russia as potentially continuing to distort energy markets (quoted by Yahoo News):

    Although deteriorating growth in economies would be a downwards force on the oil price, fresh attempts to limit Russia’s financial power, by imposing a price cap on its crude exports, could distort markets further adding to volatility.

    Investors in ASX 200 energy shares will be watching these developments closely.

    The post Why are ASX 200 energy shares underperforming today? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of July 7 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • IOUpay share price jumps 17% on ‘important milestones’ for BNPL offering

    Happy man paying using a BNPL service.Happy man paying using a BNPL service.

    The IOUpay Ltd (ASX: IOU) share price is rocketing after the company announced multiple “important milestones” for its instalment-based consumer finance product suite’s development.

    IOUpay’s MyIOU Islamic – announced last month – has had two major wins.

    At the time of writing, the IOUpay share price is 8.4 cents, 16.67% higher than its previous close.

    Let’s take a closer look at today’s news from the South East Asia-focused fintech company.

    IOUpay share price gains on MyIOU Islamic wins

    It’s turned out to be a big day for the IOUpay share price.

    Its day in the sun followed an update of the company’s plan to offer BNPL products consistent with Shariah principles and the practices of Islamic finance.

    The offering is expected to give the company access to new markets in Malaysia and other South East Asian nations with large Islamic populations.

    Certification of Shariah Compliance

    Firstly, the company has been granted certification of Shariah Compliance by independent global Shariah advisory firm, Tawafuq Consultancy.

    The certification is expected to allow the product access to Islamic financing and BNPL opportunities within industry best practices for Shariah principles.

    Following the win, the company is looking to offer both conventional and Islamic financing. That requires partitioning of the myIOU portfolio, separate documentation, and an Islamic bank account for all Shariah compliant transactions.

    It also requires the platform to integrate with an Islamic payment gateway. Fortunately, IOUpay has also entered an agreement to do just that.

    Islamic payment gateway integration

    The second major update regards a merchant acquiring services agreement signed between IOUpay Asia and PayHalal.

    Under the agreement, PayHalal can acquire and refer merchants that follow Shariah principles who want to offer customers BNPL options consistent with Shariah principles and the practices of Islamic finance to IOUpay Asia.

    PayHalal’s payment gateway has already been integrated into the myIOU BNPL platform.

    IOUpay share price snapshot

    Its been a rough year for ASX BNPL shares so far, and the IOUpay share price hasn’t escaped the downturn.

    The company’s stock has slipped nearly 47% since the start of 2022. It has also plunged 66% since this time last year.

    The post IOUpay share price jumps 17% on ‘important milestones’ for BNPL offering appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
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    Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Is the Santos share price in bargain territory for FY23?

    Happy man standing in front of an oil rig.

    Happy man standing in front of an oil rig.

    The Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) share price is having a poor day on Wednesday.

    In morning trade, the energy producer’s shares are down 1% to $6.89.

    This means the Santos share price is now down 7% since the start of the financial year.

    Where next for the Santos share price in FY23?

    While the Santos share price may have started the new financial year in poor form, one leading broker believes that could change.

    According to a note out of Morgans, the broker has retained its add rating but trimmed its price target to $9.30.

    This implies potential upside of 35% for investors over the next 12 months from current levels.

    What did the broker say?

    While Morgans is cautious on the near term, it believes that recent weakness has created a buying opportunity for investors.

    It commented:

    Our conviction level on the short-term direction of oil prices is at a 2-year low. This uncertainty is not driven by any breakdown in oil market fundamentals, but rather the risk to prices that can be delivered by faltering sentiment on demand.

    This is due to concerns about global economic growth and “China’s ability to defend itself against COVID.”

    While the above factors could well dent some 2H22 demand growth expectations we also see there being a reasonable probability that equity markets overreact moving ahead of any further volatility. Which could generate new buying opportunities at more attractive levels.

    Where are oil prices heading?

    Ultimately, whether the Santos share price rises or falls will be largely down to what happens with oil prices.

    The good news is that Morgans is now forecasting higher oil prices over the coming years. It explained:

    We have made a number of upgrades to our oil price forecasts. 2022 now US$102/bbl (was US$91/bbl), 2023 now US$89.5/bbl (was US$78/bbl), 2024 now US$78.5/bbl (was US$66/bbl), 2025 now US$68/bbl (was US$62/bbl), 2026 now US$65/bbl (was US$62/bbl), and a new long-term real price assumption of US$ 65/bbl (was US$62/bbl).

    Overall, the future looks reasonably bright for the Santos share price based on these assumptions and its growth opportunities.

    The post Is the Santos share price in bargain territory for FY23? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Is FY23 going to be a winning year for ASX fintech shares?

    A woman sits at her computer with hand to mouth and a contemplative smile on her face thinking about information she is seeing on the screen.

    A woman sits at her computer with hand to mouth and a contemplative smile on her face thinking about information she is seeing on the screen.

    ASX fintech shares may be on course for a solid FY23, according to some experts.

    2022 has been a rough year for some of the biggest players in the financial technology space.

    For example, since the start of the year the Netwealth Group Ltd (ASX: NWL) share price has fallen by around 33%, Hub24 Ltd (ASX: HUB) shares have dropped 22%, the EML Payments Ltd (ASX: EML) share price has fallen around 70%, and Tyro Payments Ltd (ASX: TYR) shares have plunged 77%.

    Ouch.

    Investors might be able to pin a lot of the decline on two factors – inflation and rising interest rates.

    Inflation matters because it can increase costs for a business (such as wages, rent, and other costs). It can also reduce the ability of some customers to pay. Rising interest rates can lead to higher interest rate costs. But the biggest factor could be what it does to valuations.

    Billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates Ray Dalio once said about interest rates:

    It all comes down to interest rates. As an investor, all you’re doing is putting up a lump sum payment for a future cash flow.

    In theory, higher interest rates reduce today’s value of an asset. Valuations of businesses that are expected to grow a lot in the coming years are meant to be ‘discounted’ more to get to today’s value (when interest rates rise). That’s why ASX growth shares are generally getting hit harder during this sell-off.

    While some ASX fintech shares have been continuing to grow their businesses, it will be interesting to see what they report for the next quarter and for FY22.

    Recent example of growth

    When Netwealth made an announcement regarding how interest rate changes may affect the business, it said that net inflows for April were approximately $90 million, which was “marginally below” expectations.

    The company put the performance down to a combination of COVID-related absenteeism and the impacts of volatile markets and investor sentiment, relating to geopolitical events and interest rate speculation. However, it did say that it expects “seasonally strong inflows” for May and June. It changed its FY22 net inflow guidance to “exceed $13 billion for FY22”.

    However, the company said that it remains “very positive” about the ongoing transition of clients and the new business pipeline which continues to be “very supportive” of funds under administration (FUA) growth in FY23.

    Hub24 is a fairly similar business and it’s also seeing ongoing inflows. The company noted it had $51 billion of platform FUA and this could reach up to $92 billion over the next couple of years, according to the company. Management said that strong momentum is expected to see all earnings drivers continue to improve.

    ASX fintech shares like EML, Hub24, and Netwealth can benefit from higher interest rates as they earn money on the cash that they hold on deposit for their customers.

    Broker ratings

    Credit Suisse rates Hub24 as a buy, with a price target of $35. That implies a rise of around 50%. It’s the pick of the sector for this broker.

    The broker also rates Netwealth as a buy, with a price target of $15.70. That implies a possible rise of around 30%.

    UBS rates EML as a buy, despite the upheaval and recent leadership change at the company. The broker’s price target is $2.10 – suggesting the EML share price could more than double from here.

    Morgans rates Tyro as a buy, with a price target of $1.62. That also implies that the Tyro share price could more than double from here.

    The post Is FY23 going to be a winning year for ASX fintech shares? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
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    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended EML Payments, Hub24 Ltd, Netwealth, and Tyro Payments. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended EML Payments, Hub24 Ltd, and Netwealth. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Tyro Payments. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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