Tag: Motley Fool

  • Analysts name 2 ASX dividend shares to buy

    A smiling woman with a handful of $100 notes, indicating strong dividend payment by Thorn Group

    With interest rates at low levels and unlikely to be moving higher in the near future, dividend shares continue to be a great alternative to traditional interest-bearing assets.

    But which dividend shares could be buys? Here are two highly rated ASX dividend shares to look at:

    Accent Group Ltd (ASX: AX1)

    The first ASX dividend share to look at is Accent. It is a retail group with a collection of popular footwear-focused store brands. Accent was a very strong performer in FY 2021, reporting a 19.9% increase in sales to $1.14 billion and a 38.6% jump in net profit after tax to $76.9 million. And while it will be hard to top this in FY 2022 because of lockdowns, its longer term outlook remains very positive. This is thanks to its strong market position and expansion plans.

    Bell Potter is positive on the company. It has a buy rating and $2.90 price target on its shares. The broker is also forecasting dividends per share of 9.3 cents in FY 2022 and 13.3 cents in FY 2023. Based on the latest Accent share price of $2.09, this represents fully franked yields of 4.4% and 6.35%, respectively.

    Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLS)

    Another ASX dividend share to look at is Telstra. This telco could be a top option due to its ever-improving outlook, which is being underpinned by its leadership position with 5G, asset monetisation, cost cutting, and rational competition. Combined, these are expected to allow the company to return to growth in FY 2022.

    Pleasingly, that isn’t expected to be a one-off. Management is aiming for sustainable growth over the medium term through its newly announced T25 strategy.

    This strategy went down well with the team at Goldman Sachs. The broker has a buy rating and $4.40 price target on its shares. Goldman also expects the new strategy to support 16 cents per share dividends through to FY 2023. After which, it is forecasting the first increase in a decade to 18 cents per share in FY 2024 and then a further increase to 19 cents per share in FY 2025.

    Based on the current Telstra share price of $3.95, this will mean fully franked 4% yields for the next couple of years before the increases.

    The post Analysts name 2 ASX dividend shares to buy appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for more than eight years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the five best ASX stocks for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now.

    *Returns as of August 16th 2021

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Telstra Corporation Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Accent Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

    from The Motley Fool Australia https://ift.tt/3u3lPCl

  • 2 great ASX shares to consider

    rising share price represented by a graph, red arrow and notes of American money

    The two ASX shares in this article could be great to consider as long-term options.

    They are businesses that are leading their industries and are producing a lot of growth.

    If they are able to continue this high level of revenue growth for a number years then they could be great ASX shares to consider:

    Airtasker Ltd (ASX: ART)

    Airtasker describes itself as Australia’s leading online marketplace for local services, connecting people and businesses who need work done with people who want to work.

    In FY21 the ASX share processed gross marketplace volume (GMV) of $153.1 million, which was growth of 35% year on year. This beat the prospectus forecast of $143.7 million. This led to revenue of $26.6 million, an increase of 38%. This also beat the prospectus forecast of $24.5 million.

    Airtasker noted that during FY21, it was able to demonstrate its ‘light touch’ operating model which saw the company generate a gross profit margin of 93%. This also helped the business generate positive operating cash flow of $5.5 million for the year. Its prospectus said it was only expecting $0.1 million of operating cashflow.

    The company is growing quickly in the northern hemisphere. In the UK it saw GMV increase 232% year on year and 93% quarter on quarter. In the US, Airtasker’s acquisition and integration of Zaarly is “progressing well” with planned launches in Kansas City, Dallas and Miami in the first half of FY22.

    With its cash balance of $46 million, it plans to invest in international expansion with local service industries across Australia, the US and the UK.

    The ASX share is rated as a buy by Morgans with a price target of $1.30.

    Australian Ethical Investment Limited (ASX: AEF)

    Australian Ethical is a fund manager that specialises in providing investment services to people looking for investments that are ‘ethical’ and aligns with their thinking about the (business) world.

    There are a number of sectors that Australian Ethical doesn’t invest in, such as tobacco, coal mining, nuclear weapons and high-emission companies.

    The business is experiencing a high level of growth. Over FY21, group funds under management (FUM) increased by 50% to $6.07 billion. Net inflows were $1.03 billion, an increase of 56%. The number of funded customers increased by 23%.

    This growth in FUM helped the ASX share increase revenue and profit. FY21 operating revenue increased by 18% to $58.7 million, whilst underlying net profit after tax grew 19% to $11.1 million. Excluding the impact of the $2.9 million performance fee, operating revenue was up 21% and underlying net profit rose 30%.

    After delivering the FY21 result, the Australian Ethical CEO John McMurdo said:

    Despite the ongoing challenges posed by the pandemic, it has been a pivotal year for ethical investing, climate pledges and sustainable commitments around the world. As the coronavirus continues to reshape economies and global markets, a near-universal desire for a more sustainable future is emerging.

    Looking out to the medium and long-term, we expect to see higher levels of profitability and operating leverage from achieving greater scale as we realise the anticipated benefits of investing in our business.

    The post 2 great ASX shares to consider appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Airtasker right now?

    Before you consider Airtasker, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Airtasker wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for nearly a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    *Returns as of August 16th 2021

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and has recommended Australian Ethical Investment Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended Airtasker Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Australian Ethical Investment Ltd. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

    from The Motley Fool Australia https://ift.tt/3lSlMFM

  • 5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Thursday

    Business man watching stocks while thinking

    On Wednesday the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) was on form and pushed higher. The benchmark index rose 0.3% to 7,296.9 points.

    Will the market be able to build on this on Thursday? Here are five things to watch:

    ASX 200 expected to rise

    The Australian share market looks set to rise on Thursday. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 16 points or 0.2% higher this morning. This follows a strong night of trade on Wall Street, which saw the Dow Jones rise 1%, the S&P 500 climb 0.95%, and the Nasdaq jump 1%.

    Transurban returns

    The Transurban Group (ASX: TCL) share price will be on watch today when it returns from its trading halt. The toll road operator requested the halt earlier this week so it could undertake the institutional component of an equity raising. Transurban is raising funds to acquire the remaining stake in WestConnex.

    Oil prices storm higher

    It could be a good day for energy producers such as Oil Search Ltd (ASX: OSH) and Woodside Petroleum Limited (ASX: WPL) after oil prices stormed higher. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price is up 2.1% to US$71.97 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price has risen 2.1% to US$75.93 a barrel. Traders were buying oil following a greater than expected drawdown of US supplies.

    Gold price falls

    Gold miners Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN) and Regis Resources Limited (ASX: RRL) could have a difficult day after the gold price dropped. According to CNBC, the spot gold price is down 0.6% to US$1,767.30 an ounce. The gold price fell despite the US Federal Reserve holding interest rates steady.

    SeaLink joint venture

    The Sealink Travel Group Ltd (ASX: SLK) share price will be one to watch today following an announcement after the market close. According to the release, the company has entered into a binding agreement to form a joint venture with RATP Dev UK. The joint venture is expected to employ over 4,000 staff, operate 1,250 buses on 115 routes from 10 garages in Western London, with anticipated turnover in the region of £275 million per annum.

    The post 5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Thursday appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for more than eight years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the five best ASX stocks for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now.

    *Returns as of August 16th 2021

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

    from The Motley Fool Australia https://ift.tt/3AAQAkv

  • Afterpay (ASX:APT) share price slips despite new ‘Retro’ launch

    a woman uses a card to pay at a restaurant, with the waiter leaning into the table where there is food and drink after a meal.

    The Afterpay Ltd (ASX: APT) share price finished lower on Wednesday, ending the day at $126.23, a 0.38% dip on its previous close.

    Shares in the buy now, pay later (BNPL) company were down after it announced the launch of its new “money and lifestyle app” called Money by Afterpay.

    Let’s take a closer look.

    What did Afterpay announce?

    Afterpay advised that Money by Afterpay will also launch with a “world-first feature” called “Afterpay Retro”.

    This feature will allow customers to “retrospectively create a pay in 4 from any eligible Money debit transaction”.

    In addition to the add-in, Money by Afterpay users will also have access to the feature “at no cost” and enjoy integration with BNPL, a daily transaction account – with a debit card – and “up to 15 savings accounts”.

    Back to the “Retro” feature – it can be used by customers for “up to $200” of their Afterpay “available to spend amount”.

    It appears to be taking the BNPL model away from retail and applying it in other settings, such as hospitality or gift sharing, for instance.

    In fact, the feature operates much like a typical Afterpay BNPL purchase in that if customers chose Retro to make payments, they will be “spotted” 100% of the amount by Afterpay.

    Customers then repay the credited money back to Afterpay, at no extra cost, in a series of four equal payments. That’s the same as Afterpay’s BNPL model.

    So, for example, if you go out for dinner, spend $200 and “Retro it” — as the company calls it – Afterpay will cover the amount and you will pay off the $200 in four $50 instalments.

    It will also follow Afterpay’s “no payment upfront format” where the first payment is due two weeks after the purchase date.

    Importantly, the use of the Retro feature is only open for “purchases available with the Money debit card”, among other stipulations.

    Speaking on the announcement, Afterpay’s executive vice president of the new platform Lee Hatton said:

    As we continue building out the Money experience, we’re creating a platform for customers to change the way they think about their money. The integration of BNPL and now Retro will give customers a one-stop app for their money management, allowing them to be more in control of their money than ever before.

    Afterpay share price snapshot

    The Afterpay share price hasn’t been up to much since retail payments giant Square Inc announced it was acquiring the BNPL player last month.

    Since then, Afterpay shares have shot up but are still off their all-time highs.

    Nonetheless, Afterpay shareholders have enjoyed a return of 64% over the past year. This is well ahead of the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO)’s gain of around 25% in the same period.

    The post Afterpay (ASX:APT) share price slips despite new ‘Retro’ launch appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Afterpay right now?

    Before you consider Afterpay, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Afterpay wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for nearly a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    *Returns as of August 16th 2021

    More reading

    The author Zach Bristow has no positions in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and has recommended AFTERPAY T FPO. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended AFTERPAY T FPO. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

    from The Motley Fool Australia https://ift.tt/2ZbDWL0

  • The risk from the rise of the ‘finfluencer’

    young lady checking her social media accounts with floating emoji reactions and smiling

    I don’t know if you’ve seen the articles in the past few days about the rise of so-called ‘finfluencers’?

    Finfluencer, for those who don’t speak fluent TikTok (including me) is a portmanteau for ‘finance influencer’.

    And, in the way of these things, they’re all over social media, filling the feeds of the (mostly) young, (mostly) non-financially-savvy people who might just be interested in taking control of their financial lives.

    During those last couple of days, I’ve been asked more than a few times for my view on said ‘finfluencers’.

    And I’ve gotta say, I’m torn on it.

    Now, I work for, and represent, a financial services company. And you might expect that I’m worried that new breed of self-appointed experts pose a risk to people like me, and a company like The Motley Fool.

    You might expect that, but it’s the least of my worries, and the last of my concerns.

    The Motley Fool has a decent profile, but the industry is massive, and we’re a teeny-tiny part of it, compared to the billions of dollars managed by financial planners and fund managers.

    No, I have no issue with more people in our industry.

    For what it’s worth, I’m a massive fan of The Barefoot Investor, Scott Pape. There are many, many other examples of wonderful people in my industry, making a real difference for Australian investors.

    So that’s not my concern.

    And, as I said, I’m torn.

    I love the idea of more people getting into investing.

    We have too few young people making really good financial decisions — putting aside a few bucks that can compound for 30, 40 or 50 years into a small fortune — and if they’re encouraged to do it by someone on Instagram, TikTok or YouTube, well, that should be a good thing!

    Except that, well, that’s not necessarily all they’re being encouraged to do.

    Because the waters get pretty muddy (and just a little murky) once we push off from the financial shore.

    A company like The Motley Fool, for example, operates with a Financial Services Licence. Our business has to adhere to very strict and specific rules. ASIC, the corporate cop, keeps a close eye on us, and others in our industry.

    And if it sees something it doesn’t like, we can expect a phone call, and we’ll have to make changes. Which, for the record, we’re always happy to do. The very regulations that impose limits on us (and the actions of the regulator in interpreting and enforcing those rules) mean that our readers and members can have confidence in the system, and in the advice we provide.

    But these finfluencers?

    Not only are they not licenced, but they fly largely under the radar of the regulator.

    No-one is making sure they’re doing or saying the right things, or is requiring them to change their ways, if they overstep the mark.

    So we just don’t know what’s going on.

    A very large number of these people are decent, honest, altruistic people, often who’ve discovered the power of investing, and want to share it with others.

    Many have taken steps to educate themselves — formally or informally — to be better able to help their followers.

    Many are having a wonderful impact.

    But not all.

    Some are giving, frankly, crap advice.

    They’ve read the proverbial one and a half finance books, and are now self-appointed experts.

    They’ve maybe been investing, themselves, for only a year or two.

    And I’m left wondering how well they’ll steer their followers, next time the going gets tough.

    Others are getting kickbacks, sponsorship and other remuneration from product providers. Sometimes it’s disclosed. But not always.

    So, some of the new breed of experts will be a boon for their followers. They’ll help people navigate the tricky world of investing; mixing sound financial principles, behavioural insights, some historical knowledge and context, and a calm demeanour when times get tough.

    Others… won’t.

    Now, despite my role in the industry, I’m the first to say financial advisers aren’t as important as doctors, dentists or emergency workers.

    But if you’ll allow me the analogy, don’t you think it’s important that the bloke who turns up to take your tonsils out has been approved by, and is overseen by, a professional body?

    Don’t you reckon the fiery who comes to cut you out of your mangled car, post-accident, has been appropriately educated, trained and supervised?

    You’re right — those are potentially life-and-death situations. Finance is most certainly not life or death.

    And yet, don’t you reckon that someone setting themselves up to be an expert should at least have to convince a regulator of that expertise?

    But, as I said, I’m torn.

    How do we get rid of the shonks, charlatans and bad apples, but keep the genuinely good people?

    And how do we make sure that the currently very long and very expensive process of getting an Australian Financial Services Licence doesn’t just act as a barrier to entry for those who are going to do the right thing, the right way, helping thousands of people in the process?

    I have no simple answer.

    Perhaps we need a two-tier regulatory framework, which distinguishes between people carrying on a business of managing money and/or providing advice, from those who are sole-traders or small businesses, trying their best to help people — and makes it easier and cheaper for the latter group to be accredited (and kicked out if they prove unworthy)?

    That’s only one solution.

    And remember, property spruikers still aren’t covered by the AFSL system — at all! (And ‘buy now pay later’ still isn’t regulated as credit!)

    There will be some among my readers who simply throw their hands up and ask ‘Shouldn’t it just be ‘buyer beware’?

    To which my response is: Maybe… but I think we should want to live in a country where we actively try to help each other be taken advantage of by the unscrupulous and mislead by the unwitting.

    In the meantime?

    In the meantime, I think we need to assume the ‘finfluencer’ community should be approached sceptically.

    If you’re going to follow someone on social media, make sure you ask yourself whether their advice seems grounded in real expertise. And in experience.

    Ask yourself whether they are disclosing conflicts of interest. And who’s paying them.

    Ask yourself whether or not this is their first rodeo.

    And ask yourself how much they really know.

    Perhaps, most of all — and this applies to both licenced and unlicenced financial advice — ask about their long term track record. And remember that ‘long term’ isn’t measured in months or even a year or three.

    Once you’ve got all that covered, maybe consider helping your friends and family do the same.

    As one person commented to me, about one of the articles I mentioned at the top:

    “It might be time for you to embrace the tok-tik…tik-tok-tik-tokkety-tik-tik-tok!… because this just scares me.”

    No, I’m not going on TikTok any time soon (though I never say never).

    But if the alternative is that conflicted, inexperienced, undereducated and unprepared voices are the only ones people hear… well, disaster may not be far away for many of those followers.

    And that’s the very opposite of the promise they bring.

    Fool on!

    The post The risk from the rise of the ‘finfluencer’ appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for more than eight years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the five best ASX stocks for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now.

    *Returns as of August 16th 2021

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Scott Phillips has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

    from The Motley Fool Australia https://ift.tt/2ZkuKUS

  • 2 excellent ETFs generating strong returns for investors

    ETF

    Exchange traded funds (ETFs) can be a fantastic way to balance out a portfolio.

    This is because ETFs provide investors with easy access to a large and diverse group of shares that you wouldn’t usually have access to.

    With that in mind, I have picked out two ETFs that are popular with investors right now. Here’s what you need to know about them:

    BetaShares Global Cybersecurity ETF (ASX: HACK)

    The first ETF to look at is the BetaShares Global Cybersecurity ETF. It gives investors exposure to the leading companies in the growing global cybersecurity sector.

    Among the ETF’s largest holdings are Accenture, Cisco, Crowdstrike, Okta, Palo Alto Networks, and Tenable.

    Given how cyber crime is rising, demand for their cyber security services continues to grow. This puts these companies in a good position to outperform over the next decade. And with the Australian share market having little exposure to this market, this ETF is particularly attractive.

    Over the last five years, the index the fund tracks has generated a return of 24.15% per annum for investors.

    Vanguard MSCI Index International Shares ETF (ASX: VGS)

    Another ETF for investors to consider this week is the Vanguard MSCI Index International Shares ETF.

    Vanguard believes this ETF could be a good option due it offering low-cost access to a broadly diversified range of shares that allow investors to participate in the long-term growth potential of international economies outside Australia.

    There are a whopping 1503 shares included in the ETF at present. Among its largest holdings are the likes of Amazon, Apple, Home Depot, Johnson & Johnson, JP Morgan, NVIDIA, and Visa.

    Over the last five years, the ETF has generated a return of 15.7% per annum for investors.

    The post 2 excellent ETFs generating strong returns for investors appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Vanguard MSCI Index International Shares ETF right now?

    Before you consider Vanguard MSCI Index International Shares ETF, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Vanguard MSCI Index International Shares ETF wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for nearly a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    *Returns as of August 16th 2021

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and has recommended BETA CYBER ETF UNITS and Vanguard MSCI Index International Shares ETF. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended BETA CYBER ETF UNITS. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Vanguard MSCI Index International Shares ETF. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

    from The Motley Fool Australia https://ift.tt/3o0kCL9

  • Worried about a looming ASX 200 crash? Read this…

    Three colleagues stare at a computer screen with serious looks on their faces.

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) shook off its early morning losses to close today’s session up 0.32%.

    That will come as welcome news to investors who’ve watched the ASX 200 retreat 4.35% since its 13 August all-time closing high.

    More recently, the index remains down 2.06% over the past 5 days.

    With plenty of bearish headlines making the financial news, should investors be worried about a looming market crash?

    For some insight into that answer, we turn to Shane Oliver, head of investment strategy and chief economist at AMP Capital.

    Is the ASX 200 poised for another crash?

    Earlier today, Oliver discussed the outlook for global share markets, including the ASX 200, at AMP Capital’s webinar.

    And, rest easy, the chief economist isn’t forecasting anything as severe as a share market crash, which by most definitions would entail a loss of 20% or more from the August highs.

    As for an ASX 200 correction, on the other hand, Oliver said, “maybe we’re starting to see one … following a strong run without a correction.” He pointed to recent declines in the Aussie, US and global markets of some 4%-5%.

    “This will really just be a correction. We’ve gone a long time without a correction, and we probably are due for one. But it’s going to be fairly hard to time,” Oliver added, for anyone hoping to sell at the market top and buy at the bottom.

    “I don’t think there’s any precise definition [of a correction],” he said, indicating anywhere from a 5%-15% fall would fit the bill.

    According to Oliver, the ASX 200 has come under pressure because “Investors are worried about growth, inflation, the Fed removing stimulus, the upcoming debt ceiling in the US … [and] China, with China Evergrande.”

    He also mentioned coronavirus as a key risk keeping investors up at night.

    While high vaccination rates are the way out, we can expect to see GDP contract in the current quarter.

    “There’s a long hard slog to get fully out of this,” Oliver said. “But vaccine does offer a path out of lockdowns… We should see GDP growing again in the December quarter and into next year.”

    And then there’s the unavoidable ninth month of each year.

    The bears come out in September

    “September has traditionally been the weakest month of the year,” Oliver said, saying he wasn’t surprised if the market underwent a correction this month.

    Indeed, 7 of the last 10 Septembers on the ASX 200 have seen declines, including last year. Should the index fall lower again this September, that will make it 8 out 11.

    Some pundits have linked the September market weakness to crop cycles. Others to investor fatigue.

    Oliver instead said the September weakness is, “Possibly related to tax-loss selling in the US. US mutual funds have a tax year ending in September. You sell stocks with a capital loss to offset your capital gains and lower your tax bill.”

    And as we know, when US markets sell off, the ASX 200 tends to follow.

    Dividends, vaccines and earnings tailwinds for ASX 200

    Oliver cited a number of reasons he’s optimistic for the outlook of shares on the ASX 200.

    First, the outlook for dividends, coupled with Australia’s generous franking credit scheme:

    The dividend yield over the last 12 months has been about 3.5%. Over next 12 months, once you add in franking credits, it’s going to be about 5%. So quite a good yield pickup by putting money in the share market.

    He pointed to the ultra-low 0.25% interest rate investors can get on their cash savings as increasing the appeal of investing in shares:

    That sort of explains why we’ve seen this rebound in share markets. And ultimately it will prevail yet again, and we’ll see money come back in the markets in the year end even though we may go through this short-term correction.

    And he doesn’t expect rates to go up any time soon, saying investors shouldn’t expect a rate rise from the Reserve Bank of Australia until late 2023 or into 2024.

    Looking ahead, Oliver said that atop of earnings expectations still being revised upwards:

    … Vaccines ultimately allowing a more sustained reopening and tight monetary policy being a long way off augurs well for shares over the next 12 months. I’m still optimistic for the outlook of share markets and growth assets generally.

    The post Worried about a looming ASX 200 crash? Read this… appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for more than eight years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the five best ASX stocks for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now.

    *Returns as of August 16th 2021

    More reading

    The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

    from The Motley Fool Australia https://ift.tt/3CA1Heh

  • CBA (ASX:CBA) share price slumps amid RBA concerns of sector vulnerabilities

    CBA share price money laundering asx bank shares represented by large buidling with the word 'bank' on it

    The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) share price is sliding amid the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) concerns over the housing market.

    The Reserve Bank’s assistant governor of financial systems, Michele Bullock, spoke of the risks associated with Australia’s burgeoning housing loans today.

    Additionally, as The Motley Fool Australia reported yesterday, 42% of households are experiencing mortgage stress.

    In the midst of the worrying conversation, the CBA share price is slipping alongside those of the other big four banks. Of course, CBA is Australia’s largest mortgage lender by volume.

    The CBA share price finished today trading for $99.64, 0.7% lower than its previous close.

    Meanwhile, the Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd (ASX: ANZ) share price slipped 0.2% and that of National Australia Bank Ltd. (ASX: NAB) fell 0.7%.

    The Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) share price brought up the rear with a 1.1% drop.

    Let’s take a look at the comments made by the RBA’s assistant governor of financial systems today.

    RBA worried about mortgage lending

    The CBA share price struggled today.

    Meanwhile, the RBA’s Michele Bullock commented the financial regulator is worried about increasing mortgage debt.

    As the nation economically rebounds from the pandemic, housing prices have increased. This has forced Australians to turn to banks for larger mortgages.

    But a dip in house prices could see Australians with more debt than their assets are worth. And banks could be left taking the hit.

    Right now, growth in housing credit is running at a rate of around 7% each year. That’s expected to increase to 11% early next year. It’s being driven by low interest rates and government support for housing construction.

    However, around 60% of Australian banks’ lending is for housing, as is most of Australians’ debt.

    A downturn in Australians’ financial position and housing prices could, therefore, see banks covering the difference between debt levels and property values.  

    This means the risks to banks in the case of a drop in the housing market is increasing. Bullock said:

    Over-exuberance in the housing market can amplify these risks in two ways. First, rapid price rises can increase the likelihood that some new borrowers will over-stretch their financial capacity in order to obtain a new loan, making them more likely to reduce their consumption in response to a shock to their incomes. Second, if rapid price rises ultimately prove to be unsustainable they could lead to sharp declines in price and turnover in the future. This in turn could result in reduced spending, both directly as a result of a decline in turnover and through the wealth effect.

    Though, Bullock says we’re not on the brink of another GFC. The RBA is also keeping an eye on the risks facing banks.

    Therefore, the CBA share price is currently protected from such risks.

    CBA share price snapshot

    The CBA share price has been struggling lately.

    It has fallen 0.5% over the last 30 days. However, it is still 18.9% higher than it was at the start of 2021.

    The post CBA (ASX:CBA) share price slumps amid RBA concerns of sector vulnerabilities appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Commonwealth Bank of Australia right now?

    Before you consider Commonwealth Bank of Australia, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Commonwealth Bank of Australia wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for nearly a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    *Returns as of August 16th 2021

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

    from The Motley Fool Australia https://ift.tt/3hXFA9H

  • Rhythm Biosciences (ASX:RHY) share price jumps 12% on key milestone

    Lab worker puts hands in the air and dances around

    The Rhythm Biosciences Ltd (ASX: RHY) share price was a very strong performer on Wednesday.

    The predictive diagnostics company’s shares ended the day 12% higher at $1.32.

    This means the Rhythm Biosciences share price is now up 550% over the last 12 months.

    Why did the Rhythm Biosciences share price surge higher today?

    Investors were bidding the Rhythm Biosciences share price higher today following the release of a milestone announcement.

    According to the release, the company has completed recruitment for its clinical trial (Study 7) for ColoSTAT.

    ColoSTAT is a globally marketed, low-cost, simple blood test for the early detection of colorectal cancer aimed at mass-market screening.

    The release explains that Rhythm Biosciences has now successfully recruited 815 patients across 11 Australian clinical trial sites. This was deemed to be an adequate number of patients following a detailed consultation with leading industry professionals and the company’s biostatisticians and Clinical Research Organisation (CRO).

    Management notes that the recruitment phase is a highly involved and resource intensive component of the clinical trial. Therefore, it feels the completion of this phase represents a significant milestone towards the final completion of the clinical trial study.

    What’s next?

    The good news for the Rhythm Biosciences share price is that ColoSTAT could be generating revenue in the not so distant future.

    The company will now commence testing the collected blood samples, finalise and lock the patient database, and other routine associated works. It will also progress the next stages in finalising the trial, before completing the final clinical study report.

    If all goes to plan, the clinical trial is targeted for completion in the first half of calendar year 2022. After which, it is hoping for approval to market ColoSTAT within Australia later that year.

    European trials are ongoing as well, with a filing expected to be made before the end of the year.

    Management commentary

    Rhythm’s CEO, Glenn Gilbert, said: “With the recruitment target now met for the ColoSTAT clinical trial, the Company remains fully focused on working with our partners to progress through the remaining phases for trial completion.”

    “In the context of market conditions made extremely difficult by COVID-19, I am proud of the achievement by the entire Rhythm team, our trial sites, CRO, operations and laboratory partners. This milestone should not be understated, considering the recruitment phase is typically the most resource, logistically challenging and cost intensive component of completing a clinical trial,” he added.

    Management estimates that ColoSTAT has a $6.5 billion market opportunity across the US, European, and Australian markets.

    The post Rhythm Biosciences (ASX:RHY) share price jumps 12% on key milestone appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Rhythm right now?

    Before you consider Rhythm, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Rhythm wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for nearly a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    *Returns as of August 16th 2021

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

    from The Motley Fool Australia https://ift.tt/3AvrnIs

  • Why the Transurban (ASX:TCL) share price just got upgraded by a leading broker

    Transurban share price ASX shares upgrade to buy asx 200 share price upgrade to buy represented by hand drawing line under the word upgrade

    The Transurban Group (ASX: TCL) share price got upgraded to “buy” following the successful $11.1 billion acquisition of WestConnex.

    Transurban is part of the Sydney Transport Partners (STP) consortium to win the bid for the remaining 49% stake in the Sydney tollway that is doesn’t already own.

    Transurban share price upgraded to buy

    Credit Suisse reckons this is an attractive deal. Thus, it has lifted its recommendation on the Transurban share price to “outperform” from “neutral”.

    “The deal gives TCL control of all of Sydney’s toll roads,” said the broker.

    “While we are cautious of the exuberance on the potential for attractive unsolicited deals, due to TCL’s challenges in the West Gate Tunnel Project, we think TCL is in a strong position to deliver value from further investment adjacent to its roads, likely without a competitive process.”

    Growth by acquisitions

    These near-term opportunities include M7 widening and M7/M12 interchange, noted Credit Suisse. Other takeover deals could include the Western Harbour Tunnel and Beaches Link – among others.

    “TCL’s disclosures imply ~A$1.8bn EBITDA contribution from WestConnex in FY28,” added the broker.

    “We previously forecast A$1.2bn FY28 EBITDA and now raise this to A$1.66bn.”

    Dividend dilution from $4.2bn capital raise

    But Transurban’s dividend is likely to fall nearer term as it undertakes a big capital raise. The ASX company is selling $4.22 billion new shares. This includes $3.97 billion worth of shares via a 1-for-9 entitlement offer to existing shareholders that’s priced at $13 a new share.

    The balance of the new share offer is sold to STP consortium member, Australian Super, at $13.07 a pop. This is in addition to Australian Super taking its full entitlement offer as a shareholder of Transurban.

    However, the dilution impact on dividends may be offset by a recovery in traffic flow post COVID lockdowns in FY23.

    What is the Transurban share price worth?

    Credit Suisse increased its 12-month price target on the Transurban share price by $1.10 to $15.10 a share.

    The broker’s bullish view doesn’t account for Transurban takeover appeal. Infrastructure owners are hot property as international bidders are hunting for quality monopolistic assets that can generate a dependable income stream.

    The recent corporate interest in the Sydney Airport Holdings Pty Ltd (ASX: SYD) share price and Ausnet Services Ltd (ASX: AST) share price are recent examples.

    The WestConnex transaction will only add to the Transurban share price appeal. The tollway connects Sydney’s west with the Sydney CBD, Sydney Airport and Port Botany. Transurban believes that 40% of Sydney’s population will live within 5 kilometres of WestConnex by 2031.

    The post Why the Transurban (ASX:TCL) share price just got upgraded by a leading broker appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for more than eight years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the five best ASX stocks for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now.

    *Returns as of August 16th 2021

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Brendon Lau has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

    from The Motley Fool Australia https://ift.tt/3hVewIg