Tag: Motley Fool

  • Why 29Metals, Block, Champion Iron, and Zip shares are dropping today

    A young woman holds an open book over her head with a round mouthed expression as if to say oops as she looks at her computer screen in a home office setting with a plant on the desk and shelves of books in the background.

    A young woman holds an open book over her head with a round mouthed expression as if to say oops as she looks at her computer screen in a home office setting with a plant on the desk and shelves of books in the background.

    In afternoon trade, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is on course to snap its winning streak with a small decline. At the time of writing, the benchmark index is down 0.2% to 7,327.4 points.

    Four ASX shares that are falling more than most today are listed below. Here’s why they are tumbling:

    29Metals Ltd (ASX: 29M)

    The 29Metals share price is down 6% to $1.22. This may due to ongoing concerns over the impact that inclement weather is having on its Capricorn Copper operation. Last month, the company warned that extreme weather had led to the Mount Isa Shire (including Capricorn Copper) being declared a natural disaster zone.

    Block Inc (ASX: SQ2)

    The Block share price is down 6% to $94.01. This follows a similarly severe drop from the payments company’s NYSE listed shares during overnight trade. However, it is worth remembering that Block is currently being targeted by a well-known short seller, Hindenburg Research. Fellow payments shares also dropped overnight.

    Champion Iron Ltd (ASX: CIA)

    The Champion Iron share price is down 3% to $7.10. This may have been driven by profit taking from some investors after a strong gain by the coal miner’s shares on Wednesday. Despite this pullback, the Champion Iron share price remains up 44% over the last six months.

    Zip Co Ltd (ASX: ZIP)

    The Zip share price is down 2% to 53 cents. This is despite the buy now pay later provider becoming the new partner of Peloton in Australia. Management believes this is a timely deal given that Zip users have shown an increased desire in prioritising their health and wellness aspirations. Broad weakness in the payments industry appears to have offset this news.

    The post Why 29Metals, Block, Champion Iron, and Zip shares are dropping today appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Our pullback stock hit list…

    Motley Fool Share Advisor has released a hit list of stocks that investors should be paying close attention to right now…

    As the market continues to sell off, we think some stocks have become extreme buying opportunities.

    In five years’ time, we think you’ll probably wish you’d bought these 4 ‘pullback’ stocks…

    See The 4 Stocks
    *Returns as of April 3 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Block and Zip Co. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Block. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Starting from scratch: How ASX investors can grow a $50k passive income in just 11 years

    A woman looks quizzical while looking at a dollar sign in the air.A woman looks quizzical while looking at a dollar sign in the air.

    What would a $50,000 annual passive income get you? Perhaps a new car every year, multiple luxury international holidays, or even an early retirement. That passive income could be yours in just 11 years with some strategic – and perhaps intense – investing on the ASX.

    It’s no doubt been done before, and it might even be done again. But it won’t be easy.

    It will likely take a lot of capital, a diverse portfolio of quality dividend shares, a pinch of good luck and, of course, the magic that is compounding.

    Indeed, compounding is a key part of billionaire investor Warren Buffett’s “secret sauce”.

    So, how exactly might one build a $50,000 passive income in just 11 years? Let’s take a look.

    How much do you need to invest to realise a $50k passive income?

    First, one should consider the average dividend yield on offer from their prospective ASX shares. That is, the ratio between their cost and how much they pay out in dividends each year.

    The higher the dividend yield, the less an investor will need to fork out to earn $50,000 in passive income each year.

    However, sustaining a high dividend yield can be challenging for a company. Thus, I personally believe a lower, reliable dividend yield is more attractive than higher, less sustainable offerings.

    Let’s say one could earn an above-average dividend yield of 6%. At that rate, an ASX investor would need a portfolio worth around $835,000 to receive $50,000 of passive income a year.

    That’s a hefty sum for most. Fortunately, it doesn’t need to be invested in one sweep.

    How to build an $835k dividend portfolio in 11 years

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) rose 9.55% on average each year over the last three decades. While such a return isn’t guaranteed for the coming three decades, let’s assume it will hold out for the next 11 years.

    At that rate, one would need to invest $46,150 each year – or $887.50 a week – for 11 years to build a portfolio worth $835,000.

    Though, in that time, they would have forked out just $507,650 – that’s compounding, folks!

    On the other hand, if you had a sizeable nest egg to invest initially – say $200,000 – it would take just $16,000 of additional annual investment to reach our figurative target in 11 years.

    Expanding the horizon

    Of course, such an intense investing strategy won’t suit most Aussies’ budgets. But what if you had 25 years to play with?

    Well, a $9,100 annual investment – assuming a 9.55% return – could see one with an ASX portfolio capable of providing $50,000 of passive income in that time. That equals just $175 a week.

    It’s worth remembering, however, that no investment is guaranteed to provide returns and past performance isn’t an indication of future performance.

    The post Starting from scratch: How ASX investors can grow a $50k passive income in just 11 years appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in S&P/ASX 200 right now?

    Before you consider S&P/ASX 200, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and S&P/ASX 200 wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of April 3 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • ASX 200 dips as Aussie unemployment remains near historic lows

    A male investor sits at his desk looking at his laptop screen with his hand to his chin pondering whether to buy Origin shares

    A male investor sits at his desk looking at his laptop screen with his hand to his chin pondering whether to buy Origin shares

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) dropped more than 0.2% at 11:30am AEST.

    That’s when the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released the latest unemployment figures for March.

    Here’s what the ABS reported.

    Low jobless rate pressuring the ASX 200

    Consensus estimates had expected the unemployment rate in Australia to tick up from the historic low level of 3.5% posted in February.

    That did not eventuate, with the jobless rate remaining at 3.5% in March.

    Among other key statistics, the ABS reported that:

    • The participation rate increased to 66.8%
    • Employment increased to 13,883,100
    • Employment to population ratio remained at 64.4%
    • The underemployment rate increased to 6.1%
    • Monthly hours worked increased to 1.91 billion

    In a case of good news (Who doesn’t like a strong labour market, after all?) being bad news, the ASX 200 slipped on the report.

    That’s because a tight labour market is likely to put upward pressure on wages, adding fuel to the simmering inflation fire.

    This in turn increases the odds of at least one more interest rate hike from the Reserve Bank of Australia. The RBA’s next rate decision is due on 2 May. And higher rates, as you’re likely aware, tend to throw up headwinds for most ASX 200 shares.

    What else are investors considering today?

    In other macroeconomic news impacting share markets, ASX 200 investors also awoke this morning to the latest March Consumer Price Index (CPI) data out of the United States.

    As The Motley Fool reported earlier here, CPI in the world’s top economy slowed to 5% in March, down from 6% in February.

    While slowing inflation is good news, CPI in the US remains far above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target range, meaning another rate hike is also likely from the US central bank next month.

    And core CPI – which strips out volatile items like energy and food – actually edged higher in March to 5.6%.

    With unemployment in the US also still down at a rock bottom 3.5%, US stock markets and the ASX 200 all reacted negatively to the news.

    The post ASX 200 dips as Aussie unemployment remains near historic lows appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in S&P/ASX 200 right now?

    Before you consider S&P/ASX 200, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and S&P/ASX 200 wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of April 3 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Why is this ASX All Ords travel share surging 10% today?

    Man pointing at a blue rising share price graph.Man pointing at a blue rising share price graph.

    The All Ordinaries Index (ASX: XAO) is sliding 0.28% today but this ASX All Ords travel share is bucking the trend.

    The Corporate Travel Management (ASX: CTD) share price is soaring 10.42% today to $20.87.

    Let’s take a look at what is going on with this ASX All Ords travel share.

    What’s going on?

    Corporate Travel Management has won a major contract with the UK Government.

    The travel company advised the market it has secured the Bridging Accommodation and Travel Services contract from the UK Home Office.

    This contract is estimated to be worth nearly £1.6 billion in total transaction volume (TTV) over two years, which is about $2.99 billion Australian dollars.

    Corporate Travel Management said the contract will have a “significant impact” on further growth in the European region in FY24 and beyond.

    Commenting on the news, the company said:

    This work involves highly complex services and logistic support that will be delivered by an already established dedicated team within CTM that has both the experience and specialised knowledge to support this work.

    In the first half of FY23, Corporate Travel Management reported a record TTV of $4.199 billion.

    The company delivered an underlying EBITDA of $51.3 million and an unfranked interim dividend of 6 cents per share.

    Corporate Travel Management said at the time of releasing these results it is expecting a record second-half EBITDA result.

    The team at Morgans recently placed an “add” rating on Corporate Travel Management shares with a $21.90 price target. Analysts said “CTD remains a key pick for the travel sector”, adding:

    We see substantial upside in its share price as the company recovers from the COVID affected travel downturn.

    In fact, CTD should be a materially larger business post COVID given it has made two highly accretive acquisitions during the downturn.

    Corporate Travel Management share price snapshot

    The Corporate Travel Management share price has slid 12% in the last year. However, it has surged 41.55% year to date.

    This ASX All Ords share has a market capitalisation of more than $3 billion based on the latest share price.

    The post Why is this ASX All Ords travel share surging 10% today? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Corporate Travel Management Limited right now?

    Before you consider Corporate Travel Management Limited, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Corporate Travel Management Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of April 3 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Monica O’Shea has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Corporate Travel Management. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Goldman Sachs names the ASX 200 lithium shares to buy (and avoid)

    A group of four people pose behind a graphic image of a green car, holding various symbols of clean electric, lithium powered energy including energy symbols and a green plant representing the rising Vulcan Energy share price

    A group of four people pose behind a graphic image of a green car, holding various symbols of clean electric, lithium powered energy including energy symbols and a green plant representing the rising Vulcan Energy share price

    Goldman Sachs has been busy running the rule over the lithium industry again this week.

    And while the broker remains bearish on the price of the battery making ingredient, it is starting to see value in ASX lithium shares following recent weakness. It commented:

    With lithium prices continuing to decline, and stock prices pulling back, we expect increased focus on finding defendable value in the sector, noting the Australian lithium sector is still largely flat YTD. While we remain cautious as these declines and our lowered CY23 lithium forecasts come through realised pricing/earnings on a lagged basis, we see emerging fundamental value in the sector.

    Which ASX lithium shares does Goldman like?

    Goldman has buy ratings on just two ASX lithium shares following its recent downgrade of Mineral Resources Ltd (ASX: MIN) to a neutral rating.

    These are Allkem Ltd (ASX: AKE), which it has been bullish on for some time, and IGO Limited (ASX: IGO), which has been upgraded to a buy rating from neutral today.

    In respect to valuations, Goldman has a price target of $13.20 on Allkem’s shares and a price target of $13.90 of IGO’s shares. This implies potential upside of 19% and 10%, respectively, over the next 12 months for investors.

    Why is it bullish?

    Goldman advised that it is bullish on these ASX lithium shares due to their low costs, production growth potential, and vertical integration. It explains:

    With our continued expectation that low cost producers with growth optionality & vertical integration will be more defensive and best placed for future opportunities, we reiterate our preference for Allkem (Buy) and upgrade IGO to Buy.

    In light of the above, the broker believes that “IGO and AKE deserve to trade at a premium to peers.”

    Elsewhere, Goldman has maintained its neutral ratings on Liontown Resources Limited (ASX: LTR) and Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS) shares, as well as its sell rating on Core Lithium Ltd (ASX: CXO) shares.

    The post Goldman Sachs names the ASX 200 lithium shares to buy (and avoid) appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the ‘five best ASX stocks’ for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of April 3 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Allkem. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Want growth and passive income? Here are the ASX shares I’d buy for the best of both worlds

    a man sits at his desk wearing a business shirt and tie and has a hearty laugh at something on his mobile phone.

    a man sits at his desk wearing a business shirt and tie and has a hearty laugh at something on his mobile phone.

    Most investors target particular ASX shares chasing either growth or passive income from dividends. But some of the best ASX shares give their investors the best of both worlds. They are hard to find, and often their lucrativeness is only obvious in hindsight.

    So today, let’s take a look at two ASX shares that might just fit the bill of providing both capital growth potential and dividend income.

    2 ASX shares that could deliver both growth and dividends

    WiseTech Global Ltd (ASX: WTC)

    ASX 200 logistics share Wisetech has been a poster child for growth investors for years now. And fair enough too. The Wisetech share price has rocketed 567% over the past five years alone and is up an extraordinary 1,540% since 2016. And the growth doesn’t look to be slowing down either.

    Earlier this year, WiseTech reported its latest half-year earnings, and they were a pretty sight. The company revealed a 35% rise in revenues, as well as a 40% surge in underlying net profit after tax (NPAT) to $108.5 million.

    But Wisetech has also been quietly growing its dividends too.

    Back in 2017, the company paid out a total of 2.2 cents per share in dividends. But by 2022, this had grown to 11.2 cents per share, up more than 400% from 2017. 2023’s Wisetech interim dividend of 6.6 cents per share was also a significant 39% increase over the corresponding dividend of 4.75 cents in 2022.

    TechnologyOne Ltd (ASX: TNE)

    Another ASX 200 tech share, enterprise software products company TechnologyOne is next up today. This is another company whose share price has followed its profitability growth over recent years.

    Since 2018, the TechnologyOne share price has risen by an impressive 195%. In its most recent earnings from November last year (covering FY2022), TechnologyOne reported an 18% rise in revenues, as well as a 22% surge in NPAT to $112.32 million.

    But again, it’s not just share price growth that investors have banked on. Back in 2018, TechnologyOne shares doled out a total of 11 cents per share in dividends. But by 2022, this had risen to 17 cents per share up more than 54%.

    So here we have another ASX 200 share that has demonstrated a strong track record of providing both share price growth and a rising dividend.

     

    The post Want growth and passive income? Here are the ASX shares I’d buy for the best of both worlds appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Looking to buy dividend shares to help fight inflation?

    If you’re looking to buy dividend shares to help fight inflation then you’ll need to get your hands on this… Our FREE report revealing 3 stocks not only boasting inflation-fighting dividends…

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    *Returns as of April 3 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Technology One and WiseTech Global. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended WiseTech Global. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Technology One. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • ASX 200 energy shares Santos and Woodside outperforming as oil hits new 2023 highs

    An oil refinery worker stands in front of an oil rig with his arms crossed and a smile on his face as the Woodside share price climbs todayAn oil refinery worker stands in front of an oil rig with his arms crossed and a smile on his face as the Woodside share price climbs today

    S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) energy shares are outpacing the benchmark today.

    The ASX 200 is down 0.22% in late morning trading after heading lower from the open.

    However, the big energy stocks are helping drive the S&P/ASX 200 Energy Index (ASX: XEJ) significantly higher, up 0.48%.

    At the time of writing, the Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) share price is up 0.35%.

    Meanwhile, rival ASX 200 energy share Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) is marching 0.59% higher at this same time.

    What’s helping lift these ASX 200 energy shares?

    The Santos and Woodside share prices both look to be benefiting from rising crude oil prices.

    In fact, US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) hit its highest level in 2023 overnight, trading for US$83.26 per barrel. That’s up 24.7% from the recent lows of US$66.74 per barrel WTI was fetching on 17 March.

    Brent crude is also nearing 2023 highs, reaching US$87.33 per barrel overnight. That same barrel was trading for US$72.97 on 17 March.

    The oil price, and by connection these ASX 200 energy shares, have been marching higher largely due to supply-side issues.

    While the market remains concerned about a potential global recession denting energy demand, the recent production cuts by OPEC+ look to be achieving what the cartel’s members hoped. ‘Plus’ member Russia’s oil shipments were reported to have fallen to the lowest levels in two months.

    Declining US inventories also look to be supporting the higher oil price.

    Commenting on the market moves, market analyst at StoneX Fawad Razaqzada, pointed to the latest inflation report out of the United States.

    “The weaker US CPI print has raised doubts over whether the Fed will now hike rates at all next month,” he said (quoted by Reuters). “Falling interest-rate expectations is reducing recession concerns and helping to support buck-denominated asset prices at the same time.”

    With oil still priced in greenbacks, a lower US dollar forecast looks to be good news for ASX 200 energy shares Santos and Woodside today.

    The post <strong>ASX 200 energy shares Santos and Woodside outperforming as oil hits new 2023 highs</strong> appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    *Returns as of April 3 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • ‘Exceeded all expectation’: Guess which tiny ASX battery share is launching 25% today

    A man in a hard hat and high visibility vest holds his thumb up in a gesture of confidence with heavy moving equipment in the background as on a mine site as the Chalice Mining share price rises todayA man in a hard hat and high visibility vest holds his thumb up in a gesture of confidence with heavy moving equipment in the background as on a mine site as the Chalice Mining share price rises today

    The share price of $32 million battery metals explorer Future Battery Minerals Ltd (ASX: FBM) is launching higher this morning following a significant lithium discovery.

    Drilling at the company’s 80%-owned Nevada Lithium Project has uncovered lithium-bearing claystone, including one intercept the explorer is “extremely excited” about.

    The Future Battery Minerals share price is surging 25% at the time of writing to trade at 10 cents.

    Let’s take a closer look at the news driving the ASX battery share sky-high today.

    ASX critical minerals stock leaps 31% on Thursday

    The Future Battery Minerals share price is leaping on findings dubbed by company technical director Robin Cox as “an exceptional start to … early-stage exploration efforts”.

    Of the findings from the maiden drill program conducted at the Nevada Lithium Project, the company is most excited about one of four drill holes conducted at the project’s Western Flats.

    Assay results from WF23-011 returned 109.7 metres at 766 parts per million lithium, exhibiting a significant high-grade component. The intercept remains open to the south and west, leaving the potential for more lithium discoveries.

    Cox commented that the results have so far “exceeded all expectation”. The company is planning to kick off phase two drilling later this quarter.

    It’s also currently drilling at its 80%-owned Kangaroo Hills Lithium Project, located in Western Australia. Assays confirmed spodumene-bearing lithium-caesium-tantalum pegmatites at the project last month.

    Future Battery Minerals chair Mike Edwards commented on the news driving the ASX explorer’s share price today, saying:

    In a short space of time the company has delivered two high potential lithium discoveries, cementing our position as an aggressive and effective explorer for lithium.

    In addition, we are also continuing work to realise the significant value from the company’s three Western Australia located nickel sulphide assets.

    Future Battery Minerals share price snapshot

    This year has been a good one so far for the Future Battery Minerals share price on the ASX. Though its longer-term performance hasn’t been quite so prosperous.

    The stock has roared 96% so far this year. Though, it’s fallen 23% over the last 12 months.

    The post ‘Exceeded all expectation’: Guess which tiny ASX battery share is launching 25% today appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Future Battery Minerals right now?

    Before you consider Future Battery Minerals, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Future Battery Minerals wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of April 3 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Does the Pilbara Minerals share price fall finally make it a no-brainer buy?

    a mine worker holds his phone in one hand and a tablet in the other as he stands in front of heavy machinery at a mine site.a mine worker holds his phone in one hand and a tablet in the other as he stands in front of heavy machinery at a mine site.

    The Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS) share price has dropped around 30% since 25 January 2023. Is this the perfect time to buy into the ASX lithium share?

    This has been a tough period for the company, it has underperformed the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) – the ASX 200 only dropped by 2% over that same time period.

    What has gone wrong for the Pilbara Minerals share price?

    The company’s fortunes are heavily linked to the lithium price. A commodity producer is able to produce a certain amount of its resource. That production has a cost that doesn’t change much from month to month.

    If the commodity price increases, the company is getting more revenue while costs stay the same – higher prices largely add straight onto net profit for a miner.

    But, it’s the opposite when resource prices fall. It mostly wipes off the profit.

    Sadly, for Pilbara Minerals, the lithium price has dropped quite heavily over the last few months.

    It’s not just the lithium price that has been going downward. Tesla recently cut prices for its cars and has been regularly doing so to try to “drive demand” according to The Guardian reporting on Elon Musk’s comments.

    However, these price changes by Tesla have reportedly “stoked demand”. Perhaps this will increase the demand for lithium.

    Is this a good time to buy?

    I think that the best time to buy ASX mining shares is when there’s pessimism and the commodity price has fallen. This certainly describes the situation for the Pilbara Minerals share price. It’s not as low as it could be, but we don’t know how low things are going to go.

    Pilbara Minerals is growing its production and the lithium price is still at a good price for the company to generate good cash flow. It has a huge cash pile – its cash balance was $2.23 billion at 31 December 2022. If we removed the cash from the valuation, I think the valuation would look very reasonable.

    I think the long-term outlook for electric vehicle demand is very good, which should help support the lithium price. I like Pilbara Minerals’ plan to become more involved in the lithium value chain, which can help increase its profit margins.

    The current projection on Commsec is that the business could generate 53.3 cents per share of earnings per share (EPS), putting the Pilbara Minerals share price at under 7 times FY24’s estimated earnings. That projection implies a 35% fall in profit compared to the forecast EPS for FY23. It could also pay a grossed-up dividend yield of 6.5% in FY24.

    I think it’s a fairly good time to buy shares for the longer term.

    The post Does the Pilbara Minerals share price fall finally make it a no-brainer buy? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Pilbara Minerals Limited right now?

    Before you consider Pilbara Minerals Limited, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Pilbara Minerals Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of April 3 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • ASX 200 dips amid slowing US inflation and Fed rate hike bets

    A man sits in front of his laptop computer with his head on his hand and a sad, dejected look on his face after seeing how far Whitehaven shares have fallen today

    A man sits in front of his laptop computer with his head on his hand and a sad, dejected look on his face after seeing how far Whitehaven shares have fallen today

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is down 0.07% in early trade today after the benchmark index closed up 0.5% yesterday.

    The ASX 200 is following the lead of US markets, which all closed lower overnight.

    This came after the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics released its March Consumer Price Index (CPI) data during trading hours in the US yesterday.

    Here’s what we know.

    ASX 200 dips despite slowing US inflation

    US markets and the ASX 200 are both trending lower despite headline CPI slowing to 5% in March after coming in at 6% in February.

    CPI in the world’s largest economy hit a high of 9.1% last June. March marks the sixth consecutive month that the pace of inflation has been slowing.

    While that’s good news, at the end of the day it wasn’t good enough to boost US stocks. Or the ASX 200.

    The Federal Reserve’s inflation target is 2%, mind you. Meaning there’s quite some way to go yet before the Fed, and investors, can breathe easy.

    Core inflation, which strips out volatile goods like energy and food, also remains a concern. Core CPI edged higher month on month in March and now sits at 5.6% in the US.

    Then there’s the jobs market. Which is strong.

    While no one likes to see people out of work, the 3.5% unemployment rate in the US remains an issue for Fed chair Jerome Powell as the tight labour market will put upward pressure on wages, making inflation stickier.

    Can we expect another rate hike from the Fed?

    While slowing headline CPI in the US is certainly welcome news, ASX 200 investors should expect another 0.25% rate hike when the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets next month.

    According to Oxford Economics chief US economist Ryan Sweet (quoted by The Australian Financial Review):

    We expect the Fed to increase the target range for the fed funds rate by 25 bps in both May and June and then pause through the remainder of this year. However, the odds of a pause in June are rising.

    As for the banking crisis in the US and Europe, Citi economist Andrew Hollenhorst said that was unlikely to derail the FOMC members from lifting rates to tamp down inflation:

    Fed members [John] Williams along with [James] Bullard, [Thomas] Barkin and [Patrick] Harker (as well as Treasury Secretary Yellen) suggested that while it is possible tighter credit conditions will slow the economy, they are not yet seeing evidence that will be the case.

    We agree with that assessment.

    So, despite slowing CPI figures, prices are still rising too fast in the US.

    And with another rate hike from the world’s most influential central bank now looking very likely in May, ASX 200 shares are facing some headwinds today.

    The post ASX 200 dips amid slowing US inflation and Fed rate hike bets appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in right now?

    Before you consider , you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of April 3 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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