Tag: Motley Fool

  • Is Woolworths ‘the granddaddy of recession-proof stocks’?

    a woman ponders products on a supermarket shelf while holding a tin in one hand and holding her chin with the other.a woman ponders products on a supermarket shelf while holding a tin in one hand and holding her chin with the other.

    Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) shares saw plenty of volatility during the COVID-19 period. But now the economy is facing uncertain times amid inflation and higher interest rates. Could Woolworths be one of the most recession-proof stocks around?

    As a supermarket business, it’s understandable why investors may be looking at Woolworths shares as a defensive option because it sells food – one of the most essential products that a household needs.

    We all need to eat, so even if there is a decline in economic demand for other ASX shares, I don’t think it’s likely that Woolworths will suffer the same fate.

    Is Woolworths the most recession-proof ASX stock?

    During the worrying times of March 2020, there was huge demand for Woolworths products. In fact, Christmas-time levels of demand.

    The last year has shown that even though food prices have been going up, households have kept buying – what choice did they have?

    If a recession were to occur, I think people are going to choose to buy food from Woolworths over buying a new TV, going on a holiday, buying new clothes, or other non-essential spending.

    Certainly, I’d suggest that Woolworths’ earnings are less likely to fall in a recession than those of JB Hi-Fi Limited (ASX: JBH), Super Retail Group Ltd (ASX: SUL), or Nick Scali Limited (ASX: NCK).

    Let’s not forget that Woolworths also owns the majority of the PETstock business – I’d guess that households will continue to spend on their furry (or non-furry) friends.

    However, I’m not sure that Big W’s earnings are that defensive, even though it’s only a relatively small part of Woolworths’ overall earnings.

    We could say that Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL) has a very similar set-up to Woolworths because of its large chain of supermarkets. But, Coles has a liquor division rather than PETstock and Big W.

    I think Woolworths is right up there as one of the most recession-proof ASX stocks when it comes to its earnings.

    There are a few other categories and ASX shares that I might expect to continue performing, such as funeral provider Propel Funeral Partners Ltd (ASX: PFP) because of the inevitable annual demand for its services. Telco Telstra Group Ltd (ASX: TLS) and energy infrastructure business APA Group (ASX: APA) could also see strong resilience.

    Recent performance

    The latest we’ve heard from Woolworths has been very promising. Woolworths reported that in the first six months of FY23, sales rose 4% to $33.2 billion and underlying earnings per share (EPS) grew 11.7% to 71.9 cents.

    Its financials have done well and the Woolworths share price has jumped 18% in 2023 to date. But, valuation can be a risk if the share price goes too high.

    According to Commsec, Woolworths shares are valued at 28x FY23’s estimated earnings. I think the business is a good candidate for a recession-proof stock, but it doesn’t look cheap at this price considering how high interest rates are these days.

    The post Is Woolworths ‘the granddaddy of recession-proof stocks’? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Woolworths Group Limited right now?

    Before you consider Woolworths Group Limited, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Woolworths Group Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of April 3 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Super Retail Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended APA Group, Coles Group, Super Retail Group, and Telstra Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended JB Hi-Fi and Propel Funeral Partners. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • The BHP share price is taking off today. Could this be why?

    A female miner wearing a high vis vest and hard hard smiles and holds a clipboard while inspecting a mine site with a colleague.A female miner wearing a high vis vest and hard hard smiles and holds a clipboard while inspecting a mine site with a colleague.

    The BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) share price is starting the week off on the right foot, leaping 1.8% to trade at $45.86 in early trading.

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) iron ore miner’s stock is taking off amid news of its planned acquisition of copper producer OZ Minerals Ltd (ASX: OZL).

    For comparison, the ASX 200 is up 1.21% right now while BHP’s home sector – the S&P/ASX 200 Materials Index – is gaining 2.11%.

    The takeover is one step closer to being realised after it was granted approvals from Vietnam’s competition regulator.

    Let’s take a closer look at the latest from the ASX’s biggest company.

    BHP copper acquisition receives regulatory approval

    The BHP share price is climbing amid good news of its proposed $9.8 billion acquisition of OZ Minerals.

    The pair today announced that Vietnam’s Competition and Consumer Authority has approved the takeover – leaving one less condition to be satisfied prior to its implementation.

    And just in time. The acquisition will face a shareholder vote on Thursday.

    If approved by investors, the court will be given the final say, with implementation then scheduled for early May.

    BHP put forward a $28.25 per share bid for the copper miner in November 2022.

    That offer will likely be less a $1.75 fully franked dividend OZ Minerals intends to declare, as revealed in February.

    Interestingly, the OZ Minerals share price is flat this morning at $28.14 a share, the same as Thursday’s closing price.

    BHP share price underperforms ASX 200 in 2023

    Both stocks have underperformed the broader ASX 200 so far this year.

    The index has risen 4% in 2023 so far. At the same time, BHP shares have dumped 0.6% and OZ Minerals’ have lifted 0.6%.  

    Looking further back, the BHP share price is down 12.8% over the last 12 months while OZ Minerals’ stock has gained 9.3%. Meanwhile, the ASX 200 has slumped 3.2%.

    The post The BHP share price is taking off today. Could this be why? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    FREE Investing Guide for Beginners

    Despite what some people may say – we believe investing in shares doesn’t have to be overwhelming or complicated…

    For over a decade, we’ve been helping everyday Aussies get started on their journey.

    And to help even more people cut through some of the confusion “experts’” seem to want to perpetuate – we’ve created a brand-new “how to” guide.

    Yes, Claim my FREE copy!
    *Returns as of April 3 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Here’s how much I would need to invest in Fortescue shares to generate a $150 monthly income

    A man in a hard hat and high visibility vest holds his thumb up in a gesture of confidence with heavy moving equipment in the background as on a mine site as the Chalice Mining share price rises todayA man in a hard hat and high visibility vest holds his thumb up in a gesture of confidence with heavy moving equipment in the background as on a mine site as the Chalice Mining share price rises today

    Earning monthly income from ASX dividend shares can be a good way of generating extra cash on the side.

    Mining giant Fortescue Metals Group Ltd (ASX: FMG) has a strong history of paying dividends to investors.

    Fortescue shares have climbed 5% in the year to date and were priced at $21.57 at last close.

    How many Fortescue shares would get you to $150 a month in dividends?

    Starting with the basics, a monthly income of $150 equates to an annual income of $1800.

    Fortescue has paid $1.96 worth of dividends in the past year. This consists of an interim fully franked dividend of 75 cents per share in the first half of FY23, and a final fully franked dividend of $1.21 per share in the second half of FY22.

    So in order to have received $1800 ($150 a month) from Fortescue shares over the past year, investors would need to own 918 shares in the company.

    At the last closing price of $21.57 per share, this would cost an investor $19,801.26.

    Dividend estimate

    Looking to the future, the team at Bell Potter is tipping Fortescue to pay a larger dividend in the second half of FY23.

    Analysts are forecasting Fortescue to pay a fully franked final dividend of 148.8 cents per share this financial year.

    If this eventuates, Fortescue would pay a total of 223.8 cents per share in dividends in the 2023 financial year.

    To receive $1800 in annual income — or $150 in monthly income — from a 223.8 cents per share dividend, investors would need to own 804 Fortescue shares ($1,800 divided by $2.238).

    Therefore, based on the company’s last closing share price of $21.57, investors would need to invest $17,342.28 in Fortescue to generate a monthly income of $150.

    Fortescue reported an underlying earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) of US$4.352 billion in the first half of FY23, down 8.6% on the prior corresponding half.

    Share price snapshot

    The Fortescue share price has slipped 0.42% in the last year. However, in the past week, the company’s share price has climbed 1.94%.

    Fortescue has a market capitalisation of about $66.4 billion based on its last closing price.

    The post Here’s how much I would need to invest in Fortescue shares to generate a $150 monthly income appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Fortescue Metals Group Limited right now?

    Before you consider Fortescue Metals Group Limited, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Fortescue Metals Group Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of April 3 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Monica O’Shea has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • This ASX 200 share could pay a dividend yield of almost 7% by 2025

    Stethoscope with a piggy bank and hundred dollar notes.Stethoscope with a piggy bank and hundred dollar notes.

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) share Medibank Private Limited (ASX: MPL) is expected to pay an increasingly attractive dividend in the next few years.

    The ASX healthcare share has been through plenty of difficulties with a cyberattack. However, the Medibank share price has been steadily climbing since hitting a low after the sell-off.

    Despite the rise in the share price, the private healthcare business is still projected to pay a sizeable dividend yield this year and beyond.

    Ongoing growth

    In the recent half-year result, the business saw a number of growth numbers, despite concerns about what could happen after the cyber attack.

    It revealed that group net profit after tax (NPAT) rose 5.9% to $233.3 million despite cybercrime costs of $26.2 million, net resident policyholders grew 1,700 (or 0.7%) and net non-resident policy units grew by 33,400 (or 17%). The health insurance operating profit increased 8.7% to $305.2 million. Medibank also increased its interim dividend by 3.3% to 6.3 cents per share.

    It said that more normal business operations resumed in January, with “early signs of improvement in policyholder trajectory”. In the month up to 18 February, it saw net growth of 200.

    The ASX 200 share also reported that the resident health insurance market remained “buoyant” with growing numbers of younger adults and those taking out cover for the first time despite the challenging economic conditions.

    Dividend expectations

    According to projections on Commsec, the business is expected to pay an annual dividend per share of 14 cents in FY23. This would be a grossed-up dividend yield of 5.8%.

    The dividend could then grow by 11.4% to an annual payment of 15.6 cents per share. This would be a grossed-up dividend yield of 6.5%.

    Commsec projections suggest that the ASX 200 share’s dividend could grow by another 2.6% to 16 cents per share in FY25. This would be a grossed-up dividend yield of 6.7%, almost reaching that 7% level.

    Foolish takeaway

    Dividends are not guaranteed. But, if Medibank can keep increasing its profit then the dividend can keep increasing as well.

    The post This ASX 200 share could pay a dividend yield of almost 7% by 2025 appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Medibank Private Limited right now?

    Before you consider Medibank Private Limited, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Medibank Private Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of April 3 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Here’s why the Arafura share price is racing 11% higher

    A woman with strawberry blonde hair has a huge smile on her face and fist pumps the air having seen good news on her phone.

    A woman with strawberry blonde hair has a huge smile on her face and fist pumps the air having seen good news on her phone.

    The Arafura Rare Earths Ltd (ASX: ARU) share price has returned from its trading halt with a bang.

    In morning trade, the rare earths developer’s shares are up 11% to 53.5 cents.

    Why is the Arafura share price racing higher?

    Investors have been bidding the Arafura share price higher today after the company announced a major offtake agreement for its Nolans project.

    According to the release, the company has signed a binding offtake agreement with Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy for up to 400 tonnes per annum (tpa) of neodymium and praseodymium (NdPr) metal.

    Siemens Gamesa is a pioneer and leader of the wind industry with 27,000 employees.

    The deal

    The deal is for five years (with an option to extend for two more) and will see offtake volumes start at 200tpa in 2026 before increasing to 360tpa in 2027 and then 400tpa for the following three years. This is in line with the ramp up of the Nolans project.

    Management notes that this is the second offtake agreement to be signed, with approximately 53% of its targeted 85% annual production now secured under long-term sale arrangements.

    In addition, the company highlights that this offtake agreement will support its ongoing discussions with Germany’s ECA Euler Hermes for an untied loan guarantee of up to US$600 million to support the project.

    Arafura’s Managing Director, Gavin Lockyer, commented:

    We are delighted to have concluded negotiations for our second offtake agreement. Siemens Gamesa is the world’s leading manufacturer of offshore wind turbines, and this agreement compliments our strategy to create supply diversification into the renewable & E-mobility sectors.

    The Arafura share price is now up 52% since this time last year.

    The post Here’s why the Arafura share price is racing 11% higher appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Arafura Resources Limited right now?

    Before you consider Arafura Resources Limited, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Arafura Resources Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of April 3 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Newcrest share price jumps on new takeover offer

    A man clenches his fists in excitement as gold coins fall from the sky.

    A man clenches his fists in excitement as gold coins fall from the sky.

    The Newcrest Mining Ltd (ASX: NCM) share price is on the move on Tuesday morning.

    At the time of writing, the gold miner’s shares are up 6.5% to $30.12.

    Why is the Newcrest share price rising?

    The Newcrest share price is defying a pullback in the gold price overnight after the company received an improved takeover proposal from US giant Newmont.

    Back in February, Newcrest received and rejected an all-scrip offer that was the equivalent of $27.40 per share. This followed the rejection of a previously undisclosed $26.15 per share offer.

    The Newcrest board felt that the offer undervalued the company. It explained:

    The Board has considered the Indicative Proposal and has unanimously determined to reject the offer as it does not represent sufficient value for Newcrest shareholders.

    New offer

    This morning, Newcrest revealed that it has received an improved offer of 0.4 Newmont shares per Newcrest share.

    In addition, the conditional and non-binding proposal permits Newcrest to pay a franked special dividend of up to US$1.10 per share.

    This represents an aggregate implied value of A$32.87 per share, which is a 16% premium to the current Newcrest share price. It also values the company’s equity at $29.4 billion and implies an enterprise value of $32 billion.

    The good news for Newmont is that this offer has been enough to get it access to Newcrest’s books. The miner has agreed to grant Newmont the opportunity to conduct confirmatory due diligence to put forward a binding proposal.

    However, management has warned that there is no certainty that the revised proposal will result in a binding offer for consideration by shareholders. As a result, shareholders do not need to take any action at this stage.

    Newcrest will continue to keep the market informed of any material developments in accordance with its continuous disclosure obligations.

    The post Newcrest share price jumps on new takeover offer appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Newcrest Mining Limited right now?

    Before you consider Newcrest Mining Limited, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Newcrest Mining Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of April 3 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Is the CBA share price heading back over $100?

    A man in a suit smiles at the yellow piggy bank he holds in his hand.A man in a suit smiles at the yellow piggy bank he holds in his hand.

    The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) share price appears to have been caught up in what many have called a global banking crisis.

    That saw it tumbling below $100 for the first time since October last year, hitting a 2023 low of $93.05 last month.

    So, is the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO)’s biggest bank destined to sit below three figures for now, or is it gearing up to post a ripper recovery? Let’s take a look.

    Was the ASX 200 banking giant caught up in international drama?

    The CBA share price hasn’t traded over $100 since early March. In the meantime, the global banking sector has faced major disruptions.

    United States-based Silvergate Bank kicked off a string of collapses last month, embroiling Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank as well. Not to mention, Credit Suisse appeared to be saved from the same fate by an acquisition agreement with Swiss peer UBS.

    No doubt, all that shook some investors’ confidence in the sector, thereby weighing on shares in the likes of CBA.

    But experts remain divided on whether things could be about to turn around for the biggest of the big four banks.

    Will the CBA share price surpass $100?

    CBA shares currently trade with a 4.2% dividend yield, a 17.15 price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, and a 2.31 price-to-book (P/B) ratio, according to CommSec.

    That makes the stock the most expensive of its big four banking peers on a P/E and P/B basis. It also offers the lowest dividend yield of the lot.

    But Fairmont Equities’ Michael Gable believes the stock is worth the premium. The expert tips the bank to outperform over the long term due to its quality, as per The Bull.

    Meanwhile, broker UBS has a $100 price target on CBA shares while Morgans expects the stock to slump to $96.11.

    Personally, I think the CBA share price is likely to bounce into triple-digits in the near future. Indeed, it’s less than 1% off the milestone figure right now.

    However, only time will tell if the stock can both surpass $100 and remain there, over the long term.

    The post Is the CBA share price heading back over $100? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Commonwealth Bank Of Australia right now?

    Before you consider Commonwealth Bank Of Australia, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Commonwealth Bank Of Australia wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of April 3 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • At 10.2%, is this ASX 200 share a high-yield bargain?

    A man reacts with surprise when her see a bargain price on his phone.A man reacts with surprise when her see a bargain price on his phone.

    It’s not too often you find an ASX 200 dividend share sporting a high yield like 8.3%. Dividend yields are a direct result of a company’s share price. So it’s unusual to see investors allow a good-quality company’s share price to get so low that it jacks up its dividend yield to 8.3%. 

    Yet that’s exactly the situation facing investors of famous ASX 200 retail share Harvey Norman Holdings Limited (ASX: HVN).

    Harvey Norman hasn’t yet paid out its 2023 interim dividend. That payday for investors will come on 1 May next month. Investors are in line to net themselves 13 cents per share, fully franked. Together with the final dividend worth 17.5 cents per share that investors received back in November, Harvey Norman’s annual dividend now stands at a fully-franked 30.5 cents per share.

    At market close on Friday, Harvey Norman shares finished trading at $3.67, down 1.08%:

    At this share price, Havey Norman’s 30.5 cents per share in dividends gives this company a dividend yield of 10.22% right now. 

    So is this ASX 200 share a high-yield bargain that shouldn’t be ignored?

    Is this ASX 200 retail share a bargain buy right now?

    Well, Harvey Norman shares certainly look cheap, just going off the company’s metrics. At $3.67, Harvey Norman sports a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of just 6.14.

    By way of comparison, Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) shares currently have a P/E ratio of 17.15, while the Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL) share price is at 21.95.

    But who better to judge if Harvey Norman shares are a bargain buy than the man who co-founded the company, Gerry Harvey?

    Well, Harvey clearly thinks his own company is being undervalued by the markets. Late last month, we reported on how Harvey has been on an absolute buying spree of late. He had picked up more than $76 million worth of Harvey Norman shares over 2023 alone by the end of March.

    And he hasn’t seemed to slow down either. An ASX filing from 3 April shows that Harvey made yet another purchase of 642,000 shares, close to $1 million worth, on 29 March.

    So Harvey clearly thinks his own company is well in the bargain buy zone right now. But he’s not the only one. As we covered last week, ASX broker Goldman Sachs is another Harvey Norman bull. Goldman commented the following on its buy rating on Harvey Norman shares:

    Harvey Norman holds a unique position within the electronics and appliances retail industry as a result of its franchise model of operations in Australia, property portfolio and regional exposure. While we do not view HVN as the most advanced retailer on digitalization, we view HVN as a more defensive option that is under-valued in the home category.

    The broker has a 12-month share price target of $4.70 for the company.

    So there’s more than one expert who is clearly seeing some value in this ASX 200 retail share right now.

    The post At 10.2%, is this ASX 200 share a high-yield bargain? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Harvey Norman Holdings Limited right now?

    Before you consider Harvey Norman Holdings Limited, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Harvey Norman Holdings Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of April 3 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group and Harvey Norman. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Coles Group and Harvey Norman. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Is Wesfarmers a good defensive ASX 200 stock to buy in the current climate?

    A young woman sits at her desk in deep contemplation with her hand to her chin while seriously considering information she is reading on her laptopA young woman sits at her desk in deep contemplation with her hand to her chin while seriously considering information she is reading on her laptop

    Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES) shares have been rising over the last six months. Is this a solid, defensive S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) stock to own in the current environment?

    There are a number of different businesses within the Wesfarmers stable including Bunnings, Officeworks, Kmart, Target and Priceline.

    It may be said that each of these businesses could have varying levels of resilience during an economic downturn.

    I think the recent past could be a useful guide. I’m not talking about the COVID-19 period, Wesfarmers performed excellently during the pandemic.

    The last difficult period

    The coronavirus period was certainly tricky for many businesses, but the huge demand for DIY and construction materials, as well as technology and other products that Wesfarmers sold.

    But, FY19 may be a good example of somewhat similar conditions where house prices had fallen and economic demand was lower.

    In that result, Wesfarmers’ continuing operations earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) increased 12.2% and net profit after tax (NPAT) grew 13.5%. Bunnings managed to grow earnings.

    But, as the saying goes, past performance is not a guarantee of future performance for the ASX 200 stock.

    Are Wesfarmers shares defensive?

    I think it’s important to say that no share price is impervious to volatility. Even if a company’s profit isn’t affected by a downturn, the market can still decide to push down a share price due to investor pessimism.

    However, I believe that Wesfarmers is well-positioned to outperform in the current environment, making it a defensive ASX 200 stock.

    In a time when household budgets may be stretched and particularly value-conscious, the price-focused businesses of Bunnings and Kmart could attract more customers than competitors.

    Considering Priceline is a business that operates in the healthcare sector, it could also display good earnings.

    The Wesfarmers chemicals, energy and fertiliser (WesCEF) segment seems to continue to perform thanks to the demand for commodities.

    In my opinion, a good majority of Wesfarmers’ earnings could grow in FY23. Commsec estimates suggest that the company could generate earnings per share (EPS) of $2.14 in FY23 and $2.25 in FY24. This would put Wesfarmers shares at 24 times FY23’s estimated earnings and 23 times FY24’s estimated earnings.

    Is the Wesfarmers share price a good buy?

    I think Wesfarmers is usually a good business to consider because of its diversified operations and ability to invest in new businesses.

    It’s not as cheap as it was last year. But, I think it has the potential to deliver capital growth, as well as good dividends.

    There may be a bit of pain if interest rate effects hit harder than expected. But, over the long term, I think Wesfarmers is one of the most interesting and compelling ASX 200 stocks out there. I’d call it a buy.

    The post Is Wesfarmers a good defensive ASX 200 stock to buy in the current climate? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Wesfarmers Limited right now?

    Before you consider Wesfarmers Limited, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Wesfarmers Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of April 3 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • The Webjet share price has soared 50% in 6 months: Why I think it’s still a buy

    A young woman makes an online travel booking as she sits on some steps with her suitcase next to her.A young woman makes an online travel booking as she sits on some steps with her suitcase next to her.

    The Webjet Limited (ASX: WEB) share price has done remarkably well over the last six months. It has risen by around 50%. There are not many ASX shares that have done as well as that.

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has only gone up by 8% over the past half-year period.

    Despite all of the higher interest rates, Webjet has managed to deliver excellent performance in terms of shareholder returns.

    But, I believe the business has a very promising future and I still think it’s a buy for the long-term.

    Reasonable valuation

    Profitability is quickly returning to the ASX travel share’s financials. By the 2025 financial year, it could be making a high level of profit for shareholders again.

    In the 2023 financial year, it’s expected to generate 15.4 cents of earnings per share (EPS), according to Commsec. Profit could approximately double in FY24 with an EPS of 31.4 cents.

    The ASX travel share’s profit could rise by another 28% in FY25 to 40.1 cents.

    Now, these are just projections – EPS could be weaker or stronger than those numbers.

    But, taking Webjet’s FY25 forecast, it puts the Webjet share price at 18 times FY25’s estimated earnings.

    I think FY25 could be the first full 12 months that the global travel industry is able to operate as normal with normalised airline capacity.

    One of the main reasons why I think that Webjet’s valuation looks reasonable is because I think it can keep growing.

    Growth expected

    In the recent FY23 half-year result, Webjet said it has returned to pre-pandemic bookings.

    WebBeds is Webjet’s business-to-business (B2B) segment. In HY23, the EBITDA margin was over 55% – ahead of pre-pandemic levels. In the seasonal peak of July and August, it achieved its EBITDA margin target of 62.5%. The ASX travel share said that WebBeds is on track to exceed pre-pandemic profitability in FY23.

    The company is expecting its underlying earnings to exceed pre-COVID underlying earnings in FY24.

    Webjet’s online travel agency business (OTA) has been gaining market share and it’s also hoping that new technology called Trip Ninja could increase its share of the international flights market.

    With WebBeds, the business sees a “massive global opportunity” – it’s targeting $10 billion of total transaction value (TTV). To put that in perspective, the entire business saw TTV of $2.14 billion in the FY23 first half.

    Webjet noted that WebBeds is now 35% more efficient on the metric of booking per full-time equivalent employee.

    Foolish takeaway

    I think the Webjet share price can climb from here over the long term, particularly if it keeps seeing good TTV growth and profit margin improvement. I believe it could continue to perform, even if the wider ASX share market stagnates.

    The post The Webjet share price has soared 50% in 6 months: Why I think it’s still a buy appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Webjet Limited right now?

    Before you consider Webjet Limited, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Webjet Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of April 3 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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