Tag: Motley Fool

  • Here’s why the LiveTiles (ASX:LVT) share price is charging higher today

    hand on touch screen lit up by a share price chart moving higher

    The LiveTiles Ltd (ASX: LVT) share price is pushing higher today following the release of its half year results.

    In morning trade the intranet and workplace technology software provider’s shares are up over 4% to 25 cents.

    How did LiveTiles perform in the first half?

    For the six months ended 31 December, LiveTiles reported a 10% increase in annualised recurring revenue (ARR) to $58.1 million. On a constant currency basis, its ARR grew 23% over the prior corresponding period.

    Also heading in the right direction was its operating expenses. Excluding non-recurring items, LiveTiles’ operating expenses reduced by 27% to $23 million.

    And while the company is still making a loss, it is narrowing. For the six months, LiveTiles recorded an operating loss of $2.3 million. This compares to an operating loss of $14 million a year earlier.

    It was a similar story on the bottom line, with LiveTiles’ loss after tax improving to $6.5 million from $15.9 million a year earlier. This improvement is being driven by strategic cost initiatives and continued revenue growth.

    At the end of the period, LiveTiles had a cash balance of $19.4 million.

    Management commentary

    LiveTiles Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer, Karl Redenbach, appeared pleased with the company’s performance during the half.

    He commented: “LiveTiles is pleased to have added to its record base of annualised recurring revenue and cash receipts, and been able to reinvest into its marketing initiatives and direct sales strategy after a period of cost discipline. Importantly we have achieved all of this with a remarkable 84% improvement in our Adjusted EBTIDA for the half compared to the same period last year.”

    “LiveTiles is adding new products and features, strengthening longstanding partnerships, striking new ones, finding integration efficiencies and enhancing our brand awareness in enterprise space.”

    And while no guidance has been given, Mr Redenbach notes that the company has started the second half positively.

     “We’ve started the calendar year with great momentum with our recent record customer win, which will help LiveTiles elevate itself as a clear leader in the Employee Experience industry and continue to win more Enterprise business,” he concluded.

    Where to invest $1,000 right now

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    James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of LIVETILES FPO. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended LIVETILES FPO. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • Why the Ramsay Health (ASX:RHC) share price is up 8% today

    healthcare asx share price rise represented by happy doctor

    The Ramsay Health Care Ltd (ASX: RHC) share price is up 8% this morning after the global private healthcare company reported its half-year results.

    Prior to open, Ramsay’s share price was sitting at $63.28. At the time of writing, the share price stands at $68.44. The share price has been impacted over the last 12 months, falling 18.3%, with COVID-19 creating a challenging environment. It appears the market was originally preparing for weaker results.

    What’s moving the Ramsay Health share price?

    Ramsay Health struggled through the half, with restrictions and lockdowns continuing in some of its operational regions. The impact of this was reflected in the 6.6% decline in operational revenue during the half-year. Additionally, lower demand for non-surgical services added to the dampened result.

    Looking locally, Australian operations resulted in earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA) of $402 million, a reduction of 21% compared to last year. Restrictions on capacity and increased costs associated with the COVID environment were held responsible for the decline.

    Luckily, Ramsay experienced lifts in EBITDA across Europe and the United Kingdom. This was mostly due to cost controls and cost support payments by governments. Importantly, this levelled out EBITDA for the group to $1.039 billion, a slight reduction of 1%.

    Lastly, the board has nominated to resume dividend payments to shareholders. Ramsay has declared a fully franked dividend per share of 48.5 cents, which indicates a 50% payout ratio. This decision has been made as the board holds confidence in the strong cash flows of the business.

    Ramsay’s light at the end of the tunnel?

    Ramsay has indicated that the second half will be highly contingent on how the COVID-19 situation transpires. Vaccine rollouts have reduced the number and severity of cases based on early data. However, uncertainty remains.

    The private hospital operator expects to continue investing in expanding the company’s footprint. Notably, during the half, Ramsay sold 9 facilities in Germany and 2 in France.

    Ramsay expects that surgeries placed on the backburner during COVID-19 disruptions will drive volumes over the next half. Some of these surgeries will also be from public waitlists, as Ramsay helps alleviate the public sector pressure.

    Finally, the company provided no guidance for FY21 due to the ongoing uncertainty. It seems that shareholders are not quite out of the woods yet.

    CEO commentary

    CEO and managing director, Craig McNally, provided commentary on today’s first-half results:

    The result reflects the operational and financial resilience of the Ramsay business. Despite the disruption caused by the pandemic, we continued to invest in the business across all regions as we look to maintain our competitive advantage and optimise our portfolio of facilities

    The Ramsay Health share price has unsurprisingly suffered downward pressure in the last year. Underperforming the broader market, Ramsay suffered a 15.4% fall over the 12 months gone.

    Where to invest $1,000 right now

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    Motley Fool contributor Mitchell Lawler owns shares of Ramsay Health Care Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Ramsay Health Care Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • Air New Zealand (ASX:AIZ) share price flies after earnings devastated

    asx share price rising higher represented by red paper plane flying above other white paper planes

    Air New Zealand Limited (ASX: AIZ) has posted a 93% loss in earnings before taxation and declined to give forward guidance other than “a significant loss in 2021”.

    The Kiwi airline released its interim results today for the half-year ending 31 December. In opening trade, the Air New Zealand share price lifted 2.4% to $1.495 per share.

    The airline’s earnings before other significant items and taxation was negative NZ$185 million for the half-year ending 31 December. It was positive NZ$198 million the prior year.

    Operating revenue was down 59%, totalling just NZ$1.2 billion. The net loss after tax amounted to NZ$72 million.

    Similar to its Australian rival Qantas Airways Limited (ASX: QAN), domestic and freight businesses kept some revenue coming in for the Kiwi carrier.

    Cargo revenue was actually up 91% for the December half, while domestic flights were back to 76% of pre-COVID levels.

    Air New Zealand chief Greg Foran said his team should be proud of the half-year results.

    “We wouldn’t be operating the level of domestic and cargo capacity we are without their extraordinary efforts.”

    Air New Zealand burning through cash

    Foran warned the company has depleted NZ$1 billion of its own cash reserves while also receiving government assistance, but this would not extend into the second half.

    The employee headcount has been slashed 38% to trim costs.

    “From the start of this crisis we have had to make a lot of incredibly tough calls, especially, where our people are concerned, and that is never something we would do lightly,” said Foran.

    “But it has all been with the sole purpose of ensuring Air New Zealand’s survival.”

    The New Zealand government has given a written guarantee that it would remain a majority shareholder of the carrier.

    No dividend will be paid out for the 2021 financial year.

    Foran had high hopes for the coming year, due to the arrival of coronavirus vaccines.

    “The strong recovery in domestic travel has been really exciting because it shows that when people have confidence to travel, they will,” he said.

    “With the rollout of the vaccines underway around the world and here in New Zealand, this has positive implications for our recovery when borders open.”

    Air New Zealand share price on the move

    The Air New Zealand share price was down 2.34% and closed at $1.46 yesterday as a new COVID-19 cluster broke out in Auckland. Three Australian states today closed the one-way bubble that allowed travellers from New Zealand to avoid quarantine upon arrival.

    The airline’s share price on the New Zealand exchange was also up 1.27% this morning.

    Where to invest $1,000 right now

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    Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo owns shares of Qantas Airways Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • Link (ASX:LNK) share price rises despite earnings fall

    top asx shares represented by investor kissing piggy bank

    Link Administration Holdings Ltd (ASX: LNK) shares are on the rise today after the company released its FY2021 half-year (1H21) results this morning. At the time of writing, the Link share price has edged 2.11% higher to $4.83.

    Let’s take a look at what the financial services business reported.

    Link earnings update

    The Link share price is edging higher in morning trade despite the company reporting 1H21 revenue of $597 million. This compares to $624 million in revenue for the prior corresponding period (pcp).

    Operating earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) dropped to $137 million in 1H21 compared to $163 million in the pcp.

    Link posted a statutory net profit after tax (NPAT) of $31 million compared to NPAT of $29 million in the FY20 first half.

    In positive news boosting the Link share price, earnings per share (EPS) was slightly up from 5.2 cents in 1H20 to 5.8 cents in 1H21.

    The board declared a 60% franked interim dividend of 4.5 cents per share. This compares to 6.5 cents per share in the pcp.

    CEO comments

    Reflecting on Link’s 1H21 performance, CEO and managing director Vivek Bhatia said: 

    Link Group has successfully navigated some challenging external conditions, demonstrating financial resilience. Our financial performance was underpinned by high levels of recurring revenue and strong free cash flows. We have clear strategic priorities that will continue to strengthen our capability to capture future opportunities…

    Link Group has demonstrated financial resilience during 1H 2021, providing a strong platform from which the business can resume earnings growth in FY 2022. Our core businesses have strong market positions and clear strategic ambitions. Trading to date has been in line with expectations, with European activity remaining subdued due to the extended COVID-19 related lockdowns in key jurisdictions.

    Link share price snapshot

    Link provides support services that help its clients manage their equities, pensions and superannuation, investments, property and other financial assets.

    Over the past year, the Link share price has fallen by around 22%. Year to date, Link shares have increased by 0.63%.

    Based on the current Link share price, the company has a market capitalisation of around $2.5 billion with 535 million shares outstanding.

    Where to invest $1,000 right now

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    Gretchen Kennedy has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of Link Administration Holdings Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Link Administration Holdings Ltd. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • Here’s why GameStop stock just exploded higher

    Red rocket and arrow boosting up a share price chart

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    What happened

    Shares of GameStop (NYSE: GME) were trading moderately higher on Wednesday until about 1 p.m. EST, when they started gaining a little momentum. Then, seemingly out of nowhere, the stock absolutely exploded higher. Trading was halted several times as it rapidly climbed to finish 104% higher for the day. And it’s still climbing after hours.

    So what

    Earlier this year, GameStop stock had an epic short squeeze, orchestrated by a group on Reddit called Wallstreetbets. This group noticed that short interest for GameStop stock was over 100%. With a clever combination of buying common shares and call options (called a gamma squeeze), the group was able to cause the price per share to go up, forcing many short-sellers to close their positions for massive losses.

    When the dust from the short squeeze settled, short interest for GameStop stock plummeted. Only about 40% of the float was shorted as of Jan. 29. More recent data isn’t available yet to know what it is exactly today. But the decline in short interest appeared to mark the end of the GameStop saga. The stock fell roughly 90% from peak highs.

    Except, apparently, everyone simply regrouped for round two. 

    Traders were out in full force late this afternoon, bidding GameStop stock back up. To be clear, 40% short interest is still significant enough to spark a mini short squeeze. However, it’s possible shorts decided to short GameStop again, thinking it was all over. After all, the stock was still trading more than 10 times where it traded before all of this began. If short interest has increased any since Jan. 29, then this could be a wild ride yet again.

    Now what

    Last time, many GameStop bulls felt cheated because of the trading restrictions Robinhood and other brokerages put on the stock. In a recent interview with Dave Portnoy, Robinhood’s CEO said it moved to restrict trading because it feared an impending liquidity issue if it didn’t act. Since then, the company has raised a lot of money, seemingly mitigating this risk. Considering all the negative press it received last time, it’s fair to wonder if Robinhood would restrict the buying of GameStop stock again. If it doesn’t, it will be interesting to watch just how high GameStop stock can fly.

    For me, I’ll be watching with interest. But I’m not a GameStop stock buyer today. When I invest, I’m looking for strong companies with long runways for growth. GameStop doesn’t fit that description for me.

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    Where to invest $1,000 right now

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    Jon Quast has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • Zip (ASX:Z1P) share price on watch with 130% revenue growth in HY21

    man hitting digital screen saying buy now pay later

    The Zip Co Ltd (ASX: Z1P) share price will be on watch today after revealing strong levels of growth in its FY21 half-year result.

    What did Zip report?

    Zip revealed that it generated record revenue of $160 million, which was growth of 130% year on year. At December 2020 it was generating annualised revenue of at least $480 million.

    This revenue growth was made possible thanks to total transaction volume (TTV) growth of 141% year on year to $2.32 billion – this was annualising at $7.5 billion at December 2020.

    Zip reported that it made positive cash earnings before tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBTDA) with cash gross profit margins increasing to 54%. The buy now, pay later company said that it is demonstrating market leading unit economics whilst investing for global growth.

    The company said that the addition of Quadpay delivered a step change in unit economics, revenue yield and capital efficiency for the company. Revenue as a percentage of TTV was 6.89%, the gross profit margin as percentage of TTV was 3.71% and the blended book is now recycling every three months on average.

    Zip said that it now has more than 5.7 million active customers, which was an increase of 217% year on year. It also has more than 38,500 merchants across the US, Australia, New Zealand and the UK.

    The company said that its credit performance continues to deliver market leading results with net bad debts of 1.93% in Australia, demonstrating the strength of Zip’s proprietary real-time credit decision technology.

    New growth and partnerships

    Zip said that it has secured key partnerships with Gamestop, Fanatics, Newegg and Sunglass Hut in the US. It has also partnered with Harvey Norman Holdings Limited (ASX: HVN), Domayne and Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ASX: ABY) in Australia.

    The buy now, pay later business also said that it has launched in the UK in December 2020 with a number of brands including Boohoo, JD Sports, Fanatics and Cotton On with a strong global pipeline building.

    Zip said it has now launched ‘Tap & Zip’ in Australia, becoming a Visa principal issuer. It has enabled a Chrome extension in the US, which enables users to pay later on any website.

    It has established a new markets team to explore strategic and opportunistic expansion. During the half, a number of investments were made in the buy now, pay later space across Europe and the Middle East. Canada is currently in the pilot stage and scheduled for a soft launch in the second half of FY21 to support the US merchant base.

    Zip business was formally launched after its beta period, with a refreshed brand, signing names like eBay and Facebook as partners. This allows small businesses to buy now, pay later for advertising and working capital.

    Zip share price movements

    The Zip share price has been shooting higher this year. Since the start of 2021, Zip shares have risen higher by 112%.

    Outlook

    Zip said that it has global momentum and it has set the foundations to accelerate growth across the world over the rest of FY21. It’s looking for new opportunities and strategic partnerships to expand the footprint.

    It also said that it has a strong pipeline of global retail partnerships. Zip is going to keep focusing on healthy and sustainable unit economics.

    Where to invest $1,000 right now

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    Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of ZIPCOLTD FPO. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • Why the Universal Store (ASX:UNI) share price is up 6% to a record high

    fashion asx share price rise represented by two women dancing among confetti

    The Universal Store Holdings Ltd (ASX: UNI) share price is charging higher on Thursday.

    In morning trade the fashion retailer’s shares are up 6.5% to a record high of $6.50.

    This means the Universal Store share price is now up 71% from its November IPO price of $3.80

    Why is the Universal Store share price charging higher?

    Investors have been buying Universal Store shares following the release of its half year results this morning.

    For the six months ended 31 December, the company reported an impressive 23.3% increase in sales to $118 million. This was driven by like for like store sales growth of 19.1% and a 128.3% jump in online sales. This offset store closures in Melbourne between August and October.

    Positively, the company reported an increase in both its gross and operating margins. This underpinned a 63.6% increase in underlying net profit after tax to $21.1 million. In light of this strong performance, the Universal Store Board has declared a fully franked interim dividend of 5 cents per share.

    The company received support from the JobKeeper program during the half and recorded a net benefit of $3 million. However, it has decided to repay these funds in the second half.

    Outlook

    Universal Store has started the second half very strongly. It has achieved sales growth of 23.5% during the first seven weeks of the half. This is being driven by like for like sales growth of 28.2%, which offset store closures during recent lockdowns.

    Positively, its gross margin has firmed and remains in line with the first half run rate.

    Looking ahead, management notes that it will soon be cycling a period of store closures in April and May. This should bode well for sales growth in these periods.

    In addition, it is “encouraged by the prospects for new occasions and other triggers for shopping and wardrobe renewal that will occur for our customers as “post Covid-19 normal” continues to emerge.”

    However, due to the ongoing uncertainty relating to COVID-19, the company is not providing guidance for FY 2021 at this time.

    Where to invest $1,000 right now

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    Scott just revealed what he believes are the five best ASX stocks for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they are great buys right now.

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • Why I’d follow Warren Buffett and hold cash after the 2020 stock market crash

    A handful of Australian $100 notes, indicating a cash position

    Warren Buffett has a long track record of using stock market crashes to his advantage. After all, his strategy centres on seeking to buy high-quality companies when they trade at low prices. Often, such a situation occurs when a market downturn has recently taken place.

    Since the next stock market decline could occur at any time, being prepared for the next one could be a sound move. By holding some cash, it is possible to be ready to capitalise on lower stock prices that may only be available temporarily.

    The next stock market crash may not be far away

    Predicting when the next stock market crash will occur is extremely difficult. After all, it can be prompted by a large number of factors that themselves are tough to estimate. For example, the 2020 market decline was caused by coronavirus, the course of which very few investors were able to predict even once it began to take place.

    Therefore, being in a position of constant preparedness for the next bear market could be a sound move. History suggests that no stock market rise ever lasts in perpetuity. This means that an investor who waits for the next market downturn may be able to use it to buy cheap shares, as Warren Buffett has done previously.

    Holding cash as per Warren Buffett

    Warren Buffett holds significant sums of cash at all times. This provides him with the means to invest at short notice should opportunities arise. Furthermore, it means he is liquid, in terms of having access to funds that can quickly be invested, in case there is a sudden resurgence in share prices. This took place following the 2020 stock market crash, when many share prices experienced a rally after their short-term declines.

    Of course, holding cash could mean lower returns than the stock market offers during a period of growth. Low interest rates mean that it is now difficult to obtain an inflation-beating return in some areas. However, this could be offset by the chance to be ready for the next market downturn, when low share prices may provide scope for long-term capital gains.

    Investing in solid businesses

    As well as holding cash in preparation for the next stock market crash, analysing current holdings to make sure they are financially sound could be a shrewd move. For example, ensuring they have solid balance sheets and competitive advantages in a changing world economy may lead to less risk and higher returns.

    Furthermore, holding stocks that have wide margins of safety could be a logical approach over the long run. When combined with having cash on hand in case a market downturn suddenly takes place, this may lead to less risk and higher returns in what may prove to be a volatile stock market over the coming years.

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    Motley Fool contributor Peter Stephens has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson. 

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  • Goldman Sachs thinks you should buy the dip for these 2 ASX shares 

    asx share price opportunity represented by road sign saying opportunity ahead

    For these 2 ASX shares, a reasonable interim result failed to translate into share price gains. After running the ruler for its results, Goldman Sachs thinks the market has got it wrong and reiterates its buy rating and higher target prices. 

    2 ASX shares that dipped on earnings 

    Jumbo Interactive Ltd (ASX: JIN) 

    On Tuesday, Jumbo reported a 9% increase in revenue to $40.9 million while underlying NPAT growth was flat at $14 million. Net profit figures came in slightly above Goldman’s estimates of $13.7 million. Despite a fair result, the Jumbo share price slumped more than 7% on Tuesday and struggled to bounce higher on Wednesday. 

    The broker’s view is that Jumbo’s result was broadly in line with expectations, while its medium-term story and long runway for growth remain intact. 

    It estimates that the lottery retailing segment has had a promising start to the FY21 second half, noting COVID-19 tailwinds and improvements to the company’s technology.  

    Jumbo also flagged strong growth prospects coming out of its newly established end-to-end lottery management offering. It highlighted a large total addressable market opportunity in Australia, estimated at $10.5 billion across the registered charities space. It has already signed up two partners to kick off the new division (Paralympics and St John Ambulance, forecast at around $6.5 million in combined annual total transaction volume).

    Goldman believes Tuesday’s selloff likely resulted from a combination of confusion around capital management, an overreaction to market share moves in 1H21 and a broader ASX tech selloff. 

    The broker reiterates its buy rating with a 12-month target price of $15.00. This represents an upside of 10.5% to today’s Jumbo share price.  

    Hub24 Ltd (ASX: HUB) 

    On Tuesday, the Hub24 share price fell 3% after the company announced its 1H21 results

    Hub24 delivered a 38% increase in NPAT to $7.5 million while its fully-franked dividend came in at 4.5 cents per share, a 29% increase. Interestingly, these results were broadly below Goldman’s estimates, but the bulk of the NPAT variance can be explained by higher share-based payments to employees. 

    Looking ahead, Hub24 reiterated that $10 million in annual cost synergies will be achieved by FY24 and noted that its Xplore Wealth Ltd (ASX: XPL) acquisition is scheduled to close shortly in March. 

    The results also included an upgrade to its FY22 funds under advice guidance from $28-$32 billion to $43-$49 billion. Behind the upgrade, Hub24 noted a very strong institutional pipeline, plus potential upside from its platform agreements with IOOF Holdings Limited (ASX: IFL) and Clearview Wealth Ltd (ASX: CVW)

    After running the numbers, Goldman downgraded its FY21 underlying NPAT by 8.1% due to the slight earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) miss and higher share-based payments. The broker still maintained a buy rating and reiterated its 12-month price target of $26.58, or an upside of 15% at the time of writing. 

    Where to invest $1,000 right now

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    Scott just revealed what he believes are the five best ASX stocks for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they are great buys right now.

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    Kerry Sun has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of Hub24 Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. recommends Jumbo Interactive Limited. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Jumbo Interactive Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Hub24 Ltd. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • Qantas (ASX:QAN) share price on watch after $1.1 billion loss

    qantas pilot putting hands to her face as if distraught

    Qantas Airways Limited (ASX: QAN) revealed Thursday it copped a statutory loss after tax of $1.1 billion and took a 75% hit in revenue for a COVID-ravaged half-year ending 31 December.

    All eyes will be on the Qantas share price after it raked in just $2.33 billion of revenue, compared to $9.46 billion one year earlier. 

    However, the airline touted its underlying earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) of $86 million as evidence of its “fundamental resilience”.

    “These figures are stark but surprising,” said group chief executive Alan Joyce.

    “During the half we saw the second wave in Victoria and the strictest domestic travel restrictions since the pandemic began. Virtually all of our international flying and 70% of domestic flying stopped.”

    Qantas’ money makers and loss makers

    On the bright side, the domestic business generated positive cashflow despite a 70% decline in revenue and capacity. Qantas’ market share increased to about 70% after more than 20 “large” corporate accounts were added.

    The loyalty points and cargo businesses still kept the money coming in for the company while passenger flights were grounded.

    “The [loyalty] program has evolved to the stage where the vast majority of points are earned from activity on the ground. Qantas Freight had a record result and has been a natural hedge to the lack of international passenger flying, which has created a shortage of cargo space globally,” said Joyce.

    “These factors couldn’t overcome the massive impact of this crisis, but they have softened it.”

    The international business, understandably, suffered an underlying EBITDA loss of $86 million.

    While its planes were grounded, the company took the chance to shed 8,500 employees, saving about $600 million for the current financial year. The restructure will eventually realise $1 billion in annual savings from 2023.

    Will the Qantas share price reflect future recovery?

    Recent state border closures have delayed Qantas’ recovery by 3 months, the airline estimated.

    The carrier is now working with an assumption that international travel would resume at the end of October, while flights to New Zealand might pick up in July.

    “The COVID vaccine rollout in Australia will take time, but the fact it’s underway gives us more certainty,” said Joyce.

    “More certainty that domestic borders can stay open because frontline and quarantine workers will be vaccinated in a matter of weeks. And more certainty that international borders can open when the nationwide rollout is effectively complete by the end of October.”

    Domestic capacity will hit 60% of pre-COVID levels during the current quarter, while international remains at just 8% currently.

    The airline will attempt to keep cash flow positive for the financial year. Net debt will peak in the current half-year while balance sheet repair will start from next quarter.

    The Qantas share price fell 0.4% on Wednesday, to trade at $5.01. The stock had been as low as $2.03 in the past 12 months.

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    Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo owns shares of Qantas Airways Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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