Tag: Motley Fool

  • Are Temple & Webster shares a bargain buy following Tuesday’s 27% fall?

    a man wearing a business shirt and pants reclines on a leather sofa with his laptop computer resting on his stomach as he looks concerned at what he's reading on the screen.

    a man wearing a business shirt and pants reclines on a leather sofa with his laptop computer resting on his stomach as he looks concerned at what he's reading on the screen.

    The Temple & Webster Group Ltd (ASX: TPW) share price suffered a massive sell-off after the company announced its FY23 half-year result yesterday. It fell by 27%.

    Reporting season gives investors a true insight into how a business is performing, replacing the guesswork since a company’s last update.

    With everything that’s going on with the economy, it’s understandable why the market is uncertain about a number of ASX retail shares, including an online homewares and furniture retailer.

    However, with the release of Temple & Webster’s report, it’s not just overall market sentiment that’s hurting the company’s share price. There were also some downsides within the result.

    The negatives in the update

    The ASX share said that revenue fell year over year by 12% to $235.4 million. Temple & Webster explained that the comparative period (the first half of FY22) was significantly helped by strong e-commerce demand because of COVID-19 lockdowns.

    It also said that sales from 1 January 2023 to 5 February 2023, the first five weeks of the second half, were down 7%.

    The earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) margin was only 3.5%, which the company said was in line with its guidance of 3% to 5%. However, the EBITDA margin was 4.7% excluding the company’s investment in The Build, its online home improvement start-up. It reduced its investment into The Build as it takes a “longer view” on the opportunity.

    Temple & Webster also revealed that it reduced its marketing as a percentage of revenue. It was 11.8% of revenue, down from 13.6% for the prior corresponding period. It will return to ‘brand building’ from FY24 onwards.

    As well, there were 840,000 active customers recorded in the FY23 half-year result, down from 940,000 at June 2022.

    Here are some positives

    While the company didn’t produce overall growth, there were some promising signs.

    Since the fourth quarter of FY22, the ASX share has been focusing on accelerating cost base initiatives and profit margin improvements. In the second quarter of FY23, the gross profit margin of 46.5% improved 180 basis points (1.80%) compared to the prior corresponding period. It also noted shipping recovery improvements.

    The month of December 2022, which wasn’t impacted by lockdowns or Omicron, saw revenue growth. The second quarter of FY23 saw EBITDA of $5.2 million, up 13% compared to the FY22 second quarter. I think that’s a positive for the Temple & Webster share price.

    Temple & Webster is still targeting much higher profit margins in the longer-term, which could be very helpful for the bottom line.

    The ASX share also revealed that the revenue per active customer increased 7%, thanks to an increase in the average order value and an increase in repeat orders. It said that 57% of orders are now from repeat orders.

    Private label sales continue to grow as a percentage of total sales. In the first half of FY23, private label sales were 28% of the total, up from 27% in FY22 and 26% in FY21. This range offers “better price positions relative to offline” and it generates higher profit margins.

    Home improvement revenue increased by 12%, representing 6% of the group. Trade and commercial saw 17% revenue growth, with a focus on margin growth.

    My thoughts on the Temple & Webster share price

    I thought the sell-off was overdone. I don’t believe the business is worth a quarter less than it was.

    The company is still exposed to the same e-commerce tailwinds, it’s still planning to grow margins, it’s still talking about being profitable and getting back to growth this year. I think this is just a short(er)-term blip.

    The situation over the next 12 months could be tricky, but investing is about more than just the next year. I think Temple & Webster shares could deliver substantial outperformance over the next three years as pessimism about the retail sector subsides and it invests for more growth.

    The post Are Temple & Webster shares a bargain buy following Tuesday’s 27% fall? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Temple & Webster Group Ltd right now?

    Before you consider Temple & Webster Group Ltd, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Temple & Webster Group Ltd wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of February 1 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Temple & Webster Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Temple & Webster Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Everything you need to know about the supersized CBA dividend

    A person is weighed down by a huge stack of coins, they have received a big dividend payout.A person is weighed down by a huge stack of coins, they have received a big dividend payout.

    If you own Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) shares for their dividend, you’re in for a treat today.

    Australia’s titan of the banking realm released its first-half results of FY23 earlier this morning. Alongside growing the bank’s net profits to $5,153 million (up 9% year on year), CBA decided to pass on the winnings with a bigger dividend.

    In line with estimates, the latest CBA interim dividend is $2.10 per share.

    Yet, it appears the market had been hoping for more. The CBA share price is trading 5% lower to $103.86 in the early moments of trade. This is a much more severe opening reaction than what is playing out on the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) right now, which is down 0.5%.

    CBA dividend is now even juicier

    There is ample reason for investors in this ASX banking share to be chuffed this morning. The latest report was largely positive, but it is the passive income portion that is particularly exciting.

    Today’s declared interim dividend of $2.10 per share is a monumental 20% upsize from the company’s payment a year ago. Notably, it also represents a 5% increase in the bank’s pre-COVID dividend.

    Making it all possible is the Commonwealth Bank’s sturdy first-half profits in FY23. An improved net interest margin and growth across its core products allowed CBA to reel in more for the bottom line.

    Furthermore, the interim dividend represents 69% of the bank’s cash earnings (or approximately 70% after normalising for loan loss rates) — matching up with its interim payout ratio target.

    For those shareholders counting down the days to payment, there are some important dates to keep in mind. The 22nd of February will be when CBA shares trade ex-dividend — making 21 February the last chance for any new CBA investors to take the plunge and be entitled to the interim dividend.

    The most important date of all — eligible shareholders will collect their CBA dividend on 30 March.

    However, the good news doesn’t stop there. In addition to the increased payment, CBA’s management has decided to extend its on-market share buyback by a further $1 billion.

    Taking a closer look at the CBA share price

    Today’s weakening CBA share price has put a dent in the bank’s performance so far this year.

    Prior to this morning, shares in Australia’s largest bank were up 8.1% year-to-date. However, after the negative reaction to its latest earnings, shares are now only up 2.7% in 2023.

    Factoring in the latest CBA dividend and the reduced share price, the company now offers a dividend yield of roughly 4%.

    The post Everything you need to know about the supersized CBA dividend appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Commonwealth Bank of Australia right now?

    Before you consider Commonwealth Bank of Australia, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Commonwealth Bank of Australia wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of February 1 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Mitchell Lawler has positions in Commonwealth Bank Of Australia. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Corporate Travel share price tumbles despite record earnings forecast

    Man sitting in a plane seat works on his laptop.Man sitting in a plane seat works on his laptop.

    The Corporate Travel Management Ltd (ASX: CTD) share price is in the red this morning on the release of the company’s first-half earnings.

    Right now, shares in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) travel services provider are down 1.62% at $16.97.

    Here are the highlights of the company’s earnings report:

    Corporate Travel share price falls despite 79% revenue jump

    • $291.9 million of revenue – a 79% improvement on that of the prior comparable period (pcp) and a new record
    • $4.2 billion of total transaction value (TTV) – more than double that of the pcp
    • $51.3 million of underlying earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA) – a 182% improvement
    • $15.7 million of statutory net profit after tax (NPAT) – up from a $10 million loss
    • 6 cents per share unfranked interim dividend declared – the first of its kind since the onset of COVID-19
    • Ended the period with $110 million of cash and no debt

    What else happened last half?

    The Australia and New Zealand region delivered the highest EBITDA last half, bringing in $23.5 million – a 2,511% improvement.

    Despite a deluge of poor airport experiences and scheduling mishaps in the North American aviation industry last half, the company recognised $16.6 million of underlying EBITDA – a 177% jump.

    The Europe region, meanwhile, delivered $17 million of underlying earnings – down 19% after a record half in financial year 2022.

    Finally, its market share of Asia grew last half, with the region bringing in $3.4 million of underlying EBITDA – up from a $2.6 million loss.

    The company boasts more than 97% client retention.

    What did management say?

    Corporate Travel managing director Jamie Pherous commented on the news driving the company’s share price today, saying:

    It was pleasing to deliver a record TTV and revenue result in [the first half], noting this half included an additional $8.4 million charge for excess staff capacity held to be ready for a further expected [second half] recovery.

    This is a one-off investment; thankfully, we are seeing strong momentum into [this half] through significant new clients transacting and activity recovery.

    What’s next?

    The company is gearing up to post record earnings later this year and hasn’t yet noticed any potential recessionary impacts.

    It forecasts its underlying EBITDA to come in between $160 million and $180 million, while its underlying profit before tax is expected to reach $120 million to $140 million.

    It expects Europe to contribute $2 billion of TTV this fiscal year, while China’s reopening has been tipped to indirectly drive down international airfares.  

    Looking further ahead, it anticipates a full recovery in financial year 2024 on the back of client wins and retention as well as large account wins that will start trading in the current half.

    Corporate Travel share price snapshot

    This year has been good to the Corporate Travel share price so far.

    The stock has lifted 15% since the start of 2023. Meanwhile, the ASX 200 has jumped 7%.

    Looking further back, however, the share has fallen 25% over the last 12 months while the index has risen 3%.

    The post Corporate Travel share price tumbles despite record earnings forecast appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Corporate Travel Management Limited right now?

    Before you consider Corporate Travel Management Limited, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Corporate Travel Management Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of February 1 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Corporate Travel Management. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Cochlear share price surges 6% on solid half and buyback

    cochlear share price

    cochlear share priceThe Cochlear Limited (ASX: COH) share price is charging higher on Wednesday.

    In early trade, the hearing solutions company’s shares are up over 6% to $222.87.

    Investors have been bidding the Cochlear share price higher following the release of the company’s half year results.

    Cochlear share price higher on strong result

    • Sales revenue up 9% to $893 million
    • Statutory net profit down 16% to $142 million
    • Underlying net profit down 10% to $142 million
    • Interim dividend maintained at $1.55 per share
    • On-market share buy-back announced
    • Guidance reaffirmed

    What happened during the half?

    For the six months ended 31 December, Cochlear reported a 9% increase in sales revenue to a record of $893 million. This was driven by strong growth in cochlear and acoustic implant revenue.

    Cochlear implant units increased 14% over the prior corresponding thanks partly to strong demand for the Cochlear Nucleus 8 Sound Processor, which was launched during the second quarter. This was supported by the continuing recovery from COVID surgery delays across the emerging markets.

    Things weren’t quite as positive for Cochlear’s earnings, at least on paper. Its statutory net profit was down 16% to $142 million due to one-off gains included in the prior corresponding period.

    On an underlying basis, its net profit was down 10%. This reflects an increase in cloud computing‐ related expenses, new product launch costs, and the impact of the weighting in operating expenses to the second half of FY 2022.

    Excluding its cloud computing‐related expenses, Cochlear’s underlying profit margin would have been 17%, which is just a touch below its long term target of 18%.

    Despite this profit decline and thanks to the strength of its balance sheet, the Cochlear board has maintained its interim dividend at $1.55 per share.

    Speaking of balance sheet strength, management has announced a progressive on-market share buy-back this morning. This will start with a $75 million buy-back, after which the company intends to progressively buy shares over the coming years until its cash balance is approximately $200 million.

    Cochlear finished the period with a cash balance of $505 million, though $170 million will be used for an impending acquisition.

    Outlook

    Cochlear has reaffirmed its guidance for the remainder of the financial year.

    It is expecting underlying net profit in the range of $290 million to $305 million, which will be a 5% to 10% increase on FY 2022’s underlying net profit or an increase of 8% to 13% when adjusted for the increase in cloud computing‐related expenses.

    Commenting on trading conditions, management said:

    Trading conditions have been progressively improving, in line with expectations, with intermittent COVID‐related hospital or region‐specific elective surgery restrictions or staffing shortages continuing. While surgical and clinical capacity to serve implant candidates appears to have stabilised, we continue to be mindful of the pressure on the healthcare system globally to contend with surgical waiting lists, ongoing staffing challenges and growing demand. We will continue our investment in R&D and market growth activities to support long‐term market growth.

    The post Cochlear share price surges 6% on solid half and buyback appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Cochlear Limited right now?

    Before you consider Cochlear Limited, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Cochlear Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of February 1 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Cochlear. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Cochlear. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • 4 ASX 200 lithium shares being targeted by short sellers

    A young child stands against a wall holding measuring tape behind them as they wish not to be so shortA young child stands against a wall holding measuring tape behind them as they wish not to be so short

    S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) lithium shares appear to be all the rage among short sellers right now, with four market favourites among the 10 most shorted ASX shares.

    So, why have these lithium stocks caught the attention of market pessimists? Let’s take a look.

    But first, what is short selling?

    Short selling is a method used to effectively bet against a stock.

    To short a stock, one must borrow shares from another investor for a set amount of time and then sell them on the market. Then, when it comes time to return the shares, a short seller will buy them back on the market and return them to their owner.

    Thus, a short seller aims to sell the borrowed stock for a high price and repurchase it for cheaper later on, taking the difference as profit.

    4 ASX 200 lithium shares in the sights of short sellers

    With that in mind, one must wonder why short sellers appear so intent on ASX 200 lithium shares.

    For instance, market favourite Core Lithium Ltd (ASX: CXO) has a short interest of nearly 10% right now. That makes it the fourth most shorted on the bourse.

    Its peers Sayona Mining Ltd (ASX: SYA) and Liontown Resources Ltd (ASX: LTR) come in at number five and six. Their short interest is currently around 9% and 8% respectively.

    Finally, 7.6% of Lake Resources N.L. (ASX: LKE) shares are currently being shorted.

    Of course, there might be company-specific reasons making some of the lithium favourites short seller targets.

    For instance, Goldman Sachs tips the Core Lithium share price – currently sitting at $1.02 – to fall to 95 cents. It believes the soon-to-be lithium producer’s stock is overvalued.

    Meanwhile, activist short seller J Capital has been vocal in its concerns about Lake Resources’ Kachi Project’s funding and technology.

    However, it’s also quite likely that concerns current lithium prices won’t last could be behind the doubt.

    Returning to Goldman Sachs, the broker expects lithium prices to fall substantially over the coming years. That means the four unprofitable lithium outfits might never see the sort of income their profitable peers are currently banking.

    Thus, some short sellers might expect ASX 200 lithium shares to fall in the coming weeks, months, or years alongside the battery-making material’s price.

    Indeed, producers Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS), Allkem Ltd (ASX: AKE), and Mineral Resources Ltd (ASX: MIN) currently boast short interest of just 3.3%, 1.3%, and 1% respectively.

    The post 4 ASX 200 lithium shares being targeted by short sellers appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the ‘five best ASX stocks’ for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of February 1 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Treasury Wine share price sinks 7% despite solid earnings growth

    A happy couple drinking red wine in a vineyard as the Treasury Wine share price rises today

    A happy couple drinking red wine in a vineyard as the Treasury Wine share price rises todayThe Treasury Wine Estates Ltd (ASX: TWE) share price is on the slide on Wednesday morning.

    At the time of writing, the wine giant’s shares are down 7% to $13.33.

    This follows the release of the company’s half year results.

    Treasury Wine share price sinks despite solid earnings growth

    • Net sales revenue (NSR) up 1.4% to $1,284.5 million
    • NSR per case up 13.5% to $108.6
    • Earnings before interest, tax, SGARA, and material items (EBITS) up 17.2% to $307.5 million
    • Net profit after tax up 72.5% to $188.2 million
    • Interim dividend up 16.7% to fully franked 18 cents per share

    What happened during the half?

    For the six months ended 31 December, Treasury Wine reported a 1.4% increase (1.1% decline at constant currency) in revenue to $1,284.5 million. This reflects a 13.5% jump in NSR per case, which offset lower volumes.

    The key drivers of its growth were the Penfolds and Treasury Americas businesses, which reported 7.2% and 4.1% increases in revenue, respectively, thanks to distribution growth and strong consumer demand. This offset a 7% decline in Treasury Premium Brands revenue.

    Things were much better for its EBITS, which grew 17.2% to $307.5 million. This was underpinned by margin improvement across all divisions. Treasury Wine’s EBITS margin increased 3.2 percentage points to 23.9%. Part of this came from its global supply chain optimisation program, which delivered incremental cost of goods sold savings of approximately $28 million for the half.

    How does this compare to expectations?

    As strong as this result looks on paper, it fell short of Goldman Sachs’ estimates due to weaker revenues.

    The broker was forecasting sales revenue of $1,410 million and EBITS of $321 million. This may explain some of the weakness in the Treasury Wine share price today.

    Management commentary

    Treasury Wine’s CEO, Tim Ford, commented:

    We are very pleased to have delivered strong progress towards our financial growth objectives in 1H23, with EBITS growth of 17% driven by improved revenue per case and EBITS margin expansion across all divisions. Our Luxury wine portfolios in particular continue to perform exceptionally well across all markets and channels, and the fundamentals of the category are expected to remain strong at these higher price points.

    We consider this set of results to be an important and additional proof point of our teams’ ability to navigate the changing and variable economic, consumer and market dynamics, whilst maintaining our focus on the delivery of our financial objectives.

    Outlook

    Management advised that the company remains on track to deliver strong EBITS growth and EBITS margin expansion in FY 2023. It expects trading conditions for the remainder of the year to be broadly consistent with those experienced in the first half.

    The company’s FY 2023 EBITS margin is expected to be approximately 23%, with year on year expansion driven by portfolio premiumisation and the delivery of price increases across key portfolio brands. Management also expects the benefits of the global supply chain optimisation program to mitigate the impacts of inflationary cost pressures.

    The Treasury Wine share price is still up 26% over the last 12 months despite this decline.

    The post Treasury Wine share price sinks 7% despite solid earnings growth appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Treasury Wine Estates Limited right now?

    Before you consider Treasury Wine Estates Limited, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Treasury Wine Estates Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of February 1 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Treasury Wine Estates. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • 3 catalysts for Westpac shares to take off in 2023

    Young boy in a suit and red tie standing on a skateboard with a rocket on his back, arms in the air showing confidence.

    Young boy in a suit and red tie standing on a skateboard with a rocket on his back, arms in the air showing confidence.

    Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) shares could have a strong year in 2023 if things play out well for the ASX bank share.

    The banking sector has gone through a lot of changes since the start of the COVID-19 period. But, the last 12 months have been particularly volatile with all of the economic challenges that Australia has gone through.

    Westpac is not the biggest Australian bank in the sector, that title belongs to the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA).

    However, there are some factors that could drive the ASX bank share higher from here.

    Net interest margin improvements

    The higher interest rates are the talk of financial markets at the moment and have been for some time.

    It’s not certain how high interest rates are going to go. However, the massive increase of the official interest rate over the last 12 months is expected to be a boost for Westpac earnings.

    The ASX bank share has been passing on more of the interest rate rises to borrowers than savers. This boosts the lending profitability of the bank, which can then boost the bottom line of the bank.

    Higher lending profits could be key for driving the Westpac share price higher because the valuation typically follows the direction of the earnings.

    In FY23, Westpac’s earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise to $2.16 according to Commsec. That would put the current valuation at 11 times FY23’s estimated earnings. This is a much cheaper price/earnings (P/E) ratio than CBA shares, which are currently valued at 18 times FY23’s estimated earnings.

    Return on equity to jump

    Experts believe that Westpac’s return on equity (ROE) is going to significantly improve in the short term. This basically means that the ASX bank share could generate more profit on how much shareholder money is invested inside the business.

    My colleague James Mickleboro recently reported on comments from Morgans about the compelling situation for Westpac:

    We view WBC as having the greatest potential for return on equity improvement amongst the major banks if its business transformation initiatives prove successful. The sources of this improvement include improved loan origination and processing capability, cost reductions (including from divestments and cost-out), rapid leverage to higher rates environment, and reduced regulatory credit risk intensity of non-home loan book. Yield including franking is attractive for income-oriented investors, while the ROE improvement should deliver share price growth.

    Investors like it when a business makes more profit for them.

    Stronger dividends

    While fund managers may be largely focused on total returns, there are a number of investors that may be focused on the dividend side of the returns. A bigger dividend could attract more retirees to invest which could then be a catalyst to drive the Westpac share price higher.

    Westpac’s dividend is expected to rise at a solid rate over the next two years. In FY23, Commsec numbers suggest it could generate a dividend per share of $1.38, which would be a grossed-up dividend yield of 8.25%.

    The FY24 annual dividend per share could be increased again to $1.47. This would be a grossed-up dividend yield of 8.8%.

    The post 3 catalysts for Westpac shares to take off in 2023 appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Westpac Banking Corporation right now?

    Before you consider Westpac Banking Corporation, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Westpac Banking Corporation wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of February 1 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Westpac Banking. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Pilbara Minerals shares: Future dividend darling?

    A female employee in a hard hat and overalls with high visibility stripes sits at the wheel of a large mining vehicle with mining equipment in the background.

    A female employee in a hard hat and overalls with high visibility stripes sits at the wheel of a large mining vehicle with mining equipment in the background.

    Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS) shares have boomed over the past year. It’s up by over 60%. But, can the ASX lithium share turn into a great ASX dividend share?

    The business hasn’t even paid a single dividend yet, so some investors may feel it’s a little early to be calling Pilbara Minerals a potential dividend darling.

    However, all of the major ASX mining shares that are now strong dividend payers started off with no dividend history. I’m mainly talking about the main ASX iron ore shares of BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP), Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO) and Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG).

    Let’s address what the company has said about its dividend policy.

    Pilbara Minerals shares its dividend plans

    A few months ago, the ASX lithium share revealed its capital management framework.

    It announced that favourable market conditions and strong operating margins supported the establishment of an inaugural dividend policy.

    The capital management framework is designed to establish an “appropriate structure that prudently allocates available capital between investment into the existing business, sustainability commitments, strategic growth opportunities, as well as the provision of sustainable returns to shareholders.”

    Pilbara Minerals plans to target a dividend payout ratio of 20% to 30% of free cash flow to start with. The inaugural dividend payment is going to start in FY23, which is the current financial year.

    This level of payment “reflects the early stages of Pilbara Minerals’ growth cycle, with the remaining cash flow to be allocated to organic and inorganic growth opportunities which are aligned with the company’s growth and diversification strategy to deliver long-term shareholder value.”

    The dividends are expected to be fully franked because it will start paying income tax in February 2022.

    Remember, in the three months to 31 December 2022, it finished with a cash balance of $2.23 billion.

    How big could the dividends be in the next 3 years?

    As Pilbara Minerals said, the dividend is going to be set based on how much profit it generates.

    Commsec estimates suggest that the annual dividend per share could be 15 cents in FY23 and in FY24. Hence, at the current Pilbara Minerals share price, it could pay a grossed-up dividend yield of 4.4% in the current financial year and the next financial year.

    However, the profit is projected to drift lower to FY25. Commsec forecasts suggest that FY25 earnings per share (EPS) could be 50 cents. This could mean the dividend per share is 10 cents, which could be a grossed-up dividend yield of around 3%.

    Will Pilbara Minerals shares become a dividend darling?

    The fact that it’s a commodity business would suggest to me that it’s not going to be the type of business that can grow its dividend every single year. Resource prices can move up and down quite significantly, so the net profit is not likely to be consistent.

    However, with the likely long-term growth of demand for lithium due to electric vehicles, the company plans to invest in improving its production and become involved with more of the lithium value chain. I think it can improve its profit margins in the coming years.

    Unless the lithium price completely sinks, I think Pilbara Minerals is about to embark on many years of (at least) decent dividend payments. However, I’d hope to buy the Pilbara Minerals share price at a lower level because of its recent strength.

    The post Pilbara Minerals shares: Future dividend darling? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Pilbara Minerals Limited right now?

    Before you consider Pilbara Minerals Limited, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Pilbara Minerals Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of February 1 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has positions in Fortescue Metals Group. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Buy NAB and this ASX 200 dividend share for passive income: brokers

    A woman has a thoughtful look on her face as she studies a fan of Australian 20 dollar bills she is holding on one hand while he rest her other hand on her chin in thought.

    A woman has a thoughtful look on her face as she studies a fan of Australian 20 dollar bills she is holding on one hand while he rest her other hand on her chin in thought.

    Are you wanting for a passive income boost? If you are, then you may want to look at the quality ASX 200 dividend shares listed below.

    Here’s why these dividend shares could be top options this year:

    Deterra Royalties Ltd (ASX: DRR)

    The first ASX 200 dividend share for income investors to look at buying is Deterra Royalties.

    Although found in the mining sector, it isn’t actually a miner. Instead, it is the owner of a portfolio of royalty assets across a range of commodities.

    One of the key assets in the company’s portfolio is the Mining Area C (MAC) iron ore operation. It is part of Western Australia Iron Ore (WAIO) and operated by mining giant BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP).

    The team at Citi is positive on the company and has a buy rating and $5.10 price target on its shares.

    As for dividends, Citi is forecasting fully franked dividends per share of 30 cents in FY 2023 and FY 2024. Based on the current Deterra Royalties share price of $4.84, this will mean yields of 6.2% for both years.

    National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB)

    Another ASX 200 dividend share for income investors to consider is NAB.

    It is of course one of Australia’s big four banks, with a particularly strong presence in commercial lending

    Goldman Sachs is a fan of the bank. Its analysts like NAB due to its aforementioned exposure to commercial lending, which they expect to perform better than home lending in the current environment.

    The broker also believes the work NAB has done on productivity and cost management leaves it well positioned for an environment of elevated inflationary pressure.

    In respect to dividends, Goldman Sachs is expecting NAB to pay fully franked dividends of $1.73 per share in FY 2023 and $1.78 per share in FY 2024. Based on the current NAB share price of $31.61, this means yields of 5.5% and 5.6%, respectively.

    Goldman has a buy rating and $35.60 price target on its shares.

    The post Buy NAB and this ASX 200 dividend share for passive income: brokers appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Looking to buy dividend shares to help fight inflation?

    If you’re looking to buy dividend shares to help fight inflation then you’ll need to get your hands on this… Our FREE report revealing 3 stocks not only boasting inflation-fighting dividends…

    They also have strong potential for massive long-term returns…

    See the 3 stocks
    *Returns as of February 1 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • This ASX share’s doubled in 3 months. Expert says it’s not too late to buy!

    One girl leapfrogs over her friend's back.One girl leapfrogs over her friend's back.

    A much-maligned ASX stock has rocketed 96% over the last three months, but one fund manager reckons there’s plenty more where that came from. 

    Retail Food Group Ltd (ASX: RFG) is the franchisor for well-known brands like Donut King, Michel’s Patisserie and Gloria Jeans.

    Six years ago, the share price was flying high around the $7 mark. But then it ran into legal and regulatory problems from consumer watchdog Australian Competition and Consumer Commission over its treatment of some franchisees.

    By March 2020, when stocks crashed during the first wave of COVID-19, Retail Food shares were virtually worthless, going for around 3 cents.

    It was still sitting at 5 cents last November. But since then it has pretty much doubled, to close Tuesday at 9.6 cents.

    ‘Positive earnings outlook’ looking good for stock price

    Glenmore Asset portfolio manager Robert Gregory, who held the stock last year in anticipation of this boom, knows exactly what happened.

    “In our view, this was driven by growing investor awareness of Retail Food Group’s cheap valuation, following the announcement on 23 December 2022, that the ACCC investigation into misconduct by previous RFG management had been finalised,” he said in a memo to clients.

    The Retail Food share price remarkably gained 21.2% over December, then another 31.3% in January.

    Despite its meteoric rise, Gregory is holding on for further gains.

    “Whilst the stock is no longer nearly as cheap as it was before the ACCC announcement, we met with RFG management during the month, and continue to see a positive earnings outlook for the business.”

    Gregory’s optimistic forecast is based on Retail Food’s business plans like overseas expansion of Gloria Jeans and growing the number of franchisees for the Donut King, Crust and Gloria Jeans drive-through brands in particular.

    “RFG currently has ~700 franchisees,” he said.

    “However, with the ACCC investigation now behind it, we believe the company is well positioned to grow this key metric which should be supportive for earnings going forward.”

    RFG is headquartered on the Gold Coast and also runs franchise networks for Crust Pizza, Brumby’s Bakeries and Pizza Capers.

    The post This ASX share’s doubled in 3 months. Expert says it’s not too late to buy! appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Retail Food Group Limited right now?

    Before you consider Retail Food Group Limited, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Retail Food Group Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of February 1 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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