Tag: Motley Fool

  • Getting ready to retire? This might be the only ASX dividend share you’ll ever need

    A woman wearing a bright multi-coloured dress, blue sunglasses and hat stands on a beach laughing with her arms outstretched enjoying herself

    A woman wearing a bright multi-coloured dress, blue sunglasses and hat stands on a beach laughing with her arms outstretched enjoying herselfIf you’re getting ready to retire, picking the right ASX dividend shares can be a tough decision. Planning for a time when there is no weekly (or fortnightly) paycheque coming through the door does amp up the pressure a little.

    The ASX has hundreds of dividend shares to choose from. But here is one that I think could have the potential to fulfil all the needs of a retiree in one fell swoop.

    Plato Income Maximiser Ltd (ASX: PL8) is a listed investment company (LIC) that is built for retirees, or as the provider puts it, “designed specifically with SMSF and pension-phase investors in mind”.

    This LIC holds a portfolio of ASX divided shares, chosen for their dividend and franking credit potential. Some of its current holdings include BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP), South32 Ltd (ASX: S32), Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) and Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC)

    A retiree share that pays monthly dividends

    Plato Income Maximiser pays out a dividend every month to its investors. These typically come fully franked too. At the last share price, the yields are the same.

    So that’s a lot of dividend income investors can enjoy in retirement. But let’s talk about performance. There are many income-focused investments on the ASX. But more than a few tend to prioritise income above capital preservation, which can be detrimental to investors’ overall financial returns in the long run.

    So as of 31 October (the latest figures available), the Palto Income Maximiser had delivered a total return of 4.5% over the preceding 12 months. That includes this LIC’s management fee of 0.8% per annum. That looks pretty good against the ASX 200 benchmark’s loss of 0.5% over the same period.

    Over the past three years on average, this LIC has averaged a return of 7.5% per annum, 7.1% of which came in the form of dividend income. Again, that beats the benchmark’s return of 6.2% per annum over the period.

    The Plato Income Maximiser has also returned an average of 8.9% per annum (7.6% of which came from dividends) since its inception in April 2017. Once again, that beats out the benchmark, which returned an average of 8.4% per annum.

    So this might make the Plato Income Maximiser LIC a perfect option to consider for an investor approaching retirement today. Monthly dividends that come fully franked, a performance that has consistently beaten the market… what more could a retiree ask for?

    The post Getting ready to retire? This might be the only ASX dividend share you’ll ever need appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Scott Phillips’ retirement stocks for building wealth after 50

    Scott Phillips has been hard at work researching solid “retirement” stocks for investors building wealth after 50…

    And he’s uncovered 5 reliable businesses he thinks could deliver long term growth. And may be perfect for those wanting to build wealth well into their retirement.

    He’s published this research in a special report you can view FREE.

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    *Returns as of December 1 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Westpac Banking. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • ‘Strong buy’: Experts name 2 ASX shares enjoying a post-COVID resurgence

    Two people climb to the summit and raise their arms in success as the sun rises brightly over the mountains.Two people climb to the summit and raise their arms in success as the sun rises brightly over the mountains.

    Thanks to vaccines and better treatments for COVID-19, much of the developed world seems to have moved on from the pandemic.

    Even China, which had suffered from brutal zero-virus policies for three years, is starting to relax its stance despite potentially devastating health consequences.

    This means that many businesses are now adjusting to a new post-pandemic environment.

    This week Wilson Asset Management analysts named two ASX shares to buy for companies that could benefit from this new era:

    The business now exceeding pre-pandemic numbers 

    According to Wilson senior equity analyst Shaun Weick, iCollege Ltd (ASX: ICT) is set to cash in from a resurgence in student numbers.

    “Students definitely want to come back,” he said in a WAM video.

    “The recent quarterly update highlighted that enrolments are at records and they’re exceeding pre-COVID levels.”

    The stock price for the vocational education provider has roughly doubled from 12 months ago, which is a remarkable effort considering the rest of the market’s underperformance.

    Weick reckons the future is bright for this ASX share.

    “What the market’s missing on this stock is around the incremental operating leverage as capacity within their colleges are filled, which we think will drive earnings upgrades,” he said.

    “The balance sheet’s in good shape. We think they’ll undertake acquisitions from here, so that’s a strong buy from us.”

    This business actually improved in the last housing downturn

    Online furniture merchant Temple & Webster Group Ltd (ASX: TPW) is a buy for Wilson senior equity analyst Sam Koch.

    The business and the stock boomed during the first wave of COVID-19 lockdowns, with consumers eager to improve their home environment.

    That sugar hit is now in the past, and with the share price less than half of what it was a year ago, Koch feels like it’s time for a new life.

    That’s despite the economy now slowing down from massive interest rate hikes.

    “Yes, a weaker consumer and a weaker housing market are worth monitoring,” he said.

    “However, we see their relative value offering, their drop ship model, and their prudent cost management will be able to see them outperform and take [market] share during this downturn.”

    Koch’s theory has some historical precedence.

    “You only have to go back to 2018 when the last housing market downturn happened and they actually saw an improvement in gross profit margins as a result of the product mix shift.”

    The Wilson team’s bull case for Temple & Webster is “simple”, he added.

    “We just see that they’ve been able to comp the high sales period during COVID lockdowns last year, and now we should be able to see sales growth returning to the business and a re-rating occurring over the period.”

    The post ‘Strong buy’: Experts name 2 ASX shares enjoying a post-COVID resurgence appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the ‘five best ASX stocks’ for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

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    *Returns as of December 1 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has positions in Temple & Webster Group. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Temple & Webster Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Temple & Webster Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Here’s how I’d invest $20,000 in ASX 200 shares for a 7% dividend yield

    A young man wearing glasses and a denim shirt sits at his desk and raises his fists and screams with delight.A young man wearing glasses and a denim shirt sits at his desk and raises his fists and screams with delight.

    How does $1,400 of passive income each year sound? Think of the weekend getaways, wining and dining, and extra time with family that could provide. It would even protect hard-earned cash from Australia’s current 6.9% inflation rate.

    And all it would take is $20,000 invested in S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) shares with a 7% dividend yield.

    Though, achieving such a yield might be easier said than done.

    Here’s how I would invest $20,000 in ASX 200 shares if I were aiming to receive a 7% dividend yield.

    How I’d find ASX 200 shares to provide a 7% dividend yield

    Of course, the first step to building a portfolio capable of providing a 7% yield is stock picking.

    I would likely seek out five to 10 shares to invest between $2,000 and $4,000 into, thereby diversifying my portfolio and reducing potential risks.

    That’s particularly important, as past performance doesn’t guarantee future performance. A dividend giant today may well be relatively average in 12 months’ time – just ask Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG).

    Perhaps surprisingly, I wouldn’t even consider a company’s yield when seeking stocks to buy.

    My ultimate goal is to achieve a 7% yield, not just today but also over the years to come.

    Thus, I would focus on finding quality companies I like as long-term investments. Personally, I believe a quality business is one offering both a strong balance sheet and competitive advantages over its peers.

    Having found a few such businesses, I would consider if they’re trading at a good price. If they are, then I would look at their dividend yield.

    A game of averages

    Fortunately, to achieve a 7% yield across five to 10 ASX 200 shares, I could buy various stocks with various yields.

    Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO), for instance, offers an 8% dividend at the time of writing. Meanwhile, Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd (ASX: ANZ) shares are trading with a 6% yield.

    Together, they could see an investor realising a 7% yield that may be better protected against a downturn in either the banking or materials sector.

    Finally, I wouldn’t necessarily ‘set and forget’ my new dividend-paying portfolio.

    While passive income is, indeed, passive, it might need tweaking from time to time to continue providing my targeted income stream.

    Keeping an eye on my investments and rebalancing my portfolio as needed will likely allow me to continue reaping my targeted 7% yield.

    The post Here’s how I’d invest $20,000 in ASX 200 shares for a 7% dividend yield appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Why skyrocketing inflation doesn’t have to be the death of your savings…

    Goldman Sachs has revealed investors’ savings don’t have to go up in smoke because of skyrocketing inflation… Because in times of high inflation, dividend stocks can potentially beat the wider market.

    The investment bank’s research is based on stocks in the S&P 500 index going as far back as 1940.

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    *Returns as of December 1 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Earn passive income with these strong ASX 200 dividend shares: brokers

    The good news for income investors is that there are a number of quality ASX dividend shares to choose from on the ASX 200 index.

    Two that have been tipped as strong buys are listed below. Here’s what analysts are saying about them:

    Elders Ltd (ASX: ELD)

    The first ASX 200 dividend share that could be a strong buy is Elders.

    Goldman Sachs currently has a conviction buy rating and $18.40 price target on the agribusiness company’s shares.

    Its analysts believe that recent share price weakness has been unwarranted and has created a buying opportunity for investors. It commented:

    We view the share price reaction […] as unwarranted. The fundamentals of this company remain unchanged, and strong in our view. The Australia agricultural environment is structurally strong and ELD is uniquely placed to benefit as a highly diversified Agribusiness with broad geographic and segment exposure. Farmer balance sheets and industry data are showing strong intentions for investment and expanded production in the context of a tightening global agricultural market.

    In respect to dividends, the broker is expecting fully franked dividends per share of 53 cents in FY 2023 and 57 cents in FY 2024. Based on the current Elders share price of $9.99, this will mean yields of 5.3% and 5.7%, respectively.

    Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC)

    Another ASX 200 dividend share that has been named as a strong buy is banking giant Westpac.

    The banking giant has been included on Morgans’ best ideas list with an add rating and $25.80 price target. This compares to the latest Westpac share price of $23.44.

    Morgans likes Australia’s oldest bank due to its business transformation initiatives. It commented:

    We view WBC as having the greatest potential for return on equity improvement amongst the major banks if its business transformation initiatives prove successful. The sources of this improvement include improved loan origination and processing capability, cost reductions (including from divestments and cost-out), rapid leverage to higher rates environment, and reduced regulatory credit risk intensity of non-home loan book. Yield including franking is attractive for income-oriented investors, while the ROE improvement should deliver share price growth.

    As for dividends, the broker is forecasting fully franked dividends per share of 153 cents in FY 2023 and 159 cents in FY 2024. Based on the current Westpac share price, this will mean yields of 6.5% and 6.8%, respectively.

    The post Earn passive income with these strong ASX 200 dividend shares: brokers appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Looking to buy dividend shares to help fight inflation?

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    *Returns as of December 1 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Westpac Banking. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Elders and Westpac Banking. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Down 14% this week, are Liontown shares now ‘relatively less expensive’?

    Miner looking at a tablet.Miner looking at a tablet.

    The Liontown Resources Ltd (ASX: LTR) share price closed just 0.28% lower at $1.79 on Friday after recovering late from a low of $1.72 in early afternoon trade.

    Its fellow ASX lithium shares also closed in the red following forecasts from top broker Goldman Sachs that lithium commodity prices will go materially lower from the second half of 2023. But not before they also gained some last-minute ground for investors in the closing moments of Friday trading.

    After the dust settled, the Allkem Ltd (ASX: AKE) share price clocked in to register a drop of 1.43% to $13.10. The Core Lithium Ltd (ASX: CXO) share price finished down 0.42% at $1.18. Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS) shares were 0.22% lower at $4.47.

    What did Goldman say about the Liontown share price?

    According to The Australian, Goldman Sachs cut its 12-month share price target on Liontown to $1.65.

    It also initiated coverage on Core Lithium and slapped it with a sell rating and a $1 price target.

    In a note, Goldman said:

    We see Core Lithium as having run ahead of fundamentals, Liontown looks relatively less expensive.

    Which ASX lithium shares does Goldman recommend?

    Goldman also initiated coverage on Allkem, giving it a buy rating and nominating it “our preferred lithium exposure”. Goldman has a 12-month price target of $15.20 on Allkem shares.

    It commented:

    With the pricing backdrop, we prefer low cost producers with quality resources to underpin growth optionality and vertical integration over developers.

    With optionality across the Americas and Australia on the largest lithium resource in our coverage growing equity LCE production >4x by FY27E, and at a discount to peers at 1.02x NAV (peer average 1.3x), Allkem is our preferred lithium exposure.

    Goldman also likes Mineral Resources Limited (ASX: MIN), with a share price target of $94. Although it’s a diversified mining company, Mineral Resources is a global top-five lithium producer. 

    Liontown looks good to Macquarie

    Liontown also has its fans among brokers.

    As my colleague James reported recently, Macquarie sees big value in the Liontown share price.

    Last month, the broker retained its outperform rating and lifted its share price target to $3.40.

    That’s more than double the target given by Goldman Sachs this week.

    The Liontown share price slipped 14.59% this week.

    The post Down 14% this week, are Liontown shares now ‘relatively less expensive’? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the ‘five best ASX stocks’ for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of December 1 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has positions in Allkem, Core Lithium, and Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Why did ASX 200 iron ore shares like BHP have such a cracking Friday

    A GWR Group female employee in a hard hat and overalls with high visibility stripes sits at the wheel of a large mining vehicle with mining equipment in the background.A GWR Group female employee in a hard hat and overalls with high visibility stripes sits at the wheel of a large mining vehicle with mining equipment in the background.

    Iron ore shares including BHP had a top run on the market on Friday.

    • BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) shares rose 2.7%
    • Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO) shares jumped 2.32%
    • Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG) shares lifted 2.84%

    For perspective, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) climbed 0.52% on Friday.

    Why did iron ore shares lift?

    BHP, Rio Tinto and Fortescue are all major iron ore producers.

    The iron ore China Futures contract has risen 1.2% to US$110.35 on the Singapore Exchange at last look.

    Iron ore prices and other base metals lifted amid optimism about China’s reopening. China has relaxed restrictions on quarantine and domestic travel.

    China is the largest iron ore importer in the world. Iron ore is used to make steel.

    News out of the world’s largest iron ore producer Vale SA (NYSE: VALE) also appeared to impact iron ore prices. ANZ economist Kishti Sen said in a research note this morning:

    Iron ore also gained amid the positive developments in the property sector. This was aided by supply side issues. Vale doesn’t expect to get production back to the level it was at prior to the 2019 dam disaster. This year’s output will be around 310 mt. It also lowered its 2023 guidance from 325 mt to the same as this year.

    As my Foolish colleague Bernd reported today, Citi is predicting the iron ore price could hit US$150 per tonne. Analysts said:

    We believe iron ore prices could rally towards $US150 a tonne if China rolls out meaningful credit easing in the next three [to] six months.

    However, ANZ commodity strategists Daniel Hynes and Soni Kumari, in a research report yesterday, have a different price outlook. Analysts are tipping iron ore prices to “remain in the range of US$100/t”. The analysts said:

    The latest measures announced by the Chinese government to support property lending could provide short-term support for the market.

    However, a sustained improvement in property sales will be required for steel demand to rise next year. Poor profit margins and winter output curbs continue to weigh on steel productionthrough winter, and subsequently iron ore demand.

    Share price snapshot

    The BHP share price has risen 32.65% in the last year.

    Rio shares have lifted 22.3% in the past 52 weeks.

    Fortescue shares have climbed 17.21% in the past year.

    The post Why did ASX 200 iron ore shares like BHP have such a cracking Friday appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    *Returns as of November 7 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Monica O’Shea has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Is the economic worm turning?

    A man sits in deep thought with a pen held to his lips as he ponders his computer screen with a laptop open next to him on his desk in a home office environment.

    A man sits in deep thought with a pen held to his lips as he ponders his computer screen with a laptop open next to him on his desk in a home office environment.

    Is the economic worm turning?

    So, the RBA put rates up, again, this week. Making it the 8th consecutive month, the one of the fastest rates of increase on record, and the highest official cash rate in a decade.

    They’ve now added 3% to the official cash rate since May.

    And, if their most recent statement is anything to go by, they’re not done yet. No guarantees, and they have committed to future decisions being ‘data dependent’, but that’s their expectation.

    Me?

    I think it was the right thing to do. Inflation remains far too high, and the RBA is (rightly) determined to take excess demand out of the economy. Rates aren’t the only way to do that, by the way, but they’re the traditional option, and the only one at the Reserve’s disposal (the others would require government action).

    But I also think they’d be very happy that there’s no scheduled meeting in January. It gives them the opportunity for a ‘Clayton’s pause’ – the pause you have when you’re not having a pause (kids, ask your parents about the non-alcoholic Clayton’s – those were the days when you couldn’t sell a non-alcoholic gin for $60 and have people fall over themselves to buy it!)

    No meeting in January means it’ll be at least two months until the next rate rise – giving the RBA ample time to see what their 2022 handiwork has achieved without actually having to make a call.

    And economically? It kinda feels like the worm is starting to turn. Retail sales were down for October (but Black Friday sales in November might tell a different story) and corporate profits were down 12% in the last quarter.

    Now, GDP is still positive. And unemployment remains low. But the ‘full steam ahead’ vibe of a couple of months ago now seems to be squarely in the rear vision mirror. We’ll see.

    For whom the bank branch bell tolls

    Speaking of slowdowns, some sobering numbers out this week suggest that Australian bank branch numbers have shrunk by almost one-third over the past five years, and by 300-odd in the last 12 months alone.

    That’s… a lot.

    For all of the talk about the end of certain industries – think printed newspapers – it’s possible that banks’ branch networks might get there first.

    Oh, there might be a few branches in big population centres for those things that just can’t be done digitally, but that’ll be it.

    And I don’t think it’ll be far away.

    Banks are looking to cut costs. ANZ this week launched a ‘digital mortgage’ that it says will be suitable for up to 30% of us by 2024. And we’re just not using bank branches anymore.

    Truly, were it not for the social and political pressure, I’d imagine we could have maybe 25% – 50% fewer branches already. But a slowing economy and market pressures will make the banks bite the bullet at some point relatively soon.

    Be careful of hindsight bias

    The RBA is getting grief. Again.

    This time, it’s because Governor Lowe ‘ignored a warning not to give calendar-based forecasts’ (i.e. rates won’t go up until 2024).

    Now, I’ve said before that he shouldn’t have done it. It’s unnecessary, and only exposes you to the very criticism he’s getting now.

    But the current brouhaha is because he was apparently ‘warned’ in an ‘internal report’ not to do it.

    See… he was told, but he didn’t listen!

    To which I say… spare me!

    Why? Well, let me explain.

    Investors have their own version of this problem: the usual suspects who predict a market crash every year.

    Eventually… they’ll be right.

    Then they’ll say they told us so.

    But were they? And were they right, or just lucky?

    One more example?

    Let’s say I write a report about every Motley Fool recommendation, and I send it to the boss. ‘This recommendation could go badly because…’.

    Then, if it does, I trumpet my prescience. And if I’m wrong? Well, I say nothing, of course.

    Heads I win. Tails I don’t lose.

    But back to the RBA.

    Maybe, somewhere, someone warned Governor Lowe not to increase rates in May, because inflation would be transitory. He (rightly) ignored that theoretical warning.

    And so it goes. Someone is always telling you what to do. Every so often they’ll be right.

    But that doesn’t mean the RBA should react to every ‘warning’ it gets. Someone has to tally the risks and the potential rewards, then make a call.

    And sometimes they’ll be wrong.

    It says nothing good about our ability for critical thinking and sober judgement if we expect perfection or crucify those who make mistakes.

    Because the former is impossible, and the latter is unavoidable. Believing anything else is a fantasy-land… and eventually that leads to politicians of no conviction who just pander to us.

    Oh…

    Quick takes

    Overblown: We obsess over CEO pay as if it matters. How’s that for an inflammatory statement! No, there’s no justification for anyone to be paid $21 million a year, but how much does it actually matter to the performance of our investments? They’re probably not worth that 8-figure salary, but it usually won’t impact the bottom line. Far more important is whether they’re the right people to run the company, and will create value for shareholders. Don’t get sucked into the reality TV soap opera – focus on they impact they do (or don’t) make,

    Underappreciated: Back during the GFC, Apple continued to sell more and more iPhones. The ‘original’ BNPL player, Flexigroup, grew strongly. Why? In the former case, it was relatively early in the adoption of smartphones. In the latter, Flexigroup was signing up more and more retailers, even as total retail sales flatlined. Large, mature businesses often have little choice but to float up and down with the tide. Small, growing companies that are finding new audiences don’t (necessarily) suffer the same challenges. Worth thinking about in 2023.

    Fascinating: Maybe I should say ‘fascinating’, in quotation marks. Lobby groups are going to lobby, and the ongoing review of the RBA is no different. It’s probably a good thing to have those lobby groups present their views, to aid the national debate, but just a reminder that none of them are truly trying to present or promote a balanced policy. Business wants changes that are good for business. The Unions want ‘full employment’ as part of an updated mandate. The Australian Council of Social Service wants more inflation. Again, all worthy inputs. Just remember they’re closer to football fans cheering on their team, rather than the referee in the middle who needs to make the calls.

    Where I’ve been looking: I’ve regularly said that one of the great things about the Betashares Nasdaq 100 ETF (ASX: NDQ), available on the ASX (and in which I own units) is that the index is dominated by companies who are at the forefront of ‘creating the future’. That’s as true as it ever was, but I think we can find disruptive innovators here on the ASX, too. It doesn’t need to be out on the ‘bleeding edge’, but l’m looking for tomorrow’s winners.

    Quote: “I skate to where the puck is going to be, not where it has been.” – Ice hockey great, Wayne Gretzky

    Fool on!

    The post Is the economic worm turning? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    *Returns as of November 7 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Scott Phillips has positions in BetaShares Nasdaq 100 ETF. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended BetaShares Nasdaq 100 ETF. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended BetaShares Nasdaq 100 ETF. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • The difference between uncertainty and risk’: 5 ASX shares this fundie is backing for 2023

    Five people are leaping in the shallows of the beach water as sunset shines gold on them.Five people are leaping in the shallows of the beach water as sunset shines gold on them.

    One fund manager has chosen five ASX shares that could help investors profit through an uncertain environment in 2023.

    SG Hiscock portfolio manager Hamish Tagdell shared his stock picks this week in the Australian Financial Review.

    Amid a backdrop of soaring inflation and rising interest rates, Tagdell made the following comments about his thesis for these shares:

    One of our greatest learnings through COVID and the last number of years is understanding the difference between uncertainty and risk. Uncertainty means change, which also brings about ingenuity, entrepreneurship, and opportunity.

    So let’s take a look at which shares he believes could deliver solid returns in the future.

    Fundie buys up ASX energy shares

    Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) was one of Tagdell’s top picks. The world’s possibly lengthy transition from fossil fuels to renewables was cited as a catalyst for hydrocarbons such as gas, which Woodside produces in spades.

    Tagdell said:

    We’ve liked it [Woodside] for a while because we think gas is an important transition fuel in the decarbonisation debate. We think being able to do the energy transition in a reliable way is important.

    Earlier this year, Wilsons equity strategist Rob Crookston mirrored Tagdell’s sentiment that natural gas will become a key commodity in the coming decades. Crookston stated that gas will end up replacing coal as the second most important energy material by 2030.

    Bullish on Woodside and BHP Merger

    Tagdell noted the strength of Woodside after it merged its oil and gas business with BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) earlier this year.

    BHP itself also earned a spot in Tagdell’s portfolio as one of his prominent holdings.

    My Fool colleague Tristian noted that the merger confers several benefits that the fundie could be feeling bullish about. One of these benefits included unlocking a possible US$400 million in operational synergies.

    Another part of this strength comes from his view that gas will continue to be in hot demand and that it has room for additional growth potential, as Tagdell noted:

    Woodside has a strong position, post the BHP deal – it’s very well capitalised. In terms of balance sheet, it’s got good growth options through Scarborough and the West Australian developments it’s looking at. And that’s in a world where I think there’s clearly an increased demand for gas.

    Tagdell deepened his position of investing in natural gas producers and cited another ASX energy share as a top portfolio pick: Cooper Energy Ltd (ASX: COE).

    What else is the fundie buying?

    Tagdell praised Chorus Ltd (ASX: CNU), saying it laid the foundation to generate a healthy amount of free cash flow, some of which could be diverted back to shareholders in the form of bigger dividends. He also believes that Chorus’s shares can be fetched at a discount as they are presently undervalued.

    These comments come amid Chorus’s strong performance in FY22. Its top and bottom lines expanded, and it issued a final unfranked dividend of 35 cents per share.

    Tagdell said:

    [Chorus is] moving from investment to operating mode, and we expect a strong increase in free cash flow. That should enable them to start paying attractive dividends and on our valuation it’s trading on an eight to nine per cent free cash flow yield, or an EV to EBITDA multiple about eight times at the moment.

    Qube Holdings Ltd (ASX: QUB) was the fund manager’s final pick. He cited Qube’s undervalued share price and future growth prospects as being strong reasons why the share was added to his portfolios.

    Over the last 12 months or so, I think [Qube] delivered 25 per cent underlying earnings growth and is expected to post strong earnings growth into 2023.

    And that’s a result of its privileged asset position. We think it’s underappreciated at the moment, trading on an attractive valuation with attractive growth over the next 12 to 18 months.

    The post The difference between uncertainty and risk’: 5 ASX shares this fundie is backing for 2023 appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

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    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the ‘five best ASX stocks’ for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of December 1 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Matthew Farley has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

    A casually dressed woman at home on her couch looks at index fund charts on her laptopA casually dressed woman at home on her couch looks at index fund charts on her laptop

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) ended a disappointing week on a high today. It lifted 0.53% to close at 7,213.2 points on Friday. That marks a 1.21% week-on-week loss.

    Leading today’s gains was the S&P/ASX 200 Materials Index (ASX: XMJ). It rose 1.9% on the back of commodity prices.

    Gold futures lifted 0.2% overnight to US$1,801.50 an ounce and iron ore futures improved 2.2% to US$109.49 a tonne. Meanwhile, copper added 0.6% amid Goldman Sachs’ bullishness.

    The S&P/ASX 200 Information Technology Index (ASX: XIJ) also recovered 1% following a dire four-session-long losing streak that saw it dump 5.7%.

    On the other side of the coin, the S&P/ASX 200 Utilities Index (ASX: XUJ) fell 0.8%, weighed down by the APA Group (ASX: APA) share price.

    All in all, seven of the ASX 200’s 11 sectors closed higher today. But which share outperformed all others? Keep reading to find out.

    Top 10 ASX 200 shares countdown

    Today’s top-performing share was Champion Iron Ltd (ASX: CIA). It gained 5.15% today.

    Today’s biggest gains were made by these shares:

    ASX-listed company Share price Price change
    Champion Iron Ltd (ASX: CIA) $7.35 5.15%
    Sandfire Resources Ltd (ASX: SFR) $5.67 4.81%
    BrainChip Holdings Ltd (ASX: BRN) $0.64 4.07%
    Megaport Ltd (ASX: MP1) $6.46 4.03%
    Karoon Energy Ltd (ASX: KAR) $2.14 3.88%
    Block Inc (ASX: SQ2) $93.84 3.84%
    Chalice Mining Ltd (ASX: CHN) $6.54 3.81%
    Blackmores Ltd (ASX: BKL) $72.80 3.25%
    Minerals Resources Limited (ASX: MIN) $90.50 3.1%
    Aurizon Holdings Ltd (ASX: AZJ) $3.80 2.98%

    Our top 10 shares countdown is a recurring end-of-day summary to let you know which companies were making big moves on the day. Check in at Fool.com.au after the weekday market closes to see which stocks make the countdown.

    The post Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the ‘five best ASX stocks’ for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of December 1 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Megaport. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Apa Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Aurizon, Blackmores, and Megaport. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • The Zip share price has halved since late July. What went so wrong?

    a boy with sad eyes pulls the zip over his mouth and nose while doing up a large jacket where the collar stands up at head height.a boy with sad eyes pulls the zip over his mouth and nose while doing up a large jacket where the collar stands up at head height.

    The Zip Co Ltd (ASX: ZIP) share price has cut in half since late July, however, in recent weeks it has bounced back.

    Zip shares have fallen nearly 54% from $1.52 at market close on 28 July to the current share price of 70 cents.

    Let’s take a look at what has been going on with the Zip share price.

    What’s happening?

    Zip shares have had a rough trot overall since July. However, in the past month, the Zip share price has climbed 9%.

    Zip had a dramatic fall of 30% between market close on 28 July and 1 August despite no price-sensitive news from the company. US Federal Reserve data showing the economy had shrunk by 0.9% in the second quarter appeared to impact buy now pay later (BNPL) shares including Zip.

    Some investors also may have been profit-taking after the Zip share price soared by more than 200% between 1 July and 28 July.

    The Zip share price then fell a further 15% in August. My Foolish colleague Cathryn noted at the time this appeared to be driven by investor sentiment. Zip announced financial results on 25 August.

    Zip delivered a $1.1 billion loss from ordinary activities after income tax. This was despite record revenue, up 57%, and record transaction volume.

    Following these results, UBS tipped the Zip share price to halve. Analysts placed a sell rating on Zip with a 45 cent price target. Analysts said:

    In FY23, managing cash burn and demonstrating a clear path to profitability will be crucial for Zip. Whilst Zip have announced a range of initiatives designed to reduce cash burn, quantifying their precise impact remains difficult; in our view material uncertainty remains.

    Zip shares fell a further 37.5% between market close on 31 August and 17 October.

    Zip lifts

    Zip shares have climbed 16% since market close on 17 October and today.

    The company’s CEO Larry Diamond predicted Zip could be the “next CBA” in an interview with the Australian Financial Review in late October. He said:

    We still believe, in this market, we can be the next CBA. Why not? We have the right leadership, the best technology, and the best people. We are committed to the long term.

    On 20 October, Zip shares climbed on the back of a quarterly update. Zip advised group quarterly revenue had lifted 19% year on year, while transaction volume had soared 15%.

    Meanwhile, early in November, Diamond provided optimism Zip can achieve positive cash EBITDA by the first half of 2024. He said:

    We expect to see the US exiting FY23 cash EBTDA positive and to neutralise the cash burn from our rest of world footprint during the second half of FY23.

    We are on track to deliver positive cash EBTDA as a group in the first half of financial year 2024.

    News also emerged in October that Diamond had moved to the USA, where he sees a “significant opportunity” for Zip. He said:

    There is still a significant opportunity for fintech in the US, as US banks are asleep at the wheel.

    Zip share price snapshot

    The Zip share price has descended 86% in the last year and nearly 84% year to date.

    Zip has a market capitalisation of about $494 million at the current time.

    The post The Zip share price has halved since late July. What went so wrong? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the ‘five best ASX stocks’ for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of December 1 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Monica O’Shea has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Zip Co. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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