Tag: Motley Fool

  • 3 directors have been buying up over $1 million of this ASX 200 share in the past week

    Woman looking at her smartphone and analysing share price.

    Woman looking at her smartphone and analysing share price.When a director of an ASX 200 share is buying up their own company hand over fist, it’s probably worth at least a look. That is the situation with ASX fast food share Dominos Pizza Enterprises Ltd (ASX: DMP) right now.

    Domino’s Pizza shares have had a pretty horrible year. The company has fallen a nasty 53.2% year to date and is down an even nastier 65% or so from its September 2021 all-time high of $133.67. Today, the company is asking $57.44 at the time of writing, up 0.31% for the day.

    And yet, we know that at least some Domino’s directors have been loading the proverbial boat with shares at these prices. Just yesterday, we found out from an ASX notice that director Uschi Schreiber bought 273 Domino’s shares on 2 September, and a further 257 shares on 3 November.

    These tranches were purchased at an average price of $61.99 and $54.04 respectively, bringing Schreiber’s total share count to 2,030.

    Domino’s directors buy up their own shares with gusto

    On that same day, we also found out that fellow director Donal Meij was also loading up. Meij bought four tranches of Domino’s shares between 3 and 8 November. These were purchased between $53.84 and $57.46 per share. The new shares added up to a total of 17,968 shares, meaning Meij now owns 1.26 million direct shares in the company.

    To make things even more interesting, on November 8, we also discovered that another director in Tony Peake added 1,600 shares to his superannuation fund. Peake paid an average of $53.71 for 1,600 new shares bringing his funds’ total to 2,600 shares. His wife owns a further 1,400 shares.

    So we can conclude with relative certainty that multiple directors of Domino’s reckon the company is looking cheap at the recent pricing. If that’s not a vote of confidence in their own company, I don’t know what is.

    At the current Domino’s Pizza share price, this ASX 200 fast food share has a market capitalisation of $4.97 billion, with a dividend yield of 2.72%.    

    The post 3 directors have been buying up over $1 million of this ASX 200 share in the past week appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Tech Stock That’s Changing Streaming

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    Learn more about our Tripledown report
    *Returns as of November 1 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Dominos Pizza Enterprises Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Why Lycopodium, Origin, Perpetual, and Sandfire shares are charging higher

    a young woman raises her hands in joyful celebration as she sits at her computer in a home environment.

    a young woman raises her hands in joyful celebration as she sits at her computer in a home environment.

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is out of form on Thursday. In afternoon trade, the benchmark index is down 0.5% to 6,964.1 points.

    Four ASX shares that aren’t letting that hold them back today are listed below. Here’s why they are charging higher:

    Lycopodium Ltd (ASX: LYL)

    The Lycopodium share price is up 4% to $6.76. Investors have been buying this engineering company’s shares after it announced the award of contracts worth approximately $40 million. The contracts are for engineering and procurement services and construction management services for Endeavour Mining’s Lafigué Project in the Ivory Coast.

    Origin Energy Ltd (ASX: ORG)

    The Origin share price is up 35% to $7.87. This has been driven by news that the energy company has received an indicative, conditional, and non-binding proposal from Brookfield Asset Management and MidOcean Energy to acquire it for $9.00 cash per share. This represents a premium of almost 55% to its last close price.

    Perpetual Limited (ASX: PPT)

    The Perpetual share price is up 11% to $32.32. The catalyst for this is news that the fund manager has received an improved takeover offer from the consortium comprising BPEA Private Equity Fund VIII and Regal Partners. The consortium has lifted its offer by 10% to $33.00 per share. However, Perpetual has rejected the proposal on the belief that its offer “continues to materially undervalue the company.”

    Sandfire Resources Ltd (ASX: SFR)

    The Sandfire share price is up almost 5% to $4.19. This morning the copper miner announced the appointment of highly experienced mining executive Brendan Harris as its new CEO. Sandfire notes that Harris has extensive experience as an exploration geologist and was a senior executive with BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) and South32 Ltd (ASX: S32).

    The post Why Lycopodium, Origin, Perpetual, and Sandfire shares are charging higher appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of November 1 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Can ASX 200 gold share Evolution Mining really surge another 30% on top of recent gains?

    a woman in a business suit holds a large solid gold bar in both hands with a superimposed image of a gagged gold line tracking upwards and featuring a swooping curved arrow pointing upwards.a woman in a business suit holds a large solid gold bar in both hands with a superimposed image of a gagged gold line tracking upwards and featuring a swooping curved arrow pointing upwards.

    The Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN) share price has been on an absolute tear in recent weeks. Most ASX 200 gold miners have been doing well. But Evolution shares have really shone out among the pack. Since 21 October, the Evolution share price has gained an impressive 33%.

    That’s far better than most other ASX 200 gold miners. Take the largest gold share on the ASX 200 — Newcrest Mining Ltd (ASX: NCM). Over that same period, Newcrest shares are ‘only’ up around 14%.

    The catalyst for this move appears to be a recovering gold price, as well as potentially abating fears that interest rates still have a long way to climb.

    But could Evolution Mining shares still have another 30% upside left in the tank? That’s what one ASX broker reckons.

    ASX broker gives Evolution Mining shares a 30% upside

    According to reporting in the Australian Financial Review (AFR) today, ASX broker Morgan Stanley has just re-rated Evolution Mining shares to overweight. That came with a 12-month share price target of $3.10.

    Since the miner is today trading at $2.42 at the time of writing, up a healthy 3% for the day so far, this share price target would equate to a potential upside of more than 28% if it came to pass.

    No doubt investors will be pleased with that assessment.

    My Fool colleague Bernd looked into the gold price last month and where it might be heading from here.

    He cited a report from BMO Capital Markets that predicted the US Federal Reserve will not raise interest rates as aggressively as what the markets are predicting. Because of this, BMO Capital is anticipating that gold prices will hold up around the US$1,680 mark until mid-next year.

    This could be why a broker like Morgan Stanley is bullish on a gold miner like Evolution. But we’ll just have to wait and see what happens.

    At the current Evolution Mining share price, this ASX 200 gold miner has a market capitalisation of $4.43 billion, with a dividend yield of 2.48%.

    The post Can ASX 200 gold share Evolution Mining really surge another 30% on top of recent gains? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of November 1 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has positions in Newcrest Mining Limited. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Up 75% in 2022, is it time to cash in on Sayona Mining shares?

    A man thinks very carefully about his money and investments.A man thinks very carefully about his money and investments.

    The Sayona Mining Ltd (ASX: SYA) share price is falling today.

    Shares of the lithium producer are currently trading for 24.3 cents each, a drop of 1.22% on Wednesday’s closing price.

    The materials sector is also struggling today and is currently one of the worst-performing sectors in afternoon trade on Thursday. The S&P/ASX 200 Materials Index (ASX: XMJ) is down 0.98%, while the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is falling 0.31%.

    However, despite today’s fall, Sayona shares are up 75% this year to date. So is it time to cash in? Let’s cover the highlights of where the Sayona Mining share price could be heading.

    What’s going on with Sayona?

    Sayona Mining’s rating was downgraded by bank Clarksons Platou this afternoon. The company changed its position on the share recently by rating it as a ‘new sell’.

    At face value, it might be hard to imagine why some experts believe its shares could be in for a downturn. The company has posted consistently positive developments in its fundamentals in the recent past, and its outlook for FY23 remains positive.

    One thesis that my Fool colleague James posted in October is that investors could be taking this opportunity to take profits in their investments.

    Then there’s the outlook for lithium prices in China. S&P Global predicts that lithium carbonate and hydroxide prices will continue their bull run to the end of the year, with some estimates stating prices will exceed Yuan 600,000/mt by January 2023. 

    However, the company also notes that production is expected to slow down during the quiet winter period, which could be a factor that’s being priced into some lithium shares.

    This might explain why some shares like Sayona have been shorted by bears. The company recently made the list of the top ten most-shorted ASX shares with a short interest ratio of 8.9% at the time of writing.

    Sayona Mining share price snapshot

    The Sayona Mining share price is up 75% year to date and 60% over the past year. That’s beating the ASX 200 by a huge margin — it’s down 8% and 6% over the same timeframes.

    The company’s market capitalisation is around $2.03 billion.

    The post Up 75% in 2022, is it time to cash in on Sayona Mining shares? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Sayona Mining Limited right now?

    Before you consider Sayona Mining Limited, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Sayona Mining Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of November 1 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Matthew Farley has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Why Block, Lake Resources, Pendal, and Xero shares are dropping today

    a woman holds her hands to her temples as she sits in front of a computer screen with a concerned look on her face.

    a woman holds her hands to her temples as she sits in front of a computer screen with a concerned look on her face.In afternoon trade, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is on course to end its winning streak. At the time of writing, the benchmark index is down 0.3% to 6,978 points.

    Four ASX shares that are falling more than most today are listed below. Here’s why they are dropping:

    Block Inc (ASX: SQ2)

    The Block share price is down almost 7% to $89.49. This follows an even larger decline by the payments company’s NYSE listed shares overnight on Wall Street. Block wasn’t the only tech share under pressure. A number of tech stocks dropped deep into the red, leading to the tech-focused Nasdaq index sliding 2.5% last night.

    Lake Resources N.L. (ASX: LKE)

    The Lake Resources share price is down 3.5% to $1.07. This follows broad weakness in the lithium industry today. In addition, Lake Resources shares have come under pressure during the last couple of sessions after J Capital renewed its short attack on the lithium developer.

    Pendal Group Ltd (ASX: PDL)

    The Pendal share price is down over 11% to $3.89. Investors have been selling this fund manager’s shares amid concerns that Perpetual Limited (ASX: PPT) could be looking to abandon its takeover of Pendal. Perpetual, which has received an improved takeover proposal today, has sought to delay a court hearing for the scheme of arrangement.

    Xero Limited (ASX: XRO)

    The Xero share price has sunk 10% to $65.09. Investors have been selling this cloud accounting platform provider’s shares after its first half earnings fell short of estimates. In addition, the company announced the surprise exit of its CEO, Steve Vamos, after almost five years in the top job. In respect to its earnings, Xero reported EBITDA of NZ$108.6 million (or NZ$123.7 million excluding one-offs). This compares to the consensus estimate of NZ$143 million.

    The post Why Block, Lake Resources, Pendal, and Xero shares are dropping today appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    How to grow a retirement portfolio with ’pullback stocks’

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    Get all the details here.

    See The 4 Stocks
    *Returns as of November 1 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Block, Inc. and Xero. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Block, Inc. and Xero. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • China’s property crash has decimated the iron ore price. So what’s the outlook for Rio Tinto shares?

    Two businessmen look out at the city from the top of a tall building.Two businessmen look out at the city from the top of a tall building.

    The Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO) share price is down 0.72% today to $97.92 as fears of further trouble in China’s property market create concern about the outlook for iron ore.

    Fellow ASX mining shares are also falling today. The Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG) share price is down 2.04% to $16.77. The BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) share price is down 1.26% to $40.66.

    There is no news from Rio today. However, ongoing discussion about China’s slowing economy is likely weighing on the Rio Tinto share price.

    According to reporting in the Australian Financial Review (AFR) today, Reserve Bank deputy governor Michele Bullock says China’s stressed property market and COVID-zero policy are among their top concerns for the Australian economy.

    China’s property market is floundering, which means reduced new construction. On top of that, its COVID-zero policy means lockdowns have and may continue to disrupt industrial activity. The direct result of these two factors is less demand from Australia’s biggest iron ore customer.

    ‘Steepest downturn in years’ for China’s property sector

    Lesser demand from China has led to a fall in the iron ore price. It has almost halved from its 52-week peak of about $160 per tonne in March. Today, it’s fetching US$91.50 per tonne, up 0.55% overnight.

    That’s a long way off its all-time record high of about US$240 per tonne back in May 2021.

    According to reporting on abc.net.au today, UBS resources analyst Lachlan Shaw said:

    We’re seeing the steepest downturn in property activity in China, in years, arguably decades, as the industry there struggles with liquidity and policy from the government.

    The combination of developer funding challenges and lack of demand is seeing property purchases in China very, very weak.

    That’s been traditionally, for the last decade or two, probably a third or more of China’s steel demand, and therefore over a sixth of global steel demand.

    According to Trading Economics, investment in China’s “debt-ridden” property market has fallen by more than 8% year over year. In October, lower steel demand drove iron ore imports down by 4.7%.

    Head of research for MCA Michael Slack is also concerned that supply is about to increase. All the major miners in Australia have built, or are building, new iron ore mines.

    Slack writes on Livewire:

    Looking forward, we see growth in iron ore supply, particularly out of Australia, Brazil and Africa, exceeding growth in Chinese demand thereby pushing the iron ore market into surplus and impacting price.

    If China continues along this path and allows the property sector to wallow, iron ore pricing and resource companies may suffer along with it.

    Because of this demand overhang and its potential impact on resources stocks, we currently hold an underweight exposure to iron ore in our value equity strategy. 

    ‘Long-term future for iron ore is strong’: Rio Tinto boss

    Rio Tinto’s iron ore CEO, Simon Trott, says all this talk is about the relative short-term future.

    Trott told the ABC:

    We are seeing some short-term weakness, particularly with inflation and interest rates rising in the Western world, and those events, combined with some impact from COVID lockdowns on the property sector in China, and so we have seen a pullback in iron ore prices of late.

    But the long-term future for the iron ore business is strong, the world continues to need steel and will continue to need steel for the lives people want to live as well as future decarbonisation.

    The investment decisions we make are based on our view over decades, so our long term belief in the iron ore market is unchanged.

    It’s worth remembering that while daily fluctuations in the iron ore price do directly impact ASX iron ore shares, Rio is a diversified miner. This means the business doesn’t hinge solely on the iron ore outlook.

    Iron ore represented 66% of Rio Tinto’s underlying earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA) for the six months to 30 June 2022.

    The company also mines aluminium, copper, and other minerals including diamonds and titanium.

    Rio Tinto share price snapshot

    The Rio Tinto share price is down 4% in the year to date. Over the past 12 months, it’s up 13%.

    Compare that to iron ore pure-play miner, Fortescue.

    The Fortescue share price is down 15% in the year to date and up 17% over the past months.

    The post China’s property crash has decimated the iron ore price. So what’s the outlook for Rio Tinto shares? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    *Returns as of November 7 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has positions in BHP Billiton Limited and Fortescue Metals Group Limited. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Why is the CSL share price smashing the ASX 200 on Thursday?

    ASX 300 share investors in suits running a race on an athletics trackASX 300 share investors in suits running a race on an athletics track

    The CSL Limited (ASX: CSL) share price is outperforming the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) today. CSL shares are up 1.35% to $283.39 apiece while the ASX 200 is down 0.4%.

    The market is a mixed bag today with some sectors up and some down.

    The S&P/ASX 200 Health Care Index (ASX: XHJ) is up 1.41%, making it the second-best performing sector of the day so far. It ranks behind S&P/ASX 200 Utilities (ASX: XUJ), which is having a screamer — up 14%.

    COVID-19 disrupts trajectory of CSL share price

    The CSL share price was on an incredible upward trajectory before COVID-19 hit in February 2020.

    This time five years ago, the CSL share price was $144. It rose to a peak of $342.75 on 20 February. That’s a 138% gain in 27 months. Oh, yes. That’s a stratospheric growth for a company the size of CSL.

    Then the world caved in over COVID-19 and it’s been a very bumpy ride for CSL shares ever since.

    Is it time to buy this ASX market darling?

    A bunch of brokers are now feeling very positive about the CSL share price, and the future of the company.

    Today, The Australian reports that Credit Suisse has raised its rating on CSL shares to outperform.

    The broker isn’t alone in its optimistic outlook.

    As my Fool colleague Tristan reported yesterday, Morgans has an add rating on CSL with a 12-month share price target of $312.50.

    Morgan Stanley has an overweight rating on CSL with a price target of $327. Ord Minnett has a price target of $330. Citi goes a couple of steps further with a 12-month share price target of $340.

    My Fool colleague Tony also reports that 15 out of 18 analysts on CMC Markets rate CSL a buy.

    Fairmont Equities managing director Michael Gable told The Bull this week:

    The share price of this blood products company has been relatively flat in the past two years. Because CSL is a growth stock, interest rate rises have kept a lid on the share price.

    But with interest rate rises poised to slow or even cease in the new year, Gable feels like CSL shares have a fighting chance to return to glory.

    The recent acquisition of Vifor Pharma should add to CSL’s earnings next year, and a topping out in interest rates should also assist a share price recovery.

    The post Why is the CSL share price smashing the ASX 200 on Thursday? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in CSL right now?

    Before you consider CSL , you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and CSL wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of November 1 2022

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    Citigroup is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has positions in CSL Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended CSL Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Own BHP shares? Here are key takeaways from the miner’s AGM

    Mining workers in high vis vests and hard hats discuss plans for the mining site they are at as heavy equipment moves earth behind them, representing opportunities among ASX 200 shares as nominated by top broker Macquarie

    Mining workers in high vis vests and hard hats discuss plans for the mining site they are at as heavy equipment moves earth behind them, representing opportunities among ASX 200 shares as nominated by top broker Macquarie

    BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) shares are dropping on the day of the mining giant’s annual general meeting (AGM).

    In afternoon trade, the Big Australian’s shares are down over 1.5% to $40.52.

    This follows a decline by BHP’s NYSE listed shares overnight, which appears to have offset any positives from its AGM presentation.

    What was said at the BHP AGM?

    While there wasn’t anything market sensitive in the AGM presentation, management spoke very positively about the future. Particularly given the changes it has made to its portfolio. BHP CEO Mike Henry commented:

    We have made significant changes this year to reshape our business with a portfolio more aligned to the global megatrends unfolding around us, so we are better positioned to grow value as demand for our commodities grows.

    One commodity the mining giant is very positive on is potash. While BHP isn’t yet mining the mineral, it has big plans to do so from the Jansen Potash Project. This is expected to be one of the world’s largest and lowest cost potash mines when it comes into production.

    BHP chair, Ken MacKenzie, sees the mineral, which is a vital link in the global food supply chain, as a big part of the miner’s future. He said:

    Potash is a new commodity for BHP which has the potential to deliver value for a century or more.

    MacKenzie also highlights that BHP’s portfolio is positioned to benefit from several megatrends. He added:

    The changes we have made across BHP align your company with the megatrends of decarbonisation, population growth, and demand for higher standards of living. According to our modelling, to deliver our Paris-aligned 1.5-degree scenario, the demand for copper, nickel and steel will grow to enable the infrastructure and products required for the energy transition.

    This was echoed by Mike Henry, who concluded his speech saying:

    We are confident the fundamentals of decarbonisation, population growth, rising living standards and urbanisation will drive demand for the commodities in our reshaped portfolio for decades into the future. BHP will continue to provide the commodities the world needs and deliver value for our stakeholders. With your support, we will help build a better future.

    The post Own BHP shares? Here are key takeaways from the miner’s AGM appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Are ASX 200 lithium shares the new recession-proof investment?

    A person holds their hands over three piggy banks, protecting and shielding their money and investments.A person holds their hands over three piggy banks, protecting and shielding their money and investments.

    It’s been a brilliant year so far for S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) lithium shares despite growing talk of global recessions.

    Could companies dealing in the battery-making material be among those capable of dodging major downturn carnage? Plenty of experts appear to think so.

    Indeed, Macquarie reportedly upgraded its outlook for lithium prices earlier this week despite Treasurer Jim Chalmers’ prediction of recessions around the globe.

    Though, Chalmers remains confident Australia will avoid much of that which many of its trading partners cannot, telling ABC’s Q+A last week:

    When the global economy turns down … we can’t completely escape the consequences of that but … I don’t expect us to go into recession.

    Indeed, the ASX 200 has outperformed many of its global peers, falling just 8% year to date.

    Comparatively, the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJX: .DJI), S&P 500 Index (SP: .INX), and Nasdaq Composite Index (NASDAQ: .IXIC) all entered bear markets in 2022.

    So, how have ASX 200 lithium shares performed amid the market downturn and could they represent a recession hedge? Let’s take a look.

    ASX 200 lithium shares outperform through 2022’s downturn

    Most ASX 200 lithium shares have outperformed the market significantly this year, shaking off the broader downturn to rocket higher.

    The star performer has been Core Lithium Ltd (ASX: CXO). Its stock has soared nearly 150% year to date.

    Meanwhile, shares in the newly profitable Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS) have lifted over 50% and those in ASX 200 newbie Sayona Mining Ltd (ASX: SYA) have gained more than 75%.

    Other winning market favourites include Allkem Ltd (ASX: AKE and Mineral Resources Limited (ASX: MIN), both up 40%, and Liontown Resources Limited (ASX: LTR), up 10%.

    It’s safe to say the sector as a whole has defied recession talk so far.

    Lithium prices have also defied a slowing Chinese economy. That’s no mean feat, as the nation generally drives demand for major commodities.

    What’s next?

    Many experts remain bullish on lithium prices despite the potential for a global slowdown.

    My Fool colleague Bronwyn reports that Wilsons’ Rob Crookston recently voiced that the energy transition will drive demand for electric vehicles, and the lithium needed for their batteries is sky high in coming years.

    Meanwhile, Macquarie upped its predictions for the spodumene price’s peak to US$6,500 a tonne this week, the Australian Financial Review reports. Though, Morgan Stanley is said to expect spot prices to slip amid pressures on demand and rising supply.

    Finally, the Federal Government recently tipped lithium prices to peak next year, with spodumene expected to reach US$3,280 a tonne before easing in 2024.

    No doubt such commodity prices, if realised, could help bolster many ASX 200 lithium shares through probable international recessions and an Aussie downturn.

    The post Are ASX 200 lithium shares the new recession-proof investment? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • 3 ASX 200 shares shooting the lights out on Thursday

    a woman holds her hands up in delight as she sits in front of her lapa woman holds her hands up in delight as she sits in front of her lap

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is struggling to find its feet on Thursday.

    At the time of writing, the benchmark index has slumped 0.3% to 6,981 points.

    But despite this weakness, some ASX 200 shares are bucking the trend and racing higher. Let’s take a look.

    Origin Energy Ltd (ASX: ORG)

    Today’s biggest ASX news story is Origin’s takeover bid from Brookfield Asset Management. If that name sounds familiar, it’s likely because Brookfield made a widely-publicised play for AGL Energy Limited (ASX: AGL) that ultimately fell through. 

    Today’s move has seen the Origin share price catapult 36.3% higher to currently sit at $7.92.

    Brookfield has tabled an indicative non-binding proposal to acquire Origin for $9 cash per share. This indicative proposal values Origin at an enterprise value of $18.4 billion.

    What’s more, Origin revealed today that this isn’t the first offer from Brookfield. On 8 August, the consortium made an indicative proposal at an offer price of $7.95 cash per share. 

    Then, on 18 September, the consortium made a further proposal at an indicative price of between $8.70 to $8.90.

    This time, Origin has entered into a confidentiality and exclusivity agreement with the consortium. 

    The company notes that following due diligence, if the consortium makes a binding offer at $9 cash per share, the board intends to unanimously recommend shareholders vote in favour of the proposal.

    With Origin shares last changing hands at $7.92 apiece, there is currently 13.6% upside on the table if the deal goes through.

    It’s worth noting that if the scheme of arrangement is implemented after 15 May 2023, the takeover price will decrease by $0.03 per month. 

    News Corporation (ASX: NWS)

    The News Corp share price is also having a day in the sun. The dual-listed media and publishing company released its first-quarter results yesterday, which was met with disappointment from the market. The News Corp share price finished the day 10.9% lower. 

    But there appears to be a change in sentiment today, with News Corp shares rebounding by 9.29% at the time of writing to sit at $25.18.

    In the first quarter of FY23, News Corp delivered sales of US$2.48 billion, down 1% year on year.

    The group noted that a strong US dollar, which reduces the value of its international revenue, and lower book sales dragged on the top line.

    The result was dire on the bottom line, with net income tumbling by 75% to US$66 million.

    During yesterday’s earnings call, CFO Susan Panuccio painted a cautious outlook for the coming quarter:

    We continue to expect higher costs due to supply chain and inflationary pressures. Advertising conditions and mix and visibility remains limited across the businesses.

    Computershare Limited (ASX: CPU)

    Computershare is another ASX 200 share racing higher today. The Computershare share price gained as much as 9% in early morning trade. But shares have since taken a breather. At the time of writing, Computershare shares have climbed 4.81% to $27.25.

    This upward swing has been driven by a guidance upgrade at the company’s annual general meeting (AGM) today.

    Computershare revealed that in the first four months of FY23, global interest rate rises have been faster and larger than expected. 

    Computershare is a beneficiary of rising interest rates because it generates margin income on the cash balances it holds on behalf of clients. 

    The company is now expecting to generate US$800 million of margin income in FY23; up from the US$520 million figure that was guided in August.

    As a result, the company has also upgraded its FY23 guidance for management earnings per share (EPS). Back in August, the company expected management EPS to grow by around 55% in FY23. It’s now expecting growth to be around 90%.

    In FY22, Computershare delivered management EPS of 57.95 US cents. So, a 90% increase would result in management EPS of roughly US$1.10. This would see Computershare generating normalised profit of around US$660 million in FY23.

    The post 3 ASX 200 shares shooting the lights out on Thursday appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    FREE Guide for New Investors

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    Motley Fool contributor Cathryn Goh has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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