Tag: Motley Fool

  • Looking to buy Rio Tinto shares? Here’s why this fundie says there is ‘something terribly wrong’

    A young investor working on his ASX shares portfolio on his laptopA young investor working on his ASX shares portfolio on his laptop

    Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX: RIO) shares are in the green today, up 0.5% to $97.98 apiece.

    That leaves the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) miner, which also pays a dividend yield of some 10%, down 1.5% in 2022, handily beating the 12% loss posted by the benchmark index.

    That’s today’s price action.

    Now, here’s why this fund manager has let loose on the mining giant.

    Why this fundie says there is ‘something terribly wrong’

    Fund manager Willy Packer is less than pleased with the pressured resignation of Energy Resources of Australia Ltd (ASX: ERA) chairman Peter Mansell along with two independent directors, Paul Dowd and Shane Charles. The trio handed in their resignations last week.

    As the Australian Financial Review reported, Packer said the situation “reeks of something terribly wrong”.

    Rio Tinto is the majority shareholder in Energy Resources. The stoush centres around the Jabiluka uranium project and the Ranger uranium mine. Both projects are located in the Northern Territory’s Kakadu national park.

    But any development is opposed by the local Mirarr people. That reality was said to be taken into account in the project’s independent valuation.

    Packer was clearly disappointed by the resignations. And he questioned whether any mines in Australia can be properly valued when the traditional owners have not given their consent.

    “All mining projects in Australia require traditional owner approval, therefore, are all highly prospective projects worth zero until approved?” Packer said.

    According to the AFR, Rio Tinto had lost confidence in the ERA board members over the way they were attempting to raise funds.

    Under a new loan agreement, the previous independent valuation of the project will be canned. ERA shareholders will now have to await a new valuation before any revised share issue takes place.

    According to Packer, Rio Tinto “shot the messengers and the umpires” after the original ERA valuation of 15.9 cents to 24.3 cents was higher than it wanted.

    Packer continued:

    How can a second report be considered independent if its preparation is conditional on certain constraints? In any event, what firm would put its hand up in the future to write another valuation report knowing that if it does not appease Rio, it will have its reputation dragged through the mud.

    Atop questioning what firms may be willing to take on a second valuation report for the project, Packer wondered if anyone would be “brave enough” to replace the outgoing board members at ERA:

    Rio has created a toxic situation, and we question who would be brave enough to join the ERA board and take on the personal risks involved in carrying out director’s duties cognisant of the Corporation Act in relation to the oppression of minority shareholders.

    How have Rio Tinto shares performed longer-term

    On top of the regular, and growing, dividend stream, Rio Tinto shares have gained 43% over the past five years. That compares to a 15% gain posted by the ASX 200 over that same period.

    The post Looking to buy Rio Tinto shares? Here’s why this fundie says there is ‘something terribly wrong’ appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Why Baby Bunting, Calidus, Pointsbet, and South32 shares are falling

    In afternoon trade, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has given back its morning gains and dropped slightly into the red. At the time of writing, the benchmark index is down a fraction to 6,667.6 points.

    Four ASX shares that are falling more than most today are listed below. Here’s why they are dropping:

    Baby Bunting Group Ltd (ASX: BBN)

    The Baby Bunting share price has crashed over 21% to $3.07. This follows the release of a trading update at the baby products retailer’s annual general meeting. Although Baby Bunting delivered double-digit sales growth financial year to date, its earnings have fallen due to significant gross margin weakness. This has been partly driven by intense price competition and rising inflation.

    Calidus Resources Ltd (ASX: CAI)

    The Calidus Resources share price is down a further 23% to 36.5 cents. Investors have been selling this gold miner’s shares this week following a disappointing update. That update revealed softer than expected gold production during the latest quarter.

    Pointsbet Holdings Ltd (ASX: PBH)

    The Pointsbet share price is down 8% to $1.94. This is despite there being no news out of the sports betting company on Tuesday. However, it is worth noting that a number of tech shares are falling today after a poor night of trade on the NASDAQ index. This has seen the S&P/ASX All Technology Index drop 0.8% this afternoon.

    South32 Ltd (ASX: S32)

    The South32 share price is down 2% to $3.70. Investors have been selling this mining giant’s shares following the release of a broker note out of Goldman Sachs. According to the note, the broker has downgraded South32’s shares to a neutral rating and cut the price target on them by 22% to $3.70. This follows a sharp reduction in its earnings estimates to reflect lower commodity price forecasts.

    The post Why Baby Bunting, Calidus, Pointsbet, and South32 shares are falling appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Pointsbet Holdings Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Baby Bunting and Pointsbet Holdings Ltd. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Why is the Piedmont Lithium share price having such a stellar run on Tuesday?

    A man in his 30s holds his laptop and operates it with his other hand as he has a look of pleasant surprise on his face as though he is learning something new or finding hidden value in something on the screen.

    A man in his 30s holds his laptop and operates it with his other hand as he has a look of pleasant surprise on his face as though he is learning something new or finding hidden value in something on the screen.

    The Piedmont Lithium Inc (ASX: PLL) share price is charging higher on Tuesday.

    In afternoon trade, the lithium developer’s shares are up 4% to 87 cents.

    This compares favourably to the ASX 200 index, which is trading flat at the time of writing.

    Why is the Piedmont Lithium share price charging higher?

    Investor have been buying Piedmont Lithium’s shares despite there being no news out of the company.

    However, it is worth noting that it isn’t the only lithium share rising today. A good number are outperforming the market today thanks to a strong showing in the battery materials sector.

    This has seen the likes of Allkem Ltd (ASX: AKE) and Core Lithium Ltd (ASX: CXO) record gains of over 3% this afternoon.

    What else?

    It is also worth pointing out that Piedmont Lithium shares are now listed on the NASDAQ index as well as the Australian share market.

    In fact, you could argue that the former is now the more important listing, with its Australian shares having a tendency to follow their lead.

    So, with the Piedmont Lithium share price lifting 4% on the NASDAQ overnight, they have followed suit on the local market today.

    Investors were buying its US shares on Monday night after lithium shares such as Albemarle, Livent and SQM rose on Wall Street. This was despite the rest of the market taking a bit of a tumble.

    Investors appear to believe that supply constraints and strong demand for lithium will keep prices elevated for longer, putting these companies in a position to profit greatly over the coming years.

    The post Why is the Piedmont Lithium share price having such a stellar run on Tuesday? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro owns Allkem shares. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • 3 ASX mining shares rocketing higher on project developments

    three young children weariing business suits, helmets and old fashioned aviator goggles wear aeroplane wings on their backs and jump with one arm outstretched into the air in an arid, sandy landscape.three young children weariing business suits, helmets and old fashioned aviator goggles wear aeroplane wings on their backs and jump with one arm outstretched into the air in an arid, sandy landscape.

    These three ASX mining shares are exploding higher than the S&P ASX 200 Materials Index (ASX: XMJ) today.

    Kuniko Ltd (ASX: KNI), Dundas Minerals Ltd (ASX: DUN) and Element 25 Ltd (ASX: E25) shares are all rocketing ahead today. The ASX 200 Materials Index is up 0.94% today.

    So why are these ASX mining shares having such a stellar day?

    Kuniko

    Kuniko shares are soaring 11% today. The company is exploring the Skuterud Cobalt project in Norway. Drill assay results showed “significant cobalt mineralisation”. Copper was also identified. Kuniko plans to conduct further drilling at the site to unlock the “promising upside” of the project.

    Commenting on the news, CEO Antony Beckmand said:

    We are increasingly confident the results are supporting the potential for identifying cobalt-copper rich zones at a large scale.

    Element 25

    Element 25 shares are soaring 17% today. The company updated investors on plans to produce high purity battery grade manganese sulphate from the company’s Butcherbird Project. A feasibility study is on schedule for completion in December. Element 25 is also in discussions with potential offtake partners. Furthermore, the company highlighted how it could qualify for clean energy and electric vehicle incentives in the USA Inflation Reduction Act.

    Element 25 had this to say regarding the news:

    Importantly for Element 25 investors, qualifying FTA countries include Australia and qualifying critical minerals include manganese.  

    Dundas Minerals

    Dundas shares are soaring 45% today. Earlier today, the company’s share price exploded 100%. Dundas is exploring nickel, copper, cobalt and gold in Western Australia. Drilling at the site intersected with massive and disseminated sulphides along with sulphidic quartz veins.

    Commenting on the news, managing director Shane Volk said:

    Given the results from hole 1, we’d expect to intercept sulphides again in hole 2.

    The post 3 ASX mining shares rocketing higher on project developments appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    Motley Fool contributor Monica O’Shea has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Broker says Webjet shares are one of its best buy ideas this month

    Three friends walking together at a train station.

    Three friends walking together at a train station.

    Webjet Limited (ASX: WEB) shares are having a tough year.

    Since the start of 2022, the online travel agent’s shares have dropped over 10% to $4.86.

    This leaves the Webjet share price trading within sight of a 52-week low of $4.55.

    Are Webjet shares trading at an attractive level?

    The good news for shareholders is that one leading broker is tipping Webjet shares to rebound over the next 12 months.

    In fact, its conviction is so strong that it has the travel share on its best ideas list for October.

    These are the shares that the broker thinks offer the highest risk-adjusted returns over a 12-month timeframe and are supported by a higher-than-average level of confidence.

    What is the broker saying?

    According to a note out of Morgans, its analysts have an add rating and $6.40 price target on the company’s shares.

    Based on where Webjet’s shares are currently trading, this implies potential upside of almost 32% for investors over the next 12 months. Morgans is also expecting a modest dividend yield of almost 1%, increasing the total potential return slightly.

    The broker is positive on Webjet shares due to their valuation and the company’s cost reductions. It expects the latter to lead to the company being a much more profitable business when trading returns to normal.

    It explained:

    Based on our forecasts, WEB is trading on an FY24 recovery year PE which is at a discount to its five-year average PE (pre-COVID). Its WebBeds (B2B) business is highly leveraged to the northern hemisphere summer holiday season which is forecast to be strong. Webjet OTA is leveraged to ANZ domestic and international travel. Management also wasted a crisis and cost reduction initiatives will reduce its cost base by 20% across the group once the business returns to scale.

    The post Broker says Webjet shares are one of its best buy ideas this month appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Webjet Ltd. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Macquarie says Zip share price has further to fall

    Zip share price Z1P A wide-eyed man peers out from a small gap in his black zipped jumper conveying fear over the weak Zip share price

    Zip share price Z1P A wide-eyed man peers out from a small gap in his black zipped jumper conveying fear over the weak Zip share price

    The Zip Co Ltd (ASX: ZIP) share price is dipping lower today, down 0.8%.

    The ASX buy now, pay later (BNPL) stock closed yesterday at 63 cents and is currently swapping hands for 62.5 cents per share.

    That’s a far cry from the $12.35 the Zip share price hit back in-mid February last year.

    But even after that long, hard fall, analysts at Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) believe the payments company is still overvalued.

    What did Macquarie report?

    Macquarie analysts have run their slide rule across the most recent app traffic data for a range of BNPL shares.

    And, as The Australian Financial Review reported, Zip didn’t come out on top.

    According to Macquarie, Zip was among the “BNPL operators [that] have recorded moderating or declining growth during CY22”.

    The analysts hit the stock with an underperform rating, with a 60-cent target for the Zip share price. That suggests another 4% decline from the current price.

    What’s been happening with the Zip share price?

    It’s been a tough year across the BNPL space, and the Zip share price has certainly been no exception.

    Pressured by fast-rising inflation and interest rates, shares are down a painful 85% year-to-date.

    With the company’s market cap having tumbled to some $440 million, Zip was booted from the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) on 19 September as part of the S&P Dow Jones Indices September quarterly review. The Zip share price has tumbled 24% since its exit from the benchmark index.

    Trading outside of the ASX 200 can throw up some tailwinds for shares. That’s partly because a lot of fund managers are limited to trading the top 200 stocks, and won’t be able to buy shares anymore. Those fund managers already holding Zip shares prior to the company’s exclusion from the benchmark index may have been forced to sell them.

    While Zip still does receive a fair amount of media attention, stocks within the ASX 200 tend to get superior analyst coverage and are more likely to make mainstream media headlines.

    The post Macquarie says Zip share price has further to fall appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended ZIPCOLTD FPO. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Macquarie Group Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Guess which ASX mining share just rocketed 100% on a new discovery

    Rocket powering up and symbolising a rising share price.

    Rocket powering up and symbolising a rising share price.

    Can you guess which little-known ASX mining share rocketed 100% on open after announcing a new discovery this morning?

    If you said Dundas Minerals Ltd (ASX: DUN), go to the front of the class.

    The ASX mining share has given back some of those opening gains but remains up an impressive 50% at the time of writing.

    So, what’s piquing investor interest?

    What did Dundas Minerals report?

    Investors are bidding up the junior ASX mining share after it announced promising results from the first diamond drill hole at its Central exploration target.

    Dundas is exploring for nickel, copper, cobalt and gold in the prospective Albany-Fraser Orogen, located in Western Australia.

    The first drill hole was reported to have successfully intercepted a mafic-ultramafic complex. This includes extensive zones of massive, semi-massive, highly disseminated and disseminated sulphides.

    If that’s all a bit technical for you, you’re not alone.

    The ASX mining share noted that the geological setting at Central is complex. While Dundas does not yet have a sufficient understanding of the geology based on the single diamond drill hole, the miner said the environment is “conducive to an intrusive Ni-Cu-Co type deposit, plus gold and silver”.

    The company is currently awaiting assay results to confirm mineralisation. It was planning four additional diamond drill holes at the site, with a total drill program of some 2,000 metres intended. But following on the strong results of the first hole, Dundas said it is likely to expand that drill program.

    Commenting on the results, Dundas Minerals managing director Shane Volk said:

    Whilst we were always quietly confident of the geophysical data modelling… to see it transpire as it has is extremely rewarding for the small Dundas Minerals team, actually it’s an outstanding result.

    We now very much look forward to receiving the assay results from Hole 1 and to the drilling of our second hole at Central, which will be almost vertical…. to a depth of more than 500 metres. Given the results from Hole 1, we’d expect to intercept sulphides again in Hole 2.

    How has this ASX mining share been tracking?

    The Dundas Minerals share price is on a tear this year.

    Since the opening bell on 4 January, the ASX mining share has leapt 811% higher. That’s over the same period that the All Ordinaries Index (ASX: XAO) has fallen 13%.

    The post Guess which ASX mining share just rocketed 100% on a new discovery appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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  • South32 share price drops on broker downgrade

    a man in high visibility shirt and hard hat with full beard looks downcast with eyes lowered as though he is disappointed or sad.

    a man in high visibility shirt and hard hat with full beard looks downcast with eyes lowered as though he is disappointed or sad.

    The South32 Ltd (ASX: S32) share price is having a subdued day.

    At the time of writing, the mining giant’s shares are down over 1% to $3.72.

    This compares unfavourably to the S&P/ASX 200 Materials sector, which is up 1.4% currently.

    Why is the South32 share price underperforming?

    The South32 share price has come under pressure today after the company lost one of its biggest bulls.

    According to a note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts have downgraded the miner’s shares to a neutral rating and cut the price target on them by 21% to $3.70.

    This price target is broadly in line with where the company’s shares trading at present.

    Why did Goldman downgrade its shares?

    Goldman made the move after reducing its earnings estimate materially through to FY 2025.

    The broker’s EBITDA estimates have been reduced by 29% in FY 2023, 26% in FY 2024, and 34% in FY 2025 to reflect lower base metal price forecasts. It explains:

    Downgrade S32 to Neutral (from Buy) based on our revised lower NAV valuation of A$3.78/sh and PT of A$3.7/sh on the back of our base metal price downgrades resulting in a modest FCF yield of just 3% in FY23E.

    [W]e forecast a ~80% drop in EBITDA in FY23 on lower base metals prices and a FCF yield of just 3% despite a forecast ~10% increase in Cu Eq production, but an attractive 16% FCF yield in FY24 driven mostly by our expected recovery in base metal prices. For FY23, we forecast a sharp contraction in aluminium EBITDA from over US$1bn in FY22 to just ~US$300mn in FY23 on lower prices and elevated costs at the Hillside and Mozal smelters.

    In light of this, the broker sees more value in fellow diversified miners BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) and Rio Tinto Limited (AX: RIO) and is recommending them as buys.

    The post South32 share price drops on broker downgrade appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Why has the Whitehaven share price already dived 7% so far this week?

    Coal miners look resigned to the end of mining this resourceCoal miners look resigned to the end of mining this resource

    This week has so far been one to forget for the Whitehaven Coal Ltd (ASX: WHC) share price. It has dumped 7.3% since Friday’s close.

    Its tumble follows on from last week’s strong performance that saw the stock hit four all-time record highs, peaking at $11.04 on Friday.

    But its winning streak came to an end yesterday when the Whitehaven share price tumbled 4.65% to close at $10.45 amid a dire day for the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO).

    And it’s back in the red today, down 2.82% to $10.15 at the time of writing after hitting an intraday low of $10.09. Meanwhile, the ASX 200 is posting a partial recovery, lifting 0.29%.

    So, what might be going wrong for the coal producer this week? Let’s take a look.

    What’s weighing on the Whitehaven share price?

    The Whitehaven share price is in the doldrums this week alongside the broader S&P/ASX 200 Energy Index (ASX: XEJ).

    The sector is the biggest weight on the market on Tuesday, falling 1.23% while only two of its constituents are trading in the green. It also fell 1.15% on Monday.

    Right now, Whitehaven is the energy sector’s worst performer, while the share price of its coal-producing peer New Hope Corporation Ltd (ASX: NHC) is down 2.24%.

    The two energy giants have benefited from surging coal prices this year. The black rock’s value has soared amid Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, which partially triggered the current European energy crisis.

    Indeed, Whitehaven saw a record realised coal price of $325 a tonne in financial year 2022.

    The crisis is expected to continue boosting coal prices in the near future.

    However, Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd (ASX: ANZ) analysts warn the commodity’s value could face downwards pressure from increasing Chinese production, as my Fool colleague Monica reports.

    Fortunately, the Whitehaven share price has a long way to fall before it reaches the long-term red.

    The stock has gained around 270% so far this year. It’s also nearly 200% higher than it was this time last year.

    Comparatively, the ASX 200 has fallen 12% year to date and 8% over the last 12 months.

    The post Why has the Whitehaven share price already dived 7% so far this week? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Why is the Woodside share price suffering on Tuesday?

    a sad looking engineer or miner wearing a high visibility jacket and a hard hat stands alone with his head bowed and hand to his forehead as he speaks on a mobile telephone out front of what appears to be an on site work shed.a sad looking engineer or miner wearing a high visibility jacket and a hard hat stands alone with his head bowed and hand to his forehead as he speaks on a mobile telephone out front of what appears to be an on site work shed.

    The Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) share price is in the red today.

    Woodside shares are sliding 1.42% and are currently trading at $34.09 apiece. For perspective, the  S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is 0.26% in the green at the time of writing.

    Let’s take a look at why Woodside is falling today.

    Oil and gas prices

    The Woodside share price is down today, but it is not the only gas and oil share in the red. The Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) share price is sliding 1.02%, while Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT) shares are down 1.88%.

    Energy shares are struggling after the oil price fell in global markets overnight.

    Brent crude oil slid 1.2% to US$95.95, while WTI Futures slide 1% to US$90.91 per barrel overnight.

    Oil prices fell as investors considered recession fears amid the tighter oil supply, CNBC reported.

    Fear of more rate rises from the US Federal Reserve weighed on investors minds, an analyst cited by the the publication noted. Again Capital LLC partner John Kilduff said:

    There’s more of the doom and gloom from those folks and what they’re going to do to the economy, because they’re not so convinced they have inflation under control, and that’s the macro play that’s weighing on oil.

    European natural gas also slid amid “rising LNG imports and warmer than expected weather”, ANZ senior economist Catherine Birch said in a research note.

    WTI crude oil is currently down 0.3% and fetching 90.86 a barrel, while Brent Crude Oil is sliding 1.77% to US$96.19 a barrel, Bloomberg data shows.

    Woodside paid a 109 US cents per share fully franked dividend in FY22. Citi rates the company’s share price as a buy with a $36.50 price target, while Morgan Stanley has placed a $37 price target on Woodside shares.

    Woodside share price snapshot

    The Woodside share price has soared 55% in the year to date, while it has risen 34% in the past year.

    For perspective, the ASX 200 has lost 8% in the past year.

    Woodside has a market capitalisation of around $65 million based on the current share price.

    The post Why is the Woodside share price suffering on Tuesday? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    Motley Fool contributor Monica O’Shea has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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