Tag: Stock pick

  • Bear market alert: ASX 200 tech shares down 24% since September peak

    a close up picture of a man's face with an expression of dumbfounded surprise as he holds his hand to his chin as if thinking further about what has just been revealed to him.

    ASX 200 tech shares are in a bear market, with the S&P/ASX 200 Information Technology Index (ASX: XIJ) down 24% from its peak.

    A bear market is defined as a 20% (or more) fall from the most recent high point.

    The ASX 200 tech stock index reached an all-time high of 3,060.7 points on 19 September.

    Yesterday, the index closed at 2,317.6 points, down 743 points in just a little over two months.

    By comparison, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) hit a record 9,115.2 points on 21 October and has slipped 6.3% since its peak.

    The other market sectors have also fallen from their recent highs, set between August and October, but not as dramatically as technology.

    Healthcare is also in a bear market, down 23.6%, but that decline has occurred over 10 months since the sector’s peak on 31 January.

    Take a look.

    S&P/ASX 200 market sector 52-week high When Fall since the high
    Materials (ASX: XMJ) 20,192.4 points 21 October (3.4%)
    Industrials (ASX: XNJ) 8,811.8 points 27 October (3.6%)
    Utilities (ASX: XUJ) 10,323.9 points 29 October (4.8%)
    Energy (ASX: XEJ) 9,460.2 points 27 August (8.8%)
    A-REIT (ASX: XPJ) 1,975.8 points 21 August (9%)
    Communication (ASX: XTJ) 1,986.2 points 22 August (9.2%)
    Financials (ASX: XFJ) 9,978.4 points 28 October (9.7%)
    Consumer Staples (ASX: XSJ) 12,992.9 points 26 August (9.9%)
    Consumer Discretionary (ASX: XDJ) 4,620.6 points 21 August (13.2%)
    Healthcare (ASX: XHJ) 46,575.4 points 31 January (23.6%)
    Information Technology (ASX: XIJ) 3,060.7 points 19 September (24.3%)

    Why are technology and healthcare in a bear market?

    ASX 200 tech and healthcare shares are in bear territory partly because each sector’s largest company has been significantly derated.

    In the tech sector, WiseTech Global Ltd (ASX: WTC) shares have fallen 51% from their 52-week high of $134.26 on 5 December 2024.

    Governance concerns have plagued the logistics software supplier this year, along with investors’ disappointment with FY25 earnings.

    In the healthcare sector, CSL Ltd (ASX: CSL) shares are down 37% since their 52-week high of $290.32 per share on 8 January.

    The global biotech has been hit by weaker global flu vaccine demand and is undergoing a major restructure, including 3,000 job cuts.

    It’s notable that ASX 200 healthcare shares have fallen 23.6% over 10 months, while tech shares have plummeted 24.3% in two months.

    This may indicate that ASX 200 tech shares are facing other immediate tailwinds.

    One of them is the concern that artificial intelligence (AI) is creating a market bubble.

    We saw this play out last week, with markets experiencing high volatility ahead of a quarterly report from AI chip giant Nvidia Corp (NASDAQ: NVDA).

    This led to significant fluctuations in the ASX 200, with technology the worst-performing sector of the week, falling 4.07%.

    Joe Koh and Elan Miller, portfolio managers of Blackwattle’s Large Cap Quality Fund, said many clients are asking about an AI bubble.

    Koh and Miller said uncertainty over further interest rate cuts was another factor weakening ASX 200 tech shares in recent weeks.

    They commented:

    Some of the weakness was company-specific (such as the ASIC investigation into Wisetech executives’ share trading), but there was also increasing concern around the health of both US and Australian economies.

    Higher interest rate expectations following the September inflation numbers also affected growth names in the IT sector, whose earnings and cash flows are further into the future and are therefore more impacted by higher discount rates.

    Look outside the tech sector for AI gains: expert

    Joe Davis, Vanguard’s Global Chief Economist, expects a rotation out of tech shares as AI matures.

    He suggests investors will need to look beyond the tech sector if AI does, indeed, transform the global economy, as markets expect.

    Davis said:

    In every technology cycle, the firms producing the new technology do initially outperform (sometimes by fantastic or even “irrational” levels); but as the technology spreads, it is non-tech companies that benefit.

    That is what happened with manufacturers and service companies during the age of electricity.

    Similarly, in the age of AI, health care or financial companies could hold the most transformational potential, implying a rotation in stock outperformance, with the best returns shifting from technology stocks to other sectors.

    ASX 200 tech share prices in 2025

    Here is how the biggest ASX 200 tech shares by market cap are faring in 2025 so far.

    WiseTech shares are down 47% in the year to date.

    The Xero Ltd (ASX: XRO) share price is down 28%.

    TechnologyOne Ltd (ASX: TNE) shares are down 0.1%.

    Nextdc Ltd (ASX: NXT) shares are down 9.3%.

    The Life360 Inc (ASX: 360) share price is up 84%.

    Codan Ltd (ASX: CDA) shares are up 85%.

    Megaport Ltd (ASX: MP1) shares are up 87%.

    Dicker Data Ltd (ASX: DDR) shares are up 21%.

    The Iress Ltd (ASX: IRE) share price is down 2.2%.

    The Siteminder Ltd (ASX: SDR) share price is up 5.9%

    The post Bear market alert: ASX 200 tech shares down 24% since September peak appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Life360 right now?

    Before you buy Life360 shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Life360 wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    * Returns as of 18 November 2025

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    Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended CSL, Life360, Megaport, Nvidia, SiteMinder, Technology One, WiseTech Global, and Xero. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Dicker Data, Life360, SiteMinder, WiseTech Global, and Xero. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended CSL, Nvidia, and Technology One. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • 3 ultra-reliable ASX dividend stocks I’d buy for long-term income

    A man and woman sit next to each other looking at each other and feeling excited and surprised after reading good news about their shares on a laptop.

    When you’re building a passive income stream, reliability matters just as much as a dividend yield.

    Plenty of companies offer attractive payouts today, but far fewer can maintain, and ideally grow, those dividends.

    Thankfully, the ASX is home to several high-quality businesses with strong cash flow, resilient demand, and long records of shareholder returns.

    If I were constructing a long-term income portfolio right now, these three ASX dividend stocks would be at the top of my list.

    APA Group (ASX: APA)

    APA Group remains one of the most dependable income generators on the ASX. As Australia’s largest owner of gas transmission infrastructure, APA earns stable, regulated revenue by transporting a large portion of the nation’s domestic gas through its 15,000km pipeline network. Its assets span gas pipelines, power generation, electricity transmission and renewable energy, which are all industries with high barriers to entry and predictable cash flows.

    Management has increased the distribution every year for more than a decade, and the company continues to invest heavily in long-term growth projects across its East Coast Gas Grid, remote power assets and interconnector upgrades. Analysts expect these developments, alongside disciplined cost control, to support further distribution growth well into the future.

    Based on its current share price, APA shares are expected to deliver a partially franked dividend yield of 6.2% in FY 2026.

    Transurban Group (ASX: TCL)

    Toll road operator Transurban is another high-quality ASX dividend stock for long-term income seekers. Its network of roads stretches across Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and North America, giving the business a highly defensive earnings base. Traffic volumes tend to rebound quickly from economic slowdowns, and population growth, urbanisation and rising congestion continue to underpin long-run demand.

    Because Transurban operates under long-dated concession agreements, it enjoys extraordinary cash-flow visibility. Toll escalations, many of which track inflation, help support predictable and growing distributions. The company also has a robust development pipeline, including major upgrades and expansions that will underpin revenue growth for years to come.

    The consensus estimate is for a dividend yield of approximately 4.6% in FY 2026.

    Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW)

    Woolworths may not be the highest-yielding stock on the ASX, but what it lacks in headline yield it makes up for in consistency. As Australia’s largest supermarket operator, Woolworths generates steady cash flow through all types of economic conditions. Shoppers may trade down during tougher periods, but they never stop buying essentials.

    Its digital transformation, supply-chain improvements and focus on customer loyalty continue to strengthen margins and earnings quality. Over time, these enhancements support sustainable, fully franked dividends, which is exactly what long-term income investors should look for from a defensive blue chip.

    Based on current estimates, Woolworths shares offer a fully franked FY 2026 dividend yield of 3.3%.

    The post 3 ultra-reliable ASX dividend stocks I’d buy for long-term income appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in APA Group right now?

    Before you buy APA Group shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and APA Group wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    * Returns as of 18 November 2025

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Woolworths Group. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Transurban Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Apa Group, Transurban Group, and Woolworths Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • 1 no-brainer ASX energy stock to buy with $500 right now!

    A person with a round-mouthed expression clutches a device screen and looks shocked and surprised.

    The AGL Energy Ltd (ASX: AGL) share price closed in the red on Tuesday afternoon. The ASX energy stock ended the day 0.22% lower at $8.97 a piece. That means that over the month, the shares have now fallen 1.32%. They’re down 21.3% since the start of the year.

    A lot of the company’s share price decline is due to weak earnings for FY25. In August, AGL posted a 9% drop in its underlying EBITDA, a 21% decline in underlying NPAT, and a $98 million loss after tax. Investors were spooked, and it caused a sharp sell-off and a 21% plummet of its share price.

    At the time, AGL also set a conservative guidance for FY26. It said it expected underlying EBITDA to be between $1,920 million and $2,220 million, and NPAT of $500 million to $700 million. The company said it expects plant availability and fleet flexibility to improve further, with the Liddell Battery coming online in early 2026 and ongoing investment in new flexible assets and customer growth initiatives.

    Why buying the ASX energy stock is a no-brainer

    AGL has been making some great growth progress recently. In late October, the company announced plans to buy four new gas turbines for approximately $185 million from Siemens AB. The move is part of AGL’s strategy to provide backup capacity for renewable energy.

    The Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) assigned 176MW of Peak Certified Reserve Capacity to the project, commencing from 1 October 2027.

    Shortly later, the company announced the sale of a 19.9% stake in Tilt Renewables for $750 million. It will retain a small residual 0.1% stake. AGL said it will use the proceeds from the divestment to continue to deliver AGL’s strategy, “including to fund its investment in flexible, dispatchable capacity and to provide additional balance sheet flexibility”. 

    I think AGL’s latest developments mean the shares are now attractively priced and that there are signs of a price recovery ahead. It’s a great buying opportunity for investors to get in ahead of a potential uptick.

    What do analysts think?

    According to TradingView data, 7 out of 11 analysts have a buy or strong buy rating on AGL shares. The average target price on the ASX energy stock is $11.14, and the maximum is $12.24. These target prices represent a potential 24.2% to 36.5% upside for investors at the time of writing.

    Macquarie analysts confirmed their outperform rating on AGL shares and $11 target price in September. At the time of writing, this represents a potential 22.6% upside for investors over the next 12 months. The broker noted that wind power purchase agreements (PPAs), a long-term contract for a buyer to purchase electricity at a fixed price, is pricing closer to $120 per MWh (megawatt-hour). According to Macquarie, this suggests an electricity price of $150 per MWh, or higher, will be needed by 2030.

    The post 1 no-brainer ASX energy stock to buy with $500 right now! appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in AGL Energy Limited right now?

    Before you buy AGL Energy Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and AGL Energy Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    * Returns as of 18 November 2025

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    Motley Fool contributor Samantha Menzies has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • These ASX 200 shares could rise 40% to 90%

    A young man pointing up looking amazed, indicating a surging share price movement for an ASX company

    The ASX 200 has been volatile lately, but that hasn’t stopped analysts from identifying pockets of real opportunity.

    In fact, several high-quality companies are now trading at valuations that suggest potential for significant upside over the next 12 months.

    For example, the two ASX 200 shares listed below have been named as buys by analysts and tipped to rise 40% or more. Here’s what they are recommending:

    Sonic Healthcare Ltd (ASX: SHL)

    Sonic Healthcare could be a cheap ASX 200 share to buy.

    This leading diagnostic company has been struggling over the past couple of years after COVID-19 testing revenue dried up.

    However, with a clean slate and organic growth returning, now could be a good time to snap up shares.

    Demand for pathology and diagnostic services is both essential and growing, supported by ageing populations and increasing prevalence of chronic disease. Sonic continues to invest in automation, digital workflow optimisation, and efficiency improvements, all of which are expected to support margin expansion over the medium term.

    Bell Potter is positive on the company. It said:

    One can expect SHL to generate solid mid-high single digit organic EPS growth with addon benefit of acquisitions to drive double-digit growth on a normal basis. SHL is a sold compound generator, which is why it holds appeal in our view.

    The broker has a buy rating and $33.30 price target on its shares. Based on its current share price of $23.19, this implies potential upside of 44% for investors over the next 12 months. It also expects an attractive 4.7% dividend yield in FY 2026.

    Xero Ltd (ASX: XRO)

    Another ASX 200 share with potential to rise strongly is cloud accounting leader Xero.

    It has delivered consistent growth for more than a decade, and the company continues to benefit from the global shift toward digitised financial management. At the last count, it boasted 4.59 million subscribers and annualised monthly recurring revenue of NZ$2.7 billion.

    However, this is just a fraction of its total addressable market, which is an estimated 100 million small businesses globally. Clearly, there is scope for a significant increase in recurring revenue over the next decade. Especially with management aiming to grow its average revenue per user metric alongside its subscribers.

    In light of this, the team at Macquarie thinks investors should be taking advantage of recent share price weakness. It said:

    Mgmt is walking the walk, making data-driven decisions that invariably lead to better capital allocation outcomes. We have high conviction in >12mo story, driven by the US opportunity. Gusto and Melio are the platform for US growth and mgmt is executing quickly. Reiterate Outperform.

    Macquarie has an outperform rating and $230.30 price target on its shares. This suggests the upside of 91% is possible from current levels.

    The post These ASX 200 shares could rise 40% to 90% appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Macquarie Group Limited right now?

    Before you buy Macquarie Group Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Macquarie Group Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    * Returns as of 18 November 2025

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Xero. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group and Xero. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group and Xero. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Sonic Healthcare. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • 3 amazing ASX growth shares to buy and hold forever

    Happy shareholders clap and smile as they listen to a company earnings report.

    If you are on the lookout for some ASX growth shares to buy and hold, then it could be worth checking out the three named below.

    They are high-quality companies with strong long-term growth potential and the approval of analysts. Here’s what you need to know about them:

    Life360 Inc. (ASX: 360)

    Life360 has become one of Australia’s quiet global tech champions. Its family safety app continues to expand rapidly, with more than 91 million monthly active users and 2.7 million paying circles. Subscription revenue remains strong, annualised monthly revenue has surged, and the company is generating positive operating cash flow while holding more than US$450 million in cash. With a massive global addressable market, a growing product suite and enviable network effects, Life360 is the kind of scalable platform that can keep compounding as it matures.

    Morgan Stanley is a fan. It has an overweight rating and $58.50 price target on its shares.

    Pro Medicus Ltd (ASX: PME)

    Another ASX growth share that could be a top buy and hold option is Pro Medicus. This health imaging technology company is arguably one of the highest-quality businesses on the ASX. Its Visage imaging platform is now used by some of the most important hospital networks in the United States, delivering huge efficiency benefits to radiologists. Every major contract win adds high-margin recurring revenue, and the company’s capital-light model means profits convert neatly into cash. And with a significant total addressable market and expansion opportunities into other ologies, the future looks bright for this one.

    Bell Potter is bullish and has a buy rating and $320.00 price target on the company’s shares.

    Temple & Webster Group Ltd (ASX: TPW)

    A third ASX growth share that could be a great long term pick for investors is Temple & Webster. Over the past decade, it has become the dominant online furniture retailer in Australia, but its opportunity is far from exhausted. Online penetration in the Australian homewares category remains low compared to markets like the UK and the US, giving the company significant headroom for growth. Its private-label expansion and logistics improvements continue to strengthen margins and boost customer retention. As more shoppers shift online, Temple & Webster looks well placed to capture market share for many years and grow its earnings at an above-average rate.

    The team at Macquarie is positive on the company. It recently put an overweight rating and $31.30 price target on its shares.

    The post 3 amazing ASX growth shares to buy and hold forever appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Life360 right now?

    Before you buy Life360 shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Life360 wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    * Returns as of 18 November 2025

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Life360, Pro Medicus, and Temple & Webster Group. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Life360, Macquarie Group, and Temple & Webster Group. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended Pro Medicus. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Life360 and Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Pro Medicus and Temple & Webster Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • 5 reasons to buy the Betashares Nasdaq 100 ETF

    A graphic illustration with the words NASDAQ atop a US city and currency

    The Betashares Nasdaq 100 ETF (ASX: NDQ) has become one of the most popular international ETFs on the ASX.

    This is for good reason.

    This fund gives Australian investors incredibly easy access to the world’s most innovative companies, many of which have reshaped entire industries and delivered outstanding long-term returns.

    If you’re looking for a simple, growth-focused investment to hold for many years, here are five reasons why this ASX ETF could deserve a spot in your portfolio.

    Reason 1: Exposure to the world’s technology leaders

    The Betashares Nasdaq 100 ETF tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index, which includes many of the most influential companies on the planet. This means instant exposure to giants such as Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL), Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) and Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA). These are the businesses driving advances in artificial intelligence, cloud computing, semiconductors and digital services.

    These companies have enormous competitive advantages, global customer bases, and innovation pipelines that could continue powering growth for years to come.

    Reason 2: A simple way to invest in the AI boom

    Artificial intelligence is becoming one of the defining themes of the decade, and this ASX ETF gives you broad, diversified exposure to the companies leading the wave.

    Nvidia’s GPUs power most major AI models. Microsoft is integrating AI across its entire product ecosystem. And Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOG), Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META), and Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), are embedding AI into everything from advertising to cloud services.

    Instead of trying to pick which AI stocks will win, this fund lets you own many of the global leaders in one trade.

    Reason 3: Strong long-term performance

    The Nasdaq-100 index has been one of the best-performing major indices over the past 10 years, driven by strong earnings growth and the increasing dominance of technology-driven companies.

    This has seen the Betashares Nasdaq 100 ETF deliver an incredible average return of 20% per annum since 2015.

    And while past performance is not guaranteed to continue, the index has historically outpaced broader US and global markets due to its focus on innovation-heavy sectors.

    Reason 4: Diversification

    Although the Betashares Nasdaq 100 ETF is often viewed as a tech ETF, it provides exposure across several fast-growing sectors. The fund includes companies in biotechnology, digital entertainment, cybersecurity, e-commerce, communication services, and cloud computing. This diversification helps spread risk while still capturing some of the most powerful structural growth trends in the global economy.

    Reason 5: A set-and-forget investment

    The Betashares Nasdaq 100 ETF is arguably ideal for investors who want global growth without constantly monitoring the market.

    The index automatically updates to reflect the top 100 non-financial stocks listed on the Nasdaq, meaning the fund naturally adjusts as winners rise and weaker businesses fall away. This ensures the portfolio stays focused on the strongest companies in the index at all times.

    Foolish takeaway

    Whether you’re chasing long-term growth, looking to ride the AI and technology megatrends, or simply want exposure to the world’s most innovative companies, the Betashares Nasdaq 100 ETF offers a very efficient and compelling way to invest globally.

    The post 5 reasons to buy the Betashares Nasdaq 100 ETF appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in BetaShares NASDAQ 100 ETF right now?

    Before you buy BetaShares NASDAQ 100 ETF shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and BetaShares NASDAQ 100 ETF wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    * Returns as of 18 November 2025

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in BetaShares Nasdaq 100 ETF. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, BetaShares Nasdaq 100 ETF, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended BetaShares Nasdaq 100 ETF. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Buy this ASX bank share instead of the ‘big four’: expert

    Bank building with the word bank in gold.

    The ‘big four’ ASX bank shares have had a phenomenal run since late 2023.

    The S&P/ASX 200 Banks Index (ASX: XBK) has ripped 51% over this period versus a 22% lift for the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO).

    Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) shares rose from just under $100 in November 2023 to a record of $192 in June this year.

    Since then, CBA shares have come off the boil, falling 20% to a closing value of $153.14 yesterday.

    Meanwhile, the smaller players of the ‘big four’ have surged to all-time highs.

    The Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) share price hit a record of $41 this month and closed at $38.02 yesterday, up 12% in FY26.

    National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) shares soared to a record $45.25 this month and closed at $40.63 yesterday, up 3% in FY26.

    ANZ Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: ANZ) shares reached a record $38.93 this month and closed at $34.91 yesterday, up 20% in FY26.

    The following chart shows the big four’s performance since November 2023 and the recent divergence of the CBA share price.

    How do experts rate the big four banks?

    Brokers appear pretty pessimistic on the big four ASX bank shares today.

    Macquarie has neutral ratings on ANZ and NAB shares with 12-month price targets of $35 and $39, respectively.

    The broker has underperform ratings on CBA and Westpac shares with price targets of $106 and $31, respectively.

    All of those price targets imply downside from here.

    Bell Potter is underweight on CBA shares and overweight on ANZ shares.

    On CBA shares, the broker says:

    We are moving further Underweight in CBA, establishing it as our largest active underweight position in the Core portfolio.

    The bank’s valuation premium has expanded to an extreme and, in our view, unsustainable level, trading at a P/E multiple that is ~40% above the peer average.

    On ANZ shares, the broker says:

    We are moving to an overweight position in ANZ, which we see as the clear relative value proposition and our preferred holding in the sector. ANZ delivered the cleanest and highest-quality result of the recent reporting season, providing a tangible “self-help” story that NAB and CBA lack, while Westpac’s is relatively priced in.

    Wilsons Advisory rates ANZ as the best value among the ASX bank shares “on all key valuation metrics”.

    Morgans has a trim rating on ANZ shares with a price target of $33.09. The broker has a sell rating on NAB and CBA shares.

    Wilsons notes that Westpac shares offer an attractive dividend yield and the bank has “the strongest balance sheet” of the big four.

    Buy this ASX bank share instead

    On The Bull this week, Tony Paterno from Ord Minnett revealed a buy rating on small-cap ASX bank share, MyState Ltd (ASX: MYS).

    Paterno explained:

    MYS is a national diversified financial services group. Brands include MyState Bank, Auswide Bank, Selfco and TPT Wealth.

    We view MyState as an attractive income stock with dividends to reflect stronger earnings growth during the next three years as Auswide merger synergies are delivered.

    In an expensive banking sector with only modest forecast earnings and dividend growth to fiscal year 2028, we believe MYS is a standout.

    The post Buy this ASX bank share instead of the ‘big four’: expert appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in MyState Limited right now?

    Before you buy MyState Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and MyState Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    * Returns as of 18 November 2025

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    Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • 5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Wednesday

    Broker looking at the share price on her laptop with green and red points in the background.

    On Tuesday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) fought hard and recorded a small gain. The benchmark index rose 0.15% to 8,537 points.

    Will the market be able to build on this on Wednesday? Here are five things to watch:

    ASX 200 expected to rise again

    The Australian share market looks set to rise again on Wednesday following a positive night of trade on Wall Street. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 81 points or 0.95% higher this morning. In late trade in the United States, the Dow Jones is up 1.25%, the S&P 500 is up 0.6%, and the Nasdaq is 0.2% higher.

    Oil prices tumble

    ASX 200 energy shares Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT) and Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) could have a poor session after oil prices tumbled overnight. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price is down 1.55% to US$57.93 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price is down 1.5% to US$62.44 a barrel. This was driven by reports that Ukraine is ready to accept a Russian peace deal.

    Annual general meetings

    A number of ASX 200 shares will be on watch today when they hold their annual general meetings. Among the companies holding events are retail giant Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd (ASX: HVN), lithium miner Liontown Resources Ltd (ASX: LTR), and rare earths producer Lynas Rare Earths Ltd (ASX: LYC). It is possible that they will release trading updates before the market opens.

    Gold price rises

    It could be a good session for ASX 200 gold shares Newmont Corporation (ASX: NEM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) on Wednesday after the gold price stormed higher overnight. According to CNBC, the gold futures price is up 1% to US$4,134.7 an ounce. US interest rate cut optimism has given the gold price a lift.

    Buy IPD shares

    The team at Bell Potter thinks investors should be buying IPD Group Ltd (ASX: IPG) shares. This morning, the broker has retained its buy rating and $5.00 price target on this electrical solutions company’s shares. It said: “IPG is well positioned to capitalise on the Commercial construction market recovery currently underway as well as continued strong momentum in Data Centre and Infrastructure construction activity. IPG represents a relatively undervalued Industrials business compared with the ASX300 Industrials index with strong re-rate potential, in our view.”

    The post 5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Wednesday appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Beach Energy Limited right now?

    Before you buy Beach Energy Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Beach Energy Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    * Returns as of 18 November 2025

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Ipd Group. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended Lynas Rare Earths Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Harvey Norman and Ipd Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • What $100 a week in ASX shares could become in 20 years

    Happy young couple saving money in piggy bank.

    If you’ve ever felt that investing is something only high earners or seasoned market veterans can do, you would be wrong.

    You don’t need a lump sum to build serious long-term wealth. You just need consistency. In fact, one of the simplest and most powerful strategies available to everyday Australians is investing a small amount every week.

    So, what could $100 a week, barely the cost of a couple of dinners out, turn into over 20 years on the Australian share market? Let’s find out.

    Investing small amounts

    When you invest regularly, you take advantage of something called dollar-cost averaging. Instead of trying to pick the perfect buying moment (which even the pros struggle with), you gradually build your holdings over time, buying more when prices fall and less when prices rise.

    Combine this with the fact that the share market has historically returned around 10% per annum on average, and suddenly even modest weekly contributions can snowball into something life-changing.

    Where to invest

    You want to think about businesses that have strong growth drivers and sustainable competitive advantages.

    Take ARB Corporation Ltd (ASX: ARB), which is a global leader in 4WD accessories that has steadily expanded internationally. Or Breville Group Ltd (ASX: BRG), which is an appliance manufacturer that has been growing for decades. Investment bank Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) could also be worth a look given its long track record of strong shareholder returns.

    These aren’t speculative micro-caps, they are established, profitable companies with clear runways for growth. And drip-feeding small weekly investments into quality businesses like these can quietly transform your financial future over time.

    What $100 a week could become

    Now for the big question. If you invested $100 every week and earned 10% per year on average, what would $100 a week turn into?

    After 20 years, your weekly contributions into your portfolio could grow to around $315,000.

    And remember, this doesn’t require picking the perfect stocks, timing the market, or taking huge risks. It simply requires staying consistent, focusing on quality, and giving your investments time to work.

    You could even opt for a broad-based index fund like the Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF (ASX: VAS) for Australia or the iShares S&P 500 ETF (ASX: IVV) for the United States.

    Foolish takeaway

    $100 a week may not feel like much today. But when you combine patience, discipline and the long-term strength of the ASX, it becomes a powerful wealth-building engine.

    The best part? You can start anytime. And the sooner you begin, the more time compounding has to quietly turn small weekly savings into something extraordinary.

    The post What $100 a week in ASX shares could become in 20 years appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in ARB Corporation right now?

    Before you buy ARB Corporation shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and ARB Corporation wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    * Returns as of 18 November 2025

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended ARB Corporation, Macquarie Group, and iShares S&P 500 ETF. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended ARB Corporation and iShares S&P 500 ETF. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Are CSL shares a buy amid the company’s $500 million cost-cutting plans?

    Biotechnology spelt out on green blocks.

    Shares in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) biotech stock CSL Ltd (ASX: CSL) closed yesterday trading for $182.14.

    CSL shares remain down a sharp 35.32% in 2025. Taking a tiny bit of the sting out of those losses, the ASX 200 stock also trades on an unfranked 2.5% trailing dividend yield.

    As you’re likely aware, most of the share price losses followed the decidedly underwhelming release of the company’s full-year FY 2025 results on 19 August.

    Among the factors that saw investors overheating their sell buttons on the day, the company revealed plans to spin off CSL’s Seqirus segment – one of the world’s largest influenza vaccine businesses – into a separate ASX-listed company.

    That plan has since been put on hold until conditions in the slumping United States influenza vaccine market improve. But it remains on the table.

    Which brings us back to our headline question.

    Are CSL shares a good buy amid the cost-cutting program?

    MPC Markets’ Mark Gardner recently ran his slide rule over the ASX 200 biotech stock (courtesy of The Bull).

    “Uncertainty continues to surround this biopharmaceutical giant after the share price plunged following its 2025 results,” said Gardner, who has a hold recommendation on CSL shares.

    “It recently cut revenue and profit growth forecasts for fiscal year 2026. Its Seqirus influenza vaccines division is under pressure from a decline in vaccination rates in the US,” he added.

    Indeed, on 28 October, CSL shares plunged 15.9% when management reduced FY 2026 guidance.

    On 19 August, CSL had forecast that it would achieve full-year revenue growth (in constant currency) in the range of 4% to 5%. And guidance for net profit after tax before amortisation (NPATA) and excluding non-recurring restructuring costs was forecast to increase between 7% to 10%.

    Then on 29 October, investors punished the stock when management reduced full-year revenue growth guidance to the range of 2% to 3% as well as cutting NPATA growth guidance to 4% to 7%.

    But in issuing his hold recommendation, Gardner sees light at the end of the tunnel.

    He concluded:

    Plans to reduce fixed costs and enhance efficiencies were initially earmarked to save more than $500 million by fiscal year 2028. The company is undertaking a buy-back program of up to $750 million in fiscal year 2026.

    CSL shares have fallen from $271.32 on August 18 to trade at $178.82 on November 19.

    At these levels, we suggest holding CSL and monitor performance of a company that has a solid track record of performance over the longer term.

    The post Are CSL shares a buy amid the company’s $500 million cost-cutting plans? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in CSL right now?

    Before you buy CSL shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and CSL wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    * Returns as of 18 November 2025

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    Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended CSL. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended CSL. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.