Why I think this ASX small-cap stock is a bargain at $9!

The ASX small-cap stock Gentrack Group Ltd (ASX: GTK) may not be a big business but it looks like it has large potential.

It offers software for both utility businesses and airports. Some of its clients include Engie, EON, Amber, Melbourne Airport, Sydney Airport, London Gatwick Airport, JFK Airport, Edinburgh Airport, Brisbane Airport, Seattle-Tacoma Airport and Launceston Airport.

As a software provider for essential businesses, I think it has a largely defensive earnings base, with good prospects for further growth. As long as it continues investing in its software to ensure it maintains and grows its customer base, then the future looks bright for the company.

Better valuation

While the Gentrack share price has jumped in the last few weeks, it’s still down by around 30% over the past year, as the chart below shows.

I think the recent jump of the Gentrack share price is a good sign that the market is encouraged by what the business recently reported. But, it’s still a lot cheaper than it was a year ago.

As the saying goes, it’s better to ‘buy low’. With Gentrack’s share price still a lot lower, I think the ASX small-cap stock looks much more appealing, particularly with the company’s outlook for earnings growth.

Strong earnings growth outlook

The company’s FY25 result was solid, with 7.9% revenue growth (and 13% recurring revenue growth), 18% operating profit (EBITDA) growth and 119% net profit after tax (NPAT) growth. However, some of the net profit growth was due to a $3.2 million benefit from a positive change in foreign exchange rates.  

In the utilities segment, it’s expecting its software and support revenue to grow around 10% in FY26 after several recent go-lives and others “are expected”. It said it’s moving towards its medium-term growth target of more than 15%. Gentrack said its pipeline has matured considerably.

On the airport side of things, for FY26 it has “high visibility” to match FY25’s growth of 15% and a “strong pipeline that could see that accelerate”.

In the ASX small-cap stock’s outlook statement for FY26, the business wrote:

Based on the scale and maturity of our pipeline we are confident that revenue growth will be higher in FY26 than in FY25, but it is too early to provide further guidance.

With strong and growing engagement across EMEA and APAC, our proven track record and the market potential, we remain confident of our mid-term guidance of growing revenue more than 15% CAGR and an EBITDA margin of 15-20% after expensing all development costs.

I think the ASX small-cap stock is definitely one to watch for the foreseeable future.

The post Why I think this ASX small-cap stock is a bargain at $9! appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Gentrack Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Gentrack Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.