Another record in sight? Why this ASX defence stock is back in rally mode

Shares in Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd (ASX: EOS) remain firmly in the spotlight after the defence technology group notched a fresh all-time high last week.

On 13 January 2026, the EOS share price touched a record $11.20, eclipsing its previous peak of $10.80 set in early 2020, before the COVID sell-off.

After some modest consolidation, the stock is still trading higher today, up 5.82% to $11.09, having reached $11.14 in early morning trade.

Zooming out, the move caps off a stunning run. EOS shares are now up more than 850% compared to this time last year, making it one of the strongest performers on the ASX over the past 12 months.

Geopolitics heats up

The rally in EOS shares is being driven by more than contract wins lately. A rapidly deteriorating global security backdrop is forcing governments to accelerate defence spending.

In recent days, the US has withdrawn non-essential personnel from Middle Eastern bases within range of Iranian missiles, while the USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group moves toward the Gulf, materially lifting American military presence in the region. While political rhetoric has played down the risk of escalation, markets are responding to actions on the ground.

Contract momentum continues to build

EOS has not relied on macro tailwinds alone. Over the past month, the company has announced a number of new contracts across its remote weapon systems and space systems divisions. Those wins are strengthening expectations for earnings growth into 2026.

However, the most closely watched catalyst remains the conditional South Korean high-energy laser contract, which is expected to be resolved before the end of this month. With roughly one week left in the decision window, investor attention is squarely focused on developments.

The conditions attached to the deal relate to regulatory approvals and customer due diligence, including site visits to EOS’ manufacturing facility in Singapore. With those inspections reportedly underway, many investors believe there is little left beyond final checks.

Why a new high may not be the end

If the South Korean contract is approved, it would strongly back EOS’ technology and show it can deliver complex systems at scale. It would also add another important source of revenue and strengthen its position in a key market.

From a market perspective, EOS now carries a market capitalisation of around $2.1 billion, yet many investors believe it is still early in its global expansion cycle.

With a growing order book, multiple near-term catalysts, and defence budgets rising worldwide, momentum continues to build for EOS. If the South Korean deal crosses the line, the recent all-time high may prove to be just another stepping stone higher.

The post Another record in sight? Why this ASX defence stock is back in rally mode appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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Motley Fool contributor Aaron Teboneras has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Electro Optic Systems. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.