On Friday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) finished the week deep in the red. The benchmark index fell 1.4% to 8,917.6 points.
Will the market be able to bounce back from this on Monday? Here are five things to watch:
ASX 200 expected to rebound
The Australian share market looks set for a good start to the week despite a mixed finish on Wall Street on Friday. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 51 points or 0.55% higher. In the United States, the Dow Jones was up 0.1%, the S&P 500 rose a fraction, and the Nasdaq edged 0.2% lower.
Oil prices edge higher
It could be a positive start to the week for ASX 200 energy shares Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) and Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) after oil prices edged higher on Friday night. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price was up 0.1% to US$62.89 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price was up 0.35% to US$67.75 a barrel. Traders were buying oil after data showed a slowdown in US inflation.
Treasury Wine results
Treasury Wine Estates Ltd (ASX: TWE) shares will be on watch on Monday when the wine giant releases its half-year results. The team at Morgans isn’t expecting any surprises given that management has released guidance for the half. It said: “1H26 underlying EBITS guidance is A$225-235m, down 40-42.5% on 1H25. Penfolds EBITS is expected to fall 20%, Treasury America (TA) by 67% and Treasury Collective (TC) by 56.5%. Depressed earnings/cashflow means that TWE’s 1H26 gearing of 2.5x will be well above its target range of 1.5-2.0x. We don’t expect the Board to declare an interim dividend.”
Gold price jumps
ASX 200 gold shares including Newmont Corporation (ASX: NEM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) could have a good start to the week after the gold price jumped on Friday night. According to CNBC, the gold futures price was up 2.3% to US$5,063.8 an ounce. This was driven by the release of US inflation data, which supported interest rate cut hopes.
Buy Aeris shares
Bell Potter thinks investors should buy Aeris Resources Ltd (ASX: AIS) shares following a recent acquisition announcement. This morning, the broker retained its buy rating on the copper miner’s shares with an improved price target of 90 cents. It said: “AIS is a copper-dominant producer, with its near-term outlook highly leveraged to the copper price, increasing production at Tritton and gold production at Cracow. Tritton is a strategic regional asset and AIS is leveraging that to extract value from this deal.”
The post 5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Monday appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.
Should you invest $1,000 in Aeris Resources Limited right now?
Before you buy Aeris Resources Limited shares, consider this:
Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Aeris Resources Limited wasn’t one of them.
The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*
And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…
* Returns as of 1 Jan 2026
.custom-cta-button p {
margin-bottom: 0 !important;
}
More reading
- Forget Rio Tinto, this ASX copper stock could rise 75%+
- Utilities outperform as ASX 200 ascends to a 3-month high
- 3 ASX ETFs for investors chasing yield and growth
- Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today
- Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today
Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Treasury Wine Estates and Woodside Energy Group. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Treasury Wine Estates. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Treasury Wine Estates. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.