Why I don’t own Telstra shares (yet)

Telstra Group Ltd (ASX: TLS) shares finished Tuesday down 0.19% to $5.33.

That leaves the stock hovering near the top end of its recent range, after a steady run through 2026.

Over the past 12 months, the shares are up roughly 20%, supported by a mix of defensive demand and improving earnings visibility.

It is the kind of price action that usually draws attention.

But despite that, I do not currently own Telstra shares.

Here is why.

A quality business, no question

Telstra is about as predictable as it gets on the ASX.

It operates critical telecommunications infrastructure across Australia, with millions of mobile, broadband, and enterprise customers. That reach supports recurring revenue, pricing power, and steady cash flow.

Recent price increases across mobile plans are also starting to come through. With a relatively sticky customer base, those changes tend to lift margins without a drop in demand. That has been a key driver behind the latest run in the share price.

On top of that, Telstra remains a reliable dividend payer. The stock is yielding around 3.7%, with a payout backed by stable cash generation.

The underlying business is doing what it needs to do.

So why not buy?

The issue is not the business. It comes down to valuation.

At around $5.30 per share, Telstra is trading close to its 52-week high. Much of the stability, pricing power, and income appeal already appears reflected in the price.

That leaves little room for error.

Growth is also part of the picture. Telstra is not a high-growth business. Earnings tend to move higher over time, but not quickly. That normally leads to steady share price gains rather than sharp re-ratings.

At current levels, it looks more like a fully priced defensive than a discounted entry.

That is what’s holding me back.

Where I see better opportunity

Right now, I am more focused on stocks that have been sold off despite holding up operationally.

That is where I tend to look for upside.

One example is WiseTech Global Ltd (ASX: WTC). The business continues to grow, but the share price has pulled back rapidly from earlier highs.

That gap between performance and price is what stands out.

If sentiment turns, the re-rating can happen quickly, rather than relying on slow earnings growth alone.

What would change my view

I would not rule out owning Telstra.

But I would want a different entry point.

A pullback would improve the risk-reward, especially given the defensive profile of the business. That could come through broader market weakness or a shift in sentiment.

At the right price, Telstra could still play a role as a core portfolio holding.

Right now, it is not quite there.

Foolish takeaway

Telstra remains a high-quality, income-generating business with a strong position in the market.

But that alone is not enough.

At current levels, the shares look fairly priced, with less upside than other opportunities.

For now, I am staying on the sidelines and waiting for a better entry point.

The post Why I don’t own Telstra shares (yet) appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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• How to build a second income from ASX shares without taking big risks
• Why WiseTech shares could rise 70%

Motley Fool contributor Aaron Teboneras has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended WiseTech Global. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Telstra Group and WiseTech Global. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.