Why Wesfarmers shares remain the gold standard of ASX retail investing

A woman looks quizzical while looking at a dollar sign in the air.

Here is a number worth sitting with.

In a year when the ASX 200 rose 7%, Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES) shares fell 9%.

That gap has a lot to do with the stock’s valuation coming back to earth after the it traded at 37 times forward earnings in mid-2025.

Today it trades at around 28.5 times earnings, and Morgans just upgraded it to accumulate.

Here’s why investors should take a closer look at Wesfarmers shares.

The half-year result was strong

Wesfarmers posted NPAT of $1,603 million for the half year ended December 2025, up 9.3% on the prior year.

Free cash flows surged 35.6% to $2,745 million. Bunnings revenue rose 4% to $10.7 billion.

Kmart Group delivered 3.2% growth to $6.4 billion. The interim dividend lifted 7.4% to $1.02 per share, fully franked.

Managing director Rob Scott said:

Wesfarmers’ increase in profit was supported by strong earnings contributions from our largest divisions – Bunnings, Kmart Group and WesCEF.

Sales momentum has continued into the second half, with Bunnings, Officeworks, and Kmart all delivering further growth.

Lithium is turning from a cost to a contributor

Most investors know Wesfarmers for Bunnings and Kmart, yet few know it is also one of Australia’s most significant lithium producers.

In 2019, Wesfarmers paid $776 million to acquire a 50% stake in the Mt Holland lithium project in Western Australia, forming the Covalent Lithium joint venture with Chilean mining giant SQM.

The project includes one of the largest known lithium deposits in the world and a downstream refinery in Kwinana designed to produce battery-grade lithium hydroxide for electric vehicle manufacturers.

For two years, the joint venture drained cash as construction costs mounted.

Now, with lithium prices up approximately 60% year to date in 2026, lithium could substantially contribute to Wesfarmers’ bottom line.  

This asset adds great earnings optionality to a business that already generates enormous cash from its retail divisions.

It is a free call option that few investors are pricing in right now.

What Morgans said

Brokers seem to be equally bullish.

Morgans upgraded Wesfarmers shares to accumulate this week with an $81.10 price target.

The broker said:

WES’s share price has fallen 9% over the past 12 months and 7% over the past 6 months. The stock is now trading on a more reasonable 26.5x FY27F PE compared to a peak one-year forward multiple of ~37x in August 2025. Our target price increases slightly to $81.10 and with a forecast 12-month TSR of 12%, we upgrade our rating to ACCUMULATE. In our view, WES remains a high-quality business with a healthy balance sheet and a proven management team.

The risks

However, Wesfarmers is not immune to a consumer slowdown.

Kmart and Bunnings both rely on Australians spending money at home.

If the RBA’s rate hiking cycle weighs on household budgets more than expected, volumes could soften.

The stock is also not cheap in absolute terms at around 28.5 times earnings.

Foolish takeaway

Wesfarmers shares have rarely been available at a more reasonable price relative to the quality of the business.

Bunnings and Kmart keep growing.

Lithium is starting to contribute, and the stock’s dividend keeps rising.

For long-term investors, the pullback in Wesfarmers shares may look more like an entry point than a warning sign.

The post Why Wesfarmers shares remain the gold standard of ASX retail investing appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

Should you invest $1,000 in Wesfarmers right now?

Before you buy Wesfarmers shares, consider this:

Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Wesfarmers wasn’t one of them.

The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

* Returns as of 20 Feb 2026

.custom-cta-button p {
margin-bottom: 0 !important;
}

More reading

Motley Fool contributor Mark Verhoeven has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.