Brokers name the ASX 200 winners and losers from the first half of reporting season

ASX reporting season is now past its halfway mark, and the gap between winners and losers is widening.

Roughly half of the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has reported its FY26 numbers.

Companies that beat their guidance have been rewarded, and those that missed have been sold hard within minutes of the announcement hitting the market.

Three results released this week captured that divide neatly, and each one tells you something different about what the market is currently willing to pay for.

Zip: the standout of ASX reporting season

Zip Co Ltd (ASX: ZIP) delivered the cleanest beat of the week.

Its FY26 result showed total transaction volume of $16.7 billion, up 27.2%, on revenue that rose 24.6% to $1.35 billion. Cash EBTDA jumped 57.9% to $268.9 million, comfortably ahead of the $260 million guidance.

Net profit after tax climbed 45.7% to $116.4 million.

The United States did the heavy lifting again, with transaction volume there up 42.5% in local currency across 4.6 million active customers.

Management is now guiding to cash EBTDA of $340 million in FY27.

The shares surged on the day, and several brokers reaffirmed their buy ratings.

Even so, Zip remains down roughly 23% for the calendar year.

Northern Star: record profit with a catch

Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) posted the biggest headline number of the day.

The company’s FY26 result delivered revenue of $7.6 billion, underlying EBITDA of $4.3 billion and underlying net profit after tax of $1.8 billion.

The company sold 1.54 million ounces of gold at an all-in sustaining cost of $2,698 per ounce.

The full-year dividend rose to 55 cents per share.

The catch lies within the cash flow statement. Underlying free cash flow was only $190 million, as KCGM’s capital spending has reached its peak.

FY27 guidance compounds the point, with production of 1.5 million to 1.65 million ounces expected at an all-in sustaining cost of $3,050 to $3,450 per ounce.

That is a meaningful step up in costs.

Brambles: resilient, but not enough

Brambles Ltd (ASX: BXB) had a tough time this reporting season.

Its FY26 numbers showed sales revenue up 2% and underlying profit up 4%.

Excluding a US$90 million hit from United States repair capacity constraints, profit would have risen 11%.

Free cash flow before dividends topped US$1 billion for a second consecutive year, and dividends rose 16% to 46.15 US cents per share alongside US$509 million of buybacks.

Chief executive Graham Chipchase was measured about the year.

We delivered a resilient financial result while advancing the customer operational and sustainability initiatives that strengthen our long-term competitive advantage.

The market wanted more, and the shares drifted lower despite a dividend increase that would have been celebrated in a quieter year.

FY27 guidance of 2% to 6% underlying profit growth includes a further US$35 million to US$55 million repair drag.

What the rest of ASX reporting season holds

The heaviest week is still ahead.

Fortescue, Woodside and Coles report early next week, while Woolworths, WiseTech and Domino’s follow on 26 August.

Wesfarmers, Qantas and South32 close things out on 27 August.

The full calendar runs through to the end of the month.

Foolish takeaway

ASX reporting season rewards clarity more than it rewards size.

Zip beat its own guidance and told investors exactly what FY27 should look like.

Northern Star delivered a record profit but flagged materially higher costs ahead.

Brambles did neither particularly well nor particularly badly.

With the biggest week of ASX reporting season still to come, investors may want to wait a bit longer before judging whether this reporting season was a success.

The post Brokers name the ASX 200 winners and losers from the first half of reporting season appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

• Bell Potter names the best ASX shares to buy in August
• 3 ASX shares UBS says will return better than 36%
• How high do UBS and Macquarie think Zip shares will go?
• Buy, hold, sell: Fortescue, Northern Star, and Megaport shares
• Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

Motley Fool contributor Mark Verhoeven has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Domino’s Pizza Enterprises, Wesfarmers, and WiseTech Global. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended WiseTech Global. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Domino’s Pizza Enterprises and Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.