Up 62% in a year are BHP shares now a buy, hold or sell?

BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) shares have had a stellar year.

As have the miner’s shareholders.

In Wednesday afternoon trade, shares in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) mining giant were changing hands for $64.13 apiece.

That sees the share price up 56.5% over 12 months, smashing the 1.0% gains posted by the benchmark index over this same period.

And if you’re wondering why that figure doesn’t match up with the headline number, that’s because we haven’t factored in the BHP dividends yet.

Over the last 12 months BHP has paid – or shortly will pay – two fully franked dividends totalling (a rounded) $2.42 a share. The stock traded ex-dividend last Thursday.

So, if we add that back into the recent share price, then the accumulated value of BHP shares has gained an impressive 62.4% since market close on 9 September 2025.

That remarkable run saw BHP retake the crown of biggest ASX stock from Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) earlier this year.

At the recent share price, BHP has a market cap of around $327 billion.

But after that kind of strong run, is the Aussie mining giant still a good buy today?

Should I buy BHP shares today?

Gray Perry Wealth Advisers’ Blake Halligan recently ran his slide rule over the ASX miner (courtesy of The Bull).

“BHP remains a high-quality diversified miner with large, low-cost assets and increasing exposure to copper,” he said.

Commenting on BHP’s FY 2026 results, reported on 18 August, Halligan said:

The company’s fiscal year 2026 result was strong, with it generating attributable profit of $US9.8 billion, up 9 per cent on the prior corresponding period. Revenue of $US58.8 billion was up 15 per cent. Rising copper demand from electrification and data centres support the longer-term outlook, while iron ore operations remain highly competitive.

Explaining his hold recommendation on BHP shares, Halligan concluded, “Commodity-price sensitivity and project execution risks support retaining BHP rather than increasing exposure.”

One ASX 200 stock to buy now

While Hannigan issued a hold recommendation on BHP shares, he had a more bullish outlook on Seek Ltd (ASX: SEK).

“Seek operates a leading online employment marketplace, with a dominant position in Australia and established operations across Asia,” he said.

Summarising his buy recommendation on Seek shares, Halligan said:

Its scalable model, strong margins and international expansion provide attractive long-term growth potential. Despite softer job-ad volumes, fiscal year 2026 net revenue rose 10 per cent and EBITDA increased 15 per cent, demonstrating pricing power and operational resilience. We’re forecasting earnings to grow about 9.5 per cent annually in the next two years.

An improving return on equity and a healthy dividend further support the investment case.

The post Up 62% in a year are BHP shares now a buy, hold or sell? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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• Copper prices just hit a record high. What does this mean for ASX copper shares?
• $10,000 invested in BHP and CBA shares three years ago is now worth…

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended BHP Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.