ASX small cap doubles and this fundie says it can double again

Mayfield Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: MYG) has quietly become one of the standout performers on the ASX over the past 12 months. Hardly a household name, the engineering services group has seen its share price climb by more than 165% in the past 12 months as investors continue to warm to businesses tied to Australia’s accelerating energy and infrastructure build-out.

And the momentum has kept building. In a recent interview, fund manager Wilson Asset Management named Mayfield as one of the small caps they believe have meaningful upside ahead.

For a company that has spent most of its listed life under the radar, the spotlight is turning quickly.

A quiet achiever riding a generational investment wave

Mayfield specialises in critical electrical infrastructure, including switchgear, protection systems, turnkey installations, and long-duration engineering support across utilities, defence, industrial operations, and major renewables.

It’s not a flashy business, but it is deeply tied to sectors that deploy serious capital.

Australia’s electricity grid is entering a period of significant investment as the nation upgrades transmission lines, builds renewable energy generation, electrifies industry, and prepares for more data centres. Defence spending is also rising, with higher demand for secure energy systems and engineered electrical solutions.

These trends sit squarely in Mayfield’s sweet spot. Over the past two years, the company has expanded its order book, improved operational execution and steadily lifted margins — all while maintaining a strong balance sheet.

Backing the next leg of growth

Fund manager interest centres on a simple premise: Mayfield is positioned in front of structural, not cyclical, demand.

Wilson sees the company benefiting from a pipeline of grid upgrades, substation modernisation, renewable integration, and essential electrical infrastructure across defence and industrial customers. From the fund manager’s perspective, the market may not yet be fully pricing in the longevity of Mayfield’s growth runway.

That combination of contract visibility, operating leverage, and exposure to decades-long national investment themes is why Wilson Asset Management believes Mayfield could still have meaningful upside ahead.

Brokers are starting to agree

Bell Potter recently initiated coverage on the company with a buy recommendation, citing similar drivers: a growing pipeline, expanding margins, and a business model well-positioned to scale.

The broker highlighted that Mayfield’s operational improvements and tendering success could help the company mature into a national leader in several of its categories.

When both a well-known small-cap fundie and a major broker arrive at the same conclusion, it tends to put a small cap like Mayfield firmly on the market’s radar.

What could sustain momentum from here?

Even after a 165% rally, the investment thesis focuses less on what Mayfield has already done and more on where it might go from here.

Areas to watch include:

• Grid and transmission upgrades, already backed by multi-billion-dollar national commitments
• Data centre expansions, requiring sophisticated electrical protection and switching infrastructure
• Defence capability modernisation, especially around secure, high-reliability power systems
• Industrial electrification, as manufacturing facilities evolve for energy-intensive technology

Foolish Takeaway

Mayfield has moved from a quiet microcap to one of the more noticeable performers on the ASX, supported by structural tailwinds in energy, infrastructure, and defence spending. 

Whether the share price continues rising — or at what pace — is unknowable. What can be observed is the powerful compounding effect that can occur when a small business aligns itself with the right multi-year demand cycle.

For investors, Mayfield’s recent run is a reminder of what can happen when a well-run microcap grows from a relatively small base. 

The post ASX small cap doubles and this fundie says it can double again appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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Motley Fool contributor Leigh Gant has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Mayfield Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.