Can you afford to retire in 2026? Find out in 2 minutes

As 2026 approaches, many Australians are quietly asking the same question: Am I actually ready to retire?

It is a big decision, and for most people, it is not helped by complex calculators, conflicting headlines, or wildly different opinions.

The good news is that you do not need a perfect plan to get clarity. In fact, a simple two-minute sense check can tell you whether you are broadly on track — or whether it is worth spending more time refining the details.

Here are three simple rules of thumb to help you find out:

1. Start with what your lifestyle really costs

Retirement planning often starts with super balances. In reality, it should also start with spending.

A practical first step is to estimate how much you currently spend each year to live the life you enjoy. That includes housing costs, food, utilities, transport, healthcare, insurance, and lifestyle expenses such as travel or hobbies.

This does not need to be precise. The goal is to arrive at a reasonable annual figure that reflects your day-to-day life, not an idealised version of retirement.

Once you have that number, you can move on to the more important question: Can your assets support it?

2. Can your assets reasonably support that income?

A common rule of thumb used in retirement planning is to compare annual spending needs against total investable assets, including superannuation.

Rather than focusing on short-term market movements, this approach looks at whether your savings could support your lifestyle over time using a conservative withdrawal range. It is not a guarantee, but it is a useful stress test.

If your assets appear comfortably ahead of your spending needs, that is a positive sign. If the gap feels tight, it does not mean retirement is off the table — it simply means flexibility and structure matter more.

This is also where asset mix becomes important.

For many Australians, this is where ASX shares come into the picture. A diversified portfolio of dividend shares and/or ETFs can provide a combination of income and long-term growth, helping retirement savings keep pace with inflation. Unlike relying on a single asset, shares offer liquidity and flexibility, which can be valuable when spending needs change over time. Of course, share markets move around, which is why many retirees use them as part of a broader mix rather than a stand-alone solution.

3. How long might your money need to last?

One of the most common retirement planning mistakes is underestimating longevity.

Australians are living longer than previous generations, and many retirees now need their savings to last 25 to 30 years or more. Planning for a longer retirement is not pessimistic — it is prudent.

This matters because early retirement years are often the most financially sensitive. Poor market conditions combined with heavy withdrawals can have an outsized impact if they occur too soon.

A simple question to ask is whether your plan still works if you live longer than expected. If the answer is yes, you are building resilience into your retirement, not just optimism.

How much flexibility do you actually have?

Retirement today is rarely a clean switch from work to no work.

Some people reduce hours gradually. Others work casually for a few years. Many adjust spending depending on markets, health, or personal priorities.

Flexibility is one of the most powerful tools retirees have. Even modest adjustments — delaying travel, drawing slightly less in weak markets, or earning a small side income — can significantly improve long-term outcomes.

A simple 2-minute check

If you can broadly say “yes” to the following, you are likely closer to retirement readiness than you think:

• I understand my annual spending needs.
• My assets reasonably support that spending under conservative assumptions.
• I have planned for a long retirement.
• I have flexibility if markets or life surprise me.

Foolish Takeaway

This quick check is not a full retirement plan, and it is not designed to replace personalised advice. It does not account for tax structures, superannuation rules, or Age Pension eligibility.

What it does offer is clarity.

If the answer today is “not quite,” that is still useful information. Time, flexibility, and small adjustments often matter far more than perfect timing or precise forecasts.

And if the answer is “yes,” then retirement in 2026 may be less about whether you can afford it — and more about how you want to spend it.

The post Can you afford to retire in 2026? Find out in 2 minutes appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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Motley Fool contributor Leigh Gant has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.