Why I think these quality ASX 200 shares are trading at a discount

When I talk about shares trading at a discount, I’m not always referring to low price-to-earnings (PE) ratios.

Sometimes the discount is relative to long-term growth potential. Sometimes it reflects temporary uncertainty. And sometimes it’s simply the result of sentiment getting ahead of fundamentals.

Right now, I believe three quality ASX 200 names fit that description: Xero Ltd (ASX: XRO), Treasury Wine Estates Ltd (ASX: TWE), and Catapult Sports Ltd (ASX: CAT).

Xero shares

Xero isn’t conventionally cheap. It still trades on a premium multiple compared to the broader market. But I think the market may be underestimating its long-term growth engine.

The accounting software company has been caught up in global tech weakness and concerns around AI disruption. There are also ongoing debates around its US expansion and the integration of major acquisitions.

But when I look at the core business, I see strong subscriber growth, improving margins, and increasing operating leverage as scale builds.

Xero’s ecosystem is deeply embedded in small and medium-sized businesses and accounting firms. Switching costs are meaningful. Integrations with payroll, payments, and other tools reinforce stickiness.

In my view, this is not a fragile growth story. It’s a global platform still expanding into a large addressable market. If execution remains solid, I think today’s valuation could look conservative over a five- to ten-year horizon.

That’s why I see it as trading at a discount to its long-term potential, even if the headline multiple doesn’t scream cheap.

Treasury Wine Estates shares

Treasury Wine Estates is a more obvious discount candidate.

The share price has been hit hard over the past year, reflecting softer demand, inventory challenges, and uncertainty in key markets. Investor confidence has clearly taken a knock.

But I believe the market may be pricing in too much pessimism.

This ASX 200 share owns a portfolio of premium wine brands with strong global recognition. While earnings can be cyclical and sensitive to consumer demand, brand strength and distribution scale provide long-term value.

In my view, this looks less like a permanently impaired business and more like a cyclical downturn that has been heavily punished. If its new management team executes on its strategy and demand normalises, the re-rating potential could be meaningful.

Catapult Sports shares

Catapult is another stock that isn’t cheap on traditional valuation metrics. But I think it may be undervalued relative to what it could become.

The company provides performance analytics and wearable technology to professional and collegiate sports teams globally. Its platform spans coaching, scouting, athlete monitoring, and analytics.

What I find compelling is the scalability of the model. Recurring software revenue is growing, margins are expanding, and the company has been pushing toward the coveted Rule of 40 profile, where growth plus profitability exceed 40%.

Catapult operates in a niche with limited direct competition at scale. As more teams adopt data-driven decision-making, the addressable market remains significant.

If revenue continues compounding at strong double-digit rates and margins expand as expected, today’s valuation may understate the earnings power of the business three to five years from now.

Foolish takeaway

Discounts don’t always show up in a simple multiple. Sometimes they appear when sentiment is weak. Sometimes when growth is misunderstood. And sometimes when the market focuses on short-term noise instead of long-term opportunity.

I believe Xero, Treasury Wine Estates, and Catapult Sports each fit that description right now. None are without risk. But for investors willing to think beyond the next quarter, I think these quality ASX 200 shares are trading below what they could ultimately be worth.

The post Why I think these quality ASX 200 shares are trading at a discount appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

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• 3 ASX growth shares that could rebound hard in 2026

Motley Fool contributor Grace Alvino has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Catapult Sports, Treasury Wine Estates, and Xero. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Catapult Sports, Treasury Wine Estates, and Xero. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.