Shares in Eagers Automotive Ltd (ASX: APE) have pulled back sharply in recent weeks. It has left investors wondering whether the once red-hot S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) stock could now be a bargain.
The automotive retailer’s share price has dropped about 18% over the past month and roughly 14% since the start of the year, pushing the stock well below its recent highs.
For a company that has been one of the standout performers in the consumer discretionary sector in recent years, the sudden weakness has caught the market’s attention.
Here’s a closer look at the ASX 200 stock and whether the pullback could represent an opportunity.
BYD as big driver
Part of the decline of this ASX 200 stock reflects profit-taking after a strong rally in 2025. But that’s only part of the reason. The softer start to the year has also been caused by Toyota supply chain issues, which are expected to be resolved in the near term.
Eagers is the largest automotive retail group in Australia. The company owns and operates a large network of new and used motor vehicle dealerships across Australia and New Zealand.
A big driver of Eagers’ success has been electric vehicles, particularly BYD. The ASX 200 stock now operates roughly 80% of BYD dealerships in Australia, giving it unmatched exposure to one of the fastest-growing EV brands in the country.
One of Eagers’ biggest strengths is its scale and market leadership. The company controls about 14% of Australia’s new-vehicle sales. That gives it significant bargaining power with manufacturers and strong brand recognition.
First move in North America
In October, the ASX 200 stock announced a game-changing move, revealing the acquisition of a 65% stake in CanadaOne Auto, one of Canada’s largest dealership groups.
The deal values CanadaOne at around $1.05 billion and marks Eagers’ first expansion into North America. Once completed and approved, Eagers will control 42 dealerships across multiple Canadian provinces.
Cyclical and supply risks
Despite its strengths, Eagers operates in a cyclical sector.
Vehicle sales are closely tied to consumer confidence and economic conditions. If interest rates remain elevated or household budgets come under pressure, new car demand could weaken.
The company is also exposed to supply and demand dynamics in the global auto industry.
In addition, after several years of strong share price performance, the ASX 200 stock’s valuation has occasionally looked stretched. That makes it vulnerable to pullbacks when market sentiment shifts.
What next for Eagers shares?
Broker sentiment on the ASX stock remains broadly constructive despite the recent share price drop.
Several analysts still view the company as a high-quality operator with a growing dealership network. Bell Potter just upgraded the ASX 200 stock to a buy rating from hold, while slightly trimming its price target to $28.50 from $28.75.
With the shares currently trading at $20.95, the broker’s target suggests potential upside of about 36% over the next 12 months.
And that may not be the full return on offer. Bell Potter is also forecasting a fully franked dividend yield of roughly 3.8% this year. This would lift the potential total return to around 40%.
The post Is this red-hot ASX 200 stock a buy after tumbling 18%? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.
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Motley Fool contributor Marc Van Dinther has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Eagers Automotive Ltd. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.