There are a lot of gold miners to choose from on the Australian share market.
To narrow things down, let’s take a look at one ASX 200 gold stock that Bell Potter is bullish on.
Which ASX 200 gold stock?
The gold miner that Bell Potter is tipping as a buy is Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN).
It notes that the company released its quarterly update this week. While it wasn’t blown away with the update, the broker remains positive given its strong cash flow generation. Commenting on the quarter, Bell Potter said:
EVN has reported a weaker March quarter 2026 result, in-line with management commentary and previously disclosed operational disruptions at Ernest Henry (flooding) and Cowal (bi-annual mill shutdown). Group production was 170.1koz gold and 10.8kt copper (vs BPe 171.0koz gold and 16.6kt copper).
While the March quarter suffered from operational and weather disruptions resulting in lower production and higher costs QoQ, this had been flagged to the market. That EVN still generated near-record free cash flow under these circumstances helped a strong positive reaction. We also believe consistent commentary on maintaining capital discipline, investing in high-returning organic growth projects and an aversion to hoarding cash has been well received by the market. We forecast EVN to declare fully-franked dividends of 50cps in FY26, up from 20cps in FY25.
Time to buy?
According to the note, the broker has retained its buy rating on the ASX 200 gold stock with a slightly trimmed price target of $16.45 (from $16.60).
Based on its current share price of $14.45, this implies potential upside of 14% for investors over the next 12 months.
In addition, Bell Potter is forecasting an attractive 3.5% dividend yield over the period. This boosts the total potential return to over 17%.
Commenting on its buy recommendation, Bell Potter said:
EPS changes on this update are -6% for FY26, FY27 and FY28 are unchanged. Changes to our operational assumptions are minor. EVN offers effectively unhedged gold and copper exposure via a portfolio of high quality, long-life assets in Tier 1 jurisdictions, overseen by a high-quality management team. EVN has stated its intention to pass growing free cash flows on to shareholders. Our NPV-based Target Price drops 1% to $16.45/sh and we retain our Buy recommendation.
The post Why this ASX 200 gold stock could be a strong buy appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.
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* Returns as of 20 Feb 2026
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More reading
- 5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Thursday
- Why Evolution Mining, Mesoblast, Nufarm, and Virgin Australia shares are storming higher today
- Why is this $25 billion ASX mining stock charging higher today?
- Evolution Mining delivers record cash flow and moves to net cash
- Is this one of the best ASX 200 gold stocks to buy now?
Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.