5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Friday

On Thursday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) was on form and pushed higher. The benchmark index rose 0.2% to 8,839 points.

Will the market be able to build on this on Friday and end the week on a high? Here are five things to watch:

ASX 200 expected to sink

The Australian share market looks set to fall on Friday following a disappointing night of trade in the United States. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open 65 points or 0.75% lower this morning. In late trade on Wall Street, the Dow Jones is down 1%, the S&P 500 is down 1.3%, and the Nasdaq is 2.3% lower. Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) shares are down 14% and weighing heavily on the latter.

Oil prices jump

ASX 200 energy shares Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) and Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) could have a great finish to the week after oil prices jumped overnight. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price is up 5.8% to US$91.87 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price is up 6.65% to US$100.33 a barrel. This was driven by reports that tankers were struck off Saudi Arabia.

Polynovo shares downgraded

Polynovo Ltd (ASX: PNV) shares will be in focus today after the medical device company was downgraded by the team at Bell Potter. According to the note, the broker has downgraded Polynovo’s shares to a hold rating with a heavily reduced price target of $1.00 (from $2.00). It said: “We conclude that the top line growth rate is below our expectation and accordingly our target price is adjusted to reflect this change. Pending the full year earnings update, our initial reaction has been to slash the growth forecast to low double digit percentage growth going forward. For FY27 we now expect net sales to increase by ~$15m relative to the $20m increase achieved in FY26. We are particularly concerned by sequential period decline in US revenues in 2H26 in addition to the absence of a strategy in the outpatient care market.”

Gold price tumbles

ASX 200 gold shares Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN) and Newmont Corporation (ASX: NEM) could have a poor finish to the week after the gold price tumbled overnight. According to CNBC, the gold futures price is down 2.5% to US$4,048.5 an ounce. Rate hike concerns are weighing on the precious metal. Also, Newmont will be releasing its quarterly update this morning.

Buy Generation Development shares

Morgans sees value in Generation Development Group Ltd (ASX: GDG) shares. In response to its fourth-quarter update, the broker has retained its buy rating with an improved price target of $6.89 (from $6.28). It said: “GDG has provided a 4Q26 update. We saw this as a strong result highlighted by record Investment Bond sales, and importantly, Evidentia beating expectations after a run of consecutive misses. We lift our GDG EPS by +1%-5% over the forecast period, on higher sales and FUM expectations in both key divisions. Our price target is set at A$6.89 (previously A$6.28). We maintain our BUY recommendation, with >20% TSR upside.”

The post 5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Friday appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

• Oil prices are rising again. What does that mean for these ASX energy shares?
• Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today
• Guess which $1.8 billion ASX 200 stock is leaping 33% on Thursday!
• Why is the Santos share price lifting off on Thursday?
• Generation Development Group posts 36% lift in FUM and record inflows for FY26

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Woodside Energy Group Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended PolyNovo and Tesla. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Generation Development Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.