5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Monday

On Friday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) ended the week with a strong gain. The benchmark index rose 1% to 8,806.7 points.

Will the market be able to build on this on Monday? Here are five things to watch:

ASX 200 expected to fall

The Australian share market looks set for a subdued start to the week following a poor session on Wall Street on Friday. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 11 points or 0.1% lower. In the United States, the Dow Jones was down 0.35%, the S&P 500 fell 1.1%, and the Nasdaq sank 2.15%.

Oil prices jump

ASX 200 energy shares Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) and Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) could have a strong start to the week after oil prices jumped on Friday night. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price was up 3.5% to US$101.41 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price was up 3.7% to US$109.86 a barrel. Increased Strait of Hormuz attacks and reports that Ukraine is vowing to hit Russian refineries were behind the rise.

Buy Mesoblast shares

Mesoblast Ltd (ASX: MSB) shares offer major upside according to Bell Potter. This morning, the broker has retained its buy rating and slightly trimmed price target of $4.40 on the biotech company’s shares. It said: “The miss on September quarter revenues requires a downgrade to the forecast for FY27 Ryoncil revenues. The forecast is lowered by 18% ($243m to $203m) with the NPAT reduced by a similar quantum to $26.7m. The FY28 revenue forecast is reduced by 7%, however, there are no changes to the long-term outlook. Price target is reduced to $4.40.”

Gold price edges higher

It could be a reasonable start to the week for ASX 200 gold shares such as Capricorn Metals Ltd (ASX: CMM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) after the gold price edged higher on Friday night. According to CNBC, the gold futures price was up 0.25% to US$4,181.1 an ounce. This couldn’t stop the precious metal from recording a weekly decline following hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation data.

Buy PLS shares

The team at Bell Potter remains positive on PLS Group Ltd (ASX: PLS) shares following the final investment decision to double Pilgangoora nameplate spodumene concentrate capacity to 2Mtpa. In response, the broker has retained its buy rating on the lithium miner’s shares with a trimmed price target of $4.10 (from $4.40). It said: “While P2000 introduces medium-term execution risk, completion will meaningfully strengthen PLS’ long-term position as a large, low-cost hard-rock lithium producer. The company retains offtake optionality with ~50% of FY30 expected SC production of 2Mtpa uncontracted. Colina development studies are progressing, providing additional organic growth optionality in markets with strong underlying demand fundamentals from EV adoption and BESS deployment.”

The post 5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Monday appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Woodside Energy Group Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.