Author: openjargon

  • Why is the CBA share price setting a new all-time high today?

    A woman in a bright yellow jumper looks happily at her yellow piggy bank representing bank dividends and in particular the CBA dividend

    The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) share price is the only Big Four bank solidifying a fresh all-time high today of $122.55, up 2.1%. That’s despite other banking majors outpacing the return on CommBank shares.

    While many analysts have repeatedly labelled Australia’s largest bank as ‘overvalued‘ or ‘extremely expensive,’ the rally continues — a rally that began in November last year and tracked along a largely uninterrupted trend until last month.

    Undeterred, CBA shares have bounced back, reaching this new price milestone.

    However, the Aussie bank reported a 5% slump in its unaudited statutory net profit after tax only a week ago. So, how does the CBA share price set a record high soon after that dreary news?

    Budget keeps the good times rolling

    The Commonwealth Bank of Australia has not made a price-sensitive announcement since its March quarter trading update. Hence, there is no new information to instigate increased buying of CBA shares today.

    Lacking any company releases, we must broaden our search on what might influence investors’ appetite.

    On Tuesday, the Government released the 2024-25 Australian Federal Budget. How the Federal Government plans to spend its money can have meaningful implications for the economy and Australian businesses.

    Perhaps investors believe some planned budgetary expenditures will benefit CommBank and its peers. After all, banks tend to perform better throughout economic growth than retraction. As such, the $300 energy bill relief for every household might be seen as oil for the economic wheel.

    Likewise, additional tax relief for low and middle-income earners suggests less economic pressure. Less pressure could mean CBA won’t be whacked with a substantial rise in arrears, a common side effect of increased unemployment due to a softening economy.

    In CBA’s trading update last week, cost-of-living pressures were highlighted as a cause of increasing arrears. At that time, management noted its expectation of further worsening arrears during the coming months.

    Post-budget, those fears may be somewhat allayed for shareholders.

    Inflation and the CBA share price

    Nearly everyone wants a well-coordinated ‘soft landing’ as interest rates stifle inflation. The danger for the economy — and banks — is an overly restrictive monetary policy that tightens too far. That’s why investors welcome recent news about inflation in Australia and the United States.

    Last night, US monthly inflation was 3.4%, down from the 3.5% reported for March. Likewise, Australia’s treasurer, Jim Chalmers, forecasts Australia’s inflation rate will fall below 3% before the year ends.

    It paints a rosy picture of the future.

    Bank share investors might be seeing the dark clouds lift. As a result, improved optimism is likely flowing through to the CBA share price.

    Shares in the Aussie bank have risen 25% over the past year. It currently trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 20 times earnings.

    The post Why is the CBA share price setting a new all-time high today? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Commonwealth Bank Of Australia right now?

    Before you buy Commonwealth Bank Of Australia shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Commonwealth Bank Of Australia wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Mitchell Lawler has positions in Commonwealth Bank Of Australia. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Why is this ASX 200 stock surging despite a $500 million writedown?

    The Incitec Pivot Ltd (ASX: IPL) share price has certainly caught the eye of investors on Thursday.

    In afternoon trade, the ASX 200 stock is up almost 6% to $2.99.

    Why is this ASX 200 stock surging?

    Investors have been bidding the fertiliser and commercial explosives company’s shares higher today following the release of its half year results.

    For the six months ended 31 March, Incitec Pivot posted a net loss after tax including individually material items (IMIs) of $148 million. This is down from a $354 million profit in the prior corresponding period.

    The ASX 200 stock advised that this includes IMIs totalling $312 million after tax. This relates primarily to a $498 million non-cash impairment of the fertilisers business, which was partially offset by a gain on the sale of IPL’s ammonia manufacturing facility in Waggaman, Louisiana.

    However, investors appear to be focusing more on the company’s underlying performance during the half, which was actually very strong despite its loss.

    Incitec Pivot revealed that it delivered underlying EBIT growth of 18% compared to the prior corresponding period after adjusting for re-basing items. Management advised that this reflects growth in all customer-facing businesses, including record first half EBIT for the Dyno Nobel Asia Pacific business and the Fertilisers Distribution business.

    Pleasingly for shareholders, the loss after tax didn’t stop the company from declaring an unfranked interim dividend of 4.3 cents per share.

    Management commentary

    The ASX 200 stock’s CEO and managing director, Mauro Neves, was pleased with the half. He commented:

    Our Dyno Nobel and Incitec Pivot Fertilisers businesses have delivered strong underlying earnings performances across the first half, with record first half results in Dyno Nobel Asia Pacific and our Fertilisers Distribution businesses.

    Our headline result reflects major restructuring in our asset portfolio across both the Dyno Nobel and Incitec Pivot Fertilisers businesses. After re-basing for these items, and movements in commodities and foreign exchange rates, underlying earnings were up 18%, with growth in all customer-facing businesses. This is a testament to the hard work of our teams across our businesses and reflects a solid platform for future growth.

    Outlook

    Management advised that it is focused on delivering continued earnings momentum in its customer-facing businesses in the second half of FY 2024. It is also progressing its strategy of transforming the global explosives business to unlock its full potential and deliver improved returns to shareholders.

    However, no guidance has been provided for the full year with today’s results.

    The post Why is this ASX 200 stock surging despite a $500 million writedown? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Incitec Pivot Limited right now?

    Before you buy Incitec Pivot Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Incitec Pivot Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Macquarie ups the ante on fees with new ASX ETFs

    The conventional wisdom on the ASX exchange-traded fund (ETF) landscape is that index funds offer investors the lowest fees. Amongst all ETFs on the Australian markets, the lowest charging are all index funds that cover either ASX or American indexes.

    Of course, not all ASX ETFs are passive index funds. However, actively managed ETFs that offer exposure to concentrated, thematic portfolios or curated selections of shares tend to charge far higher annual management fees.

    This logically makes sense. After all, all index funds have to do is mirror the benchmark index they happen to track – a process that is now almost entirely automated. Actively managed funds, however, need to employ analysts, portfolio managers and other expensive outlays.

    Well, this week, that conventional wisdom is out the window. That’s thanks to a new suite of ETFs from Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG).

    Macquarie has just launched two new actively managed ETFs on the Australian share market. However, you wouldn’t know it from the fees these new funds are charging.

    Macquarie introduces new, low-fee ASX ETFs

    First up is the Macquarie Core Australian Equity Active ETF (ASX: MQAE). This new fund draws “around” 200 investments from the S&P/ASX 300 Index (ASX: XKO). These stocks are chosen after all eligible investments are “continually assessed for the most robust and least correlated sources of return”.

    Macquarie uses a mix of data, risk and fundamental analysis to actively “fine-tune” its portfolio of stocks to deliver a return above an ASX index fund ideally.

    Here’s how the company described this approach:

    The Macquarie Systematic Investments machine is constantly scanning the market with one eye on the future, with inputs continuously being updated and the signals utilised fine-tuned to seek potential trades.

    Macquarie’s dedicated in-house quantitative team are continually analysing the market in search of new ways to identify attractive stock characteristics, which are distilled into specific signals. Currently, the signal set is over 60 signals, and all are applied to the 300 ASX stocks and around 1,400 global equities for these active ETFs.

    The centrepiece of these investments is the ultra-low management fee of 0.03% per annum. That’s well below other actively managed ASX ETFs. For example, the BetaShares Australian Quality ETF (ASX: QLTY) charges a management fee of 0.35% per annum.

    It’s even below what most passive ASX index funds charge. The most popular index fund on the ASX is the Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF (ASX: VAS). It asks investors to pay a fee of 0.07% per annum.

    It’s a similar story with Macquarie’s other new ETF – the Macquarie Core Global Equity Active ETF (ASX: MQEG). This fund works similarly to MQAE but draws 400-500 stocks from the global arena, specifically from the MSCI World ex-Australia ex-Tobacco Index.

    This ETF charges an annual management fee of 0.08%. This fee is lower than that of a comparable fund, the Vanguard MSCI Index International Shares ETF (ASX: VGS), which asks 0.18% per annum.

    A caveat, though: Both of these actively managed ASX ETFs also charge performance fees. If either ETF outperforms its benchmark index in any given period, investors will pay a 20% performance fee on any returns above the index’s return, subject to a high watermark.

    With all of this in mind, it will be interesting to see what kinds of returns these new ETFs generate going forward.

    The post Macquarie ups the ante on fees with new ASX ETFs appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Macquarie Group Limited right now?

    Before you buy Macquarie Group Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Macquarie Group Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has positions in Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Vanguard Msci Index International Shares ETF. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Up 73% in a year, this surging ASX 200 stock just hit another all-time high

    A man and a woman stand on an external balcony in a dense city environment filled with high rise buildings and commercial properties. The man is pointing up at a high rise building and the woman is looking on.

    ASX 200 property stock Goodman Group (ASX: GMG) is trading 4.35% higher on Thursday at $34.82.

    In earlier trading, the industrial real estate giant hit a new 52-week high of $35.09, up 5.15%.

    With no news out of Australia’s biggest real estate investment trust (REIT) today, it is likely Goodman shares are just riding the wave of a buoyant market, with the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) up 1.64%.

    The industrial property specialist has ripped up the charts over the past 12 months, gaining 73% in new value. This compares to its peers in the S&P/ASX 200 A-REIT Index (ASX: XPJ), which is up 21%.

    What’s got this ASX 200 stock screaming higher?

    Goodman Group is a property development and management behemoth with a $63.37 billion market capitalisation. Last year, it was among the top five most profitable large-cap ASX 200 stocks.

    What’s got the Goodman share price shooting the lights out?

    Well, first of all, the business appears to be in great shape.

    Last week, the company’s third-quarter operational update revealed $800 million of completed developments during the quarter, with 96% of year-to-date completions committed.

    Its total property portfolio is worth $80.5 billion and it’s got 98% occupancy. The 12-month rolling like-for-like net property income (NPI) growth is 4.9%.

    There is $12.9 billion of development work in progress (WIP) across 82 projects, with 59% committed. The yield on cost is 6.8% and 74% of the WIP is either pre-sold or being built for third parties or partners.

    All of this resulted in the company upgrading its guidance for FY24 for a second time. Management now expects operating earnings per share (EPS) growth of 13% in FY24. 

    The ASX 200 property stock dipped 0.26% on the day the update was released.

    What did management say?

    CEO Greg Goodman said:

    Our active asset management continues to optimise returns for our investors as we deliver essential infrastructure for the expanding digital economy.

    The location and quality of our properties enables increased productivity, driving demand as our logistics customers are seeking to improve their supply chain efficiency using automation and offering faster transit times.

    What makes Goodman different to other REITs?

    A second factor likely prompting excited investors to plough more funds into this ASX 200 stock is Goodman’s industrial property specialisation and its exposure to the artificial intelligence (AI) megatrend.

    Goodman is actively positioning itself to take advantage of the AI boom by building the data centres needed to make it all work.

    Currently, data centres under construction represent approximately 40% of Goodman Group’s $12.9 billion WIP pipeline.

    The company said it was progressing its data centre strategy and reviewing additional sites for potential data centre use now.

    Goodman’s global power bank totals 4.3GW across 12 major cities, following a 0.3GW addition during the third quarter.

    Source: Goodman Group third quarter update

    The bank comprises 2.1GW of secured power, including 0.4GW that is stabilised and owned, and 0.4GW that is under development, and 2.2GW of power in the advanced stages of procurement.

    Goodman says it has the proven development capabilities and strong balance sheet to continue buying and developing high-tier data centres in popular, supply-constrained locations.

    Goodman said:

    We continue to develop large-scale, high value, data centres, and expand our global power bank to address growing data centre demand as AI usage and cloud computing expands.

    ASX 200 stock price snapshot

    This ASX 200 property stock has gained 153.5% in market cap over the past five years.

    This compares to 9.3% for the S&P/ASX 200 A-REIT Index.

    The post Up 73% in a year, this surging ASX 200 stock just hit another all-time high appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Goodman Group right now?

    Before you buy Goodman Group shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Goodman Group wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has positions in Goodman Group. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goodman Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Goodman Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • 2 cheap ASX All Ords shares to buy for growth and dividends

    If you are on the lookout for the dream combination of growth and attractive dividend yields, then you may want to check out the two ASX All Ords shares listed below.

    These shares have been tipped to grow their earnings and dividends strongly in the coming years. And the even better news is that they could be cheap according to analysts. Let’s see what they are saying about them:

    Treasury Wine Estates Ltd (ASX: TWE)

    Morgans thinks that this wine giant’s shares could be undervalued at present. The broker has an add rating and $14.03 price target on the ASX All Ords share. This implies potential upside of almost 22% for investors over the next 12 months.

    It is feeling very positive about its acquisition in the United States. It said:

    It may take some time for the market to digest TWE’s acquisition of Paso Robles luxury wine business, DAOU Vineyards (DAOU) for US$900m (A$1.4bn) given it required a large capital raising. The acquisition is in line with TWE’s premiumisation and growth strategy and will strengthen a key gap in Treasury Americas (TA) portfolio. Importantly, DAOU has generated solid earnings growth and is a high margin business. It consequently allowed TWE to upgrade its margins targets. While not without risk given the size of this transaction, if TWE delivers on its investment case, there is material upside to our valuation.

    As for dividends, the broker expects fully franked dividends of 36.4 cents in FY 2024 and then 44.8 cents in FY 2025. This will mean dividend yields of 3.15% and 3.9%, respectively.

    Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW)

    Goldman Sachs thinks that this ASX All Ords share could be cheap at current levels.

    The broker has a buy rating and $39.40 price target on the supermarket giant’s shares. This suggests that they could rise 24% from current levels.

    Goldman highlights that Woolworths’ shares are trading on lower than normal multiples despite having a positive outlook. It said:

    WOW is the largest supermarket chain in Australia with an additional presence in NZ, as well as selling general merchandise retail via Big W. We are Buy rated on the stock as we believe the business has among the highest consumer stickiness and loyalty among peers, and hence has strong ability to drive market share gains via its omni-channel advantage, as well as its ability to pass through any cost inflation to protect its margins, beyond market expectations. The stock is trading below its historical average (since 2018), and we see this as a value entry level for a high-quality and defensive stock.

    In respect to dividends, the broker has pencilled in fully franked dividends of $1.08 per share in FY 2024 and then $1.14 per share in FY 2025. This represents yields of 3.4% and 3.6%, respectively.

    The post 2 cheap ASX All Ords shares to buy for growth and dividends appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Treasury Wine Estates Limited right now?

    Before you buy Treasury Wine Estates Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Treasury Wine Estates Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Treasury Wine Estates. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Treasury Wine Estates. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Billionaire real estate investor Frank McCourt wants to buy TikTok — but he’s not interested in the algorithm

    Frank McCourt Marseille
    Frank McCourt.

    • Frank McCourt is organizing a group to acquire TikTok's US business through Project Liberty.
    • US lawmakers voted to ban the Chinese-owned app unless the US arm sold within a year.
    • McCourt's group aims to change TikTok's infrastructure and reclaim digital identities and data.

    Real estate mogul Frank McCourt is the latest person to raise his hand to try to acquire TikTok's US business.

    McCourt said on Wednesday that he is assembling a group of specialists, including investment bank Guggenheim Securities and law firm Kirkland & Ellis, as well as technology experts, academics, and parents, to consult on buying the US division of the viral social media app.

    The announcement follows a decision by US lawmakers last month to ban Chinese-owned TikTok from US app stores unless it is sold within a year. TikTok's parent company ByteDance, sued the federal government over the ban last week. TikTok has already said it has no plans to sell the platform.

    "We thought this was a really fantastic opportunity to accelerate the creation of an alternative internet," McCourt told the Associated Press. The 70-year-old is worth $1.4 billion, per Forbes, and made his wealth through real estate and sports investments.

    The potential purchase would be made through Project Liberty, an internet advocacy group founded by McCourt in 2021 that focuses on data privacy, among other issues. Several high-profile technologists support the bid, including Tim Berners-Lee, according to the project's website.

    McCourt wants to change TikTok's basic business to an open-source model that allows users and creators more control over their data.

    The announcement did not share details of how much money is being raised or whether the group is in already in talks with TikTok.

    McCourt, who previously owned the Los Angeles Dodgers, is on the short list of investors who have shown interest in buying the platform. Former Google CEO Eric Schmidt said he thought about buying the platform but decided against it. Former Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said he's eyeing a purchase, but he may not have the funds to do it. Big Tech companies are almost sure to face antitrust concerns if they want in.

    There is very little consensus on the app's price tag — one valuation pegs the US business at $100 billion, but another says it is immaterial to ByteDance's revenue. The platform may also be less attractive if it is sold without its "For You Page" algorithm, which has been credited for its success.

    McCourt told the New York Times that he doesn't want the algorithm.

    "We doubt very much that China would sell TikTok with the algorithm," McCourt told the Times. "We're the one bidder that doesn't want the algorithm because we're talking about a different architecture, a different way of thinking about the internet and how it operates."

    TikTok and representatives for McCourt did not immediately respond to Business Insider's request for comment.

    Read the original article on Business Insider
  • What’s the outlook for ASX iron ore shares after the federal budget?

    Female miner standing next to a haul truck in a large mining operation.

    The ASX iron ore share sector may be facing a difficult FY25 with the latest prediction from leading broker Citi.

    As price-takers, the commodity businesses of Fortescue Ltd (ASX: FMG), Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX: RIO) and BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) are highly dependent on the iron ore price for the level of profitability they achieve.

    Mining costs don’t typically change much month to month, so a higher commodity price means that extra revenue for its production largely translates into additional net profit as well. But, the opposite can be the case when the commodity price goes down.

    So, where is the iron ore price headed? Let’s look at what Citi thinks.

    Negative view on the iron ore price

    According to the reporting by the Australian Financial Review, Citi’s analysts have reduced their three-month price target for the iron ore price from US$120 per tonne to US$105 per tonne because of the weakening credit market in China (which is a key buyer of Australian iron ore).

    Trading Economics reports that the iron ore price is US$116 per tonne at the moment.

    Citi said:

    We see the weaker credit demand combined with protracted property sector weakness to remain a major overhang on Chinese steel and iron ore consumption.

    Weak consumer confidence and profound structural changes in the property sector has led to insufficient credit demand.

    We see downside risks for iron ore heading into summer and recommend investors to fade the iron ore rally.

    Silver lining

    However, not everyone is so pessimistic about the iron ore price, which could be helpful for the ASX iron ore share. Morgan Stanley thinks iron could reach US$125 per tonne by the end of 2024. The broker’s Amy Gower thinks investors should keep in mind that Chinese steel is being utilised in a number of emerging markets, not just in China. Gower said:

    Chinese steel production has been trending sideways for much of the last three years, yet iron ore has continued to trade around $US120 per tonne – well above where consensus estimated it would be.

    We see things differently…China’s falling consumption of iron ore for its own steel use since 2022 is being offset by growing demand in India, other [parts of] Asia, and the Middle East.

    India, South-East Asia, Africa and the Middle East, are all expanding. Even if China’s exports did fall, steel production elsewhere would have to fill the gap, which diverts iron ore supply away from China.

    Those three regions have reportedly increased their steel imports by up to 25% since last year.

    Coincidentally, Trading Economics said recent data showed that Chinese steel export volumes surged by nearly 30% for the second straight month in April, underpinning demand for iron ore input.

    It will be fascinating to see what happens for ASX iron ore shares.

    The post What’s the outlook for ASX iron ore shares after the federal budget? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Bhp Group right now?

    Before you buy Bhp Group shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Bhp Group wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

    More reading

    Citigroup is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has positions in Fortescue. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Why Goldman Sachs just upgraded Coles shares

    Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL) shares are having a good session on Thursday.

    In afternoon trade, the supermarket giant’s shares are up almost 2% to $16.48.

    Why are Coles shares rising today?

    Today’s gain appears to have been driven partly by the release of an upbeat broker note out of Goldman Sachs.

    Although the broker is not recommending the company as a buy, it has taken its sell rating off its shares.

    According to the note, the broker has upgraded Coles shares to a neutral rating with an improved price target of $16.30 (from $15.40).

    What did the broker say?

    Goldman first explained why it previously had a sell rating on the supermarket operator’s shares. It said:

    We downgraded COL in Sep 2022 on the thesis that Cole’s e-Comm (Ocado) strategy, with its next day and structurally more expensive model, would lead to market share losses and its entrance into a high investment cycle for digital and supply chain would pressure margins over FY23-25. Since we downgraded on 13 Sep2022, COL has fallen 6% vs the ASX 200 of +11%. Since then COL has: 1. Delayed the Ocado facilities multiple times, increasing capex to ~A$400m as well as factoring in higher than expected implementation costs. 2. Reported unexpectedly high stock-losses due to store/digital under-investment; which continues to hit margins.

    However, the broker is now feeling a lot more positive on Coles and its shares following the release of its half year results and third quarter sales update. It explains:

    Following the 1H24/3Q24 results and recent channel checks we have become more positive on COL on the basis: 1. New CEO has actively addressed margin/loss issues with now 346 stores with skip scans and 286 with smart gates; 2. Demonstrated strong retail execution including the effective communication of value to consumers via various price programs, collectibles and protein availability in 3Q24 resulting in ~360 bps of sales growth difference vs WOW and further cost-out of A$1B Simplify and Save across 4 years; 3. Faster scaling of Retail Media, which is significantly accretive to the Food segment margin, together with its digital and loyalty program, re-activating Flybuys active members to 9.4mn.

    Should you invest?

    While Goldman only has a neutral rating on Coles shares, there are brokers out there that are feeling a lot more bullish.

    One of those is Morgans, which recently put an add rating and $18.95 price target on its shares. This implies potential upside of approximately 15% for investors over the next 12 months.

    The post Why Goldman Sachs just upgraded Coles shares appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Coles Group Limited right now?

    Before you buy Coles Group Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Coles Group Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Coles Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Why Aristocrat Leisure, Graincorp, Incitec Pivot, and Patriot Battery Metals are rising today

    In afternoon trade, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is on course to record a very strong gain. At the time of writing, the benchmark index is up 1.5% to 7,872.1 points.

    Four ASX shares that are rising more than most today are listed below. Here’s why they are climbing:

    Aristocrat Leisure Limited (ASX: ALL)

    The Aristocrat Leisure share price is up almost 12% to $45.50. Investors have been buying this gaming technology company’s shares following the release of its half year results. Aristocrat reported a 6.1% increase in revenue to $3,269.6 million and a 16.8% jump in net profit after tax to $723.3 million. This was significantly better than the market was expecting, which explains why its shares are rallying so strongly today. Another positive was that the company boosted its dividend and announced an additional $350 million share buyback.

    Graincorp Ltd (ASX: GNC)

    The Graincorp share price is up 2% to $8.25. This follows the release of the grain exporter’s half year results. Although the company posted a 57% decline in underlying EBITDA to $164 million for the half, this was a little ahead of expectations. The market also appears pleased that management has reaffirmed its full year underlying EBITDA guidance of $250 million to $280 million.

    Incitec Pivot Ltd (ASX: IPL)

    The Incitec Pivot share price is up 3% to $2.91. This has been driven by the release of the fertiliser and commercial explosives company’s half year results. Incitec Pivot delivered underlying EBIT growth of 18% compared to the prior corresponding period after adjusting for re-basing items, which relate primarily to the closure of manufacturing at Gibson Island and the sale of Waggaman. Management advised that this reflects growth in all customer-facing businesses, including record first half EBIT for the Dyno Nobel Asia Pacific business and the Fertilisers Distribution business.

    Patriot Battery Metals Inc. (ASX: PMT)

    The Patriot Battery Metals share price is up 9% to 87.2 cents. Investors have been buying the lithium developer’s shares following the release of a new batch of core assay results for drill holes completed this year at the CV5 spodumene pegmatite at its Corvette Lithium Project in Canada. Patriot Battery Metals’ vice president of exploration, Darren L. Smith, commented: “Another round of CV5 core assays from our infill program and it continues to deliver to expectations. Coupled with the new high grade discovery at CV13, the 2024 winter program’s results continue to demonstrate the quality and scale on show at Corvette.”

    The post Why Aristocrat Leisure, Graincorp, Incitec Pivot, and Patriot Battery Metals are rising today appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Aristocrat Leisure Limited right now?

    Before you buy Aristocrat Leisure Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Aristocrat Leisure Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Guess which ASX healthcare stock just exploded 63% on Federal budget funding news!

    Doctor doing a telemedicine using laptop at a medical clinic

    An under-the-radar ASX healthcare stock is rocketing today.

    To be sure, Thursday is proving to be a good day for most ASX shares.

    The All Ordinaries Index (ASX: XAO) is up 1.5% at the time of writing as easing inflation in the United States and rising unemployment in Australia increase the odds of central bank interest rate cuts (details here).

    But this ASX healthcare stock is leaving those gains in the dust.

    Shares in the company, which specialises in medical devices, closed up 3.9% yesterday at 2.7 cents. In earlier trade today, shares were swapping hands for 4.4 cents apiece, up an eye-watering 63.0%.

    After some likely profit-taking, shares are currently trading for 3.2 cents apiece, up 18.5%.

    Any guesses?

    If you said Atomo Diagnostics Ltd (ASX: AT1), go to the head of the virtual class.

    Here’s why the Atomo Diagnostics share price is rocketing today.

    ASX healthcare stock lifts off on Federal budget news

    The Atomo Diagnostics share price is soaring after the company lauded the new Federal budget’s commitment to fund the expansion of HIV self-testing.

    That’s important for shareholders, as the ASX health care stock supplies the only HIV self-test that’s included on the Australian Register of Therapeutic Goods (ARTG).

    Management noted the key role the company has played in implementing the pilot programs, which will now be scaled up nationally with government funding support.

    Atomo shares are surging, and the company says it anticipates that “a significant portion of the funding committed to these expanded HIV self-test programs” will be used to buy its HIV tests.

    The ASX healthcare stock highlighted that under the new Federal budget:

    • People with or at risk of HIV will receive unprecedented support ($43.9 million) through better prevention, testing, workforce training and information, with the government committed to eliminating HIV transmission by 2030.
    • More people in at-risk groups will get free HIV self-test kits through the expanded national HIV self-test mail-out program.
    • And people around Australia will get wider access to HIV testing by extending the South Australia-based HIV testing vending machine pilot to every state and territory.

    What did management say?

    Commenting on the new funding that’s sending the ASX healthcare stock soaring today, Atomo CEO John Kelly said:

    We are delighted to see the government recognise the critical need to ensure HIV self-test availability across the community and fund the rapid expansion of the national HIV self-test mail-out program and the HIV self-test vending machine pilots.

    Both have proven extremely successful in increasing testing rates among groups not currently testing via healthcare facility-based services.

    With today’s intraday moves factored in, the ASX healthcare stock is up 60% year to date.

    The post Guess which ASX healthcare stock just exploded 63% on Federal budget funding news! appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Atomo Diagnostics Limited right now?

    Before you buy Atomo Diagnostics Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Atomo Diagnostics Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.