Author: openjargon

  • How an unrelated Supreme Court decision could jeopardize Biden’s new student-loan forgiveness plan before it even goes into effect

    President Joe Biden
    US President of the United States Joe Biden delivers remarks on student debt and lowering costs for Americans at Madison College in Madison, Wisconsin, United States on April 8, 2024.

    • Biden released new details for his second attempt at student-loan forgiveness.
    • While it likely won't go into effect until the fall, an earlier Supreme Court decision could put the relief at risk.
    • The ruling would address whether agencies have the authority to interpret a law's scope, like debt relief.

    New details for President Joe Biden's student-loan forgiveness plan are out — and it's already shaping up to be a rocky road to implementation.

    The same day the Supreme Court struck down Biden's first attempt at broad debt relief at the end of June 2023, the Education Department announced its plan B: relief for borrowers using an authority under the Higher Education Act of 1965.

    In contrast to the HEROES Act — the law Biden used for his first attempt at relief — the HEA requires the administration to undergo a process known as negotiated rulemaking. The process requires a series of negotiations with stakeholders before drafting the regulatory text for the rule, which then enters a period of public comment before the relief can be implemented.

    The Education Department completed negotiations on the relief in February. It released new details of the rule on April 8 — but senior administration officials previously said the actual draft text would be published in the coming months, with the implementation of the relief set to begin in the fall, at the earliest.

    Not only does this timeline coincide with the presidential election, which could imperil any relief should Biden lose — it also puts the relief under the shadow of Supreme Court rulings set to arrive by June.

    How a Supreme Court ruling on fisheries could affect student-debt relief

    Cary Coglianese, an administrative law professor at the University of Pennsylvania, told Business Insider that "there's a larger context within which this plan would be evaluated if it eventually goes to court, which I would expect it will."

    And that larger context, Coglianese said, is "possibly the rolling back of deference to agencies altogether in their interpretation of statutes."

    Coglianese is referring to a rule known as the Chevron doctrine, the fate of which is currently awaiting a Supreme Court ruling. In a case known as Loper Bright Enterprises v. Raimondo, a group of fisheries challenged the National Marine Fisheries Service's interpretation of a law requiring some fisheries to pay or subsidize the salaries of some federal agents who come on fishing expeditions to collect data.

    The fisheries argued against that interpretation, calling into question the Chevron doctrine, which allows federal agencies to interpret a law how they see fit as long as it doesn't interfere with Congress' language.

    So, if the Supreme Court strikes down Chevron, federal agencies would no longer have the authority to decide on laws related to their responsibilities — meaning the Education Department would not be able to interpret its student-debt relief authority under the Higher Education Act.

    "That would, it seems to me, just provide another sort of quiver in the arsenal, if you will, to send the Biden debt-relief plan packing again," Coglianese said.

    "In other words, we have a Supreme Court in which, in general, they're skeptical of agency action, at least of a certain kind of agency action, and with one student-debt relief case they've already sent a signal that they thought that was going out farther than Congress specifically authorized," Coglianese said. "And if they eliminate Chevron deference, it suggests that they're very serious about not giving agencies much leeway."

    Lawsuits to likely target the law's broadness

    While the regulatory text for Biden's new student-debt relief plan has not yet been published, its newly released details targeted different categories of borrowers the Education Department plans to make eligible for relief. It includes up to $20,000 in relief for borrowers with unpaid interest, along with loan forgiveness for those who have been in repayment for at least 20 years.

    The Education Department has maintained it has the authority to enact this relief under the HEA's compromise and settlement authority, which states that the department can "enforce, pay, compromise, waive, or release any right, title, claim, lien, or demand" related to federal student debt."

    However, Luke Herrine — an assistant law professor at the University of Alabama — told BI that any legal challenge will likely take issue with the department's interpretation of the HEA's authority for debt relief and argue that Biden's plan is too broad.

    "The fight is primarily going to be, I assume, over whether a clause that on its face looks very broad is actually as broad as it looks, which is partly a matter of, who gets to resolve the ambiguity with that clause? Do you defer to an agency to make that determination for the agency? And increasingly, it's the case that the conservative judiciary does not believe in any sort of deference to administrative agencies," Herrine said.

    Herrine said he expects the same groups who brought the cases against Biden's first debt relief plan to challenge this second one. Some of them have already filed lawsuits challenging Biden's new SAVE income-driven repayment plan — including Missouri Attorney General Andrew Bailey, who wrote on X that he would see Biden in court after the release of new details for the debt relief.

    Ultimately, it comes down to how courts interpret the Education Department's authority, and should legal challenges arise, Coglianese said it's likely the arguments will be very similar to the cases that ended up striking down the first student-loan forgiveness plan.

    "The administration is certainly still facing a very skeptical Supreme Court," Coglianese said. "Even though it's a different statute, it's still a skeptical Supreme Court. It's still a pretty big program even though it's a smaller one."

    "So it's a risk that the court will, in the end, not allow the administration to go forward with this for the same reasons it didn't allow it to go forward the first go around," he continued. "Clearly, though, it's a risk the administration wants to take on behalf of the American public and the large segment of the American public that's been burdened with a lot of student loans."

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  • Earnings season is here. These are the biggest storylines the market is watching.

    Wall Street bull
    The Wall Street bull

    Welcome back! We're ready to crown a winner in our first business, tech, and innovation bracket: the US presidential election (51.4%) surpassed the AI race (48.6%).

    Speaking of the election, former President Donald Trump's hush-money trial is set to start jury selection today

    In today's big story, we're looking at what to expect during a critical earnings season.

    What's on deck:

    But first, things are getting silly again.


    If this was forwarded to you, sign up here.


    The big story

    All eyes on EBITDA

    stocks, earnings

    Earnings season is upon us, and it's a big one. 

    Last week's hot inflation report delayed hopes for a long-awaited rate cut, leaving some wondering if a recession is back in the cards.

    JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon issued a warning in the bank's earnings report Friday. 

    "There seems to be a large number of persistent inflationary pressures, which may likely continue. And finally, we have never truly experienced the full effect of quantitative tightening on this scale," Dimon said. 

    The markets do have an antidote: strong earnings. When interest rate cuts were delayed earlier this year, concerns were quickly washed away thanks to companies largely reporting impressive numbers.

    Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during afternoon trading on November 03, 2023.
    Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during afternoon trading on November 03, 2023.

    But as the old saying goes, past performance is not indicative of future results. 

    With so much at stake, here's an earnings season cheat sheet of when some of the biggest companies are reporting and the storylines to follow.

    Finance

    • Key Companies: Goldman Sachs (April 15), Bank of America (April 16), Blackstone (April 18). 

    • Themes to watch: AI could reduce the number of junior bank employees thanks to the tech automating their grunt work. With interest rates remaining high, the threat of private credit, or non-traditional lenders, remains a risk or opportunity depending on where you sit on the Street. 

    Tech

    • Key Companies: Meta (April 24), Microsoft (April 25), Alphabet (April 25), Apple (May 2), Nvidia (May 22), Amazon (TBA).  

    • Themes to watch: Will demand for Nvidia's chips finally subside? Can Apple turn things around? Where do Microsoft and Alphabet stand in the AI race? Will Meta and Amazon continue their efficiency pushes to cut costs? There are plenty of questions about tech's biggest players. Their prominent role in the market means people will be watching for answers.

    Retail

    • Key Companies: Walmart (May 16), Target (May 22), Costco (May 30).

    • Themes to watch: The resilient American consumer kept the economy afloat despite inflation and high rates. Reports from big-box retailers offer perspectives on if they're losing steam.    

    Media

    • Key Companies: Netflix (April 18), Disney (May 7), Paramount Global (April 29).

    • Themes to watch: Netflix was dubbed the king of streaming earlier this year after a big earnings report. (Don't sleep on YouTube!) Disney is licking its wounds after a brutal proxy fight with one giant unanswered question remaining: Who will be CEO Bob Iger's successor? Paramount's future remains up in the air as deal talks ramp up.     

    Others

    • Key Companies: Tesla (April 23), Boeing (April 24).

    • Themes to watch: Tesla's still looking for a win in 2024 as trends in the EV market shift against it. Pressure mounts on Boeing, leaving the airline industry scrambling. 


    News brief

    Your Monday headline catchup

    A quick recap of the top news from over the weekend:


    3 things in markets

    Jamie Dimon
    Jamie Dimon.

    1. The M&A market is under siege. JPMorgan CFO Jeremy Barnum pointed to "headwinds from the regulatory environment" as a reason M&A momentum might not pick up. The bank's earnings report beat analysts' expectations, but advisory revenues were down 21% year-over-year. 

    2. Stay ahead amid a market shift. Market strategists outlined how to invest as market sentiment gets negative. Investing in defensive sectors like consumer staples and healthcare were some of the strategies experts recommend

    3. Not all that glitters is gold. The precious metal has surged to hit a new all-time high in 2024 — but it's not the only commodity performing well this year. Oil, cocoa, and copper have also racked up big gains as the market enters what Carlyle's Jeff Currie is calling a "classic late-cycle rally."


    3 things in tech

    A parking lot outside a Tesla building.
    Tesla announced layoffs.

    1. Tesla is laying off more than 10% of its workforce. The EV maker is the latest major company to make job cuts, according to an internal memo sent by CEO Elon Musk on Sunday, which was seen by BI. "There is nothing I hate more, but it must be done. This will enable us to be lean, innovative and hungry for the next growth cycle," Musk said.

    2. Healthcare startup valuations are coming back to earth — except in AI. Healthcare deals are picking back up again, and they don't look like they did before the downturn. But some VCs are concerned many healthtech startups are "AI washing" to get extra funding.

    3. Apple fans are eager for any sign of its AI intentions. The company's shares rose more than 4% last week after news it plans to revamp its Mac lineup with an AI-focused chip. It's a sign investors are hoping AI might help save what's shaping up to be a rough year for the tech giant.


    3 things in business

    A man crossing the street with money falling out of his suitcase

    1. The hidden cost of leaving a big city. Americans fled big coastal cities in droves during the pandemic — and that number has only stayed steady in the years since. But while people chase affordability in smaller towns, moving away from a major city might be terrible for your career.

    2. The fallout from the office apocalypse is just getting started. With federal funds drying up and remote work affecting revenue, cities and states across the United States are facing a nasty budget crunch.

    3. Iran's attack on Israel could be bad news for Russia. Michelle Grisé, a senior policy researcher at the American think tank RAND, said on Thursday that a crisis in the Middle East could hamper Russian arms supplies and boost China's own influence in the region.


    In other news

    What's happening today


    The Insider Today team: Dan DeFrancesco, deputy editor and anchor, in New York. Jordan Parker Erb, editor, in New York. Hallam Bullock, senior editor, in London. George Glover, reporter, in London. Grace Lett, associate editor, in Chicago.

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  • Half of the missiles Iran fired at Israel failed on launch or malfunctioned and crashed, reports say

    An anti-missile system operates after Iran launched drones and missiles toward Israel.
    An anti-missile system operates after Iran launched drones and missiles toward Israel, as seen from Ashkelon, Israel April 14, 2024.

    • Iran's missile and drone attacks on Israel largely failed, with many intercepted or malfunctioning.
    • Around 60 of Iran's missiles failed on their own, multiple reports say.
    • Iran appears to remain confident about possible future conflict with Israel.

    Half of the missiles Iran fired at Israel over the weekend failed on launch or malfunctioned and crashed, according to reports.

    More than 300 missiles and drones were fired toward Israel from Iran on Saturday evening in retaliation for an airstrike on the country's consulate in Syria.

    Around 99% of the missiles launched were intercepted by Israel, the US, the UK, France, and Jordan.

    Iran had warned for weeks that the attack was coming. That gave Israel's allies time to prepare — and avoided targeting civilian locations.

    Israel praised the defense effort as a "significant strategic achievement." But around 60 of Iran's missiles failed on their own, according to several reports.

    An estimated 50% of Iran's 120 ballistic missiles failed to launch or crashed in flight, unnamed US officials told CBS News and The Wall Street Journal.

    Israel - Iran attack
    Israeli Ambassador to the UN Gilad Erdan shows a video of drones and missiles heading toward Israel during a United Nations Security Council on April 14, 2024.

    The attack also consisted of 170 unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) and 30 cruise missiles, none of which crossed into Israeli territory, according to an online statement shared by a spokesperson for Israel Defense Forces (IDF).

    Speaking to CBS News, two US officials said five ballistic missiles made it through air defenses and impacted Israeli territory.

    Four landed at Navatim Air Force Base, which was thought to be Iran's primary target. One hit a runway, one hit an empty hanger, and another hit a hanger that wasn't in use, the publication said. Meanwhile, another missile appeared to be aimed at a radar site in northern Israel but missed, the outlet added.

    At the time of writing on Monday, one person — an unnamed 10-year-old girl — was reported as "severely injured" by shrapnel, the IDF confirmed. The details of her condition have not been released.

    Though Israel has not yet said how it plans to respond, the IDF spokesperson said it is "prepared and ready for further developments and threats."

    "We are doing and will do everything necessary to protect the security of the civilians of the State of Israel," they added.

    Amir Saeid Iravani, Iran's ambassador to the UN, told Sky News that reports of Israel's forthcoming response are a "threat" and "talk, not an action."

    He said Israel "would know what our second retaliation would be" and that they "understand the next one will be most decisive."

    Iran ignored warnings from the US before it launched its attack. President Biden said on Friday that he expected Iran to attack Israel "sooner, rather than later." His message to Iran was short and simple: "Don't."

    Sean McFate, a national security and foreign policy expert at Syracuse University, previously told BI that the Biden administration is losing its authority as its military support for Israel and simultaneous humanitarian aid for Gaza is sending mixed messages.

    "The fact that the Biden administration is both arming Israel and sending aid to Gaza shows the world that the Biden team has no strategic competence," McFate said. "They've already lost control."

    Representatives for the IDF, Iran's Ministry of Foreign Affairs, and the US Department of Defense did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

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  • Arab states unexpectedly helped Israel fight off Iran’s attack

    Israel - Iran attack
    Israeli Ambassador to the UN Gilad Erdan shows a video of drones heading toward Israel during a United Nations Security Council on April 14, 2024.

    • Israel found help from unlikely sources against an Iranian missile attack.
    • Jordan shot down an Iranian missile, and other Arab states may've provided intel. 
    • Arab countries have complicated motivations for seemingly aiding Israel.

    The skies over Israel lit up on Saturday night as its Iron Dome shot down hundreds of missiles and drones launched by Iran.

    The assault was a retaliation for a deadly strike on Iran's consulate in the Syrian capital Damascus. It marked the first time that Iran had carried out attacks on Israel from Iranian territory.

    Israel said it shot down 99 percent of the drones, cruise, and ballistic missiles that headed its way. In doing so, it received help from an unlikely source: its Arab neighbors.

    Jordan, which has been among the fiercest critics of Israel's campaign in Gaza, said it intercepted projectiles fired by Iran that entered its airspace. It also appeared to open up its airspace to Israeli and US fighter jets.

    Former Jordanian information minister, Samih al-Maaytah, defended the move on Sunday. "Jordan's duty is to protect its lands and citizens," he said. "What Jordan did yesterday was to simply protect its airspace."

    Jordan may have complicated motivations for backing Israel. As Deutsche Welle pointed out, it shares a border with Israel and often works with Israeli authorities.

    Saudi Arabia and the UAE have publicly called for peace in the region. But The Wall St Journal, citing US officials, said the Gulf states were tipped off by Iran several days ago about the timing and nature of the attack it was planning, and they passed this information on to the US, Israel's key international ally.

    Iranian missile
    Parts of a missile launched from a missile are landed in Marj Al-Hamam area, during Iran's airstrikes against Israel, in Amman, Jordan on April 14, 2024.

    "Arab countries quietly passed along intelligence about Tehran's attack plans, opened their airspace to warplanes, shared radar tracking information or, in some cases, supplied their own forces to help," the Journal reported, citing the sources.

    That may jeopardize Saudi attempts to improve relations with Iran. In March, Saudi Arabia and Iran restored ties with the help of China, agreeing to reopen embassies in their respective capitals.

    The response sheds light on how opposition to Iranian aggression remains a key factor in shaping the region's shifting alliances, despite growing rage about Israel's attacks on Gaza.

    Saudi Arabia is still interested in exploring the possibility of diplomatic normalization with Israel. One reason, according to the Times is that it is hoping for a US security guarantee if it is attacked by Iran.

    Yasmine Farouk, a nonresident scholar at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, told The New York Times that many Arab states envied the success of Israel's Iron Dome defenses, constructed in partnership with the US.

    "What the Western countries under US leadership have done to protect Israel yesterday is exactly what Saudi Arabia wants for itself," said Farouk.

    Opposition to Iranian aggression was one of the key factors underpinning the Abraham Accords, the agreement to normalize diplomatic relations between Israel and Arab states brokered by the Trump administration.

    The deal, which the UAE and Bahrain agreed to, put aside the issue of Palestinian statehood that has long divided Israel and its neighbors, with the promise of increased US support for Arab countries against potential Iranian attacks a powerful incentive.

    The October 7 terrorist attacks, which killed around 1,200 Israeli, abruptly halted that process. Jordan and Saudi Arabia have been among the leading voices condemning Israel's campaign in Gaza in response to the attacks, where more than 30,000 people have been killed.

    However, according to reports, Saudi Arabia and other Arab states are willing to continue discussions with Israel once fighting in Gaza has abated.

    There is a risk for Arab states though in being seen to come to Israel's aid, Giorgio Cafiero, CEO of Gulf State Analytics, told Business Insider.

    "There is now much anger toward Jordan on the part of many in the wider Arab-Islamic world who see Amman serving Israel and the US's interests more than six months into Israel's annihilatory campaign in Gaza which Arab governments like Jordan's have only stood against in rhetoric, not concrete action," he said.

    Saudi Arabia seems conscious of addressing anger over Gaza, and is demanding that normalization with Israel must include a realistic path to Palestinian statehood. That request is unlikely to be met by Israel's current government.

    As the conflict between Israel and Iran intensifies, Arab states face a tough choice between their security priorities and addressing public anger over Gaza.

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  • Tim Cook has arrived in Vietnam for a two-day trip, as Apple boosts ties with its key manufacturing hub

    Tim Cook, Apple CEO, arrives in Vietnam
    Apple has also announced it will increase spending on suppliers in Vietnam.

    • The Apple CEO has arrived in Hanoi, Vietnam to meet with Apple suppliers and content creators.
    • The company has also announced plans to increase spending on suppliers in the country.
    • Vietnamese manufacturing has been important for Apple as it moves away from dependence on China.

    Tim Cook has arrived in Hanoi, Vietnam, to start a two-day trip to one of Apple's top manufacturing hubs.

    During his visit, he's set to meet with content creators, app developers, and students to learn about how they use Apple products, according to local media.

    Apple also plans to boost its ties with local suppliers during the trip as well as help fund clean water projects and education opportunities, local newspaper VietnamNet wrote.

    In a post on X, the Apple CEO shared a photo of himself drinking egg coffee with two Vietnamese musicians. In another post, he shared his visit to a workshop where creators were using Apple products to create and share their artwork.

    Apple also announced plans to increase spending on suppliers in Vietnam.

    Since 2019, the company has spent nearly 400 trillion Vietnamese dong ($16 billion) through its supply chains in Vietnam and has more than doubled its annual spending in the country over the same period, the company said in a statement on its Vietnamese website.

    The statement added that Apple supports the jobs of 200,000 people in Vietnam through direct employment, via suppliers, and as app developers.

    In 2020, major Apple supplier Foxconn moved its iPad and MacBook assembly to Vietnam from China at the request of Apple as it attempted to minimize the impacts of US-China trade tensions.

    A couple of years later, Foxconn faced issues with Chinese smartphone makers trying to poach their talent in Vietnam, attracting them with higher salaries.

    Apple has faced a recent blow as iPhone shipments fell nearly 10% in the first quarter of 2024, as global smartphone shipments increased.

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  • The average US home price could spike 20% to a record $500,000 if the Fed cuts interest rates too soon, expert says

    Money
    The median home price could surge by 20% to over $500,000 if the Fed cuts rates before beating inflation, one expert says.

    • The median US home price could surpass $500,000 for the first time, one expert says.
    • Housing guru Bill Pulte said prices could jump 20% if the Fed cuts rates before crushing inflation.
    • Pulte pointed to rising housing costs and a potential buying frenzy if mortgage rates drop.

    The average price of a home could soar to over $500,000 if the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates without crushing inflation first, a housing expert says.

    "I predict if rates go down, housing prices will go through the roof," Bill Pulte recently told Fox Business. "You could see those home prices go up, in my opinion, 5, 10, 20%."

    The median US home price has surged by over a third within the past five years, from $313,000 in early 2019 to $418,000 last quarter, St. Louis Fed data shows. A 20% increase would raise it to a record $501,000.

    Pulte is the CEO of Pulte Capital — a private equity firm that invests in building-products companies — and his grandfather founded PulteGroup, a homebuilding giant.

    He explained that aspiring homeowners could face a "two-pronged problem" of rising cost of housing and increased demand for homes if the Fed proceeds with cutting rates before inflation comes down.

    Prices and rates

    Home prices have jumped partly because of the rising cost of everything from land and construction to building materials and furniture.

    Overall inflation leapt to a 40-year high of over 9% in the summer of 2022, spurring the Fed to hike its benchmark interest rate from virtually zero to over 5%.

    The Fed increases rates to deter spending, hiring, and investing and raise borrowing costs, which typically cools demand and slows the pace of price increases.

    Its rate hikes have lifted the 30-year fixed-mortgage rate from around 3% at the end of 2021 to nearly 8% in October, and they were still at an elevated 6.8% in February, St. Louis Fed data shows.

    Prospective homesellers have shied away from listing their homes and losing the cheap mortgage rates they've locked in, which has fueled a shortage of housing inventory that has boosted prices.

    There's also an affordability crisis. Potential buyers have balked at paying top dollar for their next home and taking on a hefty monthly mortgage payment due to higher rates.

    If rates come down, that could boost housing demand while inventory remains constrained, Pulte said.

    "You're going to have a flood of people trying to get into this stuff, and it's going to be a big problem, and you're going to see it everywhere," he said.

    "That would be just insane, you would start to have a buying frenzy again much like during COVID."

    The price impact of the demand surge could be exacerbated by inflation, which has ticked up over the last two months to 3.5% in March — well above the Fed's 2% target.

    In other words, housing is already getting more and more expensive to build and maintain, and there could suddenly be a lot more people clamoring to buy a limited amount of homes.

    Pulte isn't alone in calling a buying boom. Real estate tycoon and "Shark Tank" investor Barbara Corcoran has also predicted prices would "go through the roof" if rates fall by even one percentage point, and raised the prospect of a 20% spike last summer.

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  • Iran’s aerial attack on Israel was based on Russian tactics in Ukraine, war experts say

    An anti-missile system operates after Iran launched drones and missiles toward Israel.
    An anti-missile system operates after Iran launched drones and missiles toward Israel, as seen from Ashkelon, Israel April 14, 2024.

    • Iran's aerial attack on Israel mirrored Russian tactics in Ukraine, according to analysts.
    • But Iran underestimated Israel's ability to defend itself from such attacks, they said.
    • Another analyst disagreed, saying Iran used similar tactics long before Russia's full-scale invasion.

    Some military analysts are comparing Iran's attempt to bombard Israel over the weekend with Russian tactics in Ukraine.

    On Saturday, Iran launched more than 300 drones, ballistic missiles, and cruise missiles at Israel in a massive attack that, according to the Israel Defense Forces, was 99% intercepted before it hit its targets.

    "The strike package was modeled on those the Russians have used repeatedly against Ukraine to great effect," Brian Carter and Frederick W. Kagan, both defense experts for the American Enterprise Institute's Critical Threats Project, wrote.

    The IDF estimated that the attack used 170 drones, 30 cruise missiles, and 120 ballistic missiles.

    "The drones were launched well before the ballistic missiles were fired, very likely in the expectation that they would arrive in Israel's air defense window at about the same time as the cruise missiles and drones," the analysts said.

    The slower-moving drones and cruise missiles were intended to overwhelm Israel's air defense systems, allowing the more difficult-to-target ballistic missiles to break through, they said, adding that: "The Russians have used such an approach against Ukraine repeatedly."

    But "the Iranians underestimated the tremendous advantages Israel has in defending against such strikes compared with Ukraine," they said.

    Unlike in Ukraine, other countries also helped to take out some of the missiles and drones. The US and the UK both said they helped fend off the attack.

    But not everyone agrees that Iran was copying Russia's actions in Ukraine.

    Fabian Hinz, a defense research fellow for London's International Institute for Strategic Studies, wrote on X that Iran had launched combined-missile attacks aimed at overwhelming air defenses long before Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine began in February 2022.

    He pointed to Iran's 2019 attack on two major Saudi oil refineries, which also reportedly used drones combined with cruise missiles.

    US officials also estimate that about half of the ballistic missiles fired by Iran in the recent attack failed, CBS reported.

    The exact intention of the weekend's attack is also still being debated, with Hinz agreeing with Carter and Kagan in their assessment that "the attack was designed to succeed, not to fail."

    Iran intended "significant damage below the threshold that would trigger a massive Israeli response," they wrote.

    Some analysts have suggested that Iran planned the weekend attack more as a warning than a surefire strike.

    "This attack was designed to re-establish deterrence on the part of Iran," Rodger Shanahan, a fellow at Australian think tank the Lowy Institute, told ABC News Australia.

    "Iran also understands that it's not in anybody's best interests — certainly not their own — to attract direct intervention from other countries into Iranian territory, and so this response was calibrated," he said.

    Israel had advance warning of the attack, Shanahan added, with this allowing a much more robust defense.

    Iran's armed forces stated that the attack was in retaliation for Israel's strike on its embassy compound in Damascus, Syria, in early April.

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  • Goldman crushes revenue and earnings forecasts as investment-banking fees soar

    David Solomon
    • Goldman Sachs reported first-quarter earnings on Monday that trounced Wall Street's forecasts.
    • The investment bank generated over $14 billion in net revenue and $11.58 in earnings per share.
    • Goldman reported strong growth in investment-banking fees and asset and wealth management.

    Goldman Sachs reported first-quarter earnings on Monday that crushed Wall Street's expectations.

    The storied investment bank generated $14.2 billion in net revenue — a 16% rise versus the previous year and 26% above the fourth quarter of 2023 — and $11.58 of earnings per share, trouncing consensus forecasts on both measures.

    Net revenue in the key global banking and markets division rose 15% year on year to nearly $10 billion, fueled by a 32% rise in investment-banking fees, and 10% revenue growth in both its fixed income, currency and commodities segment, and its equities business.

    Goldman's asset and wealth management arm posted an 18% rise in net revenues, helped by record quarterly management and other fees. Its assets under supervision grew by $36 billion to a record $2.85 trillion.

    In the earnings release, Goldman CEO David Solomon said: "Our first quarter results reflect the strength of our world-class and interconnected franchises and the earnings power of Goldman Sachs.

    "We continue to execute on our strategy, focusing on our core strengths to serve our clients and deliver for our shareholders." 

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  • Read the memo Elon Musk sent Tesla staff announcing that the company is laying off more than 10% of the workforce

    Elon Musk.
    Tesla CEO Elon Musk.

    • Elon Musk announced in an internal memo that Tesla plans to cut over 10% of its global workforce. 
    • The Tesla CEO said that as the EV maker grew rapidly, there's been some "duplication" of roles. 
    • He added that the cuts will help it become "lean, innovative and hungry for the next growth phase." 

    Elon Musk sent Tesla employees a memo on Sunday announcing the EV maker is laying off more than 10% of its workforce globally.

    The internal email was sent at close to midnight in California, according to a timestamp seen by Business Insider.

    The Tesla CEO said in the memo, which BI obtained, that there has been a "duplication of roles and job functions in certain areas" as the company has grown rapidly.

    Over the weekend, Tesla workers had speculated layoffs were on the horizon, as rumors that some managers had been told to provide upper management with a list of names spread throughout the company.

    Separately, Tesla started instructing managers in February to identify which roles at the company were business-critical and had temporarily delayed performance reviews.

    It's the company's first large-scale layoffs since it laid off some workers at its plant in Buffalo, New York, in February 2023.

    At the time, the Worked United union said in a complaint filed with the National Labor Relations Board (NLRB) that Tesla unlawfully laid off some of the staff, claiming that the workers were terminated "in retaliation for union activity and to discourage union activity." Tesla denied the allegation and said the employees were laid off due to poor performance. 

    The job cuts come as Tesla is grappling with slower demand for its EVs and its stock is down over 31% year-to-date. The company will provide its next earnings report on April 23.

    Read the full memo Elon Musk sent Tesla employees below:

    Over the years, we have grown rapidly with multiple factories scaling around the globe. With this rapid growth there has been duplication of roles and job functions in certain areas. As we prepare the company for our next phase of growth, it is extremely important to look at every aspect of the company for cost reductions and increasing productivity.

    As part of this effort, we have done a thorough review of the organization and made the difficult decision to reduce our headcount by more than 10% globally. There is nothing I hate more, but it must be done. This will enable us to be lean, innovative and hungry for the next growth phase cycle.

    I would like to thank everyone who is departing Tesla for their hard work over the years. I'm deeply grateful for your many contributions to our mission and we wish you well in your future opportunities. It is very difficult to say goodbye.

    For those remaining, I would like to thank you in advance for the difficult job that remains ahead. We are developing some of the most revolutionary technologies in auto, energy and artificial intelligence. As we prepare the company for the next phase of growth, your resolve will make a huge difference in getting us there.

    Thanks,

    Elon

    Do you work for Tesla or have insight to share? Reach out to the reporter from a non-work email and device at gkay@insider.com

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  • A tech company with 30,000 workers is bucking the trend of enforced RTO and letting its employees be completely flexible

    Martin Migoya, CEO of Globant
    Martin Migoya is the CEO of Globant, which has nearly 70 offices worldwide, including seven in the US.

    • Globant, a software company with nearly 30,000 employees, is letting its workers stay fully remote.
    • The CEO told Bloomberg he's focused on making offices more enticing than enforcing RTO.
    • It makes Globant an outlier in the tech world, where some major companies have strict RTO policies.

    While many tech companies have enforced workers' return to the office, software company Globant is allowing its nearly 30,000 employees to remain fully remote.

    But the policy hasn't meant that its offices are empty, instead, employees have been drawn back to the office more flexibly, Globant CEO Martin Migoya told Bloomberg.

    The company opted to entice workers back by expanding and updating office space — with more lounge areas and private rooms for remote calls.

    "We found that people come, they get together, they use our offices in a different way, and we've been modifying our offices to attend to that new reality," Migoya told the outlet.

    "The office must be an attraction point for the people to get together, rather than just the desk in which you do your job," he added.

    The company has nearly 70 offices across the world, including seven in the US.

    Other companies haven't been so favorable on remote work and have enforced RTO mandates for at least part of the working week. This includes Apple, Meta, and Google.

    Last year, Amazon doubled down on its strict RTO policy and brought in rules that allowed managers to fire employees who didn't meet the in-office requirements and created internal dashboards to track employee office attendance.

    While Dell told employees that if they went fully remote, they would not be considered for promotion.

    Those who enforce RTO mandates say that it boosts productivity and facilitates collaboration, improving the company's bottom line.

    But others say it can have the opposite effect. A recent study on S&P 500 firms by researchers at the Katz Graduate School of Business found that companies with strict RTO mandates aren't more profitable, and workers aren't necessarily more productive either.

    Instead, these policies can cause a "massive disruption" to employees' lives, Dan Schawbel, a future-of-work expert, previously told Business Insider.

    "They made big decisions, especially millennials who had moved, they bought a house, they settled down, they had kids," he said.

    These mandates are unattractive to workers who have "already invested so much time and emotion and energy into their decision to move or have flexibility," he added.

    Read the original article on Business Insider

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