Category: Stock Market

  • Why is the Life360 share price sinking 9% today?

    The Life360 Inc (ASX: 360) share price is on the slide on Friday morning.

    In early trade, the ASX 200 tech stock is down 9% to $14.15.

    Why is the Life360 share price sinking?

    Investors have been selling the location technology company’s shares today following the release of its quarterly update.

    While some of the numbers were pre-released last month in a trading update, the ones that arguably matter most are now public knowledge and investors are responding negatively.

    According to the release, Life360 delivered a 15% year on year increase in revenue to US$78.2 million during the first quarter. This was driven largely by a 23% lift in core subscription revenue to US$57 million.

    At the end of the quarter, Life360’s annualised monthly revenue (AMR) stood at US$284.7 million, which is up 19% year on year.

    This led to the company achieving positive adjusted EBITDA of US$4.3 million for the three months (up from US$0.5 million) and a reported EBITDA loss of US$4.1 million.

    What were the drivers of this result?

    A record quarter of subscription growth underpinned this solid result.

    Life360’s global monthly active users (MAU) increased by 4.9 million during the three months to 66.4 million. This represents a 31% increase year on year. Management also notes that this was achieved with significant momentum, particularly in a seasonally lower period for MAU growth.

    Also increasing strongly was its global Paying Circle metric. It posted net additions of 96,000 for the quarter, which was a record. This was up 21% year on year and brings the total to 1.9 million. Management advised that this was supported by improved conversion and retention.

    Life360’s co-founder and CEO, Chris Hulls, was pleased with the record quarter. He said:

    Life360’s Q1’24 results showed continued momentum, with net Paying Circles additions nearly doubling to 96 thousand from 54 thousand in Q4’23, achieving a new first quarter record. In addition, our efforts in relation to both our free members and international expansion are paying off, with 4.9 million new Monthly Active Users (also a new first quarter record.

    Hulls doesn’t believe the ASX 200 tech stock’s growth is anywhere near over given its massive global market opportunity. He adds:

    The market opportunity is on a global scale, and we believe we have significant headroom to grow as we expand to new regions, and launch new features that expand our relevance to different life stages.

    Outlook

    Pleasingly, Hulls revealed that the second quarter has started strongly for Life360. He said:

    This momentum has continued so far in Q2’24 with the achievement of 32 thousand net Paying Circle additions during the month of April.

    Looking further ahead, the ASX 200 tech stock has maintained its guidance for FY 2024. It continues to expect to report consolidated revenue of US$365 million to US$375 million, adjusted EBITDA of US$30 million to US$35 million, and an EBITDA loss of US$8 million to US$13 million.

    It is likely to be this guidance that has put pressure on the Life360 share price today. Given its exceptionally strong start to the year, the market appears to have been expecting management to lift its guidance with this result. With no guidance upgrade coming, investors have been quick to hit the sell button.

    But that doesn’t take away the fact that this is a high quality company growing at a rapid rate.

    The post Why is the Life360 share price sinking 9% today? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the ‘five best ASX stocks’ for investors to buy right now. We believe these stocks are trading at attractive prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now…

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Life360. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Life360. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Liontown shares charge higher on lithium project update

    A man sees some good news on his phone and gives a little cheer.

    Liontown Resources Ltd (ASX: LTR) shares are on course to end the week in a positive note.

    In morning trade, the lithium developer’s shares are up 1.5% to $1.42.

    Why are Liontown shares charging higher?

    Investors have been buying the company’s shares this morning in response to a project update.

    According to the release, Liontown has signed an agreement with GR Engineering Services Ltd (ASX: GNG) for the Engineering, Procurement and Construction (EPC) contract at the Kathleen Valley Lithium Project.

    This is for the delivery and commissioning of the Paste Plant facility to support the underground mining operations at Kathleen Valley.

    The release notes that the Paste Plant will include two trains capable of producing up to 160m3 of paste per hour and has been designed to accommodate future expansion of mining operations to 4Mtpa.

    Management highlights that the delivery of cemented paste fill is an integral part of the underground mining cycle at Kathleen Valley. That’s because it maximises recovery of the underground orebody and planned production rates, as well as reduces the size of the surface tailings dam that would otherwise be required.

    The Paste Plant has also been designed to facilitate dry stacking and water recovery. This further increases the amount of recycled water the site utilises.

    What is the cost?

    The EPC is valued at approximately $71 million according to the company.

    The good news is that this forms part of planned and budgeted next stage of growth capital costs post first production and funding is covered by the recently announced $550 million financing facility.

    And with everything else running on time, investors will be pleased to learn that GR Engineering Services has progressed the design, procurement and initial site works under an early works agreement. This is to ensure timely delivery of the Paste Plant.

    Commenting on the agreement with GR Engineering Services, Liontown Resources’ managing director and CEO, Tony Ottaviano, said:

    We are pleased to award the contract for the design and construction of the Paste Plant which will support and further de-risk the planned underground production rates at Kathleen Valley. GRES has designed and constructed multiple paste plant facilities throughout Western Australia and the GRES team has mobilised and commenced initial works at Kathleen Valley.

    It isn’t just Liontown shares rising today. The GR Engineering Services share price has risen in morning trade on the back of this news. Its shares are now up by 23% since this time last year.

    The post Liontown shares charge higher on lithium project update appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the ‘five best ASX stocks’ for investors to buy right now. We believe these stocks are trading at attractive prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now…

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Gr Engineering Services. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • If I’d put $5,000 in iShares S&P 500 ETF (IVV) at the start of 2024, here’s what I’d have now

    Accountant woman counting an Australian money and using calculator for calculating dividend yield.

    The iShares S&P 500 ETF (ASX: IVV) has been a top-performing exchange-traded fund (ETF) since the start of 2024, as we can see on the chart below. In this article, we’re going to look at how much money an investor with $5,000 might have made if that money was invested in the IVV ETF at the start of the year.  

    What has happened?

    It has been a great time to own a piece of the US share market. Some of the biggest global tech companies have been top performers. The iShares S&P 500 ETF owns 500 of the largest and most profitable businesses that are listed in the US.

    Since the start of 2024:

    The Microsoft share price has risen 10.7%

    The Alphabet share price has gone up 22.6%

    The Amazon share price has soared 25.4%.

    The Meta Platforms share price has shot higher by 36.5%.

    The Nvidia share price has jumped 87.7%.

    These are among the biggest businesses in the IVV ETF holdings, so they have had the biggest influence on the IVV ETF’s overall returns. An ASX ETF’s return is dictated by the performance of the underlying holdings. This portfolio has 500 holdings.

    Since the start of 2024, the IVV ETF has risen by 12.7% in Australian dollar terms. If we look at the S&P 500 Index (SP: .INX), which measures the S&P 500 in American dollar terms, it experienced a rise of 9.4%.

    How much $5,000 invested would be worth now

    With a 12.7% capital gain, $5,000 would be worth roughly $5,635. That’s a pretty good gain in just four months and nine days.

    The IVV ETF has also paid distributions amounting to approximately 30 cents per unit, which translates into a distribution return of around 0.64% based on the ASX ETF’s unit price at the start of 2024. That’s a cash return of around $32 since the start of the year.

    So, in total, an investor’s wealth would have increased by $667, with most of that return being capital growth (on paper). Volatility could be just around the corner and send the IVV ETF unit price even higher, or lower.

    Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance, but the IVV ETF has done very well over the years, rising by an average of 16.2% per annum in the last decade thanks to the strength of the underlying businesses.

    The post If I’d put $5,000 in iShares S&P 500 ETF (IVV) at the start of 2024, here’s what I’d have now appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the ‘five best ASX stocks’ for investors to buy right now. We believe these stocks are trading at attractive prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now…

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    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

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    Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Randi Zuckerberg, a former director of market development and spokeswoman for Facebook and sister to Meta Platforms CEO Mark Zuckerberg, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Alphabet, Amazon, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, and iShares S&P 500 ETF. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Alphabet, Amazon, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, and iShares S&P 500 ETF. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Which of these ASX 200 shares is the better bargain in May?

    Coles Woolworths supermarket warA man and a woman line up to race through a supermaket, indicating rivalry between the mangorsupermarket shares

    Comparing two popular ASX 200 blue-chip shares from the same sector can be a great exercise for any Australian investor. Not only can you get a good look under the hood of two dominant businesses, but you can also see exactly how the market is valuing two sets of cash flows coming out of the same industry.

    It’s hard to compare the dividends and earnings of a bank, for example, against a tech stock and come to a coherent valuation case for both. But when two companies are both deriving their earnings from the same base, things get a lot more interesting.

    So today, let’s put this into action by comparing the valuations of the two largest supermarket operators and grocers in Australia – Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) and Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL).

    Woolworths and Coles are great companies to compare, as they are direct competitors in the grocery space. Although both companies have auxiliary earnings streams – Coles’ bottle shops and Woolies’ Big W chain – both derive the lion’s share of their earnings from their supermarket businesses.

    Normally, it would be easy to compare these two companies’ valuations by looking at their price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios on an annualised basis.

    Woolies vs. Coles

    But thanks to some unusual disruptions in Woolies’ recent earnings, this isn’t very useful right now. At of yesterday’s close, Woolies seems to trade on a ridiculous P/E ratio of 1,965.5, whilst Coles is on a far more normal 20.87.

    So instead, what we will do is take both companies’ earnings per share from their recently-announced half-year results covering the six months to 31 December, and see how they compare.

    For those six months, Woolies revealed a basic earnings per share (EPS) of 76.2 cents, which was up 2% from the same period in 2021.

    At the last Woolworths share price of $30.78, this would give the company a P/E ratio of 40.49, or 20.2 on an annualised basis.

    In Coles’ case, the company reported a basic EPS of 44.5 cents for the half year, which was down 8.5% on the prior corresponding period.

    At the last Coles share price of $16.28, this would give the company a P/E ratio of 36.58, or 18.29 on an annualised basis.

    So, on a like-for-like basis, Coles shares are currently cheaper than Woolworths shares. Put another way, investors are being asked to pay more for $1 in Woolworths earnings than $1 in Coles earnings.

    That’s despite Woolworths shares having an awful year compared to its arch-rival. 2024 to date has seen the Coles share price rise 0.74%. In contrast, Woolies stock has collapsed by 17.94%.

    We can see this reflected in both companies’ dividend yields. Right now, Woolworths is trading on a dividend yield of 3.41%, but Coles offers a lot more with its 4.05% yield.

    So Coles shares are cheaper. But does that make them a better ASX 200 buy today?

    Which ASX 200 stock to buy?

    Normally, investors would feel justified in paying a higher share price relative to earnings for a higher-quality business. Until this year, it was obvious that Woolworths was the better ASX 200 blue-chip share compared with Coles, thanks to its higher market share.

    But recent updates from both companies have muddied the waters of that assumption.

    Earlier this month, Woolworths reported a 2.8% rise in total sales to $16.8 billion over the quarter ending 31 March. For the first three months of 2024, Woolies enjoyed a 1.5% rise in Australian food sales and a 1.4% uptick in New Zealand food sales. The company’s B2B business stood out though, banking a 3.2% spike in sales.

    However, Coles put up some far more impressive figures over the same period. Coles revealed that its sales revenue for the quarter rose 6.4% over the previous year’s equivalent quarter to $10.03 billion.

    Supermarket sales were up 5.1%, whilst liquor sales fell 1.9%.

    Foolish takeaway

    If I were deciding between these two blue-chip ASX 200 shares today for an investment, I would probably want to wait until I saw the next quarter’s numbers before making a final decision. I would want to see Coles’ superior quarter as part of a long-term trend, not just a one-off fluke. If this is the case, Coles could be the pick of the two today, given its lower P/E ratio and higher dividend yield.

    However, if I had to make the decision today, I would probably go for Woolworths shares. The company is trading at its lowest share price in years today, and yet remains the dominant grocer in the Australian market. The difference in earnings multiples between the two companies has rarely been as close as it currently is, at least going off the figures we used earlier.

    So, although Coles’ recent numbers almost make it more appealing than Woolworths, I would still have to wait for a clear trend to emerge before taking the plunge with Coles today.

    The post Which of these ASX 200 shares is the better bargain in May? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the ‘five best ASX stocks’ for investors to buy right now. We believe these stocks are trading at attractive prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

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    Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Coles Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Key actions for Millennials and Gen Z to take now for a good retirement

    A group of seven young people of different genders and cultural backgrounds stand in a group with serious expressions wearing casual young persons' attire.

    Superannuation is the primary vehicle for retirement savings for most Australian workers, but new research shows a generational divide in its perceived importance.

    A survey by financial advisory and accounting company Findex reveals 40% of baby boomers consider superannuation a key wealth-building investment compared to 22% of Millennials and 13% of Gen Z.

    The youngsters see bank savings as a more compelling investment, with 38% of Gen Z and 20% of Millennials ranking savings as the most important type of investment for lifetime wealth-building.

    In a statement, Findex commented:

    While it is fair to say that this is a natural reflection of differing life stages, as a long-term investment, even small early-top ups to superannuation are more likely to deliver greater benefits in retirement.

     Ultimately, this gap underscores the varying approaches to long-term financial planning and the need for heightened awareness among younger Australians.

    Millennials and Gen Z have a super advantage

    The survey findings are particularly interesting given Millennials and Gen Zs are the first generations that will have received superannuation contributions from their employers over their entire working lives.

    This means they enjoy a default advantage over the older generations, as they will have received more superannuation monies by the time their retirement age of 67 years rolls around.

    The baby boomers were born between 1946 and 1965 and Gen X was born between 1966 and 1980. Millennials were born between 1981 and 1995 and Gen Z was born between 1996 and 2010.

    Superannuation was introduced in Australia in 1992. The mandatory contribution rate for employers has risen from 3% in 1992 (or 4% for employers with an annual payroll above $1 million) to 11% today.

    Most superannuation funds are primarily invested in ASX shares and international equities.

    In 2023, Chant West figures show that the standard ‘growth’ superannuation fund comprised of 61% to 80% growth assets, like shares, delivered a median return of 9.9%.

    Time on their side to build retirement savings

    Time is considered a key component to investing success, especially when simple strategies like compounding are adopted.

    The trick is to start investing as early as possible in life and invest more money as often as you can.

    Findex co-CEO Tony Roussos said:

    The current level of superannuation literacy presents a clear opportunity for Australians to proactively take charge of their financial future – especially Millennials and Gen Zs who will have had super contributions throughout their careers and also have the benefit of a longer runway towards retirement.

    Roussos encouraged Millennials and Gen Z Australians to, “Take advantage of the time you have on hand by exploring ways to build your balance so that your super works hard for you in retirement.”

    Key actions to ensure a secure retirement

    Findex recommends the following key investment actions for Millennials and Gen Z Australians to take now to ensure a good retirement in the future.

    Millennials  

    Findex recommends the following actions for Millennials to retire well:

    Balancing homeownership and super savings

    Investigate ‘rentvesting’ as an alternative to traditional homeownership, allowing you to invest in property while maintaining flexibility and your superannuation contributions.

    Career progression and super contributions

    As income increases, take advantage of growth strategies, and periodically review and increase superannuation contributions to ensure they align with your retirement goals.

    Family planning and superannuation

    Plan for potential career breaks for family reasons. Consider strategies like spousal contributions or government co-contributions to maintain super growth during these periods. 

    Gen Z  

    Findex recommends the following actions for Gen Zs to retire well:

    Assess your risk appetite and investment diversification

    Exploring options within superannuation that align with a longer investment timeline can enhance growth. Superannuation typically defaults to ‘balanced’ options, so younger generations might benefit from ‘growth’ strategies, aiming to optimise fund performance over time. 

    Early engagement with superannuation to build retirement savings

    Start contributing to super as early as possible. Even modest contributions can grow significantly over time due to the power of compounding interest. 

    Financial literacy and digital tools

    Leverage digital platforms like Young Money from the Findex Community Fund for financial education, and apps to help with budgeting and investment tracking. Understanding the basics of superannuation, investment strategies, and tax advantages is crucial. 

    The post Key actions for Millennials and Gen Z to take now for a good retirement appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the ‘five best ASX stocks’ for investors to buy right now. We believe these stocks are trading at attractive prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

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    Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • 4 ASX retirement shares to buy in May

    When building a retirement portfolio, many investors will look for ASX shares with defensive qualities, attractive dividend yields, and strong business models.

    The good news is that there are plenty of these trading on the Australian share market, making life easier for retirees.

    But which ASX retirement shares are analysts tipping as buys right now? Let’s take a look at four:

    APA Group (ASX: APA)

    This energy infrastructure company could be a great ASX retirement share to buy. Especially given its defensive earnings, long track record of growth, and big dividend yield.

    In respect to the latter, Macquarie is forecasting dividends of 56 cents per share in FY 2024 and 57.5 cents per share in FY 2025. Based on the current APA Group share price of $8.69, this equates to 6.4% and 6.6% dividend yields, respectively.

    Macquarie has an outperform rating and $9.40 price target on its shares.

    Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL)

    Supermarkets are another generator of defensive earnings. As providers of our daily essentials, consumers fill their trolleys each week no matter how much they raise their prices.

    Morgans believes the company’s growth can continue and is forecasting fully franked dividends of 66 cents per share in FY 2024 and then 69 cents per share in FY 2025. Based on the current Coles share price of $16.28, this implies dividend yields of 4% and 4.2%, respectively.

    Morgans has an add rating and $18.95 price target on its shares.

    Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLS)

    We can’t go without food and, for many of us, we can’t go without our phone or internet. This makes Telstra another very defensive ASX share that could be worth considering for a retirement portfolio.

    Especially with its shares falling heavily recently, making its valuation and dividend yields even more attractive. In respect to the latter, Goldman Sachs is forecasting fully franked dividends of 18 cents per share in FY 2024 and then 19 cents per share in FY 2025. Based on the current Telstra share price of $3.64, this equates to yields of 4.9% and 5.2%, respectively.

    Goldman has a buy rating and $4.55 price target on Telstra’s shares.

    Woolworths Limited (ASX: WOW)

    Finally, investors might want to consider another supermarket operator, Woolworths. For the same reasons as Coles, it could be a great option for an ASX retirement portfolio.

    Goldman Sachs certainly believes this is the case. Much like with Telstra, Woolworths shares have pulled back meaningfully recently, which the broker believes has created a compelling buying opportunity. Particularly given that its analysts “forecast WOW 2-yr sales CAGR FY24-26e of +3.2% and EBIT growth of +4.8%.”

    It expects this to support fully franked dividends of $1.08 per share in FY 2024 and $1.14 per share in FY 2025. Based on the current Woolworths share price of $30.78, this implies yields of 3.5% and 3.7%, respectively.

    Goldman has a buy rating and $39.40 price target on its shares.

    The post 4 ASX retirement shares to buy in May appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the ‘five best ASX stocks’ for investors to buy right now. We believe these stocks are trading at attractive prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group and Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Apa Group, Coles Group, Macquarie Group, and Telstra Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • The little known ASX uranium stock that could rise 35%

    A female broker in a red jacket whispers in the ear of a man who has a surprised look on his face as she explains which two ASX 200 shares should do well in today's volatile climate

    Investors have been flooding into the uranium industry in large numbers over the last 12 months.

    You only need to look at the performance of the ASX uranium stocks such as Boss Energy Ltd (ASX: BOE) and Deep Yellow Limited (ASX: DYL) to see this.

    Over the period, these uranium stocks are up a remarkable 155% and 94%, respectively.

    But if you thought the gains were over, think again.

    One little known ASX uranium stock has just been named as a buy and tipped to rise strongly from current levels.

    Which ASX uranium stock is a buy?

    According to a note out of Bell Potter, its analysts think that Lotus Resources Ltd (ASX: LOT) could be a top option right now.

    It owns an 85% interest in the Kayelekera Uranium Project in Malawi, Africa, and a 100% interest in the Letlhakane Uranium Project in Botswana, Africa.

    The broker was pleased with the recent mineral resource estimate (MRE) update for the the Letlhakane project. It commented:

    The updated MRE stands at 155.3Mt at 345ppm U3O8 for a total contained 118.2Mlbs U3O8, inclusive of 34.4Mlbs in Indicated Resources, which is a reduction on the original ACB [previous owner] MRE (2015) of 190Mlbs at 321ppm U3O8. The main difference between the two estimates is the hypothesised operations, which infer the economic cut-off grade. Under ACB, LM was a large-scale, low-grade two stage heap leach operation. In our February initiation on LOT, we didn’t see this as the path forward for the project. Our initial interpretation was that LOT would look to focus on the highgrade portions of the deposit and utilise ore-sorting to increase the milled grade over +600ppm. With a starting point of +400ppm, a conservative estimate of 40% mass rejection could achieve this we hypothesised. Today’s announcement is a step towards proving that thesis.

    Big returns

    In response to the news, the broker has reaffirmed its speculative buy rating on the ASX uranium stock with an improved price target of 60 cents.

    Based on its current share price of 44.5 cents, this implies potential upside of 35% for investors over the next 12 months.

    Commenting on its recommendation, the broker said:

    We maintain a Speculative Buy recommendation and our valuation lifts to $0.60/sh (previously $0.50/sh). Our valuation lift comes from an extension of potential operations at LM beyond our initial forecast (initial LOM production of 61Mlbs). We see positive catalysts at KM including 1) MDA finalisation, 2) FID and 3) offtake negotiations. Successful navigation of these hurdles will place LOT in the best position to advance project funding for KM, all whilst LM advances in the background.

    Though, it is worth highlighting the broker’s speculative rating. This means it would only be suitable for investors with a high risk tolerance.

    The post The little known ASX uranium stock that could rise 35% appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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  • Does the VanEck Wide Moat ETF pay a decent ASX dividend?

    Australian dollar notes inside the pocket on jeans, symbolising dividends.

    The VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF (ASX: MOAT) is a popular exchange-traded fund (ETF) and investment on the ASX.

    We have tracked this ETF for a while now, noting that it remains a strong choice for many Australian investors. This is arguably thanks in part to an enviable record of delivering market-beating returns.

    A high-flying ASX ETF

    To illustrate, the MOAT ETF has returned 17.59% over the 12 months to 30 April. It has also delivered an average of 14.83% per annum over the past five years, as well as 15.62% per annum since its ASX inception in 2015.

    This ETF has been able to achieve such stellar results by investing in a concentrated portfolio of US shares that are all selected on their perceived possession of what is known as an economic moat.

    A moat is a term first used by legendary investor Warren Buffett. It refers to a company’s inbuilt protections against competition. The wider this moat is, the more able a company is to maintain dominance in its field.

    This moat could come in the form of a strong brand (Coca-Cola or Apple are classic examples), or else a low-cost advantage that a company possesses at the expense of its competitors (Amazon or Costco).

    It could also take the shape of a good or service that consumers simply find too difficult to stop buying or using (Microsoft‘s Office or Adobe‘s Photoshop).

    Companies with the widest and most durable moats often make for the best long-term investments, as Warren Buffett has proven. Buffett has spoken extensively about the importance of an investment possessing a moat.

    We can see this strategy playing out in the current MOAT portfolio. At this ASX ETF’s most recent filing, its top holdings included the likes of Google-owner Alphabet, Campbell Soup, Nike, Pfizer, Disney and Buffett’s own Berkshire Hathaway.

    So we’ve established that this ETF is a high flyer when it comes to returns. But let’s talk about dividends.

    What kind of ASX dividend income does the Wide Moat ETF pay?

    It’s fair to say that US shares are not known for their dividend firepower. Sure, there are many strong income payers on the US markets. But thanks to a number of factors, including the absence of a franking system, it’s not too common to find yields of 4% or 5% in the top echelons of the US markets, as it is on the ASX.

    An ASX index fund typically offers a 3%-5% starting dividend yield. However, a US index fund will be closer to 1%-2%.

    So what about the ASX’s MOAT ETF?

    Well, an ETF can fund dividend distributions in two ways. The first is passing on any dividend income its underlying holdings payout. The second is distributing the profits from the regular rebalances that most ETFs conduct every quarter in order to reflect their underlying indexes.

    The VanEck Wide Moat ETF does a little of both. This means that its annual dividends (yes, investors receive just one dividend distribution every year) can vary rather wildly from year to year.

    To illustrate, MOAT units paid out a chunky $8.15 per unit in 2023.

    However, in January 2022, investors bagged just 98.11 cents per unit. The year before that, the figure came in at $1.01, whilst in 2020, investors received 88.1 cents per unit.

    So today, MOAT units are technically trading on a trailing dividend distribution yield of 6.48%.

    But given this ASX ETF’s volatile dividend distribution history, I wouldn’t be counting on this continuing over 2024.

    The post Does the VanEck Wide Moat ETF pay a decent ASX dividend? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

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    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the ‘five best ASX stocks’ for investors to buy right now. We believe these stocks are trading at attractive prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now…

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    Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has positions in Adobe, Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Berkshire Hathaway, Coca-Cola, Costco Wholesale, Microsoft, Nike, VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF, and Walt Disney. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Adobe, Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Berkshire Hathaway, Costco Wholesale, Microsoft, Nike, Pfizer, and Walt Disney. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended the following options: long January 2025 $47.50 calls on Nike, long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft, and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Adobe, Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Berkshire Hathaway, Microsoft, Nike, VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF, and Walt Disney. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Forget Pilbara Minerals and buy this ASX 200 lithium stock instead

    two men in hard hats and high visibility jackets look together at a laptop screen that one of the men in holding at a mine site.

    Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS) shares are a popular option for investors that are looking for exposure to lithium.

    But just because the ASX 200 lithium stock is popular, doesn’t necessarily mean it is the best way to invest in lithium right now.

    For example, the team at Bell Potter currently has a hold rating and $3.60 price target on Pilbara Minerals’ shares. This is notably lower than its current share price of $4.17.

    But one ASX 200 lithium stock that the broker is bullish on and tipping to rise materially from current levels is Arcadium Lithium (ASX: LTM).

    Why is it an ASX 200 lithium stock to buy?

    Bell Potter was pleased with Arcadium Lithium’s first quarter update this week, noting that it delivered earnings ahead of its expectations but in line with consensus estimates. It said:

    LTM reported Q1 2024 revenue of US$261m (BP est $268m) and Adjusted EBITDA of US$109m (BP est. $68m); overall the result was broadly in line with consensus.

    It also notes that the company is forecasting more of the same over the remainder of FY 2024. Though, this will be dependent on realised lithium prices, which were strong during the first quarter. It adds:

    The company has held full year 2024 scenarios for revenue (US$1.25-1.9b) and adjusted EBITDA (US$420-1,000m) based on market pricing ranges of US$15,000-25,000/t LCE. LTM achieved a Q1 2024 realised price of $20,500/t for carbonate and hydroxide products, materially higher than published indices due to fixed pricing and floors on a large proportion of hydroxide volumes.

    Big returns

    In response to the update, the broker has retained its buy rating with a trimmed price target of $9.50.

    With the ASX 200 lithium stock currently trading at $7.07, this implies potential upside of 34% for investors over the next 12 months.

    To put that into context, a $10,000 investment would be worth almost $13,500 by this time next year if Bell Potter is on the money with its recommendation.

    Explaining its bullish view on the lithium miner, the broker concludes:

    LTM provides the largest, most diversified exposure to lithium in terms of mode of upstream production, asset locations, downstream processing and customer markets. It is a key large-cap leverage to lithium prices and sentiment, which we expect to improve over the medium term. In supportive markets, LTM’s growth pipeline could see the company more than double production over the next three years.

    The post Forget Pilbara Minerals and buy this ASX 200 lithium stock instead appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Guess how many Australians know their superannuation balance?

    Smiling elderly couple looking at their superannuation account, symbolising retirement.

    Just 30% of Australians know their superannuation balance to the nearest $1,000, according to new research from Findex Group.

    A further 30% have only a vague idea or no idea of their superannuation balance today.

    The results show a lack of engagement in superannuation planning and management within the Australian population, Findex says.

    Let’s investigate.

    Do you know how much you’ve got in superannuation?

    The survey shows that the knowledge gap is more pronounced among women and younger Australians.

    Baby Boomers were the most likely to know their superannuation balance to the nearest $1,000. Fifty-one per cent of boomer respondents said they could name the number.

    Gen Zs were the least likely generation to know their superannuation balance. The survey found that 26% had a vague idea, and 22% had no idea at all.

    Of course, it’s not surprising that baby boomers are more acutely aware of their superannuation balances.

    Born between 1946 and 1965, the bulk of this generation is already well into their retirement years.

    The youngest group within the baby boomers is turning 63 years old this year.

    Their ‘retirement age’ — meaning the year they are eligible to receive the age pension — is only four years away at 67. So, they’re much more likely to be crunching the numbers now to prepare for this change.

    And with the Bank of Mum and Dad expanding into superannuation, many baby boomers have already shared some of their super monies with their kids to help them buy a house.

    Why don’t you know your super balance?

    Perhaps one of the reasons why so many Australians cannot name their super balance is because they don’t know where to start in managing their superannuation.

    The survey also revealed that 64% of respondents, or almost two-thirds of the population, do not feel confident about managing and growing their superannuation.

    As we’ve recently covered, Australians tend to overestimate how much money they need in retirement.

    A survey by Colonial First State revealed that, on average, Australians think they need $1.6 million in superannuation or savings for a comfortable retirement.

    No, no, no.

    Not according to the official guidelines!

    How much do you need for a comfortable retirement?

    The Association of Super Funds of Australia (AFSA) publishes a regularly updated Retirement Standard.

    The standard says couples aged 65 to 84 years who own their own homes without debt need $690,000 in superannuation, plus a part-pension, to fund a ‘comfortable lifestyle’.

    Annual living expenses for a comfortable existence are estimated at about $72,000 per couple.

    Single retirees aged 65 to 84 years who own their own homes without debt need $595,000 in superannuation. Their living expenses run to about $51,000 per annum for a comfortable retirement.

    ASFA also provides guidelines for a ‘modest retirement’.

    In this case, both singles and couples need $100,000 in superannuation and a part pension to pay the bills. They also need to own their homes without a mortgage.

    AFSA estimates living expenses of $46,944 for couples and $32,666 for singles aged 65 to 84 years.

    AFSA’s estimates assume you will draw down all your super capital, invest it, and receive a 6% return per annum.

    Do you have enough in superannuation yet?

    If you’re an ‘average’ Aussie aged 65 to 69 years, then you probably do.

    The latest Australian Taxation Office (ATO) figures tell us the average superannuation balance for people aged 65 to 69 years is $428,738.

    The average for men is $453,075, and the average for women is $403,038.

    The post Guess how many Australians know their superannuation balance? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the ‘five best ASX stocks’ for investors to buy right now. We believe these stocks are trading at attractive prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now…

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    Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.