• Which ASX stock I’d rather buy than Nvidia at $1,148 per share

    A susccesful person kicks back and relaxes on a comfy chair

    If the share market were a sport, Nvidia Corp (NASDAQ: NVDA) stock would be in the running for MVP of 2024. The computer chip technology company extended its record share price last night, reaching US$1,154.92 before settling at US$1,148.25.

    Catapulted by the burgeoning demand for hardware to power artificial intelligence, the US-based graphics card maker has shot up the ranks of most valuable companies. Today, Nvidia is worth US$2.82 trillion, hot on the heels of Apple Inc (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ: MSFT) for the number one spot.

    Only four short years ago, Nvidia’s market capitalisation stood at US$214.5 billion, one-thirteenth of what it is today. With the stock almost tripling in value in the past year alone, I think I’d be better off buying a certain ASX stock instead.

    Buffett senses are tingling on Nvidia stock’s high

    Don’t get me wrong… I believe Nvidia is a phenomenal company. Not that it matters from an investment perspective, but I’ve been on ‘Team Green’ for GPUs (graphic processing units) since saving enough money to buy my first high-performance gaming computer in 2015.

    I toyed with the idea of investing in Nvidia stock many times over the years. In 2018 (up 1,900% since), in 2021 (up 400% since), and in 2022 (up 580% since). Not once did I pull the trigger, opting for Advanced Micro Devices Inc (NASDAQ: AMD) in its place. Betrayal of Team Green, I know.

    But now, I can’t help but think there’s a bit of euphoria surrounding Nvidia.

    I get a little nervous when a company’s stock price chart looks like the one below. If you’re a long-term investor, stock price action shouldn’t dictate whether to buy or sell. But it can tell you about investors’ mentality and mood.

    Data by Trading View

    A timeless quote from the legendary Warren Buffett is, “Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful”.

    It’s rare now to hear anything but optimism about the demand for AI and the boost it will generate for Nvidia stock. My inner Buffett is detecting a euphoric vibe among investors. A ‘no questioning it, just believe!’ frame of mind.

    Meanwhile, my mind is contemplating the ‘what ifs’…

    What if demand for accelerated computing drastically tapers at a point?

    What if Nvidia’s margins revert back to around 25% instead of its recent 53%?

    What if Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (NYSE: TSM), aka TSMC, lifts prices?

    Personally, I think Nvidia’s growth is murkier now than it was two or three years ago. And while a 42 times forward earnings multiple mightn’t be the steepest ask, I’m not sure those earnings are sustainable.

    Relocating the greed to where there’s fear

    Channelling my inner Buffett again, I’m inclined to invest where fear has engulfed a good company. Often, this provides a greater margin of safety, minimising the downside and increasing the upside.

    I genuinely believe Corporate Travel Management Ltd (ASX: CTD) is an ideal current alternative to Nvidia stock. It’s a completely different business, providing travel management solutions. However, like Nvidia, it is highly profitable, growing at an above-market rate, and is founder-led.

    The difference is that this ASX stock trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 17 times, and its shares are out of favour — down 37% over the past 12 months. Weaker full-year FY24 guidance set the selling into motion on 21 February 2024.

    I reckon the fear is overdone.

    In my opinion, buying Corporate Travel Management now is more like buying Nvidia stock in 2021 or 2022 before the boom. It may not achieve the same meteoric gains, but I think there is less of a rosy outlook already baked into this ASX stock than Nvidia.

    The post Which ASX stock I’d rather buy than Nvidia at $1,148 per share appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Corporate Travel Management Limited right now?

    Before you buy Corporate Travel Management Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Corporate Travel Management Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Mitchell Lawler has positions in Advanced Micro Devices and Apple. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Advanced Micro Devices, Apple, Corporate Travel Management, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Corporate Travel Management. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Advanced Micro Devices, Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Brokers name 5 fantastic ASX growth shares to buy in June

    If you have space in your portfolio for some new ASX growth stocks in June, then it could be worth checking out the five listed below.

    They have all recently been named as buys by brokers and tipped to rise meaningfully from current levels.

    Here’s what you need to know about these top growth shares:

    Flight Centre Travel Group Ltd (ASX: FLT)

    The first ASX growth stock that could be a buy in June is travel agent giant Flight Centre. Analysts at Morgans are very positive on the company and believe its transformed business model means it is “well placed over coming years.”

    The broker currently has an add rating and $27.27 price target on its shares.

    IDP Education Ltd (ASX: IEL)

    Goldman Sachs thinks this beaten down language testing and student placement company’s shares are dirt cheap at current levels. While the broker acknowledges that it is facing short term headwinds, it remains very positive on its long term growth. This is thanks to structural tailwinds and its dominant market position.

    Goldman has a buy rating and $25.30 price target on its shares.

    Life360 Inc (ASX: 360)

    Bell Potter thinks this rapidly growing location technology company is an ASX growth stock to buy. Its analysts believe that Life360 has the “potential to leverage its large and growing user base to enter new markets and disrupt the legacy incumbents.” The broker also sees scope for a “re-rating of the stock given the higher multiples of comps.”

    It has a buy rating and $17.75 price target on Life360’s shares.

    Lovisa Holdings Ltd (ASX: LOV)

    Bell Potter is also very bullish on fashion jewellery retailer Lovisa and sees it as a top ASX growth stock to buy.

    Its analysts believe that Lovisa can grow its network by 10% per annum between FY 2023 and FY 2034. This is expected to drive strong sales and earnings growth over the next decade.

    Bell Potter currently has a buy rating and $36.00 price target on its shares.

    TechnologyOne Ltd (ASX: TNE)

    Finally, Goldman Sachs is also a fan of this enterprise software provider and sees it as an ASX growth stock to buy. Its analysts highlight that they “see margin expansion resuming from FY24E onwards, which in combination with robust revenue growth should drive a mid-high teens EPS CAGR to FY26E, providing strong earnings visibility.”

    The broker has a buy rating and $18.85 price target on Technology One’s shares.

    The post Brokers name 5 fantastic ASX growth shares to buy in June appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Life360 right now?

    Before you buy Life360 shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Life360 wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Life360, Lovisa, and Technology One. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group, Idp Education, Life360, Lovisa, and Technology One. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Flight Centre Travel Group, Lovisa, and Technology One. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Why Catapult, Clarity, Pro Medicus, and Qantas shares are rising today

    In afternoon trade, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is on course to record another decline. At the time of writing, the benchmark index is down 0.5% to 7,625.1 points.

    Four ASX shares that are not letting that hold them back are listed below. Here’s why they are rising:

    Catapult Group International Ltd (ASX: CAT)

    The Catapult Group share price is up 11% to $1.72. Investors have been buying this sports technology solutions provider’s shares following the release of a strong full year result for FY 2024. Catapult reported a 20% increase in revenue to a record of US$100 million. This was underpinned by accelerating SaaS revenue, which increased by 24% to US$82 million. Another big positive was that Catapult delivered on its guidance to generate positive free cash flow (FCF) in FY 2024. It generated FCF of US$4.6 million, which represents a sizeable US$26.2 million improvement year on year.

    Clarity Pharmaceuticals Ltd (ASX: CU6)

    The Clarity Pharmaceuticals share price is up 4% to $4.78. This morning, this clinical-stage radiopharmaceutical company announced that it has entered into a supply agreement with SpectronRx for the production of Cu-64. Management notes that Cu-64 has an ideal 12.7-hour half-life that helps to overcome the overwhelming supply restraints of current-generation radiodiagnostics. This significantly reduces the scheduling strain on imaging centres, as well as enhancing product performance with longer imaging timepoints.

    Pro Medicus Limited (ASX: PME)

    The Pro Medicus share price is up a further 3% to $119.68. Investors have been buying this health imaging company’s shares this week after it announced five new contracts with a combined minimum contract value of $45 million. Management advised that the contracts will be fully cloud deployed and are expected to be completed within the next 6 months. Goldman Sachs responded positively to the news. Its analysts reiterated their buy rating and lifted their price target on Pro Medicus’ shares to $136.00.

    Qantas Airways Limited (ASX: QAN)

    The Qantas share price is up 3% to $6.09. This may have been driven by another note out of Goldman Sachs. This morning, the broker reiterated its buy rating and $8.05 price target on the airline operator’s shares. It said: “The discounted valuation versus peers and its own history implies that the market is pricing in a trade off between investment (fleet and customer) and capital returns (dividends & buybacks), which we view as a buying opportunity.”

    The post Why Catapult, Clarity, Pro Medicus, and Qantas shares are rising today appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Catapult Group International right now?

    Before you buy Catapult Group International shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Catapult Group International wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Pro Medicus. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Catapult Group International, Goldman Sachs Group, and Pro Medicus. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Catapult Group International and Pro Medicus. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Guess which ASX microcap stock just rocketed 109% on a new deal!

    A little-known ASX microcap stock is setting the bar high today even as the All Ordinaries Index (ASX: XAO) wallows in the red.

    Shares in the company, which specialises in developing innovative films and coatings, closed Monday trading for 2.2 cents. The stock entered a trading halt on Tuesday at the company’s request, pending today’s announcement.

    That announcement was released this morning and has clearly stoked investor interest.

    Earlier today, shares in the ASX microcap stock were swapping hands for 4.6 cents apiece, up an eye-watering 109.1%.

    After some likely profit-taking, shares are trading for 3.7 cents at the time of writing, still up an impressive 68.2%.

    Any guesses?

    If you said Nanoveu Ltd (ASX: NVU), give yourself a virtual gold star.

    Here’s what’s got investors excited.

    ASX microcap stock lifts off on binding agreement

    The Nanoveu share price is going ballistic after the company reported it has signed a binding heads of agreement (HOA) with Rahum Nanotech.

    The HOA replaces the non-binding memorandum of understanding the ASX microcap stock signed with the South Korean company back in November for exclusive distribution rights for Nanoveu’s EyeFly3D in South Korea.

    EyeFly3D is a film and software combination that allows users to experience 3D on everyday mobile handheld devices and other digital displays without requiring glasses.

    Nanoveu has granted Rahum Nanotech exclusive distribution rights in South Korea. The company reported that minimum orders totalling US$19.73 million (AU$29.64 million) by 31 December 2026 will be required to maintain that exclusivity.

    Subject to Rahum Nanotech meeting those minimum purchase requirements, the companies could mutually agree to extend the exclusivity.

    The ASX microcap stock said it has received an initial cash deposit of US$70,000 from an initial order of US$372,000, which includes app development reimbursement. The company will supply 28,000 EyeFly3D screens for Android and Apple iPhones from this initial order.

    What did management say?

    Commenting on the binding agreement sending the ASX microcap soaring today, Nanoveu CEO Alfred Chong said:

    Following signing the non-binding MOU in November last year, Nanoveu and Rahum Nanotech have progressed significantly in software development and evaluation of the South Korean market potential for Nanoveu’s EyeFly3D products…

    The HOA includes targeted future minimum purchase orders for many more EyeFly3D™ screens, which will be suitable for a wide range of Android and Apple iPhones, with screens for tablets also being developed.

    Lee Myeong Hoon, president of Rahum Nanotech, looks to have further stoked investor interest in the growth prospects of this ASX microcap stock.

    “We’ve chosen the EyeFly3D technology for its unparalleled clarity and breathtaking immersive experience,” Hoon said.

    He added, “With the vast potential we foresee in South Korea and the promising opportunities we’ve uncovered, we stand firm in our confidence to not only meet but surpass our targets ahead.”

    The post Guess which ASX microcap stock just rocketed 109% on a new deal! appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Nanoveu Limited right now?

    Before you buy Nanoveu Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Nanoveu Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Why BHP, GR Engineering, Novonix, and Pointerra shares are dropping today

    It has been another tough session for the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO). In afternoon trade, the benchmark index is down 0.55% to 7,624.3 points.

    Four ASX shares that are falling more than most today are listed below. Here’s why they are dropping:

    BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP)

    The BHP Group share price is down almost 2% to $44.27. This has been driven largely by significant weakness in the mining sector today. In addition, the Big Australian pulled the plug on its proposed takeover of Anglo American (LSE: AAL) overnight after being refused an extension to its deadline for making a firm offer. Anglo American stated: “BHP has not addressed the Board’s fundamental concerns relating to the disproportionate execution risk associated with the proposed structure and the value that would ultimately be delivered to Anglo American’s shareholders.”

    GR Engineering Services Ltd (ASX: GNG)

    The GR Engineering Services share price is down 4% to $2.09. This follows the release of a guidance update from the engineering services company this morning. Management advised that it now expects FY 2024 revenue in the range of $415 million to $430 million. This is down from its previous guidance range of $500 million to $530 million. The reduction in revenue guidance reflects delays in expected contract awards. One positive is that the company’s EBITDA is still expected to be higher year on year and in the range of $50 million to $51 million in FY 2024. This is up from $44.4 million in FY 2023.

    Novonix Ltd (ASX: NVX)

    The Novonix share price is down almost 3% to 70 cents. This has been driven by broad weakness in the battery materials industry on Thursday after a poor night for peers on Wall Street. This has offset the release of a positive update on the company’s Riverside facility. Novonix revealed that when the Riverside facility reaches its targeted capacity of 20,000 tpa, it expects to be achieving operating margins in the range of 23% to 30%. This excludes any benefits from Section 301 tariffs.

    Pointerra Ltd (ASX: 3DP)

    The Pointerra share price is down 5% to 3.6 cents. This morning, this technology company announced that it has received firm commitments from existing and new institutional, professional and sophisticated investors for a $2.05 million placement. These funds are being raised at a discount of 3.3 cents per new share. The proceeds will be used to advance the company’s strategic objectives for FY 2025.

    The post Why BHP, GR Engineering, Novonix, and Pointerra shares are dropping today appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Pointerra Limited right now?

    Before you buy Pointerra Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Pointerra Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Pointerra. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Gr Engineering Services. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • US-supplied tanks aren’t sufficient in a ‘war of drones,’ Ukrainian soldier told CNN

    M1A1 Abrams tank
    A US Army M1A1 Abrams tank.

    • Ukraine lobbied hard to get tanks from the US last January.
    • But the armored vehicles have not provided major tactical gains for Ukraine.
    • In a "war of drones," tanks are the No. 1 target, a Ukrainian soldier told CNN.

    Tanks supplied by the US are not proving helpful enough for Ukrainian soldiers amid a war that has been heavily reliant on drones.

    In January 2023, after months of hard lobbying from Ukraine, the US agreed to send 31 M1A1 Abrams tanks to equip a tank battalion.

    Military experts previously told Business Insider that the use cases for the tanks would be limited due to terrain conditions and the lack of tank-on-tank warfare, which is the Abrams' specialty.

    More than a year after the US sent the tanks, at least eight of the armored vehicles have been reported lost or damaged and, according to US officials, Ukraine has had to pull back the tanks from the front line.

    Ukrainian state media disputed the US report that the Abrams tanks were fully withdrawn but said soldiers were using them in limited cases.

    A member of Ukraine's 47th Mechanized Brigade, who is identified as Joker, told CNN's chief international security correspondent Nick Paton Walsh the tanks alone are not enough to protect soldiers when Russia is bombarding them with drones.

    "Its armor is not sufficient for this era. It doesn't protect the crew," Joker told CNN. "For real, today it's a war of drones. So now when the tank rolls out they always try to hit it."

    One makeshift solution Ukrainian soldiers have had to rely on is armored plates on the vehicle, according to the CNN report.

    Joker added that the tank ammunition Ukraine was given is only conducive for "direct tank to tank battle" and insufficient to take down structures.

    "Once we fired 17 rounds into a house and it was still standing," he said.

    A Ukrainian official said last year that Russia has a seven-to-one drone edge.

    Read the original article on Business Insider
  • Here is the earnings forecast through to 2026 for Telstra shares

    A woman sits at her computer with her hand to her mouth and a contemplative smile on her face as she reads about the performance of Allkem shares on her computer

    Telstra Group Ltd (ASX: TLS) shares have suffered some pain in the last year, with a 22% decline, as shown on the chart below. Could a rise in profit lead to a resurgence for the ASX telco share?

    Recently, some investors may have lost confidence in the company’s outlook because of its enterprise business. The telco is best known for its mobile division, but other divisions also contribute.

    Telstra has been reviewing the enterprise segment and has decided on a number of actions to rectify it. It’s going to reduce the number of net applications and services (NAS) products, simplify the customer sales and service model, and reduce its cost base. Up to 2,800 roles will be removed, with one-off restructuring costs of between $200 million and $250 million across FY24 and FY25.

    In that same announcement, Telstra said it planned to remove the CPI inflation-linked annual price review for its postpaid mobile plans.

    After considering Telstra’s announced changes, let’s examine what the broker UBS projects Telstra’s profit will be for the next couple of years.

    FY24

    UBS believes that Telstra can continue to raise its mobile prices despite the removal of the CPI indexation. That confidence comes from Telstra’s “network differentiation,” competitors raising prices in March, and consumers’ being “somewhat a bit more conditioned on an annual price rise rhythm for mobile contracts.”

    UBS noted Telstra’s commentary suggests “strong subscriber growth momentum has continued”, which gives the broker “comfort the likely willingness of consumers to continue to pay higher prices for network differentiation over the medium-term”.

    The broker has forecast Telstra’s net profit after tax (NPAT) could reach $$2.05 billion in the 2024 financial year and it may pay an annual dividend per share of 18 cents.

    FY25

    The broker thinks there is a “likelihood” of further cost reductions beyond FY25 and that the ASX telco share could see 2% growth of its blended mobile average revenue per user (ARPU) in FY25, with 3% growth in postpaid and 4% with prepaid, according to UBS.

    Telstra has guided its underlying FY25 earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) could be between $8.4 billion and $8.7 billion.

    UBS suggests Telstra’s FY25 profit could be virtually flat, with NPAT forecast at $2.04 billion. The ASX telco share is forecast to pay a dividend per share of 19 cents in FY25, according to the broker.

    FY26

    After the job cuts and adjustments in mobile prices, UBS has predicted Telstra’s net profit can jump 24% in FY26 to $2.53 billion after a 2.5% rise in revenue. In other words, the broker is expecting Telstra’s net profit margin to significantly improve in the 2026 financial year.

    Telstra’s dividend is forecast to increase by 2 cents per share in FY26 to 21 cents per share. The broker is projecting the ASX telco share to generate 22 cents of earnings per share (EPS) in FY26, meaning its dividend payout ratio would be below 100%, which is sustainable and allows for profit reinvestment.

    Overall, I think the projected direction of Telstra profit looks promising and could help support the Telstra share price in the next couple of years.

    The post Here is the earnings forecast through to 2026 for Telstra shares appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Telstra Corporation Limited right now?

    Before you buy Telstra Corporation Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Telstra Corporation Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Telstra Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • An overlooked cheap ASX stock to tap into the year’s hottest theme?

    a young child wearing a cardigan and thick black glasses places his hand on a nearly rounded object and his hair lifts at right angles to his head thanks to static electricity.

    AGL Energy Ltd (ASX: AGL) shares have been on a rollercoaster over the past year, trading 8.5% higher in 12 months despite the ups and downs. Since the start of 2024, the ASX energy share has risen 6%.

    ASX investors now have some fairly obvious options for gaining exposure to artificial intelligence (AI), such as data centre operator NextDC Ltd (ASX: NXT). But could there be potential for the AI theme to indirectly boost AGL?

    I believe a range of other businesses may benefit in the future from the growth of AI usage. Here’s why I think AGL is one of the ASX stocks that could ride the wave.

    Energy demand to grow significantly

    The significant growth of AI is likely to mean more energy-intensive data centres.

    For example, Nextdc advised that in the 12 months to 31 December 2023, its contracted utilisation increased 64.8MW (or 77%) to 149MW. The company added that it had a record forward order book of 68.8MW, which it projects will convert into billings across FY25 to FY29.

    Meanwhile, Yukio Kani, CEO of JERA, Japan’s largest power provider, recently described data centres as “very hungry caterpillars”, as reported in the Wall Street Journal.

    And, according to reporting by the Australian Financial Review, data centres already use 5% of Australia’s electricity. Data centre capacity is expected to more than double in the rest of the decade, from 1,050MW to 2,500MW by 2030, translating to 13% growth per year.   

    As AGL is one of Australia’s largest energy retailers and generators, I believe the ASX energy share is primed to benefit from the AI theme. Australia faces the challenge of decarbonising (and removing coal power generation), but at the same time, it could face sizeable increases in overall energy demand.

    Australia’s growing population and a shift to electric vehicles may also increase the demand for energy. This could be another potential tailwind for AGL shares.

    Why AGL looks like a cheap ASX stock

    AGL has a development pipeline of 5.8GW, with plans for long-duration storage. Broker UBS has forecast AGL’s earnings per share (EPS) could be $1.24 in FY27. That suggests the AGL share price is currently trading at 8x FY27’s estimated earnings.

    For a business that provides an essential service and can generate resilient earnings, I believe its forward price/earnings (P/E) ratio is low, particularly if data centre demand increases energy prices.

    UBS predicts AGL EPS could rise another 6% to $1.32 in FY28, suggesting a promising long-term outlook for earnings growth.

    The post An overlooked cheap ASX stock to tap into the year’s hottest theme? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Agl Energy Limited right now?

    Before you buy Agl Energy Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Agl Energy Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Why did the ASX 200 just hit a 4-week low?

    Rede arrow on a stock market chart going down.

    Well, it’s been another day, and another big drop for the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) and the Australian share market this Thursday. 

    After suffering a 1.3% drop yesterday, the ASX 200 is again under pressure today. At the time of writing, the index has fallen another 0.48% and is back down to under 7,630 points.

    Today’s latest drop caps off what has been a horrid two weeks for ASX shares. Exactly a fortnight ago, the ASX 200 was riding high, touching 7,880 points and seemingly pushing towards its all-time high of 7,910.5 points.

    But it has been down and down for the markets ever since. Today’s drop puts the ASX 200 at a new four-week low.

    Check that out for yourself below:

    So, how did we get here? What has caused investors to lose so much of the optimism we saw just two short weeks ago?

    Why are investors tanking the ASX 200?

    Well, let’s start at the beginning. Two weeks ago, investors were on a high following good inflation news out of the United States, as well as the latest Australian unemployment figures out of the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS).

    With US inflation falling, and Australian unemployment ticking up, it seemed the stage was set for a round of global interest rate cuts. And interest rate cuts are, as we’ve learned over the past few years, what stock market investors desperately want to see.

    The first ‘canary in the coal mine’ for these interest rate assumptions was the revelation on 21 May that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) nearly hiked interest rates earlier this month. As we noted at the time, the RBA pointed out that “Inflation in Australia had declined more slowly than anticipated” over the past few months.

    This was enough to put a dent in ASX 200 investors’ optimism at the time.

    Inflation dashes rate cut hopes

    However, the latest Australian inflation figures that were released yesterday confirmed ASX 200 investors’ fears and poured cold water on the notion that the next move from the RBA will be a 2024 cut.

    As we covered during Wednesday’s session, Australian inflation came in at a higher-than-expected 3.6% for the 12 months to 30 April 2024. Most experts were expecting a drop from the previous month’s 3.5% down to 3.4%. So to see inflation actually uptick to 3.6% highlighted why the RBA nearly hiked rates earlier this month.

    As such, it certainly seems as though the RBA’s next move might indeed be a hike, and not a cut.

    Upon the release of these inflation numbers yesterday, the ASX 200 tanked. The selling pressure continues today.

    So, it’s probable that the ASX 200 has hit a new four-week low today due to these inflationary fears, combined with the fading optimism that interest rates will fall in 2024. Let’s see what happens next.

    The post Why did the ASX 200 just hit a 4-week low? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in S&P/ASX 200 right now?

    Before you buy S&P/ASX 200 shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and S&P/ASX 200 wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

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    Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Why is the Novonix share price sinking like a stone today?

    The Novonix Ltd (ASX: NVX) share price is having a poor session on Thursday.

    At the time of writing, the battery materials and technology company’s shares are down over 4% to 69 cents.

    Why is the Novonix share price falling?

    Investors have been selling the company’s shares today after broad weakness in the battery materials industry overshadowed an announcement.

    In respect to the former, the likes of Core Lithium Ltd (ASX: CXO) and Sayona Mining Ltd (ASX: SYA) are tumbling into the red following a poor night of trade for lithium stocks on Wall Street.

    What did Novonix announce?

    This morning, Novonix announced that an independent assessment of the company’s Riverside production facility in the United States has been completed by Hatch. It is a global engineering and consulting firm.

    According to the release, the assessment considered various topics including the evaluation of operations, project execution, and financial model assumptions as well as the graphite market, production technology, environmental considerations, feedstock, and supply agreements.

    With the independent engineering review completed, Noxonix notes that it remains on track for its initial 3,000 tonnes per annum (tpa) of commercial production capacity at the Riverside facility by the end of 2024. Importantly, all primary production equipment is either in place or ordered.

    Novonix has also updated it project economics following the review and in response to recent government funding initiatives.

    It revealed that when the Riverside facility reaches its targeted capacity of 20,000 tpa, it expects to be achieving operating margins in the range of 23% to 30%. This will be with an operating cost range of US$6 to US$8 per kg and an anticipated selling price of US$7 to US$10 per kg.

    Though, it is worth highlighting that these estimated operating margins do not reflect the potential benefit of Section 301 tariffs or the potential impact of compliance with the Foreign Entity of Concern requirements of the Section 30D Clean Vehicle Credit under the Inflation Reduction Act. So, Novonix’s margins could be better than these estimates if all goes to plan.

    Novonix’s CEO, Dr. Chris Burns, commented:

    The completion of the independent engineering review provides us with a high degree of confidence as we advance our overarching plans towards production and deliveries from Riverside. The completion of this review represents a significant milestone that reinforces our progress and underscores our position as pioneers in localizing lower-emissions synthetic graphite supply in North America.

    The Novonix share price is down 25% over the last 12 months.

    The post Why is the Novonix share price sinking like a stone today? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Novonix right now?

    Before you buy Novonix shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Novonix wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.