• 2 ASX growth shares with legit potential to outperform the market

    a man in a business suite throws his arms open wide above his head and raises his face with his mouth open in celebration in front of a background of an illuminated board tracking stock market movements.

    The share market has historically generated an average total return of 10% per annum.

    While this is a great return, if you look hard enough you might find some ASX growth shares with the potential to outperform materially.

    Let’s take a look at a couple of shares that have been tipped to smash the market:

    Life360 Inc (ASX: 360)

    This location technology company’s shares have been on fire this year. So much so, the ASX growth share has doubled in value year to date.

    Despite this, a number of analysts believe that Life360’s shares still have the potential to deliver market-beating returns over the next 12 months, even if buying at current levels.

    One of those brokers is Bell Potter, which currently has a buy rating and $17.75 price target on its shares. This implies potential upside of 18% for investors between now and this time next year.

    Bell Potter believes the ASX growth share has the potential to rerate to higher multiples thanks to its strong growth and the valuations of peers. It said:

    We have increased the multiple we apply in the EV/Revenue valuation from 5.5x to 6.5x given the proposed US listing and potential re-rating of the stock given the higher multiples of comps like Reddit (NYSE: RDDT). There is, however, no change in the 9.3% WACC we apply in the DCF. The net result is a 9% increase in our PT to $17.75 which is >15% premium to the share price so we maintain our BUY recommendation. Key potential catalysts for the stock include another strong quarter of paying circle growth in Q2 (April was another good month), a potential upgrade to the 2024 guidance sometime in H2 and a US listing at some stage in the next 12 months.

    Tyro Payments Ltd (ASX: TYR)

    Another ASX growth share that could deliver market-beating returns according to analysts is Tyro Payments.

    It is a growing payments provider with around 70,000 merchants on its network. This makes it Australia’s fifth largest merchant acquiring bank by number of terminals in the market, behind only the big four banks.

    Morgans is a fan of the company and has an add rating and $1.47 price target on its shares. This suggests potential upside of 69% for investors over the next 12 months. The broker commented:

    TYR sold off heavily in 2023 affected by the broad pull back in technology stocks and overall concerns regarding its earnings trajectory. However, we believe FY24 will show significantly improved business momentum, importantly driven by a much greater focus on lifting overall profitability. TYR still trades at a significant discount to valuation.

    The post 2 ASX growth shares with legit potential to outperform the market appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Life360 right now?

    Before you buy Life360 shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Life360 wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Life360. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Life360 and Tyro Payments. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Tyro Payments. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • 5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Monday

    Contented looking man leans back in his chair at his desk and smiles.

    On Friday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) ended the week deep in the red. The benchmark index sank 1.1% to 7,727.6 points.

    Will the market be able to bounce back from this on Monday? Here are five things to watch:

    ASX 200 expected to rebound

    The Australian share market looks set to rebound on Monday following a strong finish on Wall Street on Friday. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 47 points or 0.6% higher. On Friday in the United States, the Dow Jones was up slightly, the S&P 500 rose 0.7%, and the Nasdaq jumped 1.1%.

    Oil prices rise

    ASX 200 energy shares such as Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) and Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) could have a good start to the week after oil prices climbed on Friday. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price was up 1.1% to US$77.72 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price was up 0.9% to US$82.12 a barrel. This was driven by optimism over rising demand as the summer driving season gets underway in the Northern Hemisphere.

    Lendlease asset sale rumours

    The Lendlease Group (ASX: LLC) share price will be on watch today amid rumours the global property company is about to make a big announcement. According to the AFR, Lendlease intends to end all international property development and sell its overseas construction divisions. The latter will see the company reportedly offload over $4 billion worth of assets, mostly in the United States and United Kingdom.

    Gold price softens

    ASX 200 gold mining shares including Newmont Corporation (ASX: NEM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) could have a soft start to the week after the gold price edged lower on Friday. According to CNBC, the spot gold price was down 0.1% to US$2,356.9 an ounce. Rate cut doubts weighed on the precious metal.

    Bendigo and Adelaide Bank rated neutral

    The Bendigo and Adelaide Bank Ltd (ASX: BEN) share price is fully valued according to analysts at Goldman Sachs. This morning, the broker has retained its neutral rating with a $10.51 price target. This is a touch lower than where the regional bank’s shares currently trade. It said: “Until we see more evidence that the company can deliver a sustained improvement in its ROE, we are reticent to capitalise the material upside to PPOP that a 50% CTI would deliver to shareholders. Therefore, with the stock implying -3% downside to our A$10.51 target price, in the middle of our A&NZ coverage, we reiterate our Neutral recommendation.”

    The post 5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Monday appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Bendigo And Adelaide Bank Limited right now?

    Before you buy Bendigo And Adelaide Bank Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Bendigo And Adelaide Bank Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 5 May 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Woodside Energy Group. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Bendigo And Adelaide Bank. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • These are the 10 most shorted ASX shares

    A couple sits on a sofa, each clutching their heads in horror and disbelief, while looking at a laptop screen.

    At the start of each week, I like to look at ASIC’s short position report to find out which shares are being targeted by short sellers.

    This is because I believe it is well worth keeping a close eye on short interest levels as high levels can sometimes be a sign that something isn’t quite right with a company.

    With that in mind, here are the 10 most shorted shares on the ASX this week according to ASIC:

    • Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS) continues its long run as the most shorted ASX share with short interest of 21.2%. This is down slightly week on week. It appears that short sellers are not expecting lithium prices to recover any time soon.
    • IDP Education Ltd (ASX: IEL) has 16.7% of its shares held short, which is up week on week. Short sellers have been targeting this language testing and student placement company due to student visa changes in a number of key markets. They may believe that this will lead to IDP falling short of expectations.
    • Syrah Resources Ltd (ASX: SYR) has short interest of 13%, which is down slightly week on week. This graphite miner has been battling weak battery materials prices and burning through its cash reserves.
    • Flight Centre Travel Group Ltd (ASX: FLT) has seen its short interest rebound week on week to 11.6%. Short sellers are not being put off by Flight Centre recently revealing that it expects record sales in FY 2024.
    • Liontown Resources Ltd (ASX: LTR) has 9.9% of its share held short, which is down week on week again. Short sellers have been closing positions this month after Liontown made good progress with its Kathleen Valley Lithium Project.
    • Australian Clinical Labs Ltd (ASX: ACL) has returned to the top ten with short interest of 9.3%. This pathology services company is guiding to another sharp decline in earnings in FY 2024.
    • Sayona Mining Ltd (ASX: SYA) has short interest of 9.1%, which is up sharply week on week. This lithium miner is burning through cash at present by spending more to produce its lithium than it receives for it.
    • Westgold Resources Ltd (ASX: WGX) has short interest of 8.8%, which is up for a third week in a row. Short sellers appear unsure about the gold miner’s plan to merge with Canada-based Karoa Resources.
    • Chalice Mining Ltd (ASX: CHN) has short interest of 8.3%, which is up week on week. Short sellers continue to target the mineral exploration company despite the favourable Federal Budget.
    • Core Lithium Ltd (ASX: CXO) has short interest of 7.8%, which is flat week on week. Core Lithium has been forced to suspended mining activities to conserve cash due to weak prices.

    The post These are the 10 most shorted ASX shares appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Australian Clinical Labs Limited right now?

    Before you buy Australian Clinical Labs Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Australian Clinical Labs Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Idp Education. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Flight Centre Travel Group and Idp Education. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • What’s the average age of retirement in Australia?

    A couple sit on the deck of a yacht with a beautiful mountain and lake backdrop enjoying the fruits of their long-term ASX shares and dividend income.

    The average age at retirement among Australia’s existing 4.2 million retirees in FY23 was 56.9 years, according to new figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS).

    However, the average age at which most people intend to hang up their boots is 65.4 years.

    If we dig a little deeper, we find that the average age at which people intend to retire differs between industries.

    Let’s find out more.

    Average age of retirement in Australia

    The ABS Retirement and Retirement Intentions report reveals that 130,000 people retired in 2022.

    The average age of those 130,000 new retirees was 64.8 years. For men, the average age was higher at 66.9 years. For women, it was lower at 63.2 years. 

    Women typically take up retirement sooner than men, however it seems they are doing so a bit later now.

    In FY21, the average age of the entire female retiree community was 54 years. This had increased to 54.7 years by FY23.

    Men are also retiring a bit later. The average age of all male retirees in FY21 was 59.3 years, and in FY23, it was 59.4 years.

    Top 3 reasons for retirement

    Over the next five years, 710,000 Australians intend to retire, and 226,000 intend to do so over the next two years.

    Australians’ motivations for retirement differ, and two of the three top reasons are beyond their control.

    The most common reason for choosing retirement was access to financial support (31% of respondents).

    This includes reaching retirement age, which is the age at which Australians are eligible to receive the age pension. Currently, it’s 67 years old. Either that or becoming eligible to access their superannuation (i.e., reaching or being older than their preservation age).

    Preservation ages vary depending on when a person was born. For those born after 30 June 1964, it’s 60 years.

    Currently, the age pension is the main income source for most Australians in retirement. Superannuation is the second most common main income source.

    Bjorn Jarvis, ABS head of labour statistics said:

    In 2022-23, a Government pension or allowance was still the main source of personal income at retirement for 43 per cent of retirees. This was followed by Superannuation, an annuity or private pension at 27 per cent.

    The second most common reason for retirement was sickness, injury or disability (13% of respondents).

    The third most common was being retrenched, dismissed or not being able to find employment (5%).

    Other reasons included to care for an ill, disabled or elderly person (4% of women and 3% of men).

    How does the average age of retirement vary across industries?

    People working in agriculture, forestry and fishing have the highest intended age of retirement of 68.3 years. This is followed by those working in real estate at 67.1 years and manufacturing at 66.1 years.

    At the other end of the scale, mining workers have the earliest intended age of retirement at 63.7 years.

    Information media and telecommunications workers are next at 64 years, then financial and insurance services workers at 64.3 years.

    Average superannuation balance at retirement

    The average superannuation balance of Australians aged 65 to 69 years is $428,738, according to the Australian Taxation Office. The median balance is $207,540.

    The average superannuation balance for men is $453,075 and the average for women is $403,038. The median for men is $213,986 and the median for women is $201,233.

    According to the AFSA Retirement Standard, these amounts plus a part pension are more than enough to fund a modest retirement lifestyle for homeowners.

    ASFA defines a modest lifestyle as having money for daily essentials, basic health cover, and occasional leisure activities.

    To fund a modest lifestyle, both singles and couples need $100,000 in superannuation at age 67, plus a part-pension, to cover annual living expenses of $46,944 for couples and $32,666 for singles.

    The post What’s the average age of retirement in Australia? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the ‘five best ASX stocks’ for investors to buy right now. We believe these stocks are trading at attractive prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now…

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    Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Apple may soon bring generative AI to emojis. Here’s what that means.

    question mark and a yellow smiley face emoji.
    With Apple's new generative AI software, you can create a custom emoji for each situation.

    • Apple is developing software for users to create custom emojis using generative AI.
    • Siri will get a generative AI upgrade to improve natural speech and new task capabilities.
    • New AI features for iOS 18 and macOS 15 include transcribing voice memos and retouching photos.

    They say a picture is worth a thousand words. But that was before we had emojis. And before emojis had AI.

    Apple is developing software for users to create customized emojis on the go as part of a new spate of generative AI features, according to Bloomberg. These features go beyond the catalog of emojis Apple offers by creating a special emoji for each situation.

    Siri is also getting a generative AI makeover. With the help of Apple's own large language models, its virtual assistant will should sound more natural, and the Apple Watch will get a more advanced version of Siri to assist with tasks on the go, Bloombeg reported. Apple hopes the technology will also help Siri improve upon the tasks it already does, like responding to questions, and take on new tasks like summarizing text messages.

    Apple also aims to release new AI features for iOS 18 and macOS 15 to transcribe voice memos, retouch photos, and speed up and improve search results.

    Next month, Apple will likely discuss some of these features at its annual Worldwide Developers Conference. The company has been pretty quiet about its generative AI strategy — especially compared to other tech giants like Google and Microsoft — but that doesn't mean you should count it out of the AI arms race. CEO Tim Cook promised in February that "AI "will affect every product and service we have."

    It's par for the course for Apple to be a little late to the announcement game.

    "Apple is very rarely first to market," Carolina Milanesi, principal analyst at Creative Strategies, a tech consulting firm, previously told Business Insider. "They prefer to come in and disrupt the market — take anything from wearables to smartphones to tablets. They've never been first."

    Read the original article on Business Insider
  • Hillary Clinton says Democrats underestimated anti-abortion activists: ‘We could have done more to fight’

    Hillary Clinton
    Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton.

    • Hillary Clinton said that Democrats didn't do enough to stop the demise of Roe.
    • "We didn't take it seriously, and we didn't understand the threat," she told The New York Times.
    • Ahead of November, abortion and reproductive rights are top of mind for many voters.

    Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, in an interview for a forthcoming book, made some of her strongest remarks to date about the fall of Roe v. Wade, arguing that the Democratic Party underestimated the anti-abortion movement.

    In advance of the June release of the book, "The Fall of Roe: The Rise of a New America," Clinton told The New York Times that Democrats believed that the court system and legal precedents would protect abortion rights — until the US Supreme Court ruled in 2022 that those rights were not protected by the Constitution.

    "We didn't take it seriously, and we didn't understand the threat," Clinton, the party's 2016 presidential nominee, told the Times. "Most Democrats, most Americans, did not realize we are in an existential struggle for the future of this country."

    "We could have done more to fight," she added.

    The book, written by Times journalists Elizabeth Dias and Lisa Lerer, explores the decadeslong push to dismantle Roe v. Wade and the ramifications of its demise.

    During the interview, Clinton lamented that Democrats were "taken by surprise" by the Supreme Court's Dobbs decision. She argued that she never became complacent over the potential for a conservative-led Supreme Court to reverse Roe.

    "One thing I give the right credit for is they never give up," she told the Times. "They are relentless. You know, they take a loss. They get back up. They regroup. They raise more money."

    "It's tremendously impressive the way that they operate," she continued. "And we have nothing like it on our side."

    Since the fall of Roe, Democrats have benefited in elections across the country, with many independents and even some Republicans backing ballot measures protecting abortion rights. And Democratic candidates fared much better than predicted in the 2022 midterms in part because they supported abortion rights, a position largely in line with suburban voters who have dramatically moved away from a GOP now controlled by former President Donald Trump.

    Democrats plan to use the issue against Trump this year, telling voters that it was his Supreme Court appointments that have now caused a patchwork of abortion laws across the country — with some states enacting near-total abortion bans and others expanding access.

    Trump has sought to moderate his views on the issue. He criticized a near-total abortion ban in Arizona that has since been repealed by the legislature.

    But Clinton is warning that the conservative push to restrict abortion further will not abate.

    "More people have got to wake up because this is the beginning," she told the Times. "They really want us to just shut up and go home. That's their goal."

    Read the original article on Business Insider
  • Bette Nash, who held the Guinness World Record for the longest-serving flight attendant, dies at 88

    ARLINGTON, VA - NOVEMBER 9: American Airlines Flight Attendant Bette Nash is in her 60th year of working in the clouds on November, 09, 2017 in Arlington, VA. (Photo by Bill O'Leary/The Washington Post via Getty Images)
    Bette Nash.

    • Bette Nash, the world's longest-serving flight attendant, has died from cancer at age 88.
    • Nash started her career in 1957 with Eastern Airlines. 
    • She witnessed major changes in air travel, from the jet age to post-9/11 security measures.

    The world's longest-serving flight attendant has died from cancer at the age of 88.

    In a statement on X, formerly Twitter, American Airlines said: "We mourn the passing of Bette Nash, who spent nearly seven decades warmly caring for our customers in the air."

    "She started in 1957 and held the Guinness World Record for longest-serving flight attendant. Bette inspired generations of flight attendants. Fly high, Bette," the post continues.

    Nash never officially retired from her role with American Airlines. She died in hospice after a recent breast cancer diagnosis.

    SLUG: PW-Stewardess DATE: November 1, 2007 CREDIT: James M. Thresher / TWP. Arlington, VA Bette Nash, one of the country's longest serving flight attendants, is being honored by her employer, US Airways, and friends. A late 1950s photo of Nash as an Eastern Airlines stewardess. 195492 (Photo by James M. Thresher/The The Washington Post via Getty Images)
    Bette Nash began her career as an Eastern Airlines stewardess in 1957.

    Nash got her first job as a flight attendant with Eastern Airlines — which later became American Airlines — in 1957, when Dwight D. Eisenhower was in the White House.

    "You had to be a certain height, you had to be a certain weight. It used to be horrible. You put on a few pounds and you had to keep weighing yourself, and then if you stayed that way, they would take you off the payroll," Nash previously told ABC affiliate WJLA about the early days of her career.

    She told ABC News in 2022 that a ticket for a flight between New York and Washington, DC, cost just $12 at the time, adding that passengers could even purchase life insurance from a vending machine before boarding their plane.

    ARLINGTON, VA - NOVEMBER 9: American Airlines Flight Attendant Bette Nash, center, walks with her crew to her first flight of the day. She is in her 60th year of working in the clouds on November, 09, 2017 in Arlington, VA. (Photo by Bill O'Leary/The Washington Post via Getty Images)
    Bette Nash boarding her flight on November 9, 2017.

    Over the course of her career, Nash saw huge changes to the aviation industry, including the effects of deregulation, the computer revolution, and the heightened security measures that came into effect following the September 11 terrorist attacks in 2001.

    She also saw flying become increasingly accessible following a boom in commercial air travel in the 1950s.

    By 1955, more people in the US traveled by air than by train, and by 1957, airplanes had also replaced ocean liners as the preferred means of crossing the Atlantic, according to the National Air and Space Museum.

    A KLM Douglas DC8 landed at Schiphol for the last time; piloting the last DC8 in, March 13, 1985, airplanes, airports. (Photo by: Sepia Times/ Universal Images Group via Getty Images)
    A Douglas DC-8 at Amsterdam's Schiphol airport on March 13, 1985.

    Just as Nash was starting out, jet passenger service also began in the US with the arrival of the Boeing 707 and Douglas DC-8 airliners.

    "The jet engine revolutionized air travel. Powerful and durable, jets enabled aircraft manufacturers to build bigger, faster, and more productive airliners," the National Air and Space Museum says on its website, adding that almost half of all Americans had flown by 1972.

    In an X statement, the Association of Professional Flight Attendants said Nash "touched many with her warmth, dedication, and service."

    "RIP, Bette. You won't be forgotten," it added.

    Read the original article on Business Insider
  • Baby boomers are approaching ‘peak burden’ on the economy

    baby boomer
    • The baby-boomer "time bomb" is finally upon us, economists say.
    • All boomers will be at least 65 soon, the generation's point of "peak burden" on the economy.
    • Future generations can take solace in the fact that no boomer-size generations are in the making.

    A time bomb has been ticking in the US.

    It's the baby boomers, who as they age are approaching their "peak burden" years in regard to their drag on the economy and the resources of younger generations.

    Boomers have already gotten tons of flak from younger people over the economy they've left Gen Zers, millennials, and Generation X to inherit. By the end of this year, all boomers — defined by the US Census Bureau as being born from 1946 to 1964 — will be 60 or older.

    This means the youngest boomers are rapidly approaching retirement, and a bigger retirement population means more of a drag on the US economy, a burden that Barclays senior economist Jonathan Millar expects to stretch on for the next 20 years. 

    "The peak burden," Millar told Business Insider, is when essentially all living baby boomers have hit retirement. "And we're getting there."

    The date could fall sometime around 2029, when the youngest boomers will be 65, according to a Census Bureau report.

    A population time bomb

    It isn't the boomers' fault they were born. They didn't choose to be a mammoth-size generation that's left the US with a big and probably expensive retirement-age population.

    And it isn't the case that baby boomers will derail economic growth nearly as much as, say, a full-blown recession, according to Dean Baker, an economist who described the baby boomers as a "time bomb" in a 1998 paper.

    "Yes, it does create strains, but the idea was just some horrible catastrophe that loomed on the horizon," he said of the public dialogue on aging boomers. "It was really just craziness."

    Still, the consequences of an aging population are real — and it's expected to weigh on the US over the coming decades. Older people are just one of the many factors weighing on Japan's economy, for instance, with people over 65 making up more than 25% of the overall population.

    Baby boomers have already weighed on the US economy, and the cohort risks being a bigger drag in the coming years, Millar said.

    Boomers are taking up the housing supply

    Boomers are taking up a disproportionately large share of the housing supply compared with previous generations. That has been a pain for other homebuyers, as lower housing inventory has helped push up home prices.

    The housing market saw its worst year of sales since 1995 in 2023, according to the National Association of Realtors. Existing homeowners have had little incentive to downsize their homes, many of which are fully paid off or financed at ultralow rates.

    "It probably means we're headed for five or six years where baby boomers contribute to very strong housing demand, and we're going to have high house prices as a result," Millar warned.

    Boomers also appear to be hogging the larger homes that millennials would otherwise be flocking to as they start families. In 2022, empty-nester baby boomers owned 28% of large homes in the US, a Redfin analysis found, double the share of millennial families.

    Boomers are contributing to the labor shortage

    The US has more open jobs than available workers. That gap is likely to widen as more boomers leave the workforce.

    As of January, the Chamber of Commerce estimated that the economy was still down about 1.7 million workers compared with before the coronavirus pandemic. The labor market, meanwhile, is staring at 9.5 million job openings.

    The labor shortage could eventually spell trouble for the economy, as a low supply of workers pushes up wages, which can stoke inflation.

    Boomer retirees are also still demanding goods and services in the economy. If they aren't contributing anything in labor, that demand is also inherently inflationary, Millar added.

    Boomers are a risk to the stock market

    Retirees, who are less tolerant of stock-market volatility, also pose a downside risk to stocks. Boomers are more likely to sell if the US economy tips into a recession. That's a problem, considering that analysis by Rosenberg Research found people 55 and older account for 80% of stock-market ownership in the US.

    "Retirees don't have the luxury to buy and hold through a market downturn," the economist David Rosenberg said in a recent note. "If a downturn does materialize, demographically induced selling is a force that could exacerbate the spiral powerfully, with the effects ricocheting into consumer spending."

    Boomers will drain Social Security

    Finally, boomers are set to collect a large amount in Social Security payments. The Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Trust Fund is expected to be depleted in 2033, a year earlier than previously expected, the Social Security Administration said in a new report.

    Politicians are averse to raising taxes or slashing spending on social programs, Millar noted, and are unlikely to let payments lapse. Instead, they'll most likely pay for the program by taking on more debt to keep funding retirees through old age.

    "Any way you slice it, this is a burden on current and future generations of taxpayers," Millar added.

    The silver lining is that there doesn't appear to be a baby-boomer redux in the making, Baker said. Millennials are a large generation, but after that, Gen Z and Alpha look to be much smaller, meaning there won't be a similar time bomb ticking for the economy.

    "I think it's very unlikely that we're going to see another population boom like we had in the post-World War II years," Baker said. "If there's some set of events that lead to that, it's nothing I can see on the horizon."

    Correction: February 5, 2024 — An earlier version of this story incorrectly described data from the National Association of Realtors. It found the housing market to have had its worst sales in 2023 since 1995, not ever.

    This story was originally published in February 2024.

    Read the original article on Business Insider
  • Trump just spotlighted Ross Ulbricht, founder of the online illegal drug marketplace Silk Road. Why he is a hero to some.

    File image, an artist rendering showing Ross William Ulbricht during an appearance at Federal Court in San Francisco.
    File image, an artist rendering showing Ross Ulbricht during an appearance at Federal Court in San Francisco.

    • Trump vowed to commute Ross Ulbricht's sentence at the Libertarian National Convention.
    • Libertarians view Ulbricht's life sentence as a symbol of government overreach.
    • Trump also promised to include a Libertarian in his cabinet if elected.

    Donald Trump made an address at the Libertarian National Convention on Saturday, promising to commute the sentence of Ross Ulbricht, the jailed founder of the infamous online drug marketplace Silk Road.

    "If you vote for me, on Day One, I will commute the sentence of Ross Ulbricht," Trump declared to enthusiastic applause from the crowd in Washington, DC. 

    The move to highlight Ulbricht was strategically catered to Libertarian voters.

    Ulbricht, now 40, who was imprisoned for life in 2015, is an unjustly imprisoned hero of the US libertarian movement.

    The Libertarian Party, with its long-standing advocacy for drug legalization and criminal justice reform, has consistently lobbied for Ulbricht's release, viewing his life sentence as a symbol of government overreach.

    Ulbricht became interested in libertarian values at university, according to a Wired report, where he discovered the ideas of Austrian economist Ludwig von Mises, an advocate of the moral purpose of free-market capitalism and staunch opponent of interventionism. Ulbricht embraced these ideas of uncompromised freedom, per Wired.

    "When I created Silk Road, I wasn't seeking financial gain," Ulbricht's wrote in a heartfelt letter to his trial judge in 2015.

    "I created Silk Road because I believed at the time that people should have the right to buy and sell whatever they wanted so long as they weren't hurting anyone else," he wrote.

    In 2015, he was given life in prison without the possibility of parole. He was also fined $183,961,921.

    Ulbricht is being held at the United States Penitentiary in Tucson.

    The majority of goods sold on Silk Road were illegal hardcore drugs, said the United States Attorney's Office for the Southern District of New York at his trial.

    "Silk Road was supposed to be about giving people the freedom to make their own choices, to pursue their own happiness," wrote Ulbricht. "While I still don't think people should be denied this right, I never sought to create a site that would provide another avenue for people to feed their addictions."

    Members of the Libertarian Party stand in chairs while chanting and demanding the release of Ross Ulbricht during the party's national convention
    Members of the Libertarian Party stand in chairs while chanting and demanding the release of Ross Ulbricht during the party's national convention at the Washington Hilton on May 25, 2024 in Washington, DC.

    Trump, who was loudly booed and heckled during much of his speech at the Libertarian National Convention, did manage to partially win the audience around by committing to free Ulbricht.

    Katherine Yeniscavich, a Libertarian Party national committee member, told Politico, "It's one of the things we wanted from his first term."

    In addition to the Ulbricht pledge, Trump made further pledges, promising to include a Libertarian in his cabinet and others in senior administrative positions if elected.

    Read the original article on Business Insider
  • American parents with young children say they haven’t felt this financially insecure in nearly a decade. Here’s why.

    Photo illustrating household finances
    The percentage of parents with children under 18 who felt "financially okay" has declined.

    • The Federal Reserve published its Survey of Household Economics and Decisionmaking this week.
    • The percentage of parents with children under 18 who felt "financially okay" declined.
    • It's the lowest percentage since 2015. Skyrocketing childcare costs are likely to blame.

    The financial well-being of American parents with young children is plummeting, highlighting how unaffordable childcare costs have become.

    The Federal Reserve published its annual Survey of Household Economics and Decisionmaking on May 21. The survey, which collected answers from 11,000 people in October 2023, examines the economic well-being of US households and potential financial risks.

    While the report said people's overall financial well-being was "nearly unchanged" between 2022 and 2023, some groups "continued to experience financial stress at higher rates than others."

    That included parents with children under 18.

    Mother reading monthly budget while holding baby.

    The percentage of parents with children under 18 who felt "okay financially" dropped from 69% in 2022 to 64% in 2023.

    The 2023 data point is a stark decline from 2021 when 75% of parents said they felt comfortable financially. Data from the Federal Reserve shows that parents haven't felt this financially insecure since 2015, when it recorded 65%.

    Comparatively, the percentage of adults who don't have children under 18 and feel "okay financially" hasn't dipped below 70% in the last eight years.

    The report doesn't give specific reasons for the growing financial concern, but the rising cost of childcare has been a national concern for years.

    The cost of childcare has skyrocketed in the United States, making it difficult for families to maneuver the current economy.

    "Childcare costs can be significant for parents," the Federal Reserve report says. "The median monthly amount that parents using paid care paid for childcare was $800. For those who paid for 20 or more hours of childcare each week, the median cost was $1,100."

    Business Insider estimated that it could cost parents nearly $26,000 a year to care for one child in 2024 — a 41.5% increase from 2016. A 2024 Bank of America analysis also found that the United States has the second most expensive childcare system among developed countries.

    That analysis, which ranked New Zealand No. 1, found that the average couple with two children spent more than 30% of their combined wages on childcare.

    Read the original article on Business Insider