• Too much of a good thing? When ASX dividends could hurt your overall returns

    A man sits uncomfortably at his laptop computer in an outdoor location at a table with trees in the background as he clutches the back of his neck with a wincing look on his face.

    A man sits uncomfortably at his laptop computer in an outdoor location at a table with trees in the background as he clutches the back of his neck with a wincing look on his face.ASX dividend shares are a popular investment choice for Aussies who want to generate investment income. But, there’s an argument to say that it could harm returns for some businesses over the long term.

    There are plenty of high-quality businesses on the ASX that are among the best at what they do, such as Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA), BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) and Telstra Group Ltd (ASX: TLS).

    Investors may expect a high level of dividend income from these businesses each year. But for plenty of companies, there could be better uses of money.

    Growth spending is better?

    When a business makes a profit, there’s a variety of different things that the management could do with that money.

    One of the most popular things for them to do in Australia is to pay a dividend. Investors like to receive a ‘real’ return. Institutional investors may want to get that cash out of the business – boosting their short-term returns.

    But, that ASX dividend (yield) may only be worth a few percent in investors’ hands. It could be worth less than 1%.

    Some, or all, of that money, could be re-invested back into the business and generate a much better return.

    A business could open a new, advanced, manufacturing plant. It could use the cash to open a few new stores in a new city/country. It could hire more sales people, or spend a bit more on developing the next product or service.

    Some businesses can generate enormous returns on money invested in the business. This can be measured in a few different ways such as the return on equity (ROE) or return on capital (ROC). Those figures are good indicators of how much money the company is earning on the cash that has been invested in the business by the business.

    For example, Wesfarmers Ltd‘s (ASX: WES) ROE in the first half of FY23 was 32.8%. It could make sense for Wesfarmers to retain more of its cash and achieve a high internal return, which would hopefully translate to a boost to profit, the share price and dividends down the line.

    Berkshire Hathaway is a great example of what a great business (and investor) can do with retained profit. Warren Buffett’s business has achieved a compound annual gain of 19.8% per annum between 1965 to 2022 – that’s a total return of 3,787,464%.

    The US giant has a policy of not paying a dividend because the cash is worth more to investors staying in the business than as a dividend. If it had paid a dividend, Buffett would have had a smaller money pile to compound, so it would have grown into a smaller amount over the years, even if he achieved the same investment returns in percentage terms.

    Tax can also have an impact on the effectiveness of paying dividends. When a company makes a profit, it generally pays tax on that net profit. Not only has the company paid tax, but then the individual typically has to pay tax on the dividend too, particularly if they’re in a high tax rate. The shareholder’s wealth, on paper, can be reduced by receiving the dividend.

    ASX dividends can make sense

    There are some situations where it does make sense to pay dividends.

    For starters, in Australia, companies generate franking credits – a refundable tax offset. It can make sense for the company to unlock the franking credits that it generates. For shareholders with a low (or zero) tax rate, the franking credits give investors an after-tax boost to the cash return.

    Plus, a business may not always have a good opportunity to invest that money. That’s why I think it’s worthwhile investing in businesses that have lots of growth options. But, eventually, a business may not have attractive growth options. In that case, it’d be better to give out the cash than invest it badly or make a terrible acquisition.

    For example, Wesfarmers shouldn’t keep expanding its Bunnings network until there’s a warehouse on every street corner.

    I think businesses need to make a careful choice about what’s best for the shareholder. But, I do believe it does make sense for some Aussie companies to unlock some franking credits for investors each year, particularly if that’s what shareholders want.

    The post Too much of a good thing? When ASX dividends could hurt your overall returns appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in right now?

    Before you consider , you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of March 1 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Berkshire Hathaway. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Telstra Group and Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Berkshire Hathaway. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Sayona Mining share price dips despite first lithium production

    a mine worker holds his phone in one hand and a tablet in the other as he stands in front of heavy machinery at a mine site.a mine worker holds his phone in one hand and a tablet in the other as he stands in front of heavy machinery at a mine site.

    The Sayona Mining Ltd (ASX: SYA) share price is down 3.3% on Wednesday morning, currently trading for 23.7 cents per share.

    It’s not just the Sayona Mining share price under pressure today.

    In fact, all of the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) lithium stocks are well into the red at the time of writing.

    Which could be why Sayona Mining is sliding, despite reporting its first lithium production.

    What did the ASX 200 lithium stock report?

    The Sayona Mining share price is in the red even though the miner announced the production of its first spodumene concentrate at its flagship North American Lithium (NAL) operation.

    Some 70 tonnes of lithium concentrate were produced at NAL, located in Quebec, Canada.

    The emerging lithium producer labelled it “another milestone in NAL’s restart”.

    It said that commissioning is proceeding on schedule and within budget. The first saleable concentrate is expected to be produced soon.

    Commenting on the progress that’s yet to lift the Sayona Mining share price, managing director Brett Lynch said:

    This is another great achievement for the team at NAL. I extend my thanks to everyone concerned for progressing the NAL restart on time and on budget – something few others have achieved in recent times amid escalating cost and supply chain pressures.

    “These are exciting times with the first saleable lithium concentrate to be produced soon, marking the next step in Sayona’s evolution towards becoming a leading hard rock lithium producer,” Lynch added.

    According to Sayona Mining, its NAL project will be the most significant source of hard rock lithium production in North America.

    The company expects to ship its first spodumene concentrate from NAL in July 2023. It’s targeting four shipments in the first half of fiscal 2024.

    Sayona Mining also updated the market on its drilling program alongside joint venture partner Jourdan Resources.

    Plans are in place for more than 50,000 metres of drilling in 2023 at NAL and Jourdan’s adjacent Vallée Lithium Project.

    Sayona Mining share price snapshot

    Despite today’s dip, the Sayona Mining share price remains up an impressive 81% over the past 12 months.

    Though, as you can see on the chart below, it hasn’t exactly been a smooth ride.

    The post Sayona Mining share price dips despite first lithium production appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Sayona Mining Limited right now?

    Before you consider Sayona Mining Limited, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Sayona Mining Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of March 1 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Lynas share price rebounds on $200m Japanese Government investment

    Female miner in hard hat and safety vest on laptop with mining drill in background.Female miner in hard hat and safety vest on laptop with mining drill in background.

    The Lynas Rare Earths Ltd (ASX: LYC) share price is up 1.15% to $7.455 in early trading on Wednesday.

    The share price bounce follows news from the rare earths miner posted after the market close yesterday.

    The Japanese Government is giving Lynas $200 million in exchange for priority supply until 2038.

    In a statement, Lynas said the new deal will “further strengthen the Lynas balance sheet and support funding of capital projects designed to meet accelerating global demand for Rare Earth materials”.

    What news has the Lynas share price rebounding today?

    Lynas hit a new 52-week low of $7.26 yesterday amid various negative news over the past fortnight.

    The big one is the recent revelation from Telsa Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA) that its next-gen electric vehicle (EV) motor won’t use any rare earths.

    On top of that, Lynas has problems with its new Malaysian licence, and last week it reported a 4% decline in profit in 1H FY23 and a 32% increase in costs. All kinda depressing for investors.

    So, this new $200 million investment is welcome news today for investors in Lynas shares.

    Here are the details.

    The new agreements are between Lynas and Japan Australia Rare Earths B.V. (JARE).

    JARE is a special-purpose company established by the Japanese Government administrative institution, the Japan Organization for Metals and Energy Security (JOGMEC), and Sojitz Corp (TYO: 2768).

    Under the new agreements, JARE will give Lynas $200 million and forego the US$11.5 million in interest that Lynas owed but deferred in 2016 under their shared long-term loan facility.

    The $200 million will be provided via a subscription for Lynas shares at a price that will be the higher of the 5-day volume-weighted average price (VWAP) immediately before and following the announcement.

    Lynas will use the cash to fund current and planned projects to increase production.

    Part of the deal involves Lynas giving supply priority to the Japanese market until 2038.

    Lynas CEO Amanda Lacaze said:

    Lynas has a huge appetite for growth and a large capital investment plan. This $200 million capital investment from the Japanese Government, through JARE, will boost our balance sheet and assist in assuring the delivery of our major growth projects.

    JARE has been a valued and strategic partner to Lynas since 2011 and we welcome these new
    agreements which better reflect demand forecasts from the Japanese rare earths market.

    Today, Lynas is the market leading supplier of NdPr to the Japanese rare earths industry and these new
    agreements demonstrate the deep commitment of JARE to the ongoing growth and success of our
    company.

    Investors watch Lynas performance

    The Lynas share price is down 4% in 2023 while the S&P/ASX All Ordinaries Index (ASX: XAO) is up 5%.

    Over the past 12 months, Lynas shares have lost 23% in value while All Ords stocks have risen by 3.3%.

    The post Lynas share price rebounds on $200m Japanese Government investment appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Lynas Corporation Limited right now?

    Before you consider Lynas Corporation Limited, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Lynas Corporation Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of March 1 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Mesoblast share price rockets 23% on FDA news

    A man wearing a white coat holds his hands up and mouth open with joy.

    A man wearing a white coat holds his hands up and mouth open with joy.The market may be sinking today, but the same cannot be said for the Mesoblast Ltd (ASX: MSB) share price.

    In morning trade, the biotech company’s shares rocketed as much as 23% to $1.14.

    The Mesoblast share price has pulled back a touch since then but remains up 13% to $1.03.

    Why is the Mesoblast share price rocketing higher?

    Investors have been buying the company’s shares after it was given some good news by the United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA).

    According to the release, the FDA’s Office of Therapeutic Products has accepted the company’s Biologics License Application resubmission for remestemcel-L in the treatment of children with steroid-refractory acute graft versus host disease (SR-aGVHD).

    And while this is not an approval, it is a big step in the right direction. Furthermore, the release notes that the FDA considers the resubmission to be a complete response to previous feedback and has set a Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA) goal date of 2 August.

    What is a PDUFA?

    My US colleagues cover the PDUFA in detail here. But here’s a summary:

    The PDUFA’s primary goal was to authorize the FDA to collect fees from drugmakers to help pay for the FDA staff needed to review regulatory filings for drugs. But the pharmaceutical industry objected to paying money to the FDA without anything guaranteed in return. The PDUFA helps the FDA by providing the agency with a way to generate money and establishes a set timeline for the agency to make approval decisions.

    All in all, this guarantees that Mesoblast will have an answer from the FDA by 2 August for remestemcel-L in the treatment of children with SR-aGVHD.

    Mesoblast’s Chief Executive, Silviu Itescu, was pleased with the news. He said:

    Over the last two years we have worked tirelessly to address the issues previously raised by FDA. We look forward to working closely with the Agency over the review period with the aim to make remestemcel-L available as a therapy for children suffering from SR-aGVHD.

    The post Mesoblast share price rockets 23% on FDA news appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Mesoblast Limited right now?

    Before you consider Mesoblast Limited, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Mesoblast Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of March 1 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Carsales share price on ice amid $500m cap raise and acquisition news

    A handsome smiling man sits in the front seat of an electric vehicle with his hands on the wheel feeling pleased that the Carsales share price is going up and the company will shortly pay its biggest dividend ever

    A handsome smiling man sits in the front seat of an electric vehicle with his hands on the wheel feeling pleased that the Carsales share price is going up and the company will shortly pay its biggest dividend ever

    The Carsales.Com Ltd (ASX: CAR) share price won’t be going anywhere on Wednesday.

    This morning, the auto listings company requested a trading halt of its shares.

    Why is the Carsales share price on ice?

    Carsales requested a trading halt this morning so it could undertake a capital raising to fund a major acquisition.

    According to the release, the company has signed an agreement with Brazil’s Banco Santander to acquire an additional 40% of Webmotors for approximately A$353 million. Webmotors is the number one automotive digital marketplace in Brazil.

    This agreement will see Carsales increase its stake in Webmotors to 70%, with Banco Santander retaining a 30% stake.

    The release also notes that Webmotors and Banco Santander will continue their valuable contractual relationship, with the bank continuing to be the credit and financial solutions partner for finance and insurance transactions made through the Webmotors platform.

    At the same time, Carsales expects that the equity change will allow Webmotors to benefit further from its expertise in digital marketing, customer experience, products, and services within the digital automotive ecosystem.

    It believes this will allow Webmotors to strengthen its market position while retaining the strong support of Banco Santander, which is the auto loans market leader in Brazil.

    The transaction is expected to be earnings per share neutral in the first full year after completion and accretive thereafter.

    Carsales CEO, Cameron McIntyre, commented:

    Webmotors is an outstanding automotive digital marketplace business with an innovative culture, a proven track record of strong growth over time and significant opportunities for future growth. Closer alignment to the carsales business makes strategic sense for both carsales and Santander to ensure webmotors’ continued long term success and delivery of value to our shareholders. With this acquisition carsales and Santander reverse equity positions in webmotors and maintain Santander’s important commercial exclusivity for credit and financial solutions on the webmotors platform.

    Capital raising

    To fund the acquisition, Carsales is launching a fully underwritten 1 for 14.01 pro-rata accelerated renounceable entitlement offer (institutional and retail) aiming to raise approximately $500 million through the issue of 25.1 million new Carsales shares at $19.95 per share.

    This represents an 11.9% discount to the Carsales share price at the close of play on Tuesday.

    The post Carsales share price on ice amid $500m cap raise and acquisition news appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Carsales.com Ltd right now?

    Before you consider Carsales.com Ltd, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Carsales.com Ltd wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of March 1 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Carsales.com. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Does the Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF (VAS) hold the ticket to building long-term wealth?

    The letters ETF sit in orange on top of a chart with a magnifying glass held over the top of it

    The letters ETF sit in orange on top of a chart with a magnifying glass held over the top of it

    I think that ASX shares are a great way to become wealthy over time. The exchange-traded fund (ETF) Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF (ASX: VAS) is a very popular way for Aussies to invest in the ASX share market.

    The Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF has assets under management (AUM) of around $12.5 billion and it’s steadily growing over time as more people add money into share market.

    With it being such a popular choice, I think it’s worth asking whether it holds the ticket to building long-term wealth.

    What does Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF do?

    The purpose of the ETF is to track the return of the S&P/ASX 300 Index (ASX: XKO). That index represents 300 of the biggest businesses on the ASX.

    The five biggest positions are: BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP), Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA), CSL Limited (ASX: CSL), National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) and Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC).

    There are 295 other holdings including banks, miners, retailers and so on.

    If the share price performance of the underlying businesses is good, the ETF will rise. If dividends are paid by the companies, those payments will be passed through to investors.

    One of the most helpful things about this ETF is how cheap the management fees are. The lower the costs, the more of the net returns are left in the hands of the investor. It currently has an annual management fee of 0.10%.

    Has Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF helped grow wealth?

    Firstly, past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

    Looking at the returns over the decade to 31 January 2023, the total return was an average of 8.7% per year. That level of return would turn $1,000 into $2,000 in less than nine years. In other words, investors could double their money in eight and a bit years.

    Of course, each individual invests at different times and at different prices, so the returns may differ somewhat. But, the ETF itself has provided the ASX share market return, which has been reasonable over a long period.

    I wouldn’t suggest someone put all of their investment money into one choice. But, let’s imagine someone puts all of their monthly savings into buying units of the Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF.

    Investing $1,500 a month into the ETF, and if it returned an average of 8.7% per annum, after 20 years they would have around $890,000.

    That sounds like a good amount of money to me.

    Is it the ticket to building wealth?

    I think Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF is a good choice. But, if we invest all our money in choice A, then we aren’t able to invest in choice B.

    For starters, I’d want diversification in my portfolio. The ASX share market is only a small part of the global share market. I think it’s a good idea to own a bit of US shares, some European shares and so on.

    We don’t need to go and individually buy those international companies. Another ETF can do the trick. Vanguard Msci Index International Shares ETF (ASX: VGS) invests in a portfolio of global shares and iShares S&P 500 ETF (ASX: IVV) invests in a portfolio of 500 US-listed businesses.

    Not only do these ETFs offer diversification, but I think they could achieve stronger returns over the long term.

    The ASX is dominated by large miners and domestically-focused banks. I don’t think it’s surprising that distribution income from the ETF makes up more than half of the total return over the past decade. That also implies there hasn’t been that much capital growth.

    I think businesses like Alphabet and Microsoft are good examples of businesses that have targeted the global economy for growth. It gives the businesses a stronger growth runway, in my opinion, so they can deliver better returns.

    The MSCI World Net Total Return Index (AUD), which is a benchmark for the global share market, has returned an average of 13.4% per year over the past decade. That’s despite all the volatility we’ve seen since the start of 2022.

    If an investor invested $1,500 per month for 20 years, and the investment returned 13.4% per annum, it would turn into $1.52 million. We can’t know what future returns will be, but I think it’s worth investing in ASX growth shares or global shares that could grow more over time.

    However, the Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF seems like a worthwhile investment that can produce reasonable returns.

    The post Does the Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF (VAS) hold the ticket to building long-term wealth? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Vanguard Australian Shares Index Etf right now?

    Before you consider Vanguard Australian Shares Index Etf, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Vanguard Australian Shares Index Etf wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of March 1 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended CSL, Microsoft, and Vanguard Msci Index International Shares ETF. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Vanguard Msci Index International Shares ETF, Westpac Banking, and iShares S&p 500 ETF. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • ASX 200 bank shares slump could continue: Morgan Stanley

    a woman leans her back on the glass of an office tower with her arms folded and her eyes closed as if digesting bad news.

    a woman leans her back on the glass of an office tower with her arms folded and her eyes closed as if digesting bad news.

    S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) bank shares had a rough time of it last month. The decline continued into the first week of March.

    In the past month, the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) share price has dropped 10%, the Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) share price has fallen 6.4%, the National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) share price has dropped 7% and the ANZ Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: ANZ) share price declined 5.5%.

    This negative return compares to a decline of just 1.7% for the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) over the last month.

    But, one broker thinks that banks could underperform the ASX 200 over the rest of 2023.

    Negative outlook for ASX 200 bank shares

    Morgan Stanley has suggested that the banking sector will underperform the ASX 200 over the rest of the year because of a combination of an economic slowdown, ongoing interest rate increases, falling house prices and higher mortgage serviceability hurdles, which could all hurt loan growth, according to reporting by The Australian.

    The broker suggests that lending margins are peaking, with refinancing and discounting up, while deposit pricing benefits moderate.

    Morgan Stanley’s Richard Wiles suggested that the current situation is increasing “the likelihood that major bank profit margins peak earlier and at a lower level.”

    Increasing interest rates and an increasingly competitive environment are causing more volatility to bank margins. The broker suggested that margins are likely to fall in FY24.

    Morgan Stanley reportedly pointed out that there don’t appear to be any near-term catalysts to accelerate loan growth. It’s also likely that loan losses are likely to worsen from here.

    The broker wrote:

    We forecast loss rates to rise to 16bp of loans in FY23 (estimate) and 29bp in FY24 (estimate), resulting in a double-digit earnings headwind in each year.

    While FY23 could see good profit growth for the banks, the broker estimates that profit at the ASX 200 bank shares will drop by an average of 12% in FY24.

    What’s going to happen with interest rates next?

    Yesterday, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) announced that it was increasing the cash rate target by 25 basis points to 3.60%.

    The RBA noted that global inflation remains “very high” and that services price inflation “remains high”, with strong demand for some services over the summer.

    Australia’s central bank noted that rents are increasing “at the fastest rate in some years”. It’s expecting inflation to decline in 2023 and 2024, reaching around 3% in mid-2025. The RBA said that medium-term inflation expectations remain “well anchored, and it is important that this remains the case.”

    It was also noted that wage growth is “continuing to pick up in response to the tight labour market and higher inflation.”

    In terms of the outlook, the RBA said that it “expects that further tightening of monetary policy will be needed to ensure that inflation returns to target and that this period of high inflation is only temporary.”

    What does this mean for ASX 200 bank shares?

    It does seem as though the share prices of the banks now reflect the tougher situation for banks.

    So, I think there may not be that much more downside unless the bank’s bank losses are worse than expected in the year ahead.

    I think that banks will still report higher profits and dividends in FY23. The dividends could rise in the years ahead and boost the cash returns of shareholders.

    The post ASX 200 bank shares slump could continue: Morgan Stanley appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Westpac Banking. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Lynas Rare Earths has plunged 20% in a month: Is it a buy?

    Woman in yellow hard hat and gloves puts both thumbs downWoman in yellow hard hat and gloves puts both thumbs down

    A year or two ago, Lynas Rare Earths Ltd (ASX: LYC) shares enjoyed a rapid ascent as the market recognised the business as the only major producer of rare earths outside of China.

    To boot, rare earths were a critical ingredient in batteries for electric vehicles, which are enjoying a surge in popularity.

    However, the Lynas share price has crashed almost 20% over the past month. In fact, the stock has languished over the past 12 months, losing more than 26%.

    So what is happening? And is it still a stock worth buying?

    Rare earths market has been shaken up

    According to Shaw and Partners portfolio manager James Gerrish, an announcement from a major buyer of rare earths shook up producers recently.

    “The rare earths market has been volatile this week on the back of Tesla Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA) announcing plans to install permanent magnets in their cars to reduce the reliance on the expensive materials,” he said in a Market Matters Q&A.

    “Very little detail was provided on the plans and we think there is a lot of work to get through before this becomes a reality.”

    But this development did not worry Gerrish.

    “Tesla, and EVs in general, are just one of many demand sources of rare earth materials,” he said.

    “We continue to like Lynas, the biggest player in the space outside of China.”

    Due to the geopolitical importance of its status as a rare producer in the first world, Gerrish noted Lynas enjoys government support from both Australia and the United States.

    The share price drop in the past month and year merely presents an attractive entry point.

    “While there are some risks around execution with the new Kalgoorlie plant, we think the market is taking a harsher view than what the company will deliver.”

    Lynas has plenty of fans

    Gerrish is not the only professional with a positive outlook for Lynas Rare Earths.

    The Motley Fool reported a fortnight ago that the analysts at Firetrail declared the stock as one of the best to buy for the next decade.

    “To make batteries, we need lithium, rare earths, nickel, cobalt and copper,” stated the team.

    “We hold Lynas Rare Earths Ltd in our Australian portfolios.”

    Wilsons equities strategist Rob Crookston flagged last month that Lynas could even be an attractive takeover target.

    “We are anticipating a robust year for resources stocks, which will include M&A activity as the sector undertakes growth and consolidation to take advantage of strong balance sheets after a bumper 2022,” he said in a memo to clients.

    “We believe the large major miners are looking to diversify towards EV minerals.”

    The post Lynas Rare Earths has plunged 20% in a month: Is it a buy? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

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    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the ‘five best ASX stocks’ for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now…

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    *Returns as of March 1 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Tesla. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Buy these ASX 200 shares now for big dividend yields: brokers

    Happy man holding Australian dollar notes, representing dividends.

    Happy man holding Australian dollar notes, representing dividends.

    If you’re looking to boost your income with some dividend shares, then you may want to consider the ones listed below.

    Both ASX dividend shares are rated as buys and expected to provide investors with big yields in the near term.

    Here’s what you need to know about them:

    Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS)

    If you don’t mind investing in the resources sector, then the first ASX dividend share to consider is Pilbara Minerals.

    Last month, this lithium miner delighted its shareholders by declaring a maiden interim dividend. The company made the move in response to the mountains of cash it is generating from its lithium.

    And while opinion is divided on where lithium prices are going from here, the team at Macquarie expects them to be strong enough to allow Pilbara Minerals to pay some big dividends in the coming years.

    Its analysts are expecting the miner to reward shareholders with a 45 cents per share dividend in FY 2023 and a 34 cents per share dividend in FY 2024. Based on the latest Pilbara Minerals share price of $4.16, this will mean yields of 10.8% and 8.2%, respectively.

    Macquarie has an outperform rating and $7.70 price target on the company’s shares.

    QBE Insurance Group Ltd (ASX: QBE)

    Another ASX dividend share to consider buying is insurance giant QBE.

    Morgans is a big fan of the company and has it on its best ideas list. The broker was pleased with QBE’s “very strong FY22 performance versus market expectations” and expects more of the same in FY 2023. This is thanks to key tailwinds of “premium rate increases and higher investment income which remain supportive of earnings growth.”

    In respect to dividends, the broker is expecting an 83 cents per share dividend in FY 2023 and then a 94 cents per share dividend in FY 2024. Based on the latest QBE share price of $15.27, this equates to yields of 5.4% and 6.2%, respectively.

    Morgans has an add rating and $16.96 price target on this insurance giant’s shares.

    The post Buy these ASX 200 shares now for big dividend yields: brokers appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • 47% upside: Expert names 2 entertainment ASX 200 shares to buy for cheap

    Happy family watching Netflix together.Happy family watching Netflix together.

    There is a school of thought that the entertainment industry is one that can remain resilient through economic downturns.

    The idea is that consumers will stay home more and watch television or streaming services, or gamble as a distraction from a troubled world.

    After ten consecutive months of interest rate rises, this theory is about to get a sore workout in Australia.

    Here are two ASX shares that fit the bill that one expert is recommending as buys:

    ‘Fundamentals are strong’

    Nine Entertainment Co Holdings Ltd (ASX: NEC) operates a free-to-air television network, streaming service Stan, as well as a national stable of newspapers and radio stations.

    Ord Minnett senior investment advisor Tony Paterno was impressed with what the company presented during the reporting season.

    “The diversified media giant posted group revenue of $1.403 billion in the first half of fiscal year 2023,” Paterno told The Bull.

    “This represented a 5% increase on the prior corresponding period.”

    Paterno was not too worried about net profit after tax, which was down 16%. 

    “Group fundamentals are strong, backed by a solid balance sheet,” he said.

    “In our view, the shares were trading at a discount at $1.91 on March 2. We retain our $2.80 fair value estimate.”

    The television network also scored a coup last month when it secured the broadcast rights to the next five Olympic games.

    The Nine share price is down more than 27% over the past 12 months.

    ‘The offer is appealing’

    Star Entertainment Group Ltd (ASX: SGR) has seen its share price halve over the past year as multiple government enquiries questioned its fitness to hold its casino licences.

    But with new management installed, perhaps it can’t get any worse.

    Paterno noted the company raised some much-needed cash with a $595 million institutional issue at $1.20 per share.

    “Star Entertainment expects to raise about $205 million from its retail entitlement offer. The offer will close on March 13,” he said.

    “The capital initiatives will dilute our fair value estimate, but we believe the offer is appealing on valuation grounds.”

    The money will be used to pay off debt and provide “liquidity headroom”, according to Paterno. 

    “New South Wales and Queensland regulators have imposed fines totalling $200 million on Star Entertainment,” he said.

    “Shareholders should examine the retail entitlement offer before investing.”

    The post 47% upside: Expert names 2 entertainment ASX 200 shares to buy for cheap appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    One “Under the Radar” Pick for the “Digital Entertainment Boom”

    Discover one tiny “”Triple Down”” stock that’s 1/45th the size of Google and could stand to profit as more and more people ditch free-to-air for streaming TV.

    But this isn’t a competitor to Netflix, Disney+ or Amazon Prime Video, as you might expect…

    Learn more about our Tripledown report
    *Returns as of March 1 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Nine Entertainment. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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