• Should I buy the dip on Zip shares right now?

    A wide-eyed man peers out from a small gap in his black zipped jumper conveying fear over the weak Zip share priceA wide-eyed man peers out from a small gap in his black zipped jumper conveying fear over the weak Zip share price

    The Zip Co Ltd (ASX: ZIP) share price has fallen unceremoniously over the past year. How the tides have turned since the golden days of cheap lending.

    Retracing the share price of this buy now, pay later provider during the last revolution of the sun tells a painful story. In a single 12-month stint, the once-popular name has morphed from a powerhouse to a pariah — taking the company’s shares 81% deep into a desolate abyss.

    Yet the company’s annual revenues are at all-time highs.

    So, could Zip shares rise from the ashes?

    Can Diamond bring back the sparkle?

    Once upon a time, investors admired Zip — and other BNPL offerings — for their breakneck revenue growth. It wasn’t long ago that Zip and Afterpay were duking it out for market attention, both presenting growth figures in excess of 100%.

    Profits? They weren’t a concern… it was all about how fast could you grow and how much market share could you take.

    Fast forward a few years and suddenly profits are… everything. There aren’t too many shareholders interested in sitting around another few years for a return. Inflation changed the formula, and now profits right now matter far more.

    Unfortunately for Zip shareholders, it looks like the BNPL company is lacking both the desirable traits of the past and the present at the moment.

    Despite the efforts made by CEO Larry Diamond and his team, Zip is still a far cry away from producing sustainable profits. Adding insult to injury, Zip’s prized growth rates are slowing as it attempts to strip out costs and chart a profitable course.

    In the first quarter of FY23, the company reported quarterly revenue growth of 19%. Likewise, its total transaction volume (TTV) increased by 15% year-on-year. The deceleration is dizzying when you compare it to Q1 FY22 — revenue and TTV growth of 89% and 101%, respectively.

    In my opinion, it’s going to be extremely difficult to slash costs, maintain growth, and turn a profit — all simultaneously — while arguably heading into a period of reduced consumer spending.

    Zip shares: solution and the problem

    To try and appease shareholders, Zip will need to make massive changes to the cost structure of the business. Or… it can simply raise more capital to fortify its $319.1 million cash balance at the end of September 2022.

    While this might tide the company over for a little longer, it also comes at an invisible cost… dilution.

    TradingView Chart

    As the chart above shows, Zip shareholders have suffered significant dilution over the years. Between 2019 and now, shares outstanding have nearly doubled. This means the Zip share price would need to be around $6.90 to reflect the per-share value at the end of 2019, not the $3.53 it traded for at the time.

    If Larry Diamond and the rest of the management team can pull it off without diluting shareholders into oblivion, I’ll be mighty impressed and have the utmost respect for the team.

    However, before jumping into Zip shares, I’d wait to see proof of the turnaround.

    The post Should I buy the dip on Zip shares right now? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the ‘five best ASX stocks’ for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of January 5 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Mitchell Lawler has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Zip Co. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Is 2023 Flight Centre’s year to return to profit?

    A smiling travel agent sitting at her desk working for Corporate Travel ManagementA smiling travel agent sitting at her desk working for Corporate Travel Management

    This year has been good to the Flight Centre Travel Group Ltd (ASX: FLT) share price so far. The stock has gained 8% year to date.

    But that’s not nearly enough to see the travel giant in the longer-term green. The stock is still more than 50% lower than it was prior to the start of the pandemic.

    In the same breath, it hasn’t posted a profit since financial year 2019 (FY19). But that could be about to change.

    The Flight Centre share price is currently $15.48.

    Flight Centre’s profit crash

    As anyone who watched the market crash amid the onset of the pandemic will know, it seemingly left no industry untouched. But I’d argue the travel sector was among the worst hit.

    2020 saw borders slammed shut around the globe and Aussies urged to stay at home. It’s likely no surprise then, that Flight Centre’s profits went out the window.

    The company scrapped its guidance in March 2020 and underwent a $700 million capital raise.

    After recording a $343 million profit in FY19, it posted an $849 million loss for FY20, a $602 million loss for FY21, and a $378 million loss for FY22.

    But the future looks brighter for Flight Centre’s bottom line. Let’s take a look at what this year might bring.

    Good news for the ASX 200 travel giant’s bottom line

    Flight Centre fans will be glad to know the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) travel share has actually already returned to profit.

    In fact, it was cash flow positive for the last few months of FY22, even breaking even in the second half.

    And those figures have continued to improve. The company posted a $61 million underlying earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA) profit for the first four months of FY23 and broke even on a pre-tax profit basis.

    Though, the market has yet to receive an earnings report in which the company is operating in the green. The company’s not expected to post its first-half earnings until next month.

    Flight Centre recently tipped its first-half underlying EBITDA to come in between $70 million and $90 million.

    The post Is 2023 Flight Centre’s year to return to profit? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the ‘five best ASX stocks’ for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of January 5 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Flight Centre Travel Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • If I’d bought $5,000 of Tesla stock 3 years ago, what would my investment be worth now?

    A futuristic view of electric vehicle technology with speeding bright light trails indicating power.A futuristic view of electric vehicle technology with speeding bright light trails indicating power.

    Tesla Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA) is one of the most famous share investments in the world. This fame has almost certainly been fueled by the legendary run Tesla stock went on between 2019 and 2022. The rather prominent public profile of its CEO Elon Musk would also be a factor.

    But Tesla has many other tailwinds behind it too. It is an undisputed leader in the electric vehicle and battery space, with its popular cars now topping electric vehicle sales around the world. Its innovative approach to vehicle design and technology has won the company legions of global fans.

    And Tesla continues to expand into previously unexplored territory. It has begun rolling out its Tesla Semi freight truck and plans to launch its highly-anticipated ‘cybertruck’ later this year.

    Tesla is also a leading provider of household and commercial-scale storage batteries and solar technology.

    There’s little doubt that government policies encouraging emissions-free travel and power generation are also powerful driving forces behind this company’s success. Policies such as electric vehicle subsidies will probably remain in place for decades, which will undoubtedly help the company’s growth.

    But let’s talk about Tesla stock. How lucrative have the company’s shares been over the past few years? And has the horror 2022 Tesla suffered dented investors’ longer-term returns?

    How much has Tesla stock made investors over the past three years?

    Let’s assume an investor bought US$5,000 worth of Tesla shares three years ago. That would have been in January of 2020. So back on Monday, 21 January 2020, Tesla stock closed at a split-adjusted US$36.48 per share.

    If an investor dropped US$5,000 on Tesla shares back then at this price, they would have received 137 shares of the company, with a couple of dollars left over.

    As of last night’s (our time) market close over in the United States, Tesla stock was fetching US$127.17 each. Thus, our 137 shares would, right now, have a value of US$17,422.30. That represents a return of close to 250% over just three years.

    So Tesla has still been a real winner for longer-term investors, despite the woes of 2022. Saying that, the company has had its fair share of both ups and downs recently.

    Back in late 2021, Tesla stock reached a high of US$414.50. At that point, our 137 shares would have been worth a whopping US$56,786.50.

    Who knows, maybe Tesla will get back there one day. But we shall have to see what happens in 2023 first.

    The post If I’d bought $5,000 of Tesla stock 3 years ago, what would my investment be worth now? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the ‘five best ASX stocks’ for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of January 5 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has positions in Tesla. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Tesla. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • If I invest $1,000 in A2 Milk shares now, what could my return be this year?

    a small child holds his chin with his head on the side in a serious thinking pose against a background of graphic question marks and a yellow lightbulb.

    a small child holds his chin with his head on the side in a serious thinking pose against a background of graphic question marks and a yellow lightbulb.

    A2 Milk Company Ltd (ASX: A2M) shares have been strong performers in recent months.

    As you can see below, since this time in August, the embattled infant formula company’s shares have risen 38%.

    Investors may now be wondering whether it is too late to invest after this impressive rally over the last five months.

    So, let’s take a look to see what might happen if you were to invest $1,000 into A2 Milk shares today.

    Is it too late to buy A2 Milk shares?

    Unfortunately, if the broker community is to be believed, the company’s shares have now peaked for the time being.

    While that doesn’t mean that they can’t climb from here, it just means that brokers won’t be instructing their clients to put money into A2 Milk.

    For example, the most bullish broker is Bell Potter. In fact, as far as I’m aware, it is the only broker that still has a buy rating on the infant formula company’s shares.

    However, its price target of $6.80 is now precisely in line with the current A2 Milk share price. This means your theoretical $1,000 investment would be worth exactly the same this time next year unless a maiden dividend is paid.

    Elsewhere, Goldman Sachs has a sell rating and $5.60 price target and Morgans has a hold rating and $6.35 price target. Based on their price targets, a $1,000 investment would turn into $824 and $934, respectively.

    Though, it is worth remembering that brokers don’t always make the right call. A stronger than expected first half result next month could lead to brokers having to upgrade their earnings estimates and ratings accordingly.

    So, investors may want to stay tuned for that. A2 Milk is scheduled to release its results on 20 February.

    The post If I invest $1,000 in A2 Milk shares now, what could my return be this year? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    FREE Investing Guide for Beginners

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    And to help even more people cut through some of the confusion “experts’” seem to want to perpetuate – we’ve created a brand-new “how to” guide.

    Yes, Claim my FREE copy!
    *Returns as of January 5 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended A2 Milk. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Which of the Vanguard ASX ETFs has performed best over the past year?

    ETF written in gold with dollar signs on coin.ETF written in gold with dollar signs on coin.

    It’s been a relatively rough 12 months for ASX shares and the share market. In 2022, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) went backwards by around 5.5%. As such, it was always going to be a tough year for ASX exchange-traded funds (ETFs), such as those run by provider Vanguard. 

    So let’s look at the best-performing Vanguard ETFs over the past 12 months.

    Of all Vanguard’s ETFs, only four managed a positive return in the 12 months to 31 December 2022. Let’s see which ones they were.  

    Four Vanguard ETFs that delivered a positive return last year

    Vanguard Infrastructure Index ETF (ASX: VBLD)

    This infrastructure-based ETF managed to eke out a gain of 0.2% in 2022, including fees and dividend distributions. The Vanguard Infrastructure ETF holds companies such as power generators, railway companies, pipeline operators and telcos.

    It’s heavily weighted towards the US markets, with almost 70% of its holdings hailing from America. These include NextEra Energy Inc, Union Pacific Corp and Canadian National Railway Co.

    This ETF has returned an average of 8.16% per annum since its inception in 2018. It charges a management fee of 0.47% per annum:

    Vanguard Global Value Equity Active ETF (ASX: VVLU)

    This ETF is a bit of a different beast, being an active ETF rather than an index fund. It uses modelling to build a portfolio of undervalued shares from around the world.

    Again, the US is the most dominant market in this fund, but shares are drawn from countries as diverse as Japan, Canada, Israel and Hong Kong. Some of its current holdings include AT&T Inc, Meta Platforms Inc and Exxon Mobil Corp.

    The Vanguard Global Value ETF returned 1.34% over 2022, after charging the annual management fee of 0.28%. Since its inception in 2018, this ETF has delivered an average annual return of 7.1% per annum.

    Vanguard MSCI Australian Large Companies Index ETF (ASX: VLC)

    Back to an index fund now, and this ASX-based ETF tracks the largest 20 companies on the Australian share market.

    Naturally, banks and miners like Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) and BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) are dominant here, with financials and materials shares accounting for more than 63% of the total portfolio.

    Even so, this ETF was able to give investors a decent return of 4.53% last year, thanks in most part to some hefty dividend distributions. This ETF charges 0.2% per annum and has returned an average of 8.01% per annum since its inception in 2011.

    Vanguard Australian Shares High Yield ETF (ASX: VHY) 

    Last but certainly not least in terms of performance in 2022, we have the Vanguard High Yield ETF.

    This fund invests in a basket of dividend-paying shares from the ASX, with the ETF currently invested in 74 income shares. These come from most corners of the ASX, but banks and miners are still quite dominant.

    The Vanguard High Yield ETF hit it out of the park last year, delivering investors a dividend-driven return of 8.6% in 2022. This makes it Vanguard’s most successful ASX ETF of last year.

    This fund charges a fee of 0.25% per annum and has given investors an average return of 8.76% per annum since its inception in 2011. 

    The post Which of the Vanguard ASX ETFs has performed best over the past year? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    “Cornerstone” ETFs for building long term wealth…

    Scott Phillips says plenty of people who hear the ‘ETFs are great’ story don’t realise one important thing. Not all ETFs are the same — or as good as you may think.

    To help investors navigate this often misunderstood area of the market, he’s released research revealing the “cornerstone” ETFs he thinks everyone should be looking at right now. (Plus which ones to avoid.)

    Click here to get all the details
    *Returns as of January 5 2023

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    Randi Zuckerberg, a former director of market development and spokeswoman for Facebook and sister to Meta Platforms CEO Mark Zuckerberg, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has positions in AT&T and Meta Platforms. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Meta Platforms, NextEra Energy, and Union Pacific. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended Canadian National Railway. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Meta Platforms and Vanguard Australian Shares High Yield ETF. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • ‘In harvest mode’: Why the Pilbara Minerals share price is rocketing 8% higher today

    A young man wearing a black and white striped t-shirt looks surprised.

    A young man wearing a black and white striped t-shirt looks surprised.The Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS) share price is having a stellar finish to the week,

    In morning trade, the lithium giant’s shares are up 8% to $4.35.

    Why is the Pilbara Minerals share price rocketing higher?

    Investors have been scrambling to buy this lithium miner’s shares following the release of its quarterly update.

    That update was filled with positives, with production, sales volumes, lithium prices, and unit costs all heading in the right direction quarter on quarter.

    For example, for the three months ended 31 December, Pilbara Minerals delivered a 10% quarter on quarter increase in spodumene concentrate to 162,151 dry metric tonnes (dmt) with a unit operating cost of A$579 per dmt.

    The latter was down 5% from the previous quarter and is lower than its full year guidance range of A$635 to A$700 dmt.

    And with the company benefiting from a combination of stronger market pricing and improved pricing outcomes with offtake customers, it reported spodumene concentrate sales of A$1.135 billion for the period.

    This lifted the company’s cash balance from $1.375 billion at the end of September to A$2.226 billion at the end of December.

    Broker response

    Brokers have responded positively to the update. Macquarie, for example, notes that Pilbara Minerals’ production and shipments came in ahead of its estimates.

    This has led to Macquarie reiterating its outperform rating and $7.50 price target. This implies potential upside of 72% for the Pilbara Minerals share price even after today’s solid gain.

    Elsewhere, the team at Citi was also pleased with the company’s performance.

    It believes that Pilbara Minerals will easily achieve its full year production guidance following the strong quarter. The broker also highlights the company’s impressive cash generation, commenting that it is “in harvest mode, banking another circa A$850 million.”

    In response, the broker has retained its buy rating and lifted its price target to $4.80.

    The post ‘In harvest mode’: Why the Pilbara Minerals share price is rocketing 8% higher today appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the ‘five best ASX stocks’ for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of January 5 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • ASX 200 company hauled to court for ‘serious contraventions’

    A man holds a law book and points his finger, indicating an accusation or alleged offence to be settled in courtA man holds a law book and points his finger, indicating an accusation or alleged offence to be settled in court

    The ASX-listed company operating retail chains Rebel Sport, BCF and Super Cheap Auto is facing legal action brought on by the Fair Work Ombudsman.

    The ombudsman on Friday revealed that the Federal Court would hear of “serious contraventions” under the Fair Work Act against Super Retail Group Ltd (ASX: SUL) relating to alleged underpayment of staff.

    Four of Super Retail’s subsidiaries are also named in the legal action.

    “The breaches alleged in this case – inadequate annual salaries for employees stretching across multiple years – have become a persistent issue for businesses,” said Fair Work ombudsman Sandra Parker.

    “Every employer should be clear that if annual salaries do not cover all minimum lawful entitlements for all hours actually worked, the results can be substantial back-payment bills, plus the risk of significant court-ordered penalties.”

    Some staff left $34,500 short

    The court case will focus on a sample of 146 employees who were allegedly underpaid $1.14 million for work between January 2017 and March 2019.

    Super Retail has actually undertaken a remediation program, but the ombudsman will state that the back payments fall short.

    Some staff members have been underpaid as much as $34,500.

    Super Retail chief executive Anthony Heraghty announced to the ASX that any incorrect payment of staff was “unacceptable and contrary to the company’s values”.

    “We are sorry for the impact on our team members and today we restate our unreserved apology to each person affected,” he said.

    “Since 2018, we have changed our processes to fix the issues and help to ensure team members are being paid correctly.”

    Super Retail shares were down 0.64% in mid-morning trade Friday. The stock currently pays out a 5.6% dividend yield.

    First-ever court action against holding company

    Parker stated that this is the first time that court action has been taken against a holding company for the alleged sins of its subsidiaries.

    “Holding companies who allegedly knew or reasonably should have known of underpayments within their group will be held to account,” she said.

    “We expect that holding companies have thorough governance measures in place to promote compliance across their subsidiaries, and that they act immediately to rectify any problems found.”

    The post ASX 200 company hauled to court for ‘serious contraventions’ appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Our Favorite E-Commerce Stocks

    Why these four e-commerce stocks may be the perfect buy for the “new normal” facing the retail industry

    See the 4 stocks
    *Returns as of January 5 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Super Retail Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Super Retail Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • How I’d invest $40k in ASX shares and aim for $1 million

    A man in suit and tie is smug about his suitcase bursting with cash.

    A man in suit and tie is smug about his suitcase bursting with cash.

    If I were looking to invest $40,000 into the Australian share market, I wouldn’t be aiming for a quick profit.

    I would put my money to work over the long term with the aim of growing that investment into $1 million one day.

    But how realistic is turning $40,000 into $1 million with ASX shares? The good news is that it is very realistic if you have time on your side, thanks to the power of compounding.

    Turning $40k into $1 million with ASX shares

    As of the end of 2021, the Australian share market had provided investors an average return of 9.58% per annum over a 30-year period.

    Given that this is broadly in line with the historical returns generated on Wall Street, I believe it is fair to expect something similar over the next 30 years. Though, it is worth remembering that past performance is no guarantee of future returns.

    If I were to make a single investment of $40,000 into the share market and earn that same level of return for 30 years, I would fall a little short of my aim at approximately $623,000.

    However, it wouldn’t take too much longer to reach my target if the returns continued.

    Although it has taken 30 years to grow my original investment by almost $600,000, the power of compounding means that it would take only another 5.2 years to take that number to the $1 million mark.

    Getting there sooner

    If I were able to make a few smaller investments along the way, I could potentially reach my goal even sooner.

    Starting with $40,000 and then adding $500 a month, or $6,000 a year, would grow my portfolio to the $1 million mark after 25 years based on an average annual return of 9.58%.

    Increase the annual contribution to $12,000 a year, and we’re there in approximately 20 years.

    But which ASX shares should you buy?

    If you want to invest for the long term, my advice is to focus on buying ASX shares with strong business models, competitive advantages, and favourable long-term outlooks.

    I believe ASX shares Altium Limited (ASX: ALU), CSL Limited (ASX: CSL), and Xero Limited (ASX: XRO) tick these boxes, so they could all be worth a closer look.

    Alternatively, investors could consider exchange-traded funds (ETFs) based on indices such as the Betashares Nasdaq 100 ETF (ASX: NDQ) and Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF (ASX: VAS).

    The post How I’d invest $40k in ASX shares and aim for $1 million appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    So, you’ve decided to get started in the stock market?

    When you’re first getting into the stock market, the sheer number of stocks you can choose from may seem overwhelming.

    But it doesn’t have to be that way…

    Which is why we handpicked our ‘Starter Stocks’ to help make it as easy as possible for you to begin building your portfolio.

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    *Returns as of January 5 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Altium, BetaShares Nasdaq 100 ETF, CSL, and Xero. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Altium, BetaShares Nasdaq 100 ETF, CSL, and Xero. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended BetaShares Nasdaq 100 ETF and Xero. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Why is ASX 200 lithium share Liontown tanking 10% today?

    A woman sits with her hands covering her eyes while lifting her spectacles sitting at a computer on a desk in an office setting.

    A woman sits with her hands covering her eyes while lifting her spectacles sitting at a computer on a desk in an office setting.

    The Liontown Resources Ltd (ASX: LTR) share price is ending the week deep in the red.

    At the time of writing, the lithium developer’s shares are down 10% to $1.35.

    Why is the Liontown share price crashing?

    Investors have been selling down the Liontown share price on Friday following the release of an update on the company’s Kathleen Valley Lithium Project in Western Australia.

    That update reveals that that construction of the project is going to cost more than previous estimates, which appears to have sparked fears that a capital raising may be required.

    This is the second time that the capital cost of the project has been revised higher in a little over six months.

    According to the release, additional scope and cost escalation has resulted in Kathleen Valley’s estimated capital cost to first production from the process plant increasing to $895 million inclusive of $40 million in contingency.

    As a comparison, in June, Liontown revised its pre-production capital cost estimate from $473 million to $545 million.

    The issue here is that Liontown revealed that it has spent $73 million on the project to date, bringing down the remaining capital cost of to $822 million including its contingency funds. However, it only has ~$685 million of remaining funds, comprising ~$385 million in existing cash reserves and $300 million via a debt facility.

    Liontown advised that it is progressing a range of potential further funding options. Though, additional funding is not currently expected to be required until the end of 2023.

    It also notes that it sees opportunities to generate revenue through a Direct Shipping Ore (DSO) opportunity designed to monetise material not previously expected to be processed. This is what Core Lithium Ltd (ASX: CXO) did recently, raising somewhere in the region of US$14 million.

    Production expansion

    Despite what the Liontown share price might indicate, the announcement wasn’t all bad news for shareholders of the ASX 200 lithium share.

    Management revealed that the company has optimised the plant capacity design to deliver a 20% increase in the initial plant throughput rate to 3Mtpa (up from 2.5Mtpa).

    This is expected to drive increased SC6.0 production to take advantage of strong short- and medium-term forecast lithium pricing.

    Finally, it also confirmed that the Kathleen Valley Project remains on-track for first production from the process plant in mid-2024, with prudent scope adjustments made early in the construction schedule to further de-risk and maintain this timing.

    The post Why is ASX 200 lithium share Liontown tanking 10% today? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Need a breakthrough in your investing? Try these four ‘pullback stocks’…

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    *Returns as of January 5 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Should I buy Rio Tinto shares in 2023?

    rising mining asx share price represented by happy woman miner in hard hatrising mining asx share price represented by happy woman miner in hard hat

    The Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO) share price has outperformed the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) over the last 12 months. And one broker tips it to continue to rise.

    Right now, the Rio Tinto share price is $126.01, 11.1% higher than it was this time last year.

    For comparison, the ASX 200 has gained 1.3% in that time.

    Let’s take a look at whether Rio Tinto shares could represent a buying opportunity this year.

    Rio Tinto shares tipped to gain 6.6%

    The Rio Tinto share price has had a good start to this year. It’s gained 9% year to date amid strong quarterly results, which dropped on Tuesday. This week’s release also led one top broker to up its price target for the stock.

    The iron ore production at the company’s Pilbara operations increased 6% year-on-year last quarter, reaching 89.5 million tonnes, while iron ore shipments lifted 4% year-on-year to 87.3 million tonnes, and its realised average iron ore price came in at US$97.60 per wet metric tonne.

    Its iron ore guidance for 2023 remains flat at 320 million tonnes to 335 million tonnes.

    Meanwhile, the company upgraded its mined copper production forecasts to between 650 thousand tonnes to 710 thousand tonnes after completing its US$3.1 billion acquisition of Turquoise Hill Resources in mid-December.

    Goldman Sachs upped its price target on Rio Tinto shares from $130 to $134.40 on the back of the release. That represents a potential 6.6% upside.

    It believes the stock is trading at a “compelling valuation” and expects it to restart production growth this year.

    It also likes the company’s low carbon aluminium business, saying it’s one of the highest margin, lowest emitting of its type in the world.

    I think Rio Tinto could be a 2023 buy

    There are plenty of reasons to like the ASX 200 iron ore giant right now, in my opinion.

    The stock currently offers a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 10.29 and a 26.4% debt-to-equity ratio, according to CommSec data. Additionally, its current 7.6% dividend yield is particularly tempting.

    All that, combined with Goldman Sachs’ positive growth forecast, leads me to believe Rio Tinto shares could be a worthwhile addition to my portfolio in 2023.

    The post Should I buy Rio Tinto shares in 2023? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    *Returns as of January 5 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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