• Buy and hold these fantastic ASX growth shares: experts

    A man points at a paper as he holds an alarm clock.

    A man points at a paper as he holds an alarm clock.

    If you like ASX growth shares and buy and hold investing, then you may want to read on.

    That’s because listed below are two ASX shares that have been tipped to grow very strongly over the long term. Here’s what you need to know about these buy-rated growth shares:

    Domino’s Pizza Enterprises Ltd (ASX: DMP)

    The first ASX growth share that has been tipped as a buy is this pizza chain operator.

    Its shares were sold off in 2022 amid concerns over inflationary pressures on both its costs and consumer spending.

    And while they have rebounded strongly in recent months, they are still down materially since this time last year. This could be a buying opportunity according to analysts at Morgans.

    The broker believes that Domino’s is “a high quality operator with significant brand strength, first class executive management and a global platform for long-term network expansion.” It also believes that “now is the best time to consider an investment in a quality business like DMP that is facing headwinds that will reverse in time.”

    Morgans currently has an add rating and $90.00 price target on its shares, which implies potential upside of 24%.

    Life360 Inc (ASX: 360)

    Another ASX growth share that could be in the buy zone after a difficult time in 2022 is Life360.

    It is a growing location technology company that has almost 50 million global active users of its eponymous Life360 mobile app. From these users, the company expects to generate revenue in the range of US$225 million to US$240 million in FY 2022.

    The good news is that this is still only a fraction of its market opportunity. For example, Goldman Sachs estimates that “Life360 is exposed to a US$12bn global TAM with a large opportunity to expand its product suite, grow average revenue per paying circle (ARPPC), increase payer conversion, and lift penetration rates outside of the US.”

    The broker also believes “Life360 is approaching an inflection point as it proves the pricing power of its subscription business model and moves out of the non-profitable tech basket.” It feels this could be supportive of a re-rating in the near future.

    Goldman has a buy rating and $7.90 price target on Life360’s shares, which implies potential upside of 38% for investors from current levels.

    The post Buy and hold these fantastic ASX growth shares: experts appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the ‘five best ASX stocks’ for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of January 5 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Domino’s Pizza Enterprises and Life360. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Domino’s Pizza Enterprises and Life360. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Domino’s Pizza Enterprises. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Analysts say these growing ASX dividend shares are buys right now

    A man sees some good news on his phone and gives a little cheer.

    A man sees some good news on his phone and gives a little cheer.

    If you’re looking for dividend shares to buy, then the two listed below could be worth a look.

    Both have been named as buys by analysts recently and tipped to provide attractive and growing yields. Here’s what you need to know about them:

    Universal Store Holdings Ltd (ASX: UNI)

    The first ASX dividend share to consider is Universal Store. It is a growing youth fashion retailer behind the Universal Store and Thrills brands.

    Goldman Sachs is very positive on the company. Particularly given its exposure to younger consumers, which the broker expects to continue spending in 2023. This is due to their lack of exposure to rising interest rates and an increase in the minimum wage.

    Goldman Sachs has a buy rating and $7.30 price target on its shares. The broker commented:

    In addition to a strong outlook for Gen-Z spending, we see an opportunity for ongoing store roll-out for UNI which is the market leader in youth multi-brand apparel. Relative to youth footwear, the youth apparel category is under-penetrated in terms of store footprint; we forecast an additional 22 Universal stores will be rolled out in the next three years.

    As for dividends, the broker is expecting fully franked dividends of 26.1 cents in FY 2023 and 29.9 cents in FY 2024. Based on the latest Universal Store share price of $5.81, this equates to yields of 4.5% and 5.1%, respectively.

    Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES)

    Another ASX dividend share to consider is Bunnings, Kmart, and Officeworks owner (among others), Wesfarmers.

    Morgans is a fan of this conglomerate and believes it could be a top option in the current environment. It has an add rating and $55.60 price target on Wesfarmers’ shares.

    The broker believes Wesfarmers’ shares are attractively priced at the current level. It said:

    Trading on 22.5x FY23F PE and 3.8% [now 3.7%] yield, we continue to see WES’s valuation as attractive for a high-quality business with a diversified group of retail and industrial brands, solid balance sheet and strong leadership team that will continue delivering long-term value for shareholders.

    In respect to dividends, the broker is forecasting fully franked dividends per share of $1.82 in FY 2023 and $1.89 in FY 2024. Based on the current Wesfarmers share price of $49.22, this will mean yields of 3.7% and 3.8%, respectively.

    The post Analysts say these growing ASX dividend shares are buys right now appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    You beat inflation buying stocks that pay the biggest dividends right? Sorry, you could be falling into a ‘dividend trap’…

    Mammoth dividend yields may look good on the surface… But just because a company is writing big cheques now, doesn’t mean it’ll always be the case. Right now, ‘dividend traps’ are ready to catch unwary investors as they race to income stocks to fight inflation.

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    Learn more about our Top 3 Dividend Stocks report
    *Returns as of January 5 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Forget gold! ASX 200 blue-chip shares could be the new safe-haven asset

    a woman wearing the black and yellow corporate colours of a leading bank gazes out the window in thought as she holds a tablet in her hands.a woman wearing the black and yellow corporate colours of a leading bank gazes out the window in thought as she holds a tablet in her hands.

    When it comes to safe-haven assets, investors often think of gold as king. But the yellow metal comes with an opportunity cost.

    That’s why I think S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) blue-chip shares could be a better safety net. Let’s explore.

    What is a safe-haven asset?

    A safe-haven asset is typically an investment that offers respite from market volatility. No doubt, then, plenty of investors have considered snapping up one or two in recent times.

    The ASX 200 had a rollercoaster ride in 2022, ultimately ending the year 5% lower than it started. Looking further back, the index crashed in 2020 before roaring to a new all-time record high in mid-2021. If your stomach had been lurching through that time, you’re not alone.

    Indeed, investor moves to protect hard-earned cash may have helped drive the price of gold higher in recent months. The metal is trading at US$1,936.30 an ounce today, as per CNBC. That’s around its highest point since April 2022.

    But, while investing in gold might bring fewer risks than buying some stocks, it generally doesn’t provide the growth ASX 200 shares can. Nor does it pay dividends.

    Fortunately, there is a middle ground for risk-averse investors. And that is ASX 200 blue-chip shares.

    Why are blue-chip shares a ‘safer’ buy?

    Blue-chip shares tend to offer sturdy balance sheets, competitive advantages, and greater brand recognition than their peers. They are also often industry leaders with a long track record of strong performance.

    Such characteristics generally mean they can push through hard times without as much damage as, say, growth shares might experience. They can also provide capital growth and dividends, both of which can act as an inflation hedge.

    Thus, they can provide a safe haven from much of the market’s volatility. Though, no investment can be guaranteed to provide either growth or downside protection.

    Market watchers will likely recognise such blue-chip shares as investment banking giant Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG), big four bank Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC), and conglomerate behind such retailers as Bunnings and Kmart, Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES).

    They each demonstrate many of the qualities of blue-chips and boast valuations of between $56 billion and $83 billion.

    Why not both?

    But why can’t a risk-averse investor have both? Of course, one can always hold both ASX 200 blue chips and gold.

    They can also invest in the gold mining giant Newcrest Mining Ltd (ASX: NCM). Newcrest boasts a $20.5 billion market capitalisation and tends to rise and fall alongside the price of the yellow metal since its earnings are tied to the commodity.

    The post Forget gold! ASX 200 blue-chip shares could be the new safe-haven asset appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the ‘five best ASX stocks’ for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of January 5 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Macquarie Group and Westpac Banking. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Why Accent, Iluka, Myer, and QBE shares are charging higher today

    a man sits at his computer pumping his fist as he smiles widely with eyes closed and an expression of great joy as he looks at his laptop screen in his own home with a cup nearby.

    a man sits at his computer pumping his fist as he smiles widely with eyes closed and an expression of great joy as he looks at his laptop screen in his own home with a cup nearby.

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has come under pressure on Wednesday after a higher than expected inflation reading. In afternoon trade, the benchmark index is down 0.2% to 7,476.2 points.

    Four ASX shares that aren’t letting that hold them back today are listed below. Here’s why they are charging higher:

    Accent Group Ltd (ASX: AX1)

    The Accent share price is up 9% to $2.09. This follows the release of a strong trading update from the footwear retailer this morning. Accent revealed that total sales for the first half were up 33% over the prior corresponding period to $825 million. This is expected to lead to half year earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) in the range of $90 million to $92 million, up from $30.3 million a year earlier.

    Iluka Resources Limited (ASX: ILU)

    The Iluka share price is up 2.5% to $11.03. Investors have been buying this mineral sands producer’s shares following the release of its fourth quarter and full year update. Iluka reported production of 157,000 tonnes for the fourth quarter, taking its full year production to 679,400 tonnes. And while its production and sales volumes were both lower year over year, stronger prices led to revenue growing 16.3% to $1,727.4 million.

    Myer Holdings Ltd (ASX: MYR)

    The Myer share price is up a further 5% to 94.2 cents. Investors have been buying this department store operator’s shares following the release of a trading update this week. Myer revealed that for the five months to December 31, it delivered total sales growth of 24.8%. Management expects this to lead to the company reporting a first half profit of $61 million to $66 million. The latter will be double last year’s half year profit.

    QBE Insurance Group Ltd (ASX: QBE)

    The QBE share price is up almost 1.5% to $13.78. This appears to have been driven by a bullish broker note out of Goldman Sachs this morning. Goldman has named the company as its top pick in the insurance sector and has initiated coverage with a buy rating and $16.67 price target. It believes QBE’s shares are trading at an attractive level compared to historical levels, particularly given its strong capital position and improving outlook.

    The post Why Accent, Iluka, Myer, and QBE shares are charging higher today appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    *Returns as of January 5 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Accent Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Investing in ASX 200 copper shares? Here’s the outlook for the red metal in 2023

    Two young male miners wearing red hardhats stand inside a mine and shake handsTwo young male miners wearing red hardhats stand inside a mine and shake hands

    S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) copper shares could be in for some healthy tailwinds in 2023 as the price of the red metal is widely tipped to keep marching higher. 

    That would certainly be good news for investors in blue-chip copper stocks like Sandfire Resources Ltd (ASX: SFR) and Oz Minerals Ltd (ASX: OZL).

    What’s happening with the copper price?

    The copper price topped US$10,600 in March last year before sliding to lows of US$7,200 in July as soaring inflation and rising interest rates temporarily took the shine off the industrial metal.

    2023 has seen the copper price march steadily higher, helping lift the prospects of ASX 200 copper shares.

    Year-to-date copper has gained more than 12%, currently trading for US$9,315 per tonne.

    That’s helped propel the Sandfire Resources share price to a 20% gain so far in 2023.

    Oz Minerals is a bit of a different story, due to the ongoing takeover process with BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP).

    With BHP seeking to acquire Oz Minerals via a scheme of arrangement for a cash price of $28.25 per share, the ASX 200 copper share has been trading in a fairly narrow band over the past weeks.

    Forecast outperformance could boost ASX 200 copper shares in 2023

    Copper is already off to a strong start in 2023.

    And according to the latest MLIV Pulse survey, reported by Bloomberg, professional and retail investors alike have pegged copper as “the most likely commodity to outperform when compared to oil, corn and gold”.

    Part of that investor bullishness comes from copper’s widespread use in construction activities, with China’s reopening from its zero-COVID forecast to boost demand for the metal.

    Copper, a highly conductive metal, is also a vital element in EVs and the broader global march towards electrification.

    Goldman Sachs head of commodities research Jeff Currie is among the analysts who believe the copper price will continue to increase in 2023, which would offer support for ASX 200 copper shares.

    According to Currie:

    Our target end of year is US$11,500…but longer term, we are in line with Trafigura, we see US$15,000 a tonne. You know, there’s a structural imbalance in these markets. You are likely to see peak copper supply in 2024.

    The post Investing in ASX 200 copper shares? Here’s the outlook for the red metal in 2023 appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the ‘five best ASX stocks’ for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of January 5 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Meet the ASX ETF up 40% in 4 months

    A person with a round-mouthed expression clutches a device screen and looks shocked and surprised.A person with a round-mouthed expression clutches a device screen and looks shocked and surprised.

    The past four months or so have been especially lucrative for ASX investors. The ASX 200 dropped below 6,400 points in September last year. But since then, the Index has risen by more than 15%. That includes the impressive rally of 7.4% that the ASX 200 has enjoyed since the start of 2023.

    As such, most ASX-based index funds have risen by a similar amount over the past four months. But one ASX exchange-traded fund (ETF) has almost tripled this gain. It’s the VanEck Gold Miners ETF (ASX: GDX).

    This ETF isn’t too hard to figure out. As its name implies, it invests in a portfolio of gold mining shares sourced from around the world. More than half of its holdings come from Canada. But the United States, Australia, South Africa, China, the United Kingdom, and Peru are also present in this ETF.

    Some of the VanEck Gold Miners ETFs’ top holdings include Newmont Corp, Barrick Gold Corp, Franco-Nevada Corp, and our own ASX gold shares Newcrest Mining Ltd (ASX: NCM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST).

    Overall, this ETF currently holds 49 individual gold shares within it.

    But let’s get down to performance.

    ASX gold ETF smashes the market’s returns

    So back in late September 2022, the VanEck Gold Miners ETF hit a new 52-week low of $33.72 per unit.

    But today, this ETF is trading at $46.84 per unit at the time of writing. That’s a good 38.9% above where it was back in late September. That’s close to triple the gains of the broader market:

    So why has this ETF been such a winner for investors of late?

    Well, again, it’s not too obscure. Gold itself has been on a bit of a tear recently. Back in late September last year, the precious metal was asking around US$1,630 per ounce. Today, you’ll have to hand over almost US$1,940 for that same ounce of yellow metal.

    Gold miners have relatively fixed costs. As such, their profits can increase exponentially when gold rises in price. That’s why miners tend to be viewed as a more leveraged way to gain exposure to gold.

    To illustrate, the VanEck Gold Miners ETF rose 38.9% over the past four months, but an ASX ETF tracking the price of gold itself – the BetaShares Gold Bullion ETF (ASX: QAU) – is ‘only’ up by 17.5% over the same period.

    So that’s why the VanEck Gold Miners ETF has been such a winner for investors of late. However, this ETF is still down by around 23% from the highs of over $60 per unit that we saw back in 2020.

    The post Meet the ASX ETF up 40% in 4 months appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    “Cornerstone” ETFs for building long term wealth…

    Scott Phillips says plenty of people who hear the ‘ETFs are great’ story don’t realise one important thing. Not all ETFs are the same — or as good as you may think.

    To help investors navigate this often misunderstood area of the market, he’s released research revealing the “cornerstone” ETFs he thinks everyone should be looking at right now. (Plus which ones to avoid.)

    Click here to get all the details
    *Returns as of January 5 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has positions in Newcrest Mining. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Why Best & Less, Evolution, Mineral Resources, and St Barbara shares are dropping

    Three guys in shirts and ties give the thumbs down.

    Three guys in shirts and ties give the thumbs down.In afternoon trade, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has dropped into the red following the release of a higher than expected inflation reading. At the time of writing, the benchmark index is down 0.25% to 7,471.7 points.

    Four ASX shares that are falling more than most today are listed below. Here’s why they are dropping:

    Best & Less Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: BST)

    The Best & Less share price is down 7% to $1.96. Investors have been selling this discount retailer’s shares following the release of a disappointing trading update. Although the retailer reported a 13% jump in half year revenue, it expects to record a first half profit after tax of $13.7 million. This will be down 32% over the prior corresponding period due to significant margin pressure.

    Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN)

    The Evolution Mining share price is down almost 4% to $3.28. A number of brokers have responded negatively to this gold miner’s quarterly update. One of those was Ord Minnett, which has downgraded Evolution’s shares to a hold rating with a $3.20 price target. It was a touch underwhelmed with the company’s performance during the December quarter.

    Mineral Resources Ltd (ASX: MIN)

    The Mineral Resources share price is down 4% to $92.57. This follows the release of the mining and mining services company’s quarterly update. Although Mineral Resources reported a strong increase in lithium shipments, its iron ore shipments fell quarter on quarter. The company also revealed that its Mt Marion expansion has been delayed.

    St Barbara Ltd (ASX: SBM)

    The St Barbara share price is down 13.5% to 77 cents. Investors have been hitting the sell button after the gold miner delivered another disappointing quarterly update. For the three months ended 31 December, the company delivered gold production of 60,976 ounces at an all-in sustaining cost of A$2,666 per ounce. The latter is higher than the A$2,591 per ounce it received for its gold during the period.

    The post Why Best & Less, Evolution, Mineral Resources, and St Barbara shares are dropping appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Are stocks setting up for a big rally?

    There’s a lot of fear in the market…

    Which means now could be the exact time to be scooping up great stocks at potentially steep discounts.

    Especially when some have pulled back as much as 50% off recent highs…

    Five years from now, we think you’ll probably wish you’d bought these ‘pullback stocks’…

    See The 4 Stocks
    *Returns as of January 5 2023

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Consumer spending defies logic as inflation rages higher, locking in yet another interest rate hike in February

    A woman holds her head and screams.A woman holds her head and screams.

    1) It has been a flying start for the ASX so far in 2023, with the AFR reporting the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is “off to the best start in at least 30 years.”

    Quite remarkably, given all we’ve been through over the past two “covid” years – particularly the pandemic itself, high inflation and sharply higher interest rates – the ASX 200 index is trading within a whisker of its all time highs.

    It’s in sharp contrast to the beatings handed out to growth shares, particularly in the US, with the Nasdaq Composite Index (NASDAQ: .IXIC) down over 16% in the last 12 months.

    Australian investors can thank our lucky stars the ASX 200 index has a hefty weighting to commodities – particularly oil and coal – helping propel the Whitehaven Coal Ltd (ASX: WHC) share price 246% higher these past 12 months, with the Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) share price 50% higher over the same period.

    2) Most of the heavy lifting has already been done by central banks as they’ve undertaken one of the most aggressive periods of sustained interest rate hikes in history in the fight against rampant inflation.

    All eyes now are on the economy, and whether the landing will be hard or soft.

    So far so good for the optimists, with consumers continuing to spend even as they face sharply higher mortgage repayments as low fixed rate deals roll off this year and next.

    A trading update from shoe retailer Accent Group Ltd (ASX: AX1) said “trade has continued to be strong through November and December” with sales above expectations. Admittedly against softer “covid” trade last year, Accent total sales are up 39% for FY23, a stunning performance for a somewhat discretionary retailer.

    Not surprisingly, the Accent Group share price is up 9% to $2.09 in Wednesday morning trade. Accent shares trade at around 15 times forward earnings and on a forecast fully franked dividend yield of around 5%… not cheap if consumers start putting their hands in their pockets later this year. 

    3) Consumer behaviour has me baffled. Given the coming interest rate shock, given consumer confidence is deeply pessimistic and given the falling house prices, I’d have thought people would be battening down the hatches, preparing for tough times ahead.

    But no. Revenge spending post covid carries on, not this time on the stock market and online shopping, but on shoes, restaurants and travel. 

    With most working-age Australians never having experienced a “proper” recession, coupled with low unemployment and a high savings rate, consumers are partying now and worrying about tomorrow when it comes. 

    Helping too are superannuation balances, hardly moved for many Australians despite the macroeconomic ructions felt here and around the world. 

    She’ll be right mate.

    4) Before today, some economists were predicting/hoping the Reserve Bank of Australia would hold interest rates at the upcoming February meeting. 

    Deloitte Access Economics said there is an “everest of evidence” to suggest that the Reserve Bank should hold the rate next month.

    “Australia’s consumer-led recovery is rapidly running out of road, with the combination of falling house prices, rising interest rates, high inflation, low levels of consumer confidence, and negative real wage growth expected to combine to see spending growth decelerate markedly over coming months,” said Deloitte’s Stephen Smith on Investor Daily

    Just like I was saying…

    Except, today’s inflation print came in hot after headline inflation of 7.8%, comfortably ahead of expectations.

    Cue the ASX 200 index going into a sharp reverse and Australian bond yields spiking higher. Cue also a locked-in 25 basis point rise in the cash rate in February. 

    Inflation is not done with yet. 

    Just when you thought we’re through the worst, there could be pain ahead for equity investors, and more pain for interest-rate sensitive growth shares.

    5) Speaking of pain, uber-bear Jeremy Granthan is quoted on Bloomberg as saying the popping of the bubble in US stocks is far from over and investors shouldn’t get too excited about a strong start to the year for the market.

    The 84-year old money manager says the S&P 500 Index (SP: .INX) could decline as much as 20% from current levels, adding…

    “There are more things that can go wrong than there are that can go right. There’s a definite chance that things could go wrong and that we could have basically the system start to go completely wrong on a global basis.”

    According to one poster on Twitter, the last time Jeremy Grantham was bullish was 2009 and by January 2010 he was already calling the market a bubble. 

    The post Consumer spending defies logic as inflation rages higher, locking in yet another interest rate hike in February appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    Motley Fool contributor Bruce Jackson has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Accent Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Which ASX lithium share executive just invested $1.5 million in his company?

    A cute little kid in a suit pulls a shocked face as he talks on his smartphone.A cute little kid in a suit pulls a shocked face as he talks on his smartphone.

    The Liontown Resources Ltd (ASX: LTR) share price is in the green today, up 0.65% to $1.55 at the time of writing.

    Liontown chair Tim Goyder is likely quite pleased. Five days ago, he picked up an extra $1.5 million worth of Liontown shares in on-market trades. And he got them for a great price, too.

    While the average price paid is not revealed in the ASX lodgement from the company, the trades took place on 20 January. On that day, the highest price Liontown shares traded at was $1.465. Its lowest price was $1.28 and its closing price was $1.375. The shares dived after a market announcement.

    Goyder purchased one million shares directly on-market. There was a further 145,000 Liontown shares purchased indirectly, also on-market, in the name of his wife, Linda Goyder, and related entities.

    If we assume he paid the highest price of the day, he’s sitting on a tidy five-day profit of $127,500 at today’s current price.

    But that’s a drop in the bucket when we consider that Goyder owns more than 162.5 million shares directly. And that excludes the hundreds of millions of shares he holds in his family trust and superannuation fund, too.

    What’s the lesson for investors?

    The lesson for ordinary investors here is the confidence that this sort of insider investment inspires.

    Goyder wouldn’t have so much personal wealth tied up in Liontown shares if he didn’t think the future was bright.

    This is despite Liontown being unlikely to post a profit in 2023, as my colleague Brooke reported yesterday.

    It’s also unlikely that Goyder and his wife would be putting $1.5 million of their own money in now if Goyder thought the ASX lithium share price was overvalued either.

    In fact, broker Bell Potter reckons there’s a potential 80% upside to be had over the next 12 months alone given its share price target of $2.81 on Liontown.

    Goyder is a well-known mining entrepreneur with more than four decades of experience. He has founded and run several ASX-listed companies over the years, including Chalice Mining Ltd (ASX: CHN).

    He retired as Chalice Mining chair after 15 years at the helm in 2021.

    In addition to being chairperson of Liontown, Goyder is currently the chair of DevEx Resources Ltd (ASX: DEV).

    He is also a non-executive director of Minerals 260 Ltd (ASX: MI6) as well as the unlisted clean energy technology company, entX Limited.

    What’s the latest news from this ASX lithium share?

    Goyder’s purchases occurred on the same day as Liontown’s latest price-sensitive update.

    As my Fool colleague James reported, the update was about Liontown’s Kathleen Valley Lithium Project in Western Australia.

    The update revealed that construction is going to cost more than previous estimates. This is partly because the company has optimised the plant capacity design to increase the initial throughput rate by 20% to 3Mtpa.

    In its announcement, the company said this would enable it “to take advantage of strong short and medium-term forecast lithium pricing”.

    The project remains on track for its first production in mid-2024.

    The post Which ASX lithium share executive just invested $1.5 million in his company? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • ASX 200 tumbles as inflation surprises to the upside

    a man with a moustache sits at his computer with his hands over his eyes making a gap between his fingers so he can peek through to his computer screen.

    a man with a moustache sits at his computer with his hands over his eyes making a gap between his fingers so he can peek through to his computer screen.

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) was in the green today right up to 11.30am AEDT. Then the benchmark index tumbled 0.6% in a matter of minutes.

    That came right after the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released its inflation data for the December quarter.

    As you’d expect by the fall in the ASX 200, those inflation figures came in higher than market expectations.

    What did the ABS report?

    The ABS revealed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased 1.9% in the December quarter, bringing the annual inflation rate to 7.8%.

    That’s significantly higher than economists’ consensus forecasts of a 1.6% quarterly increase and 7.6% annual inflation rate. And ASX 200 investors are responding by hitting the sell button today, following a remarkably strong run for the benchmark index so far in 2023.

    Commenting on the data, ABS head of prices statistics Michelle Marquardt said:

    This is the fourth consecutive quarter to show a rise greater than any seen since the introduction of the Goods and Services Tax (GST) in 2000. The increase for the quarter was slightly higher than the quarterly movements for the September and June quarters last year, both 1.8%.

    The 7.8% year-on-year increase in the CPI was predominantly driven by a 17.8% increase in new dwelling prices, a 19.8% increase in the cost of domestic holiday travel and accommodations, and a 13.2% increase in the price of automotive fuel.

    Why is the ASX 200 under pressure today?

    As mentioned up top, the latest inflation figures have come in higher than the market had priced in. And that’s seeing some selling action on the ASX 200 as we head into the lunch hour.

    The higher figures matter because it’s now more likely that investors can expect another interest rate hike from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA).

    In an effort to bring inflation back under control, the RBA has already instituted eight consecutive monthly interest rate increases. That commenced with the 0.25% lift on 4 May, which brought the official cash rate to 0.35%.

    Today the cash rate stands at 3.10%. And ASX 200 investors are on tenterhooks as to the central bank’s next decision when the board meets on Tuesday, 7 February.

    With inflation still running hot, the odds of the RBA taking a pause in its tightening path have grown far slimmer.

    “Inflationary pressures have not peaked as expected, so we can expect rate hikes to continue or even increase,” ASX equities analyst at Stake, Dylan Zhang, said.

    “It’s likely we’ll see a 25bps hike at the next RBA meeting, but a 50bps hike is not unthinkable,” he added.

    The post ASX 200 tumbles as inflation surprises to the upside appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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