• Why did ASX 200 gold shares rise today?

    St Barbara share price Minder underground looks excited a he holds a nugget of gold he has discovered.St Barbara share price Minder underground looks excited a he holds a nugget of gold he has discovered.

    ASX 200 gold shares finished the day in the green today.

    Gold explorers include Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN), Newcrest Mining Ltd (ASX: NCM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST).

    Let’s take a look at how these ASX 200 gold shares performed on the market today.

    Gold futures lift

    Northern Star shares rose 0.74% today to $8.13, the Evolution share price climbed 0.78% to $1.95, while Newcrest shares jumped 0.81% to $17.48. In contrast, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) finished 0.07% in the red.

    Northern Star, Evolution and Newcrest are all major global gold producers. The gold price impacts company earnings and, therefore, investor sentiment.

    ASX 200 gold shares jumped today after gold prices recovered overnight. The gold price lifted 0.4% to US$1674.69 an ounce.

    In a research note today, ANZ economist Madeline Dunk said:

    Gold price inched higher to USD1,674/oz as investors weighed tighter monetary policy against rising geopolitical and economic risks.

    The US dollar recouped its early day losses, after release of strong US PPI numbers, but failed to weigh on gold prices.

    Looking ahead, CPI data, due to be released on Thursday US time, may provide a guide on the US Federal Reserve’s plans for interest rates.

    Commenting on the impact of this data on the gold price, Dunk added:

    Tomorrow’s CPI number will be an important guide for the Fed’s tightening path. A stronger print would be negative for the gold price.

    Share price snapshot

    Newcrest shares have fallen 29% year to date, while the Northern Star share price has descended nearly 14%. Evolution shares have lost 52% since the start of 2022.

    For perspective, the ASX 200 has shed nearly 11% year to date.

    The post Why did ASX 200 gold shares rise today? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    Motley Fool contributor Monica O’Shea has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

    A husband and wife dance with their young daughter in their lounge room.A husband and wife dance with their young daughter in their lounge room.

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) closed in the red after spending most of today in the green. The index ended Thursday’s trade 0.07% lower at 6,642.6 points.

    Only one of the market’s sectors posted a notable gain today. The S&P/ASX 200 Financials Index (ASX: XFJ) lifted 1.4%.

    It was driven higher by the big banks, which took off as brokers responded to Bank of Queensland Ltd (ASX: BOQ)’s financial year 2022 earnings, posted to the ASX yesterday.

    The bank’s net interest margin (NIM), in particular, seemingly piqued experts’ interest. It lifted in the final quarter following rate hikes, as my Fool colleague Bronwyn reports.

    Meanwhile, the S&P/ASX 200 Real Estate Index (ASX: XRE) was the index’s biggest weight, falling 1.9%.

    The S&P/ASX 200 Energy Index (ASX: XEJ) also closed 0.9% lower after oil prices fell for a third consecutive day.  

    The Brent crude oil price slipped 2% to US$92.45 a barrel overnight while the US Nymex crude oil price fell 2.3% to US$87.27 a barrel.

    All in all, two of the ASX 200’s 11 sectors closed in the green on Thursday. But which share outperformed all others? Keep reading to find out.

    Top 10 ASX 200 shares countdown

    Today’s top performing ASX 200 share was travel giant Qantas Airways Limited (ASX: QAN). The airline’s stock rocketed nearly 9% following news it expects to return to underlying profitability this half.

    Today’s biggest gains were made by these shares:

    ASX-listed company Share price Price change
    Qantas Airways Limited (ASX: QAN) $5.62 8.7%
    Kelsian Group Ltd (ASX: KLS) $4.74 6.28%
    St Barbara Ltd (ASX: SBM) $0.755 4.14%
    Telix Pharmaceuticals Ltd (ASX: TLX) $5.35 4.09%
    West African Resources Ltd (ASX: WAF) $1.06 3.92%
    Ramelius Resources Limited (ASX: RMS) $0.645 3.2%
    Magellan Financial Group Ltd (ASX: MFG) $10.75 3.17%
    De Grey Mining Limited (ASX: DEG) $1.005 3.08%
    Imugene Ltd (ASX: IMU) $0.17 3.03%
    Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) $23.07 2.95%

    Our top 10 shares countdown is a recurring end-of-day summary to let you know which companies were making big moves on the day. Check in at Fool.com.au after the weekday market closes to see which stocks make the countdown.

    The post Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Westpac Banking Corporation. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Here are 3 top ASX growth shares that analysts rate as buys

    A woman sits at her computer with her chin resting on her hand as she contemplates her next potential investment.

    A woman sits at her computer with her chin resting on her hand as she contemplates her next potential investment.

    Are you interested in adding some more ASX shares to your portfolio this month?

    Three ASX growth shares that could be in the buy zone are listed below. Here’s why analysts are bullish on them:

    Aristocrat Leisure Limited (ASX: ALL)

    The first ASX growth share that could be in the buy zone is Aristocrat Leisure. This gaming technology company is one of the leaders in the industry and the owner of a world class portfolio of games. These include poker machines and digital games. At the last count, the latter had ~20 million monthly active users, which was generating significant recurring revenues. Another couple of positives are that Aristocrat is undertaking a major $500 million share buyback and looking to expand into the real money gaming market.

    Citi is bullish on the company and has a buy rating and $40.20 price target on its shares.

    Readytech Holdings Ltd (ASX: RDY)

    Another ASX growth share that analysts are tipping as a buy is enterprise software provider Readytech. In August, Readytech released its full year results and revealed a 16.8% year over year increase in revenue to $78.3 million and a 45.5% jump in underlying EBITDA to $27.5 million. The good news is that its growth isn’t expected to stop there. Management expects to build on this in FY 2023 with organic revenue growth in the mid-teens. This will be boosted by $2 million of incremental revenue from FY 2022 acquisitions.

    Goldman Sachs is a fan of the company and has a buy rating and $4.30 price target on its shares.

    Xero Limited (ASX: XRO)

    A final ASX growth share that has been named as a buy for investors is Xero. It is a cloud accounting platform provider which has been growing at a consistently solid rate for a number of years. This led to the company reaching ~3.3 million subscribers globally earlier this year. Pleasingly, Xero’s subs growth looks unlikely to end here. Management estimates that it has a global market opportunity of 45 million subscribers.

    Goldman Sachs is also a big fan of Xero and has a buy rating and $111.00 price target on its shares.

    The post Here are 3 top ASX growth shares that analysts rate as buys appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Readytech Holdings Ltd and Xero. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Xero. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Readytech Holdings Ltd. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • If I’d invested $1,000 in Mineral Resources shares at the start of 2022, here’s what I’d have now

    Couple counting out moneyCouple counting out money

    Mineral Resources Limited (ASX: MIN) shares are in the green this year, soaring by 24% since the start of 2022.

    That sounds like good news for investors.

    Let’s take a look at how much money I would have now if I had invested $1,000 in this iron and lithium explorer at the start of the year.

    Is the Mineral Resources share price a winner?

    The Mineral Resources share price has been up and down this year, hitting a high of $73.80 on 13 September and a low of $42.89 on 6 July.

    However, those who held on to the company’s shares amid the volatility should be satisfied with their investment.

    Let’s say I had bought Mineral Resources on 4 January, the first day of trading in 2022. On this day, Mineral Resources shares were fetching $56.22 at the market open.

    Just imagine I had invested $1,000 in Mineral Resources at that time. I would have walked away with 17 shares with $44.26 left over.

    At Thursday’s close, these shares are fetching $69.10 a piece. That means this investment would now be worth $1174.70.

    Looking at the year overall, on 6 July, when the company’s share price hit $42.89, I may have been worried. On this day, my investment would have fallen to $729.13.

    However, on 13 September, my investment would have climbed to be worth $1,254.6.

    But that’s not all. Mineral Resources also paid a total dividend of $1 per share in FY22. Therefore, after buying 17 shares at the start of the year I would also have $17 in dividends.

    That would take mean my investment would now be worth $1,191.70.

    Share price snapshot

    The Mineral Resources share price closed 1.45% in the red on Thursday at $69.10. Despite the loss, it has rocketed 64% in the past year, but has fallen 5% in the past month.

    For perspective, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has shed more than 8% in a year.

    The company has a market capitalisation of about $13.2 billion.

    The post If I’d invested $1,000 in Mineral Resources shares at the start of 2022, here’s what I’d have now appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    Motley Fool contributor Monica O’Shea has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • 3 ASX shares that are great-value buys right now: fund manager

    A woman sits at her computer with her chin resting on her hand as she contemplates her next potential investment.A woman sits at her computer with her chin resting on her hand as she contemplates her next potential investment.

    It’s always interesting to see what some fund managers are looking at on the ASX share market. Things are particularly volatile at the moment as investors come to terms with high inflation and increased interest rates.

    Ophir Asset Management finds ASX shares that look like they can significantly grow earnings over the long term. But, this investment manager likes to look across a range of industries to find opportunities.

    The investment team recently went through some of its holdings within the Ophir High Conviction Fund (ASX: OPH) and discussed what it likes about them, with a particular focus on the first ASX share.

    AUB Group Ltd (ASX: AUB)

    This is a business that provides insurance broking, underwriting and risk services in Australasia. Ophir noted that its recent FY22 result was at the top end of market expectations and guidance for next year was “better than expectations”.

    Ophir said that a unique element of the business is that it partners with local management teams of acquired businesses and adopts an owner-driven model to try to deliver the best outcomes for clients. It services around one million clients across 500 locations.

    One of the things the fund manager likes is the resilience of the ASX share’s earnings because small and medium enterprises are “unlikely to cancel their insurance cover in market downturns as it is a core pillar of any business, much like accounting”. The fund manager pointed out that AUB performed well during the GFC.

    Ophir said that not only is it resilient, but it has grown earnings strongly. Some peers have grown at a similar rate. These businesses can use both organic growth and acquisitions to grow.

    It thinks it can grow its broker and agency margins, which lag competitors. The fund manager pointed out there is a valuation gap compared to peers. Historically, its price/earnings (P/E) ratio has traded in line with Steadfast Group Ltd (ASX: SDF) and PSC Insurance Group Ltd (ASX: PSI). A gap has formed, which Ophir suggested could be due to the acquisition of Tysers.

    The fund manager suggests there is more upside than expectations for the ASX share because management has been “conservative” with guidance and synergies.

    Mineral Resources Limited (ASX: MIN)

    Mineral Resources operates as a mining services and processing company in Australia, China and Singapore. It is also a producer of iron ore and lithium. This is one of the few resource businesses that Ophir is invested in.

    The business’ lithium result was “very strong” in FY22, according to the fund manager. The company has also announced plans for its Ashburton projection which “should increase the production rate of iron ore whilst also materially reducing average costs”.

    Life360 Inc (ASX: 360)

    Life360 is an ASX tech share that offers a service that aims to ensure the safety of family members.

    Ophir said that it delivered a “strong” recurring earnings beat in its recent result and that a price increase was announced for its membership base.

    The investment team said they believe the business will reach breakeven in the near term.

    In that update, Life360 said:

    We expect Life360 to be on a trajectory to consistently positive adjusted earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) and operating cash flow by late calendar year (CY) 2023, such that we record positive adjusted EBITDA and operating cash flow for CY24. This trajectory could be further assisted by the positive impact of potential future price changes.

    The post 3 ASX shares that are great-value buys right now: fund manager appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Life360, Inc., PSC Insurance Group, and Steadfast Group Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Steadfast Group Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Austbrokers Holdings Limited and PSC Insurance Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Goodman share price hits two-year low: Time to buy?

    A male investor wearing a blue shirt looks off to the side with a miffed look on his face as the Electro Optic Systems share price declines today on news the CEO has resigned

    A male investor wearing a blue shirt looks off to the side with a miffed look on his face as the Electro Optic Systems share price declines today on news the CEO has resigned

    The Goodman Group (ASX: GMG) share price has continued its slide on Thursday.

    At one stage today, the integrated property company’s shares dropped to a two-year low of $15.57.

    This means the Goodman share price is now down 41% since the start of the year.

    Is the Goodman share price weakness a buying opportunity?

    While Goodman’s shares are seemingly out of favour with investors right now, it’s quite the opposite with brokers.

    A large number of Australia’s leading brokers have the equivalent of buy ratings on its shares with price targets significantly higher than where the Goodman share price trades today.

    For example, the team at Citi has a buy rating and $23.50 price target on its shares. This implies potential upside of 50% for investors. Citi commented:

    While risks are rising against a higher interest rate backdrop, we retain Buy given the strong underlying rent growth (rents on average -20% below market), embedded performance fees as well as the best balance sheet in the sector, which could see GMG outperforming its peers.

    Who else is bullish?

    This sentiment was echoed by the team at Goldman Sachs, which currently has a buy rating and $25.40 price target on its shares.

    This suggests even greater upside for the Goodman share price of 63% over the next 12 months. Goldman said:

    We expect solid rental growth as demand for high quality logistics space continues to outpace available supply. Although the macro environment remains challenged, we believe there is upside risk to its conservative guidance as the Group has historically “Guided light”, coming in ahead of initial estimates. Given GMG’s preference to own, develop and manage high-quality industrial assets in key infill markets globally, we believe it is well-positioned to capture market rental growth, which when coupled with elevated investment demand for industrial assets will assist in contributing to AUM growth over time.

    The post Goodman share price hits two-year low: Time to buy? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Why Endeavour shares could offer access to an ‘attractive asset’: expert

    A group of older women and men cheers their wine glasses ecstatically, even though they're in lockdown.A group of older women and men cheers their wine glasses ecstatically, even though they're in lockdown.

    The Endeavour Group Ltd (ASX: EDV) share price has had a disappointing run of late. The stock has dumped 19% since its August high, with 12% of that fall coming on the back of the company’s full-year earnings.

    But Endeavour shares provide the key to what one top broker has dubbed an appealing business: Dan Murphy’s.

    The Endeavour share price is down 0.74% right now, trading at $6.74. That’s despite the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) posting a 0.07% gain.

    Let’s take a closer look at what top broker Macquarie reportedly likes about the relatively new ASX 200 stock.

    Endeavour shares offer key to ‘attractive asset’: expert

    It’s been just 16 months since Endeavour shares hit the ASX following the company’s spin out of supermarket giant Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW). And what a whirlwind it has been.

    Endeavour operates Australia’s largest retail drinks network and a portfolio of licensed hotels. In its short life as a stand-alone company, it has pushed through lockdowns, major floods, and inflation.

    But drinks retail brand Dan Murphy’s is one piece of the puzzle that Macquarie particularly likes. The broker was quoted by the Sydney Morning Herald as saying:

    As a staple service and product provider with significant organic reinvestment opportunity we believe it is an attractive asset.

    Describing the retailer as a “staple service” may mean the broker is confident it can push through current economic uncertainty.

    The business has a growing loyal customer base, with the number of active My Dan’s members growing by 15% to 4.5 million in financial year 2022. At the same time, its footprint grew to 258 stores.

    Additionally, the broker has named Endeavour among the companies it expects to post positive updates at its upcoming annual general meeting (AGM), The Australian reports.

    The company will host its AGM next Tuesday. A trading update on the company’s performance in the first quarter of financial year 2022 is expected to drop the day before.

    No doubt all eyes will be watching Endeavour and its share price next week.

    The post Why Endeavour shares could offer access to an ‘attractive asset’: expert appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Macquarie Group Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Is the Northern Star share price on the comeback trail? Check these charts out

    A woman throws her hands in the air in celebration as confetti floats down around her, standing in front of a deep yellow wall.A woman throws her hands in the air in celebration as confetti floats down around her, standing in front of a deep yellow wall.

    The Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) share price is trading in the green on Thursday.

    At the time of writing, shares in the gold miner are swapping hands more than 1.3% higher at $8.18 on no news.

    Today’s gain marks a 17% rally Northern Star shares have embarked on since bouncing off prior lows of $6.96 on 26 September.

    Is Northern Star set to rise again?

    To understand the forces at play with the Northern Star share price we have to take a step back and analyse the wider picture.

    The key undercurrents that feed into the share are the gold price, and by extension, the macroeconomic landscape.

    In particular, the strength of the US dollar has been a headwind for gold bugs this year, with the price of the yellow metal taking a backward step whilst the greenback surges to new highs.

    This fits with the long-term correlation between the pair. Both are seen as quality/low-risk assets that investors flock to in times of turbulence.

    However, the key difference this time is inflation and interest rates. With the rise in interest rates, investors can realise a positive yield on cash, whereas gold pays no interest.

    As seen in the chart below, the inverse-like relationship has been in situ over the past 18 to 20 years, with the most recent rally in the US dollar correlating to a sharp reversal in the gold price.

    It now trades at US$1,669 per troy ounce, down from highs of US$2,052/t oz in March.

    TradingView Chart

    Given its status as a producer of the precious metal, Northern Star is considered a price taker on the market price of gold.

    As such, its share price fluctuates with volatility in the commodity markets, and this year’s heavy sell-off in the gold markets has been reflected in the Northern Star share price.

    Despite its most recent rally, it too trades well off previous highs, and has a sharp recovery ahead in order to reach these levels once more.

    This activity is seen in the chart below, with the Northern Star share price in black.

    TradingView Chart

    Even more interesting, is the path of inflation expectations has been most heavily correlated with the price of gold (and hence, the Northern Star share price) in 2022.

    Inflation/gold correlation

    Inflation expectations are measured in a particular derivatives contract known as the five-year breakeven rate.

    It measures what the market thinks the inflation rate will be over the next five years. As seen in the chart below, the market now believes that US inflation will be 2.32% in five years time, down from 3.6% in March (blue line).

    Perhaps unsurprisingly, this is when the gold price peaked as well – despite all the debate on gold’s status as an inflation hedge.

    TradingView Chart

    It is therefore a contentious debate as it appears the Northern Star share price is heavily linked to the price of gold, which is heavily linked to macroeconomic indicators like inflation, interest rates and the US dollar.

    Northern Star also trades on a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 23.7 times, ahead of the industry median of 6.4 times.

    However, this does suggest investors expect an above-industry earnings result from the company over the next 12 months.

    Meanwhile, the gold miner is also valued at a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.14 times, and generated more than $570 million in free cash flow for FY22.

    It’s also rated a buy from 15 out of 15 analysts covering the share right now, with a consensus price target of $10.70, according to Refinitiv Eikon data.

    Time will tell if all of these forces combine to inflect positively on the Northern Star share price. With no certainty on interest rates and inflation, the gold price could break out either way.

    The post Is the Northern Star share price on the comeback trail? Check these charts out appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • After a horror year, what’s next for ASX BNPL shares in the new quarter?

    two women looking intently at computer screentwo women looking intently at computer screen

    ASX BNPL shares are putting in a mixed performance as we round out the second week of the new quarter (Q2 FY23).

    After a difficult Q1, here’s how these four buy now, pay later stocks have performed so far in Q2 (since the closing bell on 30 September):

    • Openpay Group Ltd (ASX: OPY) shares are up 5.6%
    • Zip Co Ltd (ASX: ZIP) shares are down 8.0%
    • Sezzle Inc (ASX: SZL) shares are flat
    • Block Inc (ASX: SQ2) shares are up 5.6%

    For some context, the All Ordinaries Index (ASX: XAO) is up 2.7% over this same period.

    How have ASX BNPL shares performed heading into the new quarter?

    ASX BNPL shares have had a year to forget, so far.

    The companies’ share prices have all gotten absolutely hammered as investors awoke to the reality that inflation wasn’t transitory, and interest rates across most of the developed world were heading sharply higher.

    After posting some truly phenomenal gains in the year-plus following the pandemic recovery trade (commencing late March 2020), things began to slow down for ASX BNPL shares by mid-2021.

    As for 2022, here’s how the same four companies have performed to date, over a period that has seen the All Ordinaries tumble 13%:

    • Openpay Group Ltd (ASX: OPY) shares are down 74.0%
    • Zip Co Ltd (ASX: ZIP) shares are down 85.3%
    • Sezzle Inc (ASX: SZL) shares are down 84.3%
    • Block Inc (ASX: SQ2) shares are down 49.2%*

    See what we mean by a year to forget.

    (*Note, Block commenced trading on the ASX on 20 January this year following its successful acquisition of Afterpay.)

    Well, those are the quarters gone by.

    So, what’s next?

    What to expect in the quarter ahead?

    When talking about ASX BNPL shares, it’s important to remember we’re taking a broad-stroke approach to the sector here.

    Each company has its own management team, different balance sheets, and its own specific market strengths, weaknesses, and potential growth outlook.

    With that said, investors in ASX BNPL shares would do well to keep an eye on the outlook for inflation and any resulting rate hikes. Not just from the RBA here in Australia. But, even more importantly, from the US Federal Reserve.

    As mentioned, the dismal share price performance of buy now, pay later companies over the first three quarters of the calendar year was largely driven by soaring inflation and hawkish tightening from central banks across much of the world.

    ASX BNPL shares are more vulnerable to rising interest rates than many stocks for several reasons.

    First, many of them have high debt levels. And as rates rise, the cost of servicing that debt rises as well.

    Second, higher rates (and inflation) put greater pressure on their customer base. Sure, a greater number of cash-strapped customers may be tempted to use BNPL services to delay paying for their purchases. But the BNPL companies can expect the number of clients who fail to make those repayments also rise alongside the tougher economic environment.

    And third, ASX BNPL shares are largely priced based on forecast future revenues. Those revenues may indeed eventuate. But higher interest rates increase the present cost of those future earnings.

    With that in mind, tomorrow’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures due out of the US should offer some early indication as to the outlook for these companies in Q2.

    If inflation in the world’s top economy comes in below consensus expectations, ASX BNPL shares should receive some welcome tailwinds amid hopes of a less hawkish Fed.

    The post After a horror year, what’s next for ASX BNPL shares in the new quarter? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Block, Inc. and ZIPCOLTD FPO. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Block, Inc. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • 2 top Warren Buffett stocks to buy and hold for the long haul

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    a smiling woman holds up two fingers and winks.

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    One of the keys to Warren Buffett’s phenomenal success over the years has been his willingness to buy stocks of good companies possessing long runways of future growth at discounted prices and then hold them for the long haul.

    Using exactly that strategy, Buffett has generated aggregate gains of 3,641,613% since taking control of Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A) (NYSE: BRK.B) in 1965, for a 20.1% compound annual growth rate (CAGR). In comparison, the S&P 500 has generated 30,209% in total returns over that period, for a CAGR of 10.5%. In other words, there’s a good reason Buffett is referred to as the Oracle of Omaha and people buy, sell, and hold the same stocks he does. 

    Buffett was relatively late in buying tech stocks, but he’s made up for that since. The following pair of companies represent some of his biggest tech holdings. They fit neatly within his strategy, and you can also buy and hold them for the long run.

    Apple

    Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) is not only Buffett’s biggest tech holding but his largest holding overall, representing a whopping 41% of Berkshire Hathaway’s total portfolio. With almost 1 billion shares under his management, the investing oracle has accumulated $128.2 billion worth of Apple stock. With shares down 23% from recent highs and at some of the lowest prices in the past year, it’s a stock you might want to consider acquiring for your own portfolio.

    The weakness has to do with the new iPhone 14, which reportedly faces weakening demand. The company reportedly reversed plans to hike production because of it, but such bearishness is all relative. 

    The iPhone, which was unveiled in September and starts at $1,000, is still selling quite well, beating out low-cost entry-level models elsewhere, and Apple is still planning to produce some 90 million iPhone 14s, which is in line with its original forecast for the device.

    Apple still commands about half of the U.S. smartphone market, despite the iPhone getting long in the tooth after having been first introduced 15 years ago. And MacBook shipments are going against the grain, with market intelligence firm IDC reporting shipments surging 40.2% in the third quarter compared with a 15% decline in global PC shipments. 

    Yet, as much as hardware remains a driving force for Apple, services are the real growth opportunity going forward. Services account for 20% of total sales, though the company is not immune to economic concerns. Analysts estimate App Store revenue dropped 5% in September due to a sharp decline in gaming revenue as inflation and recession fears take a toll on consumers. Growth may be a little slower now than it was, but margins are rising, and at 71.5%, well above Apple’s 43.3% overall gross margins.

    There will be ups and downs in any business, but Apple will be commanding a leadership position for years to come and would be a stock to consider now and in the future.

    Verisign

    Although Buffett first bought Verisign (NASDAQ: VRSN) nearly a decade ago, he has not accumulated nearly as much of its stock as he has of Apple’s. He owns 12.8 million shares, worth some $2.3 billion. Not shabby, but it represents only 0.7% of the Berkshire portfolio, so its rise and fall won’t have as great of an impact on performance. Still, it’s one that investors ought to consider as well.

    Verisign is the premier global provider of domain name registry services. It’s the main company charged with doling out the .com, .edu, .gov, and .net domain names you find on the internet, while providing the routing support for them. Its behind-the-scenes operations basically point people to the correct website when they type in any site ending in those designations, helping to keep the world online and connected.

    Verisign ended the second quarter with 351.5 million domain name registrations across all top-level domains, all of which pay a fee to it annually. It’s been likened to the exclusive toll collector on the internet’s “toll road,” and it enjoys high-margin recurring revenue while having conversely low capital requirements, leading to very stable free cash flow generation.

    There’s no likelihood the internet is going anywhere, and its importance to business, even in the face of a potential recession, only continues to grow. Certainly, there was a massive uptick in the number of people starting their own businesses during the early months of the pandemic — and registering their domain names — that has since normalized, but that just underscores the long-term upward trajectory Verisign has at its back.

    Buffett first bought Verisign in the fourth quarter of 2012, investing $143 million at an average of around $42 per share. With near monopoly-like status in its industry, careful stewardship of its business, and a cash-rich stream of revenue, the growth thesis behind Buffett’s purchase of Verisign is still very much intact. With shares down 30% year to date, it may be the perfect time to buy your own stake, too.   

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    The post 2 top Warren Buffett stocks to buy and hold for the long haul appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    Rich Duprey has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Apple and VeriSign. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended the following options: long March 2023 $120 calls on Apple and short March 2023 $130 calls on Apple. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Apple. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

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