• Why the Woolworths share price will be on watch today

    a man looks a little perplexed as he holds his hand to his head as if thinking about something as he stands in the aisle of a supermarket.a man looks a little perplexed as he holds his hand to his head as if thinking about something as he stands in the aisle of a supermarket.

    The Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) share price is one to keep an eye out for on Tuesday morning.

    At yesterday’s market close, the conglomerates’ shares finished flat at $37.46.

    Let’s take a look at what news is surrounding the company.

    What did Woolworths announce?

    In a statement to the ASX, Woolworths advised that its chair, Gordon Cairns will retire after spending 7 years in the role.

    The departure of Cairns will come into effect at the group’s Annual General Meeting (AGM) on 26 October 2022.

    Scott Perkins who has been a non-executive director for 8 years with Woolworths will be appointed as the new chair.

    A public company director with extensive Australian and international experience, Perkins brings a wealth of knowledge to the position. Previously, he was a leading corporate advisor on strategy, mergers and acquisitions and capital markets matters.

    Perkins held senior executive leadership positions at Deutsche Bank from 1999 to 2013. These included managing director and head of corporate finance for Australia and New Zealand, membership of the Asia Pacific corporate and investment bank management committee and CEO of Deutsche Bank New Zealand.

    He is also serving as chair of energy giant, Origin Energy Ltd (ASX: ORG) since October 2020 and Brambles Ltd (ASX: BXB) since June 2015.

    Words from the board

    Woolworths outgoing chair, Gordon Cairns commented:

    It has been a privilege to be the chair of Woolworths Group for the last seven years.

    I am proud of the work that the team and directors have achieved together in transforming Woolworths Group and delivering for our shareholders. Moreover, I am humbled to have been the chair of a purpose-led business dedicated to working towards a better tomorrow for our teams, customers and the community.

    Cairns also went on to add:

    We are fortunate to have someone of Scott’s ability and experience, respected by his colleagues and management, to provide the oversight required to allow the business to reach its full potential

    According to the Australian Financial Review, Woolworths signed an agreement with Pact Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: PGH) to supply recycled plastic for its home brand products.

    This could also weigh in on the Woolworths share price at market open today.

    Woolworths share price snapshot

    A challenging 12 months caused by rampant inflation has led the Woolworths share price to move in circles, down 5%.

    Last month, its shares hit a 52-week low of $32.62 before quickly rebounding by around 15% in the weeks after.

    As Australia’s largest supermarket chain, Woolworths commands a market capitalisation of roughly $45.22 billion.

    The post Why the Woolworths share price will be on watch today appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Woolworths Group Ltd right now?

    Before you consider Woolworths Group Ltd, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Woolworths Group Ltd wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of July 7 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Aaron Teboneras has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Could South32 shareholders be in for a $200 million payday?

    A young woman sits on her lounge looking pleasantly surprised at what she's seeing on her laptop screen as she reads about the South32 share priceA young woman sits on her lounge looking pleasantly surprised at what she's seeing on her laptop screen as she reads about the South32 share price

    South32 Ltd (ASX: S32) shareholders could be in for a payday following the recent sale of the company’s non-core base metals royalties.

    The sale price of up to US$200 million, including US$103 million in cash payments, will be a big boost for South32’s coffers.

    At yesterday’s market close, the South32 share price finished 0.85% higher at $3.56.

    For context, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) was relatively flat, down 0.02%.

    Let’s take a closer look at the diversified mining and metals company’s latest divestment.

    South32 strengthens its balance sheet

    The South32 share price has remained in a sideways channel of late. Yesterday, the company delivered its June quarterly report to the market.

    In the update, South32 highlighted the successful sale of four non-core base metals royalties to Anglo Pacific Group Plc. This largely comprised copper and nickel assets in Australia, Chile, and the United States.

    Subsequently, South32 expects to receive a US$135 million (A$195 million) post-tax gain within the ‘other income’ category in FY23.

    However, it’s possible that with a souped-up balance sheet, South32 could hand some of the profits to shareholders in the near future. This may come in the form of a special dividend payment or even a bigger buyback.

    South32 CEO, Graham Kerr provided a small hint, saying:

    Our strong financial position and capital management framework, which is designed to reward our shareholders as our financial performance improves, supported further returns across the year via our on-market share buy-back, bringing total returns under our capital management program to US$1.9 billion since its inception.

    If this does occur, South32 shares could move northwards if new investors decide to jump in on the action.

    South32 share price summary

    During the recent commodity boom, the South32 share price rocketed to an all-time high of $5.44.

    However, this was short-lived. Aluminium prices have retraced to 52-week lows and coal has moved in circles. Ultimately, this has weighed on investor sentiment as talk of a potential recession persists.

    So far in 2022, the South32 share price is down 12.5%. But it’s up 19% over the past 12 months.

    South32 has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 10.22 and commands a market capitalisation of roughly $16.47 billion.

    The post Could South32 shareholders be in for a $200 million payday? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of July 7 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Aaron Teboneras has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Here’s the Fortescue dividend forecast through to 2024

    A man wearing a shirt, tie and hard hat sits in an office and marks dates in his diary.

    A man wearing a shirt, tie and hard hat sits in an office and marks dates in his diary.

    The Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG) dividend has been a favourite of income investors in recent years.

    Thanks to sky high iron ore prices, the mining giant has been rewarding shareholders handsomely with payouts.

    But will this continue in the future? Let’s take a look at one leading broker is forecasting for the Fortescue dividend through to FY 2024.

    Where is the Fortescue dividend heading?

    Unfortunately, the team at Goldman Sachs believe that the Fortescue dividend is now on a downward trajectory.

    In FY 2021, the company paid shareholders a fully franked A$3.58 per share dividend. This was double the A$1.76 per share dividend that it rewarded shareholders with a year earlier in FY 2020.

    Unfortunately, Goldman Sachs is expecting the Fortescue dividend to be back down to almost 2020 levels in FY 2022.

    It is forecasting a fully franked US$1.29 (A$1.85) per share dividend this year. Though, it is worth noting that this will still be an above average yield. Based on the current Fortescue share price of $18.25, this will mean a fully franked yield of 10.1%.

    What’s next?

    Goldman is expecting the dividend cuts to continue in FY 2023. It is expecting the Fortescue dividend to be reduced to 73 US cents (A$1.05) per share. This would mean a fully franked dividend yield of 5.75% for investors.

    The cuts are expected to continue in FY 2024, with the broker forecasting a further decline to 42 US cents (60 Australian cents) per share for that financial year.

    Based on the current Fortescue share price, this will mean a fully franked dividend yield of approximately 3.3% in FY 2024.

    Why the cuts?

    As well as forecasting a softening benchmark iron ore price from an average of US$120 per tonne in 2022 to US$80 per tonne in 2024, the broker believes Fortescue’s decarbonisation plans and the Fortescue Futures Industries business will weigh on its free cash flow.

    Goldman commented:

    We think decarbonising the Pilbara could cost FMG over US$7bn and requires +US$50/t carbon or a green premia to be NPV positive. FMG has outlined that the Pilbara decarbonisation project/assets would logically sit within FFI (although ultimately under a Power Purchasing Agreement (PPA) which would still be reflected on FMG’s balance sheet). In order to fund FFI projects, we think FMG will need to reduce their dividend payout ratio from 80% to 50% from 2022 onwards.

    The broker has a sell rating and lowly $13.20 price target on the Fortescue share price.

    The post Here’s the Fortescue dividend forecast through to 2024 appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Fortescue Metals Group Limited right now?

    Before you consider Fortescue Metals Group Limited, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Fortescue Metals Group Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of July 7 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Should investors buy NAB shares for the dividends? Here’s what I think

    A businessman on a road raises his arms as dollar notes rain down on him representing the dividends that NAB will pay over the next few financial years to shareholdersA businessman on a road raises his arms as dollar notes rain down on him representing the dividends that NAB will pay over the next few financial years to shareholders

    National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) is one of the biggest dividend payers on the ASX. But should investors buy NAB shares primarily for the dividends?

    NAB is one of the largest ASX banks in Australia and among the ‘big four’ alongside Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA), Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC), and Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd (ASX: ANZ).

    The big banks have long had a reputation for being dividend payers. While there were some dividend reductions in 2020 due to COVID-19, payments have been steadily climbing back to pre-pandemic levels.

    In its FY22 half-year results, NAB announced an interim dividend of 73 cents per share, which was an increase of 21.7% on the FY21 dividend.

    Let’s look at the size of the dividends that NAB is expected to pay over the next couple of financial years.

    Estimated NAB dividends

    According to the dividend estimates on CMC Markets, the big four ASX bank is expected to pay an annual dividend of $1.48 in FY22. This would translate into a grossed-up dividend yield of 7.1% in FY22.

    In FY23, the dividend is estimated to grow again to $1.62 per share. On today’s NAB share price, that would be a grossed-up dividend yield of 7.75%.

    Another increase is expected in FY24. The projected annual dividend is $1.71 per share. This would result in a grossed-up dividend yield of 8.2%.

    Each of those dividend yields is quite attractive, in my opinion.

    If income was the only thing I was considering, it’s not a bad yield at all.

    But I don’t think that dividends can be looked at in isolation.

    NAB share price considerations

    I don’t think there’s much point going for a 7% dividend yield if the share price is likely to fall by at least 7% or more.

    I’m looking for ASX shares that can provide both dividend income and capital growth over the long term. A bit of volatility in share prices is unavoidable. Shares are meant to go up and down in the short term.

    Interest rates are quickly going higher as central banks including the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) try to get on top of inflation.

    While this could lead to a higher net interest margin (NIM) for banks, there is also the concern that it could mean more bad debts. How many home loans could go bad? Well, that’s up for debate.

    The RBA suggests that Aussie households are well-positioned for what comes next because they have collectively saved up during the COVID-19 years. I’m probably a little less confident than the RBA. Aussie households have a lot of debt – but hopefully, loan arrears don’t go too high.

    Is the bank a buy for dividends?

    I think NAB has done well to generate profit growth in recent times. I believe it could keep doing well, but it’s not at the top of my own watchlist for dividends.

    I’m looking for businesses that can grow their profit at a healthy rate over the long term, while also hopefully continuing to grow their dividends.

    The post Should investors buy NAB shares for the dividends? Here’s what I think appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in National Australia Bank Ltd right now?

    Before you consider National Australia Bank Ltd, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and National Australia Bank Ltd wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of July 7 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Westpac Banking Corporation. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Here are 2 ASX 200 dividend shares to buy according to experts

    Man and woman holding up money over the bottom half of their face, symbolising dividends.

    Man and woman holding up money over the bottom half of their face, symbolising dividends.

    Are you looking for some dividend options for your income portfolio this week? If you are, then take a look at the two ASX 200 dividend shares listed below.

    Here’s why they have been tipped to as buys by experts:

    Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL)

    The first ASX 200 dividend share for investors to consider is this supermarket giant.

    Thanks to its strong market position (800+ supermarkets, 900+ liquor retail stores, and 700+ Coles express stores) and defensive qualities, Coles has been tipped to continue growing its sales, profits, and dividends in the coming years.

    In addition, this will be supported by its refreshed strategy and the construction of its smart distribution centres, which are aiming to make its operations more efficient and cut costs.

    Morgans is bullish on Coles and has an add rating and $20.65 price target on its shares.

    In respect to dividends, Citi is forecasting fully franked dividends per share of 61 cents in FY 2022 and 64 cents in FY 2023. Based on the current Coles share price of $18.87, this will mean yields of 3.2% and 3.4%, respectively.

    Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC)

    A second ASX 200 dividend share that could be in the buy zone is Westpac.

    It is of course one of Australia’s big four banks and, as well as the eponymous Westpac brand, is home to a collection of other regional banking brands such as Bank of Melbourne, Bank SA, and St Georges.

    Australia’s oldest bank is currently going through a major cost cutting programme that aims to reduce its cost base materially in the coming years.

    It is partly for this reason that the team at Citi is bullish on the bank. In fact, its analysts see Westpac “delivering the strongest EPS growth in the sector” in the coming years.

    Citi has a buy rating and $29.00 price target on the bank’s shares.

    It is also forecasting big fully franked dividend yields for investors. It has pencilled in dividends of 123 cents per share in FY 2022 and 155 cents per share in FY 2023. Based on the current Westpac share price of $21.05, this will mean yields of 5.8% and 7.35%, respectively.

    The post Here are 2 ASX 200 dividend shares to buy according to experts appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of July 7 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Westpac Banking Corporation. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended COLESGROUP DEF SET. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Westpac Banking Corporation. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • 2 ‘good value’ ASX 200 shares offering what investors want right now: expert

    Two kids in superhero capes.Two kids in superhero capes.

    An expert has nominated two ASX shares as a buy, urging investors to take advantage of the market’s sentiment at the moment.

    Catapult Wealth portfolio manager Tim Haselum suggested this week that it’s prudent to buy into S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) stocks possessing qualities that other people are currently seeking.

    And with inflation still raging and more interest rate rises to come, the lack of clarity about the economy and consumer demand is paralysing investors at the moment.

    “In uncertain times, the market values defensive stocks due to reliable earnings,” Haselum told The Bull.

    Both dividends and growth: what more could you want?

    His first pick is a classic — Australia’s dominant telecommunications giant Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLS).

    The share price has cooled off more than 6.6% year-to-date, presenting a decent entry point currently.

    “Telstra is a key defensive stock, recently trading on an attractive dividend yield of around 4%,” said Haselum.

    “According to our analysis, the growth rate is between 4% and 5%.”

    Haselum mentioned that there are both internal and external drivers that offer “good value” for shares in the mobile and internet provider.

    “The company’s T25 [reform] strategy appears to be progressing well,” he said.

    “We should see more international roaming in fiscal year 2023.”

    Last week The Motley Fool reported that Morgans is also a fan of Telstra as a dividend play.

    “Morgans remains positive on Telstra and continues to forecast fully franked 16 cents per share dividends in FY 2022 and FY 2023,” wrote James Mickleboro.

    “The broker also sees plenty of upside for its shares with its add rating and a $4.56 price target.”

    Telstra shares closed Monday at $3.92.

    ‘A strong balance sheet and defensive core earnings’

    Many analysts favour healthcare as a sector to rely on in case an economic downturn comes around.

    At the moment, Haselum favours buying Sonic Healthcare Limited (ASX: SHL).

    “The healthcare provider has operations in Australasia, Europe and North America,” he said.

    “The company offers a strong balance sheet and defensive core earnings. A strong balance sheet enables acquisition opportunities.”

    The share price has fallen 7.7% since the end of May, opening up a chance to nab a bargain.

    “We believe a buying opportunity exists, as the shares have fallen $37.12 on May 30 to trade at $34.35 on July 21.”

    The Sonic Healthcare stock price closed Monday at $34.45.

    The Motley Fool’s Tristan Harrison wrote last week that Sonic could be a beneficiary of the current resurgence of the pandemic.

    COVID-19 cases are now increasing, as are hospitalisations, as a third wave of Omicron sweeps across Australia,” he reported.

    “The Sonic Healthcare share price is attractive because of the ongoing growth of its base business, the ageing demographic tailwinds, continuing COVID-19 testing, a growing dividend, and the ability for the business to keep putting excess cash to good use with acquisitions and share buybacks.”

    The post 2 ‘good value’ ASX 200 shares offering what investors want right now: expert appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of July 7 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Telstra Corporation Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Sonic Healthcare Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • 2 ASX shares ready for growth in FY2023: expert

    two children squat down in the dirt with gardening tools and a watering can wearing denim overalls and smiling very sweetly.two children squat down in the dirt with gardening tools and a watering can wearing denim overalls and smiling very sweetly.

    There is no doubt 2022 has been distressing.

    Innocent people are fighting a war in Ukraine, the most vulnerable folks in society are devastated from skyrocketing energy and food prices, and investment portfolios have plunged deep into the red.

    As investors, it’s instinctive to get caught up in the negativity. We are all just humans, after all.

    But for our ASX shares portfolio, it is prudent to remember that stocks have no memory and no awareness of world events.

    They are simply pieces of ownership in a company.

    So when there are rational reasons for a business to have a bright outlook for the 2023 financial year, perhaps it’s worth considering buying stocks in it.

    With this philosophy in mind, here are two ASX shares that one expert reckons are ripe to buy now:

    ‘A strong market update’

    Ord Minnett senior investment advisor Tony Paterno reckons National Storage REIT (ASX: NSR) is a buy at the moment.

    “The big self-storage provider recently posted a strong market update for fiscal year 2022,” he told The Bull.

    “Net tangible assets are expected to increase to $2.34 a share, a 13% increase on December 31, 2021.”

    As a comparison, National Storage shares closed Monday at $2.38.

    Paterno likes the outlook for the coming period.

    “It upgraded underlying earnings guidance to a minimum of 10.5 cents a share,” he said.

    “The update, on the back of a strong operating performance, positions it well for growth in the new financial year.”

    National Storage is handing out a dividend yield of 4.2%, according to Google Finance.

    Paterno’s peers aren’t quite as convinced yet about the storage provider. According to CMC Markets, only two out of 10 analysts are rating the stock as a buy.

    ‘Expect continuing growth’

    Four-wheel drive accessories maker ARB Corporation Limited (ASX: ARB) is another that Paterno is urging his clients to buy.

    The company’s share price has dropped almost 41% so far this year. However, it has gained in excess of 5.4% over the past month.

    Paterno believes in the company’s long-term expansion.

    “We expect continuing growth in 4-wheel drive markets in the medium term,” he said.

    “We expect the ARB store network to grow in Australia. Company products should also expand in overseas markets.”

    Other professionals are more in agreement with Paterno for this pick than National Storage.

    Six out of nine analysts surveyed on CMC Markets currently rate ARB shares as a buy.

    A Market Matters report last month identified the stock as one that’s probably passed its worst conditions.

    “It’s starting to feel like things are as bad as they can get for ARB,” the report read.

    “It’s now trading on 19.6x FY22 earnings compared to a 5-year average of 27.5x… This is one retailer we like into excessive weakness.”

    The post 2 ASX shares ready for growth in FY2023: expert appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of July 7 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended ARB Corporation Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • From chasing criminals to ASX gems, why this ex-cop keeps buying in a bear market

    Stock market, ASX, investingStock market, ASX, investing

    Ask A Fund Manager

    The Motley Fool chats with the best in the industry so that you can get an insight into how the professionals think. In this edition, Alto Capital investment advisor Tony Locantro reveals how he went from a police uniform to a suit and tie.

    Investment style

    The Motley Fool: How would you describe what you do to a potential client?

    Tony Locantro: I’m Tony Locantro, I’ve been in the financial advice industry since 1998. I’m a former New South Wales police officer. I taught myself the stock market on night shift or on my time off. I’ve been advising clients on speculative stocks, micro caps, since 1998. 

    I look after mainly mums and dads in building a portfolio of micro-cap stocks, and this involves portfolio selection, extensive research, going to conferences, webinars, and every other aspect of trying to find these stocks.

    The other benefit I have for my clients is to hold their hands during extreme market volatility, help them take windfall profits, and just basically keep effective use of capital, to keep that capital moving, realising that all these small companies don’t necessarily turn into big ones. 

    I’m also involved in the IPO [initial public offer] of small-cap mining and biotech shares. I do a lot of financial media, and I just keep heavily involved in the industry.

    MF: As you say, your job does involve a bit of hand-holding of clients through volatile times. This year’s a perfect example of that, isn’t it?

    TL: Oh God, yeah. Well, humans are wired to buy high and sell low. They are often influenced by news articles. A lot of clients have a certain threshold to the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJX: .DJI). The Dow Jones, if it falls over a thousand, you’ll have a lot more people selling, than if it falls say 900. 

    So they’re always prone to the indices, and during times of market volatility, a lot of existing shareholders do not feel like buying. They’ll back off. You have others panic sell and you get huge percentage declines. 

    Interestingly, this tax loss selling [last month], in my 24 years, has been the worst I’ve ever seen.

    MF: Indeed. June was pretty ugly for Australian stocks, wasn’t it?

    TL: Yeah. I think you could almost cue the Benny Hill theme song to a lot of the selling. A lot of ruthless shareholders just exited and it was like lemmings off a cliff. So this had provided some of the best buying opportunities, because, as you know, every sign of market weakness with hindsight is an opportunity. Existing weakness, or future, is a threat.

    MF: How do you see the state of play at the moment and where do you see the market going?

    TL: I think we’re definitely in a bear market for the major indices. What normally happens is that during a bear market, the bear market rallies [and] bull traps are quite powerful. 

    The Dow Jones did go below 30,000. It’s now around 32,000, but I think that with the inflationary and interest rate environment, that both the Australian market and US major indices, I think, are going lower, but it won’t be in a straight line. We will have some bad nights on both markets. I just can’t see any real impetus to drive valuations higher. 

    I think there’s enormous economic headwinds in Australia. The RBA [previously] said it was plausible no rate rises before 2024 — that’s not happening. We’re seeing the fastest increase in interest rates. This will decimate the east coast property market. It will lead to a significant decline in consumer confidence. And there’s a decent chance we’ll go into a recession or a stagflationary environment where it’s an inflationary recession.

    MF: Considering that outlook, even if there are bargains out there, are you advising clients to wait?

    TL: No, I never wait. 

    I accept the fact I’m going to get beaten up in some of these stocks, but you’ve got to know who your enemy is. 

    So, there’s always going to be a list of winners at the end of the year. You might have the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) down 10%, but there’s going to be stocks that go up 200%, 300%. 

    The other interesting aspect is that these mineral explorers that are quality, exploration discovery always outperforms any market and a lot of these stocks actually overshoot to the upside.

    And there’s pharmaceutical companies out there with billions of dollars that don’t care what markets are doing. All they care about is the science. So if biotech companies can get through their trials, there’s big pharmas there with big expenditure just to take them out. 

    So my theory is life is too short [to wait], because markets can correct from oversold levels to hideously oversold, and they can correct from high levels. 

    And at the moment the world’s awash with negativity. There is justification for that. But as a small-cap investor, you block out all the noise — you become laser focused on each individual company, and that’s where the real upside lies. And that’s a model I’ve developed over my 24 years.

    The post From chasing criminals to ASX gems, why this ex-cop keeps buying in a bear market appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of July 7 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • 5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Tuesday

    Smiling man with phone in wheelchair watching stocks and trends on computer

    Smiling man with phone in wheelchair watching stocks and trends on computer

    On Monday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) started the week with a very small decline. The benchmark index fell 1.6 points to 6,789.9 points.

    Will the market be able to bounce back from this on Tuesday? Here are five things to watch:

    ASX 200 expected to rise

    The Australian share market is expected to open the day higher on Tuesday despite a mixed start to the week on Wall Street. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is poised to open the day 28 points or 0.4% higher. On Wall Street the Dow Jones rose 0.3%, the S&P 500 edged 0.1% higher, and the NASDAQ dropped 0.4%.

    Flight Centre rated neutral

    The Flight Centre Travel Group Ltd (ASX: FLT) share price continues to be rated as neutral by Goldman Sachs despite the travel agent’s guidance upgrade. This morning the broker reiterated its neutral rating with a $20.90 price target. Though, it is worth noting that Goldman’s price target still implies upside of almost 19% for investors.

    Oil prices rise

    It could be a good day for energy producers such as Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT) and Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) after oil prices pushed higher again overnight. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price is up 2.1% to US$96.71 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price has risen 1.85% to US$105.10 a barrel. A softer US dollar and supply concerns boosted commodity prices.

    South32 a strong buy

    The South32 Ltd (ASX: S32) share price could be great value according to Goldman Sachs. This morning the broker responded to the miner’s quarterly update by reiterating its conviction buy rating with a $4.90 price target. Goldman notes that the mining giant’s “FCF [is] set to jump in FY23 despite higher costs.”

    Gold price falls

    Gold miners Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN) and Regis Resources Limited (ASX: RRL) could have a tough day after the gold price dropped overnight. According to CNBC, the spot gold price is down 0.6% to US$1,716.8 an ounce. Traders were selling the precious metal ahead of the US Federal Reserve interest rate meeting this week.

    The post 5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Tuesday appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of July 7 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Flight Centre Travel Group Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • 2 outstanding ASX growth shares brokers rate as buys

    Woman looks amazed and shocked as she looks at her laptop.

    Woman looks amazed and shocked as she looks at her laptop.

    Are you interested in adding some ASX growth shares to your portfolio this week? If you are, you may want to look at the two listed below that have recently been named as buys.

    Here’s what you need to know about them:

    Altium Limited (ASX: ALU)

    The first ASX growth share to look at is Altium. It is a printed circuit board design software (PCB) provider.

    PCBs are the boards you find in almost all electronic devices. And as they come in all shapes and sizes and with all kinds of different functions, the design of them is an extremely complex process and requires specialist software.

    Through its Altium Designer and Altium 365 software, the company owns industry-leading software which is used by many of the biggest companies and organisations in the world such as NASA and Tesla.

    Bell Potter is very positive on Altium and continues to forecast strong earnings growth over the coming years. It also sees upside for the Altium share price with its buy rating and $34.00 price target.

    ResMed Inc. (ASX: RMD)

    Another ASX growth share to look at is ResMed. It is a medical device company which has a focus on sleep treatment solutions.

    Over the last decade, ResMed’s revenue and earnings have grown at a strong rate thanks to the quality of its products and its large and growing market opportunity.

    In respect to the latter, management estimates that there are almost one billion people with sleep apnoea globally (with only ~20% diagnosed) and a little under half a billion people suffering from chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). This gives it a long runway for growth over the 2020s and beyond.

    Morgans is a fan of ResMed and currently has an add rating and $37.95 price target on its shares.

    The post 2 outstanding ASX growth shares brokers rate as buys appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of July 7 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Altium and ResMed Inc. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended ResMed. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended ResMed Inc. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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