• Elon Musk doesn’t want to buy Twitter anymore, and neither should you

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    Twitter

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    Twitter‘s (NYSE: TWTR) stock tumbled to a four-month low on 8 July after Elon Musk formally terminated his $44 billion takeover bid for the company. In a Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filing, Musk’s legal team said Twitter had breached the terms of the deal by making “false and misleading representations” regarding the social media platform’s number of “fake or spam accounts”.

    The legal team also said Musk had “reason to believe that the true number of false or spam accounts on Twitter’s platform is substantially higher than the amount of less than 5% represented by Twitter in its SEC filings” and that an inability to gauge its true monetizable daily active user (mDAU) count obfuscates the growth prospects of its core advertising business.

    Twitter responded by filing a lawsuit against Musk. In a tweet, chairman Bret Taylor said the board remained “committed to closing the transaction on the price and terms agreed upon with Mr. Musk and plans to pursue legal action to enforce the merger agreement”.

    As this legal battle drags on, Twitter’s stock is likely to stagnate and remain far below Musk’s “best and final offer” of $54.20 per share. Is it too late to buy Twitter’s underwhelming stock, which has actually delivered a negative return since its first post-IPO trade in November 2013?

    Why did Twitter underperform the market?

    When Twitter went public, then-CEO Dick Costolo claimed the platform could reach 400 million monthly active users (MAUs) by the end of 2013. It broadly missed that target, started losing MAUs instead, and ultimately replaced that metric with its current mDAU metric in 2019.

    Twitter’s mDAUs rose 13% to 217 million in 2021, and it claims it can reach 315 million mDAUs by the end of 2023. That target seems extremely bullish since it would require Twitter’s mDAU growth to accelerate to about 20% in both 2022 and 2023. It also claimed it could generate $7.5 billion in revenue in 2023 — which would require its revenue to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 21.5% over the next two years.

    Period201920202021
    mDAUs152 million192 million217 million
    Growth (YOY)21%27%13%
    Revenue$3.46 billion$3.72 billion$5.08 billion
    Growth (YOY)14%7%37%

    Data source: Twitter. YOY = Year over year.

    Twitter hasn’t withdrawn that guidance yet, but analysts expect its revenue to only rise 16% this year and then grow just 22% to $7.2 billion in 2023.

    In April, Twitter also admitted that it had miscalculated its mDAUs over the past three years by counting multiple accounts for single users as separate mDAUs. Twitter claims that miscalculation only affected about two million mDAUs, but that mistake — which only surfaced after Musk placed his bid — raised red flags regarding its spam accounts.

    Twitter’s co-founder Jack Dorsey, who succeeded Costolo in 2015, launched new features like its short-lived “Fleets” feature, organized “topics” for tweets, new tipping services, and “Twitter Blue” verified subscriptions for top accounts — but it still struggled to expand beyond its niche.

    Dorsey resigned last year and was succeeded by Parag Agrawal, who focused on increasing Twitter’s mix of higher-value ads and rolling out new e-commerce features to become a “social shopping” platform like Pinterest and Meta Platforms‘ Instagram.

    Twitter shouldn’t have sued Musk

    Twitter has continued to grow over the past three years, but its earnings growth has been messy. In 2019, its net income was inflated by a $1.21 billion tax benefit. In 2020, it posted a net loss after incurring a $1.1 billion tax charge and COVID-19 expenses.

    In 2021, it racked up another net loss after paying $766 million in legal fees to resolve a class action lawsuit regarding its MAU growth forecasts back in 2014. The impact of those taxes and legal fees can be seen in the gap between its reported and adjusted earnings, which exclude those charges:

    Period201920202021
    Net Income$1.47 billion($1.14 billion)($221 million)
    Net Margin42%(31%)(4%)
    Adjusted Net Income$259 million($34 million)$165 million
    Adjusted Net Margin7%(1%)3%

    Data source: Twitter.

    This May, Twitter settled a privacy lawsuit with the Department of Justice (DOJ) and Federal Trade Commission (FTC) for $150 million. If Twitter sues Musk, it could rack up even higher legal fees this year.

    Analysts expect Twitter to generate a net profit of $540 million this year, partly due to its recent sale of MoPub to AppLovin (NASDAQ: APP) for $1.05 billion, but to post a much lower net profit of $130 million in 2023.

    Twitter would net a $1 billion termination fee from Musk if it simply lets him walk away. That seems to be a smarter and more cost-efficient decision that would finally allow Agrawal to reset Twitter’s business.

    It’s not the right time to buy Twitter stock

    Twitter’s stock still isn’t cheap at nearly 40 times next year’s adjusted earnings. The macro headwinds will likely force it to abandon its ambitious growth targets for 2023, and its decision to sue Musk instead of accepting the termination fee raises additional red flags. Simply put, it’s still not the right time to buy this volatile social media stock.

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    The post Elon Musk doesn’t want to buy Twitter anymore, and neither should you appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks *Returns as of July 7 2022

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    Randi Zuckerberg, a former director of market development and spokeswoman for Facebook and sister to Meta Platforms CEO Mark Zuckerberg, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Leo Sun has positions in Meta Platforms, Inc. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company has positions in and recommends Meta Platforms, Inc., Pinterest, Tesla, and Twitter. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.



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  • Why is the Metcash share price in reverse today?

    A male investor wearing a white shirt and blue suit jacket sits at his desk looking at his laptop with his hands to his chin monitoring the CBA share price todayA male investor wearing a white shirt and blue suit jacket sits at his desk looking at his laptop with his hands to his chin monitoring the CBA share price today

    The Aussie share market is heading north today despite Wall Street recording another loss overnight.

    Investors are defying the sell-off that occurred on the United States-based Nasdaq ahead of the major reports due this week.

    In case you weren’t aware, United States inflation readings for June are set to be released this Wednesday along with the domestic jobs data on Thursday.

    In early morning trade, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is climbing by around 0.70% to 6,647.20 points.

    Nonetheless, the Metcash Limited (ASX: MTS) share price is treading the opposite way.

    At the time of writing, the wholesale distributor’s shares are down 2.55% to $4.21.

    Shareholders lock in the Metcash dividend

    Following the company’s full-year results released late last month, investors are eyeing Metcash shares as they go ex-dividend today.

    This means if you purchased the company’s shares yesterday or before, you will be eligible for the latest dividend.

    Traditionally, when a company reaches its ex-dividend day, its shares tend to fall in proportion to the dividend paid out. This is because investors try to make a quick profit after securing the dividend.

    For those eligible for the Metcash FY22 dividend, shareholders will receive a payment of 11 cents per share on 10 August.

    The dividend reflects an increase of almost 16% when compared to the prior corresponding period (9.5 cents per share).

    Furthermore, the dividend is fully franked at a corporate tax rate of 30%, which means investors will receive tax credits.

    Under the company’s capital management framework, the targeted payout ratio is around 70% of underlying profit after tax.

    Shareholder distributions totalled $408 million in FY22.

    Are Metcash shares still a buy?

    Following the financial scorecard for the full year, analysts at Macquarie weighed in on Metcash shares.

    According to ANZ Share Investing, the broker raised its 12-month price target by 2.2% to $4.60 for the company’s shares.

    In addition, Citi also lifted its rating by 4.8% to $4.40 apiece for Metcash shares.

    It appears both brokers are in line with what investors believe the company’s shares should be worth in the current climate.

    Metcash share price snapshot

    Since the beginning of 2022, Metcash shares have lost 4% on the back of weakened investor sentiment.

    However, the benchmark ASX 200 index is down almost 12% over the same time frame.

    Metcash has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 17.30 and commands a market capitalisation of roughly $4.16 billion.

    The post Why is the Metcash share price in reverse today? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of July 7 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Aaron Teboneras has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • What are brokers saying about the CSL share price?

    Two researchers discussing results of a study with each other.

    Two researchers discussing results of a study with each other.

    The CSL Limited (ASX: CSL) share price has continued its recovery on Tuesday.

    In morning trade, the biotherapeutics company’s shares are up 2.5% to $295.01.

    This means the CSL share price is now trading flat in 2022, which compares favourably to the ASX 200 index’s 12.5% decline.

    Can the CSL share price keep rising?

    The good news for investors is that a number of brokers still see plenty of upside in the CSL share price.

    One of those brokers is Citi, which has a buy rating and $330.00 price target on the company’s shares. This implies almost 12% upside for investors over the next 12 months.

    Its analysts believe plasma collection headwinds are largely over and that demand should now be the key focus. And with demand remaining strong, it feels this bodes well for its shares. It recently commented:

    Recently, there have been several data points influencing our view on the plasma sector. In this report, we review them and the implications for the sector as a whole. US CMS data indicates continued price increases in immunoglobulin products. This is consistent with our expectation, as donor fees continue to remain elevated.

    Underlying demand for plasma products remains strong but supply is constrained due to low plasma collection volume. With plasma collections now back to pre-pandemic levels, we expect the market to shift its focus to the strong underlying plasma product demand. This should lead to strength in the CSL share price.

    Elsewhere, last week analysts at Macquarie and Morgan Stanley both retained their equivalent of buy ratings with $312.00 price targets.

    Macquarie also highlights that plasma collections have been improving and were largely in line with pre-COVID levels last month. This was even the case in Texas despite restrictions on paid donations by Mexican citizens. It feels this bodes well for its earnings growth in the coming years.

    The post What are brokers saying about the CSL share price? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of July 7 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended CSL Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Macquarie Group Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Why Amazon stock is down 32% so far this year

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    Amazon boxes stacked up on a front doorstep

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    What happened 

    Shares of Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) have fallen hard in the first half of 2022 and are down 32% year to date, according to data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence. Part of the drop is due to the broader stock market’s tumble as investors processed news of rising inflation and interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve. 

    But the biggest reason for Amazon’s share price drop this year comes from the company’s dismal first-quarter results, which were reported back in April. The e-commerce company reported its first quarterly loss since 2015 and issued disappointing guidance that sent its share price into a downward spiral. 

    So what 

    Amazon shocked analysts and investors when it reported a net loss of $3.8 billion in the quarter, its first quarterly loss in seven years and far below its net income of $8.1 billion in the year-ago quarter.

    That loss came partly because of Amazon’s investment in the electric vehicle (EV) maker Rivian Automotive. It owns about 18% of the EV company, and Amazon reported a pre-tax valuation loss of $7.6 billion related it its Rivian holdings in the quarter.

    But Amazon’s net loss also came as the company went on a hiring spree during the pandemic with e-commerce demand soaring. With tons of new workers and higher spending costs due to inflation, Amazon’s expenses ballooned. 

    Investors were also disappointed with the guidance that management provided. The company said revenue for the second quarter would be in the range of $116 billion to $121 billion, lower than analysts’ consensus average of $125.5 billion. 

    Investors will get a clearer picture of Amazon’s finances when it reports second-quarter results, likely next month.

    Now what 

    In the near term, Amazon investors could face some share price swings. Inflation is still stubbornly high and the company will continue to experience higher costs. And with the Federal Reserve focused on bringing inflation back down, more interest rate hikes are on the table, which could spook the market even more. 

    But over the long term, Amazon investors should keep in mind that the company is still a leader in e-commerce and cloud computing. It is in a solid financial position and could end up being a great stock to have many years from now. 

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    The post Why Amazon stock is down 32% so far this year appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of July 7 2022

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    Chris Neiger has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. John Mackey, CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Amazon. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Amazon. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

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  • Down 23% in June, can the Northern Star Resource share price go up in July?

    miner holding gold nuggetminer holding gold nugget

    The Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) share price struggled in June, but could it steam ahead in July?

    Northern Star shares fell 23% from $8.89 each at market open on 1 June to $6.84 a share at market close on 30 June.

    Let’s take a look at the outlook for this ASX gold share in July.

    Can the Northern Share share price go higher?

    The Northern Star share price fell in June, but some analysts see potential upside for the gold miner’s shares.

    Citi analysts have recently retained a buy rating on the Northern Star share price but cut the price target to $12.10. This is still almost 77% upside on the current share price. Commenting on the outlook for Northern Star in light of gold prices, Citi said:

    We’ve trimmed our gold price in FY22/23. “Push and Pull” frictions can keep average prices elevated, but with upward momentum lagging. On a six to 12 month view we now see gold trading at US$1775 per ounce vs spot US$1853 per ounce.

    We remain at buy.

    Meanwhile, Macquarie also is optimistic about the future of the Northern Star share price, with an $11 price target. This is a nearly 61% upside based on today’s price.

    Gold prices fell 2.1% in the month of June and have declined further in July to nearly nine-month lows, Trading Economics data shows.

    In a research note today, ANZ senior economist Felicity Emmett noted “gold prices remained under pressure” in global markets as the US dollar strengthens ahead of more US inflation data being released. She said:

    An increase in CPI could stiffen the resolve of the Fed to proceed with another big increase in interest rates later this month.

    Investors continue to cut their exposure to the precious metal.

    Meantime, Northern Star will release its latest quarterly results on Wednesday 20 July.

    Share price snapshot

    The Northern Star share price has dropped nearly 34% in the past year, falling nearly 28% in the year to date.

    For perspective, the S&P/ASX 200 Materials Index (ASX: XMJ) has shed nearly 16% in the past year and 11% year to date.

    Northern Star has a market capitalisation of about $7.9 billion based on the current share price.

    The post Down 23% in June, can the Northern Star Resource share price go up in July? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Northern Star Resources Ltd right now?

    Before you consider Northern Star Resources Ltd, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Northern Star Resources Ltd wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of July 7 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Monica O’Shea has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Here’s why Goldman Sachs sees lots of value in the Xero share price

    A woman sits at her computer in deep contemplation with her hand to her chin and seriously considering information she is receiving from the screen of her laptop regarding the Xero share price

    A woman sits at her computer in deep contemplation with her hand to her chin and seriously considering information she is receiving from the screen of her laptop regarding the Xero share price

    It is fair to say that the Xero Limited (ASX: XRO) share price has been well and truly out of form in 2022.

    Since the start of the year, the cloud accounting platform provider’s shares are down a sizeable 42%.

    While this is disappointing for shareholders, it could prove to be a buying opportunity for long term investors.

    Is the Xero share price good value?

    The good news is that analysts at Goldman Sachs believe the pullback in the Xero share price is a buying opportunity for investors.

    This week the broker reiterated its buy rating on the company’s shares with a slightly trimmed price target of $113.00.

    Based on the current Xero share price of $84.26, this implies potential upside of 34% for investors over the next 12 months.

    What did the broker say?

    Goldman notes that there are some near term challenges that Xero is facing. However, it believes the company can navigate this uncertainty and continue its growth.

    In fact, despite reducing its estimates, Goldman is still forecasting average gross profit growth of 22% per annum from Xero between FY 2023 and FY 2025.

    It commented:

    While noting that the near term remains robust, we do acknowledge the risk of higher churn from SME business challenges and recent price increases. Nevertheless, we see Xero as well-placed to navigate this uncertainty given the stickiness & importance of its software, and lower levels of churn vs. AU overall. We revise FY23-25 GP to reflect FX and higher churn/ARPU growth (price increases). Our 12m TP is -4% to A$113 (also revised in May).

    All in all, this could make it a great option for investors that are looking for exposure to the tech sector following 2022’s weakness.

    The post Here’s why Goldman Sachs sees lots of value in the Xero share price appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Xero Limited right now?

    Before you consider Xero Limited, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Xero Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of July 7 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Xero. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Xero. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Could the Mineral Resources share price unload another 41% of upside?

    Female miner smiling while inspecting a mine site with another miner.Female miner smiling while inspecting a mine site with another miner.

    The share price of materials giant Mineral Resources Limited (ASX: MIN) has been struggling lately, tumbling more than 17% over the last 30 days.

    But there could be light on the horizon for the lithium and iron ore producer, with one broker tipping a 41% upside on its stock.

    At the time of writing, the Mineral Resources share price is $46.01. That’s 21.6% lower than it was at the start of 2022.

    For context, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has slipped 13% so far this year, as has the S&P/ASX 200 Materials Index (ASX: XMJ).

    Let’s take a closer look at what’s been going on with the resources giant and what one broker expects for its future.

    Mineral Resources share price tipped to hit $65

    The Mineral Resources share price has been plagued by retreating commodity prices and negative sentiment recently. But one broker expects the stock to perform a notable comeback.

    Jefferies has reportedly upped its price target for Mineral Resources’ stock to $65. The broker also slapped the company’s shares with a buy rating, Livewire reports.

    That would see the company’s stock returning to trade around the 52-week high it reached in January.

    A falling iron ore price and a lithium sell-off event have taken their toll on the company’s shares since then.

    Companies involved in lithium have had a rough slog over the last few weeks following a major turnaround on the market. Meanwhile, the price of iron ore has slumped around 28% since peaking in March.

    Interestingly, there hasn’t been much news from the company over the last few months. Though, it was added to the S&P/ASX 50 Index (ASX: XFL) in June.

    The post Could the Mineral Resources share price unload another 41% of upside? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of July 7 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • What’s the outlook for ASX biotech shares in FY23?

    Scientists in a laboratory look at a computer screen with anticipation on their faces representing a potential change in the performance of ASX biotech shares in FY23Scientists in a laboratory look at a computer screen with anticipation on their faces representing a potential change in the performance of ASX biotech shares in FY23

    ASX biotech shares incurred heavy losses in FY22 as investors piled out of risk assets and moved into higher-quality corners of the market.

    Here’s a closer look at three noteworthy ASX biotech shares and their outlook for FY23.

    CSL Ltd (ASX: CSL)

    Shares in the biotech giant gyrated last year but analysts tip they’ll deliver upside in FY23. Citi rates this ASX share a buy on a $330 valuation.

    The Citi team say that CSL should benefit now that COVID-19 has wound back and blood plasma collections can resume en masse.

    It forecasts around 20% growth in earnings per share (EPS) for CSL this financial year, as the market “shift[s] its focus to the strong underlying plasma product demand.”

    Not only that, but CSL announced its acquisition of Vifor Pharma last year, and is likely to book its first round of revenue from the transaction in FY23.

    This could weigh on the CSL share price if everything goes well.

    Imugene Ltd (ASX: IMU)

    Shares in Imugene have caught a bid lately and are up 33% in the past week. After booking heavy losses last financial year, things could be looking different in FY23 for the ASX biotech share.

    As TMF reported last week, “Imugene advised it has appointed a new executive director and clinical scientist.”

    That was Dr Sharon Yavrom, who comes with nearly 20 years of industry experience.

    The latest results of its HER-Vaxx Phase 2 study were also a positive catalyst for the share price.

    The HER-Vaxx segment is sure to be integral to Imugene’s growth narrative looking ahead, as it was in FY22.

    Immutep Ltd (ASX: IMM)

    Another ASX biotech share worth mentioning for FY23 is Immutep. The company is focused on developing novel oncology solutions through its lead drug compound, etfi.

    Immutep shares underperformed in FY22, with investors incurring a substantial on-paper loss. But the biotech share caught a bid in the first week of July following a company announcement.

    Immutep advised that part A of the phase II TACTI-002 trial met its primary objective, showing favourable anti-tumour activity.

    The study was evaluating efti in combination with MSD’s pembrolizumab in 114 patients.

    Investors reacted favourably after digesting the news.

    The wider healthcare sector has also been strengthening in early FY23.

    The post What’s the outlook for ASX biotech shares in FY23? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

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    Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended CSL Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Why Goldman Sachs added Woolworths shares to its conviction list

    wow

    wow

    Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) shares could be in the buy zone at the current level.

    That’s the view of the team at Goldman Sachs, which has just added the retail giant’s shares to its conviction list.

    What is Goldman saying about the Woolworths share price?

    Goldman Sachs has added Woolworths to its conviction list in place of its old drinks business Endeavour Group Ltd (ASX: EDV). It explained:

    We update our forecasts for WOW, reiterate our Buy rating and add to our regional Conviction List, with TP to A$40.50 (from A$41.70). We remain positive on EDV and reiterate Buy but remove from Conviction List after recent out performance with TP unchanged at A$8.30. Since adding EDV on CL from March 28th, the stock is +9.1% vs ASX200 -10.3%.

    We reiterate our key positive thesis on EDV as a defensive alcohol retail leader with material advantage in consumer loyalty, re-opening beneficiary and accelerated growth leveraging B/S. Whilst we continue to see 6% upside, WOW now has a higher upside of 10% (3rd highest in our consumer/retail coverage, but with clear catalysts to re-rating).

    What are these key catalysts?

    Goldman has named three key catalysts for a re-rating of the Woolworths share price. These are its superior growth in the core business, adjacent revenues with higher margins, and its valuation.

    In respect to its growth, Goldman is forecasting a sales “CAGR of 6.6% and underlying NPAT of 14.1% over FY22-24e, with key driver being market share gain of AU Foods business.” This is expected to be driven by an effective cost-price pass through and additional mix improvement with relatively stable volume growth.

    As for its adjacent revenue opportunities, the broker highlights that Woolworths has a highly loyal consumer base and high frequency contact points. It believes that “the retail media business is the next material growth lever for WOW” and has “factored in A$1.1B sales, with 30% EBIT margin in 2030.”

    Finally, the broker sees scope for the Woolworths share price to trade on higher multiples. It highlights that the valuation gap between its shares are Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL) is at its lowest point in years.

    The broker believes this is “unwarranted” due to Woolworths being the “superior operator with faster growth outlook.” In light of this, the broker expects “ better comps and margin management to become apparent, and the stock to re-rate.”

    The post Why Goldman Sachs added Woolworths shares to its conviction list appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

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    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of July 7 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended COLESGROUP DEF SET. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • What’s the outlook for ASX 200 healthcare shares in FY23?

    Two doctors wearing white coats look closely at a medical imaging x-ray as the share prices of ASX 200 healthcare shares improve in FY23Two doctors wearing white coats look closely at a medical imaging x-ray as the share prices of ASX 200 healthcare shares improve in FY23

    ASX 200 healthcare shares were a mixed bag in FY22 with many names underperforming their benchmark.

    The S&P/ASX 200 Health Care Index (ASX: XHJ) tumbled in December and hasn’t made a recovery yet. It’s now trading down 7.5% in the year to date.

    With the macroeconomic landscape shifting, ASX 200 healthcare shares might be set to catch a bid again.

    How’s it looking for ASX 200 healthcare shares in FY23?

    It appears investors are paying more attention to fundamental analysis in 2022.

    For example, unprofitable ASX growth shares and ASX tech shares have been beaten down, whilst profitable ASX mining shares with high free cash flow have soared.

    For the healthcare basket, these trends have had a big impact. Healthcare shares have been strengthening in the past month, up 4% in that time.

    The sector trades on a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 44.5x per Bloomberg data. Analysts are forecasting average earnings per share (EPS) growth of around 30% for H2 FY22 in the space.

    Meanwhile, researchers at Deloitte have weighed in with their opinion on the outlook for the healthcare industry in FY23.

    The Deloitte team said that a number of forces are “proving to be the catalyst for the clinical, financial, and operational transformation that health care has long promised to the world”.

    “Despite COVID-19’s many devastating impacts, it does present the health care sector with a powerful opportunity to accelerate innovation and reinvent itself,” it added.

    Catching a bid in FY23

    The stage looks set for large-cap players within the ASX 200 healthcare space to catch a bid in FY23.

    We’ve seen it happen already. Biotech giant CSL Limited (ASX: CSL) has jumped from $269 per share on 1 July to $287.99 now, for instance.

    Meanwhile, sleep and respiratory specialist Resmed CDI (ASX: RMD) is up 7% in the past month of trade.

    It will be an enduring test for ASX 200 healthcare shares to push through the current market volatility.

    The post What’s the outlook for ASX 200 healthcare shares in FY23? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of July 7 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended CSL Ltd. and ResMed Inc. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended ResMed. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended ResMed Inc. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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