• These were the worst performing ASX 200 shares last week

    a man clasps his hand to his forehead as he looks down at his phone and grimaces with a pained expression on his face as though receiving bad news.

    a man clasps his hand to his forehead as he looks down at his phone and grimaces with a pained expression on his face as though receiving bad news.a man clasps his hand to his forehead as he looks down at his phone and grimaces with a pained expression on his face as though receiving bad news.

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) was out of form last week and recorded its largest weekly decline in over a year. The benchmark index fell 2.9% over the period to end it at 7,175.8 points.

    While the majority of shares on the ASX 200 fell over the period, some fell more than most. Here’s why these were the worst performers on the index last week:

    Megaport Ltd (ASX: MP1)

    The Megaport share price was the worst performer on the ASX 200 last week with an 18.7% decline. Investors were selling the elastic interconnection services provider’s shares following the release of its second quarter update. According to the release, Megaport posted a quarter on quarter monthly recurring revenue (MRR) increase of $0.6 million to $9.2 million. This led to an 8% increase in second quarter revenue to $26.6 million. While its revenue was in line expectations, a number of brokers lowered their price targets due to expectations of a higher investment spend.

    PolyNovo Ltd (ASX: PNV)

    The PolyNovo share price was some way behind as the next worst performer with a decline of 11.4%. This means that the medical device company’s shares gave back all of the previous week’s gain and a little bit more. Short sellers will have been pleased. PolyNovo remains one of the most shorted shares on the ASX.

    Kogan.com Ltd (ASX: KGN)

    The Kogan share price was out of form and dropped 10.8% over the five days. Investors were selling the ecommerce company’s shares following a couple of poor updates from industry peers. One of those was from the Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES) owned Catch business. It reported first half gross sales growth of just 1% and a sizeable loss. These businesses have previously delivered very similar results, so this may not bode well for Kogan’s performance.

    BlueScope Steel Limited (ASX: BSL)

    The BlueScope share price wasn’t far behind with a 10.4% decline over the period. This was despite there being no news out of the steel producer. However, last week S&P Global warned that slowing demand for steel in Brazil would limit pricing in 2022.

    The post These were the worst performing ASX 200 shares last week appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the five best ASX stocks for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now.

    *Returns as of January 12th 2022

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns and has recommended Kogan.com ltd, MEGAPORT FPO, and POLYNOVO FPO. The Motley Fool Australia owns and has recommended Kogan.com ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended MEGAPORT FPO. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

    from The Motley Fool Australia https://ift.tt/3KxOR4R

  • Want to buy gold? Here are 3 ways ASX investors can own the precious metal

    Rising gold asx gold shares share price buy represented by multiple hands grabbing at gold bullionRising gold asx gold shares share price buy represented by multiple hands grabbing at gold bullionRising gold asx gold shares share price buy represented by multiple hands grabbing at gold bullion

    Key points

    • The gold price has been on the rise lately
    • Many investors are looking to gold to diversify their portfolios
    • Here are 3 ways you can get exposure to the yellow metal

    Once again, gold has been a hot topic for ASX investors. The precious metal has seen renewed interest over the past few weeks as inflation concerns and geopolitical tensions have pushed up its price. Just over a month ago, gold was at a multi-month low, under US$1,780 an ounce. But the past week has seen the yellow metal spike in value. Today, it’s sitting at US$1,843 an ounce (a 2-month high), having risen from roughly US$1,816 over just the past few days.

    Usually when gold goes up in price, it reflects economic or geopolitical concerns in the broader global economy. And indeed, we have recently seen tensions between the United States and Russia over the situation in Ukraine escalate dramatically. We have also seen some very elevated inflation metrics coming out of the US economy in particular.

    So with all of these factors swirling around, it’s not hard to see why investors are again taking a second look at gold. But how does one invest in gold here in Australia? Here are 3 ways you can do it

    3 ways ASX investors can invest in gold

    Buy physical bullion

    The most direct route to owning gold is by buying the physical metal itself. There are many bullion dealers across the country one can visit or contact to buy the precious metal from directly. Many investors prefer this method as it is the only way to completely own gold as an asset. There are some drawbacks though, such as the risk of theft, insurance and cost of storage.

    Use an ASX ETF

    Investors can also use the exchange-traded fund (ETF) structure to invest in gold indirectly. There are a few ETFs on the ASX that represent ownership of gold bullion. Perth Mint Gold (ASX: PMGOLD) is one. The ETFS Physical Gold ETF (ASX: GOLD) is another. Some investors like investing in gold this way as you don’t have to worry about storage or theft.

    Additionally, buying and selling units of an ETF is arguably a lot easier than buying or selling physical bullion. But for investors who like to hold their gold, as it were, an ETF might just not cut it. There are also fees to consider. For instance, Perth Mint Gold charges an annual fee of 0.15% per annum. EFs Physical Gold ETF charges 0.4% per annum.

    Buy a gold miner

    Buying gold miners is another way to indirectly invest in gold. The ASX is home to more than a few too, the largest of which being Newcrest Mining Ltd (ASX: NCM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST).

    A gold miner may be a company, but most ASX 200 gold miners own mines that contain gold, and by extension, the gold itself. A miner also can pay a dividend, which is one of the few ways to extract a yield from owning gold. Investing in gold this way can also be viewed as a ‘leveraged’ bet. Miners’ costs are relatively stable, so any increase in the price of gold can result in an exponential increase in profitability (although this can cut both ways too).

    But this is perhaps the riskiest way to invest in gold. Miners can go broke, or can destroy capital if the gold price sinks to a level that the mine can’t operate profitably at. There’s also longevity to consider. Mines run out eventually, and the company will need to find a new source of gold to remain viable.

    Foolish takeaway

    Investing in gold is not as straightforward as you might think. Investors who want to walk down the yellow brick road, as it were, need to weigh up the pros and cons of these different methods of investing in gold and see what works for them.

    The post Want to buy gold? Here are 3 ways ASX investors can own the precious metal appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the five best ASX stocks for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now.

    *Returns as of January 12th 2022

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen owns Newcrest Mining Limited. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

    from The Motley Fool Australia https://ift.tt/3qRtzY4

  • Analysts name 2 excellent ASX 200 shares to buy

    a man looks down at his phone with a look of happy surprise on his face as though he is thrilled with good news.

    a man looks down at his phone with a look of happy surprise on his face as though he is thrilled with good news.a man looks down at his phone with a look of happy surprise on his face as though he is thrilled with good news.

    While recent volatility has been disappointing, it may have created attractive entry points for some ASX 200 shares.

    Two such shares are listed below. Here’s why analysts see a lot of value in them at current levels:

    CSL Limited (ASX: CSL)

    The first ASX 200 share to look at is CSL. It is one of the world’s leading biotherapeutics and vaccine companies.

    CSL has a world class portfolio of products that are used around the world to treat immunodeficiencies, bleeding disorders, hereditary angioedema, Alpha 1 antitrypsin deficiency, and neurological disorders.

    But management isn’t resting on its laurels. It is investing ~US$1 billion a year (and growing) into research and development and is in the process of making a major acquisition. The latter will add treatments for iron deficiency, nephrology and cardio-renal through the acquisition of Vifor Pharma for $17 billion.

    The team at Citi is positive on its growth outlook over the coming years. For example, this year the broker is forecasting a net profit of US$3,158 million. It expects this to then grow to US$4,689 million by FY 2024.

    Citi currently has a buy rating and $340.00 price target on the company’s shares. This compares to the latest CSL share price of $264.52.

    REA Group Limited (ASX: REA)

    Another ASX 200 share to look at is REA Group. It is best known as the digital advertising company that operates Australia’s leading property website, realestate.com.au.

    But there’s more to REA than just the realestate.com.au website. It also owns and operates a number of complementary businesses in the Australian market and internationally. These include property listing websites and mortgage broking.

    All in all, together with new revenue streams, its good cost control, and a strong housing market, REA appears well-placed for growth over the coming years.

    Goldman Sachs is confident in its growth outlook. It is forecasting a net profit of $388 million in FY 2022, $445 million in FY 2023, and then ultimately $510 million in FY 2024.

    In light of this, the broker has put a buy rating and $193.00 price target on REA’s shares. This compares to the current REA share price of $146.83.

    The post Analysts name 2 excellent ASX 200 shares to buy appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the five best ASX stocks for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now.

    *Returns as of January 12th 2022

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns and has recommended CSL Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended REA Group Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

    from The Motley Fool Australia https://ift.tt/3nKyBnE

  • Fortescue (ASX:FMG) share price on watch amid Sinosteel Oakajee agreement

    two businessmen shake hands in a close up mid-level shot with other businesspeople looking on approvingly in the background.

    two businessmen shake hands in a close up mid-level shot with other businesspeople looking on approvingly in the background.two businessmen shake hands in a close up mid-level shot with other businesspeople looking on approvingly in the background.

    The Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG) share price will be one to watch on Monday.

    This follows the release of an announcement after the market close on Friday.

    Why is the Fortescue share price on watch?

    Investors may want to keep an eye on the Fortescue share price on Monday after it announced an agreement with China’s state-owned Sinosteel.

    According to the release, the two parties have signed a binding Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) to complete a rapid project assessment of Sinosteel’s Midwest Magnetite Project in Western Australia. The assessment will include a rail and port development at Oakajee.

    Following the conclusion of the 12 month rapid project assessment and subject to the outcome of that process, Fortescue will have the option to acquire up to 50% of the Midwest Magnetite Project and up to 100% of the proposed port and rail infrastructure project.

    Fortescue’s Chief Executive Officer, Elizabeth Gaines, said: “For over three decades, Sinosteel has demonstrated their strong performance and ability to deliver mining projects in Australia including their Channar Mine in the Pilbara. The signing of this MoU demonstrates Fortescue’s commitment to our strategic pillars of investing in the long-term sustainability of our iron ore business, expanding into new regions and continuing to deliver strong returns to our stakeholders.”

    Ms Gaines also sees opportunities for its highly divisive Fortescue Future Industries business to leverage the operation.

    She said: “We look forward to working with Sinosteel on the next steps for this important project for Western Australia which, in addition to the magnetite and infrastructure development, offers the opportunity for a co-ordinated project combining Fortescue’s iron ore and infrastructure pedigree with Fortescue Future Industries’ green energy objectives.”

    “Future development including a renewable, green hydrogen hub in the Midwest region at Oakajee would deliver a large-scale resources and renewables project for Western Australia, further underpinning our enduring relationship with China,” Ms Gaines added.

    The post Fortescue (ASX:FMG) share price on watch amid Sinosteel Oakajee agreement appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Fortescue right now?

    Before you consider Fortescue, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Fortescue wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    *Returns as of January 13th 2022

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

    from The Motley Fool Australia https://ift.tt/3rvTiEA

  • CogState (ASX:CGS) share price crashes 20% on quarterly update

    A man looks stunned as a cloud explodes from his head representing the CogState share price crashing today inA man looks stunned as a cloud explodes from his head representing the CogState share price crashing today inA man looks stunned as a cloud explodes from his head representing the CogState share price crashing today in

    Key points

    • The CogState share price fell as low as $1.84 today — 20% down on yesterday’s close
    • The neuroscience technology company released a quarterly update today
    • Clinical sale contracts have increased by 141%, hitting a new record

    The CogState Limited (ASX: CGS) share price flatlined today after the company released a business and investor update this morning.

    At market close, the CogState share price was down 15.95% to $1.95. The share price bounced back in late afternoon trade after declining to an intraday low of $1.84.

    Whilst CogState reported record figures for contracts and revenue, its shares continued the bleeding today as they have all month. The CogState share price began 2022 at $2.55 on the first day of ASX trading on 4 January. That’s a 23% dip to date.

    So what exactly did CogState report? Let’s take a closer look.

    CogState investors unenthused by results

    CogState aims to provide tools to measure brain health and cognition in order to assist in research and remedies.

    Today’s announcement reveals just a small number of business financials, with a more detailed report set to be released on 24 February.

    CogState’s business update revealed:

    • Revenue for 2Q22 up 40% at $10.8 million against its prior corresponding period (PCP)
    • Revenue for 1H22 up 67% at $23.1 million compared to PCP
    • $24.6 million in net cash as of 31 December

    Record figures for CogState

    In its investor report, CogState revealed a number of records hit during the quarter, including:

    • A 141% increase in executed clinical sale contracts amounting to $54.5 million
    • A 78% increase in contracted future revenue at $132.9 million
    • A 67% increase in group revenue at $23.1 million

    The company said Alzheimer’s trials have continued to boost its clinical sales contracts. In 1H22, the disease accounted for 90% of CogState sales contracts.

    What else is news?

    Just recently, CogState announced that its brain assessment tool, CogMate, is to be marketed in Taiwan and Hong Kong through its Taiwanese subsidiary, Eisai Taiwan Inc.

    CogMate is a multilingual tool that measures cognitive performance. It can be used with smartphones and other smart devices.

    CogState hopes the product will assist in the “self assessment and prevention” of diseases such as dementia, with ageing populations in mind.

    Exposure to other countries, including Singapore, is on the horizon.

    Cogstate share price snapshot

    Over the past 12 months, the CogState share price has leapt 75%.

    There was a 50% jump in June after the company announced its Alzheimer’s therapeutic had received accelerated approval based on its clinical trials. At that time, the CogState share price was $1.40. It also saw a sharp 8% jump in September to $1.87.

    The company has a market capitalisation of just over $402 million and a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 55.25.

    The post CogState (ASX:CGS) share price crashes 20% on quarterly update appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in CogState right now?

    Before you consider CogState, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and CogState wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    *Returns as of January 13th 2022

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Alice de Bruin has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

    from The Motley Fool Australia https://ift.tt/3AhAuNA

  • What’s happening to the Wesfarmers share price (ASX:WES) this year?

    sad woman sitting with shopping bagssad woman sitting with shopping bagssad woman sitting with shopping bags

    Key points

    • The Wesfarmers share price has descended more than 10% since the start of the year
    • COVID-19 is impacting consumer confidence and retail sales
    • The S&P/ASX 200 Consumer Discretionary Index has fallen almost 8% since 31 December

    The Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES) share price is plummeting this year.

    The Western Australian-based conglomerate’s share price has fallen 10.51% since market close on 31 December to finish this week trading at $53.07. It fell 2.27% today alone.

    Let’s take a look at what is impacting the company’s shares in January.

    What’s going on with Wesfarmers?

    The Wesfarmers share price has been on a steady decline since the start of the year with a few positive bumps along the way.

    Retail shares have been falling amid declining consumer confidence due to the COVID-19 Omicron variant.

    Early this week, an ANZ-Roy Morgan survey revealed consumer confidence had dropped 8.1 points to its lowest level since October 2020. This followed confidence falling 2.4 points in the first week of January.

    The S&P/ASX 200 Consumer Discretionary Index (ASX: XDJ), which includes Wesfarmers, has fallen 7.77% since 31 December.

    However, on Monday the Wesfarmers share price had a minor reprieve following the release of its half-yearly results up to 31 December.

    The company anticipates its net profit after tax to decline by 12.5% to 16.5% compared to the previous corresponding period. Kmart and Target sales fell 10.3% due to COVID-19 restrictions and Target store closures. However, the results were in line with expectations.

    Analysts at Citi maintained their sell rating on the company’s shares this week with a $50 price target. That’s 5.8% less than the current share price. Citi expressed concerns about consumer spending and increased COVID-19 costs.

    However, there could be brighter days coming in the view of some analysts. Morgans upgraded Wesfarmers shares to a buy rating on Tuesday, describing the company as “high quality”. The broker gave the company a price target of $60.80. That is 14.6% more than the current share price.

    Wesfarmers share price snapshot

    The Wesfarmers share price has returned 1.6% in the past 12 months. This week it has fallen 1.7%, while it has slumped 9.97% over the past month.

    Meanwhile, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has returned 5.16% in the past year.

    The post What’s happening to the Wesfarmers share price (ASX:WES) this year? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Wesfarmers right now?

    Before you consider Wesfarmers, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Wesfarmers wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    *Returns as of January 13th 2022

    More reading

    The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns and has recommended Wesfarmers Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

    from The Motley Fool Australia https://ift.tt/3qNxlSq

  • Own AGL (ASX:AGL) shares? JP Morgan is overweight, tips 23% upside in 2022

    An oil miner with his thumbs up.An oil miner with his thumbs up.An oil miner with his thumbs up.

    Shares in energy giant AGL Energy Limited (ASX: AGL) have rocketed out of the gates in 2022 and are now up more than 21% since January 1.

    AGL shares surged in the first week of trading and have now shot back to 3-month highs of $7.30 as of Friday’s close.

    With the recent upside, the team at JP Morgan have become constructive on AGL and reckon the energy player could be a buy right now. Let’s take a look.

    Is AGL a buy right now?

    JP Morgan reckons so, having reiterated its overweight posture on the stock in a recent note. The broker said it remains positive on AGL “despite recent performance of the stock”.

    However, analysts at the firm also note that AGL has been “one of the strongest performers in the ASX200 in recent months”, alluding to its 21% gain in the last month versus the S&P/ASX200 Index (ASX: XJO) at 1.5%.

    The broker reckons this performance “is likely attributable to stronger wholesale forward prices”. In fact, JP Morgan notes that it revised commodity prices for AGL in an update last week, “resulting in material increases to earnings estimates and valuation”.

    It also reckons that Accel Energy is now a “significantly more palatable asset” given its cash flow outlook at such strong spot prices.

    With this kind of fundamental momentum, JP Morgan even goes as far as to say that AGL could upgrade guidance during its earnings results penned in next month.

    Company guidance is for $220–$340 million NPAT, however, the firm notes that “average wholesale price is up A$24/MWh since that guidance”.

    “We would finally suggest that there remains the possibility that AGL could upgrade full-year NPAT guidance at the interim result next month. While most forward electricity sales are completed ahead of the fiscal year, it is possible (and likely) that some generation is unsold and therefore exposed to spot prices”, it said.

    In the long-term, JP Morgan sees value in AGL seeing that it is “Australia’s largest private owner, operator, and developer of renewable generation assets”.

    In that view, the broker feels the market is undervaluing AGL shares, and values the company at $8.70 per share, indicating around 23% upside potential at the time of writing.

    “Notwithstanding reduced corporate appeal, we remain positive on AGL given much better electricity prices and compelling value”.

    How’s AGL performing so far in 2022?

    The AGL share price is off to an impressive start so far, after regaining momentum towards the end of 2021. The chart below shows AGL’s performance against the benchmark index from June 2021 to date. Note how shares bounced off a 6-month low of $5.10 in November and have reclaimed territory to now trade back above 3-month highs.

    In fact, the performance gap between AGL and the index is converging at a rapid pace and at this momentum could hit a crossroads should the trend continue.

    But, AGL has a long way to go for longer-term shareholders, with shares sliding more than 38% over the past 12 months, and tumbling from a high of $27.70 back in 2017.

    TradingView Chart

    The post Own AGL (ASX:AGL) shares? JP Morgan is overweight, tips 23% upside in 2022 appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in AGL Energy right now?

    Before you consider AGL Energy, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and AGL Energy wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    *Returns as of January 13th 2022

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

    from The Motley Fool Australia https://ift.tt/3KtTRaM

  • Own CBA (ASX: CBA) shares? Here’s what’s happening with the big bank this week

    Bank building with word Bank on it.Bank building with word Bank on it.Bank building with word Bank on it.

    Key points

    • CommBank to release half year results on 9 February
    • Net interest margin could fall below expectations
    • Why analysts are watching Omicron’s impact
    • How Omicron is impacting CBA’s Household Spending Intentions Index

    Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) looks to be caught up in the wider selling action hitting the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) today.

    CBA shares finished Friday’s trading session down 1.26% while the ASX 200 slipped 2.27%. 

    That’s today’s price action.

    Below we look at what’s been happening with the big bank this week.

    CBA shares in the news this week

    Investors will be keeping a keen eye on CBA shares on 9 February. That’s when the big bank reports its half year financial results.

    With a lot riding on those results, analysts are offering their forecasts for ASX investors looking to get positioned early.

    Among those is Morgans.

    As my Foolish colleague James Mickleboro noted earlier today, the broker expects that CommBank won’t reach market expectations. It has a reduce rating on CBA shares with a price target of $74. That’s well below the current $97.53 per share.

    Morgans believes CBA shares could come under pressure, as the broker expects its net interest margin (NIM) to come in at 1.86%. The consensus forecast is 1.91%.

    Morgans is also keeping a close eye on how the Omicron variant could impact the bank’s business, saying, “By way of outlook for asset quality, we will be particularly interested to hear about what CBA is seeing on the SME front with the spread of Omicron.”

    CommBank on Omicron

    The CommBank Household Spending Intentions Index – which measures Aussie consumer spending – leapt by 2.5% in December. The gains were largely driven by big gains in the travel, transport and retail sectors when the Delta variant restrictions were wound back.

    However, the rise of Omicron looks to be putting a dent in consumer spending.

    According to CBA senior economist Belinda Allen:

    The Omicron variant, which has led to a surge in COVID cases late in December and into January, is an important development to watch. It is impacting the demand and supply side of the Australian economy. We can see from our high frequency credit and debit card data there does appear to be a fall in spending in January, with spending on services more impacted than goods spending.

    Lawsuit moves forward

    CBA shares were in the national news again today, after the Finance Sector Union filed a suit in Federal Court. The union says that CommBank didn’t allow approximately 3,000 retail staff to take their contractual 10-minute rest breaks, netting the bank some $45 million over the last 6 years.

    A CBA spokesperson said the bank will carefully review the claim once it is served.

    How have CBA shares been performing?

    Despite the recent selling, CBA shares remain up 14% over the past 12 months. By comparison, the ASX 200 has gained 5% over that same time.

    The post Own CBA (ASX: CBA) shares? Here’s what’s happening with the big bank this week appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in CBA right now?

    Before you consider CBA, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and CBA wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    *Returns as of January 13th 2022

    More reading

    The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

    from The Motley Fool Australia https://ift.tt/33xGrtU

  • The Hot Chili (ASX:HCH) share price cooled by 7% today. Here’s why

    A woman holds a chilli in front of her mouth as an upside down smile.A woman holds a chilli in front of her mouth as an upside down smile.A woman holds a chilli in front of her mouth as an upside down smile.

    Key points

    • The Hot Chili share price shed almost 7% today
    • The company has executed a letter of intent for port access
    • Copper prices have fallen nearly 2%

    The Hot Chili Ltd (ASX: HCH) share price lost some of its spice today. The ASX mining company’s shares ended the day down 6.74% at $1.73 apiece.

    For context, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) sunk 2.27% today.

    Let’s take a look at what might have impacted the company today.

    Port negotiations commence

    The Hot Chili share price plummeted today despite the company releasing what appeared to be a positive announcement.

    The miner, which is exploring for copper in Chile, South America, signed a letter of intent with Puerto Las Losas SA (PLL) to negotiate port access and port services.

    Hot Chili requires access to the port to progress its Costa Fuego copper development hub in Chile. PLL will pay for a study looking into the use of its port for the shipping of copper and other materials at the project.

    Speaking on the announcement, Hot Chili country manager and chief legal counsel Jose Ignacio Silva said:

    Securing port services will be a major step forward for Costa Fuego. Leveraging off existing port infrastructure will materially reduce Costa Fuego’s environmental footprint during construction and operations.

    As no new port or areas will be required for construction or subject to environmental permitting, we expect a positive impact to our construction capital requirements and overall permitting/construction timelines.

    Hot Chili said PLL is looking to present the company with a binding offer for port services in 12 weeks or fewer. If this goes ahead, the companies will start operations in the final quarter of 2025.

    Falling copper prices could have also have impacted the Hot Chili share price today. Copper has dropped 1.78% from US$4.5825 on 20 January to US$4.501 per Lbs at the time of writing.

    Hot Chili share price snapshot

    The Hot Chili share price has sunk 14% in the past year. In the past month, it has gained 1.47% but has fallen around 5.5% this week.

    Meanwhile, the broader ASX 200 index has returned around 5% over the past 12 months.

    The post The Hot Chili (ASX:HCH) share price cooled by 7% today. Here’s why appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Hot Chili right now?

    Before you consider Hot Chili , you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Hot Chili wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    *Returns as of January 13th 2022

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Monica O’Shea has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

    from The Motley Fool Australia https://ift.tt/33AGODK

  • 2 cheap ASX 200 shares rated as top buys

    cheap shares represented by hand crossing out the 'un' in 'unaffordable' using red markercheap shares represented by hand crossing out the 'un' in 'unaffordable' using red markercheap shares represented by hand crossing out the 'un' in 'unaffordable' using red marker

    Key points

    • Analysts have identified two leading ASX 200 shares that look cheap
    • Fund manager Pendal is losing FUM, but brokers see positives and good value
    • Seven Group’s industrial businesses are showing good progress with expectations of ongoing opportunities for growth

    Analysts have been on the search for undervalued S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) shares.

    Share prices are always changing, but sometimes a business update or a drop in the share price can make it into an opportunity.

    When a business is well-liked by a number of analysts, it might suggest that it’s an opportunity. But, there’s also a chance that all of those analysts end up being wrong at the same time.

    With that in mind, these two have been rated as leading opportunities:

    Pendal Group Ltd (ASX: PDL)

    Pendal is one of the larger fund managers on the ASX. It is rated as a buy by at least six brokers, including Morgan Stanley. This broker has a price target of $8.80 on the business, suggesting a possible upside of around 70% over the next 12 months if the broker ends up being right.

    The latest influence on the broker’s thoughts was the latest quarterly update. Whilst Pendal continues to suffer outflows, Morgan Stanley sees the ESG segment as a useful long-term positive.

    Pendal had $135.7 billion of funds under management (FUM) at 31 December 2021. It suffered a total net outflows of $6.8 billion across the business, with $5.5 billion of outflows from the Europe, UK and Asia division. Investors already knew about two notable redemptions by UK institutional clients which was announced at the AGM in December.

    The ASX 200 share’s management is disappointed with the net flow performance, but it’s responding with a “clear set of actions”.

    It’s investing in distribution in key target markets, Pendal is working closely with fund managers to strengthen investment performance and has launched new impact and thematic products that are quickly gaining traction.

    On Morgan Stanley’s numbers, it is currently valued at 10x FY22’s estimated earnings. The broker is expecting a grossed-up dividend yield of 12.75%.

    Seven Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: SVW)

    Seven Group is currently rated as a buy by at least four brokers, including UBS. That broker has a $27.15 price target on the business. 

    This business has investments and operations in a few different areas. In industrial services, WesTrac is the sole authorised Caterpillar dealer in Western Australia, New South Wales and the Australian Capital Territory in Australia. It also owns Coates Hire, Australia’s largest equipment hire business and AllightSykes, a supplier of lighting towers, generators and pumps.

    The ASX 200 share owns around 70% of Boral Limited (ASX: BLD). Seven is looking to expand its presence in oil and gas projects in Australia and the United States. Seven also has a 30% shareholding in Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT).

    Seven Group also owns almost 40% of Seven West Media Ltd (ASX: SWM).

    UBS thinks that the ongoing economic recovery of Australia will be helpful for the business.

    In a recent trading update, Seven Group said that WesTrac was benefiting from continuing strong demand, with good mining demand in WA and NSW. Construction demand remains strong.

    Seven West Media is benefiting from advertising spending and video on demand growth. It is targeting annual savings of between $15 million to $20 million. It’s also improving its balance sheet by improving its net debt position.

    Seven Group also thinks that Coates is well positioned for new opportunities and growth.

    On UBS numbers, the Seven Group share price is valued at 13x FY22’s estimated earnings.

    The post 2 cheap ASX 200 shares rated as top buys appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Seven Group right now?

    Before you consider Seven Group, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Seven Group wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    *Returns as of January 13th 2022

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

    from The Motley Fool Australia https://ift.tt/3AhokEc