• Top broker tips South32 (ASX:S32) to deliver 637% jump in half year earnings

    surprised asx investor appearing incredulous at hearing asx share price

    surprised asx investor appearing incredulous at hearing asx share pricesurprised asx investor appearing incredulous at hearing asx share price

    Later this week, all eyes will be on the South32 Ltd (ASX: S32) share price when it releases its half year results.

    Ahead of its results release on Thursday, let’s take a look to see what the market is expecting from the mining giant.

    What is expected from South32’s half year results?

    Much like we have seen today from former parent BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP), the market is expecting bumper profits from South32 during the first half.

    According to a note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts are forecasting underlying earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA) ahead of the market’s expectations.

    Goldman has pencilled in EBITDA of US$1.9 billion for the period, compared to the Visible Alpha consensus estimate of US$1.82 billion.

    Either way, it will be an enormous increase on the prior corresponding period. This time last year, South32 delivered underlying EBITDA of US$633 million. This means that Goldman’s estimate implies a 200% increase year on year. This is being driven by favourable commodity prices and strong production.

    When it comes to its bottom line, Goldman is actually sitting in line with the market consensus estimate with its forecast for a net profit after tax of US$1 billion. This represents a stunning 637% increase over the prior corresponding period.

    What else?

    Given this massive profit increase, South32 shareholders are expected to be rewarded with a generous dividend payment. Goldman is forecasting an 8.6 US cents per share interim dividend, while the market has pencilled in a 9.9 US cents per share dividend.

    Based on current exchange rates and the latest South32 share price of $4.41, this interim dividend equates to a 2.7% yield on Goldman’s numbers and a 3.1% yield on the market’s numbers.

    Goldman summarised: “GSe underlying EBITDA US$1.9bn vs. VA consensus US$1.8bn. NPAT US$1.0bn vs. VA cons US$1.0bn. Interim dividend US8.6cps (40% payout) vs. VA cons US9.9cps. Net cash US$0.9bn vs. VA cons US$0.9bn. S32 may lift FY22 opex and capex guidance due to cost inflation, should extend the on-market buyback program (GSe US$250mn p.a.) and provide an update on the closure timing of the Sierra Gorda, restart of the Alumar smelter in Brazil, re-scoping of the Dendrobium next domain (DND) met coal project.”

    Is the South32 share price in the buy zone?

    Goldman believes the South32 share price offers plenty of upside at current levels.

    It currently has a conviction buy rating and $5.00 price target. This implies 13% upside over the next 12 months before dividends.

    The post Top broker tips South32 (ASX:S32) to deliver 637% jump in half year earnings appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in South32 right now?

    Before you consider South32, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and South32 wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    *Returns as of January 13th 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • Hunger Games? Here’s why more Fortescue (ASX:FMG) execs are calling time out on the miner

    a female archer looking rustic and slightly dishevelled is in extreme close up as she draws back her bow and narrows her eye to aim for a target .a female archer looking rustic and slightly dishevelled is in extreme close up as she draws back her bow and narrows her eye to aim for a target .a female archer looking rustic and slightly dishevelled is in extreme close up as she draws back her bow and narrows her eye to aim for a target .

    The Fortescue Metals Group Ltd (ASX: FMG) share price is down 5% today amid news the company is facing a staff exodus.

    The Fortescue share price is currently trading at $21.60, a 5.03% fall. In comparison, the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is 0.29% in the red at the time of writing.

    Let’s take a look at the latest news on the company.

    What’s in the water at Fortescue?

    Fortescue is facing a mass exodus of senior executives and managers, The Australian reported. Communities group manager Heath Nelson is rumoured to be leaving the company along with Fortescue Future Industries global resources manager Nadia Butler. The West Australian also reported these departures.

    In further reports in The Australian, Fortescue Future Industries commercial head Bethwyn Cowcher and funding group manager Penny Stonier are also said to be leaving Fortescue. Based on their LinkedIn profiles, Cowcher started at Fortescue in January 2012 while Stonier has been with the company since June 2009.

    As my Foolish colleague James reported in December, Fortescue’s CEO Elizabeth Gaines has also stepped down as CEO. She will transition to the role of non-executive director and assist with a global search for her replacement.

    The latest exodus follows the departure of several other directors and senior staff over the past 12 months.

    Staff who spoke to The Australian in December have likened the company’s culture to ‘the Hunger Games’. The Hunger Games is a series of dystopian novels and films where competitors are engaged in a brutal fight to the death. The game ends when only one person remains alive.

    But in response to this suggestion, Fortescue chair Andrew ‘Twiggy’ Forrest defended the company. He said:

    Yes, I can see that people can misinterpret that as Hunger Games, but it’s not – it’s efficiency. It’s called strength of selection.

    Fortescue is due to report its earnings tomorrow. On a positive note for the company, JP Morgan analysts are expecting earning results and profit forecasts to land ahead of consensus.

    As my Foolish colleague Zach reported, JP Morgan is looking for an H1 FY22 net profit after tax (NPAT) of $2.77 billion (consensus $2.70 billion) and 86 cents per share dividend.

    Fortescue share price snap shot

    The Fortescue share price has surged 13% year to date but fell more than 11% in the past 12 months.

    For perspective, the benchmark index has returned around 5% over the last year.

    Fortescue has a massive market capitalisation of around $67 billion based on today’s share price.

    The post Hunger Games? Here’s why more Fortescue (ASX:FMG) execs are calling time out on the miner appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Fortescue Metals right now?

    Before you consider Fortescue Metals, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Fortescue Metals wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    *Returns as of January 13th 2022

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    The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • These 3 ASX 200 shares are topping the volume charts this Tuesday

    An office worker and his desk covered in yellow post-it notes

    An office worker and his desk covered in yellow post-it notesAn office worker and his desk covered in yellow post-it notes

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is having a pretty lacklustre day of trading so far this Tuesday. At the time of writing, the ASX 200 has lost 0.21% and is currently sitting at 7,229 points.

    So rather than trying to figure that out, let’s instead check out the ASX 200 shares that are currently at the top of the market’s trading volume charts, according to investing.com.

    The 3 most traded ASX 200 shares by volume so far on Tuesday

    Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS)

    Pilbara Mienrals once again features on this list of most active ASX 200 shares. This lithium producer has seen a hefty 20.04 million of its shares trade on the markets so far this Tuesday. There has been no major news or announcements out of Pilbara today.

    As such, we can probably put this volume down to the movements of the Pilbara share price itself. This company is currently down by a notable 1.97% at $2.98 a share after going as low as $2.93 this morning, a 2022 low. This drop is the likely reason why we find Pilbara on this list today.

    Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC)

    For the second day in a row, ASX 200 big four bank Westpac makes the cut. Westpac has had a sizeable 20.5 million shares bought and sold on the markets today thus far. We’ve also had no news out of Westpac today. However, this bank did release an impactful announcement yesterday regarding its now-closed $3.5 billion share buyback program.

    That announcement sent Westpac up decisively yesterday, but it appears investors have got cold feet today. The company is now down by 2.66% at the time of writing. This is probably the reason we are seeing Westpac appear on this list today.

    Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT)

    ASX 200 energy company Beach is our final and most traded share of the day so far. A whopping 25.3 million Beach shares have found new owners as it presently stands. What a week Beach has had. The company released its half-year earnings yesterday, which saw the Beach share price leap an extraordinary 10% at one point.

    But again, investors seem to have gotten cold feet. With its nasty 9.7% share price fall today, the company has now given up all of those gains and then some. This large drop is almost certainly why Beach is the ASX 200’s most traded share of the day thus far today.

    The post These 3 ASX 200 shares are topping the volume charts this Tuesday appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Westpac right now?

    Before you consider Westpac, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Westpac wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    *Returns as of January 13th 2022

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Westpac Banking Corporation. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • ANZ (ASX:ANZ) shares drop amid $1bn raising: Time to buy?

    Bank building with word Bank on it.

    Bank building with word Bank on it.Bank building with word Bank on it.

    Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd (ASX: ANZ) shares are having a bit of an off day.

    In afternoon trade, the banking giant’s shares are down 0.7% to $28.00.

    What’s going on?

    This afternoon the banking giant announced the offer of a new Additional Tier 1 Capital security, ANZ Capital Notes 7. This notes offering is aiming to raise $1 billion, but also has the option to raise more or less.

    In conjunction with the offering, the bank intends to redeem its ANZ Capital Notes 2 on 24 March 2022. The proceeds from the new offer will go towards that redemption and also for general corporate purposes.

    ANZ Capital Notes 7

    The ANZ Capital Notes 7 are fully paid, convertible, perpetual, unsecured, subordinated notes. Distributions on these notes are payable quarterly in arrears and in cash based on a floating rate and are non-cumulative.

    This is subject to a payment condition not existing and is at ANZ’s absolute discretion. Payment conditions include the distribution not resulting in ANZ’s CET1 ratio falling below required levels or APRA objecting to the payment.

    These distributions are expected to be franked at the same rate as its dividends. However, if a distribution is not fully franked, ANZ will pay an additional amount in cash to compensate holders for the unfranked component.

    After which, ANZ Capital Notes 7 will ultimately convert into shares on 20 September 2031, unless they are converted, redeemed or resold earlier.

    What about ANZ shares? Are they a buy?

    If you’re more interested in ANZ’s shares than its capital notes, then the good news is that one leading broker sees value in them at the current level.

    According to a recent note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts have retained their buy rating and with a $30.84 price target.

    Based on the current ANZ share price of $28.00, this implies potential upside of 10% for investors. And if you include the $1.46 per share fully franked dividend Goldman expects in FY 2022, this total return increases to 15.5%.

    The post ANZ (ASX:ANZ) shares drop amid $1bn raising: Time to buy? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in ANZ right now?

    Before you consider ANZ, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and ANZ wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    *Returns as of January 13th 2022

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • Own Telstra (ASX:TLS) shares? Here’s what to watch when the ASX 200 telco reports this week

    A woman looks at a mobile phone as various screens appear nearby.A woman looks at a mobile phone as various screens appear nearby.A woman looks at a mobile phone as various screens appear nearby.

    It’s shaping up to be another big week of earnings reports this week on the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO). We’ve already heard from the ASX big four banks. This week, we have Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES). And, of course, Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLS) shares.

    Yes, Telstra, the ASX 200 telco giant, is scheduled to give its half-year earnings for FY 2022 on Thursday, 17 February, the same day as Wesfarmers, coincidentally. So what might investors be looking forward to when we hear from Telstra?

    Well, it’s worth mentioning that we’ve already heard quite a lot out of this telco over 2022 so far. Just last week, the company announced it had entered into a $100 million deal with the internet of things (IoT) company Intellihub Group. As my Fool colleague Monica covered at the time, this will result in “Telstra providing more than 4 million IoT SIMS to the company within the next decade”.

    Earlier this month, we also got the news that Telstra would be spending up to $1.6 billion on two “nation-building” projects – the ViaSat satellite program and a new, faster dual fibre network.

    So investors will probably be keen for some updates on either or both of these recent announcements. Or perhaps any new plans to further monetise Telstra’s existing stack of infrastructure assets.

    Investors were impressed with last year’s sale of 50% of the InfraCo Towers business, so it’s possible we might hear of some additional plans involving other Telstra infrastructure.

    What about the Telstra dividend?

    Apart from that, it’s likely investors will have their eye on any dividend announcements Telstra might make.

    Telstra has been paying out an annual dividend of 16 cents per share for a few years now. That’s a payout level the company has been able to hold steady after a few years of dividend cuts last decade. But investors might be hoping for that long-awaited pay raise from Telstra. Telstra hasn’t raised its dividend since 2015.

    Well, according to broker Morgans, investors shouldn’t hold their breath. Morgans recently forecast another 16 cents per share annual dividend for Telstra for FY 2022, as well as the same for FY 2023. That might disappoint some investors if that turns out to be accurate. But even so, that would mean Telstra’s arguably-solid current trailing yield of 3.95% (5.64% grossed-up) is here to stay.

    At the current Telstra share price of $4.06, this ASX 200 telco has a market capitalisation of $47.58 billion.

    The post Own Telstra (ASX:TLS) shares? Here’s what to watch when the ASX 200 telco reports this week appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Telstra right now?

    Before you consider Telstra, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Telstra wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    *Returns as of January 13th 2022

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen owns Telstra Corporation Limited. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns and has recommended Telstra Corporation Limited and Wesfarmers Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • Why Dexus, JB Hi-Fi, Seek, and Sims shares are climbing today

    Rising share price chart.

    Rising share price chart.Rising share price chart.

    In afternoon trade, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is fighting back from a poor start and is now only down marginally. At the time of writing, the benchmark index is down 0.1% to 7,235.1 points.

    Four ASX shares that are not letting that hold them back today are listed below. Here’s why they are climbing:

    Dexus Property Group (ASX: DXS)

    The Dexus share price is up 2.5% to $10.40. This follows the release of the property company’s half year results this morning. For the six months, Dexus posted an 82% increase in net profit after tax to $803.2 million. Strong demand and rent collections drove the result. Rent collections came in at 97.9%, whereas occupancy was 95.1% for the Dexus office portfolio and 98.6% for the Dexus industrial portfolio.

    JB Hi-Fi Limited (ASX: JBH)

    The JB Hi-Fi share price is up 3.5% to $53.48. This appears to have been driven by a positive reaction to its half year results from brokers. One of those is Credit Suisse, which has retained its outperform rating and lifted its price target on the retail giant’s shares to $60.27. It was pleased with its result and buyback and expects the company to benefit from the work from home trend.

    Seek Limited (ASX: SEK)

    The Seek share price is up 7% to $29.72. Investors have been buying this job listings company’s shares after it reported a 59% increase in first half revenue to $517.2 million and a 147% lift in reported net profit after tax (before significant items) to $124.2 million. A note out of Goldman Sachs reveals that Seek’s revenue and net profit were 4% and 20% ahead of consensus estimates. It also highlights that its FY 2022 guidance upgrade is well-ahead of current estimates.

    Sims Ltd (ASX: SGM)

    The Sims share price has jumped 18% to $17.66 following the release of a very strong half year result. The scrap metals company reported a 73.9% increase in revenue to $4,265.0 million and a 541.3% jump in underlying EBIT to $361.7 million. This was driven by “higher sales volumes and higher material prices, combined with disciplined margin management.”

    The post Why Dexus, JB Hi-Fi, Seek, and Sims shares are climbing today appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes could be the five best ASX stocks for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now.

    *Returns as of January 12th 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro owns SEEK Limited. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended SEEK Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • ‘Salmon biomass growth’ paying off: Tassal (ASX:TGR) share price lifts following H1 FY22 results

    ASX share price price jump represented by salmon jumping out of waterASX share price price jump represented by salmon jumping out of waterASX share price price jump represented by salmon jumping out of water

    The Tassal Group Limited (ASX: TGR) share price is in positive territory on Tuesday. This comes after the company released its half-year results for the FY22 period during afternoon trade.

    At the time of writing, the seafood company’s shares are fetching for $3.76 apiece, up 2.73%.

    Let’s take a closer look to see how Tassal performed for the period.

    Tassal shares pushes higher on achieving strong growth across key metrics

    The Tassal share price is moving forward following the company’s robust result for the 6 months ending 31 December 2021. Here are some of the key highlights:

    • Revenue of $419.14 million, up 43.3% on the prior corresponding period (H1 FY21 $292.48 million);
    • Operating cash flow of $86.99 million, up 110.2% (H1 FY21 $41.39 million)
    • Underlying earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) of $50.01 million, up 6.9% (H1 FY21 $46.78 million);
    • Underlying net profit after tax (NPAT) of $31.18 million, up 10.3% (H1 FY21 $28.26 million); and
    • Interim dividend of 8 cents per share, up 14.3% (H1 FY21 7 cents per share)

    What happened in the first-half FY22 for Tassal?

    Investors are buying up Tassal shares as the company announced strong growth in cash flow and earnings.

    During the first-half, the company made investments in its salmon and prawn infrastructure which resulted in cash flow generation.

    The salmon division recorded a sustainable annual harvest of 40,000 hog tonnes from existing marine leases. The sales mix leapt by 37.1% to $349.92 million with a recovery in both export pricing and volume, and domestic out-of-home.

    Across the Prawn segment, the domestic market experienced an increase of 480% to $30.19 million. Sales volume growth of 365.3% to 1,670 tonnes included continued growth in harvested tonnes and in the frozen prawn inventory.

    What did management say?

    Tassal managing director and CEO, Mark Ryan touched on the result, saying:

    Tassal has successfully completed its investment in salmon biomass growth and is now experiencing the benefits of scale. Together with the investments in and growth of our prawn business, where we achieve more attractive capital and working capital cycles, Tassal is focused on growing cashflow and optimising returns.

    We have delivered a step- change in cash generation and believe Tassal is well positioned to deliver further improvements in cash flow and cash conversion going forward.

    What’s the outlook for Tassal for the remainder of FY22?

    Pleasingly, Tassal advised the global salmon market has recovered and the pricing is restored to pre-COVID levels.

    Looking ahead, South-East Asia demand remains strong and global pricing is expected to remain stable for the remainder of FY22.

    Management stated that it’s focusing on optimising pricing, particularly as supply chain costs have materially increased due to COVID.

    Energy, feed commodities, labour and domestic freight costs have increased in the first-half, with no relief in sight for FY22.

    No earnings guidance was given by the company for the second-half.

    Tassal share price snapshot

    Over the past twelve months, the Tassal share price has gained 10% following a long bumpy ride for investors.

    When looking at year to date, the company’s shares are up 5% off the back of positive sentiment since late January.

    Based on today’s price, Tassal commands a market capitalisation of around $781.81 million.

    The post ‘Salmon biomass growth’ paying off: Tassal (ASX:TGR) share price lifts following H1 FY22 results appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Tassal right now?

    Before you consider Tassal, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Tassal wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    *Returns as of January 13th 2022

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Aaron Teboneras has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • Not so sunny: why the Beach Energy (ASX:BPT) share price is sinking 10% today

    a person holds their hands up through the middle of a rubber lifesaving ring while swimming in relatively calm conditions at a beach.a person holds their hands up through the middle of a rubber lifesaving ring while swimming in relatively calm conditions at a beach.a person holds their hands up through the middle of a rubber lifesaving ring while swimming in relatively calm conditions at a beach.

    The Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT) share price is plummeting today, falling 10% into the red at the time of writing to $1.46.

    Following the release of the oil and gas company’s half-year results yesterday, investors and analysts have had time to digest the more salient points from the update — and it appears Beach might have missed expectations.

    Why’s Beach Energy share price tracing lower today?

    Whilst the oil and gas player came in with a fairly robust set of results, it missed the mark on others. For instance, EBITDA growth of 26% led to an EBITDA margin of 65%.

    As a result, net profit after tax (NPAT) grew 66% over the same time last year, enabling the board to declare a 1 cent per share dividend.

    However, the company missed on earnings per share (EPS) estimates – a fact that generally plagues a company’s share price in the weeks following.

    Analysts were banking on Beach attaining an adjusted EPS of 10.62 cents per share, up from a realised 10.28 cents a share in H1 FY22.

    However, the company posted an adjusted EPS of 9.34 cents, 12% below the consensus number.

    Earnings results are incredibly important in determining the direction of a company’s future share price. Research corroborates that over the long term, the growth in global stock indices is primarily driven by company earnings growth.

    Moreover, as legendary Fidelity fund manager Peter Lynch alludes to in his book One up on Wall St, the market prices stock on a combination of past earnings history and future earnings expectations.

    Research also shows that companies who report EPS figures that miss the consensus estimate will see a decline in their share price in the weeks following. It’s a pattern known as ‘post-earnings announcement drift’, or PEAD.

    Hence, with Beach Energy reporting weaker-than-expected EPS, it appears the market is conforming to this pattern today.

    Aside from this, analysts at Macquarie and Canaccord Genuity both downgraded the company from buys today. Macquarie slashed its price target to $1.50 and rated Beach to underperform.

    Meanwhile, Canaccord analyst James Bullen assigned a hold rating on the stock and valued the company at $1.66 per share today.

    Beach Energy share price snapshot

    In the last 12 months, the Beach Energy share price has struggled, having lost 12% in value across that time.

    This year to date, things are turning around with the company’s shares climbing more than 17% since January 4. Even with today’s hammering, they’ve gained more than 5% during the last month alone.

    TradingView Chart

    The post Not so sunny: why the Beach Energy (ASX:BPT) share price is sinking 10% today appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Beach Energy right now?

    Before you consider Beach Energy, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Beach Energy wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    *Returns as of January 13th 2022

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • Ethereum and Bitcoin price in focus as world’s biggest asset manager eyes cryptos

    an image of a gold bitcoin and a gold ethereum coin side by side against a backdrop of a graph with reda and green bars representing rising and falling prices.

    an image of a gold bitcoin and a gold ethereum coin side by side against a backdrop of a graph with reda and green bars representing rising and falling prices.an image of a gold bitcoin and a gold ethereum coin side by side against a backdrop of a graph with reda and green bars representing rising and falling prices.

    The Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) price is well known for its volatility.

    The token is currently trading for US$43,476. That’s up 4% over the past 24 hours, though it’s still down 38% from its 10 November record high.

    To give you some idea of the big potential Bitcoin price moves, CoinMarketCap tells us over the past 90 days it hit a high of US$60,949 and a low of US$33,184.

    The Ethereum (CRPYPTO: ETH) price doesn’t offer crypto investors any smoother of a ride.

    Quite the opposite.

    Ethereum is up 6% since this time yesterday, currently trading for US$3,020.

    Over the last 90 days the Ethereum price notched a low of US$2,172 and a high of US$4,780. Quite a ride.

    But the Ethereum and Bitcoin price volatility doesn’t appear to be dissuading BlackRock, the world’s biggest asset manager, from eyeing an entry into the crypto sphere.

    Cryptocurrency trading service in the cards

    As reported by CoinDesk, 3 people with knowledge of BlackRock’s plans say the company, with US$10 trillion in assets under management, “is preparing to offer a cryptocurrency trading service to its investor clients”.

    According to CoinDesk:

    One of the people said BlackRock will allow its clients … to trade cryptocurrency through Aladdin … the asset manager’s integrated investment management platform. The timetable for unveiling the service is unclear.

    BlackRock did not comment on the rumours, though the company was hiring an Aladdin blockchain strategy lead back in June 2021.

    Should BlackRock follow through on launching its crypto trading service, analysts will be closely watching the Bitcoin price and Ethereum price to see if its institutional clients might smooth out the notorious volatility.

    Bitcoin price volatility holding it back

    The big weekly and even daily swings in the Bitcoin price is a drag on its “fair-value”, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co strategists.

    As Bloomberg reports, JPMorgan says the Bitcoin price has a fair-value level of some US$38,000, as the token is around 4 times as volatile as gold.

    According to the strategists, “The biggest challenge for Bitcoin going forward is its volatility and the boom and bust cycles that hinder further institutional adoption.”

    The post Ethereum and Bitcoin price in focus as world’s biggest asset manager eyes cryptos appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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  • Deal or no deal? Aurizon (ASX:AZJ) share price falls amid sale rumours

    a railway worker squats down in between tracks to note something on his documentation. He is waring a hard hat and high visibility vest and there is signalling equipment in the background.a railway worker squats down in between tracks to note something on his documentation. He is waring a hard hat and high visibility vest and there is signalling equipment in the background.a railway worker squats down in between tracks to note something on his documentation. He is waring a hard hat and high visibility vest and there is signalling equipment in the background.

    The Aurizon Holdings Ltd (ASX: AZJ) share price is slipping today following news a Swiss buyer may be interested in the company’s East Coast rail division.

    The rail freight operator’s shares are currently swapping hands at $3.55, a 1.8% fall. For perspective, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is down 0.41 at the time of writing.

    Let’s take a look at the latest news involving the company today.

    Takeover rumours

    Aurizon may have a potential buyer for its East Coast rail division, The Australian reported. The publication reported Swiss multinational Glencore has approached Aurizon about a potential acquisition of this segment of its business.

    Glencore is the major customer of East Coast Rail, a coal haulage business that also goes by the name One Rail Coal.

    In October, Aurizon announced an agreement with Macquarie Asset Management to acquire One Rail for $2.35 billion. This transaction includes two operations, One Rail Bulk and East Coast Rail.

    In its financial half-year results presentation yesterday, Aurizon stated it plans to divest its East Coast Rail business via a demerger or a trade sale. Aurizon said it is yet to make a decision on this, but will choose the option that offers the best shareholder value.

    The company confirmed it is in talks with potential buyers of East Coast Rail, but did not name the parties involved. Aurizon stated:

    Aurizon’s financial analysis of One Rail acquisition currently assumes divestment of East Coast Rail through a demerger, although no decision has been made. East Coast Rail is a highly cash generative business – well suited to potential demerged entity.

    Discussions ongoing with potential trade sale buyers – final decision to be made on trade sale or demerger after completion – demerger will be progressed in the absence of a compelling trade sale offer.

    The asking price for the East Coast Rail business could be about $1 billion, The Australian noted.

    Aurizon reported a 4% fall in its net profits after tax (NPAT) to $257 million in its financial results yesterday. Its interim dividend also fell by 27% to 10.5 cents a share.

    Aurizon transports roughly half the country’s coal exports and carried 202 million tonnes of the commodity in the 2021 financial year.

    Aurizon share price snap shot

    The Aurizon share price has dived more than 11% in the past 12 months but is up 1.72% year to date.

    The company has a market capitalisation of about $6.5 billion based on its current share price.

    The post Deal or no deal? Aurizon (ASX:AZJ) share price falls amid sale rumours appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Aurizon Holdings Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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