On Tuesday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) returned from the long weekend with a bang. The benchmark index rose 0.9% to 8,941.6 points.

Will the market be able to build on this on Wednesday? Here are five things to watch:

ASX 200 to rise again

The Australian share market looks set to rise again on Wednesday after a decent night on Wall Street. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 44 points or 0.5% higher this morning. In late trade in the United States, the Dow Jones is down 0.8%, but the S&P 500 is up 0.5% and the Nasdaq is 1% higher.

Oil prices jump

ASX 200 energy shares Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT) and Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) could have a good session on Wednesday after oil prices jumped overnight. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price is up 2.9% to US$62.39 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price is up 3% to US$67.57 a barrel. Traders were buying oil in response to a winter storm negatively impacting US output.

Buy Digico shares

Investors should be buying DigiCo Infrastructure REIT (ASX: DGT) shares according to analysts at Bell Potter. According to a note, the broker has upgraded the data centre company’s shares to a buy rating with a $3.25 price target. It said: “Stock has been a key underperformer across the REIT sector last 6m (-17% vs. -3% XPJ), but yet there is now more certainty on leasing / FFO in FY26+ post guidance update.”

Gold price edges higher

ASX 200 gold shares Newmont Corporation (ASX: NEM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) could have a relatively subdued on Wednesday after the gold price edged higher overnight. According to CNBC, the gold futures price is up 0.1% to US$5,087.7 an ounce. The precious metal appears to be in a holding pattern ahead of tonight’s US Federal Reserve interest rate meeting.

Buy DroneShield shares

Bell Potter thinks that DroneShield Ltd (ASX: DRO) shares are still in the buy zone following the release of its quarterly update. This morning, the broker retained its buy rating and $5.00 price target on the counter-drone technology company’s shares. It said: “We believe DRO has a market leading RF detect/defeat C-UAS offering and a strengthening competitive advantage owing to its years of battlefield experience and large and focused R&D team. We expect 2026 will be an inflection point for the global C-UAS industry with countries poised to unleash a wave of spending on RF detect and defeat solutions.”

The post 5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Wednesday appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

• Down 49%, is there a once-in-a-decade opportunity in this ASX 200 stock?
• Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today
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• Why DroneShield, Life360, Nova Minerals, and Santana shares are falling today
• Bye bye CBA: BHP is back as the ASX 200’s biggest stock

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended DroneShield. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

If you have $7,000 to invest in 2026, it could be a good idea to add a handful of high-quality Australian shares with long-term growth potential.

Rather than spreading that money too thinly, focusing on a small number of businesses with clear expansion runways can make it easier to stay invested and confident in your decisions.

Here are three Australian shares that analysts think could be worth considering this year.

NextDC Ltd (ASX: NXT)

The first Australian share to buy could be NextDC. It is one of the Asia-Pacific region’s largest data centre operators.

As businesses and AI platforms generate more data, demand for secure, high-performance data centres continues to rise, largely independent of consumer sentiment.

You only need to look at recent updates from NextDC to see this. On 22 December, the company revealed that its pro forma contracted utilisation increased by 96MW or 30% to 412MW since its previous update on 1 December.

In light of this strong demand and its attractive valuation, Macquarie recently put an outperform rating and $22.30 price target on its shares.

Pro Medicus Ltd (ASX: PME)

Another Australian share to consider with the $7,000 is Pro Medicus. It provides advanced medical imaging software used by hospitals and healthcare networks. Its technology is deeply embedded in clinical workflows, which makes switching providers costly and disruptive for customers.

Not that they would want to switch. Pro Medicus’ Visage platform is widely regarded to be the clear market leader. And with radiologists in short supply, it is important for healthcare organisations to have the best platform they can get their hands on. Especially as imaging volumes increase and datasets become more complex.

Overall, this is a business that can scale earnings materially over time, arguably making Pro Medicus a standout growth option within the healthcare sector.

This week, Macquarie upgraded its shares to an outperform rating with a $291.30 price target.

Temple & Webster Group Ltd (ASX: TPW)

A final Australian share to buy with $7,000 could be online furniture leader Temple & Webster.

What often gets overlooked with this ASX share is how much of its growth is being driven by customer behaviour rather than market expansion. Repeat customers account for a growing share of sales (58% at the last count), and average order values tend to increase as shoppers become more familiar with the platform.

That dynamic supports growth even in periods when overall furniture demand is subdued.

In addition, with the shift to online shopping still in its early days for furniture, Temple & Webster appears well-placed for long-term growth given its leadership position, strong brand, and extensive offering.

The team at Morgan Stanley is bullish on the company’s outlook. So much so, last week it put an overweight rating and $28.00 price target on its shares.

The post Top Australian shares to buy with $7,000 in 2026 appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Nextdc, Pro Medicus, and Temple & Webster Group. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group and Temple & Webster Group. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended Pro Medicus. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Pro Medicus and Temple & Webster Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

When I look at exchange-traded funds (ETFs), I’m usually trying to solve a simple problem. How do I get exposure to high-quality businesses, diversify my portfolio globally, and still tilt the odds in my favour over the long run?

These three VanEck ETFs stand out to me because they do exactly that, but in slightly different ways. Together, they offer exposure to wide-moat businesses, global quality leaders, and smaller companies with strong fundamentals.

VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat AUD ETF (ASX: MOAT)

This is one of the more interesting ETFs on the ASX, in my view. The VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat AUD ETF focuses on US companies that have sustainable competitive advantages, or wide economic moats. These are businesses that are difficult to disrupt because of things like scale, brand strength, switching costs, or intellectual property.

What I really like is that this fund does not just chase quality at any price. It also targets companies trading at attractive prices relative to the estimate of fair value. That valuation discipline is important, especially after a strong run in US equities.

When I look through the holdings, I see a mix of industrial leaders, healthcare giants, and global consumer brands. It feels like a high-conviction portfolio rather than a broad market clone, which is exactly what I want from something like this.

VanEck MSCI International Quality ETF (ASX: QUAL)

If I were building a core international ETF holding, this would be right near the top of my list. The VanEck MSCI International Quality ETF screens for companies with high return on equity, stable earnings, and low financial leverage across developed markets outside Australia.

In plain English, this fund owns some of the strongest businesses in the world. Names like Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, and Eli Lilly are all there, but they are included because they meet strict quality criteria, not just because they are big.

I agree with the idea behind this strategy. Over long periods, companies that generate strong returns, carry sensible balance sheets, and deliver consistent earnings tend to outperform. The QUAL ETF gives me exposure to that factor without having to pick individual global stocks myself.

VanEck MSCI International Small Companies Quality ETF (ASX: QSML)

This is the higher-risk, higher-reward option of the three. The VanEck MSCI International Small Companies Quality ETF focuses on small-cap companies in developed markets that still meet the same quality screens of high returns, earnings stability, and low leverage.

Small caps are often under-represented in Australian portfolios, but they can be powerful growth engines over time. By layering a quality filter on top, the QSML ETF avoids the weakest parts of the small-cap universe and instead focuses on businesses with proven fundamentals.

When I look at the holdings, I see a diverse mix across industries and geographies, from industrials and healthcare to specialised manufacturers. It feels like a sensible way to access global small-cap growth without going fully speculative.

Why these three work well together

What I like most is how these VanEck ETFs complement each other. The MOAT ETF provides exposure to attractively priced US companies with durable advantages. The QUAL ETF anchors the portfolio with global large-cap quality leaders. The QSML ETF adds a growth tilt through high-quality international small caps.

If I were building an ETF portfolio today, this combination would give me confidence that I’m not just chasing the latest themes, but backing strong businesses with solid fundamentals across different parts of the market.

The post 3 VanEck ETFs on the ASX I rate as buys appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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Motley Fool contributor Grace Alvino has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, and VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

The Treasury Wine Estates Ltd (ASX: TWE) share price slipped another 1.11% to close the day at $5.36 on Tuesday afternoon. Declines have been par for the course for the ASX 200 stock over the past couple of years. Its share price has gradually and consistently declined since mid-2024 and is currently trading at levels not seen since 2015.

For the year-to-date, the Australian global winemaking and distribution company’s shares are now up 1.13%, but it hasn’t done anywhere near enough to recoup the heavy losses. The shares have shed 48.95% over the past 12 months alone. 

For context, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) closed 0.92% higher on Tuesday. The index is currently 2.45% higher for the year-to-date and 6.46% above where it was this time last year.

What drove Treasury Wine Estates shares so low?

The ASX 200 stock was one of the worst performers on the ASX 200 Index in 2025. Throughout the 12-month period, the Treasury Wine Estates share price continually tumbled thanks to weaker global demand for wine, higher costs, and disappointing company earnings.

The perfect storm of headwinds weighed heavily on the company, on its share price and dashed investor confidence at the same time.

In fact, in December, the company released an investor update and outlook for the first half of FY26. It said that trading conditions have weakened in recent months, particularly in the US and China. 

The company’s CEO said it is experiencing category weakness in the US and China. These are two of Treasury Wine Estate’s key growth markets. This is expected to negatively impact the business performance in the near-term. 

The CEO added that maintaining the strength of its brands and the health of their respective sales channels is critically important as the company navigates these headwinds. Any near-term improvement is unlikely.

Treasury Wine Estates now expects its earnings before interest and tax to be between $225 million and $235 million in the first half of FY26. The second half of FY26 is expected to be stronger.

Is this a once-in-decade opportunity to buy the ASX 200 stock?

It looks like this could be the case. The current share price is among the lowest seen over the past 10 years. The share price last dipped below $6 back in 2015. 

Analysts seem to be uncertain about where the share price will go from here, but most agree there will be some element of upside. TradingView data shows 11 out of 17 analysts have a hold rating on the ASX 200 stock. Another 5 have a buy or strong buy rating.

The average target price is $5.53 a piece, which implies an upside of 3.11% at the time of writing. But, some expect Treasury Wine Estates shares to climb as high as $8.55 a piece. This implies a potential 59.51% hike in 2026. If that were to happen, then right now presents a fantastic buying opportunity for investors who want to get in ahead of the next price spike.

The post Down 49%, is there a once-in-a-decade opportunity in this ASX 200 stock? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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Motley Fool contributor Samantha Menzies has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Treasury Wine Estates. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Treasury Wine Estates. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

The post Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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• The ASX blue chip shares I’d happily build a portfolio around
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Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Megaport, Telix Pharmaceuticals, and The Lottery Corporation. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended Pro Medicus. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Amcor Plc. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Pro Medicus, Telix Pharmaceuticals, and The Lottery Corporation. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

Every so often, investors overcomplicate things. They look for perfect timing, hidden gems, or clever angles, whereas some of the best opportunities come from owning outstanding businesses that have already proven themselves.

Within the ASX 200, there are shares with long track records, clear demand drivers, and business models built to endure.

Here are two ASX 200 shares that stand out as no-brainer buys for long-term investors.

Goodman Group (ASX: GMG)

Goodman Group could be a no-brainer buy at current prices, especially given how it has quietly become one of the most strategically important property businesses on the ASX.

Its focus on industrial, logistics, and data centre assets places it directly behind long-term structural trends such as ecommerce, supply chain optimisation, and digital infrastructure growth. These are not short-term themes. They are reshaping how goods and data move around the world.

What makes Goodman particularly compelling is its ability to combine property ownership with development and funds management. This allows it to recycle capital, grow earnings, and expand globally without relying solely on rising property values. For investors, that creates a powerful mix of stability and growth potential.

Morgan Stanley is a big fan of the company and sees a lot of value in its shares. Its analysts currently have an overweight rating and $41.50 price target on them. Based on its current share price of $30.94, this implies potential upside of 34% for investors over the next 12 months.

Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG)

Another ASX 200 share that could be a no-brainer buy for Aussie investors is Macquarie Group.

Unlike traditional banks, Macquarie operates across asset management, infrastructure investment, commodities, and financial services. This diversification allows it to perform across different market environments and pivot as opportunities change.

A key strength is Macquarie’s disciplined approach to risk and capital allocation. The group has shown a willingness to exit businesses when returns no longer stack up and redeploy capital into higher-quality opportunities. Over time, that mindset has helped it navigate volatility and continue growing shareholder value.

For investors seeking exposure to global markets and infrastructure through a well-managed ASX share, Macquarie stands out.

The team at Ord Minnett is feeling bullish about this ASX 200 share. Late last year, the broker upgraded Macquarie’s shares to a buy rating with a $255.00 price target. Based on its current share price of $215.19, this suggests that upside of 18.5% is possible for investors between now and this time next year.

The post These ASX 200 shares could be no-brainer buys appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Goodman Group. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goodman Group and Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Goodman Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

When building a long-term share portfolio, I think it pays to start with ASX shares you would feel comfortable owning through good markets, bad markets, and everything in between.

That usually means blue chip ASX shares with strong competitive positions, recurring demand for their products or services, and management teams that have proven they can execute over time.

With that in mind, here are four ASX blue chip shares I would happily build a portfolio around.

Cochlear Ltd (ASX: COH)

The first blue chip ASX share that could be a buy is Cochlear. This hearing solutions company operates in a specialised medical niche supported by intellectual property, regulatory approvals, and decades of clinical data. Once a patient adopts Cochlear’s technology, switching is rare, which helps create long-lasting revenue streams from upgrades and services.

The company’s consistent investment in research and development is also a key part of its appeal. By prioritising innovation and long-term outcomes over short-term gains, Cochlear has built a business designed to remain relevant for decades.

REA Group Ltd (ASX: REA)

Another blue chip ASX share I would happily build a portfolio around is REA Group. Its property platforms sit at the centre of Australia’s real estate ecosystem, benefiting from strong network effects that reinforce its market position. Buyers, sellers, and agents all rely on its services, which makes the business difficult to disrupt.

Importantly, REA is not dependent on rising property prices to grow. Product upgrades, premium services, and data-driven tools allow it to increase revenue per customer over time. This is supporting a sustainable and scalable business model.

ResMed Inc. (ASX: RMD)

A third blue chip ASX share that could be a buy is ResMed. It is a medical device company with demand drivers that extend well beyond economic cycles. The company operates in sleep apnoea and respiratory care, areas supported by ageing populations, rising diagnosis rates, and greater awareness of chronic health conditions.

Its devices, masks, and digital platforms are deeply entrenched in patient care, creating recurring revenue and strong customer relationships. And with a total addressable market estimated to be over 1 billion people, its long-term growth outlook is very positive.

TechnologyOne Ltd (ASX: TNE)

A final blue chip ASX share to consider is TechnologyOne. It is an enterprise software provider to governments, universities, and large organisations. Its move to a software-as-a-service model has transformed the business, improving revenue visibility and increasing recurring income.

TechnologyOne’s products are deeply embedded within customer operations, making them difficult to replace. Combined with ongoing international expansion, this gives it a rare mix of defensiveness and growth within a blue chip structure.

The post The ASX blue chip shares I’d happily build a portfolio around appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Cochlear, REA Group, ResMed, and Technology One. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Cochlear, ResMed, and Technology One. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended ResMed. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Cochlear and Technology One. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

The AMP Ltd (ASX: AMP) share price is 0.69% higher at the time of writing on Tuesday afternoon, at $1.74 a piece.

For the year-to-date, the AMP share price is down 4.81% and it is currently 1.02% below levels seen this time last year.

What happened to the AMP share price?

It’s been a slow start for the Australian financial services company in 2026. Its shares slipped last week after news that a new CEO will take over the business spooked investors. 

Blair Vernon will take the reins as the company’s new CEO and sitting CEO, while Alexis George will retire from her executive roles on the 30th of March. George has served as AMP’s CEO since August 2021, overseeing a period of significant transformation and growth for the company.

AMP says the executive handover will be managed carefully to maintain stability and delivery of ongoing strategy. The board and new CEO will continue to focus on growth and customer outcomes as the company enters its next phase.

A formal search for AMP’s new Chief Financial Officer is expected to begin soon. The company says all incentives and contractual arrangements for George’s departure will proceed as previously disclosed.

The move has stirred up concerns about business uncertainty among investors. AMP has spent the past year or so reshaping its business after selling off its advice and insurance in August 2024. Its financial results have been patchy too. 

The fund manager released its third-quarter update in mid-October which saw its share price drop for the day. At the time, AMP revealed a 3.6% increase in total assets under management (AUM) to $159.5 billion. The increase was largely due to its platforms business, with net cash flows up 61.6%.

The superannuation & investments division experienced a net cash outflow of $214 million, which was much smaller than the $334 million lost in the prior corresponding period. Meanwhile, AMP’s total loan book increased by 1.3%.

The wealth manager did not issue any guidance for the rest of the financial year.

AMP is expected to report its results next month, followed by an annual general meeting on the 10th of April.

Is there any upside ahead?

Analysts seem to think so. In fact, the team at Citi recently upgraded its rating on the financial services company to a buy. The broker said it thinks the current share price is a great buying opportunity for investors. 

The broker also said it believes that AMP might announce a capital return with its results next month. 

TradingView data shows that not all analysts are quite as optimistic. Out of 11 analysts, 7 have a hold rating on AMP shares. The remainder have a buy or strong buy rating.

However the average target price is $1.97 a piece, which implies a potential 12.76% upside, at the time of writing. And some think the share price could storm even higher. The maximum target price is $2.20, which implies a potential 25.71% upside for investors.

The post AMP share price down 5% in 2026 so far. Is there any upside ahead? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

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Citigroup is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Motley Fool contributor Samantha Menzies has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

S&P/ASX All Ords Index (ASX: XAO) shares are up 0.95% to 9,277 points as a slew of stocks hit 52-week highs.

ASX mining shares dominate the list of companies hitting these new price milestones today.

Arguably, the most significant price peak today is for BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) shares.

BHP reclaimed its place as the All Ords’ largest share by market capitalisation from Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) today.

CBA took the title from BHP in July 2024 during an unprecedented run that took it to a record $191 per share in June 2025.

The CBA share price is $150.35 on Tuesday, up 0.85%, while BHP shares are $49.66, up 2.54%, at the time of writing.

The BHP share price hit a two-year high of $50.08 this morning, which is not far off its historical high of $50.84 reached in late 2023.

But today isn’t all about BHP shares.

Plenty of other ASX All Ords shares have smashed new multi-year highs as well.

Here’s a sample.

ASX All Ords shares reaching new price highs

As stated earlier, mining shares dominate the list of company highs today, so let’s focus on them first.

Besides BHP, two other large-cap ASX diversified miners hit new 52-week share price highs.

The Mineral Resources Ltd (ASX: MIN) share price rose 2.8% to a 52-week high of $64.05.

South32 Ltd (ASX: S32) shares hit a 52-week high of $4.54 per share, up 3.4%.

Among the ASX All Ords gold shares, Newmont Corporation CDI (ASX: NEM) lifted 1.9% to a record high of $181.91.

The Resolute Mining Ltd (ASX: RSG) share price soared 10.3% to a 52-week peak of $1.50.

Ramelius Resources Ltd (ASX: RMS) shares surged 3.5% to a record $5.09.

Regis Resources Ltd (ASX: RRL) shares increased 2.8% to a multi-year high of $8.58.

Copper and gold miner Firefly Metals Ltd (ASX: FFM) lifted 5.8% to a 52-week high of $2.20 per share.

Among ASX silver shares, Silver Mines Ltd (ASX: SVL) rose 12.5% to a 52-week high of 27 cents.

Canaccord Genuity sees more growth ahead for Sun Silver Ltd (ASX: SS1) shares, which rose 6.5% to a record $2.47 apiece today.

ASX All Ords lithium shares also hit new price peaks.

Shares in lithium and nickel producer IGO Ltd (ASX: IGO) increased 2% to a two-year high of $9.50.

The Winsome Resources Ltd (ASX: WR1) share price lifted 11.7% to an 18-month high of 67 cents.

Hot Chili Ltd (ASX: HCH) shares soared 9.2% to a 52-week high of $1.89.

Among ASX All Ords copper shares, Capstone Copper Corp CDI (ASX: CSC) soared 8.8% to a record $16.27 per share.

The Develop Global Ltd (ASX: DVP) share price rose 5.8% to a four-year high of $5.67.

What about ASX All Ords shares from other sectors?

ASX All Ords retail stock Nick Scali Limited (ASX: NCK) ascended 1.9% to a record $26.08 per share.

Engineering services company Monadelphous Group Ltd (ASX: MND) lifted 3.6% to a record $30.98.

Testing and inspection services provider ALS Ltd (ASX: ALQ) rose 1.4% to a record $24.41.

The post ASX All Ords shares smashing 52-week highs today appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

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Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has positions in BHP Group and South32. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended BHP Group and Nick Scali. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

As an ASX 200 bank share, dividend investors have always been an important part of the investor base when it comes to National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) shares. The four major ASX bank stocks have built up a reputation over many decades as some of the ASX’s most reliable payers of fat, and (mostly) fully-franked dividends.

NAB is no different. However, this particular bank stock has just come off one of the most dramatic share price rallies we have seen for years. And that has had a notable impact on the dividend yield one can obtain when buying NAB shares today.

With that in mind, let’s get into just how much in dividends investors can expect to receive from NAB if they buy this bank’s shares right now.

A record year for this ASX 200 bank stock

2025 was a volatile, though still successful, year for NAB. The bank saw a precipitous sell-off back in April thanks to the ructions that US President Donald Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs sparked. This mini market meltdown saw the NAB share price drop from about $41 in late March to under $34 by 9 April. When those tariffs were walked back, though, NAB went on a tear. The bank rose by a whopping near-40% between early April and early November, finally topping out at $45.25 on 4 November.

Today, NAB shares have walked back from that 18-year high and are trading at just under $43 at the time of writing.

NAB paid out two dividends to shareholders over 2025, as is the bank’s habit. The first was the July interim dividend worth 85 cents per share. The second, the final dividend from December, is also worth 85 cents per share. Both payments came with full franking credits attached.

This annual total of $1.70 per share represented a modest 0.6% rise over the $1.69 investors bagged in 2024. At the current NAB share price, this gives this ASX 200 bank stock a trailing dividend yield of 3.96%.

How much will NAB shares pay in dividends in 2026 and beyond?

However, dividend yields always represent the past, not what investors can expect to receive going forward. Of course, we don’t yet know what kinds of dividends NAB has in store for shareholders in 2026. We won’t know until the bank shows its hand later in the year.

However, we have some projections investors can contemplate. Last week, my Fool colleague Tristan looked at some analyst predictions for what kind of income NAB might provide for its investors over the next few years.

Analysts have pencilled in a total payout of $1.70 per share over FY 2026. So no change there from 2025. If that does turn out to be the case, then NAB is indeed trading on a forward dividend yield of 3.96% today.

Those analysts have then predicted a FY 2027 dividend total of $1.705 per share, rising to $1.72 by FY 2028. If those modest predictions are on the money, they would give NAB shares a forward yield of 3.97% for FY 2027 and 4% for FY 2028.

The post Buying NAB shares? Here’s the dividend yield you’ll get today appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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• 3 ETFs I think could outperform NAB shares in 2026

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.