Motley Fool Australia Chief Investment Officer Scott Phillips joined Nine’s Late News on Tuesday night to discuss the continuing rise in the Afterpay Ltd (ASX: APT) share price, the surprisingly confident tone of the RBA, plus expectations of a higher Aussie dollar.

The post Afterpay share price keeps climbing. RBA surprisingly bullish. Scott Phillips on Nine’s Late News appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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Motley Fool contributor Scott Phillips has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and has recommended AFTERPAY T FPO. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended AFTERPAY T FPO. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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The Genworth Mortgage Insurance Australia Ltd (ASX: GMA) share price has jumped 7.55% higher on Wednesday morning after announcing its half-year earnings result.

Genworth shares are currently trading hands at $2.28 apiece.

Genworth share price jumps as dividend returns

Shares in the Aussie mortgage insurer are on the move after reporting results for the period ended 30 June 2021 (1H 2021).

A few key highlights from Genworth’s results are:

• Gross written premium revenue up 21.1% to $289.7 million
• Net earned premium of $170.9 million, up 13.3% from $150.8 million reported in 1H 2020
• Statutory net profit of $59.4 million compared to a $90.0 million net loss in 1H 2020
• Insurance profit of $71.5 million versus a $128.1 million loss in 1H 2020
• The board declared a 5 cents per share dividend after declining to pay an interim dividend in 1H 2020

The Genworth share price is climbing higher in early trade following the earnings result and dividend announcement.

What happened in 1H 2021 for Genworth?

The Genworth share price has climbed 27% higher in the last 12 months, prior to this morning’s open. Shares in the Aussie mortgage insurer have been boosted by strong underwriting volumes and significant government incentives for home ownership.

High loan-to-value mortgages have propelled the Genworth share price higher, largely driven by high property prices and first home buyers.

Genworth Financial Inc sold its entire holding of shares in Genworth back in March. The separation is expected to occur by 31 March 2022 with one-off costs of $15 million to $19 million, largely to be incurred in FY 2021.

What did management say?

Genworth CEO and managing director Pauline Blight-Johnston described the first-half result as “pleasing”.

“The result reflects the improved economy, housing market appreciation, and low interest rates experienced during the half”, Blight-Johnston said.

“The stronger economy over the first half has provided good momentum for the company, however, the recent COVID-19 restrictions in some states will affect the ongoing economic recovery and have created renewed uncertainty,” she added.

What’s next for Genworth shares?

Genworth expects the low delinquency rates (0.60% in 1H 2021) to remain, thanks to ongoing borrower support programs.

Ongoing COVID-19 disruptions have made FY 2022 forecasting difficult for the company. However, it remains well capitalised with a prescribed capital coverage ratio of 1.74 times.

The Genworth share price has jumped 7.55% higher following this morning’s result but remains down 4.6% in 2021.

The post Genworth (ASX:GMA) share price jumps 7% on half-year earnings appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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• FY 2021 results preview: Is the CBA (ASX:CBA) share price good value?
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Motley Fool contributor Ken Hall has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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The Vulcan Energy Resources Ltd (ASX: VUL) share price is soaring after the company announced its Zero Carbon Lithium Project will produce negative carbon emissions.  

Vulcan has found the project will remove 2.9 tonnes of carbon dioxide from the atmosphere for every tonne of lithium hydroxide monohydrate produced.

Right now, the Vulcan share price is $10.76, 8.14% higher than its previous closing price.

Let’s take a closer look at today’s news from Vulcan.

Negative CO2 emissions

The Vulcan share price is charging after the company announced its updated life cycle assessment from its Zero Carbon Lithium Project found it will produce negative carbon emissions.

The new assessment includes data from the project’s previously updated pre-feasibility study.

The Zero Carbon Lithium Project ­– located in Western Germany – is Europe’s largest lithium resource.

The company will use renewable geothermal energy to power the project. In fact, it will produce more renewable energy than it will use, returning the excess to the German electricity grid.

Vulcan is also refusing to use fossil fuels in its planned operations – a decision it says is industry-leading.

The new life cycle assessment also leaves the company’s project with the lowest planned carbon footprint in the world’s lithium industry.

In addition, the brine that Vulcan’s lithium will be extracted from will be returned to its original state. Thus, the project will use less water than other lithium extraction methods.

Vulcan also noted Western Germany has more water than it needs. This contrasts with other lithium projects – such as those in Western Australia and Chile – which are removing water from environments that need it.  

Commentary from management

Vulcan’s managing director Dr Francis Wedin commented on the news driving the company’s share price today:

At Vulcan, our mission is to produce lithium for batteries with the highest environmental performance of any lithium chemical produced anywhere in the world. We are doing the hard scientific work of decarbonisation by intentionally deploying technologies with lower environmental impacts. European consumers and regulators expect to see actual measured carbon footprint reduction from industry, not just aspirations or untested claims.

Vulcan share price snapshot

Vulcan is seemingly proving that going green pays in dividends.

The Vulcan share price has gained 275% since the start of 2021. It has also increased by 1,949% since this time last year.

The company has a market capitalisation of around $1.12 billion, with approximately 108 million shares outstanding.

The post Vulcan (ASX:VUL) share price gains 8% on news of negative emissions appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. 

The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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All eyes will be on the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) share price this time next week.

On that day Australia’s largest bank will be releasing its highly anticipated full year results.

What is the market expecting from CBA in FY 2021?

According to a note out of Goldman Sachs, for the 12 months ended 30 June, the broker expects:

• Operating revenue growth of 1.9% to $24,217 million
• Net interest income growth of 1.7% to $18,922 million
• Cash earnings from continuing operations up 15% to $8,342 million
• A final fully franked dividend of $1.95 per share
• A $3.5 billion or $2.00 per share special dividend.

What did the broker say?

As you can see above, while its estimates are actually a touch short of the market consensus, Goldman is confident that Commonwealth Bank will deliver a strong result for FY 2021.

It also expects the bank to finish the period in a very strong position, leaving it with significant surplus capital.

Goldman commented: “We highlight that given CBA sits on an implied surplus equivalent to 6.3% of its market capitalisation, combined with the fact that two of its peers (ANZ and NAB) have already announced on-market buy-backs, we forecast a special dividend of c.A$3.5 bn, equivalent to A200¢/share (may alternatively take the form of a structured off-market buyback). However, in light of the recent Covid-19 lockdowns and potential impact on the economy, we note there may be some risk to both the timing and magnitude of capital management.”

The broker has also suggested that investors keep an eye on its costs. It notes that the other major banks are committed to lowering their cost bases, but CBA has not provided an explicit target around its cost base. In fact, its costs have been increasing as it invests in its future growth.

Its analysts said: “We note that at the 1H21 result, management stated if the opportunity presents itself, CBA will reinvest to grow future revenues. At the 3Q21 update, underlying expenses increased 1% reflecting increased investment spend along with higher volume related costs. We will be paying close attention to commentary around how CBA is tracking on this front, particularly around investment spend, and for any changes in outlook/approach.”

Is the CBA share price in the buy zone?

Goldman Sachs continues to believe the CBA share price is expensive and that better value can be found elsewhere in the sector.

Its analysts have retained their sell rating and $81.87 price target on its shares. Based on the current CBA share price of $102.80, this implies potential downside of 20% over the next 12 months.

The post FY 2021 results preview: Is the CBA (ASX:CBA) share price good value? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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Shares in Chinese tech and gaming giant Tencent Holdings Ltd (HKG: 0700) suffered a volatile trading session yesterday. At one point, more than 10% of the company’s value had been erased during trade. The volatility and price weakness are flowing onto ASX investors through the Betashares Asia Technology Tigers ETF (ASX: ASIA).

So, what is causing these downward movements to one of the biggest companies in the world… let’s take a look.

Gaming dubbed ‘spiritual opium’

It was a rollercoaster trading session on the Hong Kong exchange for Tencent investors yesterday. Shares quickly fell by 10.8% before recovering to a 6.1% drop by the end of trading.

Concerns around tighter gaming regulations appear to be behind the erratic behaviour. This followed a scathing report released by the Chinese state media, referring to games as “spiritual opium”. The story mentioned reports of children playing Tencent’s Honor of Kings for eight hours a day.

Following the news, Tencent announced increased limits on playtime for minors. Additionally, the company plans to block children under the age of 12 from making in-game purchases.

Furthermore, Tencent suggested the possibility of banning games completely for kids under 12 years old. The shocking move clearly blindsided investors – prompting some shareholders to sell now and ask questions later.

Impact on ASX investors

The continued selloff in the Tencent share price puts further pressure on ASX investors of the Betashares Asia ETF. According to the fact sheet, Tencent makes up 9.7% of the exchange-traded fund, making it the fourth-largest holding.

However, Tencent is not the only company weighing on the fund. Rather, this is just the latest development in China’s crackdown on industries that are considered to be creating ‘social discontent’.

The uncertainty has led to downward pressure on the ASIA ETF over the past six months. As a result, ASX investors of the ETF are down 23% during the period.

The post Tencent share price plummets 10%, here’s what it means for ASX investors appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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Motley Fool contributor Mitchell Lawler has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended BetaShares Asia Technology Tigers ETF. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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The Sydney Airport Holdings Pty Ltd (ASX: SYD) share price will be in focus when trading resumes this morning. That’s after the Australian Financial Review (AFR) reported the airport will start work on a new hotel precinct in 2022.

At close of trade yesterday, shares in the company were trading for $7.69 – down 1.28%. The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) ended yesterday 0.23% lower.

Let’s take a closer look at today’s news.

Stay, then fly!

As the AFR reported, Sydney Airport has received federal government approval to build a 4- to 5-star hotel next to the T3 domestic terminal. The federal government has responsibility for all of Australia’s airports.

The building is reported to be nine storeys with 321 rooms. It will contain two hotel brands and be located adjacent to the Ibis Budget and Mantra hotels. The hope is that a full retail and hospitality precinct can be established in the area by 2024.

Sydney Airport has not disclosed the two brands that will operate the hotels, according to the AFR. Let’s see what this means for the Sydney Airport share price.

Recent Sydney Airport share price news

Sydney Airport made the news when it received, and then rejected, an unsolicited takeover bid of $8.25 per share. Since then, the company has been under pressure to prove to investors that it can unlock value above the offer price by the consortium of investors.

The Motley Fool has previously reported expert suggestions that the Sydney Airport share price will not hit that $8.25 figure for a while.

An analyst at Morgans said that until international travel is up and running again, Sydney Airport’s value will take some time to appreciate substantially.

Of course, international travel has been shunted by the COVID-19 pandemic. A pick-up in domestic travel, plus trans-Tasman travel to New Zealand, has been devastated by a recent outbreak in the harbour city. With every state shutting their borders to New South Wales, and with this likely to continue for some time, it may be a rough few months for Sydney Airport.

The company will release its full-year results on Friday 20 August.

The post Why the Sydney Airport (ASX:SYD) share price will be one to watch appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

What happened

Tuesday was another chapter in the Resurgence of Coronavirus Stocks story. One of the leaders of that clutch of companies, Pfizer (NYSE: PFE), rose to close 3.4% higher on the day, easily eclipsing the gain of the S&P 500 index. As has been commonplace in recent days, events are pushing the U.S. and the world to administer more vaccine doses.

So what

With vaccine reluctance still quite commonplace in various pockets of the U.S. while the delta variant continues to spread, authorities are trying to batten down the hatches. Tuesday morning, New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio announced that the municipality is mandating proof of at least one dose of vaccine for people both working at and frequenting a big list of businesses. Additionally, city employees must be vaccinated or undergo weekly testing.

“If you want to participate in our society fully, you’ve got to get vaccinated,” he said in a news conference covering the subject. “It’s time.”

Pfizer is, famously, a purveyor of one of those vaccines: BNT162b2, which it developed with German biotech BioNTech. Since the two-dose jab received an Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) from the FDA last December, in many jurisdictions it has been the go-to shot. Only two other vaccines (from Moderna and Johnson & Johnson) have received EUAs. None has yet been granted full approval from the regulator.

Now what

COVID-19 infections and fatalities continue to rise, at worryingly sharp rates in various locales. Pfizer is going to remain a big weapon in this wearying fight.

This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

The post Why Pfizer shot 4% higher on Tuesday appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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Eric Volkman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended Johnson & Johnson and Moderna Inc. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

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With the National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) share price up 54% over the last 12 months, investors may be wondering if its shares still good value. But how do you value a bank share?

How do you value the NAB share price?

When it comes to valuing shares, the traditional price to earnings ratio is often used. This ratio is the result of dividing a company’s share price by its earnings per share.

However, analysts don’t tend to use this method for banks. There are a number of reasons for this, with one being the fact that a bank’s earnings ignore the significant value sitting on its balance sheet.

Instead, analysts may prefer to use a price to book ratio when analysing bank shares. Similar to the price to earnings ratio, this ratio divides the company’s share price by the book value per share. The lower the ratio compared to its peers the better.

But even that is too simplistic for many analysts.

How else can you value its shares?

Fortunately, the team at Goldman Sachs have just valued the NAB share price and revealed their methods.

Goldman Sachs has a conviction buy rating and $30.34 price target on NAB’s shares at present. This is based on a 50:50 blend of its discounted cash flow and return on equity versus price to net tangible assets (NTA) valuation. This is far more complex than the above methods, but I will try and take you through it now.

Equity value per share:

• Goldman estimates NAB’s future cash flows at $70,031 million based on a 10.7% discount rate.
• Estimated value of future franking credits $15,282 million.
• Total equity value $85,313 million.
• 3,201 million shares.
• Equity value per share of $26.66.

This is then blended evenly with its NTA estimates versus its sustainable return on tangible equity estimate (ROTE) of $34.01 to give us a final valuation of $30.34.

The good news is that this compares favourably to the current NAB share price of $26.34. This implies potential upside of 15.2% over the next 12 months before dividends.

Foolish Takeaway

While Goldman’s valuation model will go over the heads of many readers, the key takeaway is that it demonstrates why a price to earnings ratio can be too simple if you want to effectively value the NAB share price.

The post How do you value the NAB (ASX:NAB) share price? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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The past week has not been kind to the Insurance Australia Group Ltd (ASX: IAG) share price.

Since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, there have been numerous catalysts heaping pressure on the IAG share price.

Let’s take a look at why shares in Australia’s largest insurer have been struggling.

IAG share price suffers on outlook

Many investors and shareholders in IAG will be looking at how the company has performed for the year.

Shares in the insurer came under pressure last week after releasing a preliminary set of results for the full year.

Judging by the price action, investors were less than impressed.  

The insurer flagged a statutory net loss of the full year, down from a $435 million net profit in FY 2020.

IAG also expects to report gross written premium growth of 3.8% and an underlying insurance margin of 14.7% for the year.

In its preliminary report, the company cited corporate expenses of $1.51 billion in FY 2021, including a $1.15 billion business interruption provision.

IAG is slated to report its earnings on Wednesday 11 August.

More on the IAG share price

In addition to struggling this past week, the IAG share price has not enjoyed a good year thus far.

Since the start of the year, shares in the insurer are trading around 4.5% higher.

In comparison with the S&P/ASX 200 Financials Index (ASX: XFJ) which is up more than 19% for the year, the IAG share price has been lagging severely.

Several catalysts have made it tough for the IAG share price to recover.

IAG was on the receiving end of an unsuccessful court case in New South Wales last year. The landmark court case sought to exclude pandemic lockdowns from business interruption policies.

Shares in the insurance giant also came under pressure in mid-June, following flood events in Victoria.

The Victorian floods were the third major claim this year following previous floods in New South Wales, and Cyclone Seroja in Western Australia.

For FY 2021, IAG’s net costs for natural disasters are approximately $660 million, having budgeted for only $658 million in natural disaster claims at the beginning of the financial year.

Shares in IAG closed yesterday’s trading session at $4.87.

The post The IAG (ASX:IAG) share price has dropped this last week. Here’s why appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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Motley Fool contributor Nikhil Gangaram has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Insurance Australia Group Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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Sometimes there are ASX shares that have been heavily sold off.

That may be completely justified. It may be an opportunity.

There is a saying about trying to catch ‘falling knives’. Sometimes falling shares can keep falling.

With that in mind these two ASX shares, which have been beaten-up in recent months, could be good ideas to think about:

Kogan.com Ltd (ASX: KGN)

The Kogan share price has dropped by around 37% over the last six months.

It’s an e-commerce business that sells a wide variety of products and other services online. Some of those services includes insurance, superannuation and mobile.

The ASX share has been suffering from excess inventory costs. That includes demurrage costs and warehousing. To bring down the level of inventory it has been lowering item prices and spending on advertising.

Despite those problems, Kogan saw more volume in FY21 than FY20 – gross sales grew 52% and gross profit rose by 60%.

The month of June 2021 saw am acceleration of gross sales, gross profit and adjusted earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA), suggesting a recovery could be underway.

Kogan may be able to get back to delivering operating leverage improvements in FY22, where profit could rise faster than revenue, thanks to its growing size and number of customers.

ELMO Software Ltd (ASX: ELO)

Over the last six months the ELMO share price has fallen by 25.6%.

ELMO is a business that provides cloud-based HR and payroll software for small businesses and mid-market organisations to management people, process and pay. It provides services in the UK, New Zealand and Australia.

The business is steadily launching more modules so that it can provide a better service, ensure it’s more integrated with a business’ operations and potentially make more money from each client.

Despite the decline of the share price, its annualised recurring revenue (ARR) continues to grow. In the first half of FY21, the ARR grew by 42.8% to $74.2 million and cash receipts rose 25.5% to $34.4 million in the half-year.

In a guidance update a couple of months ago, the ASX share said that its momentum had continued, with growth across the business. ELMO pointed out that an increasingly remote-based workforce has highlighted the mission critical nature of having cloud-based business solutions, like ELMO’s.

The ELMO CEO and co-founder Danny Lessem said:

There is positive sentiment in the market, and it is pleasing to see procurement starting to return to pre-COVID levels.

Our growth strategy remains on track…Our value-proposition is stronger than ever, and ELMO remains well placed to benefit from tailwinds in the adoption of cloud-based technology.

The post 2 beaten-up ASX shares that could be buys in August 2021 appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and has recommended Elmo Software and Kogan.com ltd. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Elmo Software and Kogan.com ltd. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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