• ASX 200 jumps, Worley rises, Cimic up

    bull market encapsulated by bull running up a rising stock market price

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) went up just over 1% today to 7,218 points.

    Here are some of the highlights today:

    Worley Ltd (ASX: WOR)

    The Worley share price was one of the best performers in the ASX 200 today, rising by 6.5% after releasing an investor presentation.

    Worley outlined to the market how it is deeply involved in the world’s decarbonisation efforts with projects spread across the world in wind power, solar power, hydrogen, distributed energy, electric vehicles and storage, geothermal, hydro and ocean power, renewable fuels and waste to energy, nuclear, carbon capture, electrification, energy and grid transformation projects.

    For example, Worley said it is involved in the largest commercial green hydrogen production facility in the world. It has been awarded an early engineering services contract to support the development of a new 200MW electrolysis-based hydrogen plant. The facility, the first of its project, will be located in Rotterdam in the Netherlands.

    Cimic Group Ltd (ASX: CIM)

    The Cimic share price went up almost 3% today after announcing another contract win.

    It said that its UGL subsidiary has secured a contract for the design, construction and installation of a high voltage transmission line from Kidston to Mt Fox in Queensland and a new 275kV switching station located at Mt Fox.

    The UGL contract will generate approximately $150 million of revenue. UGL is currently performing early works and mobilisation for the contract with its client, Powerlink, in support of the Kidston Clean Energy Hub in Queensland.

    UGL managing director Doug Moss said:

    UGL has an exciting pipeline of work in delivering high voltage power projects around Australia, providing communities with a safe and reliable power supply in some of our most remote regions. We are delighted to build on our relationship with Powerlink for this important renewable energy infrastructure project.

    Codan Limited (ASX: CDA)

    The Codan share price fell over 1% after announcing the sale of its Minetec business to Caterpillar for approximately US$14 million and a volume-based earn-out over the next five years.

    After completion, Codan will provide manufacturing services to Caterpillar for up to five years, to ensure a successful transition and continuous supply to Caterpillar customers.

    Minetec provides high-precision tracking, productivity and safety solutions for underground hard-rock mines. The technology enables real-time monitoring and control of mining operations, allowing miners to visualise the whole mine in order to optimise productivity and enhance safety.

    Codan said that under its ownership, Mientec has not scaled to a level that supports the ongoing investment required for a technology-based business. Management said whilst the technology is world class, the business would be better suited to be under the ownership of another company, like Caterpillar.

    This will lead to a one-off gain before tax of around AU$3 million. The money will be used to pay down debt after the recently-announced acquisitions.

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  • Here’s how the ANZ (ASX:ANZ) share price performed over May

    At the turn of the month, it’s often an interesting thought exercise to take a look at the month-on-month share price performance of the prominent S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) shares. Today, we’re examining the Australia and New Zealand Banking GrpLtd (ASX: ANZ) share price.

    The ASX banks have been some of the best ASX 200 performers in recent months, arguably helping the index reach its new all-time highs in May.

    We even saw Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) crack $100 a share for the first time ever, a level it remains above today (at the time of writing, anyway).

    So, how did things go in May?

    Well, the ANZ share price started the month at $28.74 and finished at $28.71. That’s a very small loss of 0.1%. But that rather vanilla comparison hides some volatility that ANZ shares experienced over May.

    Early in the month, ANZ actually got rather close to its own 52-week high of $29.55, hitting $29.10 on 3 May. It then fell by more than 7% by 12 May, only to recover 7% by 28 May. I suppose the journey was the destination there.

    So, what happened in May for this ASX bank? Well, not a whole lot of official news came out of ANZ over the month. However, it did get some love from a broker.

    As my Fool colleague James Mickleboro reported on 17 May, fellow bank (and in this case) broker Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) retained its outperform rating on ANZ shares with a 12-month price target of $30.50.

    Later in the month, we also covered how Daniel Moore, co-portfolio manager of the Investors Mutual Australian Share Fund sees a dividend bonanza from ASX banking shares over the next year or so.

    Moore cited healthy capital ratios, as well as a potential lift in the banks’ dividend payout ratios going forward. He said these were reasons to be bullish on banking dividends (and possibly even share buybacks) in 2021 and beyond.

    About the ANZ share price

    Today, ANZ shares are pretty flat, having gained 0.14% to $28.35 a share. That gives the bank a market capitalisation of $80.6 billion, a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 17.1 and a trailing dividend yield of 3.7%.

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  • The ASX 200 just set a new all-time high. Could we hit 8,000 points this year?

    excited man reaching new record high on mountain side

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) set a new record-high closing price this afternoon. A strong showing from oil producers, miners, and property groups has propelled the index into unexplored heights.

    At such a milestone, it’s worth looking at the path taken. How have we arrived at this destination despite the headwinds? Most importantly, where might we be going next?

    Banks and miners tow the ASX line

    This time a year ago, we had overcome the first wave of coronavirus cases. The ASX 200 was also amidst a recovery – having bounced from 4,816 points to 5,755.

    Tech shares were having their moment in the spotlight during an unprecedented ‘working from home’ phenomenon. Over the following months, record government stimulus was administered to avoid a deepened recession.

    Infrastructure was an easy target to stimulate the economy. The Australian Government announced a $1.5 billion infrastructure stimulus package for shovel ready projects that could commence within 6 months. Unsurprisingly, ASX-listed miners began to diverge from the broader market.  

    Furthermore, the government’s Jobkeeper and Jobseeker payments supported continued consumer spending. From August 2020, consumer discretionary shares started to outpace the ASX 200. A great example of this is Eagers Automotive Ltd (ASX: APE), which benefitted from elevated car sales, increasing 129% in the last year.

    However, the banks and miners have been the heavy lifters in more recent months. In early May, the big four all reported a bounce back from the prior quarter.

    The results acted as an indicator that the worst might be over. Since then, shares in Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) have rallied to surpass the monumental $100 mark.

    But we can’t forget the mining giants. An insatiable desire for resources such as iron ore, lithium, and copper has been like rocket fuel to some of the ASX 200’s largest companies. Fortescue Metals Group Ltd (ASX: FMG), BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP), Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS), and OZ Minerals Ltd (ASX: OZL) are just a few that have enjoyed the boom.

    ASX 200: To 8,000 and beyond?

    Some market commentators are optimistic after the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released GDP figures for the March quarter. An increase of 1.8% in GDP compared to the prior quarter and strong iron ore prices have VanEck’s Russel Chesler forecasting further highs to come.

    Robust growth in company earnings will support equity valuations and the S&P/ASX 200 is likely to rise to 8,000 this year and local shares could outperform the US share market. We are seeing Australian shares trade around record highs, led by gains for the big miners BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto.

    If the ASX 200 manages to reach 8,000 points, that would represent a 66% gain from the low set during the COVID crash.

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  • Woolworths (ASX:WOW) launches new payment solution: Wpay

    happy teenager using iPhone

    News broke this afternoon that Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) has launched its payment solution, Wpay. While the Woolworths share price hasn’t visibly reacted to the news yet, it’s having a good day on the ASX.

    At the time of writing, the Woolworths share price is up 1.25%, with shares in the company swapping hands for $42.28.

    Let’s take a closer look at the retail giant’s new payment solution.

    Wpay payment solution

    Wpay claims it brings together the retail experience of the supermarket giant and its global partnerships to meet the needs of both merchants and customers.

    Woolworths is already the largest non-bank receiver of card payments in Australia. It processes more than 1 billion transactions each year – equalling $50 billion worth.

    Wpay states it offers both in-store and online payments, including split payments. It also includes fraud management and other security features.

    Further, Wpay provides merchants with rich analytic insights and allows them to offer scalable gift card management and custom rewards programs.

    According to Wpay’s website, Woolworths’ customers using the Wpay app can select and pay for their groceries as they shop, with no need to go through a check out when they’ve finished.

    Currently, Woolworths’ supermarkets and Big W, as well as former Woolworths brand EG Group, are using Wpay.

    According to The Australian, Wpay will become the payment provider for Endeavour Group’s brands BWS and Dan Murphy’s, following the demerger of Endeavour Group from Woolworths. The demerger is currently in its final stages.

    The Australian also reported former National Australia Bank Ltd. (ASX: NAB) executive and Woolworths’ financial services leader, Paul Monnington, is to be Wpay’s managing director.

    Woolworths share price snapshot

    The Woolworths share price has been performing well on the ASX lately.

    Currently, the Woolworths share price has gained 5.75% since the start of 2021. It’s also 17.24% higher than it was this time last year.

    The retail giant has a market capitalisation of around $52 billion, with approximately 1.2 billion shares outstanding.

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  • These 3 ASX 200 shares are up 50% in 2021

    rising share price line observed by person

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has had a pretty successful year in 2021 so far. We’ve seen the index gain a hefty 7.7% year to date. That’s as well as three new record highs, as of just today.

    But some ASX 200 shares have invariably performed better than others. Here are three such shares that have all gained at least 50% in 2021 so far:

    Codan Limited (ASX: CDA)

    Codan is an ASX 200 company that designs and makes mining and communications equipment, as well as metal detectors. It has had a phenomenal year so far, with the Codan share price up 61.6% since the start of 2021. It appears a major catalyst behind this sharp increase was the $114 million acquisition of the US-based Domo Tactical Communications, which was announced back in February. Domo Tactical helps supply high-bandwidth wireless technology. That news helped spark a big jump in the Codan share price at the time. Momentum appears to have kept building from there.

    Virgin Money UK CDI (ASX: VUK)

    Virgin Money, also known by its former name of Clydesdale Bank (CYBG PLC), is a UK-based bank that was spun out of National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) a few years ago. It is one of the most volatile ASX bank shares on the ASX 200, having a 52-week range of $1.26–$3.90 a share as of today. Fortunately for shareholders, sentiment has broken to the upside in 2021 so far. Virgin Money shares are up almost 63% year to date. The strength of the global economic recovery, and an accommodating credit market, appear to be the driving forces here.

    Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS)

    Pilbara Minerals is another ASX 200 share that is no stranger to volatility. This company has a 52-week range of 23 cents to $1.47 a share. But once again, 2021 has been very kind to Pilbara shareholders. Pilbara shares are up 50% year to date. This includes a healthy 3% bump just today. Pilbara is an ASX lithium miner – a sector that’s received a lot of attention this year amid the rise of electric vehicles and renewable energy. Lithium is a key component of the rechargeable batteries used in electric vehicles as well as used for electrical grid backup.  As my Fool colleague reported today, lithium demand out of China is also expected to remain strong in 2021 as well.

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  • 2 excellent ASX 200 blue chip shares to consider

    Some S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) blue chip shares could be good ideas to consider at the moment.

    Bigger businesses have a reputation for being more reliable in times of difficulty, like COVID-19. Blue chips have the ability to continue to produce good returns over time.

    These two ASX 200 blue chip shares could be particularly useful to think about:

    Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG)

    Macquarie is one of the largest financial businesses on the ASX with several different divisions. There’s the investment bank, the asset management segment, the retail banking division and ‘commodities and global markets’ segment.

    The business generates a lot of profit. In FY21 it saw net profit of $3 billion, which was an increase of 10% despite all of the impacts of COVID-19.

    This profit was delivered thanks to business’ diversified operations. It was the commodities and global markets business that really generated the growth with net profit of $2.6 billion – up 50%.

    The ASX 200 blue chip remains strongly positioned with its balance sheet. The bank’s common equity tier 1 (CET1) ratio was 12.6%. Management believe the business is well positioned to operate through all market cycles and invest in growth.

    The CEO and managing director of Macquarie, Shemara Wikramanayake, said:

    Macquarie remains well-positioned to deliver superior performance in the medium-term. This is due to our deep expertise in major markets. Strength in business and geographic diversity and ability to adapt the portfolio mix to changing market conditions, an ongoing program to identify cost saving initiatives and efficiency, a strong and conservative balance sheet and a proven risk management framework and culture.

    Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES)

    Wesfarmers is one of the largest and most diversified ASX 200 blue chips.

    It owns a variety of different businesses including industrial businesses, a stake in a lithium joint venture and several quality retail companies including Bunnings, Officeworks and Catch.

    Wesfarmers has grown Bunnings into a clear market leader in the home hardware space and it generates very strong returns.

    In the FY21 half-year result, Bunnings generated $1.275 billion of earnings before tax. This represented a 76.6% return on capital.

    Wesfarmers has been significantly investing in its online shopping capabilities for shoppers since the onset of COVID-19 and this is paying off. Total online sales across the group more than doubled for the half, excluding Catch. Including Catch, online sales of $2 billion were recorded.

    Wesfarmers is also investing in its capabilities to ensure it’s as capable and efficient as possible.

    The ASX 200 blue chip share said that it’s going to continue to develop and enhance its portfolio, building on its unique capabilities and platforms to take advantage of growth opportunities within existing businesses and to pursue investments and transactions that create value for shareholders over the long-term.

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  • Why the CSR (ASX:CSR) share price is surging today

    CSR share price rising asx share price represented my man in hard hat giving thumbs up

    The CSR Limited (ASX: CSR) share price surged on Tuesday as its seen to be one of the best placed to ride the ongoing construction boom.

    The latest building approvals data released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics is firing up the sector. But the focus is clearly on CSR.

    The CSR share price jumped 4.9% to $6.04 today. In contrast, the Boral Limited (ASX: BLD) share price added 1.3% to $6.91, Adbri Ltd (ASX: ABC) share price gained 4% to $3.36 and GWA Group Ltd (ASX: GWA) share price increased 3.5% to $2.98.

    Strong approvals data supports building materials sector

    Building approvals was strong even without the benefit of the government’s Home Builder stimulus. This shows the underlying strength in the sector, according to Citigroup.

    “We maintain a constructive outlook with low rates and strong established house price growth to underpin our housing starts forecast of +18% growth in the June 2021 quarter,” said Citi.

    “The pace of approvals has been running faster than this, presenting upside to our forecasts.”

    CSR share price better placed to boom

    The broker believes we are still in the early stage of the earnings upgrade cycle. This means the CSR share price is particularly well positioned to rally further and Citi is recommending investors buy the shares.

    “We forecast housing starts to grow by +18% to 49,717 for the June 2021 quarter, which brings starts to 201.8k in FY21e,” said Citi.

    “Should the current run-rate in approvals be maintained, this could present upside risks to our forecasts. CSR is best exposed to domestic housing, which drives ~80% of Building Product sales.”

    Renos taking off

    Households are also spending big on renovations. I didn’t need the ABS to tell me that as I am sandwich between neighbours who are making major modifications to their homes while I struggle to work from home in lockdown Melbourne.

    Nonetheless, the data is impressive. The value of renovation activity approved increased 57% in April, and that comes off the 52% uplift in March.

    I am sure Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES) shareholders would be happy about that given the conglomerate owns Bunnings.

    Part of the market that isn’t doing as well

    However, commercial building activity remains volatile. This is one reason why Citi doesn’t think investors should buy the GWA share price.

    “The value of commercial work approved increased by +6% in April 2021, down from the +50% growth seen in November 2020,” explained Citi.

    “Given long lead times in non-residential work, evidence of a more sustained turnaround is required before we become more positive on GWA (Neutral).

    “For GWA, commercial and multi-res drives ~40% of overall sales and likely a larger proportion of earnings.”

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  • 3 rapidly growing small cap ASX shares to watch

    man using laptop happy at rising share price

    The small end of the Australian share market is home to a number of companies with the potential to grow materially in the future.

    Three that investors might want to get better acquainted with are listed below. Here’s why they are highly rated:

    Bigtincan Holdings Ltd (ASX: BTH)

    Bigtincan is a leading provider of enterprise mobility software to businesses globally. Its popular software unlocks new and more effective ways for teams to perform at higher levels and deliver better business results by creating more positive and efficient buying experiences.

    The company notes that its platform empowers sales and service representatives to maximise their use of sales collateral to engage with customers and prospects more effectively. Pleasingly, demand for its software has been growing quickly, which is underpinning strong annualised recurring revenues (ARR) growth. 

    Booktopia Group Ltd (ASX: BKG)

    Booktopia is an online book retailer which has been growing at a rapid rate. For example, during the first half, the company reported a 51.1% increase in revenue to $112.6 million and a 502.3% jump in underlying EBITDA to $8 million.

    Pleasingly, Booktopia then followed this up with a 53% increase in revenue during the third quarter. Management advised that this strong growth is being driven by the shift to online shopping and its new distribution centre. The latter is allowing the company to benefit fully from increased demand by shipping record volumes of books.

    Universal Store Holdings Limited (ASX: UNI)

    Universal Store is a fashion retailer delivering an ever-changing and carefully curated selection of on-trend products. The retailer has been on form this year, delivering a 23.3% increase in half year sales to $118 million and a 63.6% increase in underlying net profit after tax to $21.1 million.

    Positively, this strong form continued in the third quarter. Universal Store recently reported a 39.6% increase in quarterly sales, putting it in a position to deliver a very strong full year result in August.

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  • 2 ASX dividend shares analysts rate as buys

    asx share price dividend payments represented by man holding $50 note close to his face

    With interest rates likely to remain low for some time to come, the dividend shares listed below could be top options for anyone seeking a passive income stream.

    Here’s why these dividend shares are rated as buys:

    Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL)

    The first ASX dividend share for income investors to consider is Coles.

    It is of course one of the “big two” supermarket operators in the ANZ market. It also has a number of complementary businesses such as flybuys and Liquorland.

    Due to the strength of its businesses and their positive long term outlooks, Coles has been tipped as an ASX share to buy. Especially for income investors due to its attractive yield and favourable dividend policy.

    Goldman Sachs is very positive on the company and is forecasting generous dividend payments in the coming years. Its analysts currently expect dividends per share of 62 cents in FY 2021 and 66 cents in FY 2022.

    Based on the current Coles share price of $16.60, this will mean fully franked yields of 3.7% and 4%, respectively, over the next two years. Goldman has a buy rating and $20.50 price target on its shares.

    Transurban Group (ASX: TCL)

    Another ASX dividend share to look at this toll road operator. Transurban is the owner of a collection of important roads in Australia and North America. These include CityLink in Melbourne and the Cross City Tunnel and Eastern Distributor in Sydney.

    While lockdowns and travel disruption have led to a notable decline in traffic on its roads over the last 12 months, volumes are recovering and are expected to continue doing so as life returns to normal.

    The good news for income investors is that this should mean that its distributions return to normal soon after as well. That’s certainly what Ord Minnett is expecting. It is positive on Transurban and currently has a buy rating and $16.00 price target on its shares.

    Ord Minnett is forecasting dividends of 37 cents per share in FY 2021 and then 58 cents per share in FY 2022. Based on the latest Transurban share price of $14.00, this equates to yields of 2.6% and 4.1%, respectively, over the next two years.

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  • ABS says Aussie economy is now bigger than before COVID

    piggy bank printed with australian flag

    Statistics from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) reveals the Australian economy is now 0.8% greater than it was before the pandemic.

    GDP figures released today show the economy grew 1.8% in the quarter and 1.1% over the year. In addition, the economy grew 0.8% above the December 2019 quarter. This represents the last full quarter before the coronavirus reached our shores. The growth figure for this period is greater than economists anticipated. A Reuters poll of experts predicted a smaller growth rate of 1.5%.

    Australia’s economy outpaces the world

    Harley Dale, chief economist at CreditorWatch, says today’s results are excellent news.

    “Against the broader economic backdrop, you could call today’s results a real boomer. If you think back to early June last year and how everyone feared GDP would fall off a cliff, this update is outstanding, particularly the trajectory of key commodity prices,” Mr Dale said.

    While Mr Dale was upbeat about today’s news, he did say Australia still had “some way to go.”

    “The March 2021 quarter figures have the protective shield of government support protecting them to some degree.”

    “We’ll find out more in the June quarter when most of that support has been taken away. Realistically, it’s where we’re at in 2021/22 that will count, and nobody knows a great deal about that right now,” he added.

    Australia is one of only five economies to be larger than it was pre-pandemic. That’s according to Kristina Kolding of Deloitte Access Economics, who was quoted in Reuters.

    Treasurer Josh Frydenberg was quick to brag about the news. He tweeted a chart showing Australia’s economy had grown since the pandemic. The chart also demonstrated that every other nation of the G7’s economy had shrunk.

    https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js

    AMP Capital Chief Economist, Shane Oliver, says the high levels of consumer confidence, jobs recovery, and excess savings are all positive signs for future consumption. If this is true, that would be good news for retail companies like JB Hi-Fi Limited (ASX: JBH) and Harvey Norman Holdings Limited (ASX: HVN).

    https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js

    Mr Oliver also said private demand was the key to today’s positive figures. However, he also stated that this may have been aided by government assistance, such as JobKeeper and HomeBuilder.

    ASX 200 and the economy

    While the ASX 200 and the economy are not perfectly related, they can move together during certain times, even if at different rates. Take for example the COVID sell-off of March last year. The Australian stock market tanked at the same time as the economy did, as business and consumers suffered alike.

    Investors have seen an even greater return. The ASX 200 has grown 7.9% over the same time the economy has only increased 0.8%. As more Australians become vaccinated and the economy opens up more, future economic growth should be good news for diversified investors.

    Of course, some companies can move independently of economic conditions. Locally listed Ansell Limited (ASX: ANN) and Zoom Video Communications Inc (NASDAQ: ZM) both boomed last year as the rest of the economy faltered. Companies can also fail as the economy rises.

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