• How the gold price is impacting these ASX gold shares

    gold bars fulling to the ground and smashing representing falling prices of ASX gold shares

    S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) gold shares have been lagging the wider index in 2021.

    While the ASX 200 is up 5.2% year-to-date, the largest ASX gold shares are all in the red for the year.

    Now there are numerous factors at play that determine a gold miner’s share price. These include management, debt levels, and any changes in their resource estimates, to name a few. Most of the major gold producers are also involved with other precious metals, like copper and silver.

    With that said, the price of the yellow metal they dig from the ground is a key element in determining what investors are willing to pay for gold producers’ shares.

    What’s happening with the gold price?

    On 1 January this year, an ounce of gold was worth US$1,899 (AU$2,466). Gold briefly looked like it might top US$2,000 again as it rallied to US$1,950 on 5 January. But it’s been mostly downhill since then.

    At the time of writing, an ounce of gold is worth US$1,773. That’s down 6.7% year-to-date and down 14% from the US$2,063 it was trading for on 6 August 2020.

    ASX gold shares, as you’d expect, have been seeing their share prices come under pressure.

    What’s happening with these ASX gold shares?

    Newcrest Mining Ltd (ASX: NCM) counts as the largest of the ASX gold shares, with a market cap of $21.7 billion. While still in the red, the Newcrest share price has outperformed its peers in 2021, with shares down 2.8% year-to-date. Newcrest shares closed today down 0.94%, trading at $26.27.

    Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) is another heavyweight among the ASX gold shares. And the Northern Star share price, slipping 0.3% today, is down 21.1% year-to-date.

    With a market cap of $7.9 billion, Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN) is certainly no minnow. And it, too, has seen shares retreat in the face of a falling gold price. The Evolution share price is down 1.1% in intraday trading today and down 13.1% so far in 2021.

    What next for ASX gold shares?

    As mentioned above, there are many factors that determine a specific company’s share price. But when your primary focus is mining gold, you’ll always be tied to the gold price.

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  • Why did the Talga (ASX:TLG) share price fall today?

    Fall in ASX share price represented by white arrow pointing down

    The Talga Group Ltd (ASX: TLG) share price spent this afternoon in the red before closing 3.69% lower at $1.57.

    The company released its quarterly report after the market closed on Friday, so today was the first opportunity for investors to trade on the news. As such, the Talga share price underperformed compared to the All Ordinaries Index (ASX: XAO), which closed just 0.05% lower today.

    Talga is a minerals tech company with operations including graphite exploration and development in Sweden and graphite or graphene research and development in Germany and the United Kingdom.

    What happened during the quarter?

    During the quarter ending 31 March 2021 (3Q FY21), the company started constructing its fully-funded Swedish Electric Vehicle Anode qualification plant. So far, the project remains on schedule with the equipment for the plant expected to be delivered by quarter 4 this financial year.

    Furthermore, graphite ore from the company’s Vittangi project arrived at its Scandinavian mineral processing partner for milling and concentration. Talga expects the outcomes to be known around the first quarter of FY22.

    The applications permitting the company to advance and continue mining at its Vittangi project also arrived this quarter. This, in turn, enabled the company to prepare for its 25,000-tonne trial graphite mine at Vittangi.

    Talga noted that its Vittangi anode production path has been pushed back during the quarter due to complications caused by COVID-19 and site access restrictions. As such, it expects the feasibility study for the plant to be completed in late June 2021.

    In addition, the company continued to make progress with its graphene and battery anode technology. This included numerous customer sample qualification programs regarding lithium-ion batteries and an update on its Talcoat graphene additive for marine coatings.

    About the Talga share price

    With Talga successfully raising $30 million from its shareholder placement plan this quarter, it currently holds $58.4 million in cash. This includes the recent sale of its Western Australian gold royalties for $800,000.

    Furthermore, the company divested its “non-core” Swedish Iron projects. This process is expected to be completed by late September, with any transaction announced around the same time.

    Despite strong performance during April, the Talga share price did not have a positive start to the year. Shares in the small-cap graphene company are down 16% year-to-date.

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  • Why did the National Storage (ASX:NSR) share price rise 3% today?

    A plumber gives the thumbs up, indicating a positive share price in ASX plumbing and building

    The National Storage REIT (ASX: NSR) share price was a top S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) performer today. National Storage shares are up a healthy 3% today to $2.07 a share at the time of writing. That compares pretty favourably against the ASX 200, which only managed to eke out an o.o4% gain for the day.

    So what’s going on here?

    About the National Storage share price

    This ASX real estate investment trust (REIT) has had an interesting few months. The National Storage share price is up a solid ~8% in 2021 so far, and a little more than 23% over the past 12 months.

    It was briefly the talk of the ASX town last year when it received competing acquisition offers from a range of potential suitors over 2019 and 2020.

    US private capital firm Warburg Pincus and Chinese firm Gaw Capital both offered $2.20 per share at one point, while the publically-listed US company Public Storage made an offer at $2.40 a share a little later. The shares hit $2.40 soon after. But that was on the eve of the coronavirus pandemic outbreak, and acquisition talk has been all but quiet ever since.

    What’s been happening recently with National Storage?

    The National Storage share price has been busy in the past month. The company made a new 52-week high of $2.21 on 16 April. So today’s move is a positive one, but still not quite at that level.

    The company appeared to enjoy a boost in sentiment from the announcement of the Australia-New Zealand travel bubble. National Storage did seem to shoot higher in the days following that announcement. That makes sense, seeing as more travellers would conceivably result in a higher demand for temporary storage facilities.

    National Storage has not made any official announcements or ASX releases since 13 April. So perhaps today’s move is a result of more travel-fuelled optimism.

    Or perhaps a group of investors (or one large investor) thinks that National Storage’s trailing distribution yield of 3.55% is too good to pass up. Further, if National Storage’s next two dividend distributions come in at the same levels as what this REIT paid for 2019 (8.1 cents per share), it would have a forward yield of 3.89% on the current share price.

    Whatever the reason for today’s upward move, I’m sure National Storage investors will be pleased. At the current pricing, this REIT has a market capitalisation of $2.13 billion.

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  • Why did the Hexagon Energy (ASX:HXG) share price sink 10% today?

    Two men react in shock at Evolution share price drop record profit

    It wasn’t a great day for the Hexagon Energy Materials Ltd (ASX: HXG) share price, sinking 10% to 13 cents by the close of trade. This comes after the company came out of a trading halt today, announcing it had successfully completed a placement.

    Let’s take a closer look at the company update.

    Placement to fund Pedirka

    It appears investors are selling Hexagon shares and heading for the hills as the company faces an impending share dilution.

    In today’s release, Hexagon Energy advised it has received $6.2 million in firm commitments by a way of placement. The offer was heavily subscribed by institutional and sophisticated investors at an issue price of 11 cents per share. The new fully-paid ordinary shares represent a 9.5% markdown to the 30-day volume-weighted average price (VWAP).

    The company will alot more than 56.3 million shares using its 15% placement capacity under listing rule 7.1. This allows up to 15% of its shares to be issued without shareholder approval.

    Settlement of the shares is expected to occur on or around 5 May 2021.

    What’s the plan?

    The funds raised will be primarily used towards completing the pre-feasibility study (PFS) and accelerating the Pedirka Blue Hydrogen project. In addition, the company will allocate remaining monies to other project obligations and for working capital purposes.

    Hexagon highlighted that it has conducted several meetings with Genesis regarding project planning and timing of the PFS. The discussions have proved positive, with “substantial cost savings for the PFS program from initial budget estimates” which the company said significantly lowered the amount of funding required to complete the study.

    In what may be a possible catalyst affecting the Hexagon Energy share price, the company also noted that “incorrect media reports” have been circulating. Recently, Hexagon Energy announced it has selected Air Products to become a key technology provider for the Pedirka project. However, there was a misunderstanding that both companies were in a contract, partnership or financial arrangement.

    Hexagon Energy reiterated that a formal engagement between the parties will come to fruition if the PFS progresses and becomes viable. It further explained that there are multiple options for technical providers in all aspects of the Pedirka project.

    What did management say?

    Hexagon Energy chair, Charles Whitfield touched on the successful capital raise, saying:

    We were delighted at the very strong level of interest shown by both existing and new investors in this capital raise opportunity…

    With this capital in place, the work on Pedirka can be accelerated and the team is exceptionally excited about the months ahead.

    About the Hexagon Energy share price

    Despite today’s significant fall, the Hexagon Energy share price has jumped almost 100% in the past 12 months. Looking at year-to-date performance, the company’s shares are sitting above a 130% gain.

    Hexagon Energy commands a market capitalisation of roughly $50 million, with approximately 389.6 million shares on issue.

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  • ASX 200 flat, Westpac rises after HY21, Premier returns jobkeeper

    A graphic showing share price movement, ASX market watch

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) was essentially flat at 7,029 points.

    Here are some of the highlights from the ASX:

    Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC)

    The Westpac share price went up more than 5% today in reaction to the bank’s half year result which showed a strong recovery of profit.

    The big four ASX bank reported that its statutory profit increased by 189% to $3.44 billion. Cash earnings increased 256% to $3.54 billion. First half earnings were largely higher because of an impairment benefit of $372 million.

    Excluding notable items, cash earnings went up 60% to $3.82 billion. The net interest margin (NIM) fell 4 basis points to 2.09% whilst the common equity tier 1 (CET1) ratio rose another 153 basis points to 12.34%.

    The Westpac board decided to pay an interim dividend of $0.58 per share.

    The ASX 200 bank plans to fix its risk governance as well as simplify the business. That includes the target of an $8 billion cost base by FY24 to materially improve its efficiency.

    Westpac CEO Peter King said on the outlook:

    Most significantly, unemployment is falling and there are more people employed now than pre-COVID. A strong labour market will continue to support growth in the economy.

    While challenges remain, we expect the Australian economy to expand by 4.5% in 2021, supporting a 4.6% increase in total credit with residential lending expanding 6.5%.

    New lending for housing has surged, up 49% over the past year, including a 75% jump from the May 2020 low. While most interest has been from owner occupiers, investors are beginning to return to the market, with investor lending up 31% over the four months to February.

    Premier Investments Ltd (ASX: PMV)

    The Premier Investments Limited (ASX: PMV) share price fell 1.6% after the retailer announced it was returning the jobkeeper money it had received.

    Premier Investments previously said that it was keeping the jobkeeper money to pay the wages of employees who may be stood down under future state government mandated COVID-19 lockdowns.

    During the recent Queensland and WA lockdowns, the company used the jobkeeper funds to keep people in jobs and pay the full time and part time team members their contracted hours whilst they were stood down and unable to attend work.

    Critically, the ASX 200 company said, following the lockdowns and upon reopening, increasing trading from the combined states has fully offset the cost of supporting the teams through the lockdowns. Premier said that jobkeeper funds were not required to support the teams.

    After looking at these outcomes, and the Australian success of managing COVID-19, the board decided to refund the net jobkeeper benefit of $15.6 million to the ATO.

    Subject to macro economic trading conditions remaining stable and no further COVID-19 lockdowns, and after accounting for the ATO $15.6 million repayment, Premier is confident in its ability to meet the market consensus of Premier Retail’s FY21 earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) pre-AASB 16 of $318 million.

    ELMO Software Ltd (ASX: ELO)

    The HR software business announced today the launch of its new predictive people analytics module for customers.

    This module was developed in collaboration with the University of Technology Sydney. It utilises artificial intelligence to predict employee behaviour as well as providing “insightful data visualisation tools”.

    One of the examples of the uses of this software is that it identifies high-performing employees who might be a “flight risk”.

    ELMO said that the new module further strengthens ELMO’s value proposition and will provide an additional revenue stream.

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    Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and recommends Elmo Software. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Premier Investments Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Elmo Software. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • 2 high quality blue chip ASX 200 shares rated as buys

    asx investor daydreaming about US shares

    If you’re looking for blue chip ASX 200 shares to buy, then you might want to check out the ones listed below.

    These quality companies could have the potential to grow strongly over the next decade, which could lead to their shares generating market-beating returns for investors. Here’s why they have been rated as buys:

    REA Group Limited (ASX: REA)

    The first blue chip ASX 200 share to look at is this property listings company.

    Trading conditions have not been easy for REA Group over the last few years. However, thanks to the resilience of its business model and dominant market position, it has delivered growth despite dealing with a mini housing market crash and the pandemic.

    The good news is that the housing market is now booming and demand for listings looks set to increase. Combined with price increases and new revenue streams, this bodes well for its earnings growth in the coming years. 

    Morgan Stanley is particularly positive on the company. It recently put an overweight rating and $175.00 price target on its shares. This compares to the latest REA Group share price of $157.00.

    Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES)

    Another blue chip ASX 200 share to look at is Wesfarmers. This leading conglomerate owns and operates a diverse group of businesses across several sectors. This includes the likes of Bunnings, Catch, Covalent Lithium, Kmart, Officeworks, and Target.

    But it may not stop there. The company has a penchant for acquisitions, and thanks to its strong financial position, it is quite likely that it will be adding to its portfolio in the near future.

    In fact, according to a recent note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts believe Wesfarmers has over $8 billion in excess of credit requirements, prior to the Mt Holland development. This gives it a lot of firepower when considering its next acquisition(s).

    Goldman currently has a buy rating and $59.70 price target on the company’s shares. This compares to the current Wesfarmers share price of $53.78.

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  • Here’s why the Vulcan (ASX:VUL) share price is up 32% in a month

    Monadelphous share price rio tintoA happy miner in front of a massive drilling rig, indicating a share price lift for ASX mining companies

    With plenty of positive news to drive them, shares in Vulcan Energy Resources (ASX: VUL) have been having a party on the ASX lately.

    At the time of writing, the lithium developer’s share price has gained 32% in 30 days, despite trading 5% down today. Currently, shares in the company are swapping hands for $7.81.

    Vulcan Energy is a European lithium miner dedicated to creating the world’s first zero-carbon lithium. It owns Europe’s largest lithium resource in Germany and aims to provide lithium for the electric vehicle and renewable energy markets.

    Let’s take a look at what’s been moving the Vulcan share price lately.

    Vulcan Energy’s astonishing April

    Vulcan has had a busy month on the ASX, to which its share price has reacted positively.

    First up, it powered up its direct lithium extraction pilot plant. The company hopes the plant will prove that it’s possible and economical to extract lithium from geothermal brine.

    Vulcan said it planned to use data from its pilot plant to determine whether it could build a larger plant to scale up its extraction method. The news drove the Vulcan Energy share price to gain 20% over the course of the week.

    Not too long afterwards, on 21 April, the Vulcan Energy share price hit a bump in the road. The company announced plans to disconnect and publicly list its non-core Scandinavian battery metals projects. Its zero-carbon copper, nickel and cobalt assets are to form another company, named Kuniko Limited.

    Vulcan stated the spin-off will let it focus on its lithium assets. As a result, the Vulcan share price slumped a minuscule 0.8% over the course of the day. It had well and truly gained that back by the time the company made its next announcement.

    Next, on 27 April, Vulcan announced it had entered into a binding agreement to purchase geothermal surface consultancy business, Global Engineering and Consulting Gmbh. The engineering and consulting company has a scientific team of 25 people.

    Vulcan said the acquisition leaves it with an “unparalleled surface and sub-surface geothermal development team” to drive its zero-carbon lithium strategy. That day, the Vulcan share price closed 8% higher than the previous day.

    Finally, Vulcan released its report for the quarter ended 31 March. The report contained a list of achievements the company had made over the quarter, including a $120 million placement.

    Vulcan share price snapshot

    The Vulcan share price is no stranger to strong performance, it’s been wowing ASX investors for a while now.

    It’s currently up by 181% year to date. Not to mention, it’s up a whopping 3,614% over the last 12 months – this time last year Vulcan shares were trading for 21 cents.

    Vulcan has a market capitalisation of around $890 million, with approximately 107 million shares outstanding.

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  • Why the Galaxy (ASX:GXY) share price rocketed 55% higher in April

    rising asx share price represented by woman jumping in the air happily

    The Galaxy Resources Limited (ASX: GXY) share price was one of the best performers on the All Ordinaries index in April.

    Over the 30 days, the lithium producer’s shares recorded an enormous 55% gain.

    This stretched the 12-month gain by the Galaxy share price to a remarkable 450%.

    Why did the Galaxy share price smash the market in April?

    There were a couple of catalysts for the strong rise by the Galaxy share price in April.

    The first was a further increase in lithium prices thanks to strong demand from electric vehicle manufacturers and concerns about supply.

    But perhaps the main reason for the rise in the Galaxy share price was the announcement of a mega-merger with fellow lithium producer Orocobre Limited (ASX: ORE).

    For the same reason, the Orocobre share price rose an impressive 42% over the month.

    The Galaxy-Orocobre merger

    In the middle of April, Galaxy and Orocobre announced a proposed $4 billion merger of equals that will establish a new force in the global lithium sector.

    The merger will create the fifth largest global lithium chemicals company, with a diversified production base and exciting growth platform.

    Management also advised that that it believes there is scope to unlock significant synergies and realise value for all shareholders.

    The merged company, which will operate under a new name, will have Galaxy’s Chairman, Martin Rowley, as its Non-Executive Chairman and Orocobre’s Chairman, Robert Hubbard, as its Deputy Chairman.

    Leading the company will be Orocobre’s CEO and Managing Director, Martín Pérez de Solay. Galaxy’s current CEO, Simon Hay, will become President of International Business.

    What was the reaction?

    The merger went down well with analysts at Macquarie. Following its announcement, the broker put an outperform rating and $4.50 price target on its shares. This compares very favourably to the current Galaxy share price of $3.88.

    Its analysts also have an outperform rating and $7.10 price target on Orocobre’s shares. This compares to the latest Orocobre share price of $6.68.

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  • Could the grounded Qantas (ASX:QAN) share price take off in May?

    asx airport shares represented by plane and luggage next to large question mark

    It was one step forward and two steps back for the Qantas Group Ltd (ASX: QAN) share price in April. Shares in the airline finished the month 3% lower, with the market seemingly unphased by its positive business update on 15 April.

    The Qantas share price is at a standstill as domestic capacity is expected to surpass pre-COVID levels while vaccine delays continue to delay the topic of international travel.

    Qantas shares have seemingly gone nowhere since a 10% jump to $5.20 on 10 November 2020. This was driven by the initial trial results for the Pfizer vaccine which showed an efficacy rate of more than 90%. 

    At the time of writing, the Qantas share price is down 0.3%, trading at $4.93. Let’s check in with the airline.

    Domestic travel is good but … 

    Qantas’ business update announced that fourth-quarter capacity was expected to reach more than 90% of pre-COVID capacity by 4Q21 and more than 100% in FY22.

    Despite the positive news for its domestic travel, Morgan Stanley notes that the impact on profit is relatively small. 

    International travel is key 

    Qantas CEO Alan Joyce has said in regards to international travel that: 

    The vaccination program is absolutely key to restarting international flights in and out of Australia. While there have clearly been some speedbumps with the vaccine rollout, we are still planning for international flights to resume in late October.

    Despite the positive commentary, the resumption of international travel is entirely out of Qantas’ control. 

    Brokers such as Ord Minnett reduced their international capacity assumptions back in mid-April to reflect the revised timeline of vaccinations.

    Whereas Macquarie said it would continue to monitor vaccine roll-outs in key destinations such as the United States and Singapore that formed a significant proportion of the company’s available seat kilometres. 

    Brokers are bullish across the board 

    It isn’t often that brokers share the same view on a stock. But across Ord Minnett, Morgan Stanley, Macquarie, Citi and UBS, all five brokers maintain a buy or buy-equivalent rating for the Qantas share price with an average target price of $6.13.

    This would represent an upside of approximately ~23% compared to today’s price of $4.93.

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  • Brokers weigh in on the Beach Energy (ASX:BPT) share price plunge

    Stressed investor looking at chart with red downward arrow of falling asx share price

    Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT) shares fell off a cliff on Friday after the company announced poor production figures and a downgrade in oil reserves in its third-quarter results. Its shares are down almost 24% since Thursday to $1.285 and are not far off their March 2020 lows of $1.150. 

    With oil prices remaining relatively steady at US$63 per barrel and a rebound in the global economy as vaccination programs are underway, could there be value in the heavily discounted Beach Energy share price? 

    Brokers weigh in on the Beach Energy share price 

    Citi: slight upside but nothing exciting 

    Beach Energy’s underperformance was led by its West Flank operations says Citi. This resulted in a downgrade to its 2P reserves for the project by 24.8 million barrels of oil equivalent (mmboe) and the withdrawal of its 5-year guidance. Post downgrade, Citi expects the company’s FY21 earnings to fall by approximately 23%. 

    Despite the significant share price weakness, the broker believes there is a lack of growth catalysts to inspire any significant upside. A neutral rating was retained with the target price cut from $1.88 to $1.42. This is, however, still 10.5% higher than the current share price. 

    Macquarie: outperform but wary of impairments and guidance withdrawal

    Macquarie has been anticipating some weakness from Beach Energy, but its downgrades beyond the Bauer facility came as a major surprise. The broker warns that the withdrawal of guidance and potential for impairments in August could serve as an overhang and drag the share price in the near term. 

    Macquarie retained its outperform rating for Beach Energy given the stock’s 25% fall and reduced its target price from $2.10 to $1.75. This represents a significant upside of approximately 36% from today’s prices. 

    Morgans: share price discount drives add rating 

    Similar to Macquarie, Morgans retained an add rating but lowered its target price from $2.20 to $1.82 as production forecasts fall and capital intensity increases at Western Flank. This represents an optimistic 41% upside to the current Beach Energy share price. The broker did note, however, that the company lowered FY21 earnings by 5%, which implies increasing operating costs.

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    Motley Fool contributor Kerry Sun has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Macquarie Group Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

    The post Brokers weigh in on the Beach Energy (ASX:BPT) share price plunge appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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