• Why the Noxopharm (ASX:NOX) share price is charging higher again

    The Noxopharm Ltd (ASX: NOX) share price is on course to end the week on a positive note.

    In morning trade, the clinical-stage drug development company’s shares are up 3% to 72 cents.

    This means the Noxopharm share price now up over 50% since the start of the year.

    Why is the Noxopharm share price rising?

    Investors have been buying Noxopharm shares following the release of an announcement this morning.

    According to the release, headline data from the phase 3 VISION trial was released overnight. This trial looked at the effectiveness of Lu-PSMA-617 as a treatment for late-stage prostate cancer. Lu-PSMA-617 is owned by Novartis.

    The release explains that Lu-PSMA-617 could become an important new treatment for late-stage prostate cancer on the basis of Phase 3 clinical trial data released overnight.

    Why is this good news for Noxopharm?

    This is potentially very good news for Noxopharm because its recent LuPIN trial data shows an even stronger survival outcome when Lu-PSMA-617 is combined with its own Veyonda product.

    Noxopharm’s CEO and Managing Director, Dr Graham Kelly, said: “This result is positive news for Noxopharm for two reasons.”

    “The first is that it confirms that Veyonda in combination with Lu-PSMA-617 provides a considerable survival advantage over Lu-PSMA-617 alone. The LuPIN mOS outcome of 19.7 months still remains the best survival outcome of any drug approved for use in men with endstage prostate cancer including enzalutamide, abiraterone, docetaxel, cabazitaxel, and now Lu-PSMA-617.”

    “The second is that having Lu-PSMA-617 likely to come to market as a 3rd line therapy provides a clear development pathway now for Veyonda to come to market itself, with a distinct opportunity to make the Veyonda/Lu-PSMA-617 combination a new standard of care for endstage prostate cancer,” he concluded.

    This sentiment was echoed by Noxopharm Chief Medical Officer, Dr Gisela Mautner.

    Dr Mautner said: “Noxopharm welcomes this news because it has a major interest in seeing Lu-PSMA-617 come to market and become a standard of care for prostate cancer. The Company believes that the LuPIN study has demonstrated that Veyonda has the ability to enhance the efficacy of Lu-PSMA-617, with a greater survival benefit from the combination than Lu-PSMA-617 alone. This well-tolerated combination therapy should increase the attractiveness of radioligand therapy for men with late-stage prostate cancer even more.”

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  • 3 small ASX shares with big dividend yields

    Some ASX shares have relatively small market capitalisations but they are capable of having quite high dividend yields.

    The below businesses have yields that are higher than the market average:

    360 Capital REIT (ASX: TOT)

    360 Capital is a real estate investment trust (REIT) which invests in a wide range of property-related assets.

    It has invested in a few different ASX shares in recent times. Peet Limited (ASX: PPC) is a residential developer that delivers master planned communities, medium density housing and apartments. Another investment was Irongate Group (ASX: IAP), which is a diversified real estate investor and it also has a third-party funds management platform.

    360 Capital has also bought half of PMG Group, a New Zealand commercial real estate funds management business.

    The forecast distribution guidance for FY21 is 6 cents per security, which translates to a forecast yield of 6.25%.

    Pengana Capital Group Ltd (ASX: PCG)

    Pengana is a fund manager that runs a number of different strategies including ASX shares, international shares and private equity. The company said that it’s looking to diversify over time by adding new strategies.

    In the six months to December 2020, the ASX share said that funds under management (FUM) increased by 15% thanks to both investment performance and net inflows. All of its strategies outperformed their respective benchmarks for the period. The fund manager said that it’s growing FUM on higher margin products.

    The Pengana Property Securities Fund was one of the latest products to be launched.

    In the half-year result, Pengana grew its interim dividend by 25% to 5 cents per share. That brought the trailing annual payment to 9 cents per share, translating to a grossed-up dividend yield of 8%.

    In the latest monthly FUM update, Pengana said its FUM had increased from $3.7 billion to $3.8 billion.

    Pacific Current Group Ltd (ASX: PAC)

    Pacific is an asset management ASX share that aims to partner with exceptional investment managers. It combines capital (offered through different economic structures) with strategic business development to help those investment managers grow.

    Some of its investments include GQG, ROC, Carlisle, Proterra and Victory Park. Those were the ones that saw elevated inflows in the three months to 31 March 2021. It also acquired a stake in Astarte Capital Partners. In that same quarter, it experienced 8.9% organic FUM growth.

    Over the last 12 months, Pacific Current has paid an annual dividend of $0.35 per share. That equates to a grossed-up dividend yield of 8.9%.

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  • Why the Reject Shop (ASX:TRS) share price is getting hammered

    The Reject Shop Ltd (ASX: TRS) share price has come under significant pressure today following the release of a trading update.

    At the time of writing, the discount retailer’s shares are down 15% to $5.37.

    What did Reject Shop announce?

    Reject Shop began by reminding the market that in February it warned that its sales were being impacted in the second half due to the Brisbane, Perth and Victoria lockdowns, COVID-19 concerns in New South Wales, and changing State border restrictions.

    It also noted that its stores in CBD locations and large shopping centres continued to be negatively impacted by reduced footfall and that it was facing ongoing challenges in the international supply chain. That latter was expected to result in increased costs during the second half.

    What’s the latest?

    Unfortunately, since that update, trading activity has continued to be challenging.

    Management advised that its stores in CBD locations and large shopping centres, typically in metropolitan areas, continue to trade well below pre COVID-19 levels.

    As a result, preliminary and unaudited comparable sales for the 48 weeks ended 30 May 2021 were down 1.4% compared to the comparable period in FY 2019. This comprises a 12% decline in comparable sales at CBD locations and large shopping centres and a 0.9% lift in the remainder of its portfolio.

    In addition, the company continues to incur materially increased supply chain costs, particularly higher international shipping costs, as well as costs associated with holding inventory due to international shipping delays.

    Guidance

    Although the company is aiming to offset the above through a reduction in costs, it isn’t going to be enough to stop Reject Shop from reporting a second half loss.

    As a result, management expects full year sales of between $776 million and $778 million and earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) of $8 million to $10 million.

    While the latter is higher than FY 2020’s EBIT, it is down markedly from its first half EBIT of $23.3 million.

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  • Is the Wesfarmers (ASX:WES) share price in the buy zone after its update?

    The Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES) share price was out of form and dropped lower on Thursday following the release of its strategy update.

    The conglomerate’s shares ended the day with a 2% decline to $55.11.

    Why did the Wesfarmers share price drop?

    Investors were selling Wesfarmers shares after it provided an update on current trading conditions at its strategy briefing.

    That update revealed that Wesfarmers’ retail businesses have been cycling the impacts of COVID-19 in the prior year from mid-March. This has led to significant volatility in monthly sales growth results.

    Wesfarmers also revealed that online sales growth has moderated and that its Catch business has experienced a decline in sales since March.

    Is this a buying opportunity?

    One leading broker that believes the weakness in the Wesfarmers share price is a buying opportunity is Goldman Sachs.

    This morning its analysts retained their buy rating and $59.70 price target on the company’s shares.

    Based on the latest Wesfarmers share price, this implies potential upside of 8.5% over the next 12 months excluding dividends. If you include dividends, the potential total return stretches to almost 12%.

    Goldman commented: “Wesfarmers hosted its strategy day today outlining the priorities for each division. From the group’s perspective, key priorities have been aligned towards developing a market leading data and digital ecosystem, investing in platforms and accelerating the pace of continuous improvement.”

    “Most retail divisions have been trialing supply chain expansions with more details expected to be announced over the upcoming months. This is the clear theme coming out of the WES strategy day: digital investment and supply chain automation increasingly likely to soak up increased amount of management time and capital over the medium term.”

    Goldman also notes that Wesfarmers has the balance sheet strength to make acquisitions.

    It explained: “Management is looking to rightsize the balance sheet and hopes to do that in a tax effective way. However, a decision has not been made regarding the level or method to do so. The group continues to evaluate acquisition opportunities, although availability of capital has not increased the priority on this front.”

    Overall, the broker remains positive on the future and continues to forecast robust profit growth in the years to come.

    Goldman estimates earnings per share of $2.18, $2.25, and $2.44, respectively, between FY 2021 and FY 2023.

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  • Why the Orocobre (ASX:ORE) share price continues to soar in 2021

    The Orocobre Limited (ASX: ORE) share price is on fire in 2021. After years of slipping lower, shares in the Australian lithium miner are rebounding, and in a big way.

    Orocobre’s market capitalisation has swelled to $2.4 billion after climbing 1.6% higher on Thursday. That means the Orocobre share price is now up more than 50% in 2021 alone and sitting 5% below its May 2021 record high.

    What is driving the price hike?

    Orocobre is a major lithium miner. In fact, it is one of the world’s largest lithium chemicals producers. As is usually the case with commodity-based shares, the underlying commodity price has a lot to do with the company’s valuation.

    While there have been several lean years since 2018, things are looking up again. Lithium prices have skyrocketed in 2021 thanks to supply-side restrictions and surging demand. A big part of that demand has been driven by lithium-ion batteries and the electric vehicle space.

    According to Trading Economics data, lithium prices are sitting at US$13,900 per tonne, up from US$6,800/t in November 2020. That’s been reflected in the Orocobre share price gains we’ve seen in 2021. Shares in the lithium miner have surged 182% since the start of November 2020 as prices have rallied.

    A broader commodities boom has also helped lift ASX energy shares higher and fuelled the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) to a new record high. Concerns around global inflation and strong demand for basic materials has boosted the prices of key commodities including iron ore and oil in recent months.

    The Orocobre share price has been a beneficiary of the surging lithium price with supply constraints and growing electric vehicle interest helping pull the ASX lithium share higher.

    Foolish takeaway

    The Orocobre share price has been on fire in 2021. Shares in the Aussie lithium miner continue to outperform its ASX 200 peers amid climbing commodities prices. That’s good news for investors who are riding the wave right now.

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  • Will Ethereum kill Bitcoin?

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    A common critique of Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) is that it is outdated technology in the fast-moving world of cryptocurrency and it will eventually be replaced by something better. There are different versions of this theory, with some saying another decentralized cryptocurrency will overtake bitcoin as the best crypto money and others saying bitcoin will eventually be made obsolete by central bank digital currencies (CBDCs).

    Let’s focus on the former theory. The Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) network’s underlying ETH cryptocurrency has the most support. During the initial coin offering (ICO) bubble of 2017, various crypto market commentators claimed that ETH overtaking BTC as the largest and most popular cryptocurrency is inevitable. Although this didn’t happen back then, the idea of a “flippening” taking place has gained traction once again, as the BTC-denominated price of ETH has nearly tripled so far this year.

    The argument for ETH over BTC

    The main argument for Ethereum over Bitcoin is that the latter of the two cryptocurrency networks is limited by a lack of technical functionality in the form of smart contracts. Smart contracts enable advanced crypto use cases such as non-fungible tokens (NFTs) and decentralized finance (DeFi). Mark Cuban has pointed to these sorts of use cases as his reasoning for preferring ETH over BTC.

    DeFi in particular has been the main source of attention for Ethereum over the past year or so, as various apps have enabled new ways of doing traditional financial activities like issuing assets, trading, borrowing, lending, and more. The argument is that ETH will overtake BTC as the most widely used cryptocurrency due to these additional applications.

    The argument for BTC over ETH

    A key argument against the idea that DeFi and other types of decentralized applications is that much of the activity on Ethereum today is likely unsustainable. Many of the Ethereum use cases that are popular today, such as stablecoins and the trading of those stablecoins against ETH, involve the reintroduction of third-party risk, which puts into question whether it makes sense to build these applications on a decentralized blockchain.

    Bitcoin itself also has various solutions for implementing many of the use cases that have gained popularity on Ethereum. Sovryn is a relatively new DeFi application built on Bitcoin that combines many of Ethereum’s touted use cases into a single interface. It has long been argued that Bitcoin can adopt any new tech that is developed by its competitors, and Sovryn is an illustration of that point happening right in front of our eyes.

    If Bitcoin is able to adopt the features of its competitors, then the real competition between cryptocurrencies has more to do with their monetary properties than anything else. And in that department, bitcoin is still by far the most liquid, stable form of crypto money with the most credible, unwavering monetary policy.

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

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  • Why FYI Resources (ASX:FYI) share price is roaring higher

     FYI Resources (ASX: FYI) share price is performing swimmingly. In 12 months, the company’s shares are up 1,300%. In the last 6 months, they’re more than 200% higher. And at the market close yesterday, the FYI Resources price was up 9.52% for the day, closing at 69 cents.

    Decarbonising the global economy, it’s a thing.

    According to its own company literature, FYI is positioning itself for high quality, high purity alumina (HPA) through low carbon and environmental footprint production.

    FYI Resources says that there are two ways to apply HPA. There is the application in LED screens and other sapphire glass products, substrates, electronics and specialty abrasives. 

    The second market — and longer-term driver for HPA — is the application in lithium-ion batteries for the burgeoning electric vehicle and static energy storage markets. HPA in these markets allows better functionality and safety of the battery cells, according to the company.

    Decarbonising the global economy is a priority for governments in the United States and Europe, so it is little wonder that FYI Resources has caught the attention of Australian investors.  

    Agreement with Alcoa 

    Alcoa is a leading global aluminium producer. On 8 September 2020, FYI Resources entered into a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with Alcoa to explore the possible joint development of FYI’s HPA project. 

    In a company release last month, FYI Resources managing director Rolland Hill said:

    We believe there is a highly complementary fit between the corporate objectives, cultures and operational expertise of FYI and Alcoa.

    Any commercial agreement would also seek to leverage the corporate capabilities of Alcoa, who are globally recognised as a leading producer of alumina, and FYI who have developed and demonstrated an innovative, fully integrated and environmentally conscious HPA refining process.

    The future looks bright

    With governments pushing to decarbonise the economy, a possible joint venture with Alcoa, and HPA becoming increasingly sought-after for its unique properties, FYI Resources seems well-positioned in the market.

    And judging by the upward trend of the past 12 months, the FYI Resources share price appears to be gaining momentum.

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  • Why investors don’t need to worry about rising inflation

    Rising inflation is nothing to worry about for stock investors, according to multiple experts.

    The current economic recovery after the COVID-19 downturn has ironically been a bogey for growth shares

    A fear of subsequent rising inflation and interest rates has seen the valuations of growth businesses hammered over the last 6 months.

    The S&P ASX All Technology Index (ASX: XTX), for example, has sunk 8% since the start of the year. It’s dropped almost 15% off its 52-week high.

    “It’s been a violent selloff out there,” Forager Funds chief executive Steve Johnson said in a video to investors this week.

    “Good quality tech companies are down with Xero Limited (ASX: XRO) 23% off its peak and even the poster child for the growth sector, Afterpay Ltd (ASX: APT), is now down 45% from its peak just a couple of months ago.”

    So should we be worried? How long will growth stocks be out of favour?

    Remember how we worried machines would take our jobs?

    Montgomery Investments chief investment officer Roger Montgomery is shocked at how short people’s memories are.

    “Prior to COVID, one narrative occupying our imaginations was the rise of automation,” he said in a blog post recently.

    “The ‘jobs for machines, life for people’ narrative had become so concerning to some it inspired talk of a universal basic wage.”

    And since that talk interest rates had sunk even lower, triggering “a near-vertical acceleration in IT spending” everywhere.

    So for Montgomery the current inflation worries are temporary. The pre-COVID disinflationary forces still persist and will return after the virus has been dealt with.

    “It is important for investors to remember the long-term narrative,” he said.

    “Inflation will bounce around in the short and even medium term but structurally it appears to be heading interminably down. Lower inflation appears to be a structural reality.”

    A ripe buying opportunity

    The longer-term low inflation outlook means investors need to put their fears aside and grab the current buying opportunities.

    “We’ve got a good list of probably 8 to 10 businesses that we’d love to own at the right price that are a lot closer to it today,” said Johnson.

    “So if this goes on for a few more months, you can expect to see a few more new names in the Australian Fund portfolio.”

    Montgomery agreed, saying there are now many decent stocks going for a tempting discount. 

    “Historically, economic growth combined with disinflation is an ideal time to be in equities,” he said.

    “Current and intermittent weakness in the share prices of high quality companies with bright long-term growth prospects should be seen as a classic contrarian opportunity.”

    After vaccinations are rolled out and the pandemic is long forgotten, automation and digitisation of work will once again re-enter public discourse.

    “We will return to debating a response to job losses from the rise of machines, AI and robots,” said Montgomery.

    “And while the impact on wages and jobs will be negative, in the absence of any legislative or regulatory response, the marginal cost for business will decline and profits will rise.”

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  • Top broker still sees value in the Pro Medicus (ASX:PME) share price

    The Pro Medicus Limited (ASX: PME) share price was on form on Thursday.

    The health imaging company’s shares rose over 3% to $47.61.

    This means the Pro Medicus share price is now up almost 36% since the start of the year.

    Why did the Pro Medicus share price storm higher?

    Investors were bidding the Pro Medicus share price higher on Thursday after the company announced a deal with healthcare giant Mayo Clinic.

    According to the release, the company’s Visage Imaging business has signed a multi-year research collaboration agreement with Mayo Clinic that will facilitate development and commercialisation activities in the field of artificial intelligence (AI), leveraging the Visage AI Accelerator platform.

    Can its shares go higher?

    According to a note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts still see value in Pro Medicus’ shares.

    This morning the broker has retained its buy rating and $53.80 price target on the company’s shares. Based on the latest Pro Medicus share price, this implies potential upside of 13% over the next 12 months.

    Goldman commented: “PME today announced that it has signed a multi-year research collaboration with Mayo Clinic, one of the leading academic healthcare networks in the US. This agreement will facilitate the two parties’ research efforts around Artificial Intelligence in the field of radiology, with the primary aim of developing/commercialising new products.”

    “Following today’s announcement, we highlight that PME has now established R&D collaborations with three different, world-renowned healthcare networks. These efforts have already yielded an interesting commercial opportunity, which could provide a material revenue contribution from FY22. We believe the strategy of partnering with the leading academics helps to maximise the value and competitive advantage of PME’s technology proposition,” the broker commented.

    In light of the above, this could make it worth considering Pro Medicus at the current level.

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  • 3 reasons why the Volpara (ASX:VHT) share price could be a buy

    The Volpara Health Technologies Ltd (ASX: VHT) share price could be an interesting one to look at with the current price being $1.26.

    What is Volpara?

    Volpara is a New Zealand technology business that is listed on the ASX.

    It operates a software-as-a-service (SaaS) model that utilises AI to improve the early detection of breast cancer by analysing breast images, called mammograms, and associated patient data.

    Volpara provides personalised breast care through clinical decision support and proactive management tools. It wants to provide a cost effective reduction of breast cancer deaths, there are around 600,000 deaths globally each year.

    Here’s why Volpara could be a good option:

    Growing average revenue per user (ARPU)

    Volpara has an increasing average revenue per user. ARPU is the average revenue achieved per women screened per year at a site

    ARPU has risen to US$1.40. The CRA Health business that Volpara recently acquired is growing strongly and has ARPU of US$1.70. The company said that its ARPU rose by over 30% between the second quarter of FY20 and the second quarter of FY21 despite COVID-19 impacts. 

    The business continues to track acquisition opportunities that could increase ARPU further.

    A lot of the existing installed base is using a product that was sold as a capital sale with a small service and maintenance contract, not SaaS. Since 1 November 2019, all quotes and proposals are SaaS contracts. These new deals comprise multiple products. In the second quarter of FY21, ARPU on new deals was between US$1.75 to US$4.30.

    Volpara has explained that identifying women who should get genetics testing can lead to a significantly increased ARPU.

    Increasing market share

    The business has significantly increased its market share over the last few years thanks to acquisitions like MRS Systems and CRA Health.

    Volpara’s market share increased in FY21 to 32% of US women having a group product applied on their images and data. That compares to approximately 27% at the end of FY20.

    The CRA Health acquisition came with a market share of approximately 6%, as well as the integration with electronic health records (EHR).

    Strong gross profit margin

    The Volpara gross profit margin continues to grow. It is one of the highest on the ASX. In FY20 the gross profit margin was 86% and in FY21 the margin increased another five percentage points to 91%. This could be an important driver for the Volpara share price over time. 

    That means a lot of the new revenue can fall to the next profit line in the accounts. Over the longer-term, the gross margin could rise even more and help the net profit improve at a relatively fast rate.

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