The Bitcoin (CRYTPO: BTC) price remains under pressure, with the world’s biggest crypto sliding 6.1% over the past 24 hours.

One Bitcoin is currently worth US$44,858 (AU$57,510). The slide has seen Bitcoin’s market cap fall from more than US$1.1 trillion in mid-April to US$845 billion today, according to data from CoinDesk.

Let’s keep this in perspective though.

While the Bitcoin price is now down 31% from its all-time high of US$64,829 on 14 April, it’s still up 59% in 2021. And if you’d bought Bitcoin at this time last year, you’d be still be sitting on a gain of 363%.

But that’s all in the rearview now. The question investors are pondering today is, what’s next?

Should you invest 3% of your portfolio in Bitcoin?

Whenever the price of an asset slides more than 30% over a period of weeks, investors are prone to hit the sell button. But as with shares, panic selling crypto assets may not be in investors’ best interests.

Anthony Scaramucci, founder of SkyBridge Capital, remains decidedly bullish on his outlook for Bitcoin. (You may also remember Scaramucci from his 10-day role as former US President Donald Trump’s communications director.)

According to Scaramucci (quoted by Bloomberg):

As an investment adviser and someone who’s been running money for 30-plus years, it’s responsible of me to tell my clients to own 1%, 2% or 3% [in Bitcoin]… I’m not telling them you’ve got to own 100% of your net worth in it – but if we’re right, you don’t want to be missing out on this.

Scaramucci pointed out that despite the growth in altcoins, Bitcoin has maintained “its supremacy as the apex predator in digital currency”.

Joining Scaramucci’s bullish outlook is Twitter Inc. and Square Inc. CEO Jack Dorsey. Dorsey tweeted, “Bitcoin changes *everything*… for the better. And we will forever work to make bitcoin better.”

Square’s CFO, Amrita Ahuja had earlier tweeted:

Our bitcoin strategy hasn’t changed. We’re deeply committed to this community, including working towards a greener future through our Bitcoin Clean Energy Initiative. And as we shared in February, we continue to assess our bitcoin investment on an ongoing basis. Nothing new here.

Buy-the-dip forecasts for sold off cryptos

Rather than expecting a longer-term continued slide for Bitcoin, Simon Peters, crypto analyst at multi-asset investment platform eToro, believes bargain hunting crypto investors are likely to return in the next few weeks.

According to Peters:

The sell-off is being driven by a number of factors; valuations were at or near all-time highs… so there will naturally be some profit-taking, while we are also seeing a general sell-off among risk assets – such as technology stocks – as economies start to unlock post the pandemic and investors fret over potential rate rises and higher inflation.

However, for many cryptoassets such as bitcoin and ethereum, the long-term story has not changed. This emerging asset class continues to revolutionise many aspects of financial services, and while nothing goes up in a straight line, the long-term fundamentals for cryptoassets remain as solid as ever.

Taking technical analysis aboard, Peters said, “Importantly, we continue to see higher lows, as well as higher highs, for cryptoassets as more investors enter this asset class, and we do not expect that trend to change.”

In share markets, a trend of higher highs and higher lows is considered a very bullish signal. Those same trends are also closely watched in the world of cryptocurrencies.

As far as the falling Bitcoin price goes, Peters adds, “We would expect to see buyers return to bitcoin, ethereum and peers in the next few weeks to take advantage of lower prices.”

If you are tempted to go bargain hunting among the beaten-down cryptos, bear in mind their historically notorious volatility. If you can stomach that level of price swings, best of luck buying the dip!

More reading

• Bitcoin suffers largest correction since March 2020
• Why I’m loving this ASX bank share at the moment: fundie
• ASX 200 Weekly Wrap: After record high, ASX dips on inflation fears
• Elon Musk cancels Bitcoin! Is it gold’s gain?
• Tesla stops taking Bitcoin payments over fossil fuel concerns

Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and recommends Bitcoin, Square, and Twitter. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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The Nearmap Ltd (ASX: NEA) share price is trading lower on Monday.

In early afternoon trade, the aerial imagery technology and location data company’s shares are down 3% to $1.69.

This means the Nearmap share price is down 18% over the last two weeks.

Why is the Nearmap share price under pressure again today?

Investors have been selling Nearmap’s shares today after it responded to an ASX Query this morning.

Judging by the regulator’s queries, it appears as though it was concerned with the timing of Nearmap’s guidance upgrade and litigation-related trading halt request.

Nearmap announced an increase to its FY 2021 guidance on 4 May following the market close. The next morning the Nearmap share price surged higher in response to it before being hurried into a trading halt just over an hour after trading commenced.

Unfortunately for anyone that invested during that first hour, the Nearmap share price crashed lower after returning from its trading halt.

What did Nearmap say?

The ASX asked Nearmap when it first become aware of the litigation news.

It responded: “At 9.58am AEST on Wednesday 5 May 2021, NEA’s General Counsel reviewed an email delivered at 9.55am AEST on Wednesday 5 May 2021. The email, from lawyers in the United States, attached a 96-page complaint which was filed in the United States District Court (District of Utah, Northern Division). The lawyers in the United States had received the complaint via an alert service to which they had subscribed. This was the first NEA became aware of the Information.”

After which, the company revealed that its Chairman and CEO were notified promptly.

It explained: “After NEA became aware of the Information at 9:58am AEST on 5 May 2021, NEA took steps promptly and without delay to assess whether the Information was required to be disclosed under Listing Rule 3.1. These steps included: 1. notifying the CEO and Chairman promptly and without delay of receipt of the Information; 2. reviewing and considering the Information, being the 96-page complaint raising technical legal matters relating to technical aspects of US law, which was received by NEA without any forewarning; and 3. seeking legal advice from external counsel due to the complexity of the Information.”

“At 11.01am AEST on 5 May 2021, having undertaken the above steps, NEA made an initial assessment and formed a view that the Information could potentially be material to the market price of NEA’s securities but it required more time to conclude that consideration and prepare an announcement. NEA’s CEO and Chairman determined at that time that NEA should request a trading halt to manage its disclosure obligations,” Nearmap concluded.

This explanation appears to have satisfied the ASX team, though it hasn’t been enough to stop its shares from sliding.

Is the Nearmap share price in the buy zone?

According to a note out of Morgan Stanley, its analysts believe the Nearmap share price is great value.

Following the litigation news, the broker retained its overweight rating and $3.20 price target on its shares. This implies almost 90% upside over the next 12 months.

More reading

• Why a2 Milk, Afterpay, Nearmap, & REA Group shares are sinking
• Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today
• Why Crown, Fortescue, Nearmap, & Tyro shares are charging higher
• Why the Nearmap (ASX:NEA) share price is jumping 7% today
• ASX 200 Weekly Wrap: Bank shares push ASX 200 towards all-time high

James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of Nearmap Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Nearmap Ltd. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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Anteotech Ltd (ASX: ADO) shares are shooting upwards today after the company announced it has received an important manufacturing contract. At the time of writing, the Anteotech share price is trading 10% higher at 33 cents. 

Anteotech is an Australian based biotech company that aims to solve global industry problems across a number of segments. In particular, the company operates in the life sciences, diagnostics, energy and medical devices markets.

What’s driving the Anteotech share price?

The Anteotech share price is soaring today after the company released news of an important agreement with Operon. To this point, the biotech has finalised and signed a manufacturing contract for its COVID-19 antigen rapid test (ART), EuGeni, with the Spanish company.

The announcement comes after the successful completion of the technology transfer in March, which also saw the Anteotech share price jump by 15%.

Moreover, under the terms of the agreement, the companies have agreed to an exclusivity period of three years. During the period, Operon has a manufacturing capacity of 8 million complete tests per annum, giving Anteotech the capacity to fulfil the expected demand for EuGeni.

Regulatory compliance

Anteotech is now a legal manufacturer of a medical device which means the company’s quality management system (QMS) needs to be compliant with both domestic and international regulatory authorities. As such, over the next 12 months, Anteotech will submit a range of tests to the TGA, FDA and Europe’s equivalents.

Furthermore, due to the emerging need to enhance its QMS, the company will also bring forward its Eugeni tests by 3 months, while delaying its TGA submission by the same time frame. This will allow findings from the trial to be included in the TGA submission. To this point, the deferral will not hinder the current roll-out and distribution of the ART internationally.

As stated by the company:

In fact, we believe the international markets provide a much stronger opportunity. To date, a high level of enquiries for the ART have been fielded from jurisdictions in which our CE Mark is accepted or where other regulatory approvals or emergency use authorisations are required.

About the Anteotech share price

The Anteotech share price has performed remarkably over the last 12 months. It’s gained an astounding 1,400% as the company saw interest in its products increase during the global pandemic.

The company’s validation-of-saliva samples for its rapid test are currently underway. Pending analysis and results of the saliva samples, Anteotech remains on track to provide an update in June 2021.

More reading

• Why AnteoTech, Domain, Flight Centre, & Nick Scali are sinking today
• The AnteoTech (ASX:ADO) share price is on watch. Here’s why.
• ASX stock of the day: AnteoTech (ASX:ADO) shares top ASX

Motley Fool contributor Daniel Ewing has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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Threats by China’s regulators sent the iron ore price crashing, but can the Asian giant really control commodity prices?

The market doesn’t appear to believe it can. ASX iron ore shares are trading mostly higher along with the S&P/ASX 200 Index (Index:^AXJO) this morning.

But should ASX investors be worried? After all, you only need to see what happened to the A2 Milk Company Ltd (ASX: A2M) share price and Treasury Wine Estates Ltd (ASX: TWE) share price when China gets upset.

ASX mining shares staring down China

This doesn’t appear to faze the Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG) share price. Its shares jumped 1.1% to $23.05 at the time of writing.

The BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) share price and Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO) share price are also defying expectations for a weak opening today.

Blunt instruments to control commodities

This might be because most of the tools that China could use might not have a lasting impact on commodity prices.

Our biggest trading partner wants to derail the record bull run for many commodities as it sees surging prices as a threat to its growth. It doesn’t help that China has a distain for our political leaders as well.

Given this backdrop, it’s still useful to know what the Chinese could do to pour cold water on ASX mining shares.

Tightening liquidity and stimulus

UBS lists a couple of levers that Chinese authorities could pull to control commodities, but each have consequences.

China could tighten liquidity through monetary controls or curb the property market. That will lower demand for commodities, but it will also hurt its growth. Even the analysts at Bloomberg don’t think this outcome is likely.  

Other broad based tactics have unintended consequences

Another option is to encourage an increase in local supply of commodities. But this will conflict with the government’s environmental agenda, noted UBS. Furthermore, China doesn’t have iron ore resources of any significance.

The third option is for the Chinese to introduce a price ceiling. It did that for coal and it’s trying to do that for iron ore by warning steel mills and speculators to behave or else.

But history shows that artificial price caps don’t often work and the outcome from such a gamble is uncertain.

More specific control measures

There are other more specific options that China could pursue. One is to restrict steel exports. That will slow its local steel industry, and in turn, lower demand for iron ore.

“But in our view, China steel prices are being pulled up by record international steel prices (US HRC >$1,500/t) & export premiums,” said UBS.

“With restocking likely to continue to drive strong ROW [rest of world] steel demand near-term, lower China exports could see ROW steel prices lift further.”

Finally, China could sell commodities from its strategic reserves. The threat of extra supply would be enough to dissuade speculators from bidding up the price of iron ore.

However, there is debate on how long the Chinese can hold the gates with such a tactic when the global demand outlook is this positive.

More reading

• Why the Strike Energy (ASX:STX) share price is charging higher
• ASX 200 up 0.45%: Carsales sinks 10%, Aristocrat Leisure jumps
• Why the Chorus (ASX:CNU) share price is moving higher
• Why our most popular ASX mining shares are set to tumble this morning
• ASX 200 Weekly Wrap: After record high, ASX dips on inflation fears

Motley Fool contributor Brendon Lau owns shares of BHP Billiton Limited, Fortescue Metals Group Limited, and Rio Tinto Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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The South32 Ltd (ASX: S32) share price is rising today. At the time of writing, shares in the miner are trading at $2.97 – up 1.37%. By comparison, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is 0.43% higher.

The share price upswing comes after the company completed its divestment from coal mining in South Africa.

Let’s take a closer look at today’s announcement.

What’s affecting the South32 share price?

In a statement to the ASX, South32 says it is transferring its “100% shareholding in South32 SA Coal Holdings Proprietary Limited (South Africa Energy Coal) to Seriti Resources Holdings Proprietary Limited (Seriti) and two trusts for the benefit of employees and communities.” The company expects to complete the transaction by 1 June this year.

South32 says it expects to lose between US$125 million and US$175 million from the sale. Net cash balance for the group will reduce by US$180 million “to reflect the recognition of the vendor support package being provided to Seriti.”

As reported on 1 April, this support package includes a US$50 million loan facility and US$200 million over 10 years to fund rehabilitation works at the site.

Investors seemingly do not mind this incurred loss, judging by today’s South32 share price movement. The company also advised that the loss of sale will be excluded from underlying earnings in its full-year financial report for this year.

While South32 is rushing to exit the South African coal market, it is attempting to ratchet up production domestically. The mining giant is currently appealing a decision by the NSW Independent Planning Commission to reject an extension of its Dendrobium coal mine in the Illawarra.

Management commentary

South32 CEO Graham Kerr said:

When we made the decision to exit South Africa Energy Coal, we recognised the business would continue to play an important role in supplying South Africa’s energy needs for years to come.

With this in mind our vision was two-fold. First, we wanted to ensure that the business would be sustainable for the long-term, for the benefit of its employees, customers and local communities. Of equal importance was our objective for it to become a black-owned and operated business, consistent with South Africa’s transformation agenda. We believe Seriti is the right owner of South Africa Energy Coal and that the additional financial support package we have provided will underpin the future sustainability of the business.

For South32, completion of the divestment is an important milestone that will see us significantly simplify our business, reduce our capital intensity and improve our underlying operating margins. Looking forward, we remain focussed on reshaping our portfolio with a bias to the base metals important for a low carbon future by advancing our development options in North America and continuing to invest in greenfield exploration.

South32 share price snapshot

Over the past 12 months, the South32 share price has increased by around 60%. Only last week, the company hit a 52-week high of $3.09 per share.

South32 has a market capitalisation of approximately $14.1 billion.

More reading

• South32 (ASX:S32) share price rises amid coal mine decision appeal
• Blue chip ASX 200 shares breaking out into 52-week highs
• Brokers rate these ASX 200 shares a buy after quarterly results
• The South32 (ASX:S32) share price is up this morning. Here’s why
• History is on the side of the battered AMP (ASX:AMP) share price as it plans its demerger

Motley Fool contributor Marc Sidarous has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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Shares in BPH Energy Ltd (ASX: BPH) are soaring with news of its subsidiary’s Offshore Sydney Basin gas prospect. At the time of writing, the BPH share price has gained 21.9% as shares in the company trade for 8.9 cents.

BPH’s investee company, Advent Energy Ltd, has reviewed a Geoscience Australia research report that uncovered geophysical gas indications in the basin.

The company, which has several interests including gas and oil exploration, said the basin was the closest potential new gas source to the New South Wales gas market.

BPH also advised on the potential for Advent’s Baleen Well to be used for carbon capture and storage (CCS). Let’s take a closer look at the news announced by BPH today.

Offshore Sydney Basin’s potential 

According to BPH, the Australian government agency Geoscience Australia has found a high likelihood of striking gas in Advent Energy’s Offshore Sydney Basin.

Geoscience claimed the likely presence of gas was evident from a series of pockmarks.

Advent is part of a joint venture in the promising part of the Offshore Sydney Basin, offshore license PEP-11, located off the coast of Newcastle.

The PEP-11 joint venture is between Advent and Bounty Oil & Gas NL (ASX: BUY), with 85% of the license held by Advent and 15% is held by Bounty. 

According to BPH’s release, the development of Australia’s energy resources is critical for Newcastle’s industries, job creation, and power generation.

Further, Advent and Bounty believe a gas discovery in PEP-11 would be in line with the Federal Government’s ambition to find gas supplies to help the region transition to electric power.

Carbon capture and storage

BPH also updated the market on an additional objective of Advent and Bounty’s drilling in the Baleen Well, an area in the PEP-11 licence.

According to the company, the Federal Budget includes incentives for CCS technology.

BPH has previously announced the Baleen Well program could offer CCS for the greater Sydney and Newcastle area.

If successfully implemented, the Baleen Well would be the closest point of CCS to the area, producing approximately one-third of Australia’s carbon emissions.

BPH Energy share price snapshot

The BPH Energy share price is having a ripper year on the ASX so far, with today’s news bringing its latest boost.

Currently, BPH shares have gained 120% since the start of 2021. They’ve also gained 790% over the last 12 months.

The company has a market capitalisation of around $49.5 million, with approximately 664 million shares outstanding.

More reading

• South32 (ASX:S32) share price lifts after coal fire sale
• Why the Strike Energy (ASX:STX) share price is charging higher
• ASX 200 up 0.45%: Carsales sinks 10%, Aristocrat Leisure jumps
• Why the Ardent Leisure (ASX:ALG) share price is climbing 5%
• This is a surefire sign you shouldn’t invest in a stock

Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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The Strike Energy Ltd (ASX: STX) share price is moving higher, up 3% in morning trade.

Below we take a look at the ASX energy share’s latest field results.

What update did Strike Energy provide on its operations?

Strike Energy’s share price is moving higher after the company updated the market on its West Erregulla Appraisal Campaign on behalf of its EP469 Joint Venture.

Strike Energy and Warrego Energy Ltd (ASX: WGO) each hold a 50% joint venture interest in EP469. The gas project is situated in the North Perth Basin in Western Australia.

Reporting on its appraisal well operations, Strike said WE5 has “landed and cemented the surface casing string”. The well is now drilling ahead at a depth of around 2,785 metres measured depth (MD).

Production testing continues at WE4. Strike said the well is in the clean-up phase, reporting it has encountered pressure conditions similar to WE2 on initial flows.

According to the update:

The high reservoir quality seen at WE4 has been confirmed by core results from the laboratory, which show permeability up to 430mD (unconfined) and porosity of up to 19.9% in the Kingia Sandstones.

The company said it will gain additional data from the extended flowing of WE4, helping prepare for potential production operations at its West Erregulla Phase 1 development.

Looking ahead, Shrike plans to continue its WE4 flow test program “until the well is sufficiently cleaned up”. At that stage, expected to take several more days, the company will perform a full production test.

Work also continues apace at WE5, where Strike said it will continue drilling “the 12-1/4” intermediate hole section down to a nominal depth of ~3,750mMD, at which time wireline logs will be acquired.”

Running of the casing and cementing in place is expected to take place at WE5 after that.

Strike Energy share price snapshot

Strike Energy shareholders have enjoyed a banner year, with shares up 125% over the past 12 months. By comparison, the All Ordinaries Index (ASX: XAO) has gained 31% over that same time.

The Strike Energy share price has continued to outperform in 2021, with shares up 40% year-to-date.

More reading

• ASX 200 up 0.45%: Carsales sinks 10%, Aristocrat Leisure jumps
• Why the Chorus (ASX:CNU) share price is moving higher
• ASX 200 Weekly Wrap: After record high, ASX dips on inflation fears
• 5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Monday
• 2 high-quality ASX 200 shares to buy

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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At lunch on Monday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has followed the lead of US markets and is charging higher. The benchmark index is currently up 0.45% to 7,046.6 points.

Here’s what has been happening on the market today:

Carsales shares tumble

The Carsales.Com Ltd (ASX: CAR) share price has returned from its trading halt and is tumbling lower. This morning the auto listings company announced the successful completion of the institutional component of its $600 million pro rata accelerated renounceable entitlement offer with retail rights trading. Carsales raised $428 million at a 12.9% discount of $17.00. It will now seek to raise $172 million from retail shareholders. These funds are being used to acquire a 49% stake in United States-based business Trader Interactive.

Aristocrat Leisure earnings update

The Aristocrat Leisure Limited (ASX: ALL) share price is storming higher today after providing a first half update. For the six months ended 31 March, Aristocrat Leisure expects to report a 12% increase in normalised net profit after tax and before amortisation of acquired intangibles (NPATA) to $412 million. This has been driven by stronger than expected performances from both its Gaming and Digital businesses.

Incitec Pivot result disappoints

The Incitec Pivot Ltd (ASX: IPL) share price is sinking today after releasing a weaker than expected half year result. The industrial chemicals company reported a 6.7% decline in revenue to $1,724.1 million and a 30.8% decline in earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to $110 million. According to a note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts were expecting revenue of $1,825 million and EBIT of $171 million.

Best and worst ASX 200 performers

The best performer on the ASX 200 on Monday has been the De Grey Mining Limited (ASX: DEG) share price with an 8% gain. This reverses a sudden and sharp decline on Friday on no news. The worst performer has been the Carsales share price with a 10% decline following its equity raising.

More reading

• Why the Strike Energy (ASX:STX) share price is charging higher
• Why the Chorus (ASX:CNU) share price is moving higher
• Carsales (ASX:CAR) share price down 7% after raising $428 million
• Incitec Pivot (ASX:IPL) share price sinks 5% on half year update
• Aristocrat Leisure (ASX:ALL) share price jumps 9% on profit update

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended carsales.com Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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The Ardent Leisure Group Ltd (ASX: ALG) share price is on the move today following a trading performance update.

During late morning trade, the entertainment company’s shares are swapping hands for 86.5 cents, up 4.85%. In earlier trade, the Ardent Leisure share price climbed as high as 90 cents before retreating to its current level.

Let’s take a closer look at what the company announced.

Strong revenue momentum

Investors are fighting to get a hold of Ardent Leisure shares after the company revealed robust trading conditions.

According to its release, Ardent Leisure’s recent trading performance for Main Event Entertainment is continuing to recover.

For the first week of May (fiscal week ending 11 May), constant revenue increased by around 8%. The lift was attributed to strong, ongoing walk-in revenue, which partly offset the soft end-of-year school event business. The latter represented roughly 25% of the revenue mix from Ardent Leisure in the prior corresponding period.

Contributing to the strong result, 42 of the 44 centres operated by Ardent Leisure have re-opened. The remaining 2 locations are set to re-open their doors this month and in June, subject to COVID-19 restrictions.

Pleasingly, Main Event has generated positive earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) throughout the second half of FY21. Ardent Leisure highlighted that the outcome is due to its efficient cost management policies within its centres and head office.

Segmented EBITDA (excluding specific items) for March and April recorded US$23.7 million. In comparison, this is 79% higher than the same time period in FY19 (US$13.2 million). However, when including the months of January and February, the variance between the two time periods diminishes. FY21 for the four months ending April, achieved EBITDA of US$29.4 million as opposed to US$26.2 million for FY19.

Ardent Leisure stated that the business has a high EBITDA cash conversation rate. Significant operating cash flows are generated before new centre capital spend and repayment of debt. New centre net capital spend came to US$4.1 million during the current second-half.

Available cash to its United States business stood at US$80.8 million, with outstanding debt totalling US$163.5 million.

About the Ardent Leisure share price

Over the last 12 months, the Ardent Leisure share price has accelerated to post a gain of close to 170%. This is a stark contrast from when the company’s shares nosedived to an all-time low in February last year.

Based on today’s prices, Ardent Leisure presides a market capitalisation of about $426 million, with approximately 479 million shares outstanding.

More reading

• Ardent Leisure (ASX:ALG) share price slides on development plans
• Why the Ardent Leisure (ASX:ALG) share price is surging 7%

Motley Fool contributor Aaron Teboneras has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

Let’s say you stumble across a stock you’ve never heard of before that has generated amazing annual returns of 20% or more year after year. Would you immediately add it to your portfolio? If you’re smart, you’d answer no. What if Warren Buffett recommended it? Your answer should still be no.

The reasoning is simple: If you’ve never heard of the company before, you probably don’t have any idea how it makes its money. You might be thinking, “Big deal. Look at those returns!” But I promise you, it is a big deal, and below, we’ll look at why.

Why you need to know how a company makes its money

When you purchase a stock, you’re investing in a company and betting on its future success. But if you don’t know how it makes its money, you won’t be able to tell when it’s headed for a fall. 

Understanding a company’s business model can help you better predict how its leadership’s decisions and industry trends could affect the company’s stock price. For example, let’s say in a bizarre parallel universe, Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) decides to go back to its old way of doing things, foregoing the streaming service we’ve all come to know and love and instead shipping old-fashioned DVDs to your door. 

As someone who presumably understands how Netflix works and why it’s so successful, you would be able to tell that that move is going to be bad for business and that Netflix’s stock price is probably going to drop. But if you had never heard of Netflix and weren’t able to guess what it does from the company name, you might not realize its leaders have just made a terrible mistake. If you buy its stock just to hop on the bandwagon with everyone else, you could find yourself facing huge losses in this scenario. 

Understanding how a company makes its money can also help you identify when it’s doing well and when it might be time to buy even more of its stock. If Apple releases the iPhone 13 later this year to rave reviews, that could clue you in to the fact that the company is doing a great job at producing products people want — and that could be a good time to invest more in its stock.

How to choose the best stocks for you

Investing only in companies you know well is what Warren Buffett refers to as investing in your “circle of competence.” If you’re new to investing, you may not think that’s very large, but it’s probably bigger than you think. You don’t need to understand every business decision a company has ever made. You just need to have a general idea of how it makes money.

If you’ve ever used Netflix — or even if you’re just familiar with what it does — that falls into your circle of competence. Same goes for the manufacturers of the groceries and household items you buy every day. You probably also know how airlines, auto makers, and retail stores make their money, so they’re potentially good investments for you too.

Your job might also open up more companies you can add to your circle of competence. For example, if you work in the tech industry, you might know about some more obscure tech stocks that an outsider may not be familiar with. These are all good places to start when deciding what you’d like to invest in.

What if I want to invest in a company I don’t understand?

To return to our fictional company stock with the 20% annual returns, let’s say you’re interested in possibly investing in it but you’re not familiar with what the company does. That doesn’t mean you can’t add it to your portfolio. It just means you shouldn’t do so right away. 

You need to do your research first to familiarize yourself with how the company operates, why it’s been so successful to date, and whether its stock has the potential to continue providing these outstanding returns in years to come. 

There’s no magic stat that can tell you whether a company’s worth investing in. There are many factors to consider, including a stock’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, its debt-to-earnings ratio, its management team, and industry trends. As you become a more experienced investor, you’ll learn how all these factors play into one another and how to identify the truly valuable stocks from the ones that aren’t worth the hype. 

This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

More reading

• Nasdaq slump: will ASX tech shares face selling pressure today?
• This ASX tech ETF might be in the buy zone today. Here’s why
• Netflix’s downbeat earnings explained
• Netflix’s pandemic boost is over — but here’s why I’m not worried
• Netflix wins big at the Oscars

Kailey Hagen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and recommends Apple and Netflix and recommends the following options: short March 2023 $130 calls on Apple and long March 2023 $120 calls on Apple. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Apple and Netflix. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

The post This is a surefire sign you shouldn’t invest in a stock appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

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