• Will Fortescue (ASX:FMG) shares really pay a 18% dividend yield in FY21?

    mining dividend shares

    At the current share price, Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG) is projected by some analysts to pay a grossed-up dividend yield of 18% in FY21.

    The large iron mining business just reported its FY21 half-year result which included a dividend of $1.47 per share. That dividend alone amounts to a grossed-up yield of 8.4% from Fortescue. But there are analysts out there that think there could be another big dividend with the annual report in six months.

    But before we get to that, let’s look at what Fortescue just reported.

    Fortescue’s half-year result

    In the six months to 31 December 2020, Fortescue sold 90.2 Mt of iron ore, which was 3% higher than the prior corresponding period. The realised price of that ore jumped 42% to US$114 per dry metric tonne (dmt).

    The higher iron ore price and increased volume sold led to Fortescue’s revenue rising by 44% to US$9.3 billion.

    With the benefit of higher prices and a continued focus on cost management through productivity and innovation, Fortescue was able to increase its underlying earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) margin by six percentage points to 71%. This helped underlying EBTIDA rise by 57% to US$6.6 billion.

    Net profit after tax (NPAT) rose by 66% to US$4.08 billion. Looking at earnings per share (EPS) in Australian dollar terms, it rose by 58% to $1.84.

    Operating cashflow grew by 42% to US$4.4 billion and free cashflow rose 12% to US$2.5 billion.

    Fortescue’s net debt is down to just US$110 million, down from US$258 million at 30 June 2020. The gross debt still stands at US$4.1 billion and the cash balance is US$4 billion.

    Whilst the $1.47 dividend per share declared by the board represented a payout ratio of 80% of net profit, it also said what it’s going to do with the other 20%.

    It has established Fortescue Future Industries (FFI) to identify projects in the renewable energy and green hydrogen sectors. Projects have been identified in both Australia and globally.

    Fortescue said it’s going to leverage its successful track record of identifying, assessing, and developing large-scale resource and infrastructure opportunities. The company said it will bring its demonstrated capability of adopting innovation and technology to ensure future green energy projects will position Fortescue at the forefront of this emerging industry.

    The company will allocate 10% of its net profit to fund renewable energy growth with FFI. The other 10% will fund other resource growth opportunities.

    Is that huge dividend yield possible?

    It depends which projections you look at. Commsec has estimated that Fortescue can generate EPS of $3.61 per share in FY21, and that it will pay an annual dividend per share of $3.10. That would equate to the grossed-up dividend yield of almost 18%.

    Broker Morgans has previously estimated that Fortescue could pay an even bigger dividend, of around $3.31 per share, with EPS of $4.14 for FY21.

    But broker Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) doesn’t think that the Fortescue dividend will be as big as the above estimates, with a projected FY21 dividend per share of $2.04. That’d be a grossed-up dividend yield of 11.7%, which is still materially above 10%.

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  • Did you miss the Rural Funds (ASX:RFF) 94% profit growth in HY21?

    asx rural real estate shares represented by green up trending arrow sitting in a field of green crops

    Rural Funds Group (ASX: RFF) reported its FY21 half-year result yesterday, which included a large increase in its statutory profit.

    What happened with Rural Funds?

    The agricultural real estate investment trust (REIT) announced that its earnings (total comprehensive income) per unit increased by 94% to 17.3 cents.

    Rural Funds also reported that its adjusted net asset value (NAV) per unit – which includes water entitlements at market value – increased by 4% to $2.01.

    The increase in earnings and adjusted net assets are largely driven by the sale of the Mooral almond orchard at a 21% premium to the book value. This money will be used for re-investing in other farms.

    In terms of the adjusted funds from operations (AFFO), it decreased by approximately 7% to 6.6 cents per unit. However, it’s on track to meet its forecast of 11.7 cents per unit. Rural Funds said that AFFO would increase after the completion of its development plans.

    There was an increase of the guarantee associated with the JBS-operated feedlots from $82.5 million to $99.9 million, providing increased revenue.

    No rent relief was required by lessees during the period due to COVID-19.

    Rural Funds disclosed that its gearing ratio was 30.2%, which is at the lower end of its 30% to 35% target.

    It had a weighted average lease expiry (WALE) of 11.1 years at the end of December 2020, which is one of the longest in the Australian listed REIT sector.

    Macadamia plans

    The REIT acquired 22 sugar cane farms for $56.4 million and another three for $18.3 million during the period. These are being leased as cropping properties, with a plan to convert them to macadamia orchards.

    Rural Funds is planning to develop 500 hectares of macadamia orchards in the 2021 calendar year. Some Rural Funds management horticultural staff have relocated to central Queensland to oversee the macadamia developments.

    It also acquired two cattle properties for $13.1 million for near-term development to macadamia orchards.

    The farmland landlord said that it has existing earnings and balance sheet capacity to enable the commencement of the developments while continuing to fund distributions.

    Rural Funds Management said that it is currently in the process of securing lessees to further increase revenue generation.

    Rural Funds distribution guidance

    The FY21 half-year distributions amounting to 5.64 cents per unit is on track with the full-year forecast. The AFFO payout ratio for the six-month period was 85%.

    Rural Funds also announced that the forecast FY22 distribution per unit is 11.73 cents, which is in-line with its annual 4% growth target.

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  • 5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Friday

    ASX share

    On Thursday the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) was on form but gave back the majority of its gains late on to end just a few points higher at 6,885.9 points.

    Will the market be able to build on this on Friday? Here are five things to watch:

    ASX 200 expected to tumble

    The Australian share market looks set to end the week on a disappointing note. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 34 points or 0.5% lower this morning. This follows a poor night on Wall Street, which in late trade sees the Dow Jones down 0.35%, the S&P 500 down 0.45%, and the Nasdaq down 0.7%.

    Cochlear half year update

    The Cochlear Limited (ASX: COH) share price will be one to watch this morning when it releases its half year results. According to CommSec, due to COVID headwinds, the hearing solutions company is expected to report a net profit after tax of $64.3 million. This will be down roughly 50% on the prior corresponding period.

    Oil prices pull back

    Energy producers such as Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT) and Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) could come under pressure after oil prices pulled back. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price is down 1.9% to US$59.96 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price is down 1.5% to US$63.37 a barrel. This appears to have been driven by profit taking by traders after a series of solid gains.

    Gold price flat

    Gold miners Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN) and Resolute Mining Limited (ASX: RSG) will be on watch after a flat night of trade for the gold price. According to CNBC, the spot gold price is flat at US$1,773.60 an ounce. The gold price firmed after US treasury yields eased overnight.

    CSL downgraded

    The CSL Limited (ASX: CSL) share price could come under pressure today after analysts at Goldman Sachs downgraded the biotherapeutics company’s shares. According to the note, the broker has downgraded CSL shares to a neutral rating with a $305.00 price target. Its analysts don’t believe its valuation is reflecting of the ongoing uncertainties it is facing. It added: “With our new forecasts driving (3)-(5)% earnings downgrades from FY22-23, we expect three consecutive years of single-digit earnings growth.”

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    James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of Cochlear Ltd. and CSL Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Cochlear Ltd. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • Bank of Queensland (ASX:BOQ) shares halted ahead of potential $1.3bn ME Bank acquisition

    M&A Letters

    The Bank of Queensland Limited (ASX: BOQ) share price won’t be going anywhere on Friday.

    After the market close on Thursday, the regional bank requested two back to back trading halts for up to four trading days.

    This means the Bank of Queensland share price is likely to be out of action until Thursday 25 February.

    Why is the Bank of Queensland share price in a trading halt?

    Bank of Queensland requested a trading halt this afternoon so that it can consider, plan and execute a proposed equity capital raising.

    According to the request, this equity capital raising comprises an accelerated non-renounceable pro-rata entitlement offer and a placement to institutional investors. It is being undertaken to fund a potential acquisition.

    What is the potential acquisition?

    According to the AFR, Bank of Queensland is on the cusp of acquiring ME Bank for $1.325 billion.

    The report claims that the regional bank was selected for a final round of exclusive talks and is expected to sign a formal sale agreement in the next few days.

    In order to fund the all-cash acquisition, the news outlet understands the bank will look to raise over $1 billion from shareholders. It is expected to pitch the acquisition to shareholders as a major strategic move and earnings accretive purchase.

    Macquarie Capital is understood to be running the auction, with ME Bank’s owners, industry superannuation funds including AustralianSuper and Cbus, keen to sell the Melbourne-based bank.

    The report also claims that fellow banks Australia and New Zealand Banking GrpLtd (ASX: ANZ) and Bendigo and Adelaide Bank Ltd (ASX: BEN) were previously in the running to acquire ME Bank before being pipped at the post by Bank of Queensland.

    With the Bank of Queensland share price generating a total return of just 1.4% per annum over the last five years, shareholders will no doubt be hoping that this acquisition leads to better returns over the next five years.

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  • ASX 200 mixed, CSL reports 44% profit growth, TWE soars

    ASX 200

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) was almost flat today, rising slightly to 6,886 points.

    It was another day of reports as plenty of ASX 200 businesses gave investors insights into how they have performed over the last six or twelve months.

    Here are some of the highlights from the ASX today:

    CSL Limited (ASX: CSL)

    The CSL share price climbed almost 3% today in reaction to its FY21 half-year result.

    Australia’s largest healthcare business reported a 44% increase in net profit after tax to US$1.81 billion in constant currency terms.

    CSL said that this was driven by a number of different factors. One reason was the solid growth in its core immunoglobulin portfolio.

    The transition to its own distribution model in China has been a success, according to CSL. Albumin sales grew by 93%, largely reflecting this distribution model change which is expected to help improve the participation in the value chain and strengthen sales, marketing and the distribution network.

    The ASX 200 company also said that its vaccine division, Seqirus, delivered an exceptionally strong performance with total revenue growth of 38% and seasonal flu vaccine sales up 44%.

    CSL said that it’s expecting FY21 net profit after tax to be in the range of US$2.17 billion to US$2.265 billion – up as much as 8%.

    The board of CSL declared a dividend of US$1.04 per share, up 9%. However, this represents a reduction in Australian dollar terms by 9% to approximately AU$1.34 per share.

    Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG)

    Fortescue was another ASX 200 company to report its FY21 half-year result today.

    It delivered 66% growth of net profit to just under US$4.1 billion, driven by a 44% increase of revenue to US$9.3 billion. This was thanks to continuing strong iron ore demand from China, keeping the commodity price high.

    Fortescue’s free cashflow increased by 12% to US$2.5 billion, whilst net debt fell by 57% to US$110 million.

    The large iron ore miner decided to increased its interim dividend by 93% to A$1.47 per share, representing an 80% dividend payout ratio.

    The retained 20% will be used for two purposes. Half of it will be used to fund other resource growth opportunities. The other half will be for investing in renewable energy growth through its Fortescue Future Industries division to invest in things like green hydrogen projects.

    The Fortescue share price rose around 2% in response.

    Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES)

    Fresh from announcing its lithium expansion plans, Wesfarmers announced its FY21 half-year result today. The ASX 200 share said that its continuing revenue rose 16.6% to $17.8 billion with a strong performance from Bunnings, Officeworks and Kmart.

    Underlying earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) of the entire continuing business rose by 25.2% to $2.2 billion. Bunnings EBIT grew 35.8% to $1.27 billion and Kmart Group EBIT shot higher by 42% to $487 million.

    Underlying net profit for the ASX 200 business grew by 25.5% and operating cashflow went up 4% to $2.2 billion.

    Thanks to the level of growth from its retail businesses, the Wesfarmers board decided to grow the interim dividend by 17.3% to 88 cents per share.

    Other strong movers in the ASX 200

    There were two major movers in the ASX.

    On the positive side, the Treasury Wine Estates Ltd (ASX: TWE) share price went up more than 17% today after reporting its result yesterday.

    However, on the negative side, the NRW Holdings Limited (ASX: NWH) share price fell by 17% after reporting a fall in profit.

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    Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of CSL Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Treasury Wine Estates Limited. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of Wesfarmers Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • Why the Cirralto (ASX:CRO) share price is in a trading halt

    A red stop sign, indicating an ASX share or company is in a trading halt

    You might have noticed the Cirralto Ltd (ASX: CRO) share price didn’t budge today, and that’s because the payments provider requested a trading halt.

    So, what is the trading halt for? For a change, it’s not about an ASX price query.

    More money, please

    Cirralto requested the trading halt in relation to a proposed capital raising. This comes after the last few days of mind-blowing trading volume.

    As reported yesterday, Tuesday and Wednesday’s trading volume was 352.5 million shares and 283.4 million shares respectively. For comparison, last Thursday and Friday only experienced 13.7 million and 17.5 million shares of volume.

    It would be no surprise that the company would seek to take advantage of the elevated Cirralto share price interest. However, this capital raise comes less than 3 months after the company’s last capital raise.

    As we noted on Tuesday, Cirralto’s low cash flows from operating activities require it to rely on other forms of financing. In November last year, this took the form of a $2.8 million placement.

    As reported in the company’s latest quarterly, Cirralto had a $1.029 million net outflow, excluding the capital raise.

    Riding the buy now, pay later wave

    Over this week, many small-cap shares have experienced monstrous price rises. Speculation over the buy now, pay later (BNPL) sector continues to rage, as the instalment payment system thrives globally.

    Recent beneficiaries have included the following:

    • IOUpay Ltd(ASX: IOU) – a recent BNPL entrant to Malaysia, up 257% in the last month.
    • Fatfish Group Ltd (ASX: FFG) – a tech investment firm that holds a stake in a recent Singaporean-based BNPL entrant, up 326% in the last month.
    • Zip Co Ltd (ASX: Z1P) – Afterpay competitor with global operations, up 104% in the last month.

    Cirralto is playing catch-up, with its share price rising 60% in the last month.

    When will the Cirralto share price trade?

    Cirralto stipulates shares be halted in the trading halt request until either Monday 22 February or once the announcement is released to the market – whichever comes first.

    For the time being, shareholders will have to sit tight for the capital raise details.

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    Mitchell Lawler has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of ZIPCOLTD FPO. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • Why did the Event (ASX:EVT) share price finish higher today?

    young woman sitting cross legged with large tub of popcorn and surprised facial expression

    The Event Hospitality and Entertainment Ltd (ASX: EVT) share price finished higher today following the release of the company’s half-year results.

    At the close of trading, the Event share price had bumped up 4.57% to reach $10.53. Here are some highlights from the report.

    Event share price battles through COVID-19

    In today’s release, the cinema and entertainment company repeatedly noted industry constraints during the first half of FY21 brought on by the coronavirus pandemic.

    Group revenue was down 58% at $294 million for the period ending 31 December 2020. This compared to $466 million in group revenue for the same period in FY20.

    Event attributed the drop on the impacts of COVID-19, adding that this made comparisons to the prior comparative period (pcp) data “less useful”.

    The group advised it deployed strategies to reduce its normalised earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) loss for the half. The result saw it stem EDITDA losses from around $20 million per month at the height of COVID lockdowns in March to June 2020, to an average of $5 million per month. This represents a 73% improvement.

    CEO weighs in on navigating a pandemic

    Commenting on the result and business environment, Event CEO Jane Hastings said: 

    The result was defined by the impact of COVID-19 government mandated restrictions materially impacting our ability to generate revenue. In response, within every division, we have transformed every aspect of our business to be able to respond to the pandemic constraints.

    We secured more than our fair share of scarce revenue opportunities whilst transforming and mitigating cash-burn. Swift and active cost management resulted in more than $155 million in savings from March to December 2020, excluding government subsidies, and excluding the benefit of most of the rent relief negotiated with landlords which will be recognised once agreements have been signed.

    We have already seen the pent-up demand for our businesses, which was reflected in the outstanding result in Thredbo despite capacity restrictions of up to 50%, strong leisure demand in hotels, and cinemas achieving an EBITDA positive result in January despite the Australian nationwide box office being down 50%.

    Event Hospitality share price snapshot

    Over the past year, the Event share price has lost 15.42%, but its shares are trading 6.11% higher year-to-date.

    Event Hospitality has a market capitalisation of $1.6 billion with 161.2 million shares outstanding.

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  • What happened to the SportsHero (ASX:SHO) share price today?

    3 men at bar betting on sports online 16.9

    The SportsHero Ltd (ASX: SHO) share price fell heavily today despite announcing a positive update in regards to the company’s latest performance. At the closing bell, SportsHero shares finished the day down 14.2% to 5.4 cents.

    Let’s take a closer look at why its shares fell today and what was released.

    What’s driving the SportsHero share price down?

    While the SportsHero share price fell 14% today, a major catalyst for this was that investors were selling their shares for a profit. Just yesterday, the company’s shares skyrocketed from 3.9 cents at market open to close at 6.3 cents. This represents a gain of around 61% in just 6 hours of trade.

    Although the company’s shares fell today, not all was bad. According to its release, SportsHero advised it has reached a significant milestone in achieving 3,043,955 new unique users from its OlahBola app.

    Launched on 7 July 2020, the OlahBola app is an Indonesian locally branded and localised international football app. The platform allows fans to watch and follow football such as the English Premier League and Spain’s La Liga.

    SportsHero noted that the sharp increase in users is due to its attractive offering which has been increasing in awareness. Since the company’s last report in February, 342,483 new users have been added to its customer base. This has led SportsHero to grow its sales pipeline.

    It estimates that the total addressable market is around 100 million users, giving plenty of room to grow in future.

    Quick take 

    Established in 2016, SportsHero is a gamified social sports prediction platform where users can predict, interact, and compete on all major sports. The social competition platform ranks fans in which top performers received prize giveaways such as merchandise, event tickets, and in-app virtual currency.

    CEO commentary

    SportsHero CEO, Tom Lapping, touched on the company’s performance. He said:

    The total Indonesian addressable market is around 100 million. We have now surpassed 3 million new unique users, well ahead of schedule and growing at a compound rate of 31% month on month.

    The SportsHero share price has gained more than 125% since this time last year.

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  • Why did the BPH Energy (ASX:BPH) share price tank 24% today?

    shares lower

    The BPH Energy Ltd (ASX: BPH) share price continues to do its dance of speculation. Up and down, the volatility persists, as it has since late January. The culprit appears to be the contest over whether a drilling program will go ahead.

    Shares closed the day at 16.5 cents, down 24%.

    Why is the BPH Energy share price falling?

    The story so far

    On 1 February BPH Energy announced its proposal to use the Sydney Basin drilling program to investigate the potential for a carbon capture and storage (CCS) project. The company proceeded to conduct a capital raise to fund the proposed project.

    However, the party was crashed when NSW Deputy Premier John Barilaro stated he would refuse applications to extend the PEP11 oil project. This put BPH in a precarious position after already raising capital. The issue is PEP11 encompasses the area where BPH would deploy its CCS project.

    BPH Energy clarified to shareholders that the project was subject to both state and federal government approval. Additionally, in the situation where federal and state levels are not in agreeance, the federal decision wins out.

    Due to the erratic price and volume movements, BPH Energy received an ASX Price/Volume Query yesterday. Today’s announcement addresses the queries made by the ASX.

    Price query response

    The company outlined its recent updates to the market that may have had an influence on the share price. Furthermore, the company noted there have been several media statements by the Joint Authority members, which includes the Federal Government Minister for Resources and the respective NSW Minister.

    BPH Energy highlighted comments made by the Federal Minister Senator Hon. Keith Pitt MP on 12 February 2021, who stated that “A decision on Petroleum Exploration Permit 11 off the New South Wales coast” would not be delivered on that day and also indicated his “preference for the decision on the permit extension to be made soon.”

    In addition, Senator Pitt noted that detailed consideration would be given to the approval. This comment suggests there is potential the project may still be turned down. 

    The BPH Energy share price dropped by as much as 30% in intraday trade in response and closed the day down 24% at 16.5 cents.

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  • Here’s why the Resonance Health (ASX:RHT) share price rocketed

    increase in asx medical software share price represented by doctor making excited hands up gesture

    The Resonance Health Ltd (ASX: RHT) share price rocketed more than 16% today before closing 5% higher.

    The booming share price moves come after the company emerged from a trading halt late this morning. This follows the release of an announcement on its medical device.

    What did Resonance Health report to send its shares higher?

    In a late morning ASX release, Resonance Health announced that it has received Australian Therapeutic Goods Administration (TGA) approval for its HepaFat-AI device. The device provides fully automated artificial intelligence software to assesses liver fat.

    With the TGA approval, Resonance Health can now supply its device across Australia. The company had already received clearance from the United States Food & Drug Administration (FDA) in early December.

    HepaFat-AI automatically analyses magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) data. Subsequently, this data assesses liver fat in patients to give physicians a new tool in assessing patients with confirmed or suspected fatty liver disease.

    According to Resonance Health, doctors can use the device to monitor patients for a number of issues. This will include patients in weight loss programs and screening the livers of live donors for transplant suitability. Additionally, the device will monitor patients who have or are believed to have non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) or the more serious subtype, non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH).

    Resonance Health reports that “NAFLD affects up to 2.3 billion people, a figure expected to grow year-on-year. Of these, about 470 million people (or 20%) will develop NASH”. NASH can lead to serious health consequences, including liver failure.

    The company plans to market the device to radiologists and physicians involved in the routine clinical diagnosis and management of patients with confirmed or suspected fatty liver disease. However, it also sees a market with pharmaceutical companies engaged in NASH drug development.

    Resonance Health says its work in machine learning to develop assistance tools for the medical sector is continuing.

    Share price snapshot

    Over the past 12 months, Resonance Health shares are up 2.5%. That compares to a 1% loss on the All Ordinaries Index (ASX: XAO).

    Year-to-date, the Resonance Health share price is down 10.8%.

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    Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of Resonance Health Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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