• 2 ASX dividend shares rated as strong buys by brokers

    Investing for passive income represented by excited man surrounded by flying money notes

    There are some ASX dividend shares that a number of brokers like and have rated as ‘buys’

    It can be quite hard to find good businesses that are trading at a good price. One investor might say that BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) is a good buy, whilst another might say that Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) is the share to buy.

    Brokers are constantly looking at businesses and share prices, thinking about what would be a good investment. There are various brokers out there like Bell Potter, Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) and UBS that provide different recommendations about shares.  

    With that in mind, these ASX dividend shares are liked by more than one broker. Of course, this still isn’t a guarantee of success – they could all be herding together.

    Bapcor Ltd (ASX: BAP)

    Bapcor is an auto parts ASX share that is liked by at least six brokers at the moment.

    At the current Bapcor share price, it has a trailing grossed-up dividend yield of 3.3%.

    The company recently updated the market to say that performance is going better than previously expected. It said that its businesses, such as Burson and Autobarn, have continued to perform strongly since the previous update.

    For the five months to the end of November revenue was up 26%. Net profit after tax (NPAT) is benefiting from lower expenses in areas such as travel and other areas of discretionary expenditure.

    For the first half of FY21, Bapcor anticipates it will achieve revenue growth of at least 25% compared to the first half of FY20. Net profit is expected to increase by at least 50%. This growth may help the Bapcor dividend rise in FY21.  

    The ASX dividend share said that initiatives that have helped the business include a recently-launched new Autobarn store format that is delivering a significant uplift in sales. It has also done things like improved its online capabilities, revitalised its catalogues, expanded product ranges and added to its product ranges, whilst growing its footprint expansion.

    The company said that the construction of the new Victorian distribution centre is progressing well with the building expected to be handed over in February 2021, with the automated picking system operational in the following six months. Management expect this will lead to significant operational benefits.

    Charter Hall Long WALE REIT (ASX: CLW)

    Charter Hall Long WALE REIT is a way for investors to invest in commercial property across Australia. It’s liked by at least three brokers at the moment. 

    It has a diversified property portfolio with various tenants including telecommunications, government, grocery and distribution, convenience retail (service stations), pubs and bottle shops, food manufacturing, waste and recycling, and ‘other’ such as Bunnings.

    The REIT has plenty of listed businesses as tenants including Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLS), BP, Woolworths, Inghams Group Ltd (ASX: ING), Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL), Metcash Limited (ASX: MTS), Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) and Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES).

    This ASX dividend share has one of the longest weighted average lease expiry (WALE) statistics in the REIT industry of 14.2 years.

    Its occupancy rate is currently above 97% and the REIT is steadily making more high-quality acquisitions, such as the recent BP portfolio purchase.

    Charter Hall Long WALE REIT recently reaffirmed guidance that FY21 operating earnings per share (EPS) will be at least 29.1 cents per share, which reflects a forward distribution yield of 6.3% assuming a distribution payout ratio of 100%.

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    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Bapcor, Macquarie Group Limited, and Telstra Limited. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of COLESGROUP DEF SET, Wesfarmers Limited, and Woolworths Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • 5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Tuesday

    On Monday the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) bounced back from a heavy early decline to record a strong gain. The benchmark index rose 0.85% to 6,663 points.

    Will the market be able to build on this on Tuesday? Here are five things to watch:

    ASX 200 poised to rise.

    The ASX 200 looks set to continue its recovery on Tuesday. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 34 points or 0.5% higher this morning. This follows a positive start to the week on Wall Street, which in late trade sees the Dow Jones up 0.85%, the S&P 500 1.7% higher, and the Nasdaq up a sizeable 2.6%.

    Credit Corp kicks off earnings season

    Earnings season kicks off this morning with the release of the Credit Corp Group Limited (ASX: CCP) half year result. According to a note out of Morgans, the debt collection company is expected to deliver a strong result. Its analysts expect cash collections to be up 10% on the prior corresponding period and half year net profit to be up 2.5%. Though, the broker sees upside risk to its profit estimates.

    Oil prices storm higher

    It looks set to be a good day for energy producers such as Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT) and Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) on Tuesday after a strong night for oil prices. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price is up 2.3% to US$53.41 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price has risen 2.3% to US$56.29 a barrel. Oil prices pushed higher after inventories declined and demand picked up.

    Gold price rises

    Gold miners such as Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN) and Saracen Mineral Holdings Limited (ASX: SAR) could have a good day after the gold price pushed higher. According to CNBC, the spot gold price is up 0.65% to US$1,859.40 an ounce. Also of note, the silver price jumped 9% overnight as Reddit traders try to squeeze the precious metal.

    Reserve Bank meeting

    This afternoon the Reserve Bank of Australia will be holding its first meeting of 2021 and will discuss the cash rate. According to the latest cash rate futures, the market is pricing in a 75% probability of a cut to zero. This would be more bad news for income investors, who will potentially have to contend with even lower rate interest rates on savings accounts and term deposits.

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  • The moral of the GameStop story?

    young woman sitting cross legged with large tub of popcorn and surprised facial expression

    “Here’s the story, of a man named Brady…”

    “Come and listen to my story about a man named Jed…”

    “It’s a love story, baby, just say, ‘Yes’”

    For our younger readers, the first two, of course, are lines from well-known (if a little dated) TV sitcoms, The Brady Bunch and The Beverly Hillbillies.

    The last one is from Taylor Swift’s song ‘Love Story’… but you knew that.

    More than just leaving you with an earworm (or three) you’ll be stuck with all afternoon, I wanted to highlight the one thing these three lines have in common — the concept of a ‘story’.

    I’ll let you judge my taste in music and television shows for yourself, but one thing each highlight (Tay Tay’s song takes its inspiration from perhaps the best known love story of them all, Romeo & Juliet), is our human attraction to stories.

    We can’t get enough of them.

    They’re behind the success of generations of books and television shows, most recently the spate of reality TV offerings.

    Humans are unavoidably sucked into stories. We relate to the characters. We love them, hate them, and want to be them.

    We cheer for our favourites, and we boo the villains.

    We want to know what happens next.

    We don’t choose to be sucked in by a story… we just are.

    I’m not the only one who’s been sucked into the ‘What do they look like now’ ads on some websites. (right?)

    The ‘cliffhanger’ season ending is as overused as it is devilishly effective.

    We love the tension.

    The intrigue.

    The drama.

    We watch the winners and losers, vicariously riding the waves with them.

    I’ll leave the sociologists to further break down the whats and whys of our love of a story, but I want to highlight a recent one… and why it could cost you a small fortune.

    See, you’ve almost certainly heard about GameStop.

    I’ve written about it recently, and tweeted about it a few times in the past week.

    I’ve been asked about it on AM and FM radio and on TV.

    It is, right now, all anyone wants to talk about.

    And fair enough.

    As a story, it has everything.

    Rags to riches.

    Riches to rags.

    David vs. Goliath.

    Mystery and intrigue.

    And, yes, an AFR story quoting a reddit user who goes by the handle buttmunch.

    (Don’t blame me: I don’t make this stuff up… I just report it!)

    And I can understand why it has captured the attention of the financial world (and much of the rest of the world, besides).

    You know what? That’s okay, as far as it goes.

    I mean, I’m no fan of The Kardashians, either, but I get that some people enjoy it.

    The problems start, though, when stories like these crowd out the bigger picture.

    Yes, to invoke yet another story, it’s important that we don’t let GameStop’s hare outshine Aesop’s metaphorical tortoise.

    As I tweeted earlier today:

    “Remember the company that was the GameStop of 2004?

    “Me either.

    “But the All Ords is up 320% since, then (including dividends).

    “Careful what you focus on…”

    Or take the Enron collapse of 2001.

    Since then, the All Ords is up 360%. (The S&P 500 is up slightly more — but not much).

    The point?

    While ‘the story’ got the headlines, the tortoise just kept on doing her thing, putting one foot in front of the other.

    Which, of course, is the more important story.

    The more valuable story.

    The more notable story.

    But it’s rarely the one that gets told.

    So, by all means, enjoy the GameStop drama, if that’s your thing.

    But don’t confuse the excitement with actual investing (or actual progress).

    Don’t confuse an exciting (often conspiratorial) storyline with what actually matters.

    I don’t know where GameStop (or the reddit mob, or the short sellers) go from here.

    Truthfully, I don’t much care, either.

    My investing has zero to do with shorting. Or options of any kind.

    I have no interest in where an individual stock, or the market at large, goes tomorrow, this month or this year.

    My investment horizon is measured in decades. So should yours, even if you’re retired.

    So sure, grab the popcorn.

    Enjoy the show.

    But when the lights come back on, and the ushers start cleaning the cinema, don’t forget to go back home and back to what actually works:

    Methodical saving, regular investing. And patience.

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  • Here’s why the Perenti (ASX:PRN) share price lifted today

    asx shares in infrastructure primred for take off represented by builder preparing to run

    The Perenti Global Ltd (ASX: PRN) share price climbed today on news the company has secured a major underground mining contract extension.

    From a negative start in early trading, the Perenti share price shot up to an intraday high of $1.35 after the company announced the deal this afternoon. However, at the closing bell, its shares had slightly dipped to $1.34, up 3%.

    What did Perenti announce?

    The engineering company advised that its subsidiary, hard-rock underground miner Barminco, has been awarded a contract extension worth more than $200 million.

    The agreement will see Barminco continue operations at Gold Field’s Agnew Gold mine in Leinster, Western Australia. The company has performed underground mining operations at the site for more than 10 years.

    Under the terms, and in light of increased development and production at Agnew, Barminco will provide full underground mining services. These include mine development, production, diamond drilling, vertical development, design planning and scheduling, and equipment supply and maintenance.

    The contract is valued at more than $200 million depending on works completed.

    Management commentary

    Perenti managing director and CEO Mark Norwell hailed the extended partnership agreement, saying:

    Part of our 2025 group strategy is to organically grow this part of our business. The recent achievements of Barminco in this regard are a result of the strong relationships we share with our clients and the value we create for them through our world class underground mining capabilities.

    Perenti Mining CEO Paul Muller added:

    We have been providing safe and efficient underground mining services at Agnew for more than 10 years and we are very pleased to be supporting Gold Fields with their increased development and production requirements. This extension will take our current term out to December 2023.

    How has the Perenti share price performed?

    The Perenti share price is down almost 7% over the past 12 months. The company’s shares took a dive in the COVID-led market freefall in March last year, falling to a 52-week low of 45 cents. From there, its shares reached a 52-week high of $1.60 in June.

    Perenti commands a market capitalisation of $943 million at today’s share price.

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    Motley Fool contributor Aaron Teboneras has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • Why has the 4DS Memory (ASX:4DS) share price crashed 12% lower?

    Two men react in shock at IGO share price drop

    The 4DS Memory Ltd (ASX: 4DS) share price has crashed lower for the second consecutive day, trading down 12.24% this afternoon to close at 21.5 cents. It’s a sharp come-down for the 4DS Memory share price, which touched its 52-week high of 28 cents just last week.

    And it comes despite the semi-conductor manufacturer releasing positive results today on its progess in developing its memory technology.

    Why is the 4DS Memory share price falling?

    In today’s release, the company announced results from its second non-platform lot of testing. This was done as a follow up to ensure the validity of the initial test performed in June last year. At the time, the company said it had measured “the highest speed and endurance in the additional wafers lot” that it had ever recorded. A wafer is a thin slice of semi-conductor which is used for the fabrication of integrated circuits.

    As such, 4DS Memory said today it has been able to repeat the results for each of the key memory characteristics (speed, endurance and retention) that were achieved with the first non-platform lot. Moreover, 19 of the 21 device wafers were functional, which is the highest number the company has achieved. 

    Next stage for 4DS Memory

    4DS Memory advised that it had incorporated the learnings from the second non-platform lot test into the process split conditions for the second platform lot of 300mm wafers. This second lot has been manufactured using a memory platform created by its digital tech partner, imec, and contains dense memory arrays which will give the conductors more computing power.

    4DS Memory started producing the wafers last week and expects to analyse them in the second quarter of 2021.

    The company hopes the analysis will help pave the way for it to pursue its strategic objective of fabricating wafers with chips that operate as fully functional megabit memories.

    If successful, this may bring 4DS Memory closer to its 2021 objectives to achieve a potential corporate transaction.

    Management comments

    4DS Memory managing director Dr Guido Arnout welcomed the results, saying:

    We are pleased that the success of the second non-platform lot has meant that we were able to immediately commence fabrication of the second platform lot. We are grateful to our partner, imec, for scheduling a slot in its state of the art fab in such a timely manner, particularly given the high demand for access to fab equipment in the current semiconductor market environment.

    Until today’s market fall, the 4DS Memory share price had performed well since the start of the year, gaining 57% in January alone.

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  • GameStop chaos: Love always wins over shorting

    Frazis Capital Partners portfolio manager Michael Frazi

    Amid the chaos the GameStop Corp (NYSE: GME) saga has brought upon the investing world, some people have asked: Does shorting even work?

    After all, don’t share markets head up in more years than they head down? In the medium to long term, doesn’t the market drift upwards?

    Shorting might be a way to make a quick buck off a declining business – but it’s mostly a losing strategy against other companies, said Frazis Capital Partners portfolio manager Michael Frazis.

    “We’ve noted before that when bearish investment professionals heavily short a widely loved company, the love tends to win out,” he wrote in a memo to investors Monday.

    “This has happened time and again across our portfolio with Tesla Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA), Afterpay Ltd (ASX: APT) and Carvana Co (NYSE: CVNA) et al.”

    The GameStop short squeeze has ruined the reputation of funds that short, according to Frazis.

    “Long/short funds may never be the same. Certainly, institutions should think twice about allocating pension money to long/short funds that did not perform in the crisis of 2020; and can toast billions of dollars in days with a single misjudged trade,” he said.

    “It’s a familiar irony that long/short strategies sound like sensible risk-managed approaches, but so often prove the opposite.”

    And he should know. Frazis used to short.

    Why Frazis gave up shorting

    The Motley Fool asked Frazis why he and his fund stopped shorting a couple of years ago.

    There was a moral reason.

    “Shorting changes your mindset. It brings out your cynicism. You do well when others do not,” he told The Motley Fool.

    “Every company has a team of people working hard to make it a success. It’s infinitely more rewarding to spend your days being positive and supportive of other people.”

    But above all, according to the Sydney fund manager, it’s not a winning strategy.

    “It costs a fortune to run a short book. Shorts can cost 2% to 4% to hold a year, and sometimes a lot more,” he said.

    “We plan to be in business for 30 years, so that adds up to a staggering amount. The real money in life is made by owning successful businesses for extended periods of time.”

    No winners in GameStop debacle

    GameStop, believe it or not, became a now-famous target for activist investors because more than 100% of its shares were shorted.

    That means there could’ve been some “naked” shorting going on, which is a short investor selling a share that they hadn’t actually borrowed. 

    This is illegal in both the US and on the ASX.

    While no one (except for the fund clients) is going to shed any tears for hedge funds that lost money, Frazis warned ultimately no one will win out of this episode.

    “It’s important to remember that all short squeezes end in the same way: a collapse in price. Once the forced buyer folds at the top, there is no reason for anyone else to buy,” he said to investors.

    “Having said that, this may not be over. The memes and use of language over the past week has been second to none.”

    What it has done is to shed light on some new “heroes” in the investment world.

    “There are 7 million people on [Reddit group] r/wallstreetbets. If they have US$5k each, that’s US$35 billion of dry powder. That’s more than enough to push around a heavily shorted stock.”

    GameStop shares pushed up another 68% on Saturday morning Australian time, to hit US$325. It was US$17.25 a month ago.

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  • ASX 200 rises, Worley dumped, Mesoblast rises

    ASX 200

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) went up by 0.8% today to 6,663 points.

    Here are some of the highlights from the ASX:

    Worley Ltd (ASX: WOR)

    The Worley share price was the worst performer in the ASX 200 today, dropping by more than 10%.

    The company gave a business update today, providing guidance for its upcoming FY21 half-year result. It said that it has been impacted by COVID-19 related economic circumstances and foreign exchange translation impacts.

    Aggregated revenue is expected to be in the range of $4.4 billion to $4.5 billion. The projected underlying earnings before interest, tax and amortisation (EBITA) is for a range of between $200 million to $210 million.

    FY21 half-year statutory operating cashflow is expected to be in the range of $250 million to $255 million. The company is expecting to show a reduction in net debt to approximately $1.2 billion excluding lease liabilities, which it said would be the lowest level of net debt since the ECR acquisition.

    Worley explained that the global acceleration of COVID-19 infections over the past few months has hurt demand in the markets that it operates. The company is seeing ongoing project deferrals but negligible project cancellations. Management expect those deferred projects to return as global economic conditions improve.

    Chris Ashton, Worley CEO, said: “We’re still winning new work and we’re actively engaged in supporting our customers on their sustainability journey. Cash continues to flow from our customers on previously agreed terms and we’ve improved our liquidity position. We have a new and more efficient way of working, continue to manage headcount and have ongoing overhead cost savings in place. The actions we’ve taken to manage what’s in our control and our pivot to sustainability have provided us with a strong platform to grow the business as COVID-19 related economic circumstances improve and deferred projects restart.”

    Crown Resort Ltd (ASX: CWN)

    The Crown share price ended lower by 0.1% after explaining to the market what the Perth lockdowns meant for the casino operations.

    Crown said that after a statement issued by the WA government about the 5-day lockdown of the Perth metro area, with effect from the evening of Sunday, 31 January 2021 until the evening of Friday, 5 February 2021, it has ceased operations of its gaming activities as well as food, beverage, banqueting and conference facilities other than for the provision of takeaway meals or meal delivery services. Hotel accommodation will continue to be provided in a reduced capacity.

    Big market movers

    Aside from Worley, there were some pretty sizeable movers in the market at either end of the ASX 200.

    At the green end of the ASX 200, the Blackmores Limited (ASX: BKL) share price went up by 6%, the Mesoblast Limited (ASX: MSB) share price climbed 5.9%, the Elders Ltd (ASX: ELD) share price went up 4.9% and the Zip Co Ltd (ASX: Z1P) share price rose 4.8%.

    At the red end of the ASX 200, aside from Worley, the Service Stream Limited (ASX: SSM) share price dropped another 4.7%, the Janus Henderson Group (ASX: JHG) share price fell 3.6% and the Megaport Ltd (ASX: MP1) share price fell 3.6%.

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    Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and recommends MEGAPORT FPO. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of ZIPCOLTD FPO. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Blackmores Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Crown Resorts Limited, Elders Limited, MEGAPORT FPO, and Service Stream Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • Good Drinks (ASX:GDA) share price dips despite major contract extension

    Beer, cheers, pub, drink

    The Good Drinks Australia Ltd (ASX: GDA) share price edged lower today following the company announcing a contract renewal. At close of trade today, the Good Drinks share price dipped 1.2% to 8 cents.

    Based in Australia, Good Drinks is focused on the brewing, packaging, marketing and selling of beer, cider and other beverages.

    What did Good Drinks announce?

    According to its release, Good Drinks advised that it has secured a long-term contract extension to Optus Stadium. The operating company behind the venue, VenuesLive awarded Good Drinks a further 5-year term commencing 1 January 2023.

    The agreement will see the company continue to provide its exclusive beer and cider to sports and entertainment attendees. The world-class stadium located in Perth, Western Australia, houses over 60,000 seats and is considered a major landmark.

    Good Drinks highlighted that the stadium is the first in Australia to offer consumers different beer styles. The company’s product range consists of Gage Roads, Atomic, Matso’s, Alby, Hello Sunshine and San Miguel, which is sold across outlets within Optus Stadium.

    Good Drinks also advised it will deliver volume rebates and sponsorship fees to VenuesLive in return.

    What did management say?

    Good Drinks managing director Mr John Hoedemaker commented on the extended partnership being another milestone reached for the company. He said:

    Good Drinks is extremely proud to be awarded this contract extension. It’s a ringing endorsement for the strength and quality of our brands and the success of our strong partnership with VenuesLive.

    The partnership will continue to present an exciting and rare opportunity to achieve significant exposure for the Company’s brands and reinforces the ’brand in hand’ experience that we promote as part of our Good Drinks strategy.

    About the Good Drinks share price

    The Good Drinks share price is relatively flat when looking at its historical 12-month chart, up marginally 2.5%.

    The company’s shares hit a 52-week low of 3.5 cents in March due to the unforeseen COVID-19 environment. However, a quick rebound ensued with its shares surging during the following months.

    Last Friday, the Good Drinks share price reached an all-time high of 8.3 cents, before some profit taking took hold. At the closing bell today, its shares were swapping hands for 8 cents apiece.

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    Motley Fool contributor Aaron Teboneras has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • Why the Andromeda (ASX:ADN) share price is in the news today

    asx share price fall represented by lady in striped tshirt making sad face against orange background

    Andromeda Metals Ltd (ASX: ADN) is in the news today, thanks to the Andromeda share price plummeting 7.4% to 25 cents in early trade today.

    However, that bearish momentum did not last, and the share price has since recovered ground. On close of trade today, the Andromeda share price had recovered to 27 cents per share, down 1.82%.

    Andromeda shares are now down 12.9% year to date and more than 25% off of the company’s 52-week high of 36 cents a share that we saw back in December. However, they are also up a stunning 440% since early September last year.

    So what’s going on with this company?

    Andromeda makes an announcement

    Andromeda Metals is an industrial minerals producer, whose crown jewel is its Great White halloysite-kaolin mine, which is not yet operational. Halloysite and kaolin are components in the manufacturing of porcelain.

    Today’s share price moves can likely be put down to the quarterly report (for the quarter ending 31 December 2020) that Andromeda released to the market this morning.

    In the report, Andromeda told investors that the company had completed an updated ‘mineral resource estimate’ for its Great White site. This update estimates that Great White holds 34.6 million tonnes of ‘bright white’ kaolin ore, a 33% increase on previous estimates.

    Further, the company also revealed that testing of kaolin form Great White has “delivered exceptional ISO brightness results, superior to current market leading products, making this material ideally suited to the high-value coatings and polymer markets”.

    In other news, Andromeda also told investors that Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN) has “formally withdrawn” from the Drummond Epithermal Gold joint venture, meaning Andromeda reverts to full ownership.

    The company also announced that it has encountered a “significant gold intercept” of between 3.06 and 5.35 grams per tonne at hits Eye Peninsula joint venture project with Cobra Resources. Apparently, “Cobra is now analysing the results of the full drilling program”.

    Finally, Andromeda reported that the company’s cash on hand is now at $7.938 million after raising $5.7 million over the quarter. This was mostly enabled by the completion of Andromeda’s options issuance, of which a reported 99.8% of eligible shareholders participated in.

    It’s unclear which of these announcements weren’t up to investor expectations today, seeing as this report has prompted a share price drop. Perhaps investors were simply expecting more out of one or more of Andromeda’s mining projects.  

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    Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • The ASX small cap with the best global expansion potential may not be tech

    Best asx small cap stock global opportunity

    The outrageous success of the Afterpay Ltd (ASX: APT) has investors scrambling to find the next emerging ASX stock with global potential.

    It turns out that the ASX small cap that holds the key may not be a sexy tech or fintech related start-up.

    Morgan Stanley looked through its small cap universe of stocks and picked the City Chic Collective Ltd (ASX: CCX) share price as its preferred global expansion story.

    The best ASX small cap global expansion opportunity

    City Chic is a leading women’s plus-size apparel retailer in Australia but the broker reckons the global revenue opportunity stands at around US$60 billion.

    If that is the case, the CCX share price has a lot more room to grow after its recent acquisition of UK retailer Evans for around £23m.

    The broker reckons City Chic is well placed to make further acquisitions to advance its global ambitions.

    International M&A drives material earnings upgrade

    While many takeovers don’t tend to work, especially an ASX company buying an overseas asset, there are a few reasons for investors to be excited about CCX’s expansion.

    For one, it has an existing infrastructure including e-commerce platform and warehouse facilities. CCX also has a proven track record and experience from the Avenue acquisition and an extra $50 million in its war chest.

    “We estimate 15-20% upside risk to our FY22E EPS [earnings per share], if CCX can deploy capital at the same returns as Evans,” said Morgan Stanley.

    “We also think CCX has demonstrated capital discipline in the past by walking away from the potential Catherine’s deal.”

    CCX profit result could beat expectations

    But there’s another reason to buy the CCX share price besides its merger and acquisition (M&A) potential.

    Morgan Stanley believes management will deliver a first half result this month that will beat market expectations.

    The broker is forecasting 1HFY21 sales growth of 24%, which is well ahead of the 15% consensus estimate.

    It seems COVID-19 hasn’t been much of a drag for the retailer.

    Outsized returns from this ASX small cap

    Recent bullish trading updates from its peers has convinced Morgan Stanley that CCX will beat the street.

    These peers include the Accent Group Ltd (ASX: AX1) share price, Premier Investments Limited (ASX: PMV) share price and Super Retail Group Ltd (ASX: SUL) share price.  

    “Third-party web traffic data shows improving trends across all of CCX’s websites,” added the broker.

    “We think CCX’s dress business may take some time to return to pre COVID-19 levels, however, we think it has been able to offset this with an increase in casualwear.”

    Morgan Stanley has an “overweight” recommendation on the CCX share price with a 12-month price target of $4.50 a share.

    Where to invest $1,000 right now

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for more than eight years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

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    Motley Fool contributor Brendon Lau has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Premier Investments Limited and Super Retail Group Limited. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of AFTERPAY T FPO. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Accent Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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