• Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to sell today

    hand drawing a clock face with the words time to sell

    On Monday I looked at three ASX shares that brokers have given buy ratings to this week.

    Unfortunately, not all shares are in favour with them right now. Three that have just been given sell ratings are listed below. Here’s why these brokers are bearish on these ASX shares:

    A2 Milk Company Ltd (ASX: A2M)

    According to a note out of Citi, its analysts have retained their sell rating and $7.15 price target on this infant formula and fresh milk company’s shares. The broker has concerns about rising competition in the key China market following the release of the results of China-based rival Feihe. Citi suspects that domestic producers could win a greater market share in the future. In addition to this, it has concerns that resellers of its infant formula may have to discount products soon as the expiry date of their inventory draws closer. The a2 Milk share price is trading at $8.39 on Tuesday. Incidentally, for the same reasons, Citi has reiterated its sell rating and 35 cents price target on Bubs Australia Ltd (ASX: BUB) shares.

    AGL Energy Limited (ASX: AGL)

    Analysts at Morgan Stanley have retained their underweight rating and $10.68 price target on this energy company’s shares. According to the note, the broker was pleased to see AGL renegotiate its supply deal with the Portland smelter last week. This removes an element of uncertainty from the equation. However, it is predicting that the new pricing will be below current market pricing, which could weigh on future earnings. The AGL share price is now trading below this price target at $10.54.

    Blackmores Limited (ASX: BKL)

    Another note out of Citi reveals that its analysts have retained their sell rating and $59.20 price target on this health supplements company’s shares. The broker has been looking at Blackmores’ options in the China market. Citi appears to believe the company should consider a partnership in the country to support it with regulatory and distribution capabilities. However, for the time being, the broker remains bearish. Especially given concerns over increasing competition in Australia, tough trading conditions in the daigou market, and its soft second half guidance. The Blackmores share price is trading notably higher than Citi’s price target at $83.36 today.

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended A2 Milk and Blackmores Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • Why the Quickstep (ASX:QHL) share price is sinking 8% today

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    Quickstep Holdings Limited (ASX: QHL) shares are sinking today after the company provided a business update last night. At the time of writing, the Quickstep share price is down 8.45% to 6.5 cents.

    Let’s take a closer look and see what the carbon fibre composites manufacturer updated the ASX market with.

    Business update

    Investors are selling down the Quickstep share price after the company revealed a disappointing update.

    According to its release, Quickstep advised it has received notice from Chemring Australia that its tender for the MJU-68B flare housings contract has not been successful. This follows a recent proposal in which Quickstep would supply MJU-68 decoy flares from its custom-built flare housing manufacturing facility during FY21 and FY22.

    As a result of the decision, Quickstep has issued a formal protest to both the United States and Australian Departments of Defence. The company stated that it will provide an update to its shareholders if there are any further developments.

    Quickstep noted that its FY21 guidance released in its half-year results did not include the proposed supply of MJU-68B flare housings.

    Quick take on Quickstep

    Founded in 2001, Quickstep is an Australian-based company focused on providing advanced composite materials for important industries. These include aerospace, defence, marine, automotive, and other transportation sectors.

    Most notably, the company has an impressive list of clients such as United States behemoths, Northrop Grumman, and Lockheed Martin. In addition, BAE Systems and Boeing are also recognised partners of Quickstep.

    Quickstep share price snapshot

    The Quickstep share price has moved around 8% higher in the past 12 months but is down roughly 28% year to date. The company’s shares were hit particularly hard during the middle of February, a week before it revealed its half-year scorecard.

    Based on current valuation grounds, Quickstep has a market capitalisation of about $47.2 million, with over 716 million shares outstanding.

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    Aaron Teboneras has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. recommends Lockheed Martin. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • Why BrainChip, Crown, Qantas, & Quickstep shares are tumbling lower

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    In afternoon trade the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has followed the lead of US markets and is pushing higher. At the time of writing, the benchmark index is up 0.2% to 6,764.8 points.

    Four ASX shares that have failed to follow the market higher today are listed below. Here’s why they are tumbling lower:

    Brainchip Holdings Ltd (ASX: BRN)

    The BrainChip share price has fallen 4% to 72 cents. This is despite there being no news out of the artificial intelligence services company today. However, it is worth noting that its shares are up 33% in the space of a month, even after today’s decline. As a result, it looks as though profit taking could be weighing on the BrainChip share price today.

    Crown Resorts Ltd (ASX: CWN)

    The Crown share price is down almost 2% to $11.76. This decline also appears to have been driven by profit taking. With the Crown share price jumping 21% on Monday following a takeover offer, it appears as though some investors are cashing in now. Especially given how close Crown’s shares are trading to the offer of $11.85 cash per share.

    Qantas Airways Limited (ASX: QAN)

    The Qantas share price has fallen over 2% to $5.21. A number of travel shares have come under pressure today. Investors may be concerned that the terrible floods in New South Wales and South Queensland could impact the Easter holiday period.

    Quickstep Holdings Limited (ASX: QHL)

    The Quickstep share price has sunk 8.5% to 6.5 cents. This follows the release of an update by the aerospace company after the market close on Monday. According to the release, Quickstep has been informed by Chemring Australia that its recent proposal for the supply of MJU-68B flare housings has not been successful. The company advised that the grounds for this decision are contestable. As a result, Quickstep has initiated a formal protest to the United States and Australian Departments of Defence.

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  • The Fortescue (ASX:FMG) share price is down 20% in March

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    The Fortescue Metals Group Ltd (ASX: FMG) share price lost more than 20% in value in March. This compares to S&P/ASX Materials (INDEXASX: XMJ) index which is down 8.50% in the last month and flat ASX 200. 

    At the time of writing, the Fortescue share price is currently trading at $19.35, up 1%. Let’s take a closer look at what might have caused Fortescue to slide this month. 

    Why is the Fortescue share price falling? 

    The Fortescue share price went ex-dividend on 1 March. This means that investors who own or purchased Fortescue shares before 1 March will be eligible to receive its next interim dividend payment of $1.470. Based on its closing price before 1 March of $24.10, this would represent a yield of approximately 6.1%. 

    A company’s shares typically fall on the ex-dividend date to reflect the dividend being paid. As such, the Fortescue share price fell 6% from $24.11 to $22.68 on March 1. 

    Emission cuts in China to threaten iron ore markets 

    Analysts are becoming increasingly cautious about the short-medium term performance of iron ore. More recently, the South China Morning Post reported that factories in the city of Tangshan were ordered to “limit or halt production on days when a heavy pollution alert was in place to reduce the overall emissions of air pollutants such as sulfuric dioxide or nitrogen oxide by 50 per cent”. The clampdown in Tangshan is seen as China’s move to tighten environmental regulations over the next few years. 

    Analysts at Morgan Stanley believe the emission cuts in Tangshan could mark the beginning of major iron ore headwinds. 

    On 18 March, the broker believes there could be significantly lower prices in the second half. This would come as China’s steel production softens on the back of stimulus easing. The People’s Bank of China has already begun to reduce COVID-19 related stimulus with moderating money market liquidity and bond issuance. 

    Mixed broker reports 

    Morgan Stanley’s maintained a bearish view of iron ore markets on 18 March. This comes with an underweight rating and a $17.45 target price. 

    Conversely, Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) rated Fortescue shares as outperform with a $25.50 target price on 22 March. The broker expects that the proceeds from its new US$1.5 billion senior unsecured note issue will be used to replay a US$750 million facility due in 2022. It believes the balance will help Fortescue fund Capex for its Iron Bridge project. In addition, maintaining an 80% dividend payout ratio. 

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  • Qantas (ASX:QAN) share price dips after dismissed legal defection case

    asx share price falling represented by graph of paper plane trending down

    The Qantas Airways Limited (ASX: QAN) share price is slipping today following a failed first round of legal proceedings. The effort to delay the commencement of an ex-executive’s employment at Virgin now looks less likely to succeed.

    Although the decision was made by the New South Wales Supreme Court last Friday, publications surrounding the news have begun to arise over the past 24 hours. At the time of writing, the Qantas share price is trading 2.06% lower at $5.22. By comparison, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is up 0.19%.

    Jurisdiction falls to Singapore, hitting Qantas share price

    As we reported earlier in the month, Qantas decided to take former Jetstar Japan (Qantas subsidiary) executive, Nick Rohrlach, to court.

    Qantas reasoned that Mr Rohrlach had access to trade secrets pertaining to its loyalty program following acceptance of his previous position with Qantas.

    However, Rohrlach went on to accept the position of chief executive of Virgin’s Velocity program. Hence, Qantas fought for the ex-employee’s start date to be moved from May to September.  

    The NSW Supreme Court rejected Qantas’ bid for the case to be heard in Australia, rather than Singapore, where Rohrlach signed a contract with Qantas back in 2015. Qantas argued that a hearing in Singapore would need to be conducted remotely and that the causes of action have no connection to Singapore.

    All of these reasons were laid to rest by the court, which stated, “Proceedings have to be conducted remotely… is a matter of mere inconvenience. Remotely conducted proceedings have been the order of the day for more than a year now.” And, “That the causes of action may have no connection with that jurisdiction has little to say as to the appropriateness of enforcing an express submission to jurisdiction.”

    It is clear Qantas wanted to avoid the hearing moving to the Singapore jurisdiction, as Mr Rohrlach had applied for anti-suit protection there last month to prevent the extended wait.

    Qantas’ next move?

    Reportedly, Qantas will appeal the decision with the argument being:

    All the parties are in New South Wales, and Mr Rohrlach’s new role is in Sydney, so it doesn’t make much sense to go to Singapore to resolve this. Independent of geography, our argument is simple. Virgin is trying to shortcut the time Mr Rohrlach is required under his contract to wait before accepting a role with a direct competitor.

    Qantas was also ordered to reimburse the defendant’s legal costs following the dismissal of the plaintiff’s motion.

    The Aussie airline’s market capitalisation is now $10.1 billion, accounting for the move in the Qantas share price today.

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    Motley Fool contributor Mitchell Lawler has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • Motley Fool CIO Scott Phillips talks to SBS News: A takeover in the offing for Crown Resorts (ASX:CWN)

    Scott Philips appears on SBS to discuss Crown takeover bid

    Scott Phillips joined Ricardo Goncalves on SBS News to provide his thoughts on the mooted takeover of Crown Resorts Ltd (ASX: CWN) by Blackstone, a private equity company.

    Below, he chats with Ricardo about the takeover, the price being offered, what it might mean for James Packer’s business interests, and what a private equity owner might want with the company.

    https://fast.wistia.com/embed/medias/rhw41kf742.jsonphttps://fast.wistia.com/assets/external/E-v1.js

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  • Why the Lake Resources (ASX:LKE) share price up 6% today

    Cut outs of cogs and machinery with chemical symbol for lithium

    The Lake Resources N.L. (ASX: LKE) share price has been a positive performer on Tuesday.

    In morning trade the lithium-focused mineral exploration company’s shares were up as much as 6% to 34.5 cents.

    The Lake Resources share price has since dropped back a touch but is still currently up over 2% to 33.2 cents.

    Why is the Lake Resources share price rising today?

    Investors have been buying Lake Resources shares following the release of an announcement relating to its exploration activities.

    According to the release, the company is accelerating the expansion of its Argentinian lithium projects in response to strong market demand.

    Management advised that ~50,000 litres of lithium brine samples are to be sent from Lake’s Cauchari Project for testing by groups specialising in direct lithium extraction and the conversion of concentrates to lithium hydroxide.

    The company will then undertake a scoping study aiming to expand its future production. After which, Lake Resources is planning to commence pre-feasibility study work at Cauchari later in 2021.

    Demand overwhelming supply

    Lake Resources’ Managing Director, Steve Promnitz, notes that demand for high purity, sustainably produced product is expected to increase materially and overwhelm current supply.

    He said: “The scale of market demand for a high purity, sustainably produced product is set to overwhelm current supply, as evidenced by the moves by automakers such as Volkswagen and others. Lake continues to engage with a range of market participants, including large companies seeking to test Cauchari and other brines using their own extraction processes, including converting concentrates into lithium hydroxides and other products.”

    “With a growing supply deficit projected from 2024, Lake sees the need for even greater lithium production and therefore will advance development plans on our other brine projects based on the same production method. Significantly, should we reach our target, Lake would become a globally significant producer with relevant scale and high-quality products, at exactly the right time for the accelerating EV and battery storage revolution,” Mr Promnitz concluded.

    The Lake Resources share price is up over 300% in 2021.

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  • How this exponential growth could send ASX 200 data centre shares soaring

    asx share price making all time highs represented by cartoon man flying high on a paper plane

    COVID-19 certainly accelerated the global demand for digital data storage as people turned to working, shopping, and socialising from home.

    However, the exponential growth trend in global data usage was in place long before the pandemic. That trend looks to continue for years to come. This could offer some healthy tailwinds to S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) data centre shares.

    Data demand growth forecast is “daunting”

    Lee Seok-hee is the CEO of South Korean tech share giant SK Hynix Inc (KRX: 000660), which has a market cap of approximately AU$108 billion.

    As Bloomberg reports, Lee:

    [E]xpects exponential growth in data and bandwidth consumption spurred by new technologies like 5G networking, artificial intelligence and self-driving cars. So-called hyperscale data centers are set to double in number by 2025 to 1,060… providing the infrastructure and distribution systems for everything from social media and online gaming to smart agriculture and connected factories.

    According to Lee, “The total amount of both structured and unstructured data is expected to increase exponentially. If you look at the capacity requirement of DRAM and NAND Flash for each data centre, the numbers are daunting.”

    One leading ASX 200 data centre share

    There are a number of quality ASX shares involved in data storage and chip manufacturing.

    ASX 200 listed Nextdc Ltd (ASX: NXT), with a market cap of $5.0 billion, counts among the biggest and best-known data centre shares in Australia.

    As demand for data storage continues to rocket, NEXTDC should continue to see growth in the demand for its services. The company also has plans to potentially expand its operations into Singapore and Japan.

    UBS, for one, believes NEXTDC has a bright future, with a buy rating and a $15.40 price target on its shares. That’s almost 42% above the current price of $10.87 per share.

    Share price snapshot

    Up 1.4% in intraday trading today, NEXTDC shares remain down 12.5% in 2021.

    Over the past 12 months, the NEXTDC share price is up 56%. That compares to a 49% gain on the ASX 200.

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    Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • How to counter the ASX 200’s Achilles heel

    asx growth shares represented by question mark made out of cash notes

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is a magnificent share market. As my Fool colleague Brooke Cooper discussed this morning, there are many things to love about our flagship market index. We have a plethora of impressive, world-class businesses. We have strong transparency and insider trading laws. And the ASX 200 has, over time, delivered strong, inflation-smashing returns that would make any other asset class blush.

    But nothing is perfect in its world. And the ASX 200 is no different. So what exactly is the ASX 200’s Achilles heel?

    Well, see if you can guess after the top 10 ASX 200 companies by market capitalisation are listed here. The weightings are according to iShares in the iShares Core S&P/ASX 200 ETF (ASX: IOZ).

    ASX 200 Share ASX 200 Weighting
    Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) 7.89%
    BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) 6.94%
    CSL Ltd (ASX: CSL) 6.06%
    Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) 4.72%
    National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) 4.49%
    Australia and New Zeland Banking Group Ltd (ASX: ANZ) 4.21%
    Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES) 3.01%
    Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) 2.66%
    Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) 2.58%
    Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO) 2.12%

    So these 10 ASX shares make up around 44.7% of the entire index. See any patterns? Let me help out. CBA, Westpac, NAB, and ANZ, as well as Macquarie, are all ASX banks. These banks together make up approximately 24% of the ASX 200. Throw in the large miners in BHP and Rio Tinto and we get to 33%.

    Sure, we have a healthcare company in CSL, as well as retail giants in Woolworths and Wesfarmers. But it’s still not what you would call ‘balanced’.

    The ASX 200’s Achilles heel

    You might notice one glaring omission in this list: ASX tech companies. Sure we have many quality tech companies on the ASX. There’s Afterpay Ltd (ASX: APT), Altium Limited (ASX: ALU), and Xero Limited (ASX: XRO). But none of these companies, even together, have a massive, or even significant, presence in the ASX 200. Even Afterpay is only worth 1.33% of the index.

    Yet tech is going to be a big part of the future of the ASX 200 if the growth of this sector over just the past year is any kind of indication. This could be called the ASX 200’s Achilles heel.

    So how do we combat this Achilles heel? One way could be by turning to overseas sharemarkets. Take the United States. The US has two of the most popular indexes int the world in the S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP: .INX) and the NASDAQ-100 (INDEXNASDAQ: NDX). Both of these indexes are dominated by tech companies like Apple Inc (NASDAQ: AAPL), Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ: MSFT), Amazon.com Inc (NASDAQ: AMZN), Tesla Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA), and Facebook Inc (NASDAQ: FB). Both can be accessed via exchange-traded funds (ETFs) on the ASX such as the iShares S&P 500 ETF (ASX: IVV).

    Another option one could consider is the BetaShares Asian Technology Tigers ETF (ASX: ASIA). This ETF holds a portfolio of Asian tech shares like Alibaba Group Holding Ltd, Tencent Holdings, and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company.

    Adding a tech-based ETF to your ASX share portfolio could well plug the ASX 200’s Achilles heel. We can all love our index. But recognising its flaws could help strengthen your ASX portfolio. Something to keep in mind!

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    John Mackey, CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Teresa Kersten, an employee of LinkedIn, a Microsoft subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Randi Zuckerberg, a former director of market development and spokeswoman for Facebook and sister to its CEO, Mark Zuckerberg, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Sebastian Bowen owns shares of Facebook, National Australia Bank Limited, and Tesla. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and recommends Amazon, Apple, Facebook, Microsoft, and Tesla. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of CSL Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. recommends Altium and recommends the following options: short March 2023 $130 calls on Apple, long January 2022 $1920 calls on Amazon, short January 2022 $1940 calls on Amazon, and long March 2023 $120 calls on Apple. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended BetaShares Asia Technology Tigers ETF and Macquarie Group Limited. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of AFTERPAY T FPO, Altium, Wesfarmers Limited, Woolworths Limited, and Xero. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and iShares Trust – iShares Core S&P 500 ETF. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • Why the AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) share price is charging 5% higher

    asx share price growth represented by cartoon man flexing biceps in front of charged battery

    The AGL Energy Limited (ASX: AGL) share price is surging today. The positive price movement comes after the energy supplier announced it was proceeding with plans for increased green energy capacity at one of its plants.

    At the time of writing, shares in the company are selling for $10.50 each – up 5.42%. In comparison the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is up 0.43%.

    Let’s take a closer look at what’s boosting the AGL share price.

    AGL’s announcement

    Investors are loving the AGL share price today. In a media release, AGL confirmed it had submitted a planning application to the Victorian Government for a 200MW, 4-hour duration battery to be constructed at its Loy Yang Power Station in the La Trobe Valley.

    Today’s announcement comes just after the company announced a deal to power the Portland aluminium smelter plant.

    AGL’s chief operating officer, Markus Brokhof, says batteries will be crucial to Australia’s energy grid in the near-term.

    “This project will play a critical role in transforming the reliability of renewables in Victoria, providing essential firming capacity and storage,” Mr Brokhof said.

    “The [La Trobe Valley] will continue to play an important role in providing reliable and affordable energy – this project is part of both the AGL and regions’ transition and path to a lower emissions future.”

    In addition to the proposed battery in the La Trobe Valley, AGL is also developing the following:

    • A 250MW battery at its Torrens Island power station in South Australia.
    • A 150MW battery at its Liddell power station in New South Wales.
    • A 50MW battery in Broken Hill, NSW.

    Loy Yang’s green conversion

    AGL’s Loy Yang Power Station, like most in the La Trobe Valley, is fuelled by high-emitting brown coal. The energy supplier has promised to transition to “full decarbonisation” of its company by 2050, in line with expectations of a greener Australian economy.

    As part of that transition, AGL will close all of its coal-burning plants. AGL, in conjunction with state and federal governments, is looking at ways of converting old coal facilities to zero-emission sources of power.

    At Loy Yang, for example, AGL will be converting the plant to hydrogen-based. The plans for the 250MW battery are a part of these plans.

    AGL and its partners will convert brown coal from the site into hydrogen.

    AGL share price snapshot

    Over the last 12 months, the AGL share price has fallen by 32.04%. It is one of a few ASX shares to still be struggling from the effects of the coronavirus pandemic. In fact, the current AGL share price is down 13.36% just from the beginning of this year.

    At its current valuation, AGL has a market capitalisation of around $6.2 billion.

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    Motley Fool contributor Marc Sidarous has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

    The post Why the AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) share price is charging 5% higher appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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