• Biden in Oval Office address calls for calm, says political change happens ‘at the ballot box, not with bullets’

    President Joe Biden in the Oval Office
    President Joe Biden on Sunday spoke from the Oval Office to condemn acts of political violence following the assassination attempt against former President Donald Trump.

    • An assassination attempt was made against Donald Trump at a Pennsylvania rally on Saturday.
    • President Joe Biden, speaking from the Oval Office, condemned the attack and political violence.
    • Americans resolve political differences "at the ballot box, not with bullets," Biden said.

    President Joe Biden on Sunday called for calm and denounced all forms of political violence following the assassination attempt against his political rival Donald Trump at a Pennsylvania rally on Saturday.

    Addressing the nation from the Oval Office, he acknowledged how he and Trump have differing visions for America and that his political opponent will likely criticize him on his record. But those differences, he said, must be settled "at the ballot box, not with bullets."

    "The power to change America should always rest in the hands of the people, not in the hands of a would be assassin," the president said. "The path forward, through competing visions of the campaign, should always be resolved peacefully, not through acts of violence."

    Biden notably cited recent acts of political violence and threats perpetrated against Democrats, mentioning the attack against Nancy Pelosi's husband and a plot to kidnap Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer. The president also cited the January 6 storming of the Capitol.

    A Trump spokesperson did not immediately return a request for comment.

    [youtube https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jOPJdEYX3ZQ?feature=oembed&w=560&h=315]
    Read the original article on Business Insider
  • Finance jobs are more competitive than ever, so some college students are sitting for the industry’s most grueling exam before they even graduate

    AP exam
    The average age of CFA exam takers is going down, per the CFA Institute.

    • More undergraduates are signing up for the CFA exams, a series of three difficult tests.
    • Students are doing it to change career paths and boost their résumés.
    • CFA registration numbers have dropped significantly since 2020.

    Candidates taking the financial world's toughest exam are getting younger.

    More college students are signing up for the tests to get a leg up in competing for internships and jobs, according to the Chartered Financial Analyst Institute, which administers the tests.

    The CFA is a three-exam qualification, often regarded as the industry's most rigorous and prestigious certification. It's a prerequisite for certain roles in banking or private equity. Only 46% of those who took the first level in May passed the test.

    About one in five people who start the CFA process are students, Rob Langrick, chief product advocate at the CFA Institute, told Business Insider. Recently, the average age of candidates fell from 24 to about 23 as the number of undergraduates enrolling for the program increased, he said.

    Langrick said that more people prefer to start the process while they are still used to studying and are not yet tied to a full-time work schedule. And for students coming from less-known schools, the CFA designation stands out for employers, Langrick said.

    The increase in college students starting the CFA process comes as fewer people overall are taking the exams.

    CFA Level I sign-ups first dropped in late 2020, given pandemic-induced cancellations and exam deferments. But the numbers have dropped significantly since then.

    In 2018 and 2019, an average of about 162,000 people took the Level I exam each year. But in 2022 and 2023, that annual average dropped to about 87,000, according to the CFA Institute.

    Helpful for portfolio managers but not for bankers

    Eric Wye, who graduated last year from the National University of Singapore, prepared for the Level I and II exams as a student. He thought his economics degree didn't cover enough applied finance for the kinds of jobs he wanted to do.

    But getting partway through the CFA didn't change his trajectory, Wye said.

    "I felt that it did not explicitly give me an advantage in searching for finance internships, as I believe prior experience in related roles might be more valued," he said.

    Wye is now working at a multinational bank while preparing for the Level III exam.

    While the certification may be important for roles like portfolio managers and securities analysts, Wye does not think its value applies to all finance careers, including investment banking or sales and trading. On the job for a year now, he hasn't found many peers who passed all three CFA levels, nor that there is an implicit expectation of holding the designation.

    Another candidate, who is in his third year of school at Singapore Management University and is preparing for Level I, agreed that the exam is more helpful for those outside finance looking to break in.

    The student spoke to BI on the condition of anonymity, because he is a summer intern not authorized to speak with the media. His identity is known to BI.

    "I think it's important if I didn't have access to finance at all. But if you're already in a finance major, then maybe it's not as necessary," he said.

    Do you have a story to share about your career in finance? Email this reporter: shubhangigoel@insider.com

    Read the original article on Business Insider
  • Why brokers say these ASX income stocks are top buys

    A businessman looking at his digital tablet or strategy planning in hotel conference lobby. He is happy at achieving financial goals.

    Are you hunting ASX income stocks to buy? If you are, then it could be worth checking out the two stocks listed below.

    They have both been named as buys and tipped to provide investors with good yields in the near term.

    Here’s what analysts are saying about them:

    Healthco Healthcare and Wellness REIT (ASX: HCW)

    Bell Potter thinks that HealthCo Healthcare & Wellness REIT could be an ASX income stock to buy.

    It is a real estate investment trust with a mandate to invest in hospitals, aged care, childcare, government, life sciences and research, and primary care and wellness property assets. Management notes that its objective is to provide shareholders with exposure to a diversified portfolio underpinned by attractive megatrends.

    Bell Potter is a big fan and highlights its significant development pipeline and huge addressable market as reasons to buy. It said:

    HCW has underperformed the REIT sector last 3 months (-10% vs. +22% XPJ) following bond yield reversion and is attractively priced at 20% discount to NTA (but only REIT to record flat to positive valuation movement at 1H24) with double digit 3 year EPS CAGR given high relative sector debt hedging and ability to grow its $1bn development pipeline via attractive YoC spread to marginal cost of debt. Longer term, HCW has significant scope for growth with an estimated $218 billion addressable market where an ageing and growing population should underpin long-term sector demand.

    In respect to dividends, the broker is forecasting dividends per share of 8 cents in FY 2024 and then 8.3 cents in FY 2025. Based on the current Healthco Healthcare and Wellness REIT unit price of $1.16, this will mean dividend yields of 6.9% and 7.2%, respectively.

    Bell Potter has a buy rating and $1.50 price target on its shares.

    Universal Store Holdings Ltd (ASX: UNI)

    Over at Morgans, its analysts think that Universal Store could be a great option for income investors.

    It is the youth fashion retailer behind the eponymous Universal Store brand. In addition, it has potential to grow its smaller Perfect Stranger and Thrills brands.

    Commenting on its bullish view, the broker said:

    Our positive view about the fundamental long-term appeal of Universal Store as a retail proposition and investment opportunity is undiminished. The growth opportunities are in place. Universal Store’s women’s banner Perfect Stranger is performing well, justifying an acceleration in its network expansion; the prospect of building out the wholesale distribution channels acquired with CTC is compelling; and customers continue to respond well to the Universal Store banner, rendering its plan to grow this network to more than 100 stores more than reasonable. Although its core youth customers are far from buoyant, they continue to spend.

    Morgans is forecasting fully franked dividends of 26 cents per share in FY 2024 and then 29 cents per share in FY 2025. Based on its current share price of $5.08, this will mean yields of 5.1% and 5.7%, respectively.

    The broker has an add rating and $6.50 price target on the ASX income stock.

    The post Why brokers say these ASX income stocks are top buys appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Universal Store. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • 1 ASX dividend stock down 50% to buy right now

    a bus driver looks out the window with a serious look on his face while sitting at the wheel of his vehicle.

    The ASX dividend stock Kelsian Group Ltd (ASX: KLS) has deviated significantly from its recent highs. The Kelsian share price is down around 50% from April 2021 and 25% over the last year, as shown in the chart below.

    Kelsian describes itself as Australia’s largest integrated multi-modal transport provider and tourism operator. It has established bus operations in Australia, Singapore, the USA, London, and the Channel Islands. At 31 December 2023, it had 5,500 buses, 115 vessels, and 24 light rail vehicles.

    The company has been operating for over 30 years. It claims to be a leader in sustainable public transport, with Australia’s largest zero-emission bus fleet and electrified bus depot.   

    It may not be the most well-known ASX dividend stock, but I believe it could be a compelling option.

    Passive income potential

    Kelsian has impressively grown its annual dividend per share each year since 2021, which is pretty good considering all of the uncertainty and volatility of the last three years.

    Looking at the last two declared dividends, it has a fully franked dividend yield of 3.3% and a grossed-up dividend yield of 4.8%.

    The estimate on Commsec suggests the ASX dividend stock could pay an annual dividend per share of 22.7 cents in FY25, which would be a grossed-up dividend yield of 6.2%.

    In the subsequent year of FY26, the transportation business is forecast to pay an annual dividend per share of 25 cents. This would represent a grossed-up dividend yield of 6.8% in the 2026 financial year.

    So, the business is projected to see a pleasing level of dividend yield and passive income growth in the next couple of financial years.

    Are the ASX dividend stock’s earnings going to grow?

    I only want to consider investing in businesses whose earnings are likely to grow in the foreseeable future. Profit growth usually drives the share price higher and funds larger dividend payments.

    In the FY24 first-half result, the business reported revenue grew by 44.9% to $982.7 million thanks to the acquisition of All Aboard America! and the new Sydney contracts from August 2023 and October 2023. It also reported underlying earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) growth of 29.4% to $58.1 million and statutory net profit after tax (NPAT) growth of 44.1% to $28.1 million.

    Kelsian’s outlook commentary on the HY24 result said it’s “well-placed to continue to deliver growth underpinned by economies of scale, efficiencies and global procurement opportunities.”

    The ASX dividend stock believes the longer-term list of growth opportunities is “significant”, with many markets “welcoming operational experts to support their decarbonisation agendas”.

    Its new contracts in Western Sydney are “in the fastest population growth corridor in Sydney”, and this growth is expected to continue with the launch of a new international airport in 2026. The company is confident of more Sydney contracts, an expansion of routes and higher margins.

    The All Aboard America! business provides “a multi-year runway that is both organic and inorganic.” Organic growth examples include “construction and technology sectors, employee shuttle and expansion to new cities.”

    According to Commsec estimates, the Kelsian share price is valued at just 12x FY26’s estimated earnings. For a growing business, I believe that’s a very appealing valuation.

    The post 1 ASX dividend stock down 50% to buy right now appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • It’s official, Aussies are getting richer! Here’s how

    A couple are happy sitting on their yacht.

    Are you feeling wealthier these days? Or maybe you’re wondering how anyone is getting rich right now.

    That may seem like a silly question in the midst of a cost-of-living crisis.

    But according to the Australian Financial Review (AFR), the average wealth of Australian adults grew by nearly 10% in 2023. And that was more than twice the growth rate of 56 other countries.

    These are the findings of the 2024 UBS Global Wealth Report.

    Our wealth is building faster than other countries

    On a median basis, our wealth grew by about 5% to US$261,805 per person. That translates to about $386,758 per person in Aussie currency, making us the second-wealthiest people on the planet.

    We’ve moved up a spot this year and sit behind Luxembourg, which has the highest median wealth per person, at US$372,258 or AU$549,927.

    Below us in third position is Belgium, with a median wealth per person of US$256,185 or AU$378,456.

    According to UBS, 1.9 million Australians are currently officially millionaires in US dollar terms. Our country has the third-highest number of millionaires per capita, at 10% of the adult population.

    UBS also predicts that this particular population cohort will grow by 21% over the next four years.

    How to get rich in Australia?

    Well, the bulk of it is ‘on paper’, so to speak.

    Australians’ personal wealth is largely tied up in our properties and superannuation.

    In fact, UBS says more than half of Australia’s wealth is held in non-financial assets, like real estate.

    However, in our broader Asia-Pacific neighbourhood, 60% of people’s wealth is in financial assets like shares, bonds, and cash. In North America, 70% of people’s personal wealth is in these types of assets, too.

    The relatively illiquid nature of our wealth is a bit of a problem in a cost-of-living crisis, right?

    Our net worth is impressive, but there’s a problem…

    We can’t get access to the equity in our homes unless we sell, or ratchet up our home loans, and we can’t access our superannuation until we reach the preservation age.

    Home values have been moving higher across Australia for 17 consecutive months.

    In June, the national median home value rose by another 0.7%, according to CoreLogic data. In FY24, Australian homeowners gained a median $59,000 in capital gains on paper.

    Meantime, our superannuation balances are getting bigger thanks to share market gains in FY24.

    The latest data from Chant West suggest the median growth superannuation fund will have risen in value by 9% over FY24.

    The average superannuation balance among Australians aged 65 to 69 years (the cohort closest to the retirement age of 67) is $404,553. The median is $198,715.

    Of course, all of this property and superannuation wealth sounds great, but it doesn’t help pay the next electricity bill, does it?

    This is the problem with being asset-rich. If you’re also cash-poor, you don’t feel so wealthy when you’re struggling to pay for the essentials!

    Particularly when you’re also trying to cover what the Reserve Bank estimates to be 30% to 60% higher mortgage repayments these days.

    How the next generation is set to get rich

    UBS values the coming global intergenerational wealth transfer from baby boomers to Gen Xers at US$83 trillion or AU$122.6 trillion.

    And as we know, that money is already being distributed in Australia via the Bank of Mum and Dad.

    Andrew McAuley, managing director at UBS Wealth Management Australia, said:

    The inheritocracy, the bank of mum and dad, it’s real.

    To be able to afford a house, young people are going to need help. The last of the Baby Boomers will have retired, and the oldest Baby Boomers will be starting to pass away.

    There’s a real bulge of the population there, and … they’re the first big group who had super. Definitely, there’s going to be a transfer.

    Wealth building via ASX shares

    One of the great things about investing in ASX shares is the generous dividends many of our big companies pay.

    ASX dividend shares can provide a reliable income stream as part of your investment portfolio. And there are big tax advantages if you stick to fully franked ASX shares.

    Popular dividend stocks include BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP), Fortescue Ltd (ASX: FMG), Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) and National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB).

    The post It’s official, Aussies are getting richer! Here’s how appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has positions in BHP Group. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Top 10 most traded ASX shares and US stocks in June

    A young boy in a business suit lifts his glasses above his eyes and gives a big wide mouthed smile to the camera with a stock market board in the background.

    Mega ASX 200 iron ore shares BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) and Fortescue Ltd (ASX: FMG) were the top two most traded ASX stocks last month among investors using the SelfWealth trading platform.

    Let’s review the top 10.

    Top 10 most traded ASX shares in June

    Here are the top 10 most traded ASX shares in June by volume (thus incorporating both buy and sell orders), according to Selfwealth Ltd (ASX: SWF).

    We have also included the percentage of buy orders next to each ASX share.

    Rank Top ASX shares by trading volume Percentage of buy orders
    1 BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) 66.5%
    2 Fortescue Ltd (ASX: FMG) 67.8%
    3 Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS) 62%
    4 DroneShield Ltd (ASX: DRO) 57.8%
    5 Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) 53.5%
    6 Mineral Resources Ltd (ASX: MIN) 63%
    7 ANZ Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: ANZ) 47.2%
    8 Summit Minerals Ltd (ASX: SUM) 52.4%
    9 Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX: RIO) 58.8%
    10 Dimerix Ltd (ASX: DXB) 59.6%

    Which ASX shares attracted the most buyer interest?

    As you can see, ASX 200 mining giant Fortescue received the most buy orders among the top 10 shares.

    The Fortescue share price tumbled 13.46% during the month of June. Perhaps investors saw greater value in the stock as the price declined.

    Fortescue shares are now trading on a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 7.92x. The Fortescue share price closed on Friday at a nine-month low of $22.10.

    Top broker Goldman Sachs has a sell rating on Fortescue with a 12-month share price target of $16.20. But Michael Gable from Fairmont Equities says Fortescue shares are a buy.

    BHP shares had the second strongest buying activity during the month.

    The BHP share price closed on Friday at $43.40. Goldman has a buy rating on BHP with a 12-month price target of $48.40.

    The iron ore price has been falling, and one major bank forecasts that the commodity will weaken further over the next year or so.

    On Friday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) closed at 7,959.3 points. It reached a new record high during intraday trading at 7,969.1. This was driven by news out of the US that inflation is easing.

    The S&P/ASX All Ordinaries Index (ASX: XAO) closed at 8,206.1 points. The All Ords also set a new record high during intraday trading at 8,212.6 points.

    Top 10 most traded US stocks in June

    Here are the top 10 most traded US stocks in June among SelfWealth traders.

    Rank Top US stocks by trading volume Percentage of buy orders
    1 NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ: NVDA) 80.7%
    2 GameStop Corp (NYSE: GME) 71%
    3 Tesla Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA) 59.3%
    4 Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMD) 58.6%
    5 Apple Inc (NASDAQ: AAPL) 48.%
    6 Marathon Digital Holdings Inc (NASDAQ: MARA) 58.2%
    7 Amazon.com Inc (NASDAQ: AMZN) 59%
    8 Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ: MSFT) 68.5%
    9 GigaCloud Technology Inc (NASDAQ: GCT) 61.8%
    10 Alphabet Inc Class A (NASDAQ: GOOGL) 57%

    As shown, the quintessential artificial intelligence stock NVIDIA had the highest percentage of buy orders among the top 10 US shares.

    The post Top 10 most traded ASX shares and US stocks in June appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has positions in Anz Group, BHP Group, and Woodside Energy Group. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Advanced Micro Devices, Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, DroneShield, Goldman Sachs Group, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Advanced Micro Devices, Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • I’ve traveled to 90 countries. I only found one place I want to live.

    Woman in white shirt sitting on a rock near waterfall in Chiang Mai, Thailand.
    Lola Méndez has found Chiang Mai to be an affordable city for her lifestyle.

    • Lola Méndez has been traveling full-time for nine years and has visited 90 countries.
    • Chiang Mai kept drawing her back, so after her dad died, she decided to move to Thailand.
    • Now, she pays $355 per month for rent and $35 for therapy sessions.

    At 25, after bouncing between California and New York, I left the US with no regrets and no plans to return. I traveled around the world, living in cities across Spain, Italy, India, Vietnam, Uruguay, and Mexico — and visited 90 countries. Eventually I realized that Chiang Mai, Thailand, was the only place I wanted to live.

    My first trip to Thailand, in December 2015, came a few months after leaving America. It was also my first time in Asia. I had started following the teachings of Buddha and was eager to visit a country where they were practiced. On my first visit, I spoke with monks, meditated in temples, and visited countless golden statues.

    I became obsessed with Thai massages and was happily introduced to what became my favorite dish, Khao Soi — egg noodles in a coconut curry soup. When my monthlong vacation came to an end, I sobbed. I was determined to return.

    As a freelance journalist, my job continued to lead me around the world over the next few years, including another three-month stint in Chiang Mai. But when my family needed help at home, I returned to Latin America to be close to my parents.

    Missing Chiang Mai over the years

    Over the next five years — spent between Uruguay and Mexico — I felt an ache in my heart for Chiang Mai. I'd tell everyone who would listen about my experiences in northern Thailand. At the time, my father was sick, and living that far away was not an option. The day he died, a close friend told me to follow my heart and move to Thailand.

    A year and a half later, when I was invited on a press trip to Bangkok, it felt like the universe was permitting me to move back to Chiang Mai and I took the opportunity. As the plane descended into Thailand, and I spotted the first pagoda, I knew I had made the right choice.

    Woman standing outside of golden Buddhist temple in Chiang Mai, Thailand.
    Lola Méndez was eager to visit Thailand after she started following the teachings of Buddha.

    Chiang Mai is affordable for me as a foreigner

    Thai legislation also motivated my move back to Chiang Mai. I use cannabis medicinally, and marijuana was legalized in 2022. Thailand is also to become the first country in Southeast Asia to legalize same-sex marriage, Taiwan being the first in Asia.

    I'm only comfortable living in places where I don't face legal repercussions for being queer.

    In Chiang Mai I pay $355 per month for rent, $300 less than what I was paying in Puerto Vallarta and four times cheaper than my New York City rent.

    I make an effort to rent from locals to ensure my tourist dollars stay in local hands. Motorbike taxis cost less than $2 within a 15-minute radius. I've built a community by attending events that align with my interests including yoga classes, pottery workshops, coworking meetups, and dance lessons.

    I can buy over six pounds of mangoes, dragon fruit, and mangosteen for less than $5. Thai massages cost between $3 and $30 an hour, and I've found an English-speaking therapist who charges $35 for in-person sessions.

    Most importantly, I feel welcomed by the Thai people. I plan to keep traveling, but want Chiang Mai to be my base. Hopefully, I'll be one of the first to receive the new five-year digital nomad visa.

    Got a personal essay about living abroad that you want to share? Get in touch with the editor: akarplus@businessinsider.com.

    Read the original article on Business Insider
  • Sell this ASX 100 stock now: Goldman Sachs

    Close up of a sad young woman reading about declining share price on her phone.

    Now could be the time to sell ASX Ltd (ASX: ASX) shares.

    That’s the view of analysts at Goldman Sachs, which are feeling bearish about the ASX 100 stock.

    What is the broker saying about this ASX 100 stock?

    Goldman has been looking at the stock exchange operator ahead of its results next month.

    It believes there are a number of key issues and trends for investors to look out for. The first is divisional trends. It said:

    1) Divisional trends: a) Listings benign: Listed entities declined over 2H24 but fee increases could offset this pressure. Compared to 1H24, IPO volumes were benign and secondary raisings slightly softer. Any recovery here will be lagged as revenues are amortised. b) Derivatives/ Futures strong: over 2H24 v 1H24 benefiting from interest rate volatility. c) Cash market trading up on 1H24: with an improvement through late 2H24 – similar trend for CS.

    And while Goldman expects improvements in collateral balances and fee changes, it sees corporate bonds as a drag. The broker adds:

    2) Collateral balances expected to improve over 2H24: Albeit ASX flagged stability in the investment spread at 10bps but expected this to increase over time. 3) Corporate bonds: issuance likely to be a slight drag on interest income as deployed. 4) Fee changes: Listing fees generally up ~5% on average we think across Jul-24/Jan-25. We also note fee increases in Austraclear across holding and transaction fees.

    Also worth looking out for are movements in its equity investments and regulatory risks. It commented:

    5) Equity investment portfolio: a) Sympli: Implications for Sympli from ARNECC pausing the interoperability program and standing down their project team. We expect small losses from Sympli to persist. b) Grow Inc: Update on profitability and participation in latest funding round. 6) Other key issues: a) Progress on ASIC’s investigation into suspected contraventions of the ASIC Act 2001 and the Corporations Act 2001 in relation to the CHESS replacement program — see here — suggesting potential regulatory risks. b) Despite regulatory changes being implemented, we think the threat of competition is low, noting Capex requirements.

    Sell rating retained

    The note reveals that Goldman has held firm with its sell rating on the ASX 100 stock with an improved price target of $59.50.

    Based on its current share price of $64.41, this implies potential downside of 7.6% for investors over the next 12 months.

    The broker concludes:

    We are Sell rated on ASX because: 1) Capex guidance remains elevated into FY25-FY27 from ongoing CHESS replacement project and technology revamp with risks on execution. 2) Risks arising from enhanced regulatory scrutiny on CHESS replacement and ASIC investigation. 3) Potential upside from a recovery in cyclical revenues is likely to be small with D&A drag to result in very muted earnings growth. 4) ASX’s Clearing and Settlement ROE is well below Group ROE target.

    The post Sell this ASX 100 stock now: Goldman Sachs appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Own BHP shares? Here’s your Q4 preview

    A man wearing a shirt, tie and hard hat sits in an office and marks dates in his diary.

    BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) shares will be on watch this week.

    That’s because the mining giant is scheduled to release its fourth quarter update on Wednesday 17 July.

    Ahead of the release of its update, let’s have a look at what the market is expecting from the Big Australian.

    BHP Q4 preview

    According to a note out of Goldman Sachs, it is expecting BHP to fall a touch short of the market’s expectations during the fourth quarter.

    It is forecasting iron ore shipments of 74.1Mt for the three months. While this is up 6% quarter on quarter, it is lower than the consensus estimate of 74.9Mt. Goldman expects this to be achieved with a realised iron ore price of US$101 per tonne.

    It is a similar story for copper, with the broker forecasting flat copper production of 467kt, which is just short of the consensus estimate of 470kt. A realised price of US$3.93 per pound is expected by Goldman, which is 12 cents lower than the consensus estimate of US$4.05 per tonne.

    Metallurgical coal production could disappoint. It is expected to be down 24% quarter on quarter to 4.6Mt. This is lower than the consensus estimate of 4.9Mt.

    Finally, nickel production is also forecast to come in lower than the market expects. Goldman has pencilled in production of 18.6kt versus the consensus estimate of 19.8kt.

    BHP is also likely to provide the market with its guidance for FY 2025. And once again, the broker believes this could be lower than expectations. It commented:

    BHP: we sit below on FY25 iron ore production vs. VA consensus; Pilbara iron ore 287Mt (100% basis) vs. VA cons at 293Mt and Qld met coal production of 18Mt (BHP share) vs. VA cons at 21Mt due to our view of ongoing catch-up on waste stripping and build-up of in-pit coal inventory.

    Should you buy BHP shares?

    Despite expecting BHP to fall short of the market’s expectations in both the fourth quarter and FY 2025, Goldman remains very positive on the miner’s shares.

    It currently has a buy rating and $48.40 price target on its shares. Based on its current share price of $43.40, this implies potential upside of 11.5% for investors over the next 12 months.

    Goldman also expects a 4.2% dividend yield in FY 2025, which boosts the total potential return to almost 16%.

    Commenting on its bullish view, the broker said:

    We rate BHP a Buy based on: (1) Attractive valuation, but at a premium to RIO: Although we believe this premium can be partly maintained due to ongoing superior margins and operating performance (particularly in Pilbara iron ore where BHP maintains superior FCF/t vs. peers), (2) Robust FCF, but still below RIO, (3) We remain bullish on copper and met coal, (4) Optionality with +US$20bn copper pipeline, but growth below RIO.

    The post Own BHP shares? Here’s your Q4 preview appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.