• Nitro Software (ASX:NTO) share price drops lower despite strong Q3 growth

    Woman investor looking at ASX financial results on laptop

    The Nitro Software Ltd (ASX: NTO) share price is dropping lower today despite the release of a strong third quarter update.

    In early trade the global document productivity software company’s shares are down 4% to $3.07.

    How did Nitro Software perform in the third quarter?

    Nitro Software continued its positive form during the third quarter and delivered further strong growth.

    So much so, its subscription revenue, annual recurring revenues (ARR), and cash receipts are tracking ahead of its prospectus forecasts.

    In respect to the latter, for the three months ended 30 September, Nitro Software recorded cash receipts of US$11.6 million. This was up 17% since the end of the previous quarter.

    And while the company decided not to reveal its actual subscription revenue or ARR, it did advise that its subscription revenue now accounts for 56% of total revenue. This is up from 39% a year ago. Management notes that this reflects Nitro’s ongoing successful conversion to a subscription-based business model.

    What were the drivers of its growth?

    According to the release, Nitro continued to secure key new enterprise customers in the quarter, contributing over 9,000 new licensed users in the period.

    These customer wins include the City of Baltimore, Eskom and Midwestern University, Royal Mail, and Workcover Queensland.

    In addition to this, further growth was delivered across its existing customer base, with Nitro continuing to achieve high levels of customer retention and expansion.

    Key expanding and renewing accounts in the period include Time Warner Cable/Spectrum, Toyota Motor Europe, Vizient, and Albany Med.

    Nitro’s CEO and Co-Founder, Sam Chandler said: “In the initial response to the COVID-19 pandemic, we saw organisations adapt and begin to focus on defining their new normal, with improved document productivity in a remote working environment at the heart of their business needs.”

    “With most of the world’s knowledge workers now remote, and an overwhelming developing long-term trend toward remote and digital work, customers are continuing to demand digital transformation solutions. The Nitro Productivity Suite, including Nitro Sign, provides strong operational and financial value to businesses in these times.”

    “We are pleased to deliver performance that is on track to meet our pre-COVID-19 revenue forecasts for the year and exceed our expectations for subscription sales, positioning us well for growth in 2021 and beyond,” he added.

    Outlook.

    Management notes that the rising demand for digitisation solutions, which enable document productivity and workflow from anywhere, is creating new opportunities for the company. As a result, it believes it is well positioned to deliver on its vision and growth potential.

    Looking to the full year, the company has updated its guidance for FY 2020.

    While it has reaffirmed its revenue forecast of US$40.5 million, its subscription ARR has been increased to the range of US$26 million to US$27 million. This compares to US$24.4 million in its IPO prospectus and is being driven by greater demand for its subscription offering.

    In addition, with key growth investments being offset by managed cost savings, the company forecasts an FY 2020 operating EBITDA (excluding share-based payments and FX) loss of US$4 million. This is in line with the IPO prospectus.

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Nitro Software Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) in 5 charts

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    variety of asx shares and stock charts such as pie charts, bar chart and line graphs

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    Most investors are able to keep their focus on a particular company’s proverbial “bigger picture.” Sure, the occasional unexpected headline might distract and buffet a stock every now and then, but for the most part, the market has a knack for evaluating a company and pricing shares at appropriate, risk-adjusted levels. The hard part sometimes is understanding what the financial metrics are really saying.

    An investor can listen to some of the data being explained and easily get what it’s trying to say, but there are some ideas that are just easier to understand in pictures than they are in words. The financial metrics regarding consumer technology giant Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) are no exception to this reality.

    Here are five financial “pictures” that will visually help any investor gain a better understanding of where this tech company is, and where it seems to be going.

    1. For better or worse, Apple is a Western company

    Apple’s CEO Tim Cook has always been bullish on China as a big growth driver for the company, even since 2017 when the iPhone’s sales tanked in that particular market. Much to the delight of shareholders, China’s consumers became interested in its wares again by the end of that year.

    The fact of the matter is that the other side of the planet remains a much more important market for Apple right now. The Americas alone account for nearly half of Apple’s business, while Europe makes up about a fourth of the company’s top line.

    The majority of Apple's revenue comes from the Americas, and then Europe, despite its China push.

    Data source: Apple quarterly reports. Chart by author.

    Of course, Europe and the Americas are a relatively bigger deal now than they were then, largely because China and the rest of Asia still aren’t exactly growing for Apple.

    2. Services growth is offsetting the iPhone headwind

    Apple may have stopped reporting the number of iPhones it sells as of early 2019, but a close look at its quarterly results since then reminds us the company never stopped reporting total iPhone revenue. That may be the more important figure of the two, especially given Apple’s deliberate development of its services arm that reflects app and media revenue.

    Apple's services revenue has offset any weakness for its iPhone business.

    Data source: Apple quarterly reports. Chart by author.

    To this end, notice how services revenue has pretty much offset any headwinds related to saturation of the smartphone market, and now accounts for roughly one-fifth of the company’s total business. That’s ultimately a function of how many iPhones are still in active use, and not necessarily tethered to new phone sales.

    3. Big operating margins for services

    Sales of physical products like Macintosh computers and the iPhone may contribute more to the bottom line, but not as much as those product revenues might suggest. The operating margins on digital goods and services (revenue minus the costs associated with offering apps, videos, music, etc.) is more than twice the profit margin percentages of hardware. Although they only make up around one-fifth of Apple’s sales, services drive about one-third of the company’s operating earnings.

    Apple's margins on digital services are much higher than profit margins on hardware like the iPhone.

    Data source: Apple quarterly reports. Chart by author.

    4. Heavy cash flows easily fund the dividend, and more

    Ergo, the steady revenue and income production of digital services, in conjunction with its consistently marketable iPhone, makes Apple a cash-generating machine even in more challenging environments. Notice that cash flow easily covers the amount of earnings the company’s been dishing out in the form of dividends.

    Apple's cash flow far exceeds its dividend.

    Data source: Thomson Reuters Eikon. Chart by author.

    5. More revenue and earnings growth in store

    And where’s it all going? Analysts are modeling more of the same growth into the future, anticipating a strong rebound next year out of this year’s lull. Respectable single-digit sales growth is in the cards for 2022, which mirrors the pace established before the COVID-19 pandemic took hold.

    Apple's revenue and earnings are projected to grow at their well-established pace through 2022.

    Data source: Thomson Reuters Eikon. Chart by author.

    Per-share earnings are expected to grow at an even faster clip, thanks to continued stock buybacks that mathematically make each share more profitable, by reducing the total number of them. Of course, this has long been the case for Apple.

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

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    James Brumley has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and recommends Apple. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Apple. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • REA Group (ASX:REA) share price in focus amid acquisition news

    The REA Group Limited (ASX: REA) share price could be on the move today after announcing a new transaction this morning.

    What did REA Group announce?

    REA Group’s announcement reveals that it has entered into a binding agreement to increase its ownership interest in India-based Elara Technologies.

    At present, REA Group holds a 13.5% shareholding in Elara Technologies, but this agreement will see it move to a controlling interest in the company.

    According to the release, on completion REA Group will hold 5 out of 9 board seats and is expected to have a shareholding of between 47.2% and 61.1%.

    The total consideration for the transaction is expected to be in the range of US$50 million to US$70 million. Of this, US$34.5 million is payable out of existing cash reserves, with the balance to be paid in newly issued REA shares.

    Management expects the transaction to complete in the second quarter of the current financial year. Though, it remains subject to confirmatory due diligence and the renegotiation of key management employment contracts.

    What is Elara Technologies?

    Elara Technologies is the operator of India’s fastest growing digital real estate business based on audience size.

    It has established brands Housing.com, PropTiger.com and Makaan.com operating in the world’s fastest growing trillion-dollar economy. Management notes that it has continued to increase its market share during the pandemic, delivering excellent audience and customer growth over the past two years.

    REA Group CEO, Owen Wilson commented: “India is an incredibly attractive market and one that provides excellent long-term growth opportunities, while complementing REA’s footprint in Asia and North America. The country is forecast to deliver strong growth over the next decade and continues to experience rapid digital transformation.”

    “With over 700 million internet users and roughly half a billion yet to come online, our increased investment in Elara will allow REA to be at the forefront of the considerable long-term opportunities within India, and the digitisation of the real estate sector,” he added.

    Assuming a completion date of 30 November, management expects REA Group’s FY 2021 revenues to increase between A$15 million to A$20 million. However, core operating EBITDA (excluding associates) is expected to decrease by A$20 million to A$25 million, with the contribution from associates increasing between A$3 million and A$5 million.

    The earnings per share impact is expected to be marginally dilutive and is dependent on the volume of the remaining shareholder acceptances. Though, management warned that FY 2021 revenue, EBITDA, and associate ranges are indicative only, due to the market volatility caused by COVID-19.

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  • Expert says buy these shares immediately if Joe Biden wins US election

    shares to buy in US election represented by blue and red fists coming together against backdrop of US flag

    Next week’s United States presidential election is fascinating for many reasons.

    It’s a test of whether the world’s only democratic superpower will re-elect a man the rest of the world cannot believe is a head of state.

    It’s a national poll in the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic that’s still killing thousands each day in the US.

    And all this during an economic downturn unlike anything witnessed since the Great Depression, triggered by a true ‘Black Swan’ event.

    But one Australian expert has added a wrinkle for share market investors. There is a category of shares that historically go gangbusters after the first 100 days of a new president.

    A whopping 10.9% rise in just 3 months, no less.

    “While finance experts may not predict the winning party, we may predict which stocks will win during the first 100 days following inauguration of a new president,” said RMIT senior lecturer in investor behaviour, Angel Zhong.

    “During this time, generally known as the honeymoon period, value stocks and stocks with a large amount of investment generate higher returns.”

    Why will value stocks do well after the ‘honeymoon’ period?

    The theory is that value and large cap shares thrive in certainty and stability.

    And that’s exactly the opposite of the honeymoon period — the first 100 days — of a new president.

    A new administration will push through a high number of legislative changes during that period to set the tone for the next 4 years, according to Zhong.

    “The achievements during this first 100-day period represents a yardstick of the success of a new president,” she said.

    “Incoming US administrations have higher legislative success rates during their first 100 days in inaugural years.”

    This upheaval will mean value stocks will become under-appreciated while growth companies are better placed to adjust.

    “Value firms tend to be mature and have a lot of fixed assets in place, thus being inflexible to adapt to uncertainty,” she said.

    “Growth firms tend to be tech companies, for example the famous FAANG stocks in the US and WAAAX firms in Australia. They tend to have a larger proportion of intangible assets, thus being able to swiftly downsize in uncertainty.”

    But when the 100-day period ends, relative stability and certainty will return. Agenda-setting legislative changes will have come and gone, and the market will have a better idea about how the new president will run the nation.

    And that’s when value stocks will shine.

    So which shares should I be considering if Joe Biden wins?

    RMIT, University of Western Australia, Monash University and University of Queensland researched ‘honeymoon period’ share prices from 1932 to 2016.

    The study found startling gains for those who stick to a particular buying strategy.

    “If there is a new US president, it will be a profitable trading strategy to buy value stocks and short sell growth stocks before inauguration and hold this position until the end of the 100-day period when political uncertainty resolves,” Zhong said.

    “The value strategy generates 3.51% per month during the presidential honeymoon period, which is in stark contrast with only 0.27% per month at other times.”

    A 3.51% monthly return equates to a 10.9% gain over the 3 months of the honeymoon period.

    Zhong told The Motley Fool that buying as early as possible would reap the best potential gains using this strategy.

    “Value stocks that are less flexible to adapt to changes could be cheaper at the start of the period,” she told The Motley Fool.

    “But their returns gradually improve as policy changes are enacted and uncertainty is resolved.”

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  • ANZ (ASX:ANZ) share price on watch after FY 2020 results release

    ANZ Bank

    All eyes will be on the Australia and New Zealand Banking GrpLtd (ASX: ANZ) share price this morning following the release of its full year results.

    How did ANZ Bank perform in FY 2020?

    For the 12 months ended 30 September, ANZ reported an unaudited statutory profit after tax of $3.58 billion. This was down 40% on the prior corresponding period.

    The bank’s cash profit from continuing operations fell by a similar margin during the 12 months. It delivered cash earnings of $3.76 billion, down 42% year on year.

    This profit decline was driven primarily by full year credit impairment charges of $2.74 billion, which increased almost $2 billion year on year. This was due largely to the impact of COVID-19 and a first half impairment of Asian associates of $815 million, also related to the pandemic.

    At the end of the period, ANZ’s Common Equity Tier 1 Capital Ratio remained strong at 11.3% and its return on equity decreased 471 basis points to 6.2%.

    The ANZ board has proposed a final fully franked dividend of 35 cents per share, bringing its full year dividend to 60 cents per share. This is down from 160 cents per share a year earlier.

    Management commentary.

    ANZ’s Chief Executive, Shayne Elliott, commented: “We could never have forecast 2020, a year that started with devastating bushfires in Australia and unwound with the waves of a pandemic that continues today. While we still cannot predict its course, we remain confident we can deal with its impacts.”

    Mr Elliott was pleased with the bank’s performance during the year, noting its strong growth in home loans.

    He said: “In Australia, we achieved strong growth in our targeted home loan segments with above system growth in the owner-occupier market. Deposits remained strong as customers took a sensible approach to managing their household balance sheets. We also saw an accelerated shift away from the use of cash and we introduced new processes to help many customers move to online banking.”

    The chief executive was also pleased with the performance of its Institutional and Markets businesses.

    “Institutional performed well in a market defined by high levels of liquidity, low interest rates and geopolitical tensions. Increased volatility led to strong activity in Markets demonstrating the benefits of a diversified business. As Australia’s leading international bank, we remain well positioned to assist customers as the global economy improves,” he noted.

    Outlook.

    Mr Elliott remains cautiously optimistic on the future.

    He explained: “Events of the last 12 months make it difficult to predict the course of the next year. What I do know however is we are in excellent shape to navigate whatever challenges emerge.”

    “While we are not managing the business expecting things to return to the way they were before the pandemic, nor are we sitting idle waiting for the next event to happen to us, ANZ is well placed to respond to the opportunities that are emerging as a result of accelerated structural shifts in the economy.”

    He concluded: “We have invested in future growth opportunities, we have reshaped how we serve customers and we are using our data capability to guide our decisions.”

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  • Is investing in shares an addictive form of gambling?

    excitement surrounding asx share price rise represented by man holding slip of paper and making happy, fist up gesture

    Investing in ASX shares is not something we normally view as an addictive behaviour. Smoking, drinking, gambling… these are all things that society recognises as potentially addictive. But investing is not normally on the list. In fact, we Fools spend a lot of time trying to convince more people to invest, and I can tell you it’s not always an easy task. As such, I’m not someone who thought investing (at least good investing practices) could be an addictive type of behaviour.

    But reporting from the Australian Financial Review (AFR) suggests otherwise.

    According to the AFR, the popular United States brokering app, Robinhood, is behind a surge of mostly young, new investors treating the share market like a giant casino, rather than a place to build long-term wealth. The AFR states that Robinhood has 13 million active users, 3 million (or 26%) of whom signed up in the first four months of 2020.

    The ‘Robinhood effect’

    According to the AFR, Robinhood embraces the idea that investing should be accessible, but also “thrilling” and “delightful”. It notes how features like congratulating investors on their first trade with a “confetti animation”, providing free options trading, letting investors see the most popular shares others are holding, and offering investors free, randomised shares if they sign up another investor, can lead to gambling-esque behaviour.

    “It’s like playing poker – as long as you have a little money, you can sit down and start competing” the AFR quotes Charles Rotblut of the American Association of Individual Investors, as stating.

    Indeed, the Robinhood effect has been blamed for several ‘irrationally exuberant’ events in the US share market this year. Perhaps most famous was the case of Hertz Global Holdings Inc (NYSE: HTZ). Hertz is a car-hire company that filed for bankruptcy in May of this year. And yet a frenzy of speculative trading saw Hertz shares rocket nearly 900% between 26 May and 6 June, even though the company was insolvent.

    This can be perhaps understood if we look at the comments of Will Sartain, a 19-year old investor who, according to the AFR, used to spend $70 a week on sports match betting. Now, he’s deep into Robinhood:

    “I would get a nice rush from sports betting,” the AFR quotes Mr Sartain as stating. “When I started putting the money into Robinhood, then I started feeling that same rush.”

    Is investing gambling?

    I think the share market is a rare institution where you can either use it for speculative or wealth-building purposes. Yes, you can go and throw darts at the metaphorical dartboard any time you like with shares. You could buy 50 shares tomorrow and aim to sell them the following day for a 50% profit, and no one would stop you. And there’s no doubt that ‘getting lucky’ with a quick winner on the share market would give you a ‘rush’ akin to winning the jackpot.

    However, like most forms of gambling, this strategy doesn’t usually work well for long-term wealth creation. Therefore, I think the best solution is showing would-be investors that the share market is a place where “wealth is transferred from the impatient to the patient” over time, to paraphrase the great Warren Buffett.

    Yes, betting on shares can be addictive (especially with ‘delightful’ apps like Robinhood), we’ve seen that. But so can the style of long-term investing that Buffett (and we Fools) love. You just have to give the latter more time.

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  • Pilbara Minerals (ASX:PLS) share price on watch after announcing Altura Mining acquisition plan

    Cut outs of cogs and machinery with chemical symbol for lithium

    The Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS) share price will be on watch after it announced a conditional agreement to acquire the operations of fellow lithium miner Altura Mining Limited (ASX: AJM).

    What was announced?

    Altura Mining recently fell into receivership after a collapse in lithium prices weighed on its operations and an attempt to recapitalise failed to gain support. This led to the company appointing KordaMentha as its receiver on 26 October.

    After the market close on Wednesday, Pilbara Minerals revealed that it has entered into an implementation deed with the senior secured loan noteholders of Altura, which provides it with a path to potentially acquire the Altura Lithium Project through the purchase of the shares in Altura Lithium Operations for approximately US$175 million. This is subject to completion of the receivership process.

    According to the release, loan noteholders have agreed to vote in favour of the Pilbara Minerals sponsored deed of company arrangement should the acquisition proceed.

    Furthermore, Pilbara Minerals has the right to match any competing proposal offered for the Altura Project, and has secured payment of a break fee in the event that the receiver accepts a competing proposal, or the loan noteholders fail to vote in favour of the deed.

    The upfront cash consideration of US$155 million will be predominantly funded through a future equity capital raising, which is being supported by binding equity funding commitments from both AustralianSuper and Resource Capital Fund of AS$240 million.

    What is the Altura Lithium Project?

    The Altura Project is a producing hard rock spodumene concentrate operation. It is located on an adjoining tenement package immediately to the west of Pilbara Minerals’ Pilgangoora Lithium-Tantalum Project.

    Management notes that the operation is part of the same mineralised system that underpins the Pilgangoora Project and uses similar open-pit mining methods, processing flowsheets, and mining equipment.

    It feels the combination of these factors, along with the proximity of both operations, provides a unique opportunity for Pilbara Minerals to realise tangible synergies, both immediately following the acquisition and over time.

    Forget what just happened. We think this stock could be Australia’s next MONSTER IPO…

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  • 3 great ASX growth shares to buy in November

    miniature figure of man standing in front of piles of coins

    I believe there are a number of ASX growth shares that are worth buying in November 2020.

    The US election is just around the corner. I believe we’re going to see an uptick in volatility next week and perhaps longer. Particularly if the election result is called into question.

    Share prices are always changing, so opportunities are always presenting themselves at different times.

    With that in mind, here are three great long-term ASX growth shares I’d buy in November.

    City Chic Collective Ltd (ASX: CCX)

    City Chic is an ASX retail share that sells clothes, footwear and accessories. It sells through a number of brands including City Chic, CCX, Avenue, Hips & Curves and Fox & Royal.

    I really like two things that City Chic is focusing on. It’s trying to significantly expand in the northern hemisphere – both with organic growth as well as acquisitions. In FY20 its northern hemisphere sales increased from 20% in FY19 to 42% in FY20. North America and Europe are obviously much bigger potential markets than Australia and New Zealand.

    The tactic by the ASX growth share to try to acquire financially distressed competitors is smart during this difficult period. City Chic can turn those opportunities into online-only offerings and work on margins as well as efficiencies.

    Online is the other focus of City Chic. In FY19, before COVID-19, its online sales represented 20% of total sales – which was pretty high for a bricks and mortar retailer. In FY20 it increased its online sales by 113.5%, meaning online sales represented 65% of total FY20 sales. Online sales represents a great opportunity to lower costs and improve profit margins.

    Whatever happens with the US election, people are still going to need to buy new clothes.

    At the current City Chic share price it’s trading at 21x FY22’s estimated earnings.

    Pushpay Holdings Ltd (ASX: PPH)

    Pushpay is an ASX tech share that facilitates donations. It specialises in helping large and medium US churches receive electronic donations from people.

    Pushpay’s management thinks the opportunity with the US church sector could mean Pushpay can generate $1 billion of annual revenue. That’s one of the main reasons why I think Pushpay is an excting ASX growth share. 

    Pushpay’s technology is in high demand during this hard COVID-19 period. Obviously social distancing and other impacts make electronic donations preferable to cash. Pushpay’s app also loves churches to livestream to their congregations.

    In FY21, Pushpay is looking to at least double its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, amortisation and foreign currency (EBITDAF) to US$50 million. In FY20 its EBITDAF margin improved from 17% to 22%.

    Whatever happens with the US election, I think people are going to keep donating to their church. So not only does Pushpay offer a lot of growth, but I think its existing earnings are actually quite defensive.

    At the current Pushpay share price it’s valued at 42x FY21’s estimated earnings.

    A2 Milk Company Ltd (ASX: A2M)

    I think A2 Milk is one of the highest-quality businesses on the ASX. The infant formula’s share price has been drifting lower in recent months because of disappointing local demand for products (which are usually destined for Asian consumers).

    But I think it’s just a shorter-term issue whilst COVID-19 is impacting the world. A2 Milk has a very long-term growth runway in my opinion, with a huge total addressable market in both the US and Asia.

    I believe A2 Milk is one of the best ASX growth shares because of its global growth potential and its strong customer loyalty to the brand.

    The company has a very large cash balance and this should help A2 Milk get through the next 12 months with no problems, even if local sales remain subdued. The expansion into Canada looks really exciting to me.

    Whatever happens with the US election, households will continue to need their supply of infant formula and liquid milk. And anything else families buy from the company which they deem is essential.

    At the current A2 Milk share price it’s valued at 23x FY23’s estimated earnings.

    Where to invest $1,000 right now

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    Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of PUSHPAY FPO NZX. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended A2 Milk. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended PUSHPAY FPO NZX. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Buying these ASX dividend shares could solve your income needs

    income dividend shares

    There are a good number of dividend shares for investors to choose from on the Australian share market. Which certainly is good news given the low interest rate environment we’re living in.

    Two that I think would be great options right now are listed below. Here’s why I think income investors ought to buy them:

    Bravura Solutions Ltd (ASX: BVS)

    Due to a sharp pullback in the Bravura share price over the last 12 months, I think it has now become a really good option for income investors. Bravura is a leading wealth management and transfer agency software solution provider. The key product in its portfolio is the Sonata wealth management platform. It is the biggest contributor to earnings, but is being supported by a number of other increasingly popular solutions. This includes the Rufus transfer agency solution, the Garradin back office solution, and the Midwinter financial planning solution.

    Although its growth has been stifled by the pandemic, I remain confident that it will accelerate again once it passes. I expect this to result in strong earnings and dividend growth over the 2020s, which could make it a great buy and hold option for income investors. For now, I estimate that it will pay shareholders an 11.5 cents per share dividend in FY 2021. Based on the current Bravura share price, this equates to an attractive 3.75% dividend yield.

    BWP Trust (ASX: BWP)

    Another option to consider is BWP. It is the largest owner of Bunnings Warehouse sites in Australia, with a portfolio of 68 stores. At the end of FY 2020, the company had an occupancy rate of 98% and a weighted average lease expiry (WALE) of 4 years. From this, it was generating annual rental income of $151.4 million. 

    And while having such a reliance on a single tenant can be a dangerous thing, I see it as a strength on this occasion. This is due to the quality of the Bunnings brand, its positive growth outlook, and the fact that Bunnings’ owner, Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES), is a major BWP shareholder with a ~23.6% stake. I believe this means Wesfarmers is unlikely to do anything that would have a negative impact on its investment. Finally, based on the current BWP share price, I estimate that it offers investors a forward 4.4% yield. 

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    Returns As of 6th October 2020

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    James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of Bravura Solutions Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of Wesfarmers Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Bravura Solutions Ltd. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • 5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Thursday

    On Wednesday the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) was back on form and managed to record a small gain. The benchmark index rose 0.1% to 6,057.7 points.

    Will the market be able to build on this on Thursday? Here are five things to watch:

    ASX 200 expected to crash lower.

    The Australian share market looks set to crash notably lower this morning following a terrible night of trade on Wall Street. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is poised to open the day 82 points or 1.35% lower. In late trade in the United States, the Dow Jones is down 2.9%. the S&P 500 has dropped 3%, and the Nasdaq is also down 3%. COVID-19 and U.S. stimulus concerns are weighing heavily on investor sentiment.

    ANZ full year results.

    The Australia and New Zealand Banking GrpLtd (ASX: ANZ) share price will be on watch when it releases its full year results this morning. A note out of Goldman Sachs reveals that it expects the bank’s second half cash earnings (from continued operations and pre-one offs) to be down 19.1% to $2,351 million. The broker has also pencilled in a final partially franked dividend of 38 cents per share. Goldman reduced its estimates earlier this week to reflect ANZ’s remediation update.

    Oil prices sink to three-week low

    COVID-19 concerns have sent oil prices down to a three-week low, which could be bad news for the likes of Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT) and Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) on Thursday. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price is down 5.3% to US$37.49 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price is down 4.8% to US$39.24 a barrel.

    Link takeover update.

    The Link Administration Holdings Ltd (ASX: LNK) share price will be one to watch this morning after the release of an update on its takeover approach. The Link board advised that it does not believe the updated proposal ($5.40 per share) represents compelling value for shareholders. It feels further work is required to determine the viability and attractiveness of the separation of the PEXA and Link (ex PEXA) assets. However, it has granted the consortium due diligence.

    Gold price drops lower.

    Much to the dismay of gold miners such as Newcrest Mining Limited (ASX: NCM) and Saracen Mineral Holdings Limited (ASX: SAR), not even a market selloff on Wall Street could support the safe haven asset overnight. According to CNBC, the spot gold price has sunk 1.8% lower to US$1,878.0 an ounce after the U.S. dollar strengthened amid the market volatility.

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    Returns as of 6th October 2020

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    James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of Link Administration Holdings Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Link Administration Holdings Ltd. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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